Inflammaging score as a potential prognostic tool for cancer: A population-based cohort study.

This study aimed to develop a clinically applicable inflammaging score by combining the inflammatory status and age of patients. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to compare survival differences among patients with different grades of inflammation scores. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to explore the relationship between the inflammaging score and survival. As the age of patients increased, their levels of systemic inflammation gradually increased. A unique inverse relationship was found between the level of inflammation and cancer prognosis during the ageing process. Mediation analysis indicated that systemic inflammation mediates 10.1%-17.8% of the association between ageing and poor prognosis. With an increase in the inflammaging score from grades I to V, the survival rate showed a gradient decline. The inflammation score could effectively stratify the prognosis of patients with lung, bronchial, gastrointestinal, and other types of cancers. Compared with grade I, the hazard ratios for grades II-V were 1.239, 1.604, 1.724, and 2.348, respectively. In the external validation cohort, the inflammaging score remained an independent factor affecting the prognosis of patients with cancer. The inflammaging score, which combines ageing and inflammation, is a robust prognostic assessment tool for cancer patients.

Phase angle: A robust predictor of malnutrition and poor prognosis in gastrointestinal cancer.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship among phase angle (PA), malnutrition, and prognosis in patients with gastrointestinal cancer. METHODS: In total, 870 patients with gastrointestinal cancer were enrolled. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the association between PA and survival risk. Restricted cubic spline regression was used for flexibility analysis to explore sex-specific associations between PA and survival. Logistic regression was used to assess the relationships among PA, malnutrition, and cachexia. RESULTS: Low PA was closely associated with poor physical conditions, diminished quality of life, and malnutrition. Patients with low PA had a significantly worse prognosis than those with high PA (60.6% versus 72.8%; log-rank P < 0.001). PA was suitable for the prognostic assessment of patients with advanced-stage tumors. Regardless of sex, patients with lower PA showed significantly poorer survival rates. Cox proportional hazards models identified PA as an independent predictor of prognosis in patients with gastrointestinal cancer (hazard ratio (HR)=0.534; 95% confidence interval (CI)=0.409-0.696, P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis indicated that a high PA was an independent risk factor affecting the prognoses of patients with esophageal, liver, and intrahepatic bile duct cancers. Interestingly, variations in PA had a more significant prognostic effect on survival in men than in women. The logistic regression model confirmed that PA is a valuable indicator for assessing malnutrition and cachexia in patients with gastrointestinal cancer. Among all body composition indicators, PA demonstrated the highest accuracy for prognostic prediction. CONCLUSIONS: PA was identified as a robust predictor of malnutrition and poor prognosis in patients with gastrointestinal cancer.

The quality of life impacting factors in malnourished patients with gastric cancer.

Introduction: Malnutrition is prevalent among individuals with gastric cancer and notably decreases their quality of life (QOL). However, the factors impacting QOL are yet to be clearly defined. This study aimed to identify essential factors impacting QOL in malnourished patients suffering from gastric cancer. Methods: By using the Patient-Generated Subjective Global Assessment (PG-SGA) to assess the nutritional status (≥4 defined malnutrition) of hospitalized cancer patients, 4,586 gastric cancer patients were ultimately defined as malnourished. Spearman method was used to calculate the relationship between clinical features and the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire (EORTC QLQ-C30). Then, univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to observe which factors affected QOL, and subgroup analysis was performed in young and old population respectively. In addition, we used univariate and multivariate logistic regression to explore whether and how self-reported frequent symptoms in the last 2 weeks of the PG-SGA score affected QOL. Results: In multivariate logistic regression analysis of clinical features of patients with malnourished gastric cancer, women, stage II, stage IV, WL had an independent correlation with a low global QOL scores. However, BMI, secondary education, higher education, surgery, chemotherapy, HGS had an independent correlation with a high global QOL scores. In multivariate logistic regression analysis of symptoms in self-reported PG-SGA scores in patients with malnourished gastric cancer, having no problem eating had an independent correlation with a high global QOL scores. However, they have no appetite, nausea, vomiting, constipation and pain had an independent correlation with a lower global QOL scores. The p values of the above statistical results are both < 0.05. Conclusion: This study demonstrates that QOL in malnourished patients with gastric cancer is determined by female sex, stage II, stage IV, BMI, secondary and higher education or above, surgery, chemotherapy, WL, and HGS. Patients' self-reported symptoms of nearly 2 weeks, obtained by using PG-SGA, are also further predictive of malnourished gastric cancer patients. Detecting preliminary indicators of low QOL could aid in identifying patients who might benefit from an early referral to palliative care and assisted nursing.

