Discharge of postoperative patients with an opioid prescription is associated with increased persistent opioid use, healthcare expenditures and mortality: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The risk factors for persistent opioid use after surgical discharge and the association between opioid prescription at discharge and postoperative emergency department visits, readmission, and mortality are unclear. METHODS: This population-based retrospective cohort study involved opioid-naive patients who underwent surgical procedures from January 1, 2000 to November 30, 2020. The data source was Hong Kong Hospital Authority Clinical Management System electronic health record. The primary outcome was the incidence of new persistent opioid use. Other study outcomes included 30-day emergency department visits, 30-day readmission, and 30-day all-cause mortality. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to estimate the association between opioid prescription at discharge and persistent opioid use, emergency department visits, readmission, and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 1 month with 36 104 person-years, 438 128 patients (opioid prescription: 32 932, no opioid prescription: 405 196) who underwent surgical procedures were analysed, of whom 15 112 (3.45%) had persistent opioid use after discharge. Prescribing opioids on discharge was associated with increased risks of developing persistent opioid use (odds ratio [OR]: 2.30, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.19-2.40, P<0.001), 30-day emergency department visits (OR: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.23-1.33, P<0.001), 30-day readmission (OR: 1.17, 95% CI: 1.13-1.20, P<0.001), and 30-day all-cause mortality (OR: 1.68, 95% CI: 1.53-1.86, P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In this large cohort of patients undergoing surgery, an opioid prescription on discharge was associated with a higher chance of persistent opioid use and increased risks of postoperative emergency department visits, readmission, and mortality. Minimising opioid prescriptions on discharge could improve perioperative patient outcomes.

Survival after hemithyroidectomy versus total thyroidectomy in non-high-risk differentiated thyroid cancer: population-based analysis.

BACKGROUND: The extent of thyroid surgery remains controversial for differentiated thyroid cancers (DTCs) that measure more than 1 cm but are not considered high risk. This study aimed to compare survival outcomes between hemithyroidectomy (HT) and total thyroidectomy (TT) in non-high-risk DTCs. METHODS: A population-based retrospective cohort of patients with non-high-risk DTCs more than 1 cm undergoing HT or TT between 1997 and 2017 in a territory with 41 public hospitals and clinics serving a population of 7 million was analysed. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusted for patient demographics and clinical parameters were used to compare the overall, disease-specific, and recurrence-free survival between TT and HT. Risks of postoperative complications were compared between the two groups. RESULTS: A total of 4771 patients (HT, 1368; TT, 3403) underwent thyroid surgery as a primary treatment. Median (range) follow-up was 117 (range: 72-179) months. Patients in the TT and HT groups had comparable risks of overall survival (HR 0.87; 95 per cent c.i. 0.73 to 1.04; P = 0.119) and disease-specific survival (HR 0.85; 95 per cent c.i. 0.52 to 1.40; P = 0.518). The TT group had better recurrence-free survival (HR 0.37; 95 per cent c.i. 0.26 to 0.52; P < 0.001) than the HT group. The temporary and permanent hypoparathyroidism rates in TT group were 14.96 per cent and 7.49 per cent respectively; none were reported in the HT group. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the comparable overall and disease-specific survivals, TT was associated with better recurrence-free survival than HT in a 10-year follow-up. This was at the expense of higher surgical morbidity rate in TT.

