COVID-19 Outcomes Among Hematopoietic Cell Transplant and Chimeric Antigen Receptor T-Cell Recipients in the Era of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron Variants and COVID-19 Therapeutics.

Recipients of cellular therapies, including hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) and chimeric antigen receptor T-cell (CART) therapy, are at risk for poor outcomes from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). There are limited data describing outcomes among patients in the pre- and early post-cellular therapy period during the Omicron era when multiple antiviral therapeutics were widely available. The objective of this study is to describe COVID-19 treatment and outcomes in patients diagnosed with COVID-19 during the pre- or early post-cellular therapy period. This is a single-center retrospective cohort study of adult HCT and CART recipients diagnosed with COVID-19 in the pre- and early post-cellular therapy period who tested positive for COVID-19 at our cancer center between January 1, 2022 and March 1, 2023. Primary outcomes were 30-day COVID-19-related hospitalization and death. A secondary outcome was development of persistent COVID-19, defined by a positive SARS-CoV-2 polymerase chain reaction (PCR) 31 to 90 days after COVID-19 diagnosis. Among 65 patients included, 52 (80%) received at least one COVID-19 therapeutic. The most common treatment after initial COVID-19 diagnosis was nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (29%), followed by monoclonal antibody therapy (26%) and remdesivir (11%). Of the 64 patients with at least 30 days of follow-up, 8 (12%) had at least one COVID-19-related hospitalization and one patient died, though cause of death was not due to COVID-19. Of the 8 patients hospitalized for COVID-19, one had severe disease and 7 had mild or moderate infection. Persistent COVID-19 was observed in 13/65 (20%) patients, with 4 patients requiring additional antiviral therapy. Three pre-cellular therapy patients had delays in receiving cellular therapy due to persistent COVID-19. During the Omicron era, rates of 30-day COVID-19-related hospitalization and death were relatively low in this cohort of pre- and early post-HCT and CART recipients, the majority of whom received treatment with at least one antiviral agent. Persistent COVID-19 occurred in 1 in 5 patients in the peri-cellular therapy period and led to cellular therapy treatment delays in several patients, highlighting the need for new COVID-19 treatment strategies.

Health-related quality of life with gilteritinib vs placebo posttransplant for FLT3-ITD+ acute myeloid leukemia.

ABSTRACT: The Blood and Marrow Transplant (BMT) Clinical Trials Network conducted a phase 3 randomized trial comparing gilteritinib with placebo after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) for FLT3-ITD+ acute myeloid leukemia (AML). The primary analysis demonstrated no statistically significant difference in relapse-free survival (RFS); however, patients with FLT3-ITD measurable residual disease (MRD) peri-HCT had significantly longer RFS with gilteritinib. This analysis investigates the effect of post-HCT gilteritinib vs placebo on health-related quality of life (HRQOL). HRQOL was measured with Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Bone Marrow Transplant (FACT-BMT), FACT-Leukemia (FACT-Leu), and EuroQOL-5 Dimensions (EQ-5D-5L) at post-HCT randomization; day 29; months 3, 6, 12, 18, 24; and/or end of therapy. HRQOL and clinically meaningful differences were summarized using descriptive statistics and compared using mixed model repeated measures to evaluate longitudinal change from baseline and stratified Cox model to evaluate time to improvement. HRQOL completion rate was acceptable (>70%) across all time points and measures. There were no differences in HRQOL scores at any time point between cohorts. Clinically meaningful and time to improvement in HRQOL were similar in both arms. Despite higher treatment-emergent adverse effects with gilteritinib, response to the question of being "bothered by side effects of treatment" did not differ between groups. Subgroup analysis of MRD-positive and negative patients demonstrated no differences in HRQOL between arms. For patients with FLT3-ITD+ AML undergoing HCT, gilteritinib maintenance was not associated with any difference in HRQOL or patient-reported impact of side effects. This trial was registered at www.ClinicalTrials.gov as #NCT02997202.

Decreasing Chronic Graft-Versus-Host Disease rates in all populations.

Since 2005 there has been steady decline in chronic graft-versus-host disease (cGVHD) at Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center (FHCC). To better understand this phenomenon, we studied the risk of cGVHD requiring systemic immunosuppression (cGVHD-IS) as a function of hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT)-date in 3066 survivors from 2005 through 2019. Cox regression models were fit to assess associations of HCT-date (as a continuous linear variable) with cause-specific hazards of cGVHD, using unadjusted and adjusted models. Median follow-up for study subjects was 7.0 years (range, 1.0-17.2). Two-year probabilities of cGVHD-IS declined among all survivors from 45-52% (2005-2007) to approximately 40% (2008-2012) and then further to ~26% by 2017. A decline was also observed when the analysis was restricted to 502 pediatric survivors, with cGVHD-IS probabilities being <10% since 2013. Among 305 adult and pediatric survivors who were transplanted for nonmalignant diseases, cGVHD rates showed greater fluctuation but remained <20% after 2016. Each 5-year increase in HCT-date was associated with a 27% decrease in the cause-specific hazard of cGVHD (unadjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.73; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.68-0.78, p<.0001); the HR was 0.81 (95% CI 0.75-0.87, p<.0001) even after adjusting for various factors (age, donor/stem-cell source, race, sex, conditioning intensity, GVHD prophylaxis, among others) that could lead to cGVHD reduction. The decline in cGVHD was not fully explained by demographic shifts and greater use of HCT approaches generally associated with lower cGVHD rates. This observation underscores that single-cohort cGVHD-prevention studies should use contemporaneous and not historical controls for comparisons.

CMV reactivation during pretransplantation evaluation: a novel risk factor for posttransplantation CMV reactivation.

ABSTRACT: Cytomegalovirus (CMV) disease occurs occasionally before allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) and is associated with poor post-HCT outcomes; however, the impact of pre-HCT CMV reactivation is unknown. Pre-HCT CMV reactivation was assessed in HCT candidates from the preemptive antiviral therapy (2007-2017) and letermovir prophylaxis (2018-2021) eras. CMV DNA polymerase chain reaction (PCR) surveillance was routinely performed during the pre-HCT workup period, and antiviral therapy was recommended according to risk of progression to CMV disease. Risk factors for pre-HCT CMV reactivation were characterized, and the associations of pre-HCT CMV reactivation with post-HCT outcomes were examined using logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models, respectively. A total of 1694 patients were identified, and 11% had pre-HCT CMV reactivation 14 days (median; interquartile range [IQR], 6-23) before HCT. Lymphopenia (≤0.3 × 103/µL) was the strongest risk factor for pre-HCT CMV reactivation at multiple PCR levels. In the preemptive therapy era, patients with pre-HCT CMV reactivation had a significantly increased risk of CMV reactivation by day 100 as well as CMV disease and death by 1 year after HCT. Clearance of pre-HCT CMV reactivation was associated with a lower risk of post-HCT CMV reactivation. Similar associations with post-HCT CMV end points were observed in a cohort of patients receiving letermovir prophylaxis. Pre-HCT CMV reactivation can be routinely detected in high-risk HCT candidates and is a significant risk factor for post-HCT CMV reactivation and disease. Pre-HCT CMV DNA PCR surveillance is recommended in high-risk HCT candidates, and antiviral therapy may be indicated to prevent post-HCT CMV reactivation.

Gilteritinib as Post-Transplant Maintenance for AML With Internal Tandem Duplication Mutation of FLT3.

PURPOSE: Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) improves outcomes for patients with AML harboring an internal tandem duplication mutation of FLT3 (FLT3-ITD) AML. These patients are routinely treated with a FLT3 inhibitor after HCT, but there is limited evidence to support this. Accordingly, we conducted a randomized trial of post-HCT maintenance with the FLT3 inhibitor gilteritinib (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02997202) to determine if all such patients benefit or if detection of measurable residual disease (MRD) could identify those who might benefit. METHODS: Adults with FLT3-ITD AML in first remission underwent HCT and were randomly assigned to placebo or 120 mg once daily gilteritinib for 24 months after HCT. The primary end point was relapse-free survival (RFS). Secondary end points included overall survival (OS) and the effect of MRD pre- and post-HCT on RFS and OS. RESULTS: Three hundred fifty-six participants were randomly assigned post-HCT to receive gilteritinib or placebo. Although RFS was higher in the gilteritinib arm, the difference was not statistically significant (hazard ratio [HR], 0.679 [95% CI, 0.459 to 1.005]; two-sided P = .0518). However, 50.5% of participants had MRD detectable pre- or post-HCT, and, in a prespecified subgroup analysis, gilteritinib was beneficial in this population (HR, 0.515 [95% CI, 0.316 to 0.838]; P = .0065). Those without detectable MRD showed no benefit (HR, 1.213 [95% CI, 0.616 to 2.387]; P = .575). CONCLUSION: Although the overall improvement in RFS was not statistically significant, RFS was higher for participants with detectable FLT3-ITD MRD pre- or post-HCT who received gilteritinib treatment. To our knowledge, these data are among the first to support the effectiveness of MRD-based post-HCT therapy.

Flow cytometry of DNMT1 as a biomarker of hypomethylating therapies.

The 5-azacytidine (AZA) and decitabine (DEC) are noncytotoxic, differentiation-inducing therapies approved for treatment of myelodysplastic syndrome, acute myeloid leukemias (AML), and under evaluation as maintenance therapy for AML postallogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant and to treat hemoglobinapathies. Malignant cell cytoreduction is thought to occur by S-phase specific depletion of the key epigenetic regulator, DNA methyltransferase 1 (DNMT1) that, in the case of cancers, thereby releases terminal-differentiation programs. DNMT1-targeting can also elevate expression of immune function genes (HLA-DR, MICA, MICB) to stimulate graft versus leukemia effects. In vivo, there is a large inter-individual variability in DEC and 5-AZA activity because of pharmacogenetic factors, and an assay to quantify the molecular pharmacodynamic effect of DNMT1-depletion is a logical step toward individualized or personalized therapy. We developed and analytically validated a flow cytometric assay for DNMT1 epitope levels in blood and bone marrow cell subpopulations defined by immunophenotype and cell cycle state. Wild type (WT) and DNMT1 knock out (DKO) HC116 cells were used to select and optimize a highly specific DNMT1 monoclonal antibody. Methodologic validation of the assay consisted of cytometry and matching immunoblots of HC116-WT and -DKO cells and peripheral blood mononuclear cells; flow cytometry of H116-WT treated with DEC, and patient samples before and after treatment with 5-AZA. Analysis of patient samples demonstrated assay reproducibility, variation in patient DNMT1 levels prior to treatment, and DNMT1 depletion posttherapy. A flow-cytometry assay has been developed that in the research setting of clinical trials can inform studies of DEC or 5-AZA treatment to achieve targeted molecular pharmacodynamic effects and better understand treatment-resistance/failure.

Analysis of health care facility-onset Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) in a hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) unit: A call for diagnostic stewardship in a complex patient population.

Nearly half the patients identified as having health care facility-onset Clostridioides difficile infections on a hematopoietic cell transplant unit had an alternative clinical explanation for diarrhea, including conditioning regimen toxicity or other medications. Our study supports that targeted diagnostic stewardship interventions should be explored and that additional risk-adjustments considered for facilities with oncology hematopoietic cell transplant wards in the National Healthcare Safety Network LabID Clostridioides difficile infection standardized infection ratio model.

Human herpesvirus-6 reactivation and disease after allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation in the era of letermovir for cytomegalovirus prophylaxis.

OBJECTIVES: Letermovir for cytomegalovirus (CMV) prophylaxis in allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) recipients has decreased anti-CMV therapy use. Contrary to letermovir, anti-CMV antivirals are also active against human herpesvirus-6 (HHV-6). We assessed changes in HHV-6 epidemiology in the post-letermovir era. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of CMV-seropositive allogeneic HCT recipients comparing time periods before and after routine use of prophylactic letermovir. HHV-6 testing was at the discretion of clinicians. We computed the cumulative incidence of broad-spectrum antiviral initiation (foscarnet, (val)ganciclovir, and/or cidofovir), HHV-6 testing, and HHV-6 detection in blood and cerebrospinal fluid within 100 days after HCT. We used Cox proportional-hazards models with stabilized inverse probability of treatment weights to compare outcomes between cohorts balanced for baseline factors. RESULTS: We analysed 738 patients, 376 in the pre-letermovir and 362 in the post-letermovir cohort. Broad-spectrum antiviral initiation incidence decreased from 65% (95% CI, 60-70%) pre-letermovir to 21% (95% CI, 17-25%) post-letermovir. The cumulative incidence of HHV-6 testing (17% [95% CI, 13-21%] pre-letermovir versus 13% [95% CI, 10-16%] post-letermovir), detection (3% [95% CI, 1-5%] in both cohorts), and HHV-6 encephalitis (0.5% [95% CI, 0.1-1.8%] pre-letermovir and 0.6% [95% CI, 0.1-1.9%] post-letermovir) were similar between cohorts. First HHV-6 detection occurred at a median of 37 days (interquartile range, 18-58) in the pre-letermovir cohort and 27 (interquartile range, 25-34) in the post-letermovir cohort. In a weighted model, there was no association between the pre-versus post-letermovir cohort and HHV-6 detection (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.44-2.62). DISCUSSION: Despite a large decrease in broad-spectrum antivirals after the introduction of letermovir prophylaxis in CMV-seropositive allogeneic HCT recipients, there was no evidence for increased clinically detected HHV-6 reactivation and disease.

Cytomegalovirus breakthrough and resistance during letermovir prophylaxis.

Letermovir is a relatively new antiviral for prophylaxis against cytomegalovirus (CMV) after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). CMV-seropositive HCT recipients who received letermovir prophylaxis from 2018 to 2020 at our center were evaluated for letermovir resistance and breakthrough CMV reactivation. Two-hundred twenty-six letermovir recipients were identified and 7/15 (47%) with CMV DNAemia ≥200 IU/mL were successfully genotyped for UL56 resistance. A single C325Y resistance mutation was identified in an umbilical cord blood recipient. Ninety-five (42%), 43 (19%), and 15 (7%) patients had breakthrough CMV at any level, ≥150 IU/mL, and ≥500 IU/mL, respectively. Risk factors for breakthrough CMV reactivation at each viral threshold were examined. Cumulative steroid exposure was the strongest risk factor for CMV at all evaluated viral thresholds. Graft-versus-host disease prophylaxis with post-transplantation cyclophosphamide (aHR 2.34, 95% CI 1.28-4.28, p = 0.001) or calcineurin inhibitors plus mycophenolate (aHR 2.24, 95% CI 1.30-3.86, p = 0.004) were also associated with an increased risk of CMV reactivation at any level. De novo letermovir resistance is rare and can be successfully treated using other antivirals. Letermovir effectively prevents clinically significant CMV, however, subclinical CMV reactivation occurs frequently at our center.

Impact of GVHD prophylaxis on CMV reactivation and disease after HLA-matched peripheral blood stem cell transplantation.

The kinetics of early and late cytomegalovirus (CMV) reactivation after hematopoietic cell transplantation using various methods of graft-versus-host-disease (GVHD) prophylaxis are poorly defined. We retrospectively compared CMV reactivation and disease among 780 seropositive patients given HLA-matched peripheral blood stem cell (PBSC) grafts and calcineurin inhibitor plus posttransplantation cyclophosphamide (PTCy; n = 44), mycophenolate mofetil (MMF; n = 414), or methotrexate (MTX; n = 322). Transplantation occurred between 2007 and 2018; CMV monitoring/management followed uniform standard practice. Hazards of CMV reactivation at various thresholds were compared. Spline curves were fit over average daily viral load and areas under the curve (AUC) within 1 year were calculated. PTCy and MMF were associated with an increased risk of early (day ≤100) CMV reactivation ≥250 IU/mL after multivariate adjustment. The viral load AUC at 1 year was highest with MMF (mean difference = 0.125 units vs MTX group) and similar between PTCy and MTX (mean difference = 0.016 units vs MTX group). CMV disease risk was similar across groups. There was no interaction between GVHD prophylaxis and CMV reactivation on chronic GVHD risk. Despite PTCy-associated increased risk of early CMV reactivation, the CMV disease risk by 1 year was low in HLA-matched PBSC transplant recipients. In contrast, MMF was associated with higher overall CMV viral burden in the 1 year posttransplant. Although different mechanisms of immunosuppressive agents may affect CMV reactivation risk, effective prevention of GVHD may reduce corticosteroid exposure and mitigate infection risk over time.

Long-term patient-reported neurocognitive outcomes in adult survivors of hematopoietic cell transplant.

Survivors of hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) are at risk for neurocognitive impairments, which can negatively affect quality of life. Given limited studies, we aimed to describe the neurocognitive outcomes in a cohort of long-term adult HCT survivors. Eligible survivors (age ≥21 years at HCT and alive ≥2 years following HCT) completed a 60-question survey of neurocognitive function and quality of life, which included the Neuro-Quality of Life Cognitive Function Short Form (Neuro-QoL) and the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study Neurocognitive Questionnaire (NCQ). Analyses of risk factors included univariate comparisons and multivariable logistic regression. Survivors (n = 1861, 47.7% female, 65.6% allogeneic HCT) were surveyed at a median age of 64.2 years (interquartile range [IQR], 56.8-70.5) and a median 12.0 years (IQR, 6.0-21.0) from HCT. Survivors reported average Neuro-QoL scores (50.0 allogeneic; 49.2 autologous survivors) compared with an expected mean of 50 in the general population. On the NCQ, 17.4% to 31.2% of survivors reported impairments (Z-score >1.28) in task efficiency, memory, emotional regulation, or organization, compared with an expected 10% in the general population (all P < .01). In multivariable regression analyses, impaired Neuro-QoL (T-score <40) was independently associated with hearing issues (odds ratio [OR], 2.13; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.46-3.10) and sleep impairment (OR, 4.41; 95% CI, 2.80-6.94) among allogeneic survivors, with comparable associations in autologous survivors. Overall, long-term adult HCT survivors reported average cognitive quality of life compared with the general population. Subsets of survivors with hearing issues and sleep impairments were more likely to report lower quality of life and impaired neurocognitive function, which may facilitate targeted monitoring or interventions following HCT.

Novel factors to predict respiratory viral disease progression in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant recipients.

We assessed novel factors and the immunodeficiency scoring index (ISI) to predict progression to lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) among hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) recipients presenting with upper respiratory tract infection (URTI) with 12 viruses in the PCR era. We retrospectively analyzed the first respiratory virus detected by multiplex PCR in allogeneic HCT recipients (4/2008-9/2018). We used Cox proportional hazards models to examine factors for progression to LRTI within 90 days among patients presenting with URTI. A total of 1027 patients (216 children and 811 adults) presented with URTI only. Among these, 189 (18%) progressed to LRTI (median: 12 days). Multivariable models demonstrated a history of >1 transplant, age ≥40 years, time post-HCT (≤30 days), systemic steroids, hypoalbuminemia, hyperglycemia, cytopenia, and high ISI (scores 7-12) were associated with an increased risk of progression to LRTI. Respiratory syncytial virus and human metapneumovirus showed the highest progression risk. Patients with ≥3 independent risk factors or high ISI scores were highly likely to progress to LRTI. We identified novel risk factors for progression to LRTI, including history of multiple transplants and hyperglycemia, suggesting an intervention opportunity with glycemic control. ISI and number of risk factors appear to predict disease progression across several viruses.

Risk factors for seasonal human coronavirus lower respiratory tract infection after hematopoietic cell transplantation.