The relationship between different fatty acids intake and the depressive symptoms: A population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Depression is a common psychological disorder worldwide, affecting mental and physical health. Previous studies have explored the benefits of polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs) intake in depressive symptoms; however, few studies have focused on the association between all types of fatty acids intake and depressive symptoms. Therefore, we explored the relationship between the intake of different fatty acids intake and the risk of depressive symptoms. METHODS: The study was based on the data from the 2005-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), a large US-based database. We used a nutrient residual model and multi-nutrient density model for the analysis. We calculated the nutrient density and residual in men and women separately, and the fatty acids intake was divided into quartiles based on the sex distribution. The relationship between the depressive symptoms and the intake of different fatty acids was examined using logistic regression; furthermore, we explored the relationships separately in men and women. RESULTS: The intake of monounsaturated fatty acids (MUFAs) and PUFAs, particularly n-3 and n-6 PUFAs, were associated with reduced odds ratios for depressive symptoms. The inverse relationship between the intake of MUFAs, PUFAs, n-3, and n-6 PUFAs and depressive symptoms was stronger in women. The inverse relationship between total fatty acid (TFAs) intake and depressive symptoms existed only in a single model. In contrast, saturated fatty acid (SFAs) intake was not related to depressive symptoms. CONCLUSION: Consuming MUFAs and PUFAs can counteract the depressive symptoms, especially in women.

Remnant cholesterol is an effective biomarker for predicting survival in patients with breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer is the most common malignancy in women worldwide. The relationship between remnant cholesterol (RC) and the prognosis of patients with breast cancer has not been clearly reported. This study investigated the prognostic value of RC in predicting mortality in patients with breast cancer. METHODS: This study prospectively analysed 709 women patients with breast cancer from the Investigation on Nutrition Status and Clinical Outcome of Common Cancers (INSCOC) project. Restricted cubic splines were used to analyse the dose-response relationship between RC and breast cancer mortality. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to evaluate the overall survival of patients with breast cancer. A Cox regression analyses was performed to assess the independent association between RC and breast cancer mortality. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) using the propensity score was used to reduce confounding. Sensitivity analysis was performed after excluding patients with underlying diseases and survival times shorter than one year. RESULTS: A linear dose-response relationship was identified between RC and the risk of all-cause mortality in patients with breast cancer (p = 0.036). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and log-rank test showed that patients with high RC levels had poorer survival than those with low RC levels (p = 0.007). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that RC was an independent risk factor for mortality in women patients with breast cancer. IPTW-adjusted analyses and sensitivity analyses showed that CR remained a prognostic factor. CONCLUSIONS: RC is an independent risk factor for the prognosis of patients with breast cancer, and patients with higher RC levels have poorer survival.

Relationship between educational level and survival of patients with cancer: A multicentre cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Although socioeconomic factors are important determinants of population mortality, the effect of educational level on the survival of patients with cancer in China is unclear. This study aimed to assess whether educational level is associated with the prognosis of patients with cancer and to explore the mediators of this association. METHODS: This multicentre cohort study included 18,251 patients diagnosed with cancer between May 2013 and December 2018. The main parameters measured were overall survival (OS) and all-cause mortality. The relationship between educational level and all-cause mortality was assessed using multifactor-corrected Cox survival analysis. Logistic regression was used to analyze the association between educational level and patient-generated subjective global assessment (PG-SGA). RESULTS: The mean age of the 18,251 participants (men, 9939 [54.4%]) was 57.37 ± 11.66 years. Multifactorial survival analysis showed that patients survived longer with increasing education (university and above vs. elementary school and below; p = p = <0.001, HR = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.77-0.92), and the differences were statistically significant in different subgroups. The potential impact factors included sex, age, TNM stage, and PG-SGA score. Logistic regression showed a significant negative association between educational level and the modifiable factor PG-SGA (secondary vs. primary and below; p = 0.004, HR = 0.90, 95% CI: 0.83-0.97; university and above vs. primary and below; p < 0.001, HR = 0.79, 95% CI: 0.71-0.88). CONCLUSIONS: Educational level was a significant prognostic factor for patients with cancer, independent of other known prognostic factors. This association was further improved by modifying the nutritional status.

