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1.
Vaccine ; 42(26): 126256, 2024 Sep 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39260053

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Although numerous studies support the safety of influenza vaccination during pregnancy, fewer studies have evaluated the risk of miscarriage or considered the effect of prior immunization. METHODS: Using national de-identified administrative claims data from the Optum Labs Data Warehouse, we conducted a claims-based cohort study of 117,626 pregnancies between January 2009 and December 2018. We identified pandemic A(H1N1)pdm09 and seasonal influenza vaccinations using CPT codes. Fetal loss was defined as miscarriage, medical termination, or stillbirth as identified by ICD-10-CM diagnostic codes. Cox proportional hazard models treating influenza vaccination as a time-varying exposure, weighted for loss-to-follow-up and stratified by baseline probability of vaccination, were used to model the risk of fetal loss by exposure to influenza vaccine. RESULTS: About 31.4 % of the cohort had a record of influenza vaccination; 10.0 % were vaccinated before pregnancy only, 17.8 % during pregnancy only, and 3.6 % before and during pregnancy. The risk of miscarriage was 39 % lower among those vaccinated during pregnancy compared to unvaccinated (adjusted hazard ratio, aHR 0.61; 95 % CI 0.50, 0.74) and was similar for medical termination or stillbirth (HR 0.69; 95 % CI 0.45, 1.03 and aHR 0.99; 95 % CI 0.76, 1.30, respectively). Similar results were observed for women who received the vaccine before and during pregnancy. We observed little to no association between vaccination before pregnancy and risk of miscarriage (HR 0.98; 95 % CI 0.76, 1.26), medical termination (HR 1.02; 95 % CI 0.46, 2.24), or stillbirth (HR 1.14, 95 % CI 0.77, 1.69). DISCUSSION: Influenza vaccination was not associated with an increased risk of fetal loss. These results support the safety of influenza vaccine administration even when administered before or early during pregnancy.

2.
BMC Med ; 22(1): 384, 2024 Sep 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39267060

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Extending the dosing interval of a primary series of mRNA COVID-19 vaccination has been employed to reduce myocarditis risk in adolescents, but previous evaluation of impact on vaccine effectiveness (VE) is limited to risk after second dose. METHODS: We quantified the impact of the dosing interval based on case notifications and vaccination uptake in Hong Kong from January to April 2022, based on calendar-time proportional hazards models and matching approaches. RESULTS: We estimated that the hazard ratio (HR) and odds ratio (OR) of infections after the second dose for extended (28 days or more) versus regular (21-27 days) dosing intervals ranged from 0.86 to 0.99 from calendar-time proportional hazards models, and from 0.85 to 0.87 from matching approaches, respectively. Adolescents in the extended dosing groups (including those who did not receive a second dose in the study period) had a higher hazard of infection than those with a regular dosing interval during the intra-dose period (HR 1.66; 95% CI 1.07, 2.59; p = 0.02) after the first dose. CONCLUSIONS: Implementing an extended dosing interval should consider multiple factors including the degree of myocarditis risk, the degree of protection afforded by each dose, and the extra protection achievable using an extended dosing interval.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Eficacia de las Vacunas , Humanos , Adolescente , Masculino , COVID-19/prevención & control , COVID-19/epidemiología , Femenino , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/administración & dosificación , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/inmunología , Hong Kong/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2/inmunología , Esquemas de Inmunización , Miocarditis/prevención & control , Miocarditis/epidemiología , Niño , Vacunas de ARNm , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Vacunación/métodos
3.
medRxiv ; 2024 Jul 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39040163

