Addition of inflammation-related biomarkers to the CAIDE model for risk prediction of all-cause dementia, Alzheimer's disease and vascular dementia in a prospective study.

BACKGROUND: It is of interest whether inflammatory biomarkers can improve dementia prediction models, such as the widely used Cardiovascular Risk Factors, Aging and Dementia (CAIDE) model. METHODS: The Olink Target 96 Inflammation panel was assessed in a nested case-cohort design within a large, population-based German cohort study (n = 9940; age-range: 50-75 years). All study participants who developed dementia over 20 years of follow-up and had complete CAIDE variable data (n = 562, including 173 Alzheimer's disease (AD) and 199 vascular dementia (VD) cases) as well as n = 1,356 controls were selected for measurements. 69 inflammation-related biomarkers were eligible for use. LASSO logistic regression and bootstrapping were utilized to select relevant biomarkers and determine areas under the curve (AUCs). RESULTS: The CAIDE model 2 (including Apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 carrier status) predicted all-cause dementia, AD, and VD better than CAIDE model 1 (without APOE ε4) with AUCs of 0.725, 0.752 and 0.707, respectively. Although 20, 7, and 4 inflammation-related biomarkers were selected by LASSO regression to improve CAIDE model 2, the AUCs did not increase markedly. CAIDE models 1 and 2 generally performed better in mid-life (50-64 years) than in late-life (65-75 years) sub-samples of our cohort, but again, inflammation-related biomarkers did not improve their predictive abilities. CONCLUSIONS: Despite a lack of improvement in dementia risk prediction, the selected inflammation-related biomarkers were significantly associated with dementia outcomes and may serve as a starting point to further elucidate the pathogenesis of dementia.

Subjective cognitive complaints and blood biomarkers of neurodegenerative diseases: a longitudinal cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Subjective cognitive complaints (SCC) have been mostly studied in the context of Alzheimer's disease in memory clinic settings. The potential of combining SCC with genetic information and blood biomarkers of neurodegenerative diseases for risk assessment of dementia and depression in the absence of dementia among community-dwelling older adults has so far not been explored. METHODS: Data were based on a population-based cohort of 6357 participants with a 17-year follow-up (ESTHER study) and a clinic-based cohort of 422 patients. Participants of both cohorts were grouped according to the diagnosis of dementia (yes/no) and the diagnosis of depression in the absence of dementia (yes/no). Participants without dementia included both cognitively unimpaired participants and cognitively impaired participants. Genetic information (APOE ε4 genotype) and blood-based biomarkers of neurodegenerative diseases (glial fibrillary acidic protein; GFAP, neurofilament light chain; NfL, phosphorylated tau181; p-tau181) were available in the ESTHER study and were determined with Simoa Technology in a nested case-control design. Logistic regression models adjusted for relevant confounders were run for the outcomes of all-cause dementia and depression in the absence of dementia. RESULTS: The results showed that persistent SCC were associated both with increased risk of all-cause dementia and of depression without dementia, independently of the diagnostic setting. However, the results for the ESTHER study also showed that the combination of subjective complaints with APOE ε4 and with increased GFAP concentrations in the blood yielded a substantially increased risk of all-cause dementia (OR 5.35; 95%CI 3.25-8.81, p-value < 0.0001 and OR 7.52; 95%CI 2.79-20.29, p-value < 0.0001, respectively) but not of depression. Associations of NfL and p-tau181 with risk of all-cause dementia and depression were not statistically significant, either alone or in combination with SCC, but increased concentrations of p-tau181 seemed to be associated with an increased risk for depression. CONCLUSION: In community and clinical settings, SCC predict both dementia and depression in the absence of dementia. The addition of GFAP could differentiate between the risk of all-cause dementia and the risk of depression among individuals without dementia.

Alzheimer's polygenic risk scores, APOE, Alzheimer's disease risk, and dementia-related blood biomarker levels in a population-based cohort study followed over 17 years.