Evaluation and validation of neutrophil to albumin ratio as a promising prognostic marker for all-cause mortality in patients with cancer: a multicenter cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: The practicality and effectiveness of using the prognostic value of the neutrophil-to-albumin ratio (NAR) in evaluating patients with cancer remain unclear, and research is needed to fully understand its potential application in the cancer population. METHODS: The Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis, and the log-rank test was employed for comparison. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the prognostic biomarkers, and Logistic regression analysis was conducted to investigate the relationship between NAR and 90-day outcomes and cachexia. RESULTS: The study included 14 682 patients with cancer, divided into discovery (6592 patients), internal validation (2820 patients), and external validation groups (5270 patients). Patients with high NAR had higher all-cause mortality than those with low NAR in the discovery (50.15% versus 69.29%, P < 0.001), internal validation (54.18% versus 70.91%, P < 0.001), and external validation cohorts (40.60% versus 66.68%, P < 0.001). In the discovery cohort, high NAR was observed to be independently associated with all-cause mortality in patients (HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.12-1.19; P < 0.001). Moreover, we validated the promising prognostic value of NAR as a predictor of survival in patients with cancer through internal validation (HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.16-1.27, P < 0.001) and external validation cohorts (HR 1.27, 95% CI 1.21-1.34, P < 0.001). Additionally, in the subgroup analysis by tumor type, high NAR was identified as a risk factor for most cancers, except for breast cancer. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that NAR is a feasible and promising biomarker for predicting prognosis and cancer cachexia in cancer patients.

Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index Combined with Calf Circumference Can be a Good Predictor of Prognosis in Patients Undergoing Surgery for Gastric or Colorectal Cancer.

OBJECTIVES: To explore the effect of combined hematological and physical measurement indicators on the prognosis of patients undergoing surgery for gastric or colorectal cancer and to screen for the best prognostic indicators. INTRODUCTION: Gastric and colorectal cancer is a widespread health concern worldwide and one of the major contributors to cancer-related death. The hematological and physical measurement indicators have been shown to associate with the prognosis of patients undergoing surgery for gastric or colorectal cancer, respectively, but it is still unclear whether the combination of the two can reflect the prognosis more effectively. METHODS: Thirteen hematological indicators and 5 physical measurement indicators were selected in this study, and the most promising ones were screened using LASSO regression. Then, the best prognostic indicators were selected by time-ROC curves. Survival curves were constructed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the effects of hematological and physical measurement indicators on the prognosis of patients undergoing surgery for gastric or colorectal cancers were evaluated by Cox proportional risk regression analysis. In addition, the relationship between hematological and physical measurement indicators on secondary outcomes, including length of stay, hospitalization costs, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and patients' subjective global assessment scores (PGSGA), was explored. RESULTS: After initial screening, among the hematological indicators, the geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) showed the highest mean area under the curve (AUC) values. Among body measures, calf circumference (CC) showed the highest mean AUC value. Further analyses showed that the combination of combined nutritional prognostic index (GNRI) and calf circumference (CC) (GNRI-CC) had the best performance in predicting the prognosis of patients undergoing surgery for gastric or colorectal cancers. Low GNRI, low CC, and low GNRI-low CC increased the risk of death by 44%, 48%, and 104%, respectively. Sensitivity analyses showed the same trend. In addition, low GNRI-low CC increased the risk of malnutrition by 17%. CONCLUSION: This study emphasizes that a combination of blood measures and body measures is essential to accurately assess the prognosis of patients undergoing surgery for gastric or colorectal cancers. The GNRI-CC is a good prognostic indicator and can also assess the risk of possible malnutrition.

