Transcriptomic Analysis Reveals Sixteen Potential Genes Associated with the Successful Differentiation of Antibody-Secreting Cells through the Utilization of Unfolded Protein Response Mechanisms in Robust Responders to the Influenza Vaccine.

The seasonal influenza vaccine remains one of the vital recommended infection control measures for the elderly with chronic illnesses. We investigated the immunogenicity of a single dose of influenza vaccine in 123 seronegative participants and classified them into four distinct groups, determined by the promptness of vaccine response, the longevity of humoral immunity, and the likelihood of exhibiting cross-reactivity. Subsequently, we used transcriptional profiling and differential gene expression analysis to identify potential genes directly associated with the robust response to the vaccine. The group of exemplary vaccine responders differentially expressed 16 genes, namely: MZB1, MYDGF, TXNDC5, TXNDC11, HSP90B1, FKBP11, PDIA5, PRDX4, CD38, SDC1, TNFRSF17, TNFRSF13B, PAX5, POU2AF1, IRF4, and XBP1. Our findings point out a list of expressed proteins that are related to B cell proliferation, unfolded protein response, and cellular haemostasis, as well as a linkage of these expressions to the survival of long-lived plasma cells.

Genetic architecture of alcohol consumption identified by a genotype-stratified GWAS and impact on esophageal cancer risk in Japanese people.

An East Asian-specific variant on aldehyde dehydrogenase 2 (ALDH2 rs671, G>A) is the major genetic determinant of alcohol consumption. We performed an rs671 genotype-stratified genome-wide association study meta-analysis of alcohol consumption in 175,672 Japanese individuals to explore gene-gene interactions with rs671 behind drinking behavior. The analysis identified three genome-wide significant loci (GCKR, KLB, and ADH1B) in wild-type homozygotes and six (GCKR, ADH1B, ALDH1B1, ALDH1A1, ALDH2, and GOT2) in heterozygotes, with five showing genome-wide significant interaction with rs671. Genetic correlation analyses revealed ancestry-specific genetic architecture in heterozygotes. Of the discovered loci, four (GCKR, ADH1B, ALDH1A1, and ALDH2) were suggested to interact with rs671 in the risk of esophageal cancer, a representative alcohol-related disease. Our results identify the genotype-specific genetic architecture of alcohol consumption and reveal its potential impact on alcohol-related disease risk.

Development of a plasma-free amino acid-based risk score for the incidence of cardiovascular diseases in a general population: The Nagahama study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Levels of circulating amino acids (AAs) have been suggested to be associated with cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). This study aimed to develop a plasma-free amino acid (PFAA)-based CVD risk-prediction model in a general population. METHODS: The study participants consisted of 9220 community residents (mean age, 53.2 years; standard deviation, 13.3 years). Circulating levels of 19 PFAAs were measured via high-performance liquid chromatography/electrospray ionization mass spectrometry. The incidence of CVDs was determined by reviewing participants' clinical records. The prediction model was developed using the Cox proportional hazards model with the brute force variable selection and then cross-validated. RESULTS: During the 8.5-year follow-up, 220 CVD events were observed. Six AAs (alanine, citrulline, glycine, histidine, serine, and tyrosine) were identified as components of the prediction model, of which the C-index was 0.72. The association between the fourth quartile of the risk score calculated using the prediction model and the CVD events was independent of conventional risk factors (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.9; 95 % confidence interval, 1.1-3.3). When examining crude relationships between conventional risk factors and the PFAA-based risk score by subgroup analyses, the association was significant for most subpopulations, men [crude HR = 6.4 (2.0-20.2)] and women [crude HR = 4.9 (2.6-9.3)], and individuals with [crude HR = 4.7 (2.5-8.9)] and without [crude HR = 7.2 (2.7-18.9)] lifestyle-related diseases, but not for older (≥70 years) participants [crude HR = 3.3 (0.8-13.5)]. The risk score successfully identified at-risk individuals [HR = 2.1 (1.2-3.5)] from participants who were classified as low risk by a conventional CVD risk score. CONCLUSIONS: The PFAA-based risk score predicted CVD events independently of conventional risk factors.

Associations between Sleep-Disordered Breathing and Serum Uric Acid and Their Sex Differences: The Nagahama Study.

Sleep-disordered breathing (SDB) is often accompanied by noncommunicable diseases (NCDs), including gout. However, the association between serum uric acid (sUA) levels and NCDs is complicated in patients with SDB. We aimed to clarify this issue utilizing large-scale epidemiological data. This community-based study included 9850 inhabitants. SDB and its severity were assessed by a 3% oxygen desaturation index (3% ODI) corrected for sleep duration using wrist actigraphy. The associations between sUA and moderate to severe SDB (MS-SDB) and sUA and NCDs in patients with MS-SDB were analyzed. A total of 7895 subjects were eligible. In females, the prevalence of MS-SDB increased according to an elevation in sUA levels even after adjusting for confounders, and sUA ≥ 5 mg/dL was the threshold. These were not found in males. There was a positive interaction between sUA ≥ 5 mg/dL and female sex for MS-SDB. In females with MS-SDB, the prevalence of diabetes mellitus (DM) increased according to an elevation in sUA levels, and those with sUA ≥ 5 mg/dL showed a higher prevalence of DM than their counterparts. There is a clear correlation between sUA levels and the severity of SDB, and elevated sUA poses a risk for DM in females with MS-SDB.

Trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine response and immunogenicity assessment after one week and three months in repeatedly vaccinated adults.

BACKGROUND: The influenza vaccine administrated every year is a recommended infection control procedure for individuals above the age of six months. However, the effectiveness of repeated annual vaccination is still an active research topic. Therefore, we investigated the vaccine immunogenicity in two independent groups: previously vaccinated versus non-vaccinated individuals at three time points; prior vaccination, one week and three months post vaccination. The assessment enabled us to evaluate the elicited immune responses and the durability of the induced protection in both groups. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A research study was conducted to assess the immunogenicity of a single dose of Trivalent Inactivated Influenza Vaccine (A/H1N1, A/H3N2, and B) in 278 healthy adults aged between 32 and 66 years. Almost half of the participants, 140 (50·36%), received influenza vaccination at least once precursor to past influenza seasons. One blood sample was taken prior to vaccination for complete blood analysis and baseline immunogenicity assessment. The selected study participants received a single vaccine dose on the first day, and then followed up for three months. Two blood samples were taken after one week and three months post vaccination, respectively, for vaccine immunogenicity assessment. RESULTS: Before vaccination, the seroprotection, defined as a hemagglutination-inhibiting titer of =>1:40, was detected for the three vaccine virus strains in 20 previously vaccinated participants (14·29%) [8·95%, 21·2%]. We compared the overall vaccine response for the three virus strains using a normalized response score calculated from linearly transformed titer measurements; the score before vaccination was 84% higher in the previously vaccinated group and the mean difference between the two groups was statistically significant. Three months post-vaccination, we didn't find a significant difference in vaccine responses; the number of fully seroprotected individuals became 48 (34·29%) [26·48%, 42·77%] in the previously vaccinated group and 59 (42·75%) [34·37%, 51·45%] in the non-vaccinated group. The calculated response score was almost equal in both groups and the mean difference was no longer statistically significant. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that a single dose of influenza vaccine is equally protective after three months for annually vaccinated adults and first-time vaccine receivers.

Risk analyses of nocturia on incident poor sleep and vice versa: the Nagahama study.

Cross-sectional relationships between nocturia and sleep problems have been well evaluated but the risk association for each incidence is scarcely reported. This analysis included 8076 participants of the Nagahama study in Japan (median age 57, 31.0% male) and associations between nocturia and self-reported, sleep-related problems (poor sleep) were evaluated cross-sectionally. Causal effects on each new-onset case were analyzed longitudinally after 5 years. Three models were applied: univariable analysis, adjustment for basic variables (i.e., demographic and lifestyle variables) and full adjustment for basic and clinical variables. The overall prevalences of poor sleep and nocturia were 18.6% and 15.5%, while poor sleep was positively associated with nocturia (OR = 1.85, p < 0.001) and vice versa (OR = 1.90, p < 0.001). Among 6579 good sleep participants, 18.5% developed poor sleep. Baseline nocturia was positively associated with this incident poor sleep (OR = 1.49, p < 0.001, full adjustment). Among 6824 non-nocturia participants, the nocturia incidence was 11.3%. Baseline poor sleep was positively associated with this incident nocturia (OR = 1.26, p = 0.026); such associations were significant only in women (OR = 1.44, p = 0.004) and under-50-year-old groups (OR = 2.82, p < 0.001), after full adjustment. Nocturia and poor sleep associate with each other. Baseline nocturia can induce new-onset poor sleep while baseline poor sleep may induce new-onset nocturia only in women.