BACKGROUND: In order to utilize polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for Alzheimer's disease (AD) in a meaningful way, influential factors (i.e. training set) and prediction across groups such as APOE e4 (APOE4) genotype as well as associations to dementia-related biomarkers should be explored. Therefore, we examined the association of APOE4 and various PRSs, based on training sets that utilized differing AD definitions, with incident AD and all-cause dementia (ACD) within 17 years, and with levels of phosphorylated tau181 (P-tau181), neurofilament light (NfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) in blood. Secondarily, effect modification by APOE4 status and sex was examined. METHODS: In this prospective, population-based cohort study and nested case-control study, 9,940 participants in Germany were enrolled between 2000 and 2002 by their general practitioners and followed for up to 17 years. Participants were included in this study if dementia status and genetic data were available. A subsample of participants additionally had measurements of P-tau181, NfL, and GFAP obtained from blood samples. Cox and logistic regression analyses were used to assess the association of genetic risk (APOE genotype and PRSnoAPOE) with incident ACD/AD and log-transformed blood levels of P-tau181, NfL, and GFAP. RESULTS: Five thousand seven hundred sixty-five participants (54% female, aged 50-75years at baseline) were included in this study, of whom 464 received an all-cause dementia diagnosis within 17 years. The PRSs were not more predictive of dementia than APOE4. An APOE4 specific relationship was apparent with PRSs only exhibiting associations to dementia among APOE4 carriers. In the nested case-control study including biomarkers (n = 712), APOE4 status and polygenic risk were significantly associated to levels of GFAP in blood. CONCLUSIONS: The use of PRSs may be beneficial for increased precision in risk estimates among APOE4 carriers. While APOE4 may play a crucial etiological role in initial disease processes such as Aß deposition, the PRS may be an indicator of further disease drivers as well as astrocyte activation. Further research is necessary to confirm these findings, especially the association to GFAP.

High cholesterol levels change the association of biomarkers of neurodegenerative diseases with dementia risk: Findings from a population-based cohort.

INTRODUCTION: This study assessed whether in a population with comorbidity of neurodegenerative and cerebrovascular disease (mixed pathology) the association of glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), neurofilament light chain (NfL), and phosphorylated tau181 (p-tau181) with dementia risk varied depending on levels of total cholesterol and apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 genotype. METHODS: Plasma biomarkers were measured using Simoa technology in 768 participants of a nested case-control study embedded within an ongoing population-based cohort. Logistic and spline regression models, and receiver operating characteristic curves were calculated. RESULTS: The strength of the association between GFAP and NfL with risk of a clinical diagnosis of dementia changed depending on cholesterol levels and on APOE ε4 genotype. No significant association was seen with p-tau181. DISCUSSION: In individuals with mixed pathology blood GFAP and NfL are better predictors of dementia risk than p-tau181, and their associations with dementia risk are amplified by hypercholesterolemia, also depending on APOE ε4 genotype. HIGHLIGHTS: Cholesterol levels changed the association of blood biomarkers with dementia risk. Blood biomarkers seem to perform differently in community- and clinic-based cohorts. Neurofilament light chain might be a biomarker candidate for dementia risk after stroke.

Association of Kidney Function With Development of Alzheimer Disease and Other Dementias and Dementia-Related Blood Biomarkers.

