Trends in the incidence of rib and sternal fractures: A nationwide study of the global burden of disease database, 1990-2019.

INTRODUCTION: Fractures of the ribs and sternum are associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Characterization of the injury burden across England is necessary to inform and evaluate developments in trauma care and infrastructure, however is yet to be comprehensively undertaken. Therefore, the aim of this study was to describe trends in the incidence of sternal and rib fractures across England between 1990 and 2019. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Age-standardised incidence rates (ASIRs) for rib and sternal fractures in males and females were extracted from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study by all causes, falls and road traffic collisions for 9 sub-regions of England. Temporal trends within the study period were analysed using Joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: The overall ASIRs in England in 2019 were 30.34/100,000 and 46.02/100,000 for females and males, respectively. Between 1990 and 2019, the estimated overall percentage change across England was +0.20 % among females and -7.05 % among males. A statistically significant increase in ASIR was observed in all 9 sub-regions of England among females from 2014-2019 (p<0.001). Among males, a statistically significant increase in ASIR was observed in 7 of the 9 regions from 2014-2019 (p<0.001) and in the remaining 2 regions from 2015-2019 (p<0.001). DISCUSSION: Increasing ASIRs of rib and sternal fractures were observed among females and decreasing ASIRs among males, with overall ASIRs higher among males. Developments in trauma infrastructure and associated variations in diagnostic and management strategies over the observation period likely contribute to changes in the national injury burden. The findings are suggestive of the importance of ongoing financial investment in trauma infrastructure and of clear clinical guidelines to manage an increasing national injury burden.

Burden of AML, 1990-2019: Estimates From the Global Burden of Disease Study.

PURPOSE: AML accounts for 80% of acute leukemia in adults. While progress has been made in treating younger patients in the past 2 decades, there has been limited improvement for older patients until recently. This study examines the global and European Union (EU) 15+ trends in AML between 1990 and 2019. METHODS: We extracted age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs), age-standardized death rates (ASMRs), and disability-adjusted life years, stratified by sex from the Global Burden of Disease Study database, and mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) were computed. Trends were compared using Joinpoint regression. RESULTS: The findings show a global increase in AML incidence for both sexes from 1990 to 2019. In the EU15+ countries, most countries exhibited an increase in ASIR for both sexes. Joinpoint revealed that globally for male patients, ASIR steadily increased until 2010, remained stable until 2015 followed by a decline till 2019. Similar trends were observed in female patients. For ASMR, although there was an increase globally and in most EU15+ countries, there was a statistically significant decrease in mortality rates globally and in the majority of EU15+ countries in recent years. MIR improved in both sexes globally. On age stratification, AML burden was highest among older groups (55 years and older), while the lowest rates were observed in younger than 20 years. CONCLUSION: The findings from our study indicate a global rise in AML incidence and mortality in both sexes and decrease in MIR from 1990 to 2019 suggesting a better survival. However, on Joinpoint analysis, there is no change in MIR in women in the past decade and past 4 years in men indicating plateau in survival trends despite recent advances.

Cystic fibrosis-related mortality in the United States from 1999 to 2020: an observational analysis of time trends and disparities.

Cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator modulators have revolutionized cystic fibrosis (CF) care in the past decade. This study explores the CF-related mortality trends in the US from 1999 to 2020. We extracted CF-related mortality data from the CDC WONDER database. CF age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) were identified by ICD-10 code E84 and were stratified by demographic and geographical variables. Temporal trends were analyzed using Joinpoint modeling. CF-related ASMRs decreased from 1.9 to 1.04 per million population (p = 0.013), with a greater reduction in recent years. This trend was replicated in both sexes. The median age of death increased from 24 to 37 years. CF mortality rates decreased across sex, white race, non-Hispanic ethnicity, census regions, and urbanization status. Incongruent trends were reported in non-white races and Hispanic ethnicity. A lower median age of death was observed in women, non-white races, and Hispanic ethnicity. SARS-CoV-2 infection was the primary cause of death in 1.7% of CF decedents in 2020. The national CF-related mortality rates declined and the median age of death among CF decedents increased significantly indicating better survival in the recent years. The changes were relatively slow during the earlier period of the study, followed by a greater decline lately. We observed patterns of sex, ethnic, racial, and geographical disparities associated with the worsening of the gap between ethnicities, narrowing of the gap between races and rural vs. urban counties, and closing of the gap between sexes over the study period.

