Incidence of Cancer and Cardiovascular Disease After Bariatric Surgery in Older Patients.

Importance: Bariatric surgery is associated with decreased risk of obesity-related cancer and cardiovascular disease but is typically reserved for patients younger than 60 years. Whether these associations hold for patients who undergo surgery at older ages is uncertain. Objective: To determine whether bariatric surgery is associated with a decreased risk of obesity-related cancer and cardiovascular disease in patients who underwent surgery at age 60 years or older. Design, Setting, and Participants: Population-based cohort study of patients from Denmark, Finland, and Sweden who underwent bariatric surgery at age 60 years or older without previous malignant neoplasm or cardiovascular disease between 1989 and 2019. Each patient who underwent surgery was exactly matched to 5 patients with nonoperative treatment for obesity of the same country, sex, and age at the date of surgery. Data were analyzed in December 2023. Exposure: Receiving treatment for obesity, including bariatric surgery and nonoperative treatments. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was obesity-related cancer, defined as a composite outcome of breast, endometrial, esophageal, colorectal, and kidney cancer, identified from the national cancer registries. The secondary outcome was cardiovascular disease, defined as a composite outcome of myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, and cerebral hemorrhage, identified from the patient registries. Multivariable Cox regression provided hazard ratios (HR) with 95% CIs adjusted for diabetes, hypertension, peripheral vascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, kidney disease, and frailty. Results: In total, 15 300 patients (median [IQR] age, 63 [61-65] years; 10 152 female patients [66.4%]) were included, of which 2550 (16.7%) had bariatric surgery at age 60 or older and 12 750 (83.3%) had nonoperative treatment. During a median (IQR) of 5.8 (2.8-8.5) person-years of follow-up, 658 (4.3%) developed obesity-related cancer and 1436 (9.4%) developed cardiovascular disease. The risk of obesity-related cancer (HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.64-1.03) and cardiovascular disease (HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.74-1.01) were similar among who underwent surgery and those who did not. Gastric bypass (1930 patients) was associated with a decreased risk of obesity-related cancer (71 patients [3.7%]; HR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.56-0.97) and cardiovascular disease (159 patients [8.2%]; HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.69-0.99) compared with matched controls (9650 patients; obesity-related cancer: 442 patients [4.6%]; cardiovascular disease: 859 patients [8.9%]). Conclusions and Relevance: This cohort study found that bariatric surgery in older patients is not associated with lower rates of obesity-related cancer and cardiovascular events, but there was evidence that gastric bypass may be associated with lower risk of both outcomes.

Risk of Esophageal Adenocarcinoma After Helicobacter pylori Eradication Treatment in a Population-Based Multinational Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Helicobacter pylori infection is associated with a decreased risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma, and the decreasing prevalence of such infection might contribute to the increasing incidence of this tumor. We examined the hypothesis that eradication treatment of H pylori increases the risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma. METHODS: This population-based multinational cohort, entitled "Nordic Helicobacter Pylori Eradication Project (NordHePEP)," included all adults (≥18 years) receiving H pylori eradication treatment from 1995-2018 in any of the 5 Nordic countries (Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden) with follow-up throughout 2019. Data came from national registers. We calculated standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) by dividing the cancer incidence in the exposed cohort by that of the entire Nordic background populations of the corresponding age, sex, calendar period, and country. Analyses were stratified by factors associated with esophageal adenocarcinoma (ie, education, comorbidity, gastroesophageal reflux, and certain medications). RESULTS: Among 661,987 participants who contributed 5,495,552 person-years after eradication treatment (median follow-up, 7.8 years; range, 1-24 years), 550 cases of esophageal adenocarcinoma developed. The overall SIR of esophageal adenocarcinoma was not increased (SIR = 0.89; 95% CI, 0.82-0.97). The SIR did not increase over time after eradication treatment, but rather decreased and was 0.73 (95% CI, 0.61-0.86) at 11-24 years after treatment. There were no major differences in the stratified analyses. The overall SIR of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, calculated for comparison, showed no association (SIR = 0.99; 95% CI, 0.89-1.11). CONCLUSIONS: This absence on an increased risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma after eradication treatment of H pylori suggests eradication is safe from a cancer perspective.