Importance: Previous research has suggested an association of kidney function with risk of Alzheimer disease (AD) or other dementias and dementia-related blood biomarkers, but a distinct association remains unclear. Objective: To evaluate the association of kidney function with risk of diagnosis of incident AD or dementia within 17 years and with the blood biomarkers neurofilament light (NfL), phosphorylated tau181 (p-tau181), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP). Design, Setting, and Participants: In this prospective, population-based cohort study and nested case-control study, 9940 participants in Germany were enrolled between 2000 and 2002 by their general practitioners and followed up for up to 17 years. Participants were included if information on dementia status and creatinine/cystatin C measurements were available. A subsample of participants additionally had measurements of NfL, p-tau181, and GFAP obtained from blood samples. Statistical analysis was performed from January 3 to November 25, 2022. Exposures: Impaired kidney function, based on estimated glomerular filtration rate less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 according to the 2021 Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration creatinine-cystatin C equation. Main Outcomes and Measures: All-cause dementia, AD, and vascular dementia diagnosis, as well as log-transformed levels of NfL, p-tau181, and GFAP in blood. Results: Of 6256 participants (3402 women [54.4%]; mean [SD] age at baseline, 61.7 [6.6] years), 510 received an all-cause dementia diagnosis within 17 years of baseline. The dementia-related blood biomarker nested case-control sample included 766 participants. After adjusting for age and sex, impaired kidney function at baseline was not associated with a higher risk of all-cause dementia (hazard ratio [HR], 0.95; 95% CI, 0.69-1.29), AD (HR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.55-1.63), or vascular dementia diagnosis (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.65-1.70) within 17 years. In the cross-sectional analysis, after adjusting for age and sex, impaired kidney function was significantly associated with NfL and p-tau181 levels in blood (NfL: ß = 0.47 and P < .001; p-tau181: ß = 0.21 and P = .003). After adjusting for age and sex, significant associations with GFAP levels were evident only among men (men: ß = 0.31 and P = .006; women: ß = -0.12 and P = .11). Conclusions and Relevance: In this population-based study of community-dwelling adults, reduced kidney function was associated with increased levels of dementia-related blood biomarkers but not increased dementia risk. Kidney function might influence the accuracy of dementia-related blood biomarkers and should be considered in clinical translation.

Association of the inflammation-related proteome with dementia development at older age: results from a large, prospective, population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic inflammation is a central feature of several forms of dementia. However, few details on the associations of blood-based inflammation-related proteins with dementia incidence have been explored yet. METHODS: The Olink Target 96 Inflammation panel was measured in baseline serum samples (collected 07/2000-06/2002) of 1782 older adults from a German, population-based cohort study in a case-cohort design. Logistic regression models were used to assess the associations of biomarkers with all-cause dementia, Alzheimer's disease, and vascular dementia incidence. RESULTS: During 17 years of follow-up, 504 participants were diagnosed with dementia, including 163 Alzheimer's disease and 195 vascular dementia cases. After correction for multiple testing, 58 out of 72 tested (80.6%) biomarkers were statistically significantly associated with all-cause dementia, 22 with Alzheimer's disease, and 33 with vascular dementia incidence. We identified four biomarker clusters, among which the strongest representatives, CX3CL1, EN-RAGE, LAP TGF-beta-1, and VEGF-A, were significantly associated with dementia endpoints independently from other inflammation-related proteins. CX3CL1 (odds ratio [95% confidence interval] per 1 standard deviation increase: 1.41 [1.24-1.60]) and EN-RAGE (1.41 [1.25-1.60]) were associated with all-cause dementia incidence, EN-RAGE (1.51 [1.25-1.83]) and LAP TGF-beta-1 (1.46 [1.21-1.76]) with Alzheimer's disease incidence, and VEGF-A (1.43 [1.20-1.70]) with vascular dementia incidence. All named associations were stronger among APOE ε4-negative subjects. CONCLUSION: With this large, population-based cohort study, we show for the first time that the majority of inflammation-related proteins measured in blood samples are associated with total dementia incidence. Future studies should concentrate not only on single biomarkers but also on the complex relationships in biomarker clusters.