Systemic inflammation and insulin resistance-related indicator predicts poor outcome in patients with cancer cachexia.

BACKGROUND: The C-reactive protein (CRP)-triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index (CTI), which is a measure representing the level of inflammation and insulin resistance (IR), is related to poor cancer prognosis; however, the CTI has not been validated in patients with cancer cachexia. Thus, this study aimed to explore the potential clinical value of the CTI in patients with cancer cachexia. METHODS: In this study, our prospective multicenter cohort included 1411 patients with cancer cachexia (mean age 59.45 ± 11.38, 63.3% male), which was a combined analysis of multiple cancer types. We randomly selected 30% of the patients for the internal test cohort (mean age 58.90 ± 11.22% 61.4% male). Additionally, we included 307 patients with cancer cachexia in the external validation cohort (mean age 61.16 ± 11, 58.5% male). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and calibration curves were performed to investigate the prognostic value of CTI. The prognostic value of the CTI was also investigated performing univariate and multivariate survival analyses. RESULTS: The survival curve indicated that the CTI showed a significant prognostic value in the total, internal, and external validation cohorts. Prognostic ROC curves and calibration curves revealed that the CTI showed good consistency in predicting the survival of patients with cancer cachexia. Multivariate survival analysis showed that an elevated CTI increased the risk of death by 22% (total cohort, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.13-1.33), 34% (internal test cohort, 95%CI = 1.11-1.62), and 35% (external validation cohort, 95%CI = 1.14-1.59) for each increase in the standard deviation of CTI. High CTI reliably predicted shorter survival (total cohort, hazard ratio [HR] = 1.45, 95%CI = 1.22-1.71; internal test cohort, HR = 1.62, 95%CI = 1.12-2.36; external validation cohort, HR = 1.61, 95%CI = 1.15-2.26). High CTI significantly predicted shorter survival in different tumor subgroups, such as esophageal [HR = 2.11, 95%CI = 1.05-4.21] and colorectal cancer [HR = 2.29, 95%CI = 1.42-3.71]. The mediating effects analysis found that the mediating proportions of PGSGA, ECOG PS, and EORTC QLQ-C30 on the direct effects of CTI were 21.72%, 19.63%, and 11.61%, respectively We found that there was a significant positive correlation between the CTI and 90-day [HR = 2.48, 95%CI = 1.52-4.14] and 180-day mortality [HR = 1.77,95%CI = 1.24-2.55] in patients with cancer cachexia. CONCLUSION: The CTI can predict the short- and long-term survival of patients with cancer cachexia and provide a useful prognostic tool for clinical practice.

Association of systemic inflammation with the obesity paradox in cancer: results from multi-cohort studies.

AIMS: This study aimed to explore whether the obesity paradox exists in overall and specific cancers and to investigate the role of systemic inflammation in the obesity paradox. METHODS: The Cox proportional hazard model was used to explore the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and all-cause mortality. The mediated effect was used to investigate the proportion of systemic inflammation mediating the relationship between BMI and cancer survival risk. RESULTS: The survival probability showed a step-like increase with an increase in BMI regardless of pathological stage. Approximately 10.8%-24.0% of the overall association between BMI and all-cause mortality in cancer was mediated by inflammation. In the internal validation, we found evidence of the obesity paradox in all body composition obtained using BIA, with inflammation remaining an important mediating factor. Furthermore, we also validated the existence of the obesity paradox of cancer in NHANES. Systemic inflammation remains an important factor in mediating the association between BMI and prognosis in cancer patients. CONCLUSIONS: The obesity paradox is prevalent in most cancers, except for hepatic biliary cancer and breast cancer. Inflammation may be one of the true features of the obesity paradox in cancer.

