Surveillance for Outcomes Selected as Atrial Fibrillation Quality Indicators in Canada: 10-Year Trends in Stroke, Major Bleeding, and Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: Whether advances in identification and management of atrial fibrillation and atrial flutter (collectively, AF) have led to improved outcomes is unclear. We sought to study trends in clinical outcomes selected as quality indicators for nonvalvular AF in Canada. METHODS: We identified hospitalized patients with a first diagnosis of nonvalvular AF between April 2006 and March 2015, in all of Canada except Quebec. We assessed trends in 1-year incidence of stroke/systemic embolism (SSE), major bleeding, and initial heart failure (HF) hospitalization. RESULTS: The cohort included 466,476 patients. The median age was 77 years (interquartile range, 68-84 years), 46% were female, and 68% had a Congestive Heart Failure, Hypertension, Age (≥75 years), Diabetes, Stroke/Transient Ischemic Attack, Vascular Disease, Age (65-74 years), Sex (Female) (CHA2DS2-VASc) score > 3. Within 1 year of discharge, 3.5% were hospitalized for stroke or SSE, 1.6% for major bleeding, and 8.6% for new HF. Over the study period, the crude rate of SSE declined from 3.6% to 3.3% (P = 0.002), whereas the rates of hospitalization for new HF and for major bleeding did not significantly change. After adjustment for CHA2DS2-VASc score, the yearly rates of incident SSE (risk ratio, 0.99; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.98-0.99; P = 0.002) and HF (risk ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.99-1.00; P = 0.001) declined ≤ 1% absolute, whereas major bleeding remained unchanged (risk ratio, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.99-1.00; P = 0.28). CONCLUSIONS: Among hospitalized patients with nonvalvular AF in Canada, the rate of SSE and new HF decreased modestly over a 10-year period, with no significant change in major bleeding. Efforts to study process-based quality indicators, with increased focus on HF prevention, are needed.

CONTEXTE: On ne sait pas si les avancées en matière de détection et de prise en charge de la fibrillation auriculaire et du flutter auriculaire (collectivement appelés « FA ¼ ci-après) ont permis d'améliorer les résultats pour les patients. Nous avons donc étudié les tendances à l'égard de résultats cliniques particuliers pris comme indicateurs de qualité relatifs à la FA non valvulaire au Canada. MÉTHODOLOGIE: Nous avons recensé les patients hospitalisés au Canada (sauf au Québec) entre avril 2006 et mars 2015 en raison d'une FA non valvulaire nouvellement diagnostiquée. Nous avons évalué les tendances quant à la survenue d'un accident vasculaire cérébral ou d'une embolie systémique (AVC/ES), d'une hémorragie majeure et d'une première hospitalisation pour insuffisance cardiaque. RÉSULTATS: La cohorte comprenait 466 476 patients, dont l'âge médian était de 77 ans (intervalle interquartile : 68 à 84 ans); 46 % des patients étaient des femmes, et 68 % avaient un score CHA2DS2-VASc ( C ongestive Heart Failure [insuffisance cardiaque congestive], hypertension, âge [≥ 75 ans], diabète, S troke/Transient Ischemic Attack [AVC/accident ischémique transitoire] ­ maladie vasculaire, âge [65-74 ans], sexe [femmes]) supérieur à 3. Dans l'année suivant la sortie de l'hôpital, 3,5 % des patients ont été hospitalisés en raison d'un AVC ou d'un AVC/ES, 1,6 %, en raison d'une hémorragie majeure et 8,6 %, en raison d'une nouvelle insuffisance cardiaque. Au cours de la période étudiée, le taux brut d'AVC/ES est passé de 3,6 % à 3,3 % (p = 0,002), tandis que les taux d'hospitalisation en raison d'une nouvelle insuffisance cardiaque ou d'une hémorragie majeure n'ont pas changé de manière significative. Après correction pour tenir compte du score CHA2DS2-VASc, les taux annuels de survenue d'un AVC/ES (rapport des risques de 0,99; intervalle de confiance [IC] à 95 % : de 0,98 à 0,99; p = 0,002) et d'une insuffisance cardiaque (rapport des risques de 0,99; IC à 95 % : de 0,99 à 1,00; p = 0,001) ont diminué de ≤ 1 % en valeur absolue, tandis que le taux de survenue d'une hémorragie majeure n'a pas changé (rapport des risques : 1,00; IC à 95 % : de 0,99 à 1,00; p = 0,28). CONCLUSIONS: Parmi les patients hospitalisés au Canada en raison d'une FA non valvulaire, les taux d'AVC/ES et de nouvelle insuffisance cardiaque ont affiché une réduction modeste sur une période de 10 ans, tandis que le taux d'hémorragie majeure n'a pas changé de manière significative. D'autres études évaluant les indicateurs de qualité fondés sur les procédés, notamment en matière de prévention de l'insuffisance cardiaque, s'imposent.

