RESUMEN
The worldwide prevalence and incidence rates of end-stage renal disease have been increasing, and the trend is pronounced in Taiwan. This is especially evident in southern Taiwan, where the wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGT) is consistently higher than in other regions. The association between kidney function and WBGT has not been fully investigated. Therefore, the aim of this study was to evaluate the association between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and WBGT and variations in this association across different geographic regions in Taiwan. We used the Taiwan Biobank (TWB) to obtain data on community-dwelling individuals, linked these data with WBGT data obtained from the Central Weather Bureau and then processed the data using a machine learning model. WBGT data were recorded during the working period of the day from 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. These data were then compiled as 1-year, 3-year and 5-year averages, recorded prior to the survey year of the TWB of each participant. We identified 114 483 participants who had WBGT data during 2012-2020. Multivariable analysis showed that, in northern Taiwan, increases in 1- and 3-year averages of WBGT during the working period (ß = -0.092, P = .043 and ß = -0.193, P < .001, respectively) were significantly associated with low eGFR. In southern Taiwan, increases in 1-, 3- and 5-year averages of WBGT during the working period (ß = -0.518, P < .001; ß = -0.690, P < .001; and ß = -0.386, P = .001, respectively) were gnificantly associated with low eGFR. These findings highlight the importance of heat protection for people working outdoors or in high-temperature environments as a measure to prevent negative impacts on kidney function. Moreover, we observed that in southern Taiwan, every 1°C increase in WBGT had a greater impact on the decrease in eGFR compared with other regions in Taiwan.
RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Air pollution is recognized as a modifiable risk factor for dementia, and recent evidence suggests that improving air quality could attenuate cognitive decline and reduce dementia risk. However, studies have yet to explore the effects of improved air quality on brain structures. This study aims to investigate the impact of air pollution reduction on cognitive functions and structural brain differences among cognitively normal older adults. METHODS: Four hundred and thirty-one cognitively normal older adults were from the Epidemiology of Mild Cognitive Impairment study in Taiwan (EMCIT), a community-based cohort of adults aged 60 and older, between year 2017- 2021. Annual concentrations of PM2.5, NO2, O3, and PM10 at participants' residential addresses during the 10 years before enrollment were estimated using ensemble mixed spatial models. The yearly rate of change (slope) in air pollutants was estimated for each participant. Cognitive functions and structural brain images were collected during enrollment. The relationships between the rate of air pollution change and cognitive functions were examined using linear regression models. For air pollutants with significant findings in relation to cognitive function, we further explored the association with brain structure. RESULTS: Overall, all pollutant concentrations, except O3, decreased over the 10-year period. The yearly rates of change (slopes) in PM2.5 and NO2 were correlated with better attention (PM2.5: r = -0.1, p = 0.047; NO2: r = -0.1, p = 0.03) and higher white matter integrity in several brain regions. These regions included anterior thalamic radiation, superior longitudinal fasciculus, inferior longitudinal fasciculus, corticospinal tract, and inferior fronto-occipital fasciculus. CONCLUSIONS: Greater rate of reduction in air pollution was associated with better attention and attention-related white matter integrity. These results provide insight into the mechanism underlying the relationship between air pollution, brain health, and cognitive aging among older adults.
Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Encéfalo , Material Particulado , Humanos , Contaminación del Aire/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano , Taiwán , Masculino , Femenino , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Material Particulado/análisis , Persona de Mediana Edad , Cognición , Envejecimiento/fisiología , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Estudios de Cohortes , Disfunción Cognitiva/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
The incidence and prevalence of dialysis in Taiwan are high compared to other regions. Consequently, mitigating chronic kidney disease (CKD) and the worsening of kidney function have emerged as critical healthcare priorities in Taiwan. Heat stress is known to be a significant risk factor for CKD and kidney function impairment. However, differences in the impact of heat stress between males and females remains unexplored. We conducted this retrospective cross-sectional analysis using data from the Taiwan Biobank (TWB), incorporating records of the wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) during midday (11 AM-2 PM) and working hours (8 AM-5 PM) periods based on the participants' residential address. Average 1-, 3-, and 5-year WBGT values prior to the survey year were calculated and analyzed using a geospatial artificial intelligence-based ensemble mixed spatial model, covering the period from 2010 to 2020. A total of 114,483 participants from the TWB were included in this study, of whom 35.9% were male and 1053 had impaired kidney function (defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2). Multivariable analysis revealed that in the male participants, during the midday period, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year average WBGT values per 1 â increase were significantly positively associated with eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 (odds ratio [OR], 1.096, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.002-1.199, p = 0.044 for 1 year; OR, 1.093, 95% CI = 1.000-1.196, p = 0.005 for 3 years; OR, 1.094, 95% CI = 1.002-1.195, p = 0.045 for 5 years). However, significant associations were not found for the working hours period. In the female participants, during the midday period, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year average WBGT values per 1 â increase were significantly negatively associated with eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 (OR, 0.872, 95% CI = 0.778-0.976, p = 0.018 for 1 year; OR, 0.874, 95% CI = 0.780-0.978, p = 0.019 for 3 years; OR, 0.875, 95% CI = 0.784-0.977, p = 0.018 for 5 years). In addition, during the working hours period, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year average WBGT values per 1 â increase were also significantly negatively associated with eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 (OR, 0.856, 95% CI = 0.774-0.946, p = 0.002 for 1 year; OR, 0.856, 95% CI = 0.774-0.948, p = 0.003 for 3 years; OR, 0.853, 95% CI = 0.772-0.943, p = 0.002 for 5 years). In conclusion, our results revealed that increased WBGT was associated with impaired kidney function in males, whereas increased WBGT was associated with a protective effect against impaired kidney function in females. Further studies are needed to elucidate the exact mechanisms underlying these sex-specific differences.
Asunto(s)
Tasa de Filtración Glomerular , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Taiwán/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Transversales , Estudios Retrospectivos , Anciano , Adulto , Riñón/fisiopatología , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/epidemiología , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/fisiopatología , Factores Sexuales , Factores de Riesgo , Respuesta al Choque Térmico , Trastornos de Estrés por Calor/epidemiología , Trastornos de Estrés por Calor/fisiopatologíaRESUMEN
The Hartman Park community in Houston, Texas-USA, is in a highly polluted area which poses significant risks to its predominantly Hispanic and lower-income residents. Surrounded by dense clustering of industrial facilities compounds health and safety hazards, exacerbating environmental and social inequalities. Such conditions emphasize the urgent need for environmental measures that focus on investigating ambient air quality. This study estimated benzene, one of the most reported pollutants in Hartman Park, using machine learning-based approaches. Benzene data was collected in residential areas in the neighborhood and analyzed using a combination of five machine-learning algorithms (i.e., XGBR, GBR, LGBMR, CBR, RFR) through a newly developed ensemble learning model. Evaluations on model robustness, overfitting tests, 10-fold cross-validation, internal and stratified validation were performed. We found that the ensemble model depicted about 98.7% spatial variability of benzene (Adj. R2 =0.987). Through rigorous validations, stability of model performance was confirmed. Several predictors that contribute to benzene were identified, including temperature, developed intensity areas, leaking petroleum storage tank, and traffic-related factors. Analyzing spatial patterns, we found high benzene spread over areas near industrial zones as well as in residential areas. Overall, our study area was exposed to high benzene levels and requires extra attention from relevant authorities.
RESUMEN
Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) is a major air pollutant primarily emitted from traffic and industrial activities, posing health risks. However, current air pollution models often underestimate exposure risks by neglecting the bimodal pattern of NO2 levels throughout the day. This study aimed to address this gap by developing ensemble mixed spatial models (EMSM) using geo-artificial intelligence (Geo-AI) to examine the spatial and temporal variations of NO2 concentrations at a high resolution of 50m. These EMSMs integrated spatial modelling methods, including kriging, land use regression, machine learning, and ensemble learning. The models utilized 26 years of observed NO2 measurements, meteorological parameters, geospatial layers, and social and season-dependent variables as representative of emission sources. Separate models were developed for daytime and nighttime periods, which achieved high reliability with adjusted R2 values of 0.92 and 0.93, respectively. The study revealed that mean NO2 concentrations were significantly higher at nighttime (9.60 ppb) compared to daytime (5.61 ppb). Additionally, winter exhibited the highest NO2 levels regardless of time period. The developed EMSMs were utilized to generate maps illustrating NO2 levels pre and during COVID restrictions in Taiwan. These findings could aid epidemiological research on exposure risks and support policy-making and environmental planning initiatives.
Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Inteligencia Artificial , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Dióxido de Nitrógeno , Dióxido de Nitrógeno/análisis , Taiwán , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Estaciones del AñoRESUMEN
PM2.5 concentrations are higher during rush hours at background stations compared to the average concentration across these stations. Few studies have investigated PM2.5 concentration and its spatial distribution during rush hours using machine learning models. This study employs a geospatial-artificial intelligence (Geo-AI) prediction model to estimate the spatial and temporal variations of PM2.5 concentrations during morning and dusk rush hours in Taiwan. Mean hourly PM2.5 measurements were collected from 2006 to 2020, and aggregated into morning (7 a.m.-9 a.m.) and dusk (4 p.m.-6 p.m.) rush-hour mean concentrations. The Geo-AI prediction model was generated by integrating kriging interpolation, land-use regression, machine learning, and a stacking ensemble approach. A forward stepwise variable selection method based on the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) index was used to identify the most influential variables. The performance of the Geo-AI models for morning and dusk rush hours had accuracy scores of 0.95 and 0.93, respectively and these results were validated, indicating robust model performance. Spatially, PM2.5 concentrations were higher in southwestern Taiwan for morning rush hours, and suburban areas for dusk rush hours. Key predictors included kriged PM2.5 values, SO2 concentrations, forest density, and the distance to incinerators for both morning and dusk rush hours. These PM2.5 estimates for morning and dusk rush hours can support the development of alternative commuting routes with lower concentrations.
Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Inteligencia Artificial , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Material Particulado , Taiwán , Material Particulado/análisis , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Contaminación del Aire/estadística & datos numéricos , TransportesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Metabolic Dysfunction-associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD) has become a global epidemic, and air pollution has been identified as a potential risk factor. This study aims to investigate the non-linear relationship between ambient air pollution and MASLD prevalence. METHOD: In this cross-sectional study, participants undergoing health checkups were assessed for three-year average air pollution exposure. MASLD diagnosis required hepatic steatosis with at least 1 out of 5 cardiometabolic criteria. A stepwise approach combining data visualization and regression modeling was used to determine the most appropriate link function between each of the six air pollutants and MASLD. A covariate-adjusted six-pollutant model was constructed accordingly. RESULTS: A total of 131,592 participants were included, with 40.6% met the criteria of MASLD. "Threshold link function," "interaction link function," and "restricted cubic spline (RCS) link functions" best-fitted associations between MASLD and PM2.5, PM10/CO, and O3 /SO2/NO2, respectively. In the six-pollutant model, significant positive associations were observed when pollutant concentrations were over: 34.64 µg/m3 for PM2.5, 57.93 µg/m3 for PM10, 56 µg/m3 for O3, below 643.6 µg/m3 for CO, and within 33 and 48 µg/m3 for NO2. The six-pollutant model using these best-fitted link functions demonstrated superior model fitting compared to exposure-categorized model or linear link function model assuming proportionality of odds. CONCLUSION: Non-linear associations were found between air pollutants and MASLD prevalence. PM2.5, PM10, O3, CO, and NO2 exhibited positive associations with MASLD in specific concentration ranges, highlighting the need to consider non-linear relationships in assessing the impact of air pollution on MASLD.
Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Hepatopatías , Humanos , Dióxido de Nitrógeno , Estudios Transversales , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/efectos adversos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Material Particulado/efectos adversos , Material Particulado/análisis , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisisRESUMEN
Ambient ammonia (NH3) plays an important compound in forming particulate matters (PMs), and therefore, it is crucial to comprehend NH3's properties in order to better reduce PMs. However, it is not easy to achieve this goal due to the limited range/real-time NH3 data monitored by the air quality stations. While there were other studies to predict NH3 and its source apportionment, this manuscript provides a novel method (i.e., GEO-AI)) to look into NH3 predictions and their contribution sources. This study represents a pioneering effort in the application of a novel geospatial-artificial intelligence (Geo-AI) base model with parcel tracking functions. This innovative approach seamlessly integrates various machine learning algorithms and geographic predictor variables to estimate NH3 concentrations, marking the first instance of such a comprehensive methodology. The Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) was used to further analyze source contribution of NH3 with domain knowledge. From 2016 to 2018, Taichung's hourly average NH3 values were predicted with total variance up to 96%. SHAP values revealed that waterbody, traffic and agriculture emissions were the most significant factors to affect NH3 concentrations in Taichung among all the characteristics. Our methodology is a vital first step for shaping future policies and regulations and is adaptable to regions with limited monitoring sites.
Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Inteligencia Artificial , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Material Particulado/análisisRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Limited research has explored the long-term effect of reduced PM2.5 exposure on cognitive function. This study aimed to investigate the effects of time-dependent PM2.5 exposure and the interactions of PM2.5 and aging on declines in Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) scores, in carriers and non-carriers of the APOE-ε4 allele. METHODS: Participants aged over 60 were recruited for this cohort study, undergoing MMSE tests twice from the Taiwan Biobank Program from 2008 to 2020. Participants with dementia or baseline MMSE scores <24 were excluded. Annual PM2.5 levels were estimated using a hybrid kriging/land use regression model with extreme gradient boosting, treated as a time-dependent variable. Generalized estimating equations were used to assess the impacts of repeated PM2.5 on MMSE decline, further stratified by the presence of APOE-ε4 alleles. RESULTS: After follow-up, 290 participants out of the overall 7,000 community residents in the Biobank dataset demonstrated incidences of MMSE declines (<24), with an average MMSE score decline of 1.11 per year. Participants with ε4/ε4 alleles in the APOE gene had significantly 3.68-fold risks of MMSE decline. High levels of PM2.5 across all visits were significantly associated with worsening of scores on the overall MMSE. As annual levels of PM2.5 decreased over time, the impact of PM2.5 on MMSE decline also slowly diminished. CONCLUSION: Long-term PM2.5 exposure may be associated with increased risk of MMSE decline, despite improvements in ambient PM2.5 levels over time. Validation of these results necessitates a large-scale prospective cohort study with more concise cognitive screening tools.
Asunto(s)
Alelos , Apolipoproteína E4 , Disfunción Cognitiva , Pruebas de Estado Mental y Demencia , Material Particulado , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Apolipoproteína E4/genética , Estudios Longitudinales , Taiwán/epidemiología , Disfunción Cognitiva/genética , Disfunción Cognitiva/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano de 80 o más AñosRESUMEN
Air pollution is inextricable from human activity patterns. This is especially true for nitrogen oxide (NOx), a pollutant that exists naturally and also as a result of anthropogenic factors. Assessing exposure by considering diurnal variation is a challenge that has not been widely studied. Incorporating 27 years of data, we attempted to estimate diurnal variations in NOx across Taiwan. We developed a machine learning-based ensemble model that integrated hybrid kriging-LUR, machine-learning, and an ensemble learning approach. Hybrid kriging-LUR was performed to select the most influential predictors, and machine-learning algorithms were applied to improve model performance. The three best machine-learning algorithms were suited and reassessed to develop ensemble learning that was designed to improve model performance. Our ensemble model resulted in estimates of daytime, nighttime, and daily NOx with high explanatory powers (Adj-R2) of 0.93, 0.98, and 0.94, respectively. These explanatory powers increased from the initial model that used only hybrid kriging-LUR. Additionally, the results depicted the temporal variation of NOx, with concentrations higher during the daytime than the nighttime. Regarding spatial variation, the highest NOx concentrations were identified in northern and western Taiwan. Model evaluations confirmed the reliability of the models. This study could serve as a reference for regional planning supporting emission control for environmental and human health.
Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Humanos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Taiwán , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Óxidos de Nitrógeno/análisis , Óxido Nítrico , Aprendizaje Automático , Material Particulado/análisisRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Air pollution is a risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the effect of air pollution on HCC risk in patients with hepatitis remains unclear. METHODS: This cross-sectional study recruited 348 patients with chronic hepatitis who were tested for serum hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and for antibodies against hepatitis B core antigen (HBcIgG) and hepatitis C virus (anti-HCV) in 2022. The diagnosis of HCC was based on the International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision (ICD-10). Daily estimates of air pollutants were aggregated into mean estimates for the previous year based on the date of recruitment or HCC diagnosis. RESULTS: Out of 348 patients, 12 had HCC (3.4%). Patients with HCC were older (71.7 vs 50.9 years; p = 0.004), had higher proportion of HBsAg seropositivity (41.7% vs 5.1%; p < 0.001), and substantially higher levels of particulate matter 2.5 (PM 2.5 ) (21.5 vs 18.2 µg/m 3 ; p = 0.05). Logistic regression analysis revealed that the factors associated with HCC were age (odds ratio [OR]: 1.10; CI, 1.03-1.17; p = 0.01), PM 2.5 level (OR: 1.51; CI, 1.02-2.23; p = 0.04), and HBsAg seropositivity (OR: 6.60; CI, 1.51-28.85; p = 0.01) ( Table 3 ). There was a combined effect of PM 2.5 and HBsAg seropositivity on the risk of HCC development (OR: 22.17; CI, 3.33-147.45; p = 0.001). CONCLUSION: In this study, we demonstrated that PM 2.5 and HBsAg seropositivity were associated with HCC occurrence and had synergistic effects after adjusting for confounding factors.
Asunto(s)
Contaminación del Aire , Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Hepatitis B Crónica , Hepatitis C , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/etiología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/complicaciones , Antígenos de Superficie de la Hepatitis B , Estudios Transversales , Factores de Riesgo , Hepatitis Crónica/complicaciones , Hepatitis C/complicaciones , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Material Particulado , Hepatitis B Crónica/complicaciones , Virus de la Hepatitis BRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Ambient particulate matter is classified as a human Class 1 carcinogen, and recent studies found a positive relationship between fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and liver cancer. Nevertheless, little is known about which specific metal constituent contributes to the development of liver cancer. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association of long-term exposure to metal constituents in PM2.5 with the risk of liver cancer using a Taiwanese cohort study. METHODS: A total of 13,511 Taiwanese participants were recruited from the REVEAL-HBV in 1991-1992. Participants' long-term exposure to eight metal constituents (Ba, Cu, Mn, Sb, Zn, Pb, Ni, and Cd) in PM2.5 was based on ambient measurement in 2002-2006 followed by a land-use regression model for spatial interpolation. We ascertained newly developed liver cancer (ie, hepatocellular carcinoma [HCC]) through data linkage with the Taiwan Cancer Registry and national health death certification in 1991-2014. A Cox proportional hazards model was utilized to assess the association between exposure to PM2.5 metal component and HCC. RESULTS: We identified 322 newly developed HCC with a median follow-up of 23.1 years. Long-term exposure to PM2.5 Cu was positively associated with a risk of liver cancer. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) was 1.13 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-1.25; P = 0.023) with one unit increment on Cu normalized by PM2.5 mass concentration in the logarithmic scale. The PM2.5 Cu-HCC association remained statistically significant with adjustment for co-exposures to other metal constituents in PM2.5. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest PM2.5 containing Cu may attribute to the association of PM2.5 exposure with liver cancer.
Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/epidemiología , Virus de la Hepatitis B , Japón , Material Particulado/efectos adversos , Metales , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversosRESUMEN
We aimed to investigate the association between air pollution and advanced fibrosis among patients with metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections. A total of 1376 participants who were seropositive for HBV surface antigen (HBsAg) or antibodies to HCV (anti-HCV) or had abnormal liver function in a community screening program from 2019 to 2021 were enrolled for the assessment of liver fibrosis using transient elastography. Daily estimates of air pollutants (particulate matter ≤2.5 µm in diameter [PM2.5 ], nitrogen dioxide [NO2 ], ozone [O3 ] and benzene) were aggregated into mean estimates for the previous year based on the date of enrolment. Of the 1376 participants, 767 (52.8%) and 187 (13.6) had MAFLD and advanced fibrosis, respectively. A logistic regression analysis revealed that the factors associated with advanced liver fibrosis were HCV viremia (odds ratio [OR], 3.13; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.05-4.77; p < 0.001), smoking (OR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.16-2.74; p = 0.01), age (OR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.02-1.05; p < 0.001) and PM2.5 (OR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.05-1.16; p < 0.001). Linear regression analysis revealed that LSM was independently correlated with PM2.5 (ß: 0.134; 95% CI: 0.025, 0.243; p = 0.02). There was a dose-dependent relationship between different fibrotic stages and the PM2.5 level (the PM2.5 level in patients with fibrotic stages 0, 1-2 and 3-4: 27.9, 28.4, and 29.3 µg/m3 , respectively; trend p < 0.001). Exposure to PM2.5 , as well as HBV and HCV infections, is associated with advanced liver fibrosis in patients with MAFLD. There was a dose-dependent correlation between PM2.5 levels and the severity of hepatic fibrosis.
