Gene expression profiles in clinically T1-2N0 ER+HER2- breast cancer patients treated with breast-conserving therapy: their added value in case sentinel lymph node biopsy is not performed.

PURPOSE: Omitting sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) in breast cancer treatment results in patients with unknown positive nodal status and potential risk for systemic undertreatment. This study aimed to investigate whether gene expression profiles (GEPs) can lower this risk in cT1-2N0 ER+ HER2- breast cancer patients treated with BCT. METHODS: Patients were included if diagnosed between 2011 and 2017 with cT1-2N0 ER+ HER2- breast cancer, treated with BCT and SLNB, and in whom GEP was applied. Adjuvant chemotherapy recommendations based on clinical risk status (Dutch breast cancer guideline of 2020 versus PREDICT v2.1) with and without knowledge on SLNB outcome were compared to GEP outcome. We examined missing adjuvant chemotherapy indications, and the number of GEPs needed to identify one patient at risk for systemic undertreatment. RESULTS: Of 3585 patients, 2863 (79.9%) had pN0 and 722 (20.1%) pN + disease. Chemotherapy was recommended in 1354 (37.8% guideline-2020) and 1888 patients (52.7% PREDICT). Eliminating SLNB outcome (n = 722) resulted in omission of chemotherapy recommendation in 475 (35.1% guideline-2020) and 412 patients (21.8% PREDICT). GEP revealed genomic high risk in 126 (26.5% guideline-2020) and 82 patients (19.9% PREDICT) in case of omitted chemotherapy recommendation in the absence of SLNB. Extrapolated to the whole group, this concerns 3.5% and 2.3%, respectively, resulting in the need for 28-44 GEPs to identify one patient at risk for systemic undertreatment. CONCLUSION: If no SLNB is performed, clinical risk status according to the guideline of 2020 and PREDICT predicts a very low risk for systemic undertreatment. The number of GEPs needed to identify one patient at risk for undertreatment does not justify its standard use.

Quality assurance of radiation therapy after breast-conserving surgery among patients in the BOOG 2013-08 trial.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: In the BOOG 2013-08 trial (NCT02271828), cT1-2N0 breast cancer patients were randomized between breast conserving surgery with or without sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) followed by whole breast radiotherapy (WBRT). While awaiting primary endpoint results (axillary recurrence rate), this study aims to perform a quality assurance analysis on protocol adherence and (incidental) axillary radiation therapy (RT) dose. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients were enrolled between 2015 and 2022. Data on prescribed RT and (in 25% of included patients) planning target volumes (PTV) parameters were recorded for axillary levels I-IV and compared between treatment arms. Multivariable linear regression analysis was performed to determine prognostic variables for incidental axillary RT dose. RESULTS: 1,439/1,461 included patients (98.5%) were treated according to protocol and 87 patients (5.9%) received regional RT (SLNB 10.9%, no-SLNB 1.5 %). In 326 patients included in the subgroup analysis, the mean incidental PTV dose at axilla level I was 59.5% of the prescribed breast RT dose. In 5 patients (1.5%) the mean PTV dose at level I was ≥95% of the prescribed breast dose. No statistically or clinically significant differences regarding incidental axillary RT dose were found between treatment arms. Tumour bed boost (yes/no) was associated with a higher incidental mean dose in level I (R2 = 0.035, F(6, 263) = 1.532, p 0.168). CONCLUSION: The results indicate that RT-protocol adherence was high, and that incidental axillary RT dose was low in the BOOG 2013-08 trial. Potential differences between treatmentarms regarding the primary endpoint can thus not be attributed to different axillary radiation doses.

The QUILT study: quilting sutures in patients undergoing breast cancer surgery: a stepped wedge cluster randomized trial study.