RESUMEN

Vaccination against COVID-19 has been pivotal in reducing the global burden of the disease. However, Phase III trial results and observational studies underscore differences in efficacy across vaccine technologies and dosing regimens. Notably, mRNA vaccines have exhibited superior effectiveness compared to Adenovirus (AdV) vaccines, especially with extended dosing intervals. Using in-host mechanistic modelling, this study elucidates these variations and unravels the biological mechanisms shaping the immune responses at the cellular level. We used data on the change in memory B cells, plasmablasts, and antibody titres after the second dose of a COVID-19 vaccine for Australian healthcare workers. Alongside this dataset, we constructed a kinetic model of humoral immunity which jointly captured the dynamics of multiple immune markers, and integrated hierarchical effects into this kinetics model, including age, dosing schedule, and vaccine type. Our analysis estimated that mRNA vaccines induced 2.1 times higher memory B cell proliferation than AdV vaccines after adjusting for age, interval between doses and priming dose. Additionally, extending the duration between the second vaccine dose and priming dose beyond 28 days boosted neutralising antibody production per plasmablast concentration by 30%. We also found that antibody responses after the second dose were more persistent when mRNA vaccines were used over AdV vaccines and for longer dosing regimens. Reconstructing in-host kinetics in response to vaccination could help optimise vaccine dosing regimens, improve vaccine efficacy in different population groups, and inform the design of future vaccines for enhanced protection against emerging pathogens.

4.
J Infect Dis ; 230(1): 131-140, 2024 Jul 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39052711

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Antigenic similarity between vaccine viruses and circulating viruses is crucial for achieving high vaccine effectiveness against seasonal influenza. New non-egg-based vaccine production technologies could revise current vaccine formulation schedules. We aim to assess the potential benefit of delaying seasonal influenza vaccine virus selection decisions. METHODS: We identified seasons where season-dominant viruses presented increasing prevalence after vaccine formulation had been decided in February for the Northern Hemisphere, contributing to their antigenic discrepancy with vaccine viruses. Using a SEIR (susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered) model of seasonal influenza in the United States, we evaluated the impact of updating vaccine decisions with more antigenically similar vaccine viruses on the influenza burden in the United States. RESULTS: In 2014-2015 and 2019-2020, the season-dominant A(H3N2) subclade and B/Victoria clade, respectively, presented increasing prevalence after vaccine decisions were already made for the Northern Hemisphere. Our model showed that the updated A(H3N2) vaccine could have averted 5000-65 000 influenza hospitalizations in the United States in 2014-2015, whereas updating the B/Victoria vaccine component did not substantially change influenza burden in the 2019-2020 season. CONCLUSIONS: With rapid vaccine production, revising current timelines for vaccine selection could result in substantial epidemiological benefits, particularly when additional data could help improve the antigenic match between vaccine and circulating viruses.


Asunto(s)
Subtipo H3N2 del Virus de la Influenza A , Vacunas contra la Influenza , Gripe Humana , Estaciones del Año , Humanos , Vacunas contra la Influenza/inmunología , Vacunas contra la Influenza/administración & dosificación , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/virología , Subtipo H3N2 del Virus de la Influenza A/inmunología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Niño , Preescolar , Virus de la Influenza B/inmunología , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto Joven , Anciano , Eficacia de las Vacunas , Lactante , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos
5.
J Infect Dis ; 230(1): 152-160, 2024 Jul 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39052734

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The hemagglutination inhibition antibody (HAI) titer contributes only a part of vaccine-induced protection against influenza virus infections. Using causal mediation analysis, we quantified the proportion of vaccine efficacy mediated by postvaccination HAI titers. METHODS: We conducted causal mediation analyses using data from a randomized, active-comparator controlled, phase III, trial of an inactivated, split-virion seasonal quadrivalent influenza vaccine in children conducted from October 2010 to December 2011 in 8 countries. Vaccine efficacy was estimated using a weighted Cox proportional hazards model. Estimates were decomposed into the direct and indirect effects mediated by postvaccination HAI titers. RESULTS: The proportions of vaccine efficacy mediated by postvaccination HAI titers were estimated to be 22% (95% confidence interval, 18%--47%) for influenza A(H1N1), 20% (16%-39%) for influenza A(H3N2), and 37% (26%-85%) for influenza B/Victoria. CONCLUSIONS: HAI titers partially mediate influenza vaccine efficacy against influenza A(H1N1), A(H3N2), and B/Victoria. Our estimates were lower than in previous studies, possibly reflecting expected heterogeneity in antigenic similarity between vaccine and circulating viruses across seasons.


