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Information in the electronic health record (EHR), such as diagnoses, vital signs, utilization, medications, and laboratory values, may predict fractures well without the need to verbally ascertain risk factors. In our study, as a proof of concept, we developed and internally validated a fracture risk calculator using only information in the EHR. PURPOSE: Fracture risk calculators, such as the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool, or FRAX, typically lie outside the clinician workflow. Conversely, the electronic health record (EHR) is at the center of the clinical workflow, and many variables in the EHR could predict fractures without having to verbally ascertain FRAX risk factors. We sought to evaluate the utility of EHR variables to predict fractures and, as a proof of concept, to create an EHR-based fracture risk model. METHODS: Routine clinical data from 24,189 subjects presenting to primary care from 2010 to 2018 was utilized. Major osteoporotic fractures (MOFs) were captured by physician diagnosis codes. Data was split into training (n = 18,141) and test sets (n = 6048). We fit Cox regression models for candidate risk factors in the training set, and then created a global model using a backward stepwise approach. We then applied the model to the test set and compared the discrimination and calibration to FRAX. RESULTS: We found variables related to vital signs, utilization, diagnoses, medications, and laboratory values to be associated with incident MOF. Our final model included 19 variables, including age, BMI, Parkinson's disease, chronic kidney disease, and albumin levels. When applied to the test set, we found the discrimination (AUC 0.73 vs. 0.70, p = 0.08) and calibration were comparable to FRAX. CONCLUSION: Routinely collected data in EHR systems can generate adequate fracture predictions without the need to verbally ascertain fracture risk factors. In the future, this could allow for automated fracture prediction at the point of care to improve osteoporosis screening and treatment rates.
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We characterized comorbidity profiles and cardiometabolic risk factors among older adults with multiple chronic conditions (MCCs) in New York City using an intersectionality approach. Electronic health record data were obtained from the INSIGHT Clinical Research Network on 367,901 New York City residents aged 50 years or older with MCCs. Comorbidity profiles were heterogeneous. The most common profile across sex and racial and ethnic groups was co-occurring hypertension and hyperlipidemia; prevalence of these 2 conditions differed across groups (4.7%-7.3% co-occurrence alone, 65.1%-88.0% with other conditions). Significant sex and racial and ethnic differences were observed, which may reflect accumulated disparities in risk factors and health care access across the life course.
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Afecciones Crónicas Múltiples , Humanos , Ciudad de Nueva York/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Persona de Mediana Edad , Afecciones Crónicas Múltiples/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Prevalencia , Hipertensión/epidemiología , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Comorbilidad , Registros Electrónicos de SaludRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: This study aimed to examine the prevalence of inappropriate tight glycemic control in older adults with type 2 diabetes and other chronic conditions in New York City, and to identify factors associated with this practice. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the INSIGHT Clinical Research Network. The study population included 11,728 and 15,196 older adults in New York City (age ≥ 75 years) with a diagnosis of type 2 diabetes, and at least one other chronic medical condition, in 2017 and 2022, respectively. The main outcome of interest was inappropriate tight glycemic control, defined as HbA1c <7.0% (<53 mmol/mol) with prescription of at least one high-risk agent (insulin or insulin secretagogue). RESULTS: The proportion of older adults with inappropriate tight glycemic control decreased by nearly 19% over a five-year period (19.4% in 2017 to 15.8% in 2022). There was a significant decrease in insulin (27.8% in 2017; 24.3% in 2022) and sulfonylurea (29.4% in 2017; 21.7% in 2022) medication prescription, and increase in use of GLP-1 agonists (1.8% in 2017; 11.4% in 2022) and SGLT-2 inhibitors (5.8% in 2017; 25.1% in 2022), among the total population. Factors associated with inappropriate tight glycemic control in 2022 included history of heart failure (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.38), chronic kidney disease ([aOR] 1.93), colorectal cancer ([aOR] 1.38), acute myocardial infarction ([aOR] 1.28), "other" ([aOR] 0.72) or "unknown" ([aOR] 0.72) race, and a point increase in BMI ([aOR] 0.98). CONCLUSIONS: We found an encouraging trend toward less use of high-risk medication strategies for older adults with type 2 diabetes and multiple chronic conditions. However, one in six patients in 2022 still had inappropriate tight glycemic control, indicating a need for continued efforts to optimize diabetes management in this population.