BACKGROUND: Seroma is the most common complication following breast cancer surgery, with reported incidence up to 90%. Seroma causes patient discomfort, is associated with surgical site infections (SSI), often requires treatment and increases healthcare consumption. The quilting suture technique, in which the skin flaps are sutured to the pectoralis muscle, leads to a significant reduction of seroma with a decrease in the number of aspirations and surgical site infections. However, implementation is lagging due to unknown side effects, increase in operation time and cost effectiveness. Main objective of this study is to assess the impact of large scale implementation of the quilting suture technique in patients undergoing mastectomy and/or axillary lymph node dissection (ALND). METHODS: The QUILT study is a stepped wedge design study performed among nine teaching hospitals in the Netherlands. The study consists of nine steps, with each step one hospital will implement the quilting suture technique. Allocation of the order of implementation will be randomization-based. Primary outcome is 'textbook outcome', i.e.no wound complications, no re-admission, re-operation or unscheduled visit to the outpatient clinic and no increased use of postoperative analgesics. A total of 113 patients is required based on a sample size calculation. Secondary outcomes are shoulder function, cosmetic outcome, satisfaction with thoracic wall and health care consumption. Follow-up lasts for 6 months. DISCUSSION: This will be one of the first multicentre prospective studies in which quilting without postoperative wound drain is compared with conventional wound closure. We hypothesize that quilting is a simple technique to increase textbook outcome, enhance patient comfort and reduce health care consumption.

Relations between recurrence risk perceptions and fear of cancer recurrence in breast cancer survivors.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to: (1) determine the accuracy of Dutch breast cancer survivors' estimations of the locoregional recurrence risk (LRR); (2) examine which variables influence (the accuracy of) risk estimations, and risk appraisals; and (3) investigate the influence of the objective LRR risk (estimated using the INFLUENCE-nomogram), risk estimations and risk appraisals on fear of cancer recurrence (FCR). Findings of this study will inform clinicians on risk communication and can improve communication about FCR. METHODS: In a cross-sectional survey among 258 breast cancer survivors, women's recurrence risk estimations (in odds) and risk appraisals (in high/low), FCR, demographics and illness perceptions, about one year after surgery were measured and compared to the objective risk for LRRs estimated using the INFLUENCE-nomogram. RESULTS: Half of the women (54%) accurately estimated their LRR risk, 34% underestimated and 13% overestimated their risk. Risk estimations and risk appraisals were only moderately positively correlated (r = 0.58). Higher risk appraisals were associated with radiotherapy (r = 0.18) and having weaker cure beliefs (r = - 0.19). Younger age was associated with overestimation of risk (r = - 0.23). Recurrence risk estimations and risk appraisals were associated with more FCR (r = 0.29, r = 0.39). In regression, only risk appraisal contributed significantly to FCR. CONCLUSION: Although women were fairly accurate in recurrence risk estimations, it remains difficult to predict over- or underestimation. Recurrence risk estimations and risk appraisal are two different concepts which are both associated with FCR and should therefore be addressed in patient-provider communication.

The Quest for Outpatient Mastectomy in COVID-19 Era: Barriers and Facilitators.

Background: The rate of inpatient mastectomies remains high despite multiple studies reporting favourably on outpatient mastectomies. Outpatient mastectomies do not compromise quality of patient care and are more efficient than inpatient care. The objective of this study was to evaluate the feasibility of outpatient mastectomy. Materials and Methods: Implementation of an outpatient mastectomy program was evaluated in a retrospective study. All patients who underwent mastectomy between January 2019 and September 2021 were included. Results: 213 patients were enrolled in the study: 62.4% (n = 133) outpatient mastectomies versus 37.6% (n = 80) inpatient mastectomies. A steady rise in outpatient mastectomies was observed over time. The second quarter of 2020, coinciding with the first COVID-19 wave, showed a peak in outpatient mastectomies. The only significant barrier to outpatient mastectomy proved to be bilateral mastectomy. Unplanned return to care was observed in 27.8% of the outpatient versus 36.3% of the inpatient mastectomies (P=0.198); the reason for unplanned return of care was similar in both groups. Conclusions: Outpatient mastectomy is shown to be feasible and safe with a steady increase during the study period. A barrier to outpatient mastectomy was bilateral mastectomy. Incidence of unplanned return to care or complications did not differ significantly between the outpatient and inpatient cohorts.

Adjustment disorder in cancer patients after treatment: prevalence and acceptance of psychological treatment.