Long-term low-dose acetylsalicylic use shows protective potential for the development of both vascular dementia and Alzheimer's disease in patients with coronary heart disease but not in other individuals from the general population: results from two large cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: No population-based cohort study investigated a potential inverse association between long-term low-dose acetylsalicylic acid (ASA) use and all-cause dementia and its two most common sub-types Alzheimer's disease (AD) and vascular dementia (VD) so far. METHODS: Cox regression models with inverse probability of treatment weighting to model the underlying cardiovascular risk were used to assess the associations of low-dose ASA use with all-cause dementia, AD, and VD incidence in community-dwelling older adults from the German ESTHER study (N = 5258) and the UK Biobank (N = 305,394). Inclusion criteria were age of 55 years or older and completed drug assessment. Meta-analyses of the individual participant data from the two prospective cohort studies were performed. RESULTS: Four hundred seventy-six cases of all-cause dementia, 157 cases of AD, and 183 cases of VD were diagnosed over a median of 14.3 years of follow-up in ESTHER. In the UK Biobank, 5584 participants were diagnosed with all-cause dementia, 2029 with AD, and 1437 with VD over a median of 11.6 years. The meta-analysis of both cohorts revealed a weak reduction in hazards for all-cause dementia (hazard ratio (HR) [95% confidence interval (CI)]: 0.96 [0.93 to 0.99]). The strongest protective effect of low-dose ASA was observed in participants with coronary heart disease (CHD) in both cohorts, and a significant interaction was detected. In particular, in meta-analysis, a 31% reduction in hazard for AD, 69% for VD and 34% for all-cause dementia were observed (HR [95% CI]: 0.69 [0.59 to 0.80], 0.31 [0.27 to 0.35], 0.46 [0.42 to 0.50], respectively). Furthermore, compared to non-users, users of low-dose ASA for 10 years or longer (who likely use it because they have CHD or a related diagnosis putting them at an increased risk for cardiovascular events) demonstrated a strong protective effect on all dementia outcomes, especially for VD (HR [95% CI]: 0.48 [0.42 to 0.56]) whereas no protective associations were observed with shorter low-dose ASA use. CONCLUSIONS: The protective potential of low-dose ASA for all-cause dementia, AD, and VD seems to strongly depend on pre-existing CHD and the willingness of patients to take it for a minimum of ten years.

Risk of Late-Onset Depression and Cognitive Decline: Results From Inflammatory Proteome Analyses in a Prospective Population-Based Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Research suggests that inflammation is linked to both late-onset depression (LOD) and cognitive decline, and that LOD might have biological underpinnings differentiating it from recurrent depression. Evidence from inflammatory proteome analyses in large prospective cohorts is scarce. The aim of this study was to assess whether and which inflammation-related biomarkers are associated with LOD, recurrent depression, and cognitive decline due to vascular pathology (vascular dementia). DESIGN: Ongoing population-based cohort study of older adults followed for up to 17 years with regard to clinical diagnosis of various age-related diseases (ESTHER study, n = 9,940). SETTING: Longitudinal cohort started in 2000-2002 in a community setting in Saarland, a southwestern German state. PARTICIPANTS: Subgroup of randomly selected participants of the ESTHER study (n = 1,665). MEASUREMENTS: Inflammatory biomarkers were measured with the Olink Target 96 in baseline samples. RESULTS: Out of 78 biomarkers interleukin 10 (IL-10) and C-C chemokine ligand 4 (CCL4) were associated with significantly increased risk of LOD after multiple testing correction. Hazard ratios (95-confidence interval) per 1 standard deviation increase were 1.37 (1.15-1.63) for IL-10 and 1.34 (1.13-1.59) for CCL4. None of the inflammatory markers was associated with recurrent depression. The dose-response analysis showed a similar monotonic risk increase for LOD and vascular dementia with increasing IL-10 levels. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that inflammatory markers are involved in the etiology of LOD, but not of recurrent depression and that LOD and vascular dementia might share common inflammatory etiology with respect to IL-10.