Temporal Trends in Population Rates of Incident Atrial Fibrillation and Atrial Flutter Hospitalizations, Stroke Risk, and Mortality Show Decline in Hospitalizations.

BACKGROUND: Hospitalization for nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) is common and results in substantial cost burden. Current national data trends for the incidence, stroke risk profiles, and mortality of hospitalization for NVAF and atrial flutter (AFL) are sparse. METHODS: The Canadian Institute of Health Information Discharge Abstract Database was used to identify patients ≥ 20 years with incident NVAF/AFL (NVAF, ICD-9 code 427.3 or ICD-10 I48) in any diagnosis field from 2006 to 2015 in Canada, except Québec. National and provincial trends in rate over time (rate ratio, 95% confidence interval [CI]) were calculated for age-sex standardized hospitalizations. Trends in stroke risk profiles and in-hospital mortality rates adjusted for stroke risk factors were also calculated. RESULTS: A total of 578,947 patients were hospitalized with incident NVAF/AFL. The median age was 77 years (interquartile range: 68-84), 82% were ≥ 65 years, 54% were men, 54% had a CHADS2 ≥ 2, and 69% had a CHA2DS2-Vasc ≥ 3. The overall age- and sex-standardized rate of NVAF/AFL hospitalization was 315 per 100,000 population and declined by 2% per year (P < 0.001). There was an annual rate decline in NVAF/AFL hospitalizations in every province. The majority of hospitalized patients are at high risk of stroke, and this risk remained unchanged. The average adjusted in-hospital mortality was 8.80 per 100 patients 95% CI, 8.80-8.81 with a 2% annual decline in rate (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Between 2006 and 2015, we found national and provincial hospitalization rates for incident NVAF/AFL are declining. The majority of patients are at high risk for stroke. In-hospital mortality has declined but remains substantial.

The 2020 Canadian Cardiovascular Society/Canadian Heart Rhythm Society Comprehensive Guidelines for the Management of Atrial Fibrillation.

The Canadian Cardiovascular Society (CCS) atrial fibrillation (AF) guidelines program was developed to aid clinicians in the management of these complex patients, as well as to provide direction to policy makers and health care systems regarding related issues. The most recent comprehensive CCS AF guidelines update was published in 2010. Since then, periodic updates were published dealing with rapidly changing areas. However, since 2010 a large number of developments had accumulated in a wide range of areas, motivating the committee to complete a thorough guideline review. The 2020 iteration of the CCS AF guidelines represents a comprehensive renewal that integrates, updates, and replaces the past decade of guidelines, recommendations, and practical tips. It is intended to be used by practicing clinicians across all disciplines who care for patients with AF. The Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations (GRADE) system was used to evaluate recommendation strength and the quality of evidence. Areas of focus include: AF classification and definitions, epidemiology, pathophysiology, clinical evaluation, screening and opportunistic AF detection, detection and management of modifiable risk factors, integrated approach to AF management, stroke prevention, arrhythmia management, sex differences, and AF in special populations. Extensive use is made of tables and figures to synthesize important material and present key concepts. This document should be an important aid for knowledge translation and a tool to help improve clinical management of this important and challenging arrhythmia.

An Update on the Development and Feasibility Assessment of Canadian Quality Indicators for Atrial Fibrillation and Atrial Flutter.

