Neuroimaging assessment of facility-bound severely-affected MS reveals the critical role of cortical gray matter pathology: results from the CASA-MS case-controlled study.

BACKGROUND: A subgroup of people with multiple sclerosis (pwMS) will develop severe disability. The pathophysiology underlying severe MS is unknown. The comprehensive assessment of severely affected MS (CASA-MS) was a case-controlled study that compared severely disabled in skilled nursing (SD/SN) (EDSS ≥ 7.0) to less-disabled (EDSS 3.0-6.5) community dwelling (CD) progressive pwMS, matched on age-, sex- and disease-duration (DDM). OBJECTIVES: To identify neuroimaging and molecular biomarker characteristics that distinguish SD/SN from DDM-CD progressive pwMS. METHODS: This study was carried at SN facility and at a tertiary MS center. The study collected clinical, molecular (serum neurofilament light chain, sNfL and glial acidic fibrillary protein, sGFAP) and MRI quantitative lesion-, brain volume-, and tissue integrity-derived measures. Statistical analyses were controlled for multiple comparisons. RESULTS: 42 SD/SN and 42 DDM-CD were enrolled. SD/SN pwMS showed significantly lower cortical volume (CV) (p < 0.001, d = 1.375) and thalamic volume (p < 0.001, d = 0.972) compared to DDM-CD pwMS. In a logistic stepwise regression model, the SD/SN pwMS were best differentiated from the DDM-CD pwMS by lower CV (p < 0.001) as the only significant predictor, with the accuracy of 82.3%. No significant differences between the two groups were observed for medulla oblongata volume, a proxy for spinal cord atrophy and white matter lesion burden, while there was a statistical trend for numerically higher sGFAP in SD/SN pwMS. CONCLUSIONS: The CASA-MS study showed significantly more gray matter atrophy in severe compared to less-severe progressive MS.

Dynamic disability measures decrease the clinico-radiological gap in people with severely affected multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) is limited when utilized in highly disabled people with multiple sclerosis (pwMS). OBJETIVE: To explore the relationship between disability measures and MRI outcomes in severely-affected pwMS. METHODS: PwMS recruited from The Boston Home (TBH), a specialized residential facility for severly-affected pwMS and University at Buffalo (UB) MS Center were assessed using EDSS, MS Severity Scale, age-related MSS, Scripps Neurological Rating Scale (SNRS) and Combinatorial Weight-Adjusted Disability Score (CombiWISE). In all scores except SNRS, higher score indicates greater disability. MRI measures of T1, T2-lesion volume (LV), whole brain, gray matter, medulla oblongata and thalamic volumes (WBV, GMV, MOV, TV) and thalamic dysconnectivity were obtained. RESULTS: Greatest disability differences between the TBH and UB pwMS were in SNRS (24.4 vs 71.9, p < 0.001, Cohen's d = 4.05) and CombiWISE (82.3 vs. 38.9, p < 0.001, Cohen's d = 4.02). In combined analysis of all pwMS, worse SNRS scores were correlated with worse MRI pathology in 8 out of 9 outcomes. EDSS only with 3 measures (GMV, MOV and TV). In severely-affected pwMS, SNRS was associated with T1-LV, T2-LV and WBV (not surviving false discovery rate (FDR) correction for multiple comparisons) whereas EDSS did not. CONCLUSION: Granular and dynamic disability measures may bridge the clinico-radiologcal gap present in severely affected pwMS.

Current and future state of pharmacological management of pediatric obesity.

Pediatric obesity is a highly prevalent chronic disease, which has traditionally been treated with lifestyle therapy alone. Yet for many youth, lifestyle intervention as a monotherapy is often insufficient for achieving clinically significant and durable BMI reduction. While metabolic/bariatric surgery achieves robust and long-lasting outcomes, it is neither widely accessible nor wanted by most pediatric patients and families. In the past 3 years, this treatment gap between lifestyle therapy and metabolic/bariatric surgery has been filled with a number of landmark clinical trials examining the safety and efficacy of anti-obesity medication (AOM) for use in children and adolescents. These trials include studies of liraglutide, phentermine/topiramate ER, semaglutide, and setmelanotide, all of which have led to FDA and/or EMA approval. Concurrent with this developing evidence base, in 2023, the American Academy of Pediatrics published their first Clinical Practice Guideline on the assessment and management of childhood obesity. The Guideline includes the recommendation that pediatric health care providers should offer AOM to youth ages ≥12 years with obesity. Recognizing that AOM use in the pediatric population will likely become the standard of care and to provide perspective on the recently generated data regarding new AOM, this narrative review summarizes the published randomized controlled trials (RCTs) from the past 10 years that examine AOM for the pediatric population. This report additionally includes RCTs examining AOM for special populations of pediatric obesity including monogenic obesity, Bardet Biedl syndrome, Prader Willi syndrome, and hypothalamic obesity. Finally, the clinical application of AOM for children and adolescents, as well as future directions and challenges are discussed.