PURPOSE: To investigate the prevalence of adjustment disorder (AD) among cancer patients and the acceptance of psychological treatment, in relation to sociodemographic, clinical, and psychological factors. METHODS: Breast, prostate, and head and neck cancer patients of all stages and treatment modalities (N = 200) participated in this observational study. Patients completed the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale, Checklist Individual Strength, Distress Thermometer and problem list. Patients with increased risk on AD based on these questionnaires were scheduled for a diagnostic interview. Patients diagnosed with AD were invited to participate in a randomized controlled trial on the cost-effectiveness of psychological treatment. Participation in this trial was used as a proxy of acceptance of psychological treatment. Logistic regression analyses were used to investigate associated factors. RESULTS: The overall prevalence of AD was estimated at 13.1%. Sensitivity analyses showed prevalence rates of AD of 11.5%, 15.0%, and 23.5%. Acceptance of psychological treatment was estimated at 65%. AD was associated both with being employed (OR = 3.3, CI = 1.3-8.4) and having a shorter time since diagnosis (OR = 0.3, CI = 0.1-0.8). CONCLUSION: Taking sensitivity analysis into account, the prevalence of AD among cancer patients is estimated at 13 to 15%, and is related to being employed and having a shorter time since diagnosis. The majority of cancer patients with AD accept psychological treatment.

Conditional local recurrence risk: the effect of event-free years in different subtypes of breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: After breast cancer treatment, follow-up consists of physical examination and mammography for at least 5 years, to detect local and regional recurrence. The risk of recurrence may decrease after event-free time. This study aims to determine the risk of local recurrence (LR) as a first event until 5 years after diagnosis, conditional on being event-free for 1, 2, 3 and 4 years. METHODS: From the Netherlands Cancer Registry, all M0 breast cancers diagnosed between 2005 and 2008 were included. LR risk was calculated with Kaplan-Meier analysis, overall and for different subtypes. Conditional LR (assuming x event-free years) was determined by selecting event-free patients at x years, and calculating their LR risk within 5 years after diagnosis. RESULTS: Five-year follow-up was available for 34,453 patients. Overall, five-year LR as a first event occurred in 3.0%. This risk varied for different subtypes and was highest for triple negative (6.8%) and lowest for ER+PR+Her2- (2.2%) tumors. After 1, 2, 3 and 4 event-free years, the average risk of LR before 5 years after diagnosis decreased from 3.0 to 2.4, 1.6, 1.0, and 0.6%. The risk decreased in all subtypes, the effect was most pronounced in subtypes with the highest baseline risk (ER-Her2+ and triple negative breast cancer). After three event-free years, LR risk in the next 2 years was 1% or less in all subtypes except triple negative (1.6%). CONCLUSION: The risk of 5-year LR as a first event was low and decreased with the number of event-free years. After three event-free years, the overall risk was 1%. This is reassuring to patients and also suggests that follow-up beyond 3 years may produce low yield of LR, both for individual patients and studies using LR as primary outcome. This can be used as a starting point to tailor follow-up to individual needs.

Trends in delayed breast cancer diagnosis after recall at screening mammography.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the extent and characteristics of delay in breast cancer diagnosis in women recalled at screening mammography. METHODS: We included a consecutive series of 817,656 screens of women who received biennial screening mammography in a Dutch breast cancer screening region between 1997 and 2016. During at least 3.5 years follow-up, radiological reports and biopsy reports were collected of all recalled women. The inclusion period was divided into four cohorts of four years each. We determined the number of screen-detected cancers and their characteristics, and assessed the proportion of recalled women who experienced a diagnostic delay of at least 4 months in breast cancer confirmation. RESULTS: The proportion of recalled women who experienced diagnostic delay decreased from 7.5 % in 1997-2001 (47/623) to 3.0 % in 2012-2016 (67/2223, P < 0.001). The proportion of women with a delay of at least two years increased from 27.7 % (13/47) in 1997-2001 to 75.7 % (53/70) in 2012-2016 (P < 0.001). Cancers with a diagnostic delay > 2 years were more frequently invasive (P = 0.009) than cancers with a diagnostic delay of 4-24 months. The most frequent cause of diagnostic delays was incorrect radiological classifications by clinical radiologists (55.2 % overall) after recall. CONCLUSIONS: The proportion of recalled women with a delayed breast cancer diagnosis has more than halved during two decades of screening mammography. Delays in breast cancer diagnosis are characterized by longer delay intervals, although the proportion of these delays among all screen-detected cancers has not increased. Preventing longer delays in breast cancer confirmation may help improve breast cancer survival.

Trends in pre-operative needle biopsy use in invasive breast cancer diagnosis: a Dutch nationwide population study.