BACKGROUND: In 2010, the Canadian Cardiovascular Society Atrial Fibrillation/Atrial Flutter (AF/AFL) quality indicator (QI) working group was established to develop QIs and assess feasibility of measurement. After extensive review, 3 priority QIs were selected. However, none were measurable at a national level. METHODS: The working group reconvened in 2017 to review the relevance of previously proposed QIs, identify opportunities to develop new QIs, and propose an initial strategy for measuring and reporting. RESULTS: Two additional priority QIs were added to the previous 3: proportion of patients with nonvalvular (NV) AF/AFL sorted by stroke risk stratum and annual rate of hospitalization for a new heart failure diagnosis. An environmental scan was undertaken to determine the potential of existing databases to provide national and provincial estimates. On the basis of validated administrative codes, the Canadian Institute for Health Information discharge abstract database can be used for inpatients. In collaboration with the Canadian Primary Care Sentinel Surveillance Network, 2 of the 5 QIs can be assessed in outpatients (patients with NVAF/AFL sorted by stroke risk stratum and high risk for stroke NVAF/AFL receiving oral anticoagulation). Stroke prevention therapy can be further measured in selected provinces with linked databases including prescriptions. CONCLUSIONS: This first step could provide a better initial understanding of the quality of AF/AFL care in Canada, but important gaps in the meaningful measurement of QIs remain. The AF/AFL QI working group has limited capacity to make progress without national level leadership and the resources to support data aggregation, data analysis, and pan-Canadian reporting.

CONTEXTE: En 2010, le groupe de travail des indicateurs de qualité (IQ) de la Société canadienne de cardiologie sur la fibrillation auriculaire (FA) et le flutter auriculaire (FLA) a été mis sur pied pour élaborer des IQ et évaluer la faisabilité d'utiliser ces IQ comme outils de mesure. Après un examen approfondi, trois IQ prioritaires ont été sélectionnés, mais aucun n'a pu être mesuré à l'échelle nationale. MÉTHODOLOGIE: Le groupe de travail s'est réuni à nouveau en 2017 afin d'examiner la pertinence des IQ proposés au départ, de recenser des occasions d'élaborer de nouveau IQ et de proposer une stratégie initiale de mesure et de production de rapports à cet égard. RÉSULTATS: Deux IQ prioritaires supplémentaires ont été ajoutés aux trois premiers : la proportion de patients atteints de FA non valvulaire (FANV) ou de FLA ayant fait l'objet d'un tri selon la strate de risque d'AVC et le taux annuel d'hospitalisations attribuables à un nouveau diagnostic d'insuffisance cardiaque. Une analyse de l'environnement a été réalisée afin de déterminer si les bases de données existantes pouvaient fournir des estimations nationales et provinciales. Dans le cas de patients hospitalisés, on peut utiliser la Base de données sur les congés des patients de l'Institut canadien d'information sur la santé en se servant de codes administratifs validés. Dans le cas de patients non hospitalisés (patients atteints de FANV/FLA, triés par strate de risque, exposés à un risque élevé d'AVC en raison d'une FANV ou d'un FLA et recevant une anticoagulation orale), on peut mesurer deux des cinq IQ, en collaboration avec le Réseau canadien de surveillance sentinelle en soins primaires. Le traitement préventif de l'AVC peut continuer à faire l'objet de mesures dans certaines provinces grâce aux bases de données interreliées, comme les bases de données sur les ordonnances. CONCLUSIONS: Cette première étape a permis d'obtenir une meilleure compréhension initiale de la qualité de la prise en charge de la FA et du FLA au Canada, mais d'importantes lacunes restent à combler pour rendre pertinente la mesure des IQ. Le groupe de travail des IQ sur de la FA et le FLA n'a pas toutes les capacités requises pour réaliser des progrès en l'absence de leadership national et de ressources permettant de soutenir le regroupement et l'analyse des données, ainsi que la production de rapports à l'échelle pancanadienne.

2018 Focused Update of the Canadian Cardiovascular Society Guidelines for the Management of Atrial Fibrillation.

The Canadian Cardiovascular Society (CCS) Atrial Fibrillation Guidelines Committee provides periodic reviews of new data to produce focused updates that address clinically important advances in atrial fibrillation (AF) management. This 2018 Focused Update addresses: (1) anticoagulation in the context of cardioversion of AF; (2) the management of antithrombotic therapy for patients with AF in the context of coronary artery disease; (3) investigation and management of subclinical AF; (4) the use of antidotes for the reversal of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants; (5) acute pharmacological cardioversion of AF; (6) catheter ablation for AF, including patients with concomitant AF and heart failure; and (7) an integrated approach to the patient with AF and modifiable cardiovascular risk factors. The recommendations were developed using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) standards. Individual studies and literature were reviewed for quality and bias; the literature review process and evidence tables are included as Supplementary Material and are available on the CCS Web site. Details of the updated recommendations are presented, along with their background and rationale. This document is linked to an updated summary of all CCS AF guidelines recommendations, from 2010 to the present 2018 Focused Update, which is provided in the Supplementary Material.