Sleep-related factors associated with masked hypertension: the Nagahama study.

OBJECTIVES: Masked hypertension, which is characterized by out-of-office hypertension but normal office blood pressure, is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease. However, the factors that contribute to masked hypertension are unclear. We aimed to determine the involvement of sleep-related characteristics in masked hypertension. METHODS: The study included 3844 normotensive (systolic/diastolic blood pressure < 140/90 mmHg) community residents with no antihypertensive drug use at baseline (mean age 54.3 years). Home morning and evening blood pressure, oxygen desaturation during sleep (pulse oximetry), and sleep efficiency (actigraphy) were measured for 1 week. The number of nocturnal urinations during this period was obtained using a sleep diary. RESULTS: Masked hypertension (mean morning and evening blood pressure ≥135/85 mmHg) was detected in 11.7% of study participants, and 79.0% of the participants with masked hypertension had sleep hypertension (≥120/70 mmHg). Multinominal logistic regression analysis identified different factors involved in masked hypertension with and without sleep hypertension; factors for masked hypertension with sleep hypertension included the frequency of at least 3% oxygen desaturation (coefficient = 0.038, P  = 0.001), nocturia (coefficient = 0.607, P  < 0.001), and carotid intima-media thickness (coefficient = 3.592, P  < 0.001). Only carotid intima-media thickness and measurement season were associated with masked hypertension without sleep hypertension. Low sleep efficiency was associated with isolated sleep hypertension but not masked hypertension. CONCLUSION: Sleep-related factors associated with masked hypertension differed depending on the presence of sleep hypertension. Sleep-disordered breathing and nocturnal urination frequency may help identify individuals who need home blood pressure monitoring.

Genomics of perivascular space burden unravels early mechanisms of cerebral small vessel disease.

Perivascular space (PVS) burden is an emerging, poorly understood, magnetic resonance imaging marker of cerebral small vessel disease, a leading cause of stroke and dementia. Genome-wide association studies in up to 40,095 participants (18 population-based cohorts, 66.3 ± 8.6 yr, 96.9% European ancestry) revealed 24 genome-wide significant PVS risk loci, mainly in the white matter. These were associated with white matter PVS already in young adults (N = 1,748; 22.1 ± 2.3 yr) and were enriched in early-onset leukodystrophy genes and genes expressed in fetal brain endothelial cells, suggesting early-life mechanisms. In total, 53% of white matter PVS risk loci showed nominally significant associations (27% after multiple-testing correction) in a Japanese population-based cohort (N = 2,862; 68.3 ± 5.3 yr). Mendelian randomization supported causal associations of high blood pressure with basal ganglia and hippocampal PVS, and of basal ganglia PVS and hippocampal PVS with stroke, accounting for blood pressure. Our findings provide insight into the biology of PVS and cerebral small vessel disease, pointing to pathways involving extracellular matrix, membrane transport and developmental processes, and the potential for genetically informed prioritization of drug targets.

Associations Among Tooth Loss, Periodontitis, and Carotid Intima-Media Thickness: the Nagahama Study.