Geographic and sociodemographic access to systemic anticancer therapies for secondary breast cancer: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: The review aimed to investigate geographic and sociodemographic factors associated with receipt of systemic anticancer therapies (SACT) for women with secondary (metastatic) breast cancer (SBC). METHODS: Included studies reported geographic and sociodemographic factors associated with receipt of treatment with SACT for women > 18 years with an SBC diagnosis. Information sources searched were Ovid CINAHL, Ovid MEDLINE, Ovid Embase and Ovid PsychINFO. Assessment of methodological quality was undertaken using the Joanna Briggs Institute method. Findings were synthesised using a narrative synthesis approach. RESULTS: Nineteen studies published between 2009 and 2023 were included in the review. Overall methodological quality was assessed as low to moderate. Outcomes were reported for treatment receipt and time to treatment. Overall treatment receipt ranged from 4% for immunotherapy treatment in one study to 83% for systemic anticancer therapies (unspecified). Time to treatment ranged from median 54 days to 95 days with 81% of patients who received treatment < 60 days. Younger women, women of White origin, and those women with a higher socioeconomic status had an increased likelihood of timely treatment receipt. Treatment receipt varied by geographical region, and place of care was associated with variation in timely receipt of treatment with women treated at teaching, research and private institutions being more likely to receive treatment in a timely manner. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment receipt varied depending upon type of SACT. A number of factors were associated with treatment receipt. Barriers included older age, non-White race, lower socioeconomic status, significant comorbidities, hospital setting and geographical location. Findings should however be interpreted with caution given the limitations in overall methodological quality of included studies and significant heterogeneity in measures of exposure and outcome. Generalisability was limited due to included study populations. Findings have practical implications for the development and piloting of targeted interventions to address specific barriers in a socioculturally sensitive manner. Addressing geographical variation and place of care may require intervention at a commissioning policy level. Further qualitative research is required to understand the experience and of women and clinicians. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42020196490.

Murine models of advanced maternal age: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

In brief: Animal models have been developed to aid understanding of the increased incidence of adverse pregnancy complications observed in women of advanced maternal age (AMA). This systematic review of murine models of AMA demonstrates consistent effects of decreased litter size and fetal weight; this supports the future use of these models to determine pathophysiological mechanisms and test therapeutic strategies to improve poor pregnancy outcomes in AMA. Abstract: Advanced maternal age (AMA; ≥35 years of age) is associated with an increased risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes. To explore causes of adverse pregnancy outcomes in AMA, and to test candidate therapies, an increasing number of murine AMA models have been developed. The aim of this study was to systematically review the literature to assess whether murine AMA models demonstrate a reproducible effect on pregnancy outcomes. PubMed, Ovid, Web of Science and Google Scholar were searched. Studies that reported on pregnancy outcomes in AMA mice and rats were included; the SYstematic Review Centre for Laboratory animal Experimentation (SYRCLE) tool evaluated the risk of bias. Eleven mouse and six rat studies were included. AMA mice and rats had reduced litter size (standardised mean difference (SMD): -1.59, 95% confidence interval (CI): -1.84, -1.34 for mice; SMD: -1.66, 95% (CI): -2.09, -1.23 for rats) and reduced fetal weight (SMD: -0.87, 95% CI: -1.24, -0.49 for mice; SMD: -1.05, 95% CI: -1.40, -0.69 for rats). Placental weight was increased in AMA mice (SMD: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.16, 1.08). Subgroup analysis indicated that C57Bl/6 mice had less heterogeneity than other, mostly outbred, mouse strains with regards to litter size (C57 strain I2 = 68.2% vs other strain types I2 = 85.7%). The risk of bias was high, mostly due to the lack of methodological detail and unclear reporting of findings. Murine models of AMA demonstrate similar adverse pregnancy outcomes to those observed in large human epidemiological studies. The reproducible phenotypes in AMA murine models allow the exploration of mechanisms underpinning poor pregnancy outcomes and the pursuit of therapeutic interventions.