Asunto(s)
Contaminación del Aire , Hepatitis B Crónica , Hepatitis C , Humanos , Hepatitis B Crónica/complicaciones , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisis , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Material Particulado/efectos adversos , Material Particulado/análisis , Cirrosis Hepática/etiología , FibrosisRESUMEN
Elevated levels of ground-level ozone (O3) can have harmful effects on health. While previous studies have focused mainly on daily averages and daytime patterns, it's crucial to consider the effects of air pollution during daily commutes, as this can significantly contribute to overall exposure. This study is also the first to employ an ensemble mixed spatial model (EMSM) that integrates multiple machine learning algorithms and predictor variables selected using Shapley Additive exExplanations (SHAP) values to predict spatial-temporal fluctuations in O3 concentrations across the entire island of Taiwan. We utilized geospatial-artificial intelligence (Geo-AI), incorporating kriging, land use regression (LUR), machine learning (random forest (RF), categorical boosting (CatBoost), gradient boosting (GBM), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and light gradient boosting (LightGBM)), and ensemble learning techniques to develop ensemble mixed spatial models (EMSMs) for morning and evening commute periods. The EMSMs were used to estimate long-term spatiotemporal variations of O3 levels, accounting for in-situ measurements, meteorological factors, geospatial predictors, and social and seasonal influences over a 26-year period. Compared to conventional LUR-based approaches, the EMSMs improved performance by 58% for both commute periods, with high explanatory power and an adjusted R2 of 0.91. Internal and external validation procedures and verification of O3 concentrations at the upper percentile ranges (in 1%, 5%, 10%, 15%, 20%, and 25%) and other conditions (including rain, no rain, weekday, weekend, festival, and no festival) have demonstrated that the models are stable and free from overfitting issues. Estimation maps were generated to examine changes in O3 levels before and during the implementation of COVID-19 restrictions. These findings provide accurate variations of O3 levels in commute period with high spatiotemporal resolution of daily and 50m * 50m grid, which can support control pollution efforts and aid in epidemiological studies.
Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Inteligencia Artificial , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Taiwán , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Material Particulado/análisisRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The increase in global temperature and urban warming has led to the exacerbation of heatwaves, which negatively affect human health and cause long-term loss of work productivity. Therefore, a global assessment in temperature variation is essential. OBJECTIVE: This paper is the first of its kind to propose land-use based spatial machine learning (LBSM) models for predicting highly spatial-temporal variations of wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGT), which is a heat stress indicator used to assess thermal comfort in indoor and outdoor environments, specifically for the main island of Taiwan. METHODS: To develop spatiotemporal prediction models for both the working period and noon period, we calculated the WBGT of each weather station from 2001 to 2019 using temperature, humidity, and solar radiation data. These WBGT estimations were then used as the dependent variable for developing the spatiotemporal prediction models. To enhance model performance, we used innovative approaches that combined SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values for the selection of non-linear variables, along with machine learning algorithms for model development. RESULTS: When incorporating temperature along with other land-use/land cover predictor variables, the performance of LBSM models was excellent, with an R2 value of up to 0.99. The LBSM models explained 98% and 99% of the spatial-temporal variations in WBGT for the working and noon periods, respectively, within the complete models. In the temperature-excluded models, the explained variances were 94% and 96% for the working and noon periods, respectively. IMPACT: WBGT is a common method used by many organizations to access the impact of heat stress on human beings. However, limited studies have mentioned the association between WBGT and health impacts due to the absence of spatiotemporal databases. This study develops a new approach using land-use-based spatial machine learning (LBSM) models to better predict the fine spatial-temporal WBGT levels, with a 50-m × 50-m grid resolution for both working time and noontime. Our proposed methodology could be used in future studies aimed at evaluating the potential long-term loss of work productivity due to the effects of global warming or urban heat island.