Antireflux Surgery Versus Antireflux Medication and Risk of Esophageal Adenocarcinoma in Patients With Barrett's Esophagus.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Antireflux treatment is recommended to reduce esophageal adenocarcinoma in patients with Barrett's esophagus. Antireflux surgery (fundoplication) counteracts gastroesophageal reflux of all types of carcinogenic gastric content and reduces esophageal acid exposure to a greater extent than antireflux medication (eg, proton pump inhibitors). We examined the hypothesis that antireflux surgery prevents esophageal adenocarcinoma to a larger degree than antireflux medication in patients with Barrett's esophagus. METHODS: This multinational and population-based cohort study included all patients with a diagnosis of Barrett's esophagus in any of the national patient registries in Denmark (2012-2020), Finland (1987-1996 and 2010-2020), Norway (2008-2020), or Sweden (2006-2020). Patients who underwent antireflux surgery were compared with nonoperated patients using antireflux medication. The risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma was calculated using multivariable Cox regression, providing hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs adjusted for age, sex, country, calendar year, and comorbidity. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 33,939 patients with Barrett's esophagus. Of these, 542 (1.6%) had undergone antireflux surgery. During up to 32 years of follow-up, the overall HR was not decreased in patients having undergone antireflux surgery compared with nonoperated patients using antireflux medication, but rather increased (adjusted HR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.1-3.5). In addition, HRs did not decrease with longer follow-up, but instead increased for each follow-up category, from 1.8 (95% CI, 0.6-5.0) within 1-4 years of follow-up to 4.4 (95% CI, 1.4-13.5) after 10-32 years of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with Barrett's esophagus who undergo antireflux surgery do not seem to have a lower risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma than those using antireflux medication.

Non-erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease and incidence of oesophageal adenocarcinoma in three Nordic countries: population based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the incidence rate of oesophageal adenocarcinoma among patients with non-erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease compared with the general population. DESIGN: Population based cohort study. SETTING: All patients in hospital and specialised outpatient healthcare in Denmark, Finland, and Sweden from 1 January 1987 to 31 December 2019. PARTICIPANTS: 486 556 adults (>18 years) who underwent endoscopy were eligible for inclusion: 285 811 patients were included in the non-erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease cohort and 200 745 patients in the validation cohort with erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease. EXPOSURES: Non-erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease was defined by an absence of oesophagitis and any other oesophageal diagnosis at endoscopy. Erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease was examined for comparison reasons and was defined by the presence of oesophagitis at endoscopy. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The incidence rate of oesophageal adenocarcinoma was assessed for up to 31 years of follow-up. Standardised incidence ratios with 95% confidence intervals were calculated by dividing the observed number of oesophageal adenocarcinomas in each of the gastro-oesophageal reflux disease cohorts by the expected number, derived from the general populations in Denmark, Finland, and Sweden of the corresponding age, sex, and calendar period. RESULTS: Among 285 811 patients with non-erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease, 228 developed oesophageal adenocarcinomas during 2 081 051 person-years of follow-up. The incidence rate of oesophageal adenocarcinoma in patients with non-erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease was 11.0/100 000 person-years. The incidence was similar to that of the general population (standardised incidence ratio 1.04 (95% confidence interval 0.91 to 1.18)), and did not increase with longer follow-up (1.07 (0.65 to 1.65) for 15-31 years of follow-up). For validity reasons, we also analysed people with erosive oesophagitis at endoscopy (200 745 patients, 1 750 249 person-years, and 542 oesophageal adenocarcinomas, corresponding to an incidence rate of 31.0/100 000 person-years) showing an increased overall standardised incidence ratio of oesophageal adenocarcinoma (2.36 (2.17 to 2.57)), which became more pronounced with longer follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with non-erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease seem to have a similar incidence of oesophageal adenocarcinoma as the general population. This finding suggests that endoscopically confirmed non-erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease does not require additional endoscopic monitoring for oesophageal adenocarcinoma.