The Optimal Anti-Coagulation for Enhanced-Risk Patients Post-Catheter Ablation for Atrial Fibrillation (OCEAN) trial.

BACKGROUND: The optimal long-term antithrombotic regimen for patients after successful catheter-based atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation is not well defined. Presently, practice variation exists, and the benefits of oral anticoagulation over antiplatelet therapy across the entire spectrum of stroke risk profile remain undefined in the postablation population. To date, there are no randomized trials to inform clinicians on this therapeutic question. OBJECTIVE: The objective was to assess whether rivaroxaban is superior to acetylsalicylic acid (ASA) in reducing the risk of clinically overt stroke, systemic embolism, or covert stroke among patients without apparent recurrent atrial arrhythmias for at least 1 year after their most recent AF ablation procedure. METHODS/DESIGN: A prospective, multicenter, open-label, randomized trial with blinded assessment of outcomes is under way (NCT02168829). Atrial fibrillation patients with at least 1 stroke risk factor (as defined by the CHA2DS2-VASc score) and without known atrial arrhythmia recurrences for at least 12 months after ablation are randomized to rivaroxaban 15 mg or ASA 75-160 mg daily. The primary outcome is a composite of clinically overt stroke, systemic embolism, and covert stroke based on brain magnetic resonance imaging. Key secondary outcomes include major bleeding outcomes, intracranial hemorrhage, transient ischemic attack, neuropsychological testing, quality of life, and an economic analysis. Subjects will be followed for 3 years. The estimated overall sample size is 1,572 subjects (786 per arm). DISCUSSION: The OCEAN trial is a multicenter randomized controlled trial evaluating 2 antithrombotic treatment strategies for patients with risk factors for stroke after apparently successful AF ablation. We hypothesize that rivaroxaban will reduce the occurrence of clinically overt stroke, systemic embolism, and covert stroke when compared with ASA alone.

Outcomes for Emergency Department Patients With Recent-Onset Atrial Fibrillation and Flutter Treated in Canadian Hospitals.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Recent-onset atrial fibrillation and flutter are the most common arrhythmias managed in the emergency department (ED). We evaluate the management and 30-day outcomes for recent-onset atrial fibrillation and flutter patients in Canadian EDs, where cardioversion is commonly practiced. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study in 6 academic hospital EDs and enrolled patients who had atrial fibrillation and flutter onset within 48 hours. Patients were followed for 30 days by health records review and telephone. Adverse events included death, stroke, acute coronary syndrome, heart failure, subsequent admission, or ED electrocardioversion. RESULTS: We enrolled 1,091 patients with mean age 63.9 years, atrial fibrillation 84.7%, atrial flutter 15.3%, hospital admission 9.0%, and converted to sinus rhythm 80.1%. Although 10.5% of recent-onset atrial fibrillation and flutter patients had adverse events within 30 days, there were no related deaths and 1 stroke (0.1%). Adjusted odds ratios for factors associated with adverse event were hours from onset (1.03/hour; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01 to 1.05), history of stroke or transient ischemic attack (2.09; 95% CI 1.01 to 4.36), and pulmonary congestion on chest radiograph (7.37; 95% CI 2.40 to 22.64). Patients who left the ED in sinus rhythm were much less likely to experience an adverse event (P<.001). CONCLUSION: Although most recent-onset atrial fibrillation and flutter patients were treated aggressively in the ED, there were few 30-day serious outcomes. Physicians underprescribed oral anticoagulants. Potential risk factors for adverse events include longer duration from arrhythmia onset, previous stroke or transient ischemic attack, pulmonary congestion on chest radiograph, and not being in sinus rhythm at discharge. An ED strategy of sinus rhythm restoration and discharge in most patients is effective and safe.

The Development and Feasibility Assessment of Canadian Quality Indicators for Atrial Fibrillation.

In 2010, the Canadian Cardiovascular Society embarked on an initiative to develop pan-Canadian quality indicators (QIs) and standardized data definitions with the ultimate goal of monitoring, comparing, and contrasting national cardiovascular care and its outcomes. One of the first working groups to be established was tasked with identifying and then defining a set of QIs for atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF/AFL). The Canadian Cardiovascular Society "Best Practices for Developing Cardiovascular Quality Indicators" methodology was used to develop an initial catalogue of 25 QIs intended to measure critical issues around access, process, and outcomes relating to AF/AFL management. This list was subsequently pared down to 5 QIs felt to have the greatest relative importance for quality assurance and measurability so as to facilitate early adoption. Three of these QIs were finally selected to assess the feasibility of their measurement using existing administrative datasets. These were the number of patients with a diagnosis of nonvalvular AF/AFL at high risk of stroke (75 years or older, or CHADS2 ≥ 2) receiving an oral anticoagulant, and the rates of stroke and major haemorrhage in patients with nonvalvular AF/AFL according to CHA2DS2-VASc score and anticoagulant use. Despite their clear importance in assessing AF/AFL care, none of these 3 QIs were found to be readily measurable across Canada using existing national datasets. Investment in new medical data infrastructure is required to facilitate regular monitoring of QIs to improve cardiovascular care.

Frequency and Outcomes of Postrandomization Atrial Tachyarrhythmias in the Resynchronization/Defibrillation in Ambulatory Heart Failure Trial.

BACKGROUND: Whether adding cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT-D) to an implanted cardioverter-defibrillator alters the risk of atrial fibrillation or other atrial tachyarrhythmias (AF/AT), or if postimplantation AF/AT modulate the benefits of CRT-D, remain unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied 972 Resynchronization/Defibrillation in Ambulatory Heart Failure Trial (RAFT) participants without permanent AF, who were randomized to CRT-D (n=495) versus nonresynchronization defibrillator (implanted cardioverter-defibrillator; n=477) within the predefined stratum eligible for an atrial lead. Occurrence of postrandomization AF/AT was prospectively assessed, and Cox models were used to test the independent association between the postrandomization AF/AT and the RAFT primary composite outcome of all-cause mortality or hospitalization for heart failure. Over 41 (±19) months, postrandomization AF/AT occurred in 216 (45.3%) patients randomized to implanted cardioverter-defibrillator and 249 (50.3%) randomized to CRT-D. After adjusting for competing risk of death, randomization to CRT-D increased risk of postrandomization AF/AT (hazard ratio, 1.20; 95% confidence interval, 1.00-1.42; P=0.045). Postrandomization AF/AT, which remained paroxysmal in 69.5%, did not reduce biventricular pacing percentage. In adjusted models, postrandomization AF/AT was not associated with the primary outcome (hazard ratio, 1.04; 95% confidence interval, 0.84-1.30). However, AF/AT was associated with a borderline decreased risk of mortality (hazard ratio, 0.75; 95% confidence interval, 0.58-1.00) but increased risk of heart failure hospitalization (hazard ratio, 1.43; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-1.90). CONCLUSIONS: In RAFT, nearly half of the patients developed postrandomization AF/AT, and those randomized to CRT-D had borderline significant higher risk. Postrandomization AF/AT was associated with risk of heart failure hospitalization, but not with the primary composite outcome. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00251251.

ECG Features Associated With Adverse Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: A Combined AFFIRM and AF-CHF Analysis.

BACKGROUND: The association between standard parameters from a simple 12-lead ECG (i.e., QRS duration and PR, JT, and QT intervals) and adverse cardiovascular outcomes (cardiovascular mortality, all-cause mortality, arrhythmic mortality, and hospitalizations) in patients with a history of atrial fibrillation (AF) has not been previously studied. METHODS AND RESULTS: A pooled analysis of patient-level data was conducted on 5,436 patients, age 68.2 ± 8.3 years, 34.8% female, with a history of non-permanent AF randomized in AFFIRM and AF-CHF trials. The predictive value of ECG parameters was assessed in AF and sinus rhythm in multivariate Cox regression models. During a follow-up of 40.8 ± 16.3 months, QRS duration >120 milliseconds was independently associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.46, 95% confidence interval [CI; 1.21-1.76] in AF, P < 0.001), cardiovascular mortality (HR 1.75, 95% CI (1.15-2.65) in sinus rhythm, P = 0.009; HR 1.56, 95% CI [1.27-1.93] in AF, P < 0.001), arrhythmic mortality (HR 1.90, 95% CI [1.09-3.32] in sinus, P = 0.024; HR 1.84, 95% CI [1.35-2.51] in AF, P < 0.001), any hospitalization (HR 1.15, 95% CI [1.02-1.29] in AF, P = 0.027), and cardiovascular hospitalization (HR 1.21, 95% CI [1.06-1.37] in AF; P = 0.004). Increased PR interval (>200 milliseconds) was independently associated with cardiovascular (HR 1.56, 95% CI [1.11-2.21], P = 0.010) and arrhythmic (HR 1.91, 95% CI [1.14-3.18], P = 0.004) mortality. The JT and QTc intervals were not predictive of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Simple parameters from standard ECGs are significantly and independently associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients with a history of AF.