Non-linear longitudinal associations between moderate-to-vigorous physical activity and adiposity across the adiposity distribution during childhood and adolescence: Gateshead Millennium Study.

OBJECTIVE: Insufficient moderate-to-vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA) is harmful for youth; however, the evidence for differential effects by weight status is limited. The study aimed to examine associations between MVPA and adiposity by weight status across childhood and adolescence. METHODS: Participants were from the Gateshead Millennium Study. Physical activity and body composition measures were taken at age 7 y (n = 502; measures taken between October 2006 and December 2007), 9 y (n = 506; October 2008-September 2009), 12 y (n = 420; October 2011-September 2012), and 15 y (n = 306; September 2014-September 2015). Participants wore an ActiGraph GT1M and epochs were classified as MVPA when accelerometer counts were ≥574 counts/15 s. Weight and height were measured using standardized methods and fat mass using bioelectrical impedance. Associations between MVPA and changes in BMI and FMI were examined by weight status using quantile regression. RESULTS: Higher MVPA was associated with lower FMI for the 25th, 50th, 75th, and 90th percentile and lower BMI at the 50th, 75th, and 90th percentile, independent of accelerometer wear time, sex, and sedentary time. The association between MVPA and change in adiposity was stronger in the higher than lower FMI and BMI percentiles (e.g., 1 h/day more MVPA was associated with a 1.5 kg/m2 and 2.7 kg/m2 lower FMI at the 50th and 90th FMI percentiles, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The effect of MVPA on adiposity in the higher adiposity percentiles is stronger than reported to date. Given overweight and obese children are the highest risk group for later obesity, targeting MVPA might be a particularly effective obesity prevention strategy.

Longitudinal changes in vigorous intensity physical activity from childhood to adolescence: Gateshead Millennium Study.

OBJECTIVE: The aims of our study were to quantify levels and investigate sex-specific changes and trajectories in VPA longitudinally from age 7 to 15 years. DESIGN: Longitudinal observational study. METHODS: Participants were part of the Gateshead Millennium Study. Measures were taken at age 7 (n=507), 9 (n=510), 12 (n=425) and 15 years (n=310). Vigorous physical activity was quantified objectively using ActiGraph GT1M accelerometers over 5-7days at the four time-points. Multilevel linear spline random-effects model and trajectory analysis to identify sub-groups were performed. RESULTS: In boys, average VPA declined across childhood followed by an increase at adolescence, while in girls, average VPA declined across the 8-year study period. In boys, daily VPA decreased from 9-12 years (1.70minutes/year) and increased from 12-15 years (1.99minutes/year) (all p <0.05). In girls daily VPA decreased from 7-9 years (1.70minutes/year) (p <0.05). Three VPA trajectories were identified which differed between the sexes. In boys, one group decreased from an initial relatively high level, one group, initially relatively low, increased, whereas the third one was stable over the 8-year period. In girls, all three groups declined from baseline. CONCLUSIONS: Marked sex and age-specific trajectories in VPA change were observed. These novel findings should help sports and exercise medicine specialists, as well as policy makers, in their effort to maintain or increase VPA in childhood and adolescence.

The impact of common genetic variants in the mitochondrial glycine cleavage system on relevant metabolites.

The glycine cleavage system (GCS) is a complex of four enzymes enabling glycine to serve as a source of one-carbon units to the cell. We asked whether concentrations of glycine, dimethylglycine, formate, and serine in blood are influenced by variation within GCS genes in a sample of young, healthy individuals. Fifty-two variants tagging (r2 < 0.9) the four GCS genes were tested; one variant, GLDC rs2297442-G, was significantly associated (p = .0007) with decreased glycine concentrations in serum.