Attaining biochemical euthyroidism early after total thyroidectomy in Graves' disease may lower long-term morbidity risk.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between good early control of thyroid hormone levels after thyroidectomy for Graves' disease (GD) and subsequent risks of mortality and morbidities is not well known. The aim of this study was to examine the association between thyroid hormone levels within a short interval after surgery and long-term mortality and morbidity risks from a population-based database. METHODS: Patients with GD who underwent complete/total thyroidectomy between 2006 and 2018 were selected from the Hong Kong Hospital Authority clinical management system. All patients were classified into three groups (euthyroidism, hypothyroidism, and hyperthyroidism) according to their thyroid hormone levels at 6, 12, and 24 months after surgery. Cox proportional hazards models were performed to compare the risks of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD), Graves' ophthalmopathy, and cancer. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 68 months with 5709 person-years, 949 patients were included for analysis (euthyroidism, n = 540; hypothyroidism, n = 282; and hyperthyroidism, n = 127). The hypothyroidism group had an increased risk of CVD (HR = 4.20, 95 per cent c.i. 2.37 to 7.44, P < 0.001) and the hyperthyroidism group had an increased risk of cancer (HR = 2.14, 95 per cent c.i. 1.55 to 2.97, P < 0.001) compared with the euthyroidism group. Compared with patients obtaining euthyroidism both at 6 months and 12 months, the risk of cancer increased in patients who achieved euthyroidism at 6 months but had an abnormal thyroid status at 12 months (HR = 2.33, 95 per cent c.i. 1.51 to 3.61, P < 0.001) and in those who had abnormal thyroid status at 6 months but achieved euthyroidism at 12 months (HR = 2.52, 95 per cent c.i. 1.60 to 3.97, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: This study showed a higher risk of CVD in postsurgical hypothyroidism and a higher risk of cancer in hyperthyroidism compared with achieving euthyroidism early after thyroidectomy. Patients who were euthyroid at 6 months and 12 months had better outcomes than those achieving euthyroidism only at 6 months or 12 months. Attaining biochemical euthyroidism early after thyroidectomy should become a priority.

The comparative effects of metabolic surgery, SGLT2i, or GLP-1RA in patients with obesity and type 2 diabetes: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: New antidiabetic agents (sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitor [SGLT2i] and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist [GLP-1RA]) and metabolic surgery have protective effects on metabolic syndromes. OBJECTIVES: To compare the changes of metabolic parameters and costs among patients with obesity and type 2 diabetes undergoing metabolic surgery and initiating new antidiabetic agents over 12 months. SETTING: Hong Kong Hospital Authority database from 2006-2017. METHODS: This is a population-wide retrospective cohort study consisting of 2616 patients (1810 SGLT2i, 528 GLP-1RA, 278 metabolic surgery). Inverse probability treatment weighting of propensity score was applied to balance baseline covariates of patients with obesity and type 2 diabetes who underwent metabolic surgery, or initiated SGLT2i or GLP-1RA. Metabolic parameters and direct medical costs were measured and compared from baseline to 12 months in metabolic surgery, SGLT2i, and GLP-1RA groups. RESULTS: Patients in all 3 groups had improved metabolic parameters over a 12-month period. Patients with metabolic surgery achieved significantly better outcomes in BMI (-5.39, -.56, -.40 kg/m2, P < .001), % total weight loss (15.16%, 1.34%, 1.63%, P < .001), systolic (-2.21, -.59, 1.28 mm Hg, P < .001) and diastolic (-1.16, .50, -.13 mm Hg, P < .001) blood pressure, HbA1c (-1.80%, -.77%, -.80%, P < .001), triglycerides (-.64, -.11, -.09 mmol/L, P < .001), and estimated glomerular filtration rate (3.08, -1.37, -.41 mL/min/1.73m2, P < .001) after 12 months compared with patients with SGLT2i and GLP1-RA. Although the metabolic surgery group incurred the greatest direct medical costs (US$33,551, US$10,945, US$10,627, P < .001), largely due to the surgery itself and related hospitalization, the total monthly direct medical expenditure of metabolic surgery group became lower than that of SGLT2i and GLP-1RA groups at 7 months. CONCLUSION: Beneficial weight loss and metabolic outcomes at 12 months were observed in all 3 groups, among which the metabolic surgery group showed the most remarkable effects but incurred the greatest medical costs. However, studies with a longer follow-up period are warranted to show long-term outcomes.