INTRODUCTION: In recent decades, the use of pre-operative needle biopsy for breast cancer diagnosis has shifted. There is also an increased demand for availability of predictive factors. This study aims to quantify these changes. MATERIAL AND METHODS: From the Dutch nationwide pathology database (PALGA), all reports on breast cancer for five periods of 3 months between 1996 and 2016 were retrieved. Reports were categorised using automatic recognition of keywords. Classification was checked manually for the first 200 reports per period. The first 100 resected cases in each period underwent detailed investigation. RESULTS: For automatic analysis 34,639 reports were retrieved. Accuracy was 98% compared to manual assessment. Fine needle aspiration cytology (FNAC) decreased from 77% (1996) to 58% (2001), 34% (2006), 25% (2011), and 17% (2016). For detailed assessment, 498 cases were analysed. Diagnostic surgical excision decreased from 24% in 1996 to 3% in 2016, cases with only cytology from 65% to 1%, respectively. Cytology and core needle biopsy (CNB) were combined in 21% of cases in 2016. Pre-operative availability of ER status increased from 3% in 1996 to 36% in 2006 and 78% in 2016 (as compared to 47%, 92%, and 97% for post-operative availability, respectively) and for HER2 status from 0% to 13% and 66% (as compared to 1%, 89%, and 96% for post-operative availability, respectively). CONCLUSION: Results suggest that nationwide, clinics prioritise reliability and availability of ER and HER2 status, replacing FNAC by CNB. However, for optimal treatment planning for all patients, availability of pre-operative receptor status warrants further improvement.

Minimally invasive breast cancer excision using the breast lesion excision system under ultrasound guidance.

PURPOSE: To assess the feasibility of completely excising small breast cancers using the automated, image-guided, single-pass radiofrequency-based breast lesion excision system (BLES) under ultrasound (US) guidance. METHODS: From February 2018 to July 2019, 22 patients diagnosed with invasive carcinomas ≤ 15 mm at US and mammography were enrolled in this prospective, multi-center, ethics board-approved study. Patients underwent breast MRI to verify lesion size. BLES-based excision and surgery were performed during the same procedure. Histopathology findings from the BLES procedure and surgery were compared, and total excision findings were assessed. RESULTS: Of the 22 patients, ten were excluded due to the lesion being > 15 mm and/or being multifocal at MRI, and one due to scheduling issues. The remaining 11 patients underwent BLES excision. Mean diameter of excised lesions at MRI was 11.8 mm (range 8.0-13.9 mm). BLES revealed ten (90.9%) invasive carcinomas of no special type, and one (9.1%) invasive lobular carcinoma. Histopathological results were identical for the needle biopsy, BLES, and surgical specimens for all lesions. None of the BLES excisions were adequate. Margins were usually compromised on both sides of the specimen, indicating that the excised volume was too small. Margin assessment was good for all BLES specimens. One technical complication occurred (retrieval of an empty BLES basket, specimen retrieved during subsequent surgery). CONCLUSIONS: BLES allows accurate diagnosis of small invasive breast carcinomas. However, BLES cannot be considered as a therapeutic device for small invasive breast carcinomas due to not achieving adequate excision.

Reliability of MRI tumor size measurements for minimal invasive treatment selection in small breast cancers.

INTRODUCTION: Due to the shift towards minimal invasive treatment, accurate tumor size estimation is essential for small breast cancers. The purpose of this study was to determine the reliability of MRI-based tumor size measurements with respect to clinical, histological and radiomics characteristics in small invasive or in situ carcinomas of the breast to select patients for minimal invasive therapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All consecutive cases of cT1 invasive breast carcinomas that underwent pre-operative MRI, treated in two hospitals between 2005 and 2016, were identified retrospectively from the Dutch cancer registry and cross-correlated with local databases. Concordance between MRI-based measurements and final pathological size was analyzed. The influence of clinical, histological and radiomics characteristics on the accuracy of MRI size measurements were analyzed. RESULTS: Analysis included 343 cT1 breast carcinomas in 336 patients (mean age, 55 years; range, 25-81 years). Overall correlation of MRI measurements with pathology was moderately strong (ρ = 0.530, P < 0.001), in 42 cases (12.2%) MRI underestimated the size with more than 5 mm. Underestimation occurs more often in grade 2 and grade 3 disease than in low grade invasive cancers. In DCIS the frequency of underestimation is higher than in invasive breast cancer. Unfortunately, none of the patient, imaging or biopsy characteristics appeared predictive for underestimation. CONCLUSION: Size measurements of small breast cancers on breast MRI are within 5 mm of pathological size in 88% of patients. Nevertheless, underestimation cannot be adequately predicted, particularly for grade 2 and grade 3 tumors, which may hinder patient selection for minimal invasive therapy.

