Adverse Impact of Sodium Bicarbonate Administration on Multiple Outcomes in Acute Pancreatitis Patients With Hyperlactatemia.

OBJECTIVE: Hyperlactatemia is likely to occur among patients with acute pancreatitis (AP). Sodium bicarbonate (SB) therapy could be applied to correct potential detrimental acidic disturbances, but the exact impact of SB treatment is unknown. This study aims to investigate the impact of SB on AP patients complicated with hyperlactatemia. METHODS: The study was conducted based on the database named Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV). Propensity matching (PSM) and inverse probability weighting (IPTW) were used to balance the baseline differences. Multivariate regression and marginal structural Cox models were performed to investigate the association between SB and multiple outcomes. RESULTS: Three hundred fifty-three AP patients with hyperlactatemia (initial serum lactate, >2.0 mmol/L) were extracted from the MIMIC-IV database. We found that SB treatment was significantly associated with worse multi-outcomes of AP patients with hyperlactatemia (in-hospital mortality: hazard ratio, 2.46; 95% confidence interval, 1.38-4.39; P < 0.01). Further analysis through marginal structural Cox models showed that SB had adverse impact on in-hospital prognosis of patients with severe lactic acidosis (pH < 7.15,lactate > 2.0 mmol/L). CONCLUSION: Sodium bicarbonate might not be an appropriate treatment for AP patients with hyperlactatemia (lactate > 2.0 mmol/L) or with severe lactic acidosis (pH < 7.15, lactate > 2.0 mmol/L).

Hot-Pressing Deformation Yields Fine-Grained, Highly Dense and (002) Textured Ru Targets.

Ruthenium (Ru) is a refractory metal that has applications in the semiconductor industry as a sputtering target material. However, conventional powder metallurgy methods cannot produce dense and fine-grained Ru targets with preferred orientation. Here, we present a novel method of hot-pressing deformation to fabricate Ru targets with high relative density (98.8%), small grain size (~4.4 µm) and strong (002) texture. We demonstrate that applying pressures of 30-40 MPa at 1400 °C transforms cylindrical Ru samples into disk-shaped targets with nearly full densification in the central region. We also show that the hardness and the (002)/(101) peak intensity ratio of the targets increase with the pressure, indicating enhanced mechanical and crystallographic properties. Our study reveals the mechanisms of densification and texture formation of Ru targets by hot-pressing deformation.

Thiamine supplementation may be associated with improved prognosis in patients with sepsis.

Sepsis is a clinical syndrome characterised by a severe disorder of pathophysiology caused by infection of pathogenic micro-organisms. The addition of antioxidant micronutrient therapies such as thiamine to sepsis treatment remains controversial. This study explored the effect of thiamine on the prognosis of patients with sepsis. This study was a retrospective study involving patients with sepsis from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV. Patients were divided into two groups, the thiamine received group (TR) and the thiamine unreceived group (TUR), according to whether they were supplemented with thiamin via intravenous while in the intensive care unit (ICU). The primary outcome was ICU mortality. The association between thiamine and outcome was analysed using the Cox proportional hazards regression model, propensity score matching (PSM), generalised boosted model-based inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) and doubly robust estimation. A total of 11 553 sepsis patients were enrolled in this study. After controlling for potential confounders using Cox regression models, the TR group had a statistically significantly lower ICU mortality risk than the TUR group. The hazard ratio of ICU mortality for the TR group was 0·80 (95 % CI 0·70, 0·93). We obtained the same results after using PSM, IPTW and doubly robust estimation. Supplementation with thiamine has a beneficial effect on the prognosis of patients with sepsis. More randomised controlled trials are needed to confirm the effectiveness of thiamine supplementation in the treatment of sepsis.

Competing risk analysis of cardiovascular death in patients with primary gallbladder cancer.

BACKGROUND: Developments in medical technology are resulting in continuous decreases in the cancer mortality rate of patients with gallbladder cancer, while non-cancer deaths in cancer patients are becoming more common. The main cause of this is cardiovascular mortality (CVM). The purpose of this study was to determine the CVM risk in patients with primary gallbladder cancer (PGC). METHODS: We extracted information on patients in the SEER database who were diagnosed with PGC from 2004 to 2015, compared CVM in patients with PGC with the general United States population, and calculated standardized mortality rates (SMRs) and the absolute excess risk. A competing risks model was used to identify and analyze the independent risk factors for cardiovascular death in patients with PGC. RESULTS: This study included 5925 patients, 247 of whom died from cardiovascular disease. The SMR of cardiovascular death in patients with PGC was 15.84 (95% confidence interval: 15.83-15.85), and the SMR was slightly lower in male than female patients. The competing risks analysis indicated that age, marital status, cancer cell differentiation, chemotherapy status, and year of diagnosis were risk factors for cardiovascular death in patients with PGC. CONCLUSIONS: The CVM risk is considerably higher in patients with PGC than in the general population. It is therefore very necessary to apply cardioprotective interventions to patients with PGC.

Associations of HDL-C/LDL-C with myocardial infarction, all-cause mortality, haemorrhagic stroke and ischaemic stroke: a longitudinal study based on 384 093 participants from the UK Biobank.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the correlations of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C)/low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) with myocardial infarction (MI), all-cause mortality, haemorrhagic stroke and ischaemic stