Rotavirus and the web: analysis of online conversations in Italy during 2020.

Rotavirus is the most common cause of severe diarrhea among children worldwide. In 2017, Italy included rotavirus vaccination in its National Immunization Program. The use of social media monitoring, an efficient tool to understand vaccine hesitancy, has increased in recent years; however, only a few examples of such monitoring are available for Italy. Present study analyzed content on online sources, including social media, to identify factors contributing to Italian parents' decisions to vaccinate or not their children against rotavirus. Blogmeter Suite was used to search and analyze conversations related to rotavirus in Italian on online sources during 2020. These data were compared with data from 2019. There were 2250 mentions of "rotavirus" recorded; 1080 were related to the rotavirus vaccine. Terms and hashtags used were similar in both years. Facebook was the main source of influence, Instagram dominated the engagement (the sum of interactions related to a post), and Google Trends showed a 5-year upward trend in searches for rotavirus vaccine. Of 1270 sentiment opinions, 60.7% were negative. More parents were familiar with the disease and the vaccine in 2020 compared with 2019. Pediatricians were the most influential healthcare professionals (59.2% of mentions), followed by vaccination staff (33.4%). The most relevant factors for vaccine hesitancy were fear of adverse events, concerns about the vaccination schedule, and COVID-19. Present study represents the first web listening analysis of online discussions about rotavirus. The results can be used to inform targeted communication to counteract misinformation and raise awareness about rotavirus vaccination among parents.

A prediction rule for polyarticular extension in oligoarticular-onset juvenile idiopathic arthritis.

OBJECTIVES: To search for predictors of polyarticular extension in children with oligoarticular-onset juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) and to develop a prediction model for an extended course. METHODS: The clinical charts of consecutive patients with oligoarticular-onset JIA and ≥2 years of disease duration were reviewed. Predictor variables included demographic data, number and type of affected joints, presence of iridocyclitis, laboratory tests including antinuclear antibodies, and therapeutic interventions in the first 6 months. Joint examinations were evaluated to establish whether after the first 6 months of disease patients had persistent or extended course (i.e. involvement of 4 or less, or 5 or more joints). Statistics included univariable and multivariable analyses. Regression coefficients (ß) of variables that entered the best-fitting logistic regression model were converted and summed to obtain a "prediction score" for an extended course. RESULTS: A total of 480 patients with a median disease duration of 7.4 years were included. 61.2% had persistent oligoarthritis, whereas 38.8% experienced polyarticular extension. On multivariable analysis, independent correlations with extended course were identified for the presence of ≥2 involved joints and a CRP >0.8 mg/dl in the first 6 months. The prediction score ranged from 0 to 6 and its cut-off that discriminated best between patients who had or did not have polyarticular extension was >1. Sensitivity and specificity were 59.6 and 79.8, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The number of affected joints and the CRP level in the first 6 months were the strongest predictors of polyarticular extension in our children with oligoarticular-onset JIA.

Analysis of arthritis flares after achievement of inactive disease with methotrexate monotherapy in juvenile idiopathic arthritis.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the frequency of arthritis flare and factors affecting occurrence of flare in children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) who achieved inactive disease (ID) with methotrexate (MTX) monotherapy. METHODS: A total of 217 patients were included. The modality of treatment discontinuation, time of MTX withdrawal, and disease course were examined retrospectively. For each patient, the first episode of ID after MTX start was evaluated. Patient follow-up was censored at occurrence of flare or at last visit with persistent ID. RESULTS: 170 patients (78.3%) had arthritis flare after a median of 1.6 years, whereas 47 (21.7%) maintained ID until last visit, after a median of 3 years. 54.2% of patients had discontinued MTX after ID, whereas 45.8% were still receiving MTX at the time of study censoring. Among patients who had MTX withdrawn, the median interval between ID and MTX stop was 1.5 years. Occurrence of flare was more common in patients who were still receiving MTX at study censoring than in those who had discontinued MTX (p<0.001). Most patients (78.8%) had MTX tapered over time by increasing the interval between doses. Tapering modality was comparable between patients with flare and persistent ID. Only 7.7% of the patients had a biologic DMARD started at the time of flare. CONCLUSIONS: Our results confirm that children with JIA who achieve ID with MTX monotherapy have a high risk of arthritis flare. The risk of flare was independent of withdrawal strategy. Most flare episodes were not treated with biologic therapy.

A prediction rule for lack of achievement of inactive disease with methotrexate as the sole disease-modifying antirheumatic therapy in juvenile idiopathic arthritis.

BACKGROUND: To investigate the frequency of achievement of inactive disease (ID) in children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) treated with methotrexate (MTX) as the sole disease-modifyng antirheumatic (DMARD) therapy and to develop a prediction model for lack of attainment of ID. METHODS: The clinical charts of consecutive patients started with MTX as the sole DMARD between 2000 and 2013 were reviewed. Patient follow-up was censored at first episode of ID or, in case ID was not reached, at last follow-up visit or when a biologic DMARD was prescribed. The characteristic at MTX start of patients who achieved or did not achieve ID were compared with univariate and multivariable analyses. Regression coefficients (ß) of variables that entered the best-fitting logistic regression model were converted and summed to obtain a "prediction score" for lack of achievement of ID. RESULTS: A total of 375 patients were included in the study. During MTX administration, 8.8% were given systemic corticosteroids and 44.1% intra-articular corticosteroids. After MTX start, 229 (61%) patients achieved ID after a median of 1.7 years, whereas 146 patients (39%) did not reach ID after a median of 1.2 years. On multivariable analysis, independent correlations with lack of achievement of ID were identified for the disease categories of systemic arthritis, enthesitis-related arthritis (ERA) and polyarthritis and C-reactive protein (CRP) >  1.4 mg/dl. The prediction score ranged from 0 to 3 and its cutoff that discriminated best between patients who achieved or did not achieve ID was > 0.5. The categories of systemic arthritis or ERA, both of which had a score greater than 0.5, were sufficient alone to predict a lower likelihood to reach ID. Polyarthritis and increased CRP, whose score was 0.5, assumed a predictive value only when present in association. CONCLUSION: A conventional treatment regimen based on MTX as the sole DMARD led to achievement of ID in a sizeable proportion of children with JIA. Our findings help to outline the characteristics of patients who may deserve a synthetic DMARD other than MTX or the introduction of a biologic DMARD from disease outset.

Intra-articular corticosteroids versus intra-articular corticosteroids plus methotrexate in oligoarticular juvenile idiopathic arthritis: a multicentre, prospective, randomised, open-label trial.

BACKGROUND: Little evidence-based information is available to guide the treatment of oligoarticular juvenile idiopathic arthritis. We aimed to investigate whether oral methotrexate increases the efficacy of intra-articular corticosteroid therapy. METHODS: We did this prospective, open-label, randomised trial at ten hospitals in Italy. Using a concealed computer-generated list, children younger than 18 years with oligoarticular-onset disease were randomly assigned (1:1) to intra-articular corticosteroids alone or in combination with oral methotrexate (15 mg/m2; maximum 20 mg). Corticosteroids used were triamcinolone hexacetonide (shoulder, elbow, wrist, knee, and tibiotalar joints) or methylprednisolone acetate (ie, subtalar and tarsal joints). We did not mask patients or investigators to treatment assignments. Our primary outcome was the proportion of patients in the intention-to-treat population who had remission of arthritis in all injected joints at 12 months. This trial is registered with European Union Clinical Trials Register, EudraCT number 2008-006741-70. FINDINGS: Between July 7, 2009, and March 31, 2013, we screened 226 participants and randomly assigned 102 to intra-articular corticosteroids alone and 105 to intra-articular corticosteroids plus methotrexate. 33 (32%) patients assigned to intra-articular corticosteroids alone and 39 (37%) assigned to intra-articular corticosteroids and methotrexate therapy had remission of arthritis in all injected joints (p=0·48). Adverse events were recorded for 20 (17%) patients who received methotrexate, which led to permanent treatment discontinuation in two patients (one due to increased liver transaminases and one due to gastrointestinal discomfort). No patient had a serious adverse event. INTERPRETATION: Concomitant administration of methotrexate did not augment the effectiveness of intra-articular corticosteroid therapy. Future studies are needed to define the optimal therapeutic strategies for oligoarticular juvenile idiopathic arthritis. FUNDING: Italian Agency of Drug Evaluation.

Disease status, reasons for discontinuation and adverse events in 1038 Italian children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis treated with etanercept.

BACKGROUND: Data from routine clinical practice are needed to further define the efficacy and safety of biologic medications in children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA). The aim of this analysis was to investigate the disease status, reasons for discontinuation and adverse events in Italian JIA patients treated with etanercept (ETN). METHODS: In 2013, all centers of the Italian Pediatric Rheumatology Study Group were asked to make a census of patients given ETN after January 2000. Patients were classified in three groups: group 1 = patients still taking ETN; group 2 = patients discontinued from ETN for any reasons; group 3 = patients lost to follow-up while receiving ETN. All three groups received a retrospective assessment; patients in group 1 also underwent a cross-sectional assessment. RESULTS: 1038 patients were enrolled by 23 centers: 422 (40.7%) were in group 1, 462 (44.5%) in group 2, and 154 (14.8%) in group 3. Median duration of ETN therapy was 2.5 years. At cross-sectional assessment, 41.8% to 48.6% of patients in group 1 met formal criteria for inactive disease, whereas 52.4% of patients in group 2 and 55.8% of patients in group 3 were judged in clinical remission by their caring physician at last visit. A relatively greater proportion of patients with systemic arthritis were discontinued or lost to follow-up. Parent evaluations at cross-sectional visit in group 1 showed that 52.4% of patients had normal physical function, very few had impairment in quality of life, 51.2% had no pain, 76% had no morning stiffness, and 82.7% of parents were satisfied with their child's illness outcome. Clinically significant adverse events were reported for 27.8% of patients and ETN was discontinued for side effects in 9.5%. The most common adverse events were new onset or recurrent uveitis (10.2%), infections (6.6%), injection site reactions (4.4%), and neuropsychiatric (3.1%), gastrointestinal (2.4%), and hematological disorders (2.1%). Ten patients developed an inflammatory bowel disease and 2 had a malignancy. One patient died of a fulminant streptococcal sepsis. CONCLUSIONS: Around half of the patients achieved complete disease quiescence under treatment with ETN. The medication was overall well tolerated, as only one quarter of patients experienced clinically significant adverse events and less than 10% had treatment discontinued for toxicity.

Defining criteria for high disease activity in juvenile idiopathic arthritis based on the juvenile arthritis disease activity score.

OBJECTIVE: To determine cutoff values for defining the state of high disease activity (HDA) in juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) using the Juvenile Arthritis Disease Activity Score (JADAS). METHODS: For the selection of cutoff values, data from a clinical database including 609 patients were used. Optimal cutoff values were determined against external criteria by calculating the 25th and 10th centile of cumulative score distribution and through receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. External criteria were based on the therapeutic decision made by the attending doctor. Cross-validation was performed using five patient samples that included 1421 patients. RESULTS: The optimal cutoff values were those obtained through the 90% fixed sensitivity method. The selected JADAS cutoff values were the following: 4.2 and 8.5 for JADAS27 in oligoarthritis and polyarthritis, respectively; 4.2 and 10.5 for both JADAS10 and JADAS71 in oligoarthritis and polyarthritis, respectively. In cross-validation analyses, the cutoff values showed strong ability to discriminate between different levels of American College of Rheumatology paediatric response in two clinical trials and could predict worse functional and radiographic outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Cutoff values for classifying HDA in JIA using the JADAS were developed. In cross-validation analyses, they proved to have good construct and discriminant validity and ability to predict disease outcome.

Possible discontinuation of therapies after clinical remission in juvenile idiopathic arthritis.