RESUMEN
Biochemical response is an important prognostic indicator in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients receiving nucleotide/nucleoside analogues (NAs). However, the effects of air pollution in alanine aminotransferase (ALT) normalization remain elusive. This longitudinal study recruited 80 hepatitis B e antigen-negative CHB patients who received NAs. ALT levels were measured during the first year of anti-hepatitis B virus therapy. Normal ALT levels were defined asâ <19 U/L for females andâ <30 U/L for males, and the risk factors associated with ALT abnormalities were analyzed. The daily estimations of air pollutants (particulate matterâ ≤2.5 µm in diameter (PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide, ozone (O3), and benzene) were aggregated into the mean estimation for the previous month based on the date of recruitment (baseline) and 1 year later. Sixteen patients (20.0%) had a baseline ALTâ >â 40 U/L; overall, 41 (51.6%) had an abnormal ALT (≥19 U/L for females andâ ≥â 30 U/L for males). After 1 year of NA therapy, 75 patients (93.8%) had undetectable hepatitis B virus DNA levels. Mean post-treatment ALT levels were significantly lower than mean pretreatment levels (21.3 vs 30.0 U/L, respectively; Pâ <â .001). The proportion of patients with a normal ALT was also significantly higher after versus before treatment (71.2% vs 51.2%, respectively; Pâ =â .001). The strongest factors associated with ALT abnormality after 1 year of NA treatment were body mass index (odds ratio [OR], 1.28; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-1.54; Pâ =â .01) and ozone level (OR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.02-1.22; Pâ =â .02). Among hepatitis B e antigen-negative CHB patients with relatively low viral loads, 1 year of NA treatment improved ALT levels after the adjustment for confounding factors and increased the proportion of patients with normal ALT levels. Air pollution affects the efficacy of ALT normalization.
Asunto(s)
Contaminación del Aire , Hepatitis B Crónica , Ozono , Masculino , Femenino , Humanos , Hepatitis B Crónica/tratamiento farmacológico , Antivirales/uso terapéutico , Nucleósidos/uso terapéutico , Nucleótidos/uso terapéutico , Antígenos e de la Hepatitis B , Estudios Longitudinales , Virus de la Hepatitis B/genética , Alanina Transaminasa , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Ozono/uso terapéutico , ADN ViralRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Exposure to greenness has been shown to be beneficial to health, but few studies have examined the association between residential greenness and prostate cancer (PCa) risk. Our main objectives were to identify the determinants of residential greenness, and to investigate if residential greenness was associated with PCa risk in Singapore. METHODS: The hospital-based case-control study was conducted between April 2007 and May 2009. The Singapore Prostate Cancer Study (SPCS) comprised 240 prostate cancer cases and 268 controls, whose demographics and residential address were collected using questionnaires. Residential greenness was measured by normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) around the participants' homes using a buffer size of 1 km. Determinants of NDVI were identified using a multivariable linear regression model. Logistic regression models were used to calculate the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of associations between NDVI and PCa risk, adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: Having a BMI within the second quartile, as compared to the lowest quartile, was associated with higher levels of NDVI (ß-coefficient = 0.263; 95% CI = 0.040-0.485) after adjusting for covariates. Additionally, being widowed or separated, as compared to being married, was associated with lower levels of NDVI (ß-coefficient = -0.393; 95% CI = -0.723, -0.063). An interquartile range (IQR) increase in NDVI was positively associated with prostate cancer risk OR = 1.45; 95% CI = 1.02-2.07). Stratified analysis by tumour grade and stage showed that higher NDVI was associated with higher risk of low grade PCa. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggested that residential greenness was associated with higher risk of PCa in Singapore. Future studies on the quality and type of green spaces, as well as other factors of residential greenness, in association with PCa risk should be conducted to better understand this relationship.
RESUMEN
Scientific evidence reported that surrounding greenspace could promote better mental health. Considering bipolar disorder as the health outcome, this study aimed to investigate the association between greenspace and bipolar disorder in Taiwan and quantified the benefits of greenspace on bipolar disorder adjusted for the international greenspace availability standard. By examining datasets across 348 townships, two quantitative measures (i.e., disability-adjusted life year loss and income) were used to represent the benefits. The incidence rate of bipolar disorder was obtained from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database. Normalized different vegetation index (NDVI) was measured as a proxy for the greenspace availability. A generalized additive mixed model coupled with a sensitivity test were applied to evaluate the statistical association. The prevented fraction for the population (PFP) was then applied to develop a scenario for quantifying benefit. The result showed a significant negative association between greenspace and bipolar disorder in Taiwan. Compared to low greenspace, areas with medium and high greenspace may reduce the bipolar risk by 21% (RR = 0.79; 95% CI = 0.76-0.83) and 51% (RR = 0.49; 95% CI = 0.45-0.53). Calculating benefits, we found that the development of a scenario by increasing greenspace adjusted for availability indicator in township categorized as low greenspace could save in DALY loss due to bipolar disorder up to10.97% and increase in income up to 11.04% from the current situation. Lastly, this was the first study in Asia-Pacific to apply a customized greenspace increment scenario to quantify the benefits to a particular health burden such as bipolar disorder.
Asunto(s)
Trastorno Bipolar , Humanos , Trastorno Bipolar/epidemiología , Taiwán/epidemiología , Parques Recreativos , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , RentaRESUMEN
Indoor air quality and home environmental characteristics are potential factors associated with the onset and exacerbation of allergic diseases. Our study examined the effects of these factors on allergic diseases (i.e., asthma, allergic rhinitis, allergic conjunctivitis, and atopic dermatitis) among preschool children. We recruited a total of 120 preschool children from an ongoing birth cohort study in the Greater Taipei Area. A comprehensive environmental evaluation was conducted at each participant's residence and included measurements of indoor and outdoor air pollutants, fungal spores, endotoxins, and house dust mite allergens. A structured questionnaire was used to collect information on the allergic diseases and home environments of participants. Land-use characteristics and points of interest in the surrounding area of each home were analyzed. Other covariates were obtained from the cohort data. Multiple logistic regressions were used to examine the relationships between allergic diseases and covariates. We observed that all mean indoor air pollutant levels were below Taiwan's indoor air quality standards. After adjustment for covariates, the total number of fungal spores and the ozone, Der f 1, and endotoxin levels were significantly associated with increased risks of allergic diseases. Biological contaminants more significantly affected allergic diseases than other pollutants. Moreover, home environmental characteristics (e.g., living near power facilities and gas stations) were associated with an increased risk of allergic diseases. Regular and proper home sanitation is recommended to prevent the accumulation of indoor pollutants, especially biological contaminants. Living away from potential sources of pollution is also crucial for protecting the health of children.
Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire Interior , Asma , Contaminantes Ambientales , Rinitis Alérgica , Humanos , Preescolar , Contaminación del Aire Interior/análisis , Estudios de Cohortes , Asma/inducido químicamente , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisisRESUMEN
It is generally established that PCDD/Fs is harmful to human health and therefore extensive field research is necessary. This study is the first to use a novel geospatial-artificial intelligence (Geo-AI) based ensemble mixed spatial model (EMSM) that integrates multiple machine learning algorithms and geographic predictor variables selected using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values to predict spatial-temporal fluctuations in PCDD/Fs concentrations across the entire island of Taiwan. Daily PCDD/F I-TEQ levels from 2006 to 2016 were used for model construction, while external data was used for validating model dependability. We utilized Geo-AI, incorporating kriging, five machine learning, and ensemble methods (combinations of the aforementioned five models) to develop EMSMs. The EMSMs were used to estimate long-term spatiotemporal variations in PCDD/F I-TEQ levels, considering in-situ measurements, meteorological factors, geospatial predictors, social and seasonal influences over a 10-year period. The findings demonstrated that the EMSM was superior to all other models, with an increase in explanatory power reaching 87 %. The results of spatial-temporal resolution show that the temporal fluctuation of PCDD/F concentrations can be a result of weather circumstances, while geographical variance can be the result of urbanization and industrialization. These results provide accurate estimates that support pollution control measures and epidemiological studies.