Decreased Risk of Esophageal Adenocarcinoma After Gastric Bypass Surgery in a Cohort Study From 3 Nordic Countries.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to test the hypothesis that bariatric surgery decreases the risk of esophageal and cardia adenocarcinoma. BACKGROUND: Obesity is strongly associated with esophageal adenocarcinoma and moderately with cardia adenocarcinoma, but whether weight loss prevents these tumors is unknown. METHODS: This population-based cohort study included patients with an obesity diagnosis in Sweden, Finland, or Denmark. Participants were divided into a bariatric surgery group and a nonoperated group. The incidence of esophageal and cardia adenocarcinoma (ECA) was first compared with the corresponding background population by calculating standardized incidence ratios (SIR) with 95% CIs. Second, the bariatric surgery group and the nonoperated group were compared using multivariable Cox regression, providing hazard ratios (HR) with 95% CI, adjusted for sex, age, comorbidity, calendar year, and country. RESULTS: Among 748,932 participants with an obesity diagnosis, 91,731 underwent bariatric surgery, predominantly gastric bypass (n=70,176; 76.5%). The SIRs of ECA decreased over time after gastric bypass, from SIR=2.2 (95% CI, 0.9-4.3) after 2 to 5 years to SIR=0.6 (95% CI, <0.1-3.6) after 10 to 40 years. Gastric bypass patients were also at a decreased risk of ECA compared with nonoperated patients with obesity [adjusted HR=0.6, 95% CI, 0.4-1.0 (0.98)], with decreasing point estimates over time. Gastric bypass was followed by a strongly decreased adjusted risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma (HR=0.3, 95% CI, 0.1-0.8) but not of cardia adenocarcinoma (HR=0.9, 95% CI, 0.5-1.6), when analyzed separately. There were no consistent associations between other bariatric procedures (mainly gastroplasty, gastric banding, sleeve gastrectomy, and biliopancreatic diversion) and ECA. CONCLUSIONS: Gastric bypass surgery may counteract the development of esophageal adenocarcinoma in morbidly obese individuals.

Proton pump inhibitor use and risk of pneumonia: a self-controlled case series study.

BACKGROUND: Recent research indicates that use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) is associated with pneumonia, but existing evidence is inconclusive because of methodological issues. This study aimed to answer whether PPI-use increases risk of pneumonia while taking the methodological concerns of previous research into account. METHODS: This population-based and nationwide Swedish study conducted in 2005-2019 used a self-controlled case series design. Data came from national registries for medications, diagnoses, and mortality. Conditional fixed-effect Poisson regression provided incidence rate ratios (IRR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for pneumonia comparing PPI-exposed periods with unexposed periods in the same individuals, thus controlling for confounding. Analyses were stratified by PPI-treatment duration, sex, age, and smoking-related diseases. Use of histamine type-2 receptor antagonists (used for the same indications as PPIs) and risk of pneumonia was analysed for assessing the validity and specificity of the results for PPI-therapy and pneumonia. RESULTS: Among 519,152 patients with at least one pneumonia episode during the study period, 307,709 periods of PPI-treatment occurred. PPI-use was followed by an overall 73% increased risk of pneumonia (IRR 1.73, 95% CI 1.71-1.75). The IRRs were increased across strata of PPI-treatment duration, sex, age, and smoking-related disease status. No such strong association was found between histamine type-2 receptor antagonist use and risk of pneumonia (IRR 1.08, 95% CI 1.02-1.14). CONCLUSIONS: PPI-use seems to be associated with an increased risk of pneumonia. This finding highlights a need for caution in using PPIs in individuals with a history of pneumonia.