AIMS: This study aimed to clarify the relationships among tooth loss, periodontal condition, and subclinical atherosclerosis from the aspect of intensity, extent, and duration of inflammation. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included 9,778 people from the Nagahama Study, a large-scale, general population-based study conducted in Japan. The number of teeth and periodontal status, including the attachment level (AL) and pocket depth (PD) of representative teeth from six regions, were evaluated by dentists. The maximum intima-media thickness (IMT) of the common carotid artery was used as an index of atherosclerosis. RESULTS: In the multivariate analysis adjusted for conventional risk factors, a large number of missing teeth (＜9 remaining teeth), which related to long-lasting inflammation indicative of the highest stage of periodontitis, was identified as an independent determinant of IMT in a general population (coefficient: 0.042; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.016 to 0.068). The presence of two or more regions with an AL ≥4 mm, which is indicative of the progressing, long-lasting stages of periodontal inflammation, was also independently associated with IMT (coefficient: 0.016; 95% CI: 0.004 to 0.028). On the contrary, PD, a measure of the early and reversible phases of periodontal inflammation, and loss of AL in the group without tooth loss were not significantly associated with IMT, because of the limited degree of accumulated periodontitis. CONCLUSION: The present results suggest that the association between periodontitis and atherosclerosis depends on the inflammation intensity, extent, and duration.

Sleep disordered breathing and haemoglobin A1c levels within or over normal range and ageing or sex differences: the Nagahama study.

Recently an association between blood glucose dysregulation and sleep disruption was suggested. The association between sleep disordered breathing, most of which is due to obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) in the general population, and diabetic severity, as well as the impact of antidiabetic treatment, remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate these associations as well as age and sex differences. This cross-sectional study evaluated 7,680 community participants as the main cohort (population-based cohort). OSA was assessed by the 3% oxygen desaturation index from pulse oximetry, which was corrected for sleep duration obtained by wrist actigraphy. For arguing the limitations for using pulse oximetry, 597 hospitalised patients, who were assessed by the apnea-hypopnea index from attended polysomnography, were also evaluated as the validation cohort (hospital-based cohort). Moderate-to-severe OSA was more prevalent as haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels increased (<5.6%/5.6%-<6.5%/6.5%-<7.5%/≥7.5%, respectively) in both cohorts (p < 0.001), but only in those without antidiabetic treatment. The HbA1c level was an independent factor for moderate-to-severe OSA (population-based cohort, odds ratio [OR] 1.26, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10-1.45; hospital-based cohort, OR 1.69, 95% CI 1.22-2.33, per 1% increase). These associations were more prominent in the middle-aged (aged <60 years) than in the elderly (aged ≥60 years) and in women than in men in both cohorts. The prevalence of moderate-to-severe OSA in patients with antidiabetic treatment in the hospital-based cohort was ≥75% regardless of HbA1c levels. In conclusion, an association between the prevalence of OSA and HbA1c level even within or over the normal range was found only in patients without antidiabetic treatment and was more prominent in the middle-aged and in women.

Skeletal muscle mass index is independently associated with all-cause mortality in men: The Nagahama study.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to determine if skeletal muscle mass is a predictor of all-cause mortality and if muscle mass plays a role in the association between body mass index (BMI) and all-cause mortality in community residents. METHODS: The study population consists of 3582 elderly (age ≥65 years) adults. The skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) was measured between 2013 and 2016. Men with SMI <7.0 kg/m2 and women with SMI <5.7 kg/m2 were considered to have low SMI. All-cause mortality was determined by reviewing residential registry records (follow-up duration: 2564 ± 373 days). RESULTS: The mortality rate of the low SMI group was significantly higher than that of the normal SMI group in men (191.3 vs. 93.0 per 10 000 person-years, P < 0.001), but not in women (P = 0.191). In Cox proportional hazard analysis adjusted for possible covariates, the group differences remained significant (hazard ratio = 1.82, P = 0.011). The results were similar when individuals who died within 1 year of follow-up were excluded from the analysis (P = 0.015). Cubic splines revealed that SMI <6.9 kg/m2 is a risk factor of all-cause mortality in men. BMI was found to be significantly associated with all-cause mortality in men (P = 0.010), but not in women (P = 0.288); however, the association disappeared after adjustment for SMI (P = 0.163). CONCLUSION: SMI <6.9 kg/m2 is a risk factor of all-cause mortality in men but not in women. SMI underlies the relationship between BMI and all-cause mortality. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2022; 22: 956-960.