The age-related obesity paradigm: results from two large prospective cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: The obesity paradigm has been a health concern globally for many years, its meaning is controversial. In this study, we assess the characteristics and causes of obesity paradigm and detail the mediation of obesity and inflammation on survival. METHODS: The original cohort included participants from the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 1999 to 2018, a prospective cohort of a nationally representative sample of adult participants; the oncology validation cohort included patients from the Investigation on Nutrition Status and Clinical Outcome of Common Cancers (INSCOC) from 2013 to 2021, a prospective cohort of Chinese patients with cancer. Survival analysis was performed using weighted (NHANES) or unweighted (INSCOC) Cox survival analyses. The normal BMI group was used as a reference for all comparisons. Systemic inflammation was defined as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) > 3. Model-based causal mediation analysis was used to identify the mediators. RESULTS: A total of 52 270 (weighted population: 528506229) participants of the NHANES [mean follow-up times: 10.2 years; mean age (SD): 47 (19.16) years] were included in the original cohort; and a total of 17 418 patients with cancer of INSCOC [mean follow-up times: 2.9 years; mean age (SD): 57.37 (11.66) years] were included in the validation cohort. In the subgroups of all the participants, the obesity paradigm was more apparent in older participants and participants with disease [HR (95% CI): age ≥ 65 years, 0.84 (0.76, 0.93); with cancer, 0.84 (0.71, 0.99); with CVD, 0.74 (0.65, 0.85)]. As aged, the protective effect of a high BMI on survival gradually increased and a high BMI showed the effect of a protective factor on older participants [for obese II, HR (95% CI): young adults, 1.91 (1.40, 2.62); middle age, 1.56 (1.28, 1.91); old adults, 0.85 (0.76, 0.96]). The aged-related obesity paradigm in patients with cancer from the NHANES was verified in the INSCOC cohorts [for obese, HR (95%CI): 0.65 (0.52, 0.81)]. The NLR is an important mediator of the effect of BMI on survival (proportion of mediation = 15.4%). CONCLUSIONS: The obesity paradigm has a strong correlation with age. Relative to normal weight, obese in young people was association with higher all-cause mortality, and obese in elderly people was not association with higher mortality. The protection of obesity is association with systemic inflammation.

Poor sleep quality association with higher lung cancer risk: a nested case-control study.

Background: Little is known about the relationship between sleep quality and lung cancer incidence. Thus, this study was conducted to investigate the potential connection between sleep quality and lung cancer incidence. Methods: We performed and selected a nested case-control study that included 150 lung cancer cases and 150 matched controls based on the Lianyungang cohort. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression was utilized to investigate the connection between potential risk factors and lung cancer incidence risk. Results: In this study, the average age of participants was 66.5 ± 9.1 years, with 58.7% being male, and 52.7% reportedly experiencing sleep quality problems. The results of multivariate logistic regression showed that poor sleep quality was connected to an increased lung cancer incidence risk (P = 0.033, odds ratio = 1.83, 95% confidence interval = [1.05-3.19]) compared with those with good sleep quality. The stratified analyses showed a significantly positive connection between poor sleep quality (vs. good sleep quality) and cancer risk in smokers (vs. non-smoker, P for interaction = 0.085). The combined effect analysis indicated that smokers with poor sleep quality suffered from a 2.79-fold increase in cancer incidence rates when compared with non-smokers with good sleep quality. Conclusions: Poor sleep quality was positively connected to an increased lung cancer incidence risk. In addition, among those individuals with poor sleep quality, smoking increased the lung cancer incidence risk.