Several studies have examined effects of discontinuing treatment after clinical remission in children with JIA. So far, only methotrexate and tumour necrosis factor α (TNF) inhibitors have been investigated. Overall, the relapse rate after termination of these medications was substantial. However, with the exception of one controlled trial of methotrexate, all analyses are retrospective. In addition, the results obtained for TNF-α inhibitors are variable and conclusions of existing studies are often divergent. No consistent predictors of the risk of flare were identified. Some evidence exists that low doses of medications may be sufficient to maintain remission. Because achievement of inactive disease has become increasingly more common in paediatric rheumatology practice, evidence-based data and expert recommendations to guide drug discontinuation are needed. This information should help to avoid both the risks and costs of prolonged therapy and to minimize the likelihood of disease flares. It should also be clarified whether it is more advantageous to stop treatment abruptly or to taper it gradually by reducing the dosage progressively or by increasing the interval between doses. Another key objective for future studies is to identify predictors of disease flare after treatment discontinuation. In addition, the optimal policy for discontinuation of other biologic medications used in children with JIA, such as anakinra, abatacept, tocilizumab, and canakinumab, should be established.

Parent and child acceptable symptom state in juvenile idiopathic arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the parent and child acceptable symptom state in juvenile arthritis (JA-PASS and JA-CASS, respectively) and estimate the JA-PASS and JA-CASS cutoff values for outcome measures. METHODS: Children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) and their parents completed a multi-dimensional questionnaire that included parent-reported and child-reported outcomes and a question about whether they considered the disease state as satisfactory. Additional assessments included demographic data, physician-reported outcomes, and acute-phase reactant levels. Stepwise logistic regression was used to assess contributors to JA-PASS and JA-CASS. Cutoff values of outcome measures that defined JA-PASS and JA-CASS were determined using both 75th percentile and receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve methods. Testing procedures included evaluation of discriminative and construct validity of the satisfaction question and assessment of reliability of JA-PASS and JA-PASS cutoffs. RESULTS: Of 584 parents, 385 (65.9%) considered their child in JA-PASS. Of 343 children, 236 (68.8%) considered themselves in JA-CASS. Significant contributors to being in either JA-PASS or JA-CASS were absence of active joints, better rating of overall well-being, and better physical function or health. Cutoff values yielded by 75th percentile and ROC curve methods were similar. Parent, child, and physician global ratings yielded the lowest percentage of false-positive misclassification and the best tradeoff between sensitivity and specificity. The satisfaction question showed good discriminative and construct validity and the JA-PASS and JA-PASS cutoffs were found to be stable over time. CONCLUSION: The acceptable symptom state is a relevant concept for children with JIA and their parents and constitutes a valid outcome measure that is potentially applicable in routine practice and clinical trials.

Antinuclear antibody-positive patients should be grouped as a separate category in the classification of juvenile idiopathic arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: We undertook this study to test the hypothesis that in the International League of Associations for Rheumatology (ILAR) classification of juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA), patients with similar characteristics can be classified into different categories. We sought to investigate whether antinuclear antibody (ANA)-positive patients having disease in the ILAR categories of oligoarthritis, rheumatoid factor-negative polyarthritis, psoriatic arthritis, and undifferentiated arthritis share homogeneous features and to compare these features with those of ANA-negative patients having the same categories of disease. METHODS: We identified JIA patients who had been followed up during a 22-year period. ANA positivity was defined as ≥2 positive results at a titer of ≥1:160. Demographic and clinical features were recorded retrospectively and compared between ANA-positive and ANA-negative patients. RESULTS: Of a total of 971 patients, 711 were ANA positive, 149 were ANA negative, and 111 had an indeterminate ANA status. Patients with indeterminate ANA status were excluded. ANA-positive patients in the different ILAR categories were similar in terms of age at disease presentation, female-to-male ratio, and frequency of asymmetric arthritis and iridocyclitis. Compared with ANA-positive patients, the ANA-negative group was older at disease presentation and had a lower prevalence of females, a lower frequency of iridocyclitis and asymmetric arthritis, a greater number of affected joints over time, and a different pattern of arthritis. The close relationship between the presence of ANAs and younger age at disease presentation, female predominance, asymmetric arthritis, development of iridocyclitis, lower number of affected joints over time, and lack of hip involvement was also confirmed by multivariate and multiple correspondence analysis. CONCLUSION: Our findings substantiate the hypothesis that ANA-positive patients classified into different JIA categories by current ILAR criteria constitute a homogeneous patient population.