Timing of the decline in physical activity in childhood and adolescence: Gateshead Millennium Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: There is a widely held and influential view that physical activity begins to decline at adolescence. This study aimed to identify the timing of changes in physical activity during childhood and adolescence. METHODS: Longitudinal cohort study (Gateshead Millennium Study) with 8 years of follow-up, from North-East England. Cohort members comprise a socioeconomically representative sample studied at ages 7, 9, 12 and 15 years; 545 individuals provided physical activity data at two or more time points. Habitual total volume of physical activity and moderate-to-vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA) were quantified objectively using the Actigraph accelerometer over 5-7 days at the four time points. Linear mixed models identified the timing of changes in physical activity across the 8-year period, and trajectory analysis was used to identify subgroups with distinct patterns of age-related changes. RESULTS: Four trajectories of change in total volume of physical activity were identified representing 100% of all participants: all trajectories declined from age 7 years. There was no evidence that physical activity decline began at adolescence, or that adolescent declines in physical activity were substantially greater than the declines during childhood, or greater in girls than boys. One group (19% of boys) had relatively high MVPA which remained stable between ages 7 and15 years. CONCLUSIONS: Future policy and research efforts to promote physical activity should begin well before adolescence, and should include both boys and girls.

Socio-ecological influences on adolescent (aged 10-17) alcohol use and linked unhealthy eating behaviours: protocol for a systematic review and synthesis of qualitative studies.

BACKGROUND: Excess body weight and risky alcohol consumption are two of the greatest contributors to global disease. Health behaviours cluster in adolescence and track to adulthood. Very little is known about similar and contrasting influences on young people's eating behaviours and alcohol use. Whilst there are bodies of literature which explore the influences on young people's eating behaviour and alcohol consumption respectively, no qualitative studies have been identified with an explicit and concurrent focus on adolescent eating behaviours and alcohol consumption. This review will identify and synthesise qualitative research evidence to provide insight into common underlying factors which influence alcohol use and unhealthy eating behaviours amongst young people aged 10-17. This will involve bringing together two separate bodies of literature to enable analysis and comparison across two associated fields of study. METHODS: We will conduct searches in MEDLINE, Scopus, PsycINFO, Sociological Abstracts (via ProQuest social science premium collection), CINAHL, ERIC, IBSS (via ProQuest social science premium collection), ASSIA (via ProQuest social science premium collection), and Web of Science Core Collection. Studies reporting primary data of any qualitative design, for example, ethnographic studies, studies that used a phenomenological or grounded theory approach, or participatory action research will be included in the review. Database searches will be supplemented with searches of Google Scholar, hand searches of key journals, and backward and forward citation searches of reference lists of identified papers. Search records will be independently screened by two researchers, with full text copies of potentially relevant papers retrieved for in-depth review against the inclusion criteria. Reporting of identified studies will be assessed using the Critical Appraisal Skills Programme (CASP) Qualitative Research Checklist. GRADE-CERQual will also be used to assess confidence in the findings arising from our review. Qualitative synthesis will involve three core phases: line-by-line coding of findings; development of descriptive themes; and development of analytical themes. Findings from papers will be examined for overlaps, similarities and differences. DISCUSSION: This synthesis will interpret individual studies by identification of second-order constructs (interpretations offered by the original researchers) and third-order constructs (development of new interpretations beyond those offered in individual studies) by way of the development of a 'model structure' of shared influences upon both unhealthy eating behaviours and alcohol use. It is anticipated that this 'model structure' will aid subsequent co-design and piloting of a future intervention to help reduce health risk and social inequalities due to excess weight gain and alcohol consumption. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: CRD42017060624 .

Risk factors for eating disorder symptoms at 12 years of age: A 6-year longitudinal cohort study.