Better survival after surgery of the primary tumor in stage IV inflammatory breast cancer.

INTRODUCTION: Information regarding the effects of resection of the primary tumor in stage IV inflammatory breast cancer (IBC) is scarce. We analyzed the impact of resection of the primary tumor on overall survival (OS) in a large stage IV IBC population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients diagnosed with stage IV IBC between 2005 and 2016 were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry, excluding patients without any treatment. To correct for immortal time bias, we performed a landmark analysis including patients alive at least six months after diagnosis. With propensity score matching, patients undergoing surgery of the primary tumor were matched to patients not receiving surgery. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard analyses were performed to determine the association between treatment strategy and OS in the non-matched and matched cohort. RESULTS: Of the 580 included patients after landmark analysis, 441 patients (76%) received only non-surgical treatments and 139 (24%) underwent surgery (96% mastectomy). Median follow-up was 28.8 and 20.0 months in the surgery and no surgery group, respectively. Surgery in the non-matched cohort was independently associated with better survival (HR0.56[95%CI:0.42-0.75]). In the matched cohort (n = 202), surgically treated patients had improved survival over nonsurgically treated patients (p < 0.005). Multivariable analysis of the matched cohort revealed that surgery was still associated with better survival (HR0.62[95%CI:0.44-0.87]). CONCLUSION: Although residual confounding and confounding by severity cannot be ruled out, this study suggests that surgery of the primary tumor is associated with improved OS and should be considered as part of the treatment strategy in stage IV IBC.

Metastatic behavior and overall survival according to breast cancer subtypes in stage IV inflammatory breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Distant metastatic disease is frequently observed in inflammatory breast cancer (IBC), with a poor prognosis as a consequence. The aim of this study was to analyze the association of hormone receptor (HR) and human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER2) based breast cancer subtypes in stage IV inflammatory breast cancer (IBC) with preferential site of distant metastases and overall survival (OS). METHODS: For patients with stage IV IBC, diagnosed in the Netherlands between 2005 and 2016, tumors were classified into four breast cancer subtypes: HR+/HER2-, HR+/HER2+, HR-/HER2+, and HR-/HER2-. Patient, tumor, and treatment characteristics and sites of metastases were compared. OS of the subtypes was compared using Kaplan-Meier curves and the log-rank test. Association between subtype and OS was assessed in multivariable models using logistic regression. RESULTS: In total, 744 eligible patients were included: 340 (45.7%) tumors were HR+/HER2-, 148 (19.9%) HR-/HER2+, 131 (17.6%) HR+/HER2+, and 125 (16.8%) HR-/HER2-. Bone was the most common metastatic site in all subtypes. A significant predominance of bone metastases was found in HR+/HER2- IBC (71.5%), and liver and lung metastases in the HR-/HER2+ (41.2%) and HR-/HER2- (40.8%) subtypes, respectively. In multivariable analysis, the HR-/HER2- subtype was associated with significantly worse OS as compared to the other subtypes. CONCLUSION: Breast cancer subtypes in stage IV IBC are associated with distinct patterns of metastatic spread and display notable differences in OS. The use of breast cancer subtypes can guide a more patient-tailored staging directed to metastatic site and extend of disease.

Omitting Postoperative Wound Drainage After Mastectomy With Skin-Flap Quilting.

BACKGROUND: Seroma is the most frequent complication after mastectomy (ME) and axillary lymph node dissection (ALND). The quilting suture technique, in which skin flaps are sutured to the underlying muscle, was previously investigated and found to reduce seroma incidence after ME and ALND. This study aimed to investigate whether postoperative wound drainage can safely be omitted when quilting sutures are applied. METHODS: Two groups with a total of 251 consecutive patients who underwent ME, ALND, or both were retrospectively compared. The first group underwent quilting sutures with wound vacuum drainage, and the second group underwent quilting sutures without wound drainage. The primary outcome was the incidence of postoperative clinically significant seroma (CSS). The secondary outcomes were the incidence of postoperative infection, bleeding complications, wound dehiscence, and flap necrosis. RESULTS: The group without a postoperative drain (n = 166) had a significantly lower CSS incidence (8.4%) than the group with a postoperative drain (n = 85, 21.2%) (p < 0.05). In the multivariate analysis, no significant predictors were found for seroma formation. Wound complications significantly decreased, from 31.8% in the group with a drain group to 17.5% in the group without a drain (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: This study showed that the postoperative drain can be omitted when quilting sutures are applied in ME, ALND, or both. This facilitates day care mastectomy, eliminating drain-related care, discomfort, and related expenses.