Pulmonary hypertension associated mortality in the United States from 2003 to 2020: an observational analysis of time trends and disparities.

Background: Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is an independent risk factor for morbidity and mortality. In the last two decades, significant advances have been made in management of World Health Organization (WHO) group 1 PH. However, there are no approved targeted pharmacotherapies for PH secondary to left-sided heart diseases or chronic hypoxic lung diseases which are thought to account for more than 70-80% of the disease burden. No recent investigation has analyzed and compared the mortality burden related to WHO group 1 PH with the mortality burden with WHO groups 2-5 PH at the national level in the United States (US). We hypothesize that WHO group 1 PH-related mortality has improved over the last two decades in comparison to WHO groups 2-5 PH. Methods: In this study, we used data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) the underlying cause of death database to study age-standardized mortality rates related to PH in the US from 2003 to 2020. Results: A total of 126,526 deaths were recorded from PH in the US between 2003 and 2020. Across the study period, PH-related ASMR increased from 17.81 per million population in 2003 to 23.89 in 2020 with a percentage change (PC) of +34%. However, there are contrasting mortality trends in WHO group 1 PH when compared to WHO groups 2-5 PH. Data demonstrated a decline in mortality from group 1 PH regardless of gender. In contrast, an increase in mortality from WHO groups 2-5 PH was observed, accounting for the major proportion of the overall PH mortality burden in recent years. Conclusions: PH-related mortality continues to an increase primarily due to increase in mortality attributed to WHO groups 2-5 PH. These findings have notable public health implications. Screening and risk assessment tools for secondary PH, risk factor modification, and novel management strategies are vital to improve outcomes.

Trends in the mortality, incidence and disability-adjusted life-years of appendicitis in EU15+ countries: an observational study of the Global Burden of Disease Database, 1990-2019.

BACKGROUND: Appendicitis places a substantial burden on healthcare systems, with acute appendicitis alone being the most common abdominal surgical emergency worldwide. Further characterisation of the disease burden in EU15+ countries may help optimise the distribution of healthcare resources. The aim of this observational study was to assess the trends in mortality, incidence and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of appendicitis across European Union (EU) 15+ countries between the years 1990 and 2019, Supplemental Digital Content 3, http://links.lww.com/JS9/A589 . MATERIALS AND METHODS: Age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs), age-standardised incidence rates (ASIRs) and DALYs data for appendicitis in males and females were extracted from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. Temporal trends within the study period were analysed using Joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: The median ASMRs across EU15+ countries in 2019 were 0.08/100 000 and 0.13/100 000 for females and males, respectively. Between 1990 and 2019 the median percentage change in ASMR was -52.12% for females and -53.18% in males. The median ASIRs in 2019 for females and males were 251/100 000 and 278/100 000, respectively, with a median percentage change of +7.22% for females and +3.78% for males during the observation period. Decreasing trends in DALYs were observed over the 30-year study period, with median percentage changes of -23.57% and -33.81% for females and males, respectively, Supplemental Digital Content 3, http://links.lww.com/JS9/A589 . CONCLUSION: Overall, a general trend of decreasing appendicitis ASMRs and DALYs was observed across EU15+ countries, despite small overall increases in appendicitis ASIRs, Supplemental Digital Content 3, http://links.lww.com/JS9/A589 . Variations in both diagnostic and management strategies over the study period are likely contributory to the changing trends.