Eating disorders pose risks to health and wellbeing in young adolescents, but prospective studies of risk factors are scarce and this has impeded prevention efforts. This longitudinal study aimed to examine risk factors for eating disorder symptoms in a population-based birth cohort of young adolescents at 12 years. Participants from the Gateshead Millennium Study birth cohort (n = 516; 262 girls and 254 boys) completed self-report questionnaire measures of eating disorder symptoms and putative risk factors at age 7 years, 9 years and 12 years, including dietary restraint, depressive symptoms and body dissatisfaction. Body mass index (BMI) was also measured at each age. Within-time correlates of eating disorder symptoms at 12 years of age were greater body dissatisfaction for both sexes and, for girls only, higher depressive symptoms. For both sexes, higher eating disorder symptoms at 9 years old significantly predicted higher eating disorder symptoms at 12 years old. Dietary restraint at 7 years old predicted boys' eating disorder symptoms at age 12, but not girls'. Factors that did not predict eating disorder symptoms at 12 years of age were BMI (any age), girls' dietary restraint at 7 years and body dissatisfaction at 7 and 9 years of age for both sexes. In this population-based study, different patterns of predictors and correlates of eating disorder symptoms were found for girls and boys. Body dissatisfaction, a purported risk factor for eating disorder symptoms in young adolescents, developed concurrently with eating disorder symptoms rather than preceding them. However, restraint at age 7 and eating disorder symptoms at age 9 years did predict 12-year eating disorder symptoms. Overall, our findings suggest that efforts to prevent disordered eating might beneficially focus on preadolescent populations.

Can't play, won't play: longitudinal changes in perceived barriers to participation in sports clubs across the child-adolescent transition.

BACKGROUND: Participation in sports is associated with numerous physical and psychosocial health benefits, however, participation declines with age, and knowledge of perceived barriers to participation in children is lacking. This longitudinal study of children and adolescents aimed to use the ecological model of physical activity to assess changes in barriers to participation in sports clubs to identify age-specific and weight-specific targets for intervention. METHODS: Longitudinal study-Perceived barriers to sports participation were collected from a birth cohort, the Gateshead Millennium Study (n>500) at ages 9 and 12 years. The open-ended question 'Do you find it hard to take part in sports clubs for any reason?' was completed with free text and analysed using content analysis, and the social-ecological model of physical activity. RESULTS: Barriers from across the social-ecological model were reported. Barriers at 9 years were predominantly of a physical environmental nature, and required high parental involvement (for transport, money, permission), or were associated with a lack of suitable clubs. At 12 years, perceived barriers were predominantly classed as intrapersonal ('they're boring') or social environmental ('my friends don't go'). Perceived barriers were not associated with weight status. CONCLUSIONS: Perceived barriers to sports participation change rapidly in childhood and adolescence. Future interventions aiming to increase sports participation in children and adolescents should target specific age groups, should consider the rapid changes which occur in adolescence, and aim to address prominent barriers from across the socioecological model. Perceived barriers may be unrelated to current weight status, allowing for more inclusive solutions.

Development of sedentary behavior across childhood and adolescence: longitudinal analysis of the Gateshead Millennium Study.

BACKGROUND: In many parts of the world policy and research interventions to modify sedentary behavior of children and adolescents are now being developed. However, the evidence to inform these interventions (e.g. how sedentary behavior changes across childhood and adolescence) is limited. This study aimed to assess longitudinal changes in sedentary behavior, and examine the degree of tracking of sedentary behavior from age 7y to 15y. METHODS: Participants were part of the Gateshead Millennium Study cohort. Measures were made at age 7y (n = 507), 9y (n = 510), 12y (n = 425) and 15y (n = 310). Participants were asked to wear an ActiGraph GT1M and accelerometer epochs were defined as sedentary when recorded counts were ≤25 counts/15 s. Differences in sedentary time and sedentary fragmentation were examined using the Friedman test. Tracking was examined using Spearman's correlation coefficients and trajectories over time were assessed using multilevel linear spline modelling. RESULTS: Median daily sedentary time increased from 51.3% of waking hours at 7y to 74.2% at 15y. Sedentary fragmentation decreased from 7y to 15y. The median number of breaks/hour decreased from 8.6 to 4.1 breaks/hour and the median bout duration at 50% of the cumulative sedentary time increased from 2.4 min to 6.4 min from 7y to 15y. Tracking of sedentary time and sedentary fragmentation was moderate from 7y to 15y however, the rate of change differed with the steepest increases/decreases seen between 9y and 12y. CONCLUSION: In this study, sedentary time was high and increased to almost 75% of waking hours at 15y. Sedentary behavior became substantially less fragmented as children grew older. The largest changes in sedentary time and sedentary fragmentation occurred between 9y to 12y, a period which spans the transition to secondary school. These results can be used to inform future interventions aiming to change sedentary behavior.