Asunto(s)
Anticuerpos Antivirales , Pruebas de Inhibición de Hemaglutinación , Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A , Subtipo H3N2 del Virus de la Influenza A , Virus de la Influenza B , Vacunas contra la Influenza , Gripe Humana , Eficacia de las Vacunas , Humanos , Vacunas contra la Influenza/inmunología , Vacunas contra la Influenza/administración & dosificación , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Gripe Humana/inmunología , Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A/inmunología , Anticuerpos Antivirales/sangre , Anticuerpos Antivirales/inmunología , Subtipo H3N2 del Virus de la Influenza A/inmunología , Femenino , Virus de la Influenza B/inmunología , Masculino , Preescolar , Niño , Lactante , Vacunas de Productos Inactivados/inmunología , Vacunas de Productos Inactivados/administración & dosificación
6.
Public Health Pract (Oxf) ; 8: 100525, 2024 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39050010

RESUMEN

Background: Hong Kong enforced stringent travel restrictions during the COVID-19 pandemic. Understanding the characteristics of imported COVID-19 cases is important for establishing evidence-based control measures. Methods: Retrospective cohort study summarising the characteristics of imported cases detected in Hong Kong between 13 November 2020 and 31 January 2022, when compulsory quarantine was implemented. Findings: A total of 2269 imported COVID-19 cases aged 0-85 years were identified, of which 48.6 % detected on arrival. A shorter median delay from arrival to isolation was observed in Delta and Omicron cases (3 days) than in ancestral strain and other variants cases (12 days; p < 0.001). Lower Ct values at isolation were observed in Omicron cases than in ancestral strain or other variants cases. No Omicron cases were detected beyond 14 days after arrival. Cases detected after 14 days of quarantine (n=58, 2.6 %) were more likely asymptomatic at isolation and had higher Ct value during isolation, some of them indicating re-positivity or post-arrival infections. Conclusions: Testing inbound travellers at arrival and during quarantine can detect imported cases early, but may not prevent all COVID-19 introductions into the community. Public health measures should be adapted in response to the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants based on evidence from ongoing surveillance.

7.
Res Sq ; 2024 Jun 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38947018

RESUMEN

Extending the dosing interval of a primary series of mRNA COVID-19 vaccination has been employed to reduce myocarditis risk in adolescents, but previous evaluation of impact on vaccine effectiveness (VE) is limited to risk after second dose. Here, we quantified the impact of the dosing interval based on case notifications and vaccination uptake in Hong Kong from January to April 2022. We estimated that the hazard ratio (HR) and odds ratio (OR) of infections after the second dose for extended (28 days or more) versus regular (21-27 days) dosing intervals ranged from 0.86 to 0.99 from calendar-time proportional hazards models, and from 0.85 to 0.87 from matching approaches, respectively. Adolescents in the extended dosing groups (including those who did not receive a second dose in the study period) had a higher hazard of infection than those with a regular dosing interval during the intra-dose period (HR: 1.66; 95% CI: 1.07, 2.59; p = 0.02) after the first dose. Implementing an extended dosing interval should consider multiple factors including the degree of myocarditis risk, the degree of protection afforded by each dose, and the extra protection achievable using an extended dosing interval.

8.
Am J Epidemiol ; 2024 Jun 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38904437

RESUMEN

Prior infection with SARS-CoV-2 can provide protection against infection and severe COVID-19. We aimed to determine the impact of pre-existing immunity on the vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates. We systematically reviewed and meta-analysed 66 test-negative design (TND) studies that examined VE against infection or severe disease (hospitalization, ICU admission, or death) for primary vaccination series. Pooled VE among studies that included people with prior COVID-19 infection was lower against infection (pooled VE: 77%; 95% confidence interval (CI): 72%, 81%) and severe disease (pooled VE: 86%; 95% CI: 83%, 89%), compared with studies that excluded people with prior COVID-19 infection (pooled VE against infection: 87%; 95% CI: 85%, 89%; pooled VE against severe disease: 93%; 95% CI: 91%, 95%). There was a negative correlation between VE estimates against infection and severe disease, and the cumulative incidence of cases before the start of the study or incidence rates during the study period. We found clear empirical evidence that higher levels of pre-existing immunity were associated with lower VE estimates. Prior infections should be treated as both a confounder and effect modificatory when the policies target the whole population or stratified by infection history, respectively.