Trends in pulmonary tuberculosis mortality between 1985 and 2018: an observational analysis.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) is a major source of global morbidity and mortality. Latent infection has enabled it to spread to a quarter of the world's population. The late 1980s and early 1990s saw an increase in the number of TB cases related to the HIV epidemic, and the spread of multidrug-resistant TB. Few studies have reported pulmonary TB mortality trends. Our study reports and compares trends in pulmonary TB mortality. METHODS: We utilized the World Health Organization (WHO) mortality database from 1985 through 2018 to analyze TB mortality using the International Classification of Diseases-10 codes. Based on the availability and quality of data, we investigated 33 countries including two countries from the Americas; 28 countries from Europe; and 3 countries from the Western Pacific region. Mortality rates were dichotomized by sex. We computed age-standardized death rates per 100,000 population using the world standard population. Time trends were investigated using joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: We observed a uniform decrease in mortality in all countries across the study period except the Republic of Moldova, which showed an increase in female mortality (+ 0.12 per 100,000 population). Among all countries, Lithuania had the greatest reduction in male mortality (-12) between 1993-2018, and Hungary had the greatest reduction in female mortality (-1.57) between 1985-2017. For males, Slovenia had the most rapid recent declining trend with an estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) of -47% (2003-2016), whereas Croatia showed the fastest increase (EAPC, + 25.0% [2015-2017]). For females, New Zealand had the most rapid declining trend (EAPC, -47.2% [1985-2015]), whereas Croatia showed a rapid increase (EAPC, + 24.9% [2014-2017]). CONCLUSIONS: Pulmonary TB mortality is disproportionately higher among Central and Eastern European countries. This communicable disease cannot be eliminated from any one region without a global approach. Priority action areas include ensuring early diagnosis and successful treatment to the most vulnerable groups such as people of foreign origin from countries with a high burden of TB and incarcerated population. Incomplete reporting of TB-related epidemiological data to WHO excluded high-burden countries and limited our study to 33 countries only. Improvement in reporting is crucial to accurately identify changes in epidemiology, the effect of new treatments, and management approaches.

Trends in Hospital Admissions, Operative Approaches, and Mortality Related to Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms in England Between 1998 and 2020.

OBJECTIVE: To assess trends in abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) hospital admissions, interventions, and aneurysm related mortality in England, and to examine the impact of endovascular repair on mortality for the years 1998 - 2020. METHODS: Hospital admission and operative approach (endovascular aortic aneurysm repair, or open surgical repair [OSR]) using Hospital Episodes Statistics (HES), and aneurysm related mortality data from the Office for National Statistics for England standardised to the 2013 European Standard Population, were analysed using linear regression and Joinpoint regression analyses. Aneurysm related mortality was compared between the pre-endovascular era (1998 - 2010) and the endovascular era (2011 - 2019). RESULTS: A declining trend in hospital admission incidence was observed, mainly due to a decline in ruptured admissions from 34.6 per 100 000 (95% confidence interval [CI] 33.5 - 35.6) to 13.5 per 100 000 (95% CI 12.9 - 14.2; ßi = -1.04, r2 = .97, p < .001). Operative interventions have been declining over the last 23 years mainly due to the statistically significant decline in open procedures (41.2 per 100 000 in 2000 [95% CI 40 - 42.3] to 9.6 per 100 000 [95% CI 9.1 - 10.1]; ßi = -1.92, r2 = .95; p < .001). There was an increasing trend toward endovascular procedures (5.8 per 100 000 [95% CI 5.3 - 6.2] in 2006 to 16.9 per 100 000 [95% CI 16.2 - 17.5] in 2020; ßi = .82, r2 = .30, p = .040). Reductions in aneurysm related mortality due to AAAs were observed for males and females, irrespective of age and rupture status. CONCLUSION: A significant decrease in hospital admissions for AAAs was observed over the last 23 years in England, paralleled by a shift toward endovascular repair and a decline in OSR. Declines in aneurysm related mortality were observed overall, and in the endovascular era irrespective of age, sex, and rupture status.

As-needed inhaled corticosteroids as add-on therapy versus SMART therapy: an evolving understanding of the two approaches in the management of moderate-to-severe asthma.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Asthma is the most common chronic respiratory disorder, characterized by recurring, reversible airflow obstruction due to inflammation and airway hyperresponsiveness. Although biologics have provided significant advances in the treatment of asthma, they are expensive, and their use remains restricted to more severe asthma. Additional approaches in the management of moderate-to-severe asthma are necessary. RECENT FINDINGS: ICS-formoterol as maintenance and reliever therapy in asthma and its effect on improved asthma control has been demonstrated in multiple cohorts of asthma. Although ICS-formoterol as maintenance and reliever therapy has been widely validated, there are significant design considerations including the requirement for exacerbation and bronchodilator response and the lack of evidence for effectiveness in patients who use nebulized reliever therapies, which may limit the use of this therapy in selected populations. More recent trials of as-needed ICS have demonstrated effectiveness in reducing asthma exacerbations and improvements in asthma control and may provide an additional therapeutic strategy for individuals with moderate-to-severe asthma. SUMMARY: Both ICS-formoterol as a maintenance and a reliever as well as as-needed ICS have demonstrated significant improvements in the control of moderate-to-severe asthma. Future investigational work will be necessary to elucidate whether a strategy of ICS-formoterol as maintenance and reliever therapy or an as-needed ICS strategy demonstrates superiority in asthma control in the context of the cost to individual patients and health systems.