Long-term outcome of patients treated with antithyroid drugs, radioactive iodine or surgery for persistent or relapsed Graves' disease.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to compare long-term mortality, morbidity, and cumulative healthcare costs between antithyroid drugs, radioactive iodine, and surgical treatment for patients with persistent or relapsed Graves' disease. METHODS: Data on patients with persistent or relapsed Graves' disease between 2006 and 2018 were retrieved from the Hong Kong Hospital Authority. Hazard ratios (HRs) estimated by Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to compare the risks of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease, atrial fibrillation, psychological disease, Graves' ophthalmopathy, and cancer across treatment groups. The 10-year healthcare cost and change in co-morbidity status were also estimated. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 79 months (22 636 person-years), a total of 3443 patients (antithyroid drug 2294, radioactive iodine 755, surgery 394) were analysed. Compared with antithyroid drug treatment, surgery was associated with significantly lower risks of all-cause mortality (HR 0.40, 95 per cent c.i. 0.36 to 0.45), cardiovascular disease (HR 0.54, 0.48 to 0.60), atrial fibrillation (HR 0.11, 0.09 to 0.14), psychological disease (HR 0.85, 0.79 to 0.92), Graves' ophthalmopathy (HR 0.09, 0.08 to 0.10), and cancer (HR 0.56, 0.50 to 0.63). Patients who underwent surgery also had a lower risk of all outcome events than those in the radioactive iodine group. The 10-year direct cumulative healthcare cost was €14 754 for surgery compared with €17 390 for antithyroid drugs, and €17 918 for the radioactive iodine group. CONCLUSION: Patients who underwent surgery for persistent or relapsed Graves' disease had lower risks of all-cause mortality and analysed morbidities. The 10-year cumulative healthcare cost in the surgery group was lowest among the three treatment alternatives.

Impact of varying wave periods of COVID-19 on in-hospital mortality and length of stay for admission through emergency department: A territory-wide observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has been associated with excess mortality and reduced emergency department attendance. However, the effect of varying wave periods of COVID-19 on in-hospital mortality and length of stay (LOS) for non-COVID disease for non-COVID diseases remains unexplored. METHODS: We examined a territory-wide observational cohort of 563,680 emergency admissions between January 1 and November 30, 2020, and 709,583 emergency admissions during the same 2019 period in Hong Kong, China. Differences in 28-day in-hospital mortality risk and LOS due to COVID-19 were evaluated. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of 28-day in-hospital mortality increased overall from 2.9% in 2019 to 3.6% in 2020 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.22, 95% CI 1.20 to 1.25). The aHR was higher among patients with lower respiratory tract infection (aHR: 1.30 95% CI 1.26 to 1.34), airway disease (aHR: 1.35 95% CI 1.22 to 1.49), and mental disorders (aHR: 1.26 95% CI 1.15 to 1.37). Mortality risk in the first- and third-wave periods was significantly greater than that in the inter-wave period (p-interaction < 0.001). The overall average LOS in the pandemic year was significantly shorter than that in 2019 (Mean difference = -0.40 days; 95% CI -0.43 to -0.36). Patients with mental disorders and cerebrovascular disease in 2020 had a 3.91-day and 2.78-day shorter LOS than those in 2019, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Increased risk of in-hospital deaths was observed overall and by all major subgroups of disease during the pandemic period. Together with significantly reduced LOS for patients with mental disorders and cerebrovascular disease, this study shows the spillover effect of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Outcomes of Graves' Disease Patients Following Antithyroid Drugs, Radioactive Iodine, or Thyroidectomy as the First-line Treatment.