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Paxlovid has been approved for use in patients who are at high risk for severe acute COVID-19 illness. Evidence regarding whether Paxlovid protects against Post-Acute Sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), or Long COVID, is mixed in high-risk patients and lacking in low-risk patients. With a target trial emulation framework, we evaluated the association of Paxlovid treatment within 5 days of SARS-CoV-2 infection with incident Long COVID and hospitalization or death from any cause in the post-acute period (30-180 days after infection) using electronic health records from the Patient-Centered Clinical Research Networks (PCORnet) RECOVER repository. The study population included 497,499 SARS-CoV-2 positive patients between March 1, 2022, to February 1, 2023, and among which 165,256 were treated with Paxlovid within 5 days since infection and 307,922 were not treated with Paxlovid or other COVID-19 treatments. Compared with the non-treated group, Paxlovid treatment was associated with reduced risk of Long COVID with a Hazard Ratio (HR) of 0.88 (95% CI, 0.87 to 0.89) and absolute risk reduction of 2.99 events per 100 persons (95% CI, 2.65 to 3.32). Paxlovid treatment was associated with reduced risk of all-cause death (HR, 0.53, 95% CI 0.46 to 0.60; risk reduction 0.23 events per 100 persons, 95% CI 0.19 to 0.28) and hospitalization (HR, 0.70, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.73; risk reduction 2.37 events per 100 persons, 95% CI 2.19 to 2.56) in the post-acute phase. For those without documented risk factors, the associations (HR, 1.03, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.11; risk increase 0.80 events per 100 persons, 95% CI -0.84 to 2.45) were inconclusive. Overall, high-risk, nonhospitalized adult patients with COVID-19 who were treated with Paxlovid within 5 days of SARS-CoV-2 infection had a lower risk of Long COVID and all-cause hospitalization or death in the post-acute period. However, Long COVID risk reduction with Paxlovid was not observed in low-risk patients.
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Background: Data modernization efforts to strengthen surveillance capacity could help assess trends in use of preventive services and diagnoses of new chronic disease during the COVID-19 pandemic, which broadly disrupted health care access. Methods: This cross-sectional study examined electronic health record data from US adults aged 21 to 79 years in a large national research network (PCORnet), to describe use of 8 preventive health services (Nâ=â30,783,825 patients) and new diagnoses of 9 chronic diseases (Nâ=â31,588,222 patients) during 2018 through 2022. Joinpoint regression assessed significant trends, and health debt was calculated comparing 2020 through 2022 volume to prepandemic (2018 and 2019) levels. Results: From 2018 to 2022, use of some preventive services increased (hemoglobin A1c and lung computed tomography, both P < .05), others remained consistent (lipid testing, wellness visits, mammograms, Papanicolaou tests or human papillomavirus tests, stool-based screening), and colonoscopies or sigmoidoscopies declined (P < .01). Annual new chronic disease diagnoses were mostly stable (6% hypertension; 4% to 5% cholesterol; 4% diabetes; 1% colonic adenoma; 0.1% colorectal cancer; among women, 0.5% breast cancer), although some declined (lung cancer, cervical intraepithelial neoplasia or carcinoma in situ, cervical cancer, all P < .05). The pandemic resulted in health debt, because use of most preventive services and new diagnoses of chronic disease were less than expected during 2020; these partially rebounded in subsequent years. Colorectal screening and colonic adenoma detection by age group aligned with screening recommendation age changes during this period. Conclusion: Among over 30 million patients receiving care during 2018 through 2022, use of preventive services and new diagnoses of chronic disease declined in 2020 and then rebounded, with some remaining health debt. These data highlight opportunities to augment traditional surveillance with EHR-based data.
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COVID-19 , Servicios Preventivos de Salud , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Enfermedad Crónica/epidemiología , Enfermedad Crónica/prevención & control , Servicios Preventivos de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Servicios Preventivos de Salud/tendencias , Estudios Transversales , Adulto , Femenino , Anciano , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , Masculino , SARS-CoV-2 , Adulto Joven , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , PandemiasRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: SARS-CoV-2-infected patients may develop new conditions in the period after the acute infection. These conditions, the post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC, or Long COVID), involve a diverse set of organ systems. Limited studies have investigated the predictability of Long COVID development and its associated risk factors. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we used electronic healthcare records from two large-scale PCORnet clinical research networks, INSIGHT (~1.4 million patients from New York) and OneFlorida+ (~0.7 million patients from Florida), to identify factors associated with having Long COVID, and to develop machine learning-based models for predicting Long COVID development. Both SARS-CoV-2-infected and non-infected adults were analysed during the period of March 2020 to November 2021. Factors associated with Long COVID risk were identified by removing background associations and correcting for multiple tests. RESULTS: We observed complex association patterns between baseline factors and a variety of Long COVID conditions, and we highlight that severe acute SARS-CoV-2 infection, being underweight, and having baseline comorbidities (e.g., cancer and cirrhosis) are likely associated with increased risk of developing Long COVID. Several Long COVID conditions, e.g., dementia, malnutrition, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, heart failure, PASC diagnosis U099, and acute kidney failure are well predicted (C-index > 0.8). Moderately predictable conditions include atelectasis, pulmonary embolism, diabetes, pulmonary fibrosis, and thromboembolic disease (C-index 0.7-0.8). Less predictable conditions include fatigue, anxiety, sleep disorders, and depression (C-index around 0.6). CONCLUSIONS: This observational study suggests that association patterns between investigated factors and Long COVID are complex, and the predictability of different Long COVID conditions varies. However, machine learning-based predictive models can help in identifying patients who are at risk of developing a variety of Long COVID conditions.
Most people who develop COVID-19 make a full recovery, but some go on to develop post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection, commonly known as Long COVID. Up to now, we did not know why some people are affected by Long COVID whilst others are not. We conducted a study to identify risk factors for Long COVID and developed a mathematical modeling approach to predict those at risk. We find that Long COVID is associated with some factors such as experiencing severe acute COVID-19, being underweight, and having conditions including cancer or cirrhosis. Due to the wide variety of symptoms defined as Long COVID, it may be challenging to come up with a set of risk factors that can predict the whole spectrum of Long COVID. However, our approach could be used to predict a variety of Long COVID conditions.
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IMPORTANCE: The frequency and characteristics of post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC) may vary by SARS-CoV-2 variant. OBJECTIVE: To characterize PASC-related conditions among individuals likely infected by the ancestral strain in 2020 and individuals likely infected by the Delta variant in 2021. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study of electronic medical record data for approximately 27 million patients from March 1, 2020-November 30, 2021. SETTING: Healthcare facilities in New York and Florida. PARTICIPANTS: Patients who were at least 20 years old and had diagnosis codes that included at least one SARS-CoV-2 viral test during the study period. EXPOSURE: Laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 infection, classified by the most common variant prevalent in those regions at the time. MAIN OUTCOME(S) AND MEASURE(S): Relative risk (estimated by adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]) and absolute risk difference (estimated by adjusted excess burden) of new conditions, defined as new documentation of symptoms or diagnoses, in persons between 31-180 days after a positive COVID-19 test compared to persons without a COVID-19 test or diagnosis during the 31-180 days after the last negative test. RESULTS: We analyzed data from 560,752 patients. The median age was 57 years; 60.3% were female, 20.0% non-Hispanic Black, and 19.6% Hispanic. During the study period, 57,616 patients had a positive SARS-CoV-2 test; 503,136 did not. For infections during the ancestral strain period, pulmonary fibrosis, edema (excess fluid), and inflammation had the largest aHR, comparing those with a positive test to those without a COVID-19 test or diagnosis (aHR 2.32 [95% CI 2.09 2.57]), and dyspnea (shortness of breath) carried the largest excess burden (47.6 more cases per 1,000 persons). For infections during the Delta period, pulmonary embolism had the largest aHR comparing those with a positive test to a negative test (aHR 2.18 [95% CI 1.57, 3.01]), and abdominal pain carried the largest excess burden (85.3 more cases per 1,000 persons). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: We documented a substantial relative risk of pulmonary embolism and a large absolute risk difference of abdomen-related symptoms after SARS-CoV-2 infection during the Delta variant period. As new SARS-CoV-2 variants emerge, researchers and clinicians should monitor patients for changing symptoms and conditions that develop after infection.