Diabetes, metformin use, and survival in esophageal cancer: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear how diabetes and metformin use is associated with survival of esophageal cancer. METHODS: This population-based cohort study included new cases of esophageal cancer reported in Sweden from 2006 to 2018 with follow-up through 2019. Diabetes status and metformin use were analyzed in relation to all-cause and disease-specific mortality using multivariable Cox regression. The hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were adjusted for age, sex, calendar year, obesity, comorbidity, and use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs or statins. For comparison reasons, 3 other antidiabetic medications were also analyzed (ie, sulfonylureas, insulin, and thiazolidinedione). RESULTS: Among 4851 esophageal cancer patients (8404 person-years), 4072 (84%) died during follow-up. Compared with esophageal cancer patients with diabetes but not using metformin, decreased all-cause mortality was indicated among nondiabetic patients (without metformin) (HR = 0.86, 95% CI = 0.77 to 0.96) and diabetic patients who used metformin (HR = 0.86, 95% CI = 0.75 to 1.00). The hazard ratios of all-cause mortality decreased with a higher daily dose of metformin (Ptrend = .04). The corresponding hazard ratios for disease-specific mortality were similar but slightly attenuated. The results were also similar in separate analyses of esophageal cancer patients with adenocarcinoma or squamous cell carcinoma, with tumor stage I-II or III-IV, and in those who had or had not undergone surgery. No associations with mortality outcomes were found for use of sulfonylureas, insulin, or thiazolidinedione. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes was associated with an increased all-cause mortality, whereas metformin use was associated with decreased all-cause mortality among esophageal cancer patients. More research is needed to determine if metformin affects survival in esophageal cancer.

Magnitude and Time-Trends of Post-Endoscopy Esophageal Adenocarcinoma and Post-Endoscopy Esophageal Neoplasia in a Population-Based Cohort Study: The Nordic Barrett's Esophagus Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Post-endoscopy esophageal adenocarcinoma (PEEC) and post-endoscopy esophageal neoplasia (PEEN) undermine early cancer detection in Barrett's esophagus (BE). We aimed to assess the magnitude and conduct time-trend analysis of PEEC and PEEN among patients with newly diagnosed BE. METHODS: This population-based cohort study was conducted in Denmark, Finland, and Sweden between 2006 and 2020 and included 20,588 patients with newly diagnosed BE. PEEC and PEEN were defined as esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) or high-grade dysplasia (HGD)/EAC, respectively, diagnosed 30-365 days from BE diagnosis (index endoscopy). HGD/EAC diagnosed from 0-29 days and HGD/EAC diagnosed >365 days from BE diagnosis (incident HGD/EAC) were assessed. Patients were followed up until HGD/EAC, death, or end of study period. Incidence rates (IR) per 100,000 person-years with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) were calculated using Poisson regression. RESULTS: Among 293 patients diagnosed with EAC, 69 (23.5%) were categorized as PEEC, 43 (14.7%) as index EAC, and 181 (61.8%) as incident EAC. The IRs/100,000 person-years for PEEC and incident EAC were 392 (95% CI, 309-496), and 208 (95% CI, 180-241), respectively. Among 279 patients diagnosed with HGD/EAC (Sweden only), 17.2% were categorized as PEEN, 14.6% as index HGD/EAC, and 68.1% as incident HGD/EAC. IRs/100,000 person-years for PEEN, and incident HGD/EAC were 421 (95% CI, 317-558), and 285 (95% CI, 247-328), respectively. Sensitivity analyses that varied time interval for occurrence of PEEC/PEEN demonstrated similar results. A time-trend analysis for IRs demonstrated rising incidence rates of PEEC/PEEN. CONCLUSIONS: Almost a quarter of all EACs are detected within a year after an ostensibly negative upper endoscopy in patients with newly diagnosed BE. Interventions to improve detection may reduce PEEC/PEEN rates.

Temporal Changes in Obesity-Related Medication After Bariatric Surgery vs No Surgery for Obesity.