Trends in keratinocyte skin cancer incidence, mortality and burden of disease in 33 countries between 1990 and 2017.

BACKGROUND: Keratinocyte cancers (KCs) are the most common type of cancer in the White population worldwide, with associated high healthcare costs. Understanding the epidemiological trends for KCs, namely basal cell carcinomas (BCCs) and cutaneous squamous cell carcinomas (SCCs), is required to assess burden of disease, project future trends and identify strategies for addressing this pressing global health issue. OBJECTIVES: To report trends in BCC and SCC incidence, and SCC mortality and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). METHODS: An observational study of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database between 1990 and 2017 was performed. European Union countries and other selected high-income countries, including the UK and the USA, classified as having high-quality mortality data, were included. Annual age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs), age-standardized death rates (ASDRs) and DALYs for each country were obtained from the GBD database. Trends were described using joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: Overall, 33 countries were included. For both BCC and SCC in 2015-2017, the highest ASIRs were observed in the USA and Australia. Males had higher ASIRs than females at the end of the observation period in all countries for SCC, and in all countries but two for BCC. In contrast, the highest ASDRs for SCC were observed in Australia and Latvia for males, and in Romania and Croatia for females. The highest DALYs for SCC for both sexes were seen in Australia and Romania. Over the observation period, there were more countries demonstrating decreasing trends in mortality than in incidence, and disparities were observed between which countries had comparatively high mortality rates and which had high incidence rates. Overall reductions in SCC DALYs were observed in 24 of 33 countries for males, and 25 countries for females. CONCLUSIONS: Over the past 27 years, although trends in SCC incidence have risen in most countries, there is evidence that mortality rates have been decreasing. Burden of disease as assessed using DALYs has decreased in the majority of countries. Future work will explore potential explanatory factors for the observed disparity in trends in SCC incidence and mortality.

Trends in prostate cancer mortality in the United States of America, by state and race, from 1999 to 2019: estimates from the centers for disease control WONDER database.

BACKGROUND: In the United States of America (USA), prostate cancer (PC) is the most common cancer in men and the second cause of cancer mortality. Black men (BM) have a higher incidence and worse mortality when compared to white men (WM). We compared trends in PC mortality in the USA by race and state from 1999 to 2019. METHODS: We extracted PC mortality data from the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) WONDER database using the International Classification of Diseases (ICD) 10 code C61. Age-Standardized Mortality Rates (ASMR) were divided into racial groups and reported by year and state. Due to the lack of available data in many states, analyses were conducted only for WM and BM using Joinpoint regression for trend comparisons. RESULTS: Between 1999-2019, ASMR decreased at the national level in Black (-44.6%), Asian (-44.8%), White (-31.8%), and American Indian or Alaskan native men (-19.0%). ASMR decreased in all states for both races. The greatest drop in ASMR was in Kentucky (-47.0%) for WM and Delaware (-57.8%) for BM. In 2019, ASMRs in BM (13.4/100 000) were significantly higher than WM (7.3/100 000), American Indian or Alaskan Native (3.2/100 000), and Asian men (3.2/100 000) (p < 0.001). The highest ASMRs were in Nebraska (33.5/100 000) for BM and Alaska (11/100 000) for WM. CONCLUSIONS: During the last 20 years, the PC mortality rate dropped in all states for all races, suggesting an advancement in management strategies. Although a higher decrease in ASMR was observed in BM, ASMR remain higher among BM. ASMRs were also found to be increasing in many states post USPSTF guideline change (2012), indicating a need for more education around optimized prostate cancer screening.

Trends in the incidence and mortality of infective endocarditis in high-income countries between 1990 and 2019.