Influence of adiposity on health-related quality of life in the Gateshead Millennium Study cohort: longitudinal study at 12 years.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether adiposity is associated with an impaired quality of life (an individual's perception of their life) in general population samples in early adolescence. DESIGN AND METHODS: Relationships between a direct measure of adiposity (fat mass index from bioimpedance) and a proxy measure (waist circumference), and a generic (KIDSCREEN-27) and a weight-specific measure of health-related quality of life (HRQoL, Impact of Weight on Quality of Life-Kids (IWQOL-Kids)) were examined in a longitudinal population-based cohort of young adolescents aged 12 years (n=519). The effects of change in adiposity over time (from 7 years and 9 years) were also examined (n=331-445 in longitudinal analyses). RESULTS: Impairment in HRQoL was associated with current adiposity but it was not predicted by earlier adiposity. At 12 years, higher adiposity was associated with lower Physical Well-Being on KIDSCREEN-27, and with lower Total Scores on the weight-specific IWQOL-Kids instrument, the latter particularly in girls. CONCLUSIONS: Health and education professionals need to be aware in their clinical practice that higher adiposity impairs HRQoL in general populations of young adolescents. Further research would be useful to determine whether or not children of primary school age self-reporting lower HRQoL are more likely to develop higher adiposity later in adolescence or early adulthood.

Objective measurement of sedentary behavior: impact of non-wear time rules on changes in sedentary time.

BACKGROUND: Accelerometry non-wear time rules might affect sedentary time, and the associations with health outcomes such as adiposity. However, the exact effect of different non-wear time rules on sedentary time and reported changes in sedentary time is unknown. This study evaluated the effect of different accelerometry non-wear time rules on sedentary time and changes in sedentary time from age 9-12 years. METHODS: Accelerometry data were collected as part of the Gateshead Millennium Birth Cohort study. Participants were 9.3 (± 0.4) years at baseline (n = 17) and 12.5 (± 0.3) years at follow-up (n = 440). Sedentary time was defined using an accelerometry cut-point of 25 counts per 15 s. Non-wear time was defined using manual data reduction (the reference method) and 10 min, 20 min and 60 min consecutive zeros. Differences between methods were analyzed using repeated measures ANOVA with Bonferroni post-hoc analyses. RESULTS: Mean daily sedentary time at age 9 ranged from 364 min per day to 426 min using the 10 min and 60 min rule, respectively (p < 0.05). At 12 years, mean daily sedentary times ranged from 424 min to 518 min (p < 0.05). Mean changes in daily sedentary time over the three years ranged from 60 min to 93 min using the 10 min and 60 min rule, respectively (p < 0.05). When adjusting for wear time, differences in average sedentary time between methods decreased from 62 min to 27 min (age 9), 95 min to 32 min (age 12) and 33 min to 10 min (changes between 9 to 12 years). CONCLUSIONS: Using different non-wear time rules results in significant differences in daily sedentary time and changes in sedentary time. Correcting for wear time appears to be a reasonable approach to limiting these differences and may improve comparability between future studies. Using the 20 min rule, while correcting for wear time, provided the most accurate estimates of sedentary time and changes in sedentary time, compared to the manual reference in 9-12 year-olds.

Longitudinal associations between sports participation, body composition and physical activity from childhood to adolescence.

OBJECTIVES: Several important research questions have been addressed: (1) What are the cross-sectional associations between sports club participation, objectively measured physical activity, and adiposity? (2) Do measures of physical activity and adiposity predict subsequent sports club participation? (3) Does sports club participation predict subsequent measures of physical activity and adiposity? and (4) Do changes in sports club participation predict changes in objective measures of physical activity and adiposity? DESIGN: Longitudinal and cross-sectional. METHODS: Data from the Gateshead Millennium Study birth cohort (n=609 at age 7 years) were analysed for associations between adiposity, sports club participation and accelerometer-measured physical activity from ages 7y to 9y to 12y. RESULTS: Seventy-two per cent of 9 year olds and 63% of 12 year olds took part in a sports club. Sports club participation was significantly associated with overall accelerometer-measured physical activity at 12y (coefficient=0.0.09; 95% CI: 0.01-0.16) but not 9y. An inverse relationship between fat mass (estimated from bioelectric impedance) and sport club participation, and between fat mass and accelerometer-measured physical activity was observed at 12y, but not 9y. Sports club participation at 9y was highly predictive of participation at 12y. Sports club participation was significantly associated with socioeconomic status; fewer children from poorer areas took part. CONCLUSIONS: Sports club participation in adolescence may be associated with decreased levels of adiposity. Furthermore, the potential benefits of sports club participation for adiposity are likely generated from continuous participation in sports, rather than any long-term protective effects.