Cholesterol-modified prognostic nutritional index (CPNI) as an effective tool for assessing the nutrition status and predicting survival in patients with breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Malnutrition is associated with poor overall survival (OS) in breast cancer patients; however, the most predictive nutritional indicators for the prognosis of patients with breast cancer are not well-established. This study aimed to compare the predictive effects of common nutritional indicators on OS and to refine existing nutritional indicators, thereby identifying a more effective nutritional evaluation indicator for predicting the prognosis in breast cancer patients. METHODS: This prospective study analyzed data from 776 breast cancer patients enrolled in the "Investigation on Nutritional Status and its Clinical Outcome of Common Cancers" (INSCOC) project, which was conducted in 40 hospitals in China. We used the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), Kaplan-Meier survival curve, and Cox regression analysis to evaluate the predictive effects of several nutritional assessments. These assessments included the patient-generated subjective nutrition assessment (PGSGA), the global leadership initiative on malnutrition (GLIM), the controlling nutritional status (CONUT), the nutritional risk index (NRI), and the prognostic nutritional index (PNI). Utilizing machine learning, these nutritional indicators were screened through single-factor analysis, and relatively important variables were selected to modify the PNI. The modified PNI, termed the cholesterol-modified prognostic nutritional index (CPNI), was evaluated for its predictive effect on the prognosis of patients. RESULTS: Among the nutritional assessments (including PGSGA, GLIM, CONUT, NRI, and PNI), PNI showed the highest predictive ability for patient prognosis (time-dependent ROC = 0.58). CPNI, which evolved from PNI, emerged as the superior nutritional index for OS in breast cancer patients, with the time-dependent ROC of 0.65. It also acted as an independent risk factor for mortality (p < 0.05). Moreover, the risk of malnutrition and mortality was observed to increase gradually among both premenopausal and postmenopausal age women, as well as among women categorized as non-overweight, overweight, and obese. CONCLUSIONS: The CPNI proves to be an effective nutritional assessment tool for predicting the prognosis of patients with breast cancer.

Prognostic value of insulin resistance in patients with female reproductive system malignancies: A multicenter cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Insulin resistance (IR) and systemic inflammation are common in patients with cancer and are associated with poor prognosis. Few studies have reported IR in female reproductive system malignancies. This study investigated the prognostic value of IR and systemic inflammation in this population. METHODS: A prospective multicenter real-world cohort study involving 571 patients diagnosed with female reproductive system malignancies was conducted. Lipid ratios (low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol [LHR], total cholesterol/HDL-cholesterol [TCHR], triglyceride/HDL-cholesterol [TGHR], fasting triglyceride/glucose [TyG]) were used to reflect IR. Optimal cut-off values were determined using maximally selected rank statistics. The Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression were used to calculate the hazard ratios for overall survival. RESULTS: Over half (55.90%) of the 571 patients with female reproductive system malignancies (mean age: 52 years) had cervical cancer. Both IR and inflammation were negatively correlated with overall survival in female reproductive system cancer patients. Multivariate survival analysis showed that patients with high LHR (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.51, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01-2.25, p = .046), high TCHR (HR: 1.90, 95% CI:1.22-2.95, p = .005), high TGHR (HR: 1.66, 95% CI:1.17-2.36, p = .004), high TyG (HR: 1.64, 95% CI:1.13-2.40, p = .010), high neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR, HR: 2.03, 95% CI:1.44-2.86, p = .004) were significantly associated with worse prognosis. By calculating the concordance index of the four IR surrogate indicators, TyG was the most valuable indicator for the prognosis of patients with malignant tumors of the female reproductive system. High TyG combined with high NLR had improved prognostic value (HR: 3.22, 95% CI: 1.97-5.26, p < .001). CONCLUSIONS: IR can be used as an independent predictor of prognosis in the female reproductive system malignancy population regardless of the IR substitution index. The combination of TyG and NLR could better predict the prognostic outcomes of women with breast cancer.