9.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 11(5): ofae175, 2024 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38698895

RESUMEN

Background: Influenza vaccine viruses grown in eggs may acquire egg-adaptive mutations that may reduce antigenic similarity between vaccine and circulating influenza viruses and decrease vaccine effectiveness. We compared cell- and egg-based quadrivalent influenza vaccines (QIVc and QIVe, respectively) for preventing test-confirmed influenza over 3 US influenza seasons (2017-2020). Methods: Using a retrospective test-negative design, we estimated the relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) of QIVc vs QIVe among individuals aged 4 to 64 years who had an acute respiratory or febrile illness and were tested for influenza in routine outpatient care. Exposure, outcome, and covariate data were obtained from electronic health records linked to pharmacy and medical claims. Season-specific rVE was estimated by comparing the odds of testing positive for influenza among QIVc vs QIVe recipients. Models were adjusted for age, sex, geographic region, influenza test date, and additional unbalanced covariates. A doubly robust approach was used combining inverse probability of treatment weights with multivariable regression. Results: The study included 31 824, 33 388, and 34 398 patients in the 2017-2018, 2018-2019, and 2019-2020 seasons, respectively; ∼10% received QIVc and ∼90% received QIVe. QIVc demonstrated superior effectiveness vs QIVe in prevention of test-confirmed influenza: rVEs were 14.8% (95% CI, 7.0%-22.0%) in 2017-2018, 12.5% (95% CI, 4.7%-19.6%) in 2018-2019, and 10.0% (95% CI, 2.7%-16.7%) in 2019-2020. Conclusions: This study demonstrated consistently superior effectiveness of QIVc vs QIVe in preventing test-confirmed influenza over 3 seasons characterized by different circulating viruses and degrees of egg adaptation.

10.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses ; 18(4): e13289, 2024 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38637994

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The interpretation of relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) of improved influenza vaccines is complex. Estimation of burden averted is useful to contextualise their potential impact across different seasons. For the population aged under 65 years in Australia, this study estimated the additional morbidity and mortality that could be averted using improved influenza vaccines. METHODS: We used observed, season-specific (2015-2019) influenza notification and influenza-coded hospitalisation frequencies and published modelled estimates of influenza-associated hospitalisations and deaths that occurred under the prevailing influenza vaccination coverage scenario. After back-calculating to the estimated burden in the population without vaccination, we applied published standard influenza vaccine effectiveness and coverage estimates to calculate the burden potentially averted by standard and improved influenza vaccines. A plausible range of rVE values were used, assuming 50% coverage. RESULTS: The percentage point difference in absolute vaccine effectiveness (VE) of an improved vaccine compared to a standard vaccine is directly proportional to its rVE and inversely proportional to the effectiveness of the standard vaccine. The incremental burden averted by an improved vaccine is a function of both its difference in absolute VE and the severity of the influenza season. Assuming an rVE of 15% with 50% coverage, the improved vaccine was estimated to additionally avert 1517 to 12,641 influenza notifications, 287 to 1311 influenza-coded hospitalisations and 9 to 33 modelled all-cause influenza deaths per year compared to the standard vaccine. CONCLUSIONS: Improved vaccines can have substantial clinical and population impact, particularly when the effectiveness of standard vaccines is low, and burden is high.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la Influenza , Gripe Humana , Humanos , Anciano , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Estaciones del Año , Australia/epidemiología , Vacunación
11.
Vaccine ; 42(8): 1878-1882, 2024 Mar 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38395722