Temporal Patterns and Predictors of Rate vs Rhythm Control in Patients Attending a Multidisciplinary Atrial Fibrillation Clinic.

BACKGROUND: Contemporary trends in the selection of and persistence with rate vs rhythm control for atrial fibrillation (AF) are not well studied, particularly in the context of multidisciplinary AF clinics. METHODS: The initial arrhythmia management strategy in 1031 consecutive patients attending a multidisciplinary AF clinic from 2005-2012 was analyzed. RESULTS: The 397 (38.5%) patients initially treated with rhythm control were younger (57.4 ± 14 years vs 65.6 ± 13 years; P < 0.0001) and more likely to be men (64.5% vs 56.9%; P = 0.019). They also had fewer comorbidities, lower CHADS2 (Congestive Heart Failure, Hypertension, Age, Diabetes, Stroke/Transient Ischemic Attack) scores, and greater symptom burden. The proportion treated with rhythm control declined from 46.9% in 2005-2006 to 28.4% in 2012 (P for trend < 0.0001). Compared with those initially selecting rate control, patients treated with rhythm control required more frequent clinic encounters (7 [interquartile range {IQR}, 3-12] vs 3 [IQR, 2-7]; P < 0.001) and longer follow-up (266 days [IQR, 84-548 days] vs 99 days [IQR, 0-313 days]; P < 0.001). Younger age, absence of diabetes and sleep apnea, earlier treatment year, higher symptom burden, and rural residence were independently associated with rhythm control. Persistence with the initial treatment strategy was reduced in the rhythm-control group (P = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: Use of rhythm control as the initial arrhythmia management strategy for AF in a specialty AF clinic is declining. Rhythm control requires more intensive follow-up and was more likely to lead to a change in arrhythmia management strategy.

Heart rate and adverse outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: A combined AFFIRM and AF-CHF substudy.

BACKGROUND: An elevated resting heart rate has been associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Its prognostic value has not specifically been examined in patients with atrial fibrillation. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to assess the relationship between resting heart rate measured in sinus rhythm and in atrial fibrillation and subsequent hospitalizations and death. METHODS: An analysis of individual patient-level data from subjects enrolled in the AFFIRM and AF-CHF trials was conducted to determine the impact of resting heart rate on hospitalizations and mortality. Separate analyses were performed in atrial fibrillation and sinus rhythm. A total of 7159 baseline ECGs (4848 in atrial fibrillation, 2311 in sinus rhythm) were analyzed in 5164 patients (34.8% female, age 68.2 ± 8.3 years). RESULTS: During mean follow-up of 40.8 ± 16.3 months, 1016 patients died (668 cardiovascular deaths), and 3150 required at least 1 hospitalization (2215 cardiovascular). An elevated baseline heart rate in sinus rhythm was associated with increased all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 1.24 per 10 bpm increase, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.14-1.36, P < .0001]. In contrast, a baseline heart rate in atrial fibrillation was not associated with mortality. However, compared to heart rates 90-114 bpm in atrial fibrillation, a heart rate >114 bpm was independently associated with all-cause (HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.06-1.31, P = .0018) and cardiovascular (HR 1.25, 95% CI 1.10-1.42, P = .0005) hospitalizations. CONCLUSION: In patients with a history of atrial fibrillation, an elevated baseline heart rate in sinus rhythm is independently associated with mortality. In contrast, the baseline heart rate in atrial fibrillation is not associated with mortality but predicts hospitalizations.