Predicted lean body mass trajectories, and cancer risk and cancer-specific and all-cause mortality: A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Although many studies have investigated the association between body composition, cancer risk and mortality, predicting these risks through a single body composition measurement undoubtedly increases the limitations of the study. Few studies have explored the association between the trajectory of changes in body composition and the risk of cancer and death. We aimed to explore the association of predicted lean mass trajectories with cancer risk, cancer-specific mortality and all-cause mortality. METHODS: The participants in this study were all from the Kailuan cohort, a prospective, periodic, resurvey cohort study initiated in 2006. Latent mixture modelling was used to identify predicted lean mass trajectories for 2006-2010. The hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) of the Cox proportional hazard models were used to describe the association between predicted lean mass trajectories and cancer risk and cancer-specific and all-cause mortality during follow-up (2010-2021). RESULTS: A total of 44 374 participants (average age, 53.01 ± 11.41 years, 78.99% men and 21.01% women) were enrolled in this study. Five distinct trajectories were identified: low-stable (n = 12 060), low-increasing (n = 8027), moderately stable-decreasing (n = 4725), moderately stable-increasing (n = 8053) and high-stable (n = 11 509). During the 11-year follow-up period, 2183 cancer events were recorded. After adjusting for age, predicted fat mass in 2010, sex, BMI, sedentary, physical activity, smoke, alcohol use, salt consumption, high-fat diet, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, serum creatinine, family history of tumour, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, compared with the low-stable group, participants in the low-increasing group (HR = 0.851, 95% CI, 0.748-0.969), moderately stable-increasing group (HR = 0.803, 95% CI, 0.697-0.925) and high-stable group (HR = 0.770, 95% CI, 0.659-0.901) had a lower cancer risk, but not in the moderately stable-decreasing group (HR = 0.864, 95% CI, 0.735-1.015). Compared with the low-stable group, the risk of cancer-specific mortality was reduced by 25.4% (8.8-38.9%), 36.5% (20.3-49.4%) and 35.4% (17.9-49.2%), and the risk of all-cause mortality was reduced by 24.2% (16.9-30.8%), 37.0% (30.0-43.2%) and 47.4% (41.0-53.1%) in the low-increasing, moderately stable-increasing group and high-stable groups, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Predicted lean mass trajectories may be closely associated with cancer risk and cancer-specific and all-cause mortality. Regular monitoring of body composition is necessary.

Individualized threshold of the involuntary weight loss in prognostic assessment of cancer.

BACKGROUND: Involuntary weight loss (WL) is a common symptom in cancer patients and is associated with poor outcomes. However, there is no standardized definition of WL, and it is unclear what magnitude of weight loss should be considered significant for prognostic purposes. This study aimed to determine an individualized threshold for WL that can be used for prognostic assessment in cancer patients. METHODS: Univariate and multivariate analyses of overall survival (OS) were performed using Cox proportional hazard models. The Kaplan-Meier method was performed to estimate the survival distribution of different WL levels. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine the relationship between WL and 90-day outcomes. Restricted cubic splines with three knots were used to examine the effects of WL on survival under different body mass index (BMI) conditions. RESULTS: Among the 8806 enrolled patients with cancer, median survival time declined as WL increased, from 25.1 to 20.1, 17.8 and 16.4 months at <2%, 2-5%, 5-10% and ≥10% WL, respectively (P < 0.001). Multivariate adjusted Cox regression analysis showed that the risk of adverse prognosis increased by 18.1% based on the SD of WL (5.45 U) (HR: 1.181, 95% CI: 1.144-1.219, P < 0.001). Similarly, categorical WL was independently associated with OS in patients with cancer. With the worsening of WL, the risk of a poor prognosis in patients increases stepwise. Compared with <2% WL, all-cause mortalities were 15.1%, 37% and 64.2% higher in 2-5%, 5-10%, and ≥10% WL, respectively. WL can effectively stratify the prognosis of both overall and site-specific cancers. The clinical prognostic thresholds for WL based on different BMI levels were 4.21% (underweight), 5.03% (normal), 6.33% (overweight), and 7.60% (obese). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that WL was independently associated with 90-day outcomes in patients with cancer. Compared with patients with <2% WL, those with ≥10% WL had more than twice the risk of 90-day outcomes (OR: 3.277, 95% CI: 2.287-4.694, P < 0.001). Systemic inflammation was a cause of WL deterioration. WL mediates 6.3-10.3% of the overall association between systemic inflammation and poor prognoses in patients with cancer. CONCLUSIONS: An individualized threshold for WL based on baseline BMI can be used for prognostic assessment in cancer patients. WL and BMI should be evaluated simultaneously in treatment decision-making, nutritional intervention, and prognosis discussions of patients with cancer.