Physical activity, diet and BMI in children aged 6-8 years: a cross-sectional analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To assess relationships between current physical activity (PA), dietary intake and body mass index (BMI) in English children. DESIGN AND SETTING: Longitudinal birth cohort study in northeast England, cross-sectional analysis. PARTICIPANTS: 425 children (41% of the original cohort) aged 6-8 years (49% boys). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: PA over 7 days was measured objectively by an accelerometer; three categories of PA were created: 'active' ≥60 min/day moderate-to-vigorous-intensity PA (MVPA); 'moderately active' 30-59 min/day MVPA; 'inactive' <30 min/day MVPA. Dietary intake over 4 days was measured using a prospective dietary assessment tool which incorporated elements of the food diary and food frequency methods. Three diet categories were created: 'healthy', 'unhealthy' and 'mixed', according to the number of portions of different foods consumed. Adherence to the '5-a-day' recommendations for portions of fruit and vegetables was also assessed. Children were classified as 'healthy weight' or 'overweight or obese' (OW/OB) according to International Obesity Taskforce cutpoints for BMI. Associations between weight status and PA/diet categories were analysed using logistic regression. RESULTS: Few children met the UK-recommended guidelines for either MVPA or fruit and vegetable intake, with just 7% meeting the recommended amount of MVPA of 60 min/day, and 3% meeting the 5-a-day fruit and vegetable recommendation. Higher PA was associated with a lower OR for OW/OB in boys only (0.20, 95% CI 0.04 to 0.88). There was no association detected between dietary intake and OW/OB in either sex. CONCLUSIONS: Increasing MVPA may help to reduce OW/OB in boys; however, more research is required to examine this relationship in girls. Children are not meeting the UK guidelines for diet and PA, and more needs to be done to improve this situation.

The rapid disintegration of projections: the West Antarctic Ice Sheet and the intergovernmental panel on climate change.

How and why did the scientific consensus about sea level rise due to the disintegration of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS), expressed in the third Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessment, disintegrate on the road to the fourth? Using ethnographic interviews and analysis of IPCC documents, we trace the abrupt disintegration of the WAIS consensus. First, we provide a brief historical overview of scientific assessments of the WAIS. Second, we provide a detailed case study of the decision not to provide a WAIS prediction in the Fourth Assessment Report. Third, we discuss the implications of this outcome for the general issue of scientists and policymakers working in assessment organizations to make projections. IPCC authors were less certain about potential WAIS futures than in previous assessment reports in part because of new information, but also because of the outcome of cultural processes within the IPCC, including how people were selected for and worked together within their writing groups. It became too difficult for IPCC assessors to project the range of possible futures for WAIS due to shifts in scientific knowledge as well as in the institutions that facilitated the interpretations of this knowledge.

Effect of choice of outcome measure on studies of the etiology of obesity in children.

PURPOSE: Epidemiologic studies of the etiology of childhood obesity often use proxies for adiposity as outcomes. This study aimed to compare the ability of a range of proxy measures to detect associations with sedentary behavior. METHODS: Longitudinal study of children in the Gateshead Millennium Study who were 7 years at baseline and 9 years at follow-up. Associations between 2-year changes in objectively measured sedentary behavior and changes in proxies for adiposity (waist circumference, waist Z score, body mass index, body mass index Z score) and measurement of body composition (fat mass index from bioelectric impedance) were examined. Associations were tested with linear regression. RESULTS: Associations between 2-year increases in sedentary behavior and increases in adiposity were detectable by using the fat mass index as the outcome, but not the simple proxy measures of adiposity, as outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Proxy measures are inferior to measures of body composition as outcomes in epidemiologic studies.