BACKGROUND: Infective endocarditis (IE) remains a life-threatening disease with high morbidity and mortality. OBJECTIVES: To describe temporal trends in IE incidence, mortality and survival over the last 30 years. METHODS: Nineteen high-income countries (the 'EU 15+') were included. Age-standardised and sex-stratified incidence rates (ASIRs) and mortality rates (ASMRs) for IE were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database between 1990 and 2019, and mortality to incidence ratios (ASMIRs) were calculated. Trends were analysed using Joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: ASIRs were higher in males than females and increased in both sexes in all countries between 1990 and 2019. A recent steep rise in ASIRs was noted in several countries including the UK, the USA and Germany. ASMRs increased for both sexes in all countries except Finland and Austria. The largest increase in ASMR was observed in females in Italy (+246%). ASMIRs were generally higher in females compared to males, with large increases in ASMIRs (indicating worsening survival) at the end of the 20th century, but more recent stabilisation or decline across the study cohort. CONCLUSIONS: While the incidence and mortality of IE have increased over the last 30 years, recent data suggest that these trends have plateaued or reversed in most countries studied. However, a recent surge in incidence in several countries (including the USA and UK) is of concern, while unfavourable outcomes in females also merit attention. More encouragingly, this analysis provides the first indication of improving IE survival at population level, supporting recent advances in diagnosis and treatment.

Temporal trend analysis of rheumatic heart disease burden in high-income countries between 1990 and 2019.

AIMS: To assesses trends in rheumatic heart disease (RHD) burden in high-income, European Union 15+ (EU15+) countries between 1990 and 2019. METHODS AND RESULTS: Cross-sectional analysis of the incidence and mortality of RHD was conducted using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) database. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) were extracted for EU15 + countries per sex for each of the years from 1990-2019, inclusive, and mortality-to-incidence indices (MII) were computed. Joinpoint regression analysis was used for the description of trends. Over 29 years, an overall declining trend in RHD incidence and mortality across EU 15 + nations were observed. There was significant variability in RHD incidence and mortality rates across high-income countries. However, both RHD incidence and mortality were higher among females compared to males across EU15 + countries over the observed period. The most recent incidence trend, starting predominantly after 2014, demonstrated a rise in RHD incidence in most countries for both sexes. The timing of this RHD resurgence corresponds temporally with an influx of migrants and refugees into Europe. The recent increasing RHD incidence rates ranged from + 0.4% to + 24.7% for males, and + 0.6% to + 11.4% for females. CONCLUSIONS: More than half of EU15 + nations display a recent increase in RHD incidence rate across both sexes. Possible factors associated with this rise are discussed and include increase in global migration from nations with higher RHD prevalence, host nation factors such as migrants' housing conditions, healthcare access and migrant health status on arrival.

Symptomatic atherosclerotic vascular disease and graft survival in primary kidney transplant recipients - Observational analysis of the united network of organ sharing database.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate whether symptomatic atherosclerotic vascular disease (SAVD) was associated with graft survival in primary kidney transplant recipients. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Recipient atherosclerotic vascular disease is associated with increased mortality rates amongst renal transplant patients. However, its relationship with graft survival has not been well studied. METHODS: This retrospective observational analysis was performed using data for adult kidney transplant recipients between 11/09/2000 and 28/02/2020 extracted from the UNOS national organ transplantation database. Patients were divided into two groups based on recipient history of symptomatic atherosclerotic disease (angina or peripheral vascular disease). Risk-adjusted outcomes were assessed by multivariate Cox regression analysis adjusting for both donor and recipient characteristics. RESULTS: 11,771 adult kidney transplant recipients from the UNOS database were eligible for analysis (1543 had a history of SAVD, 10,228 did not have a history of SAVD). After adjusting for confounders, positive SAVD status was associated with an adverse effect on graft survival at both 1 year (HR 1.35, p < 0.001) and 10 years (HR 1.15, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: SAVD should be considered an independent risk factor for poor prognosis in patients undergoing kidney transplant.