Association between insulin resistance related indicators with the prognosis of patients with colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: The progression of colorectal cancer (CRC) has been linked to metabolism alteration. Because insulin resistance (IR) is the basic mechanism of metabolism alteration, IR related indicators are considered to be associated with prognostic of CRC. In this study, we compared the prognostic values of common IR related indicators for CRC and selected the best one. Moreover, we explored the association between that indicator and CRC prognosis and possible interactive covariates. METHODS: Medical records of patients with CRC (n = 1765) were retrieved from the Investigation on Nutrition Status and Clinical Outcome of Common Cancers (INSCOC) study. We compared the prognostic values of IR related indicators and select the best one using concordance index (C-index) and area under curve (AUC). Using Cox proportional hazard regression models, we evaluated the association between that indicator and CRC prognosis. Interaction tests were performed to evaluate possible interactions among covariates and the IR related indicator. RESULTS: Results of C-index and AUC indicated that the ratio of low-density lipoprotein-to-high-density lipoprotein (LHR) showed the highest ability to predict the prognosis of patients with CRC. LHR independently predicted CRC prognosis [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.14; 95 % confidence interval (CI) = 1.05-1.22; P = 0.001]. The interactions between LHR, and age (<65 vs. ≥65; P for interaction = 0.001) or neutrocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (<3 vs. ≥3; P for interaction = 0.055) were also observed. CONCLUSION: LHR was found to be the best IR related indicators to predict prognosis of CRC, and it was negatively correlated with the prognosis of patients with CRC. NLR and aging might interact with LHR.

Prognostic value of systemic inflammation and for patients with colorectal cancer cachexia.

BACKGROUND: The development and progression of cancer cachexia are connected to systemic inflammation and physical performance. However, few relevant studies have reported the survival outcomes prediction of systemic inflammation and physical performance in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) cachexia. This study investigated the prognostic prediction value of systemic inflammation and performance status in patients with CRC cachexia. METHODS: This multicentre cohort study prospectively collected 905 patients with CRC (58.3% males, 59.3 ± 11.5 years old). Cancer cachexia was diagnosed according to the 2011 Fearon Cachexia Diagnostic Consensus. The prognostic value of systematic inflammatory indicators was determined using the area under the curve, concordance index, and multivariate survival analysis. Performance status was evaluated with Eastern Coopertive Oncology Group performance score (ECOG-PS). Survival data were analysed using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: The area under the curve, concordance index and survival analysis showed that C-reactive protein (CRP), lymphocyte to CRP ratio (LCR) and CRP to albumin ratio (CAR) were more stable and consistent with the survival of patients with CRC, both in non-cachexia and cachexia populations. Among patients with CRC cachexia, high inflammation [low LCR, hazard ratio (HR) 95% confidence interval (95% CI) = 3.33 (2.08-5.32); high CAR, HR (95% CI) = 2.92 (1.88-4.55); high CRP, HR (95% CI) = 3.12 (2.08-4.67)] indicated a worse prognosis, compared with non-cachexia patients [low LCR, HR (95% CI) = 2.28 (1.65-3.16); high CAR, HR (95% CI) = 2.36 (1.71-3.25); high CRP, HR (95% CI) = 2.58 (1.85-3.60)]. Similarly, among patients with CRC cachexia, high PS [ECOG-PS 2, HR (95% CI) = 1.61 (1.04-2.50); ECOG-PS 3/4, HR (95% CI) = 2.91 (1.69-5.00]) indicated a worse prognosis, compared with patients with CRC without cachexia [ECOG-PS 2, HR (95% CI) = 1.28 (0.90-1.81); ECOG-PS 3/4, HR (95% CI) = 2.41 (1.32-4.39]). Patients with CRC cachexia with an ECOG-PS score of 2 or 3-4 and a high inflammation had a shorter median survival time, compared with patients with an ECOG-PS score of 0/1 and a low inflammation. CONCLUSIONS: The systemic inflammatory markers LCR, CAR and CRP have stable prognostic values in patients with CRC. The ECOG-PS may be an independent risk factor for CRC. Combined evaluation of systemic inflammation and ECOG-PS in patients with CRC cachexia could provide a simple survival prediction.