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COVID-19 , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Femenino , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , SARS-CoV-2/aislamiento & purificación , Estudios Retrospectivos , Adulto , Anciano , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Síndrome Post Agudo de COVID-19 , Florida/epidemiología , Estudios de CohortesRESUMEN
Background: Little is known about post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC) after acquiring SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy. We aimed to evaluate the association between acquiring SARS-CoV-2 during pregnancy compared with acquiring SARS-CoV-2 outside of pregnancy and the development of PASC. Methods: This retrospective cohort study from the Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery (RECOVER) Initiative Patient-Centred Clinical Research Network (PCORnet) used electronic health record (EHR) data from 19 U.S. health systems. Females aged 18-49 years with lab-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection from March 2020 through June 2022 were included. Validated algorithms were used to identify pregnancies with a delivery at >20 weeks' gestation. The primary outcome was PASC, as previously defined by computable phenotype in the adult non-pregnant PCORnet EHR dataset, identified 30-180 days post-SARS-CoV-2 infection. Secondary outcomes were the 24 component diagnoses contributing to the PASC phenotype definition. Univariable comparisons were made for baseline characteristics between individuals with SARS-CoV-2 infection acquired during pregnancy compared with outside of pregnancy. Using inverse probability of treatment weighting to adjust for baseline differences, the association between SARS-CoV-2 infection acquired during pregnancy and the selected outcomes was modelled. The incident risk is reported as the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) with 95% confidence intervals. Findings: In total, 83,915 females with SARS-CoV-2 infection acquired outside of pregnancy and 5397 females with SARS-CoV-2 infection acquired during pregnancy were included in analysis. Non-pregnant females with SARS-CoV-2 infection were more likely to be older and have comorbid health conditions. SARS-CoV-2 infection acquired in pregnancy as compared with acquired outside of pregnancy was associated with a lower incidence of PASC (25.5% vs 33.9%; aHR 0.85, 95% CI 0.80-0.91). SARS-CoV-2 infection acquired in pregnant females was associated with increased risk for some PASC component diagnoses including abnormal heartbeat (aHR 1.67, 95% CI 1.43-1.94), abdominal pain (aHR 1.34, 95% CI 1.16-1.55), and thromboembolism (aHR 1.88, 95% CI 1.17-3.04), but decreased risk for other diagnoses including malaise (aHR 0.35, 95% CI 0.27-0.47), pharyngitis (aHR 0.36, 95% CI 0.26-0.48) and cognitive problems (aHR 0.39, 95% CI 0.27-0.56). Interpretation: SARS-CoV-2 infection acquired during pregnancy was associated with lower risk of development of PASC at 30-180 days after incident SARS-CoV-2 infection in this nationally representative sample. These findings may be used to counsel pregnant and pregnant capable individuals, and direct future prospective study. Funding: National Institutes of Health (NIH) Other Transaction Agreement (OTA) OT2HL16184.
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Estimates of post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC) incidence, also known as Long COVID, have varied across studies and changed over time. We estimated PASC incidence among adult and pediatric populations in three nationwide research networks of electronic health records (EHR) participating in the RECOVER Initiative using different classification algorithms (computable phenotypes). Overall, 7% of children and 8.5%-26.4% of adults developed PASC, depending on computable phenotype used. Excess incidence among SARS-CoV-2 patients was 4% in children and ranged from 4-7% among adults, representing a lower-bound incidence estimation based on two control groups - contemporary COVID-19 negative and historical patients (2019). Temporal patterns were consistent across networks, with peaks associated with introduction of new viral variants. Our findings indicate that preventing and mitigating Long COVID remains a public health priority. Examining temporal patterns and risk factors of PASC incidence informs our understanding of etiology and can improve prevention and management.
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Objective: Personal and family history of suicidal thoughts and behaviors (PSH and FSH, respectively) are significant risk factors associated with future suicide events. These are often captured in narrative clinical notes in electronic health records (EHRs). Collaboratively, Weill Cornell Medicine (WCM), Northwestern Medicine (NM), and the University of Florida (UF) developed and validated deep learning (DL)-based natural language processing (NLP) tools to detect PSH and FSH from such notes. The tool's performance was further benchmarked against a method relying exclusively on ICD-9/10 diagnosis codes. Materials and Methods: We developed DL-based NLP tools utilizing pre-trained transformer models Bio_ClinicalBERT and GatorTron, and compared them with expert-informed, rule-based methods. The tools were initially developed and validated using manually annotated clinical notes at WCM. Their portability and performance were further evaluated using clinical notes at NM and UF. Results: The DL tools outperformed the rule-based NLP tool in identifying PSH and FHS. For detecting PSH, the rule-based system obtained an F1-score of 0.75 ± 0.07, while the Bio_ClinicalBERT and GatorTron DL tools scored 0.83 ± 0.09 and 0.84 ± 0.07, respectively. For detecting FSH, the rule-based NLP tool's F1-score was 0.69 ± 0.11, compared to 0.89 ± 0.10 for Bio_ClinicalBERT and 0.92 ± 0.07 for GatorTron. For the gold standard corpora across the three sites, only 2.2% (WCM), 9.3% (NM), and 7.8% (UF) of patients reported to have an ICD-9/10 diagnosis code for suicidal thoughts and behaviors prior to the clinical notes report date. The best performing GatorTron DL tool identified 93.0% (WCM), 80.4% (NM), and 89.0% (UF) of patients with documented PSH, and 85.0%(WCM), 89.5%(NM), and 100%(UF) of patients with documented FSH in their notes. Discussion: While PSH and FSH are significant risk factors for future suicide events, little effort has been made previously to identify individuals with these history. To address this, we developed a transformer based DL method and compared with conventional rule-based NLP approach. The varying effectiveness of the rule-based tools across sites suggests a need for improvement in its dictionary-based approach. In contrast, the performances of the DL tools were higher and comparable across sites. Furthermore, DL tools were fine-tuned using only small number of annotated notes at each site, underscores its greater adaptability to local documentation practices and lexical variations. Conclusion: Variations in local documentation practices across health care systems pose challenges to rule-based NLP tools. In contrast, the developed DL tools can effectively extract PSH and FSH information from unstructured clinical notes. These tools will provide clinicians with crucial information for assessing and treating patients at elevated risk for suicide who are rarely been diagnosed.
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BACKGROUND: An increasing number of studies have described new and persistent symptoms and conditions as potential post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC). However, it remains unclear whether certain symptoms or conditions occur more frequently among persons with SARS-CoV-2 infection compared with those never infected with SARS-CoV-2. We compared the occurrence of specific COVID-associated symptoms and conditions as potential PASC 31- to 150-day following a SARS-CoV-2 test among adults and children with positive and negative test results. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using electronic health record (EHR) data from 43 PCORnet sites participating in a national COVID-19 surveillance program. This study included 3,091,580 adults (316,249 SARS-CoV-2 positive; 2,775,331 negative) and 675,643 children (62,131 positive; 613,512 negative) who had a SARS-CoV-2 laboratory test during March 1, 2020-May 31, 2021 documented in their EHR. We used logistic regression to calculate the odds of having a symptom and Cox models to calculate the risk of having a newly diagnosed condition associated with a SARS-CoV-2 positive test. RESULTS: After adjustment for baseline covariates, hospitalized adults and children with a positive test had increased odds of being diagnosed with ≥ 1 symptom (adults: adjusted odds ratio[aOR], 1.17[95% CI, 1.11-1.23]; children: aOR, 1.18[95% CI, 1.08-1.28]) or shortness of breath (adults: aOR, 1.50[95% CI, 1.38-1.63]; children: aOR, 1.40[95% CI, 1.15-1.70]) 31-150 days following a SARS-CoV-2 test compared with hospitalized individuals with a negative test. Hospitalized adults with a positive test also had increased odds of being diagnosed with ≥ 3 symptoms or fatigue compared with those testing negative. The risks of being newly diagnosed with type 1 or type 2 diabetes (adjusted hazard ratio[aHR], 1.25[95% CI, 1.17-1.33]), hematologic disorders (aHR, 1.19[95% CI, 1.11-1.28]), or respiratory disease (aHR, 1.44[95% CI, 1.30-1.60]) were higher among hospitalized adults with a positive test compared with those with a negative test. Non-hospitalized adults with a positive test also had higher odds or increased risk of being diagnosed with certain symptoms or conditions. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection, especially those who were hospitalized, were at higher risk of being diagnosed with certain symptoms and conditions after acute infection.
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COVID-19 , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Adulto , Niño , Humanos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , SARS-CoV-2 , Síndrome Post Agudo de COVID-19 , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Inequities in health care access leads to suboptimal medication adherence and blood pressure (BP) control. Informatics-based approaches may deliver equitable care and enhance self-management. Patient-reported outcomes (PROs) complement clinical measures to assess the impact of illness on patients' well-being in poststroke care. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to determine the feasibility of incorporating PROs into Telehealth After Stroke Care (TASC) and to explore the effect of this team-based remote BP monitoring program on psychological distress and quality of life in an underserved urban setting. METHODS: Patients discharged home from a Comprehensive Stroke Center were randomized to TASC or usual care for 3 months. They were provided with a BP monitor and a tablet that wirelessly transmitted data to a cloud-based platform, which were integrated with the electronic health record. Participants who did not complete the tablet surveys were contacted via telephone or e-mail. We collected the Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System Managing Medications and Treatment (PROMIS-MMT), Patient Activation Measure (PAM), Neuro-QOL (Quality of Life in Neurological Disorders) Cognitive Function, Neuro-QOL Depression, and Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9). T-tests and linear regression were used to evaluate the differences in PRO change between the arms. RESULTS: Of the 50 participants, two-thirds were Hispanic or non-Hispanic Black individuals. Mechanisms of PRO submission for the arms included tablet (62 vs. 47%), phone (24 vs. 37%), tablet with phone coaching (10 vs. 16%), and e-mail (4 vs. 0%). PHQ-9 depressive scores were nominally lower in TASC at 3 months compared with usual care (2.7 ± 3.6 vs. 4.0 ± 4.1; p = 0.06). No significant differences were observed in PROMIS-MMT, PAM, or Neuro-QoL measures. CONCLUSION: Findings suggest the feasibility of collecting PROs through an interactive web-based platform. The team-based remote BP monitoring demonstrated a favorable impact on patients' well-being. Patients equipped with appropriate resources can engage in poststroke self-care to mitigate inequities in health outcomes.
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Accidente Cerebrovascular , Telemedicina , Humanos , Calidad de Vida , Presión Sanguínea , Accidente Cerebrovascular/terapia , ComprimidosRESUMEN
Background Hypertension and diabetes are associated with increased COVID-19 severity. The association between level of control of these conditions and COVID-19 severity is less well understood. Methods and Results This retrospective cohort study identified adults with COVID-19, March 2020 to February 2022, in 43 US health systems in the National Patient-Centered Clinical Research Network. Hypertension control was categorized as blood pressure (BP) <130/80, 130 to 139/80 to 89, 140 to 159/90 to 99, or ≥160/100 mm Hg, and diabetes control as glycated hemoglobin <7%, 7% to <9%, ≥9%. Adjusted, pooled logistic regression assessed associations between hypertension and diabetes control and severe COVID-19 outcomes. Among 1 494 837 adults with COVID-19, 43% had hypertension and 12% had diabetes. Among patients with hypertension, the highest baseline BP was associated with greater odds of hospitalization (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.30 [95% CI, 1.23-1.37] for BP ≥160/100 versus BP <130/80), critical care (aOR, 1.30 [95% CI, 1.21-1.40]), and mechanical ventilation (aOR, 1.32 [95% CI, 1.17-1.50]) but not mortality (aOR, 1.08 [95% CI, 0.98-1.12]). Among patients with diabetes, the highest glycated hemoglobin was associated with greater odds of hospitalization (aOR, 1.61 [95% CI, 1.47-1.76] for glycated hemoglobin ≥9% versus <7%), critical care (aOR, 1.42 [95% CI, 1.31-1.54]), mechanical ventilation (aOR, 1.12 [95% CI, 1.02-1.23]), and mortality (aOR, 1.18 [95% CI, 1.09-1.27]). Black and Hispanic adults were more likely than White adults to experience severe COVID-19 outcomes, independent of comorbidity score and control of hypertension or diabetes. Conclusions Among 1.5 million patients with COVID-19, higher BP and glycated hemoglobin were associated with more severe COVID-19 outcomes. Findings suggest that adults with poorest control of hypertension or diabetes might benefit from efforts to prevent and initiate early treatment of COVID-19.
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COVID-19 , Diabetes Mellitus , Hipertensión , Adulto , Humanos , Estados Unidos , COVID-19/complicaciones , Estudios Retrospectivos , Hemoglobina Glucada , Hipertensión/tratamiento farmacológico , Atención Dirigida al PacienteRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Osteoporotic fracture prediction calculators are poorly utilized in primary care, leading to underdiagnosis and undertreatment of those at risk for fracture. The use of these calculators could be improved if predictions were automated using the electronic health record (EHR). However, this approach is not well validated in multi-ethnic populations, and it is not clear if the adjustments for race or ethnicity made by calculators are appropriate. OBJECTIVE: To investigate EHR-generated fracture predictions in a multi-ethnic population. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using data from the EHR. SETTING: An urban, academic medical center in Philadelphia, PA. PARTICIPANTS: 12,758 White, 7,844 Black, and 3,587 Hispanic patients seeking routine care from 2010 to 2018 with mean 3.8 years follow-up. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS: FRAX and QFracture, two of the most used fracture prediction tools, were studied. Risk for major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) and hip fracture were calculated using data from the EHR at baseline and compared to the number of fractures that occurred during follow-up. RESULTS: MOF rates varied from 3.2 per 1000 patient-years in Black men to 7.6 in White women. FRAX and QFracture had similar discrimination for MOF prediction (area under the curve, AUC, 0.69 vs. 0.70, p=0.08) and for hip fracture prediction (AUC 0.77 vs 0.79, p=0.21) and were similar by race or ethnicity. FRAX had superior calibration than QFracture (calibration-in-the-large for FRAX 0.97 versus QFracture 2.02). The adjustment factors used in MOF prediction were generally accurate in Black women, but underestimated risk in Black men, Hispanic women, and Hispanic men. LIMITATIONS: Single center design. CONCLUSIONS: Fracture predictions using only EHR inputs can discriminate between high and low risk patients, even in Black and Hispanic patients, and could help primary care physicians identify patients who need screening or treatment. However, further refinements to the calculators may better adjust for race-ethnicity.