BACKGROUND: The long-term outcomes of first-line choice among ATD, RAI, and thyroidectomy for GD patients remain unclear. OBJECTIVE: To compare the long-term morbidity, mortality, relapse, and costs of GD patients receiving first-line treatment. METHODS: A population-based retrospective cohort of GD patients initiating first-line treatment with ATD, RAI, or thyroidectomy as a first-line primary treatment between 2006 and 2018 from Hong Kong Hospital Authority was analyzed. Risks of all-cause mortality, CVD, AF, psychological disease, diabetes, and hypertension were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. The 10-year healthcare costs, change of comorbidities, and risk of relapse were compared across treatments. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 90 months with 47,470 person-years, 6385 patients (ATD, 74.93%; RAI, 19.95%; thyroidectomy, 5.12%) who received first-line treatment for GD were analyzed. Compared with ATD group, patients who had undergone surgery had significantly lower risks of all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.363, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.332-0.396], CVD (HR = 0.216, 95% CI = 0.195-0.239), AF (HR = 0.103, 95% CI = 0.085-0.124), psychological disease (HR = 0.279, 95% CI = 0.258-0.301), diabetes (HR = 0.341, 95% CI = 0.305-0.381), and hypertension (HR = 0.673, 95% CI = 0.632-0.718). Meanwhile, RAI group was also associated with decreased risks of all-cause mortality (HR = 0.931, 95% CI = 0.882-0.982), CVD (HR = 0.784, 95% CI = 0.742-0.828), AF (HR = 0.622, 95% CI = 0.578-0.67), and psychological disease (HR = 0.895, 95% CI = 0.855-0.937). The relapse rate was 2.41% in surgery, 75.60% in ATD, and 19.53% in RAI group. The surgery group was observed with a significant lower Charlson Comorbidity Index score than the other 2 groups at the tenth-year follow-up. The mean 10-year cumulative healthcare costs in ATD, RAI, and surgery group was US$23915, US$24260, and US$20202, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: GD patients who received surgery as an initial treatment appeared to have lower chances of all-cause mortality, CVD, AF, psychological disease, diabetes, and hypertension in the long-term when compared to those treated with ATD or RAI. The surgery group had the lowest relapse and direct healthcare costs among the 3 treatment modalities. This long-term cohort study suggested surgery may have a larger role to play as an initial treatment for GD patients.

Clinical presentations, laboratory and radiological findings, and treatments for 11,028 COVID-19 patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

This systematic review and meta-analysis investigated the comorbidities, symptoms, clinical characteristics and treatment of COVID-19 patients. Epidemiological studies published in 2020 (from January-March) on the clinical presentation, laboratory findings and treatments of COVID-19 patients were identified from PubMed/MEDLINE and Embase databases. Studies published in English by 27th March, 2020 with original data were included. Primary outcomes included comorbidities of COVID-19 patients, their symptoms presented on hospital admission, laboratory results, radiological outcomes, and pharmacological and in-patient treatments. 76 studies were included in this meta-analysis, accounting for a total of 11,028 COVID-19 patients in multiple countries. A random-effects model was used to aggregate estimates across eligible studies and produce meta-analytic estimates. The most common comorbidities were hypertension (18.1%, 95% CI 15.4-20.8%). The most frequently identified symptoms were fever (72.4%, 95% CI 67.2-77.7%) and cough (55.5%, 95% CI 50.7-60.3%). For pharmacological treatment, 63.9% (95% CI 52.5-75.3%), 62.4% (95% CI 47.9-76.8%) and 29.7% (95% CI 21.8-37.6%) of patients were given antibiotics, antiviral, and corticosteroid, respectively. Notably, 62.6% (95% CI 39.9-85.4%) and 20.2% (95% CI 14.6-25.9%) of in-patients received oxygen therapy and non-invasive mechanical ventilation, respectively. This meta-analysis informed healthcare providers about the timely status of characteristics and treatments of COVID-19 patients across different countries.PROSPERO Registration Number: CRD42020176589.