Long-term effects of smoking on serum concentrations of oxidative stress biomarkers: Results of a large, population-based cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Cross-sectional studies have consistently shown an association between current smoking and oxidative stress biomarkers. However, no longitudinal studies have been performed so far. METHODS: The oxidative stress biomarkers "total thiol groups of serum proteins" (TTP), and "derivatives of reactive oxygen metabolites" (D-ROM) were measured in serum samples of 3835 participants of a population-based, German cohort study of older adults (age: 60-84 years) with repeated measurements for 2834 participants three years later. Multivariable linear regression models were applied and ß-coefficients with 95% confidence intervals were obtained. RESULTS: In both cross-sectional and longitudinal analysis, current smoking was statistically significantly associated with increased D-ROM levels, and a dose-response relationship between the amount of daily tobacco consumption and the D-ROM concentrations was observed that plateaued at ≥15 g of tobacco consumption per day. Former smoking was also associated with D-ROM levels. Only former smokers who quitted smoking more than 10 years ago had no increased D-ROM levels compared to never smokers. There was neither a cross-sectional nor longitudinal association between any of the smoking variables and TTP levels. CONCLUSION: This large population-based cohort of older German adults suggests that smoking has long-term effects on the oxidative stress burden. The further increasing D-ROM levels of current smokers at an older age and the observation that it may take more than 10 years until the redox balance is restored are solid arguments for quitting smoking as soon as possible at any age.

The canonical and non-canonical NF-κB pathways and their crosstalk: A comparative study based on Petri nets.

NF-κB is a protein complex that occurs in almost all animal cell types. It regulates the cellular immune responses to stimuli in the nucleus. Dysregulation of NF-κB can cause severe diseases like chronic inflammation, autoimmune diseases or cancer. We modeled the two major pathways leading from the external cellular stimulation of the CD40 receptor to the nuclear translocation of NF-κB dimers, the canonical and non-canonical pathway. Based on literature data, we developed two Petri net models describing these pathways. In a third Petri net, we combined the two models, introducing crosstalk specific in CD40L-stimulated B cells. In terms of structural properties, we checked the Petri nets for their consistency and correctness. To explore differences and similarities, we compared structural properties and the simulation behavior of the models. The non-canonical NF-κB pathway exhibited a more diverse regulation than the canonical pathway. Applying in silico knockout analyses, we were able to quantify the relevance of individual biochemical processes. We predicted interrelationships, e.g., between the synthesis of the protein NF-κB-inducing kinase and the processing of the precursor protein p100. The activation of the transcription factors, p50-RelA and p52-RelB, was affected by most of the knockouts. The results of the in silico knockout were in accordance with experimental studies. The Petri net models provide a basis for further analyses and could be extended to include gene expression, additional pathways, molecular processes, and kinetic data.

Association of F2-isoprostane levels with Alzheimer's disease in observational studies: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: The association between F2-isoprostanes and Alzheimer's disease (AD) has been controversially discussed in the literature since the 1990s. However, no systematic review has been performed so far. METHODS: A systematic review of observational studies on the associations of F2-isoprostanes and the specific biomarker 8-iso-prostaglandin F2α with AD were conducted. Random-effects model meta-analyses were performed. RESULTS: 29 studies were included in the systematic review, including four longitudinal studies. In an overall meta-analysis of the 25 cross-sectional studies, F2-isoprostane levels were statistically significantly associated with AD (Hedge's g [95% confidence interval]: 1.00 [0.69-1.32]). When studies were grouped by biomarker and sample specimen, F2-isoprostane and 8-iso-prostaglandin F2α levels were statistically significantly elevated in tissue samples of the frontal lobe of AD patients. Moreover, F2-isoprostane levels in cerebrospinal fluid and 8-iso-prostaglandin F2α levels in blood samples of AD patients were significantly increased. Meta-analyses of the few longitudinal studies did not reach statistical significance. DISCUSSION: Increased concentrations of F2-isoprostanes were found in AD patients. However, due to the lack of adjustment in most cross-sectional case-control studies, results must be interpreted carefully. In addition, the causality of the association is uncertain because evidence from well-conducted longitudinal studies was conflicting, and further longitudinal studies are required to reinforce the results.

Novel associations between inflammation-related proteins and adiposity: A targeted proteomics approach across four population-based studies.