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Fracturas de Cadera , Fracturas Osteoporóticas , Masculino , Humanos , Femenino , Fracturas Osteoporóticas/diagnóstico , Fracturas Osteoporóticas/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Densidad Ósea , Medición de Riesgo , Fracturas de Cadera/epidemiología , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Generation of automated clinical notes has been posited as a strategy to mitigate physician burnout. In particular, an automated narrative summary of a patient's hospital stay could supplement the hospital course section of the discharge summary that inpatient physicians document in electronic health record (EHR) systems. In the current study, we developed and evaluated an automated method for summarizing the hospital course section using encoder-decoder sequence-to-sequence transformer models. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We fine-tuned BERT and BART models and optimized for factuality through constraining beam search, which we trained and tested using EHR data from patients admitted to the neurology unit of an academic medical center. RESULTS: The approach demonstrated good ROUGE scores with an R-2 of 13.76. In a blind evaluation, 2 board-certified physicians rated 62% of the automated summaries as meeting the standard of care, which suggests the method may be useful clinically. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: To our knowledge, this study is among the first to demonstrate an automated method for generating a discharge summary hospital course that approaches a quality level of what a physician would write.
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Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Alta del Paciente , Humanos , Programas Informáticos , Pacientes Internos , HospitalesRESUMEN
STUDY OBJECTIVES: Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) has been associated with more severe acute coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) outcomes. We assessed OSA as a potential risk factor for Post-Acute Sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 (PASC). METHODS: We assessed the impact of preexisting OSA on the risk for probable PASC in adults and children using electronic health record data from multiple research networks. Three research networks within the REsearching COVID to Enhance Recovery initiative (PCORnet Adult, PCORnet Pediatric, and the National COVID Cohort Collaborative [N3C]) employed a harmonized analytic approach to examine the risk of probable PASC in COVID-19-positive patients with and without a diagnosis of OSA prior to pandemic onset. Unadjusted odds ratios (ORs) were calculated as well as ORs adjusted for age group, sex, race/ethnicity, hospitalization status, obesity, and preexisting comorbidities. RESULTS: Across networks, the unadjusted OR for probable PASC associated with a preexisting OSA diagnosis in adults and children ranged from 1.41 to 3.93. Adjusted analyses found an attenuated association that remained significant among adults only. Multiple sensitivity analyses with expanded inclusion criteria and covariates yielded results consistent with the primary analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Adults with preexisting OSA were found to have significantly elevated odds of probable PASC. This finding was consistent across data sources, approaches for identifying COVID-19-positive patients, and definitions of PASC. Patients with OSA may be at elevated risk for PASC after SARS-CoV-2 infection and should be monitored for post-acute sequelae.
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COVID-19 , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño , Adulto , Humanos , Niño , COVID-19/complicaciones , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiología , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Síndrome Post Agudo de COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Factores de Riesgo , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño/complicaciones , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño/diagnóstico , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Machine learning (ML)-driven computable phenotypes are among the most challenging to share and reproduce. Despite this difficulty, the urgent public health considerations around Long COVID make it especially important to ensure the rigor and reproducibility of Long COVID phenotyping algorithms such that they can be made available to a broad audience of researchers. As part of the NIH Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery (RECOVER) Initiative, researchers with the National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C) devised and trained an ML-based phenotype to identify patients highly probable to have Long COVID. Supported by RECOVER, N3C and NIH's All of Us study partnered to reproduce the output of N3C's trained model in the All of Us data enclave, demonstrating model extensibility in multiple environments. This case study in ML-based phenotype reuse illustrates how open-source software best practices and cross-site collaboration can de-black-box phenotyping algorithms, prevent unnecessary rework, and promote open science in informatics.