Development and validation of prediction model for incident overactive bladder: The Nagahama study.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to develop models to predict new-onset overactive bladder in 5 years using a large prospective cohort of the general population. METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of a longitudinal cohort study in Japan. The baseline characteristics were measured between 2008 and 2010, with follow-ups every 5 years. We included subjects without overactive bladder at baseline and with follow-up data 5 years later. Overactive bladder was assessed using the overactive bladder symptom score. Baseline characteristics (demographics, health behaviors, comorbidities, and overactive bladder symptom scores) and blood test data were included as predictors. We developed two competing prediction models for each sex based on logistic regression with penalized likelihood (LASSO). We chose the best model separately for men and women after evaluating models' performance in terms of discrimination and calibration using an internal validation via 200 bootstrap resamples and a temporal validation. RESULTS: We analyzed 7218 participants (male: 2238, female: 4980). The median age was 60 and 55 years, and the number of new-onset overactive bladder was 223 (10.0%) and 288 (5.8%) per 5 years in males and females, respectively. The in-sample estimates for C-statistic, calibration intercept, and slope for the best performing models were 0.77 (95% confidence interval 0.74-0.80), 0.28 and 1.15 for males, and 0.77 (95% confidence interval 0.74-0.80), 0.20 and 1.08 for females. Internal and temporal validation gave broadly similar estimates of performance, indicating low optimism. CONCLUSION: We developed risk prediction models for new-onset overactive bladder among men and women with good predictive ability.

Differences between subjective and objective sleep duration according to actual sleep duration and sleep-disordered breathing: the Nagahama Study.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: Since subjective sleep duration (SSD) is considered to be longer than objective sleep duration (OSD), results of SSD minus OSD (SSD-OSD) might always be thought to be positive. Some recent reports showed different results, but exact results have not been obtained. The difference between SSD and OSD may change according to OSD. We investigated this difference and its association with sleep-disordered breathing (SDB) or nonrestorative sleep. METHODS: This cross-sectional study evaluated 6,908 community residents in Nagahama, Japan. SSD was determined by self-administered questionnaire. OSD was measured by wrist actigraphy and sleep diary. SDB was assessed according to the 3% oxygen desaturation index adjusted for OSD. RESULTS: Worthy of notice was that SSD was shorter than OSD for those with SSD longer than 6.98 hours in all participants, 7.36 hours in males, and 6.80 hours in females. However, SSD was longer than OSD (mean ± SD: 6.49 ± 1.07 vs 6.01 ± 0.96; P < .001) overall, as SSD is considered to be longer than OSD. In patients with SDB, the difference between SSD-OSD was greater when OSD was shorter. The difference also depended on SDB severity. The degree of positivity between OSD and SSD was a significant factor in nonrestorative sleep (odds ratio: 2.691; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: When OSD was slightly less than 7 (6.98) hours, participants reported or perceived SSD > OSD. When OSD was > 6.98 hours, participants reported or perceived SSD < OSD. Patients with SDB reported longer SSD than OSD according to severity of SDB. Evaluating SSD, OSD, and their differences may be useful for managing sleep disturbances, including nonrestorative sleep. CITATION: Takahashi N, Matsumoto T, Nakatsuka Y, et al. Differences between subjective and objective sleep duration according to actual sleep duration and sleep-disordered breathing: the Nagahama Study. J Clin Sleep Med. 2022;18(3):851-859.

Association of Sleep-disordered Breathing and Blood Pressure with Albuminuria: The Nagahama Study.

Rationale: Although sleep-disordered breathing (SDB) may increase urinary albumin excretion (UAE) by raising nocturnal blood pressure (BP) in addition to diurnal BP, the correlation has not been investigated in a general population. Objectives: To evaluate the relationships among UAE, SDB, and BP during sleep in a large population cohort. Methods: Among 9,850 community residents, UAE was assessed by the urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) in spot urine. Sleep duration and SDB were evaluated by a wearable actigraph and pulse oximeter, respectively. We calculated the actigraphy-modified 3% oxygen desaturation index (Acti-3%ODI) by correcting the time measured by pulse oximetry according to sleep duration obtained by actigraphy. Furthermore, participants were instructed to measure morning and sleep BP at home by a timer-equipped oscillometric device. Results: Measurements of sleep parameters, UAE, and office BP were obtained in 6,568 participants. The multivariate analysis that included confounders showed a significant association of Acti-3%ODI with UACR (ß = 0.06, P < 0.001). Furthermore, a positive interaction between office systolic BP (SBP) and Acti-3%ODI for UACR was found (ß = 0.06, P < 0.001). Among the 6,568 persons enrolled in the analysis, 5,313 completed measurements of BP at home. In this cohort, the association of Acti-3%ODI with UACR remained significant (ß = 0.06, P < 0.001) even after morning and sleep SBP were included in the analysis. Furthermore, a mediation analysis revealed that 28.3% (95% confidence interval, 14.9-41.7%; P < 0.001) of the association of Acti-3%ODI with UACR was explained by the mediation of morning and sleep SBP metrics. Conclusions: SDB and office SBP were independently and synergistically associated with UAE, which is considered a risk factor for chronic kidney disease and cardiovascular events. SDB may raise UAE not only by increasing BP but also by involving other pathologic pathways.