Chronic low-grade inflammation has been proposed as a linking mechanism between obesity and the development of inflammation-related conditions such as insulin resistance and cardiovascular disease. Despite major advances in the last 2 decades, the complex relationship between inflammation and obesity remains poorly understood. Therefore, we aimed to identify novel inflammation-related proteins associated with adiposity. We investigated the association between BMI and waist circumference and 72 circulating inflammation-related proteins, measured using the Proximity Extension Assay (Olink Proteomics), in 3,308 participants of four independent European population-based studies (KORA-Fit, BVSII, ESTHER, and Bialystok PLUS). In addition, we used body fat mass measurements obtained by Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) in the Bialystok PLUS study to further validate our results and to explore the relationship between inflammation-related proteins and body fat distribution. We found 14 proteins associated with at least one measure of adiposity across all four studies, including four proteins for which the association is novel: DNER, SLAMF1, RANKL, and CSF-1. We confirmed previously reported associations with CCL19, CCL28, FGF-21, HGF, IL-10RB, IL-18, IL-18R1, IL-6, SCF, and VEGF-A. The majority of the identified inflammation-related proteins were associated with visceral fat as well as with the accumulation of adipose tissue in the abdomen and the trunk. In conclusion, our study provides new insights into the immune dysregulation observed in obesity that might help uncover pathophysiological mechanisms of disease development.

Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis on the Associations of Polypharmacy and Potentially Inappropriate Medication With Adverse Outcomes in Older Cancer Patients.

BACKGROUND: Both polypharmacy and potentially inappropriate medication (PIM) intake are highly prevailing in older cancer patients. However, only studies on the association of polypharmacy and postoperative complications have been meta-analyzed previously. METHODS: A systematic review and a meta-analysis of prospective/retrospective observational studies reporting associations of polypharmacy or PIM with at least one out of five predefined adverse health outcomes in a population of older cancer patients (≥60 years) were carried out. PubMed and Web of Science were used to search for relevant studies published between January 1991 and March 2020. Data were pooled by adopting a random-effects model. RESULTS: Overall, 42 publications were included in the systematic review. Meta-analyses could be performed on 39 studies about polypharmacy and 13 studies about PIM. Polypharmacy was found to be statistically significantly associated with all-cause mortality (risk ratio [95% confidence interval]: 1.37 [1.25-1.50]), hospitalization (1.53 [1.37-1.71]), treatment-related toxicity (1.22 [1.01-1.47]), and postoperative complications (1.73 [1.36-2.20]). The association of polypharmacy with prolongation of hospitalization was not statistically significant at the p < .05 significance level (1.62 [0.98-2.66]). With respect to PIM, a statistically significant association with all-cause mortality (1.43 [1.08-1.88]) was observed but not with other adverse outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Polypharmacy was found to be associated with several adverse outcomes and PIM use with all-cause mortality in older cancer patients. However, these results should be interpreted with caution because about three-quarters of the studies identified did not adjust for comorbidity and are prone to confounding by indication.

Associations of urinary 8-iso-prostaglandin F2α levels with all-cause dementia, Alzheimer's disease, and vascular dementia incidence: results from a prospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Prospective studies on a potential association of 8-iso-prostaglandin F2α (8-iso-PGF2α ) levels, a biomarker of lipid peroxidation, with dementia are limited. METHODS: Multivariate Cox regression models were used to assess potential associations of urinary 8-iso-PGF2α levels with all-cause, Alzheimer's disease (AD), and vascular dementia (VD) incidence in 5853 older adults from a German, population-based cohort. RESULTS: Over 14 years of follow-up, 365 all-cause dementia cases including 127 VD and 109 AD cases were diagnosed. Participants in the top compared to the bottom 8-iso-PGF2α tertile had a 45% increased risk of all-cause dementia incidence (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 1.45 [1.12 to 1.88]). Interaction with the apolipoprotein E (APOE) ԑ4/ԑ4 genotype was detected (P = .02). Furthermore, continuously modeled, logarithmized 8-iso-PGF2α levels were statistically significantly associated with all-cause dementia and AD incidence. DISCUSSION: Oxidative stress may be involved in the pathogenesis of dementia. Individuals with increased 8-iso-PGF2α levels and the APOE ԑ4/ԑ4 genotype showed a considerably increased dementia risk.