Nationwide population-based study of trends and regional variation in breast-conserving treatment for breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Landmark trials have shown breast-conserving surgery (BCS) combined with radiotherapy to be as safe as mastectomy in breast cancer treatment. This population-based study aimed to evaluate trends in BCS from 1989 to 2015 in nine geographical regions in the Netherlands. METHODS: All women diagnosed between 1989 and 2015 with primary T1-2 N0-1 breast cancer, treated with BCS or mastectomy, were identified from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Crude and case mix-adjusted rates of BCS were evaluated and compared between nine Dutch regions for two time intervals: 1989-2002 and 2003-2015. The annual percentage change in BCS per region over time was assessed by means of Joinpoint regression analyses. Explanatory variables associated with the choice of initial surgery were evaluated using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 202 934 patients were included, 82 200 treated in 1989-2002 and 120 734 in 2003-2015. During 1989-2002, the mean rate of BCS was 50·6 per cent, varying significantly from 39·0 to 71·7 per cent between the nine regions. For most regions, a marked rise in BCS was observed between 2002 and 2003. During 2003-2015, the mean rate of BCS increased to 67·4 per cent, but still varied significantly between regions from 58·5 to 75·5 per cent. A significant variation remained after case-mix correction. CONCLUSION: This large nationwide study showed that the use of BCS increased from 1989 to 2015 in the Netherlands. After adjustment for explanatory variables, a large variation still existed between the nine regions. This regional variation underlines the need for implementation of a uniform treatment and decision-making strategy.

Validation of the online prediction tool PREDICT v. 2.0 in the Dutch breast cancer population.

BACKGROUND: PREDICT version 2.0 is increasingly used to estimate prognosis in breast cancer. This study aimed to validate this tool in specific prognostic subgroups in the Netherlands. METHODS: All operated women with non-metastatic primary invasive breast cancer, diagnosed in 2005, were selected from the nationwide Netherlands Cancer Registry (NCR). Predicted and observed 5- and 10-year overall survival (OS) were compared for the overall cohort, separated by oestrogen receptor (ER) status, and predefined subgroups. A >5% difference was considered as clinically relevant. Discriminatory accuracy and goodness-of-fit were determined using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the Chi-squared-test. RESULTS: We included 8834 patients. Discriminatory accuracy for 5-year OS was good (AUC 0.80). For ER-positive and ER-negative patients, AUCs were 0.79 and 0.75, respectively. Predicted 5-year OS differed from observed by -1.4% in the entire cohort, -0.7% in ER-positive and -4.9% in ER-negative patients. Five-year OS was accurately predicted in all subgroups. Discriminatory accuracy for 10-year OS was good (AUC 0.78). For ER-positive and ER-negative patients AUCs were 0.78 and 0.76, respectively. Predicted 10-year OS differed from observed by -1.0% in the entire cohort, -0.1% in ER-positive and -5.3 in ER-negative patients. Ten-year OS was overestimated (6.3%) in patients ≥75 years and underestimated (-13.%) in T3 tumours and patients treated with both endocrine therapy and chemotherapy (-6.6%). CONCLUSIONS: PREDICT predicts OS reliably in most Dutch breast cancer patients, although results for both 5-year and 10-year OS should be interpreted carefully in ER-negative patients. Furthermore, 10-year OS should be interpreted cautiously in patients ≥75 years, T3 tumours and in patients considering endocrine therapy and chemotherapy.