Association Between Tooth Loss and Longitudinal Changes in B-Type Natriuretic Peptide Over 5 Years in Postmenopausal Women: The Nagahama Study.

There is disparity between the sexes in cardiovascular diseases including heart failure (HF). This study aimed to investigate the effect of periodontal disease (PD) on plasma B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) concentration across sex, age, and menopausal status, as well as the interaction effect of PD and diabetes mellitus (DM) on BNP. This large-scale prospective cohort study enrolled 7539 individuals with no myocardial infarctions or angina pectoris at baseline from the general Japanese population. The association between baseline number of missing teeth (MT) and the longitudinal changes in BNP over 5 years (ΔBNP) was evaluated according to sex and menopausal status. Among 7539 participants, 3190 were postmenopausal women with a mean age ± standard deviation of 61.1 ± 7.6 at baseline. Multivariate analysis revealed a positive association between MT and ΔBNP among postmenopausal women even after adjusting for covariates, including traditional HF risk factors (coefficient, 0.210; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.107 to 0.312; P < 0.001), but not in men aged > 50. Including an interaction term (MT × DM) in the multivariate model revealed a positive interaction between MT and DM in ΔBNP among postmenopausal women (coefficient for interaction, 1.365; 95% CI, 0.902 to 1.827; P for interaction < 0.001). In conclusion, our study showed a positive association between MT and ΔBNP, as well as a positive effect of the interactive association between MT and DM, among postmenopausal women. Our results suggest a sex difference of an adverse effect of PD on initial myocardial wall stress in the ventricles.

The association between the Moyamoya disease susceptible gene RNF213 variant and incident cardiovascular disease in a general population: the Nagahama study.

OBJECTIVE: An association between the Moyamoya disease susceptible gene ring finger protein 213 (RNF213) variant and ischemic stroke and coronary artery disease has been suggested in case-control studies. We aimed to investigate the possible association between the RNF213 variant and the incidence of cardiovascular disease in a general population. METHODS: The study participants consisted of 9153 Japanese community residents without history of cardiovascular disease. The clinical parameters employed in this analysis were observed at baseline between 2008 and 2010. The RNF213 p.R4859K variant was determined by TaqMan probe assay and then confirmed by Sanger sequencing. RESULTS: During 8.52 years follow-up period, we observed 214 incident cases of cardiovascular diseases (99 total stroke cases, 119 major adverse cardiac event cases, including 4 cases of both). The incidence rate was higher for the variant allele carriers (120 cases; incidence rate, 71.0 per 10 000 person-years) than for the homozygotes of the wild-type allele (26.9), and the group differences achieved statistical significance (P = 0.009). Although the RNF213 variant was also associated with systolic blood pressure (dominant model: coefficient of 8.19 mmHg; P < 0.001), the Cox regression analysis adjusted for major covariates including systolic blood pressure identified the RNF213 variant as an independent determinant for cardiovascular disease (hazard ratio of 3.41, P = 0.002) and major adverse cardiac event (hazard ratio of 3.80, P = 0.010) but not with total stroke (P = 0.102). CONCLUSION: The Moyamoya disease susceptible RNF213 variant was associated with blood pressure and the incidence of cardiovascular disease in a Japanese general population.

Association between serum α1-antitrypsin levels and all-cause mortality in the general population: the Nagahama study.