RESUMEN

A test negative study was carried out from 13 June through to 15 November 2023 enrolling 3183 children hospitalized with acute respiratory illness in Hong Kong. Influenza A and B viruses were detected in 528 (16.6%) children, among which 419 (79.4%) were influenza A(H3N2). The overall vaccine effectiveness against hospitalization associated with any influenza virus infection was estimated as 22.4% (95% CI: -11.7%, 46.1%), and against influenza A(H3N2) specifically was 14.3% (95% CI: -29.2%, 43.2%). Despite the moderate to low VE estimated here, which could be a result of waning immunity and antigenic drift, influenza vaccination remains an important approach to reduce the impact of influenza in children.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la Influenza , Gripe Humana , Niño , Humanos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Subtipo H3N2 del Virus de la Influenza A , Hong Kong/epidemiología , Eficacia de las Vacunas , Hospitalización , Vacunación , Estaciones del Año
12.
medRxiv ; 2024 Feb 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38343865

RESUMEN

Epidemiological studies suggest that heterogeneity in influenza vaccine antibody response is associated with host factors, including pre-vaccination immune status, age, gender, and vaccination history. However, the pattern of reported associations varies between studies. To better understand the underlying influences on antibody responses, we combined host factors and vaccine-induced in-host antibody kinetics from a cohort study conducted across multiple seasons with a unified analysis framework. We developed a flexible individual-level Bayesian model to estimate associations and interactions between host factors, including pre-vaccine HAI titre, age, sex, vaccination history and study setting, and vaccine-induced HAI titre antibody boosting and waning. We applied the model to derive population-level and individual effects of post-vaccine antibody kinetics for vaccinating and circulating strains for A(H1N1) and A(H3N2) influenza subtypes. We found that post-vaccine HAI titre dynamics were significantly influenced by pre-vaccination HAI titre and vaccination history and that lower pre-vaccination HAI titre results in longer durations of seroprotection (HAI titre equal to 1:40 or higher). Consequently, for A(H1N1), our inference finds that the expected duration of seroprotection post-vaccination was 171 (95% Posterior Predictive Interval[PPI] 128-220) and 159 (95% PPI 120-200) days longer for those who are infrequently vaccinated (<2 vaccines in last five years) compared to those who are frequently vaccinated (2 or more vaccines in the last five years) at pre-vaccination HAI titre values of 1:10 and 1:20 respectively. In addition, we found significant differences in the empirical distributions that describe the individual-level duration of seroprotection for A(H1N1) circulating strains. In future, studies that rely on serological endpoints should include the impact of pre-vaccine HAI titre and prior vaccination status on seropositivity and seroconversion estimates, as these significantly influence an individual's post-vaccination antibody kinetics.

13.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(2)2024 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38190760

RESUMEN

To support the ongoing management of viral respiratory diseases while transitioning out of the acute phase of the COVID-19 pandemic, many countries are moving toward an integrated model of surveillance for SARS-CoV-2, influenza virus, and other respiratory pathogens. Although many surveillance approaches catalyzed by the COVID-19 pandemic provide novel epidemiologic insight, continuing them as implemented during the pandemic is unlikely to be feasible for nonemergency surveillance, and many have already been scaled back. Furthermore, given anticipated cocirculation of SARS-CoV-2 and influenza virus, surveillance activities in place before the pandemic require review and adjustment to ensure their ongoing value for public health. In this report, we highlight key challenges for the development of integrated models of surveillance. We discuss the relative strengths and limitations of different surveillance practices and studies as well as their contribution to epidemiologic assessment, forecasting, and public health decision-making.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Virosis , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , Pandemias , Salud Pública
14.
Vaccine ; 42(1): 53-58, 2024 Jan 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38057205