Trends in prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years relating to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Europe: an observational study of the global burden of disease database, 2001-2019.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is associated with significant mortality and well-defined aetiological factors. Previous reports indicate that mortality from COPD is falling worldwide. This study aims to assess the burden of COPD using prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) between 2001 and 2019 in 28 European countries (the European Union and the United Kingdom). METHODS: We extracted COPD data from the Global Burden of Disease database based on the International Classification of Diseases versions 10 (J41, 42, 43, 44 and 47). Age-standardised prevalence rates (ASPRs), age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs), and DALYs were analysed for European countries by sex for each year (2001-2019) and reported per 100,000 population. We used Joinpoint regression analysis to quantify changing trends in the burden of COPD. RESULTS: In 2019, the median ASPR across Europe was 3230/100,000 for males and 2202/100,000 for females. Between 2001 and 2019, the median percentage change in ASPR was - 9.7% for males and 4.3% for females. 23/28 countries demonstrated a decrease in ASPRs in males, and 11/28 demonstrated a decrease in females. The median percentage change in ASMR between 2001 and 2019 was - 27.5% for males and - 10.4% for females. 25/28 and 19/28 countries demonstrated a decrease in ASMR in males and females, respectively. CONCLUSION: In the EU between 2001 and 2019 COPD prevalence has overall increased in females but continues to decrease in males and in some countries, female prevalence now exceeds that of males. COPD mortality in the EU has decreased overall between 2001 and 2019; however, this decrease is not universal, particularly in females, and therefore remains a substantial source of amenable mortality.

Interstitial lung disease incidence and mortality in the UK and the European Union: an observational study, 2001-2017.

Objective: To compare the trends in age-standardised incidence and mortality from interstitial lung diseases (ILD) in the UK and the European Union (EU). Methods: This was an observational study using data obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study on residents of the UK and of the 27 EU countries. The main outcome measures were ILD age-standardised incidence rates per 100 000 (ASIR), age-standardised death rates per 100 000 (ASDR) and mortality-to-incidence ratios (MIRs), which are presented for men and women separately for each country for the years 2001-2017. Trends were analysed using joinpoint regression analysis. Results: In 2017, the median incidence of ILD was 7.22 (IQR 5.57-8.96) per 100 000 population for men and 4.34 (IQR 3.36-6.29) per 100 000 population for women. In 2017, the median ASDR attributed to ILD was 2.04 (IQR 1.13-2.71) per 100 000 population for men and 1.02 (0.68-1.37) per 100 000 population for women. There was an overall increase in ASDR during the observation period, with a median increase of +20.42% (IQR 5.44-31.40) for men and +15.44% (IQR -1.01-31.52) for women. Despite increases in mortality over the entire observation period, there were decreasing mortality trends in the majority of countries at the end of the observation period (75% for men and 86% for women). Conclusion: Over the past two decades, there have been increases in the incidence and mortality of ILD in Europe. The most recent trends, however, demonstrate decreases in mortality from ILD in the majority of European countries for both men and women. These data support the ongoing improvements in the diagnosis and management of ILD.

Trends in Thoracic Aortic Aneurysm Hospital Admissions, Interventions, and Mortality in England between 1998 and 2020: An Observational Study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess trends in thoracic aortic aneurysm (TAA) hospital admissions, interventions, and aneurysm related mortality (ARM) in England, and examine the impact of endovascular repair on mortality for the years 1998 to 2020. METHODS: Hospital admission and operative approach (thoracic endovascular aortic repair, [TEVAR] or open surgical repair) using Hospital Episodes Statistics, and ARM data from the Office for National Statistics for England standardised to the 2013 European Standard Population were analysed using linear regression and Joinpoint regression analyses. ARM was compared between the pre-endovascular era (1998 - 2008) and the endovascular era (2009 - 2019). RESULTS: A rising trend in hospital admission incidence has been observed, mainly due non-ruptured admissions (4.11 per 100 000 in 1998; 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.71 - 4.50 to 12.61 per 100 000 in 2020; 95% CI 12.00 - 13.21 in 2020; r2 = .98; p < .001). Operative interventions increased mainly due to an increase in TEVAR (2.15 per 100 000; 95% CI 1.91 - 2.41 in 2020 vs. 0.26 per 100 000; 95% CI 0.16 - 0.36 in 2006; r2 = .90; p < .001). Reductions in ARM from TAA were observed for males and females, irrespective of age and rupture status. The greatest reduction in ARM in the endovascular era was observed in females aged > 80 years with ruptured disease (15.26 deaths per 100 000 vs. 9.50 deaths per 100 000; p < .001). CONCLUSION: A significant increase in hospital admissions for non-ruptured TAA has been observed in the last 23 years in England, paralleled by a shift towards endovascular repair, and significant declining trends in ARM, irrespective of sex and age. The significant reductions in age standardised death rates from ruptured and non-ruptured TAA in the endovascular era, particularly for females aged > 80 years with ruptured disease, affirm the positive impact of an endovascular approach to TAA.