Blood Pressure and Atrial Fibrillation: A Combined AF-CHF and AFFIRM Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Hypertension is an established risk factor for new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the relationship between blood pressure and recurrent AF is less well understood. METHODS AND RESULTS: A pooled analysis of patient-level data from AFFIRM and AF-CHF trials was conducted on all 2,715 patients with paroxysmal or persistent AF, 68 ± 8 years, 66% male, randomized to rhythm control and followed for 40.6 ± 16.5 months. We assessed the impact of a baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP; <120 mmHg [N = 1,008], 120-140 mmHg [N = 930], >140 mmHg [N = 777]) on recurrent AF and proportion of time spent in AF. In patients with LVEF >40% (N = 1,719), SBP was not associated with recurrent AF in multivariate regression analyses (P = 0.752). In contrast, in patients with LVEF ≤40% (N = 996), the AF recurrence rate was higher in those with an SBP >140 mmHg compared to 120-140 mmHg (hazard ratio 1.47; 95% CI [1.12-1.93], P = 0.005). The rate of recurrent AF was similar in patients with SBP <120 mmHg compared to 120-140 mmHg (hazard ratio 1.15; 95% CI [0.92-1.43], P = 0.225). Consistently, the proportion of time spent in AF was not influenced by SBP in patients with LVEF >40% (P = 0.645). However, in patients with LVEF ≤40%, the adjusted mean proportion of time spent in AF was 17.2% if SBP was <120 mmHg, 15.4% for SBP 120-140 mmHg, and 24.0% for SBP >140 mmHg (P = 0.025). CONCLUSION: Systolic blood pressure is an important determinant of recurrent AF and overall AF burden in patients with left ventricular dysfunction (LVEF≤40%) but not in those with preserved ventricular function.

Systolic blood pressure and mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation and heart failure: insights from the AFFIRM and AF-CHF studies.

AIMS: To investigate the association between baseline systolic blood pressure levels and mortality in patients with AF with or without LV dysfunction. Hypertension leads to cardiovascular disease but, in specific groups, low blood pressure has been associated with a paradoxical increase in mortality. In patients with AF and heart failure, the relationship between blood pressure and death remains largely unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted a post-hoc combined analysis on pooled data from AFFIRM and AF-CHF trials and assessed the relationship between baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP) and mortality and hospitalizations. Patients were classified according to LVEF (>40%, ≤40%) and baseline SBP (<120 mmHg, 120-140 mmHg, >140 mmHg). A total of 5436 patients with non-permanent AF were followed for 41 ± 16 months. In patients with LVEF >40%, baseline SBP was not related to mortality using multivariate Cox regression analyses to adjust for baseline differences (P = 0.563). In contrast, in patients with LVEF ≤40% (n = 1980), SBP <120 mmHg and SBP >140 mmHg were both associated with a significant increase in total mortality compared with SBP 120-140 mmHg [hazard ratio (HR) 1.75, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.41-2.17; and HR 1.40, 95% CI 1.04-1.90, respectively]. Hospitalizations were unrelated to SBP regardless of LVEF. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality is modulated by baseline SBP levels in patients with AF and depressed EF but not in patients with normal EF. Targeted therapy of AF patients based on SBP merits further prospective investigation.

Lone atrial fibrillation: does it exist?

The historical origin of the term "lone atrial fibrillation" (AF) predates by 60 years our current understanding of the pathophysiology of AF, the multitude of known etiologies for AF, and our ability to image and diagnose heart disease. The term was meant to indicate AF in patients for whom subsequent investigations could not demonstrate heart disease, but for many practitioners has become synonymous with "idiopathic AF." As the list of heart diseases has expanded and diagnostic techniques have improved, the prevalence of lone AF has fallen. The legacy of the intervening years is that definitions of lone AF in the literature are inconsistent so that studies of lone AF are not comparable. Guidelines provide a vague definition of lone AF but do not provide direction about how much or what kind of imaging and other testing are necessary to exclude heart disease. There has been an explosion in the understanding of the pathophysiology of AF in the last 20 years in particular. Nevertheless, there are no apparently unique mechanisms for AF in patients categorized as having lone AF. In addition, the term "lone AF" is not invariably useful in making treatment decisions, and other tools for doing so have been more thoroughly and carefully validated. It is, therefore, recommended that use of the term "lone AF" be avoided.