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic led to extensive vaccination campaigns worldwide, including in Australia. Immunity waning and the emergence of new viral variants pose challenges to the effectiveness of vaccines. Our study aimed to assess the relative effectiveness (rVE) of 3 and 4 compared with 2 doses of COVID-19 vaccine. The study focuses on the Victorian population, a majority of whom had no prior exposure to the virus before vaccination. METHODS: We used routinely collected data for the state of Victoria, Australia, to assess rVE during an Omicron-dominant period, 1 June 2022 to 1 March 2023. Immunisation, notifications, hospitalisations and mortality data for residents aged 65 years and older were linked for analysis. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to estimate the rVE against COVID-19 hospitalisation or death, accounting for key confounders with vaccination as a time-varying covariate. RESULTS: In 1,070,113 people 65 years or older who had received their second dose, a third and fourth dose of a COVID-19 vaccine significantly reduced the hazard of hospitalisation or death compared to two doses. rVE was highest within two weeks from administration at 40 % (95 % CI: 0 % to 64 %) and 66 % (95 % CI: 60 % to 71 %) for a third and fourth dose, respectively. Additional protection conferred by third and fourth doses waned over time from administration. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings underscore the need for additional vaccine doses and updated vaccine strategies. These findings have implications for public health advice and COVID-19 vaccine strategies. Further research and monitoring of vaccine effectiveness in real-world settings are warranted to inform ongoing pandemic response efforts.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Humanos , Victoria/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , Vacunación , Inmunización
15.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 10(12): ofad613, 2023 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38143851

RESUMEN

Background: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection during pregnancy increases the risk of adverse fetal and neonatal outcomes, but the contribution to severe maternal morbidity (SMM) has been less frequently documented. Methods: We conducted a national cohort study of 93 624 deliveries occurring between 11 March 2020 and 1 July 2021 using medical claims information from the OptumLabs Data Warehouse. SARS-CoV-2 infection was identified from diagnostic and laboratory testing claims records. We identified 21 SMM conditions using International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification and procedure codes and compared SMM conditions by SARS-CoV-2 status using Poisson regression with robust variance, adjusting for maternal sociodemographic and health factors, onset of labor, and week of conception. Results: Approximately 5% of deliveries had a record of SARS-CoV-2 infection: 27.0% <7 days before delivery, 13.5% within 7-30 days of delivery, and 59.5% earlier in pregnancy. Compared to uninfected pregnancies, the adjusted risk of SMM was 2.22 times higher (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.97-2.48) among those infected <7 days before delivery and 1.66 times higher (95% CI, 1.23-2.08) among those infected 7-30 days before delivery. The highest risks were observed for acute respiratory distress syndrome (adjusted risk ratio [aRR], 13.24 [95% CI, 12.86-13.61]) and acute renal failure (aRR, 3.91 [95% CI, 3.32-4.50]). Conclusions: COVID-19 is associated with increased rates of SMM.

17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37946717

RESUMEN

Objective: Circulation patterns of influenza and other respiratory viruses have been globally disrupted since the emergence of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) and the introduction of public health and social measures (PHSMs) aimed at reducing severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission. Methods: We reviewed respiratory virus laboratory data, Google mobility data and PHSMs in five geographically diverse regions in Australia and New Zealand. We also described respiratory virus activity from January 2017 to August 2021. Results: We observed a change in the prevalence of circulating respiratory viruses following the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 in early 2020. Influenza activity levels were very low in all regions, lower than those recorded in 2017-2019, with less than 1% of laboratory samples testing positive for influenza virus. In contrast, rates of human rhinovirus infection were increased. Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) activity was delayed; however, once it returned, most regions experienced activity levels well above those seen in 2017-2019. The timing of the resurgence in the circulation of both rhinovirus and RSV differed within and between the two countries. Discussion: The findings of this study suggest that as domestic and international borders are opened up and other COVID-19 PHSMs are lifted, clinicians and public health professionals should be prepared for resurgences in influenza and other respiratory viruses. Recent patterns in RSV activity suggest that these resurgences in non-COVID-19 viruses have the potential to occur out of season and with increased impact.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Gripe Humana , Humanos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Nueva Zelanda/epidemiología , Pandemias , COVID-19/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , Australia/epidemiología
18.
J Infect Dis ; 2023 Nov 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38019883