Importance: Bariatric surgery can resolve hyperlipidemia, cardiovascular disease, and diabetes, but the long-term postoperative trajectories of medications for these conditions are unknown. Objective: To clarify the long-term use of lipid-lowering, cardiovascular, and antidiabetic medication after bariatric surgery compared with no surgery for morbid obesity. Design, Setting, and Participants: This population-based cohort study took place in Sweden (2005-2020) and Finland (1995-2018) and included individuals diagnosed with obesity. Analysis took place between July 2021 and January 2022. Exposures: Bariatric surgery (gastric bypass or sleeve gastrectomy) patients using lipid-lowering, cardiovascular, or antidiabetic medication were compared with 5 times as many control patients with an obesity diagnosis treated with no surgery, matched for country, age, sex, calendar year, and medication use. Main Outcomes and Measures: Proportions with 95% CIs of lipid-lowering, cardiovascular, or antidiabetic medication. Results: A total of 26 396 patients underwent bariatric surgery (with gastric bypass or sleeve gastrectomy) (17 521 [66.4%] women; median [IQR] age, 50 [43-56] years) and 131 980 matched control patients (87 605 [66.4%%] women; median [IQR] age, 50 [43-56] years) were included. The proportion of lipid-lowering medication after bariatric surgery decreased from 20.3% (95% CI, 20.2%-20.5%) at baseline to 12.9% (95% CI, 12.7%-13.0%) after 2 years and 17.6% (95% CI, 13.3%-21.8%) after 15 years, while it increased in the no surgery group from 21.0% (95% CI, 20.9%-21.1%) at baseline to 44.6% (95% CI, 41.7%-47.5%) after 15 years. Cardiovascular medications were used by 60.2% (95% CI, 60.0%-60.5%) of bariatric surgery patients at baseline, decreased to 43.2% (95% CI, 42.9%-43.4%) after 2 years, and increased to 74.6% (95% CI, 65.8%-83.4%) after 15 years, while it increased in the no surgery group from 54.4% (95% CI, 54.3%-54.5%) at baseline to 83.3% (95% CI, 79.3%-87.3%) after 15 years. Antidiabetic medications were used by 27.7% (95% CI, 27.6%-27.9%) in the bariatric surgery group at baseline, decreased to 10.0% (95% CI, 9.9%-10.2%) after 2 years, and increased to 23.5% (95% CI, 18.5%-28.5%) after 15 years, while it increased in the no surgery group from 27.7% (95% CI, 27.6%-27.7%) at baseline to 54.2% (95% CI, 51.0%-57.5%) after 15 years. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, undergoing bariatric surgery was associated with a substantial and long-lasting reduction in the use of lipid-lowering and antidiabetic medications compared with no surgery for obesity, while for cardiovascular medications this reduction was only transient.

Prediction of conditional survival in esophageal cancer in a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The authors aimed to produce a prediction model for survival at any given date after surgery for esophageal cancer (conditional survival), which has not been done previously. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Using joint density functions, the authors developed and validated a prediction model for all-cause and disease-specific mortality after surgery with esophagectomy, for esophageal cancer, conditional on postsurgery survival time. The model performance was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and risk calibration, with internal cross-validation. The derivation cohort was a nationwide Swedish population-based cohort of 1027 patients treated in 1987-2010, with follow-up throughout 2016. This validation cohort was another Swedish population-based cohort of 558 patients treated in 2011-2013, with follow-up throughout 2018. RESULTS: The model predictors were age, sex, education, tumor histology, chemo(radio)therapy, tumor stage, resection margin status, and reoperation. The medians of AUC after internal cross-validation in the derivation cohort were 0.74 (95% CI: 0.69-0.78) for 3-year all-cause mortality, 0.76 (95% CI: 0.72-0.79) for 5-year all-cause mortality, 0.74 (95% CI: 0.70-0.78) for 3-year disease-specific mortality, and 0.75 (95% CI: 0.72-0.79) for 5-year disease-specific mortality. The corresponding AUC values in the validation cohort ranged from 0.71 to 0.73. The model showed good agreement between observed and predicted risks. Complete results for conditional survival any given date between 1 and 5 years of surgery are available from an interactive web-tool: https://sites.google.com/view/pcsec/home . CONCLUSION: This novel prediction model provided accurate estimates of conditional survival any time after esophageal cancer surgery. The web-tool may help guide postoperative treatment and follow-up.

Cohort profile: Nordic Helicobacter Pylori eradication project (NordHePEP).