Data are limited regarding risk factors for lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) caused by seasonal human coronaviruses (HCoVs) and the significance of virologic documentation by bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) on outcomes in hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) recipients. We retrospectively analyzed patients undergoing allogeneic HCT (4/2008-9/2018) with HCoV (OC43/NL63/HKU1/229E) detected by polymerase chain reaction during conditioning or post-HCT. Risk factors for all manifestations of LRTI and progression to LRTI among those presenting with HCoV upper respiratory tract infection (URTI) were analyzed by logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models, respectively. Mortality rates following HCoV LRTI were compared according to virologic documentation by BAL. A total of 297 patients (61 children and 236 adults) developed HCoV infection as follows: 254 had URTI alone, 18 presented with LRTI, and 25 progressed from URTI to LRTI (median, 16 days; range, 2-62 days). Multivariable logistic regression analyses showed that male sex, higher immunodeficiency scoring index, albumin <3 g/dL, glucose >150 mg/dL, and presence of respiratory copathogens were associated with occurrence of LRTI. Hyperglycemia with steroid use was associated with progression to LRTI (P < .01) in Cox models. LRTI with HCoV detected in BAL was associated with higher mortality than LRTI without documented detection in BAL (P < .01). In conclusion, we identified factors associated with HCoV LRTI, some of which are less commonly appreciated to be risk factors for LRTI with other respiratory viruses in HCT recipients. The association of hyperglycemia with LRTI might provide an intervention opportunity to reduce the risk of LRTI.

Long-term Outcomes with Nonmyeloablative HLA-Identical Related Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation Using Tacrolimus and Mycophenolate Mofetil for Graft-versus-Host Disease Prophylaxis.

Nonmyeloablative allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) from HLA-identical related donors using cyclosporine (CSP) and mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) for postgrafting immunosuppression is effective therapy for hematologic cancers. However, graft-versus-host-disease (GVHD) remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality. Pilot data suggested lower acute GVHD incidence with tacrolimus/MMF compared to historical experience using CSP/MMF after nonmyeloablative HCT. In a phase II multicenter trial, we evaluated the effect of tacrolimus/MMF for GVHD prophylaxis after HLA-identical related donor peripheral blood HCT in patients with hematologic malignancies (n = 150) using conditioning with 2 Gy total body irradiation (TBI) for patients with a preceding (within 6 months) planned autologous HCT (n = 50) or combined with 90 mg/m2 fludarabine for those without recent autologous HCT (n = 100). Oral tacrolimus was given from days -3 to 56 (tapered by day +180 if no GVHD). Oral MMF was given from days 0 to 27. Patient median age was 57 (range, 20 to 74) years. The cumulative incidences (CI) of day 100 grade II to IV and III to IV acute GVHD were 27% and 4%, respectively. With median follow-up of 10.3 (range, 3.1 to 14.5) years, the 5-year CI of chronic extensive GVHD was 48%. One-year and 5-year estimates of nonrelapse mortality, relapse/progression, survival, and progression-free survival were 9% and 13%, 35% and 50%, 73% and 53%, and 56% and 37%, respectively. GVHD prophylaxis with tacrolimus/MMF resulted in a low risk of acute GVHD and compared favorably with results from a concurrent trial using CSP/MMF. A randomized phase III trial to investigate tacrolimus/MMF versus CSP/MMF in nonmyeloablative HCT is warranted.

Blood and marrow transplantation during the emerging COVID-19 pandemic: the Seattle approach.

On January 20, 2020, the first patient with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the United States of America was diagnosed in Washington state, which subsequently experienced rapidly increasing numbers of COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths. This placed the Seattle Blood and Marrow Transplant Program at Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center (Fred Hutch) in the national epicenter of this pandemic. Here, we summarize the experience gained during our rapid response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Our efforts were aimed at safely performing urgent and potentially life-saving stem cell transplants in the setting of pandemic-related stresses on healthcare resources and shelter-in-place public health measures. We describe the unique circumstances and challenges encountered, the current state of the program amidst evolving COVID-19 cases in our community, and the guiding principles for recovery. We also estimate the collateral impact of directing clinical resources toward COVID-19-related care on cancer patients in need of stem cell transplantation. Although our experience was influenced by specific regional and institutional factors, it may help inform how transplant programs respond to COVID-19 and future pandemics.