RESUMEN

BACKGROUNDS: Antigenic similarity between vaccine viruses and circulating viruses is crucial for achieving high vaccine effectiveness against seasonal influenza. New non-egg-based vaccine production technologies could revise current vaccine formulation schedules. We aim to assess the potential benefit of delaying seasonal influenza vaccine virus selection decisions. METHODS: We identified seasons where season-dominant viruses presented increasing prevalence after vaccine formulation had been decided in February for the Northern Hemisphere, contributing to their antigenic discrepancy with vaccine viruses. Using a SEIR model of seasonal influenza in the United States, we evaluated the impact of updating vaccine decisions with more antigenically-similar vaccine viruses on the influenza burden in the United States. RESULTS: In 2014/15 and 2019/20, the season-dominant A(H3N2) subclade and B/Victoria clade respectively presented increasing prevalence after vaccine decisions were already made for the Northern Hemisphere. Our model showed that the updated A(H3N2) vaccine could have averted 5,000-65,000 influenza hospitalizations in the United States in 2014/15, whereas updating the B/Victoria vaccine component did not substantially change influenza burden in 2019/20 season. CONCLUSIONS: With rapid vaccine production, revising current timelines for vaccine selection could result in substantial epidemiological benefits, particularly when additional data could help improve the antigenic match between vaccine and circulating viruses.

19.
Vaccine ; 41(48): 7192-7200, 2023 11 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37903679

RESUMEN

Both vector and mRNA vaccines were an important part of the response to the COVID-19 pandemic and may be required in future outbreaks and pandemics. The aim of this study was to validate whether immunogenicity differs for adenoviral vectored (AdV) versus mRNA vaccines against SARS-CoV-2, and to investigate how anti-vector immunity and B cell dynamics modulate immunogenicity. We enrolled SARS-CoV-2 infection-naïve health care workers who had received two doses of either AdV AZD1222 (n = 184) or mRNA BNT162b2 vaccine (n = 274) between April and October 2021. Blood was collected at least once, 10-48 days after vaccine dose 2 for antibody and B cell analyses. Median ages were 42 and 39 years, for AdV and mRNA vaccinees, respectively. Surrogate virus neutralization test (sVNT) and spike binding antibody titres were a median of 4.2 and 2.2 times lower, respectively, for AdV compared to mRNA vaccinees (p < 0.001). Median percentages of memory B cells that recognized fluorescent-tagged spike and RBD were 2.9 and 8.3 times lower, respectively for AdV compared to mRNA vaccinees. Titres of IgG reactive with human adenovirus type 5 hexon protein rose a median of 2.2-fold after AdV vaccination but were not correlated with anti-spike antibody titres. Together the results show that mRNA induced substantially more sVNT antibody than AdV vaccine, which reflected greater B cell expansion and targeting of the RBD rather than an attenuating effect of anti-vector antibodies. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT05110911.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Vacunas Virales , Humanos , Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , Pandemias/prevención & control , Vacuna BNT162 , ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 , COVID-19/prevención & control , SARS-CoV-2 , Anticuerpos , Anticuerpos Antivirales
20.
J Pediatric Infect Dis Soc ; 12(11): 586-589, 2023 Nov 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37818976

RESUMEN

In March-June 2023, we conducted a test-negative study in 1671 children who were hospitalized with acute respiratory illness in Hong Kong. Two hundred and eighty-six children (17.2%) were tested positive for influenza virus including 188 with A(H1N1). We estimated influenza vaccine effectiveness against influenza-associated hospitalization as 69.6% (95% confidence interval: 49.3%, 81.7%).


Asunto(s)
Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A , Vacunas contra la Influenza , Gripe Humana , Niño , Humanos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Vacunas contra la Influenza/uso terapéutico , Hong Kong/epidemiología , Eficacia de las Vacunas , Vacunación , Hospitalización , Estaciones del Año
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