PURPOSE: This cohort description presents the Nordic Helicobacter Pylori Eradication Project (NordHePEP), a population-based cohort of patients having received eradication treatment for Helicobacter pylori (HP). The cohort is created with the main purpose of examining whether and to what extent HP eradication treatment influences the risk of gastrointestinal cancer. PARTICIPANTS: NordHePEP includes all adults (aged ≥18 years) having been prescribed and dispensed HP eradication treatment according to the nationwide complete drug registries in any of the five Nordic countries (Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, or Sweden) between 1994 and 2020 (start and end year varies between countries). We have retrieved and merged individual-level data from multiple national registries, including drug, patient, cancer, population, and death registries. FINDINGS: The cohort includes 674,771 patients having received HP eradication treatment. During up to 23 years of follow-up, 59,292 (8.8%) participants were diagnosed with cancer (non-melanoma skin cancer excluded), whereof 15,496 (2.3%) in the gastrointestinal tract. FUTURE PLANS: We will analyse HP eradication treatment in relation to gastrointestinal cancer risk. Standardised incidence ratios will be calculated as the observed cancer incidence in the cohort divided by the expected cancer incidence, derived from the background population of the corresponding age, sex, and calendar year.

Bariatric surgery volume by hospital and long-term survival: population-based NordOSCo data.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether annual hospital volume of bariatric surgery influences the long-term survival of individuals who undergo surgery for severe obesity. The hypothesis that higher annual hospital volume of bariatric surgery is associated with better long-term survival was evaluated. METHODS: This retrospective population-based study included patients who underwent bariatric surgery in Sweden and Finland between 1989 and 2020. Annual hospital volume was analysed for risk of all-cause mortality. Multivariable Cox regression provided HRs with 95 per cent confidence intervals adjusted for age, sex, co-morbidity, country, and type of bariatric procedure. RESULTS: Weight loss surgery was performed in 77 870 patients with a 0.5 per cent risk of postoperative death (mortality rate (MR) per 100 000 people 592.7, 95 per cent c.i. 575.0 to 610.9). Higher annual hospital volume of bariatric surgery was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality. The adjusted HRs were slightly more reduced for each quartile of annual hospital volume compared with the lowest quartile (MR per 100 000 people for lowest quartile 815.1, 95 per cent c.i. 781.7 to 849.9; for quartile II: HR 0.88, 95 per cent c.i. 0.81 to 0.96 (MR per 100 000 people 545.0, 512.0 to 580.1); for quartile III: HR 0.87, 0.78 to 0.97 (MR per 100 000 people 428.8, 395.5 to 465.0); for quartile IV: HR 0.82, 0.73 to 0.93 (MR per 100 000 people 356.0, 324.1 to 391.1)). In analyses restricted to laparoscopic surgery, volume and mortality were related only in the crude model (HR 0.86, 0.75 to 0.98), but not in the multivariable model (HR 0.97, 0.84 to 1.13) that compared highest and lowest quartiles. CONCLUSION: If there was a survival benefit associated with hospital volume, it may have been due to a faster uptake of laparoscopic surgery in the busier hospitals.

Objectively confirmed gastroesophageal reflux disease and risk of atrial fibrillation: a population-based cohort study in Sweden.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine the risk of atrial fibrillation in patients with objectively confirmed GERD. METHODS: This was a nationwide population-based cohort study between 2005 and 2018, including the majority ( n = 8 421 115) of all Swedish adult residents (≥18 years). Within this cohort, the exposed group were all individuals with a diagnosis of esophagitis or Barrett's esophagus, and the unexposed group was made up of five times as many individuals without any GERD, matched by age, sex, and calendar year. The outcome was the first diagnosis of atrial fibrillation. Cox regression provided hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusted for confounders. RESULTS: Among 118 013 individuals with esophagitis or Barrett's esophagus and 590 065 without GERD, 7042 (6.0%) and 40 962 (6.9%) developed atrial fibrillation, respectively. The risk of atrial fibrillation among patients with GERD was 13% increased within the first year of diagnosis (HR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.06-1.20), but was not increased after that. Among individuals aged less than 60 years, the HR of atrial fibrillation was 55% increased within the first year of diagnosis (HR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.27-1.88), and this association remained increased after the first year (HR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.06-1.22). No association was found in older participants (≥60 years). Results were similar in men and women. CONCLUSION: This large population-based cohort study indicates that objectively determined GERD increases the risk of atrial fibrillation shortly after diagnosis in men and women younger than 60 years.