Impact of National Containment Measures on Decelerating the Increase in Daily New Cases of COVID-19 in 54 Countries and 4 Epicenters of the Pandemic: Comparative Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is a worldwide epidemic, and various countries have responded with different containment measures to reduce disease transmission, including stay-at-home orders, curfews, and lockdowns. Comparative studies have not yet been conducted to investigate the impact of these containment measures; these studies are needed to facilitate public health policy-making across countries. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to describe and evaluate the impact of national containment measures and policies (stay-at-home orders, curfews, and lockdowns) on decelerating the increase in daily new cases of COVID-19 in 54 countries and 4 epicenters of the pandemic in different jurisdictions worldwide. METHODS: We reviewed the effective dates of the national containment measures (stay-at-home order, curfew, or lockdown) of 54 countries and 4 epicenters of the COVID-19 pandemic (Wuhan, New York State, Lombardy, and Madrid), and we searched cumulative numbers of confirmed COVID-19 cases and daily new cases provided by health authorities. Data were drawn from an open, crowdsourced, daily-updated COVID-19 data set provided by Our World in Data. We examined the trends in the percent increase in daily new cases from 7 days before to 30 days after the dates on which containment measures went into effect by continent, World Bank income classification, type of containment measures, effective date of containment measures, and number of confirmed cases on the effective date of the containment measures. RESULTS: We included 122,366 patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection from 54 countries and 24,071 patients from 4 epicenters on the effective dates on which stay-at-home orders, curfews, or lockdowns were implemented between January 23 and April 11, 2020. Stay-at-home, curfew, and lockdown measures commonly commenced in countries with approximately 30%, 20%, or 10% increases in daily new cases. All three measures were found to lower the percent increase in daily new cases to <5 within one month. Among the countries studied, 20% had an average percent increase in daily new cases of 30-49 over the seven days prior to the commencement of containment measures; the percent increase in daily new cases in these countries was curbed to 10 and 5 a maximum of 15 days and 23 days after the implementation of containment measures, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Different national containment measures were associated with a decrease in daily new cases of confirmed COVID-19 infection. Stay-at-home orders, curfews, and lockdowns curbed the percent increase in daily new cases to <5 within a month. Resurgence in cases within one month was observed in some South American countries.

Direct medical costs in the preceding, event and subsequent years of a first severe hypoglycaemia episode requiring hospitalization: A population-based cohort study.

AIMS: We aimed to estimate the use of healthcare services and the direct medical costs accrued by patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) during the year of the first severe hypoglycaemia (SH) event, as well as during the years before and after the event year. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We analysed a population-based, retrospective cohort including all adults with DM managed in the primary care setting from the Hong Kong Hospital Authority between 2006 and 2013. DM patients for whom SH was first recorded during the designated period were identified and matched to a control group of patients who had not experienced an SH event using the propensity score method. Direct medical costs in the years before, during and after the first SH event were determined by totalling the costs of health services utilized within respective years. RESULTS: After matching, a total of 22 694 DM patients were divided into the first recorded-SH group (n = 11 347) and the non-SH control group (n = 11 347). Patients for whom SH was first recorded, on average, made 7.85 outpatient clinic visits, made 1.89 emergency visits and spent 17.75 nights hospitalized during the event year. Mean direct medical costs during the event year were 11 751 US$, more than 2-fold that during the preceding year (4846 US$; P < 0.001) and subsequent years (4198-4700 US$; P < 0.001) and was 4.5 times that 2 years before the event (2481 US$; P < 0.001). Incremental costs of SH patients vs matched controls during the event year and the preceding year were 10 873 US$ (P < 0.001) and 3974 US$ (P < 0.001), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: SH is associated with excessive hospital admission rates and direct medical costs during the event year and, in particular, during the year before as compared to patients who had not experienced an SH event.

Direct medical costs of diabetes mellitus in the year of mortality and year preceding the year of mortality.

AIM: To report the health resource use and estimate the direct medical costs among patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) in the year of mortality and the year preceding the year of mortality. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We analysed data from a population-based, retrospective cohort study including all adults with a DM diagnosis in Hong Kong between 2009 and 2013, and who died between January 1, 2010 and December 31, 2013. The annual direct medical costs in the year of mortality and the year preceding the year of mortality were determined by summing the costs of health services utilized within the respective year. The costs were analysed by gender, the presence of comorbidities, diabetic complications and primary cause of death. RESULTS: A total of 10 649 patients met the eligibility criteria for analysis. On average, the direct medical costs in the year of death were 1.947 times higher than those in the year before death. Men and women with DM incurred similar costs in the year preceding the year of mortality and in the mortality year. Patients with any diabetic complications incurred greater costs in the year of mortality and the year before mortality than those without. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis provides new evidence on incorporating additional direct medical costs in the mortality year, and refining the structure of total cost estimates for use in costing and cost-effectiveness analyses of interventions for DM.