A Comparison of the Burden of Thyroid Cancer Among the European Union 15+ Countries, 1990-2019: Estimates From the Global Burden of Disease Study.

Importance: The global incidence of thyroid cancer has been increasing rapidly, and this increase has had an attendant burden on health systems. However, it is unclear how the burden of this disease differs among the pre-2004 countries of the European Union (Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, and the UK), US, Australia, Canada, and Norway (EU15+). Objective: To assess the trends in mortality, incidence, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) associated with thyroid cancer between 1990 and 2019 in EU15+ nations. Data analysis was conducted from July 11 to October 11, 2021. Design, Setting, and Participants: Observational cross-sectional analysis of the incidence of thyroid cancer was conducted using data obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study database. Nineteen countries of the EU15+ were included. Exposures: Thyroid cancer. Main Outcomes and Measures: Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs), age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) and DALYs were extracted for individual EU15+ countries per sex for each of the years from 1990 to 2019, and mortality-to-incidence indexes were computed. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to describe the trends. Results: Thirteen of 19 countries (68%) showed an average annual percentage change increase in ASIR across the study period (range, 0.2%-2.5%). Joinpoint regression analysis revealed largely plateauing ASIR trends in recent years across most EU15+ nations since 1990. Between 2011 and 2019, the estimated annual percentage change in the US was 0. Australia, Denmark, and the US were the only countries with increasing ASMR trends with positive average annual percentage changes: Australia, 0.6 (95% CI, 0.2-1.0); Denmark, 1.0 (95% CI, 0.8-1.3); and US, 0.4 (95% CI, 0.4-0.5); the remaining 16 countries showed negative trends (range, -0.2 to -2.1). Disability-adjusted life-years decreased in all EU15+ countries except Australia, Denmark, and the US. Conclusions and Relevance: This cross-sectional analysis found that overall, the burden of thyroid cancer across EU15+ countries appears to be decreasing, evidenced by plateauing incidence rates and reductions in mortality and DALYs over the 30-year study period. However, the US and Australia appear to have increasing ASMR and DALY trends. Ongoing observation is required to monitor how changes in international clinical practice guidelines affect thyroid cancer DALYs and mortality.

Demographic and State-Level Trends in Mortality Due to Ischemic Heart Disease in the United States from 1999 to 2019.

Although there have been advances in ischemic heart disease (IHD) care, variation in IHD-related mortality trends across the United States has not been well described. We used the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research database to evaluate variation in IHD-related mortality for demographic groups in the United States between 1999 and 2019. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) were stratified by gender, race, Hispanic ethnicity, and US state. Crude mortality rates were evaluated using 10-year age groups. IHD-related AAMRs decreased from 195 to 88 per 100,000 nationally, with slower a decrease from 2010 to 2019 (average annual percent change [AAPC] -2.6% [95% confidence interval -2.9% to -2.2%]) compared with 2002 to 2010 (AAPC -5.3% [95% confidence interval -5.6% to -4.9%]). All groups had decreases in AAMRs, although Black populations persistently had the highest AAMR, and women had greater relative decreases than men. AAPC was -3.7% for White men, -4.7% for White women, -3.9% for Black men, -4.9% for Black women, -4.1% for Hispanic men, and -5.1% for Hispanic women. Populations ≥65 years had greater relative mortality decreases than populations <65 years. The median AAMR (2019) and AAPC (1999 to 2019) across states was 86 (range 58 to 134) and -3.8% (range -1.7% to -4.8%), respectively. In conclusion, declines in IHD-related mortality have slowed in the United States, with a significant geographic variation. Black populations persistently had the highest AAMRs, and decreases were relatively greater for women and populations ≥65 years. The impact of demographics and geography on IHD should be further explored and addressed as part of public health measures.