Long-term Survival After Sleeve Gastrectomy Versus Gastric Bypass in a Binational Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Bariatric surgery prolongs life expectancy in severely obese individuals, but it is uncertain which of the two dominating bariatric procedures, sleeve gastrectomy or gastric bypass, offers the best long-term survival. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This was a population-based cohort study of primary laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy compared with gastric bypass for obesity in Sweden and Finland between 1 January 2007 and 31 December 2020. The risk of all-cause mortality was calculated using multivariable Cox regression, providing hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs adjusted for age, sex, hypertension, diabetes, Charlson comorbidity index, country, and calendar year. RESULTS: Among 61,503 patients (median age 42 years; 75.4% women), who contributed 415,712 person-years at risk (mean 6.8 person-years), 1,571 (2.6%) died during follow-up. Compared with patients who underwent gastric bypass (n = 51,891 [84.4%]), the sleeve gastrectomy group (n = 9,612 [15.6%]) had similar all-cause mortality during the entire study period (HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.81-1.20), but decreased all-cause mortality in more recent years (HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.54-0.97, from 2014 onward). Diabetes interacted statistically significantly with the type of bariatric surgery, with higher all-cause mortality after sleeve gastrectomy than after gastric bypass (HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.06-2.24). CONCLUSIONS: The overall survival following sleeve gastrectomy seems to compare well with gastric bypass and may even be better during recent years. A tailored surgical approach in relation to patients' diabetes status may optimize survival in patients selected for bariatric surgery (i.e., sleeve gastrectomy for patients without diabetes and gastric bypass for patients with diabetes).

Use of anti-androgenic 5α-reductase inhibitors and risk of oesophageal and gastric cancer by histological type and anatomical sub-site.

BACKGROUND: To investigate if anti-androgenic medications 5α-reductase inhibitors (5-ARIs) decrease the risk of developing oesophageal and gastric tumours, analysed by histological type and anatomical sub-site. METHODS: A Swedish population-based cohort study between 2005 and 2018 where men using 5-ARIs were considered exposed. For each exposed participant, ten male age-matched non-users of 5-ARIs (non-exposed) were included. Multivariable Cox regression provided hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) adjusted for age, calendar year, smoking, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs/aspirin use, and statins use. Further adjustments were made depending on the tumour analysed. RESULTS: The cohort included 191,156 users of 5-ARIs and 1,911,560 non-users. Overall, the use of 5-ARIs was not associated with any statistically significantly reduced risk of oesophageal or cardia adenocarcinoma (adjusted HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.82-1.02) or gastric non-cardia adenocarcinoma (adjusted HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.80-1.02). However, the use of 5-ARIs indicated a decreased risk of oesophageal or cardia adenocarcinoma among obese or diabetic participants (adjusted HR 0.55, 95% CI 0.39-0.80) and a reduced risk of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (adjusted HR 0.49, 95% CI 0.37-0.65). CONCLUSION: Users of 5-ARIs may have a decreased risk of developing oesophageal or cardia adenocarcinoma among those obese or diabetic, and a decreased risk of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Haemoglobin A1c and serum glucose levels and risk of gastric cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: This systematic review and meta-analysis examined associations between serum levels of haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and glucose and the risk of gastric cancer. METHODS: MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane Library were searched for studies examining associations between serum levels of HbA1c or glucose and the risk of gastric cancer. Inclusion of studies, quality assessment, and data extraction were conducted independently by two authors. Pooled hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were synthesised using random-effects models. Cochran's Q test and I2 statistic were used to assess heterogeneity. RESULTS: Among 3473 identified studies, 12 were included. Of these, 5 studies examined HbA1c levels and 7 studies examined serum glucose levels. Serum HbA1c levels >6% were associated with an increased risk of gastric cancer (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.06-1.74). When compared with the lowest glucose categories, the highest glucose categories were associated with a borderline increased risk of gastric cancer (HR 1.11, 95% CI 0.98-1.26). In subgroup analyses, studies that adjusted for Helicobacter pylori infection indicated stronger associations between elevated HbA1c levels and gastric cancer (HR 2.08, 95% CI 1.46-2.98) than those without such adjustment (HR 1.10, 95% CI 0.91-1.32). CONCLUSIONS: Long-standing poor glycaemic control may increase the risk of gastric cancer. REGISTRATION NUMBER: PROSPERO CRD42020157453.

Incidence and Mortality in Upper Gastrointestinal Cancer After Negative Endoscopy for Gastroesophageal Reflux Disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) is associated with an increased risk of cancer of the upper gastrointestinal tract. This study aimed to assess whether and to what extent a negative upper endoscopy in patients with GERD is associated with decreased incidence and mortality in upper gastrointestinal cancer (ie, esophageal, gastric, or duodenal cancer). METHODS: We conducted a population-based cohort study of all patients with newly diagnosed GERD between July 1, 1979 and December 31, 2018 in Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden. The exposure, negative upper endoscopy, was examined as a time-varying exposure, where participants contributed unexposed person-time from GERD diagnosis until screened and exposed person-time from the negative upper endoscopy. The incidence and mortality in upper gastrointestinal cancer were assessed using parametric flexible models, providing adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Among 1,062,740 patients with GERD (median age 58 years; 52% were women) followed for a mean of 7.0 person-years, 5324 (0.5%) developed upper gastrointestinal cancer and 4465 (0.4%) died from such cancer. Patients who had a negative upper endoscopy had a 55% decreased risk of upper gastrointestinal cancer compared with those who did not undergo endoscopy (HR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.43-0.48), a decrease that was more pronounced during more recent years (HR, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.30-0.38 from 2008 onward), and was otherwise stable across sex and age groups. The corresponding reduction in upper gastrointestinal mortality among patients with upper endoscopy was 61% (adjusted HR, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.37-0.42). The risk reduction after a negative upper endoscopy in incidence and mortality lasted for 5 and at least 10 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Negative upper endoscopy is associated with strong and long-lasting decreases in incidence and mortality in upper gastrointestinal cancer in patients with GERD.

Risk Factors for Suicide After Bariatric Surgery in a Population-based Nationwide Study in Five Nordic Countries.

OBJECTIVE: To identify risk factors for suicide after bariatric surgery. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Bariatric surgery reduces obesity-related mortality. However, it is for unclear reasons is associated with an increased risk of suicide. METHODS: This population-based cohort study included patients having undergone bariatric surgery in 1982 to 2012 in any of the 5 Nordic countries, with follow-up through 2012. Eleven potential risk factors of suicide (sex, age, comorbidity, surgery type, surgical approach, calendar year of surgery, history of depression or anxiety, psychosis, schizophrenia, mania, or bipolar disorder, personality disorder, substance use, and number of previously documented psychiatric diagnoses) were analyzed using Cox regression. RESULTS: Of 49,977 bariatric surgery patients, 98 (0.2%) committed suicide during follow-up. Women had a decreased risk of suicide compared to men (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.48, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.33-0.77), although age and comorbidity did not influence this risk. Compared to gastric bypass, other types of bariatric surgery had lower risk of suicide (HR = 0.44, 95%CI 0.27-0.99). There was no difference in suicide risk between laparoscopic and open surgical approach. A history of depression or anxiety (HR = 6.87, 95%CI 3.97-11.90); mania, bipolar disorder, psychosis, or schizophrenia (HR = 2.70, 95%CI 1.14-6.37); and substance use (HR = 2.28, 95%CI 1.08-4.80), increased the risk of suicide. More of the above psychiatric diagnoses increased the risk of suicide (HR = 22.59, 95%CI 12.96-39.38 for ≥2 compared to 0 diagnoses). CONCLUSIONS: Although the risk of suicide is low, psychiatric disorders, male sex, and gastric bypass procedure seem to increase the risk of suicide after bariatric surgery, indicating a role for tailored preoperative psychiatric evaluation and postoperative surveillance.