Performance characteristics of specimen radiography for margin assessment for ductal carcinoma in situ: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Reducing positive margin rate (PMR) and reoperation rate in breast-conserving operations remains a challenge, mainly regarding ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS). Intra-operative margin assessment tools have emerged to reduce PMR over the last decades, including specimen radiography (SR). No consensus has been reached on the reliability and efficacy of SR in DCIS. OBJECTIVE: We performed a systematic literature review to assess the performance characteristics of SR for margin assessment of breast lesions with pure DCIS and invasive cancers with DCIS components. METHODS: A literature search was conducted for diagnostic studies up to April 2017 concerning SR for intra-operative margin assessment of breast lesions with pure DCIS or with DCIS components. Studies reporting sensitivity and specificity calculated using final pathology report as reference test were included. Due to improved imaging technology, studies published more than 15 years ago were excluded. Methodological quality was assessed using quality assessment of diagnostic accuracy studies-2 checklist. Due to clinical and methodological diversity, meta-analysis was considered not useful. RESULTS: Of 235 citations identified, 9 met predefined inclusion criteria and documented diagnostic efficacy data. Sensitivity ranged from 22 to 77% and specificity ranged from 51 to 100%. Positive predictive value and negative predictive value ranged from 53 to 100% and 32 to 95%, respectively. High or unclear risk of bias was found in reference standard in 5 of 9 studies. High concerns regarding applicability of index test were found in 6 of 9 studies. CONCLUSIONS: The present results do not support the routine use of intra-operative specimen radiography to reduce the rate of positive margins in patients undergoing breast-conserving surgery for pure DCIS or the DCIS component in invasive cancer. Future studies need to differentiate between initial and final specimen margin involvement. This could provide surgeons with a number needed to treat for a more applicable outcome.

Clinically node negative breast cancer patients undergoing breast conserving therapy, sentinel lymph node procedure versus follow-up: a Dutch randomized controlled multicentre trial (BOOG 2013-08).

BACKGROUND: Studies showed that axillary lymph node dissection can be safely omitted in presence of positive sentinel lymph node(s) in breast cancer patients treated with breast conserving therapy. Since the outcome of the sentinel lymph node biopsy has no clinical consequence, the value of the procedure itself is being questioned. The aim of the BOOG 2013-08 trial is to investigate whether the sentinel lymph node biopsy can be safely omitted in clinically node negative breast cancer patients treated with breast conserving therapy. METHODS: The BOOG 2013-08 is a Dutch prospective non-inferiority randomized multicentre trial. Women with pathologically confirmed clinically node negative T1-2 invasive breast cancer undergoing breast conserving therapy will be randomized for sentinel lymph node biopsy versus no sentinel lymph node biopsy. Endpoints include regional recurrence after 5 (primary endpoint) and 10 years of follow-up, distant-disease free and overall survival, quality of life, morbidity and cost-effectiveness. Previous data indicate a 5-year regional recurrence free survival rate of 99% for the control arm and 96% for the study arm. In combination with a non-inferiority limit of 5% and probability of 0.8, this result in a sample size of 1.644 patients including a lost to follow-up rate of 10%. Primary and secondary endpoints will be reported after 5 and 10 years of follow-up. DISCUSSION: If the sentinel lymph node biopsy can be safely omitted in clinically node negative breast cancer patients undergoing breast conserving therapy, this study will cost-effectively lead to a decreased axillary morbidity rate and thereby improved quality of life with non-inferior regional control, distant-disease free survival and overall survival. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The BOOG 2013-08 study is registered in ClinicalTrials.gov since October 20, 2014, Identifier: NCT02271828. https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02271828.

Patterns and predictors of first and subsequent recurrence in women with early breast cancer.

PURPOSE: Little is known about the occurrence, timing and prognostic factors for first and also subsequent local (LR), regional (RR) or distant (DM) breast cancer recurrence. As current follow-up is still consensus-based, more information on the patterns and predictors of subsequent recurrences can inform more personalized follow-up decisions. METHODS: Women diagnosed with stage I-III invasive breast cancer who were treated with curative intent were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry (N = 9342). Extended Cox regression was used to model the hazard of recurrence over ten years of follow-up for not only site-specific first, but also subsequent recurrences after LR or RR. RESULTS: In total, 362 patients had LR, 148 RR and 1343 DM as first recurrence. The risk of first recurrence was highest during the second year post-diagnosis (3.9%; 95% CI 3.5-4.3) with similar patterns for LR, RR and DM. Young age (<40), tumour size >2 cm, tumour grade II/III, positive lymph nodes, multifocality and no chemotherapy were prognostic factors for first recurrence. The risk of developing a second recurrence after LR or RR (N = 176) was significantly higher after RR than after LR (50 vs 29%; p < 0.001). After a second LR or RR, more than half of the women were diagnosed with a third recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: Although the risk of subsequent recurrence is high, absolute incidence remains low. Also, almost half the second recurrences are detected in the first year after previous recurrence and more than 80% are DM. This suggests that more intensive follow-up for early detection subsequent recurrence is not likely to be (cost-)effective.