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Boxeo , COVID-19 , Salud Poblacional , Humanos , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Síndrome Post Agudo de COVID-19 , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Aprendizaje Automático , FenotipoRESUMEN
Recent studies have investigated post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC, or long COVID) using real-world patient data such as electronic health records (EHR). Prior studies have typically been conducted on patient cohorts with specific patient populations which makes their generalizability unclear. This study aims to characterize PASC using the EHR data warehouses from two large Patient-Centered Clinical Research Networks (PCORnet), INSIGHT and OneFlorida+, which include 11 million patients in New York City (NYC) area and 16.8 million patients in Florida respectively. With a high-throughput screening pipeline based on propensity score and inverse probability of treatment weighting, we identified a broad list of diagnoses and medications which exhibited significantly higher incidence risk for patients 30-180 days after the laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection compared to non-infected patients. We identified more PASC diagnoses in NYC than in Florida regarding our screening criteria, and conditions including dementia, hair loss, pressure ulcers, pulmonary fibrosis, dyspnea, pulmonary embolism, chest pain, abnormal heartbeat, malaise, and fatigue, were replicated across both cohorts. Our analyses highlight potentially heterogeneous risks of PASC in different populations.
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COVID-19 , Síndrome Post Agudo de COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , SARS-CoV-2 , Puntaje de PropensiónRESUMEN
Importance: The frequency and characteristics of post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC) may vary by SARS-CoV-2 variant. Objective: To characterize PASC-related conditions among individuals likely infected by the ancestral strain in 2020 and individuals likely infected by the Delta variant in 2021. Design: Retrospective cohort study of electronic medical record data for approximately 27 million patients from March 1, 2020-November 30, 2021. Setting: Healthcare facilities in New York and Florida. Participants: Patients who were at least 20 years old and had diagnosis codes that included at least one SARS-CoV-2 viral test during the study period. Exposure: Laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 infection, classified by the most common variant prevalent in those regions at the time. Main Outcomes and Measures: Relative risk (estimated by adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]) and absolute risk difference (estimated by adjusted excess burden) of new conditions, defined as new documentation of symptoms or diagnoses, in persons between 31-180 days after a positive COVID-19 test compared to persons with only negative tests during the 31-180 days after the last negative test. Results: We analyzed data from 560,752 patients. The median age was 57 years; 60.3% were female, 20.0% non-Hispanic Black, and 19.6% Hispanic. During the study period, 57,616 patients had a positive SARS-CoV-2 test; 503,136 did not. For infections during the ancestral strain period, pulmonary fibrosis, edema (excess fluid), and inflammation had the largest aHR, comparing those with a positive test to those with a negative test, (aHR 2.32 [95% CI 2.09 2.57]), and dyspnea (shortness of breath) carried the largest excess burden (47.6 more cases per 1,000 persons). For infections during the Delta period, pulmonary embolism had the largest aHR comparing those with a positive test to a negative test (aHR 2.18 [95% CI 1.57, 3.01]), and abdominal pain carried the largest excess burden (85.3 more cases per 1,000 persons). Conclusions and Relevance: We documented a substantial relative risk of pulmonary embolism and large absolute risk difference of abdomen-related symptoms after SARS-CoV-2 infection during the Delta variant period. As new SARS-CoV-2 variants emerge, researchers and clinicians should monitor patients for changing symptoms and conditions that develop after infection.
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Background: Patients who were SARS-CoV-2 infected could suffer from newly incidental conditions in their post-acute infection period. These conditions, denoted as the post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), are highly heterogeneous and involve a diverse set of organ systems. Limited studies have investigated the predictability of these conditions and their associated risk factors. Method: In this retrospective cohort study, we investigated two large-scale PCORnet clinical research networks, INSIGHT and OneFlorida+, including 11 million patients in the New York City area and 16.8 million patients from Florida, to develop machine learning prediction models for those who are at risk for newly incident PASC and to identify factors associated with newly incident PASC conditions. Adult patients aged 20 with SARS-CoV-2 infection and without recorded infection between March 1st, 2020, and November 30th, 2021, were used for identifying associated factors with incident PASC after removing background associations. The predictive models were developed on infected adults. Results: We find several incident PASC, e.g., malnutrition, COPD, dementia, and acute kidney failure, were associated with severe acute SARS-CoV-2 infection, defined by hospitalization and ICU stay. Older age and extremes of weight were also associated with these incident conditions. These conditions were better predicted (C-index >0.8). Moderately predictable conditions included diabetes and thromboembolic disease (C-index 0.7-0.8). These were associated with a wider variety of baseline conditions. Less predictable conditions included fatigue, anxiety, sleep disorders, and depression (C-index around 0.6). Conclusions: This observational study suggests that a set of likely risk factors for different PASC conditions were identifiable from EHRs, predictability of different PASC conditions was heterogeneous, and using machine learning-based predictive models might help in identifying patients who were at risk of developing incident PASC.