Circulating levels of inflammatory proteins have to be prognostic markers of all-cause mortality. α1-Antitrypsin (AAT) is a major inflammatory plasma protein, but its association with all-cause mortality is unclear. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance of AAT levels for all-cause mortality. Study participants comprised 9682 community residents (53.5 ± 13.3 years old). During the 9.8-year follow-up period, 313 participants died from any cause. The mortality rate increased linearly with AAT quintiles (Q1, 18.2; Q2, 24.7; Q3, 23.8; Q4, 31.9; Q5, 64.6 per 10,000 person-years). There were significant correlations between AAT and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) levels (correlation coefficient, 0.331; P < 0.001). However, the Cox model analysis, when adjusted for possible covariates including hsCRP, identified the fifth AAT quintile as a risk factor for all-cause death (hazard ratio, 2.12 [95% confidence interval, 1.41-3.18]; P < 0.001). An analysis of participants older than 50 years (hazard ratio, 1.98, P < 0.001) yielded similar results. The hazard ratio increased proportionately in combination with high AAT and high hsCRP levels, and the highest hazard ratio reached 4.51 (95% confidence interval, 3.14-6.54, P < 0.001). High AAT levels were determined to be an independent risk factor for mortality in the general population.

Brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity and cardio-ankle vascular index are associated with future cardiovascular events in a general population: The Nagahama Study.

Faster pulse wave velocity (PWV) is known to be associated with the incidence of cardiovascular diseases (CVD). The aim of this study was to clarify the hypothesis that PWV may be associated with future CVD events even when its time-dependent changes were adjusted. We also investigated a prognostic significance of cardio-ankle vascular index, another index of arterial stiffness. Study participants included 8850 community residents. The repeated measures of the clinical parameters at 5.0 years after the baseline were available for 7249 of the participants. PWV was calculated using the arterial waveforms measured at the brachia and ankles (baPWV). The cardio-ankle vascular index was calculated by estimated pulse transit time from aortic valve to tibial artery. During the 8.53 years follow-up period, we observed 215 cases of CVD. The incidence rate increased linearly with baPWV quartiles (per 10 000 person-years: Q1, 2.7; Q2, 12.6; Q3, 22.5; Q4, 76.2), and the highest quartile was identified as an independent determinant of incident CVD by conventional Cox proportional hazard analysis adjusted for known risk factors [hazard ratio (HR), 4.00; p = .007]. Per unit HR of baPWV (HR, 1.15; p < .001) remained significant in the time-dependent Cox regression analysis including baPWV and other clinical values measured at 5-year after the baseline as time-varying variables (HR, 1.14; p < .001). The cardio-ankle vascular index was also associated with CVD with similar manner though the associations were less clear than that of baPWV. baPWV is a good risk marker for the incidence of CVD.

Protocol for development and validation of a prediction model for 5-year risk of incident overactive bladder in the general population: the Nagahama study.

BACKGROUND: An accurate prediction model could identify high-risk subjects of incident Overactive bladder (OAB) among the general population and enable early prevention which may save on the related medical costs. However, no efficient model has been developed for predicting incident OAB. In this study, we will develop a model for predicting the onset of OAB at 5-year in the general population setting. METHODS: Data will be obtained from the Nagahama Cohort Project, a longitudinal, general population cohort study. The baseline characteristics were measured between Nov 28, 2008 and Nov 28, 2010, and follow-up was performed every 5 years. From the total of 9,764 participants (male: 3,208, female: 6,556) at baseline, we will exclude participants who could not attend the follow-up assessment and those who were defined as having OAB at baseline. The outcome will be incident OAB defined using the Overactive Bladder Symptom Score (OABSS) at follow-up assessment. Baseline questionnaires (demographic, health behavior, comorbidities and OABSS) and blood test data will be included as predictors. We will develop a logistic regression model utilizing shrinkage methods (LASSO penalization method). Model performance will be evaluated by discrimination and calibration. Net benefit will be evaluated by decision curve analysis. We will perform an internal validation and a temporal validation of the model. We will develop a web-based application to visualize the prediction model and facilitate its use in clinical practice. DISCUSSION: This will be the first study to develop a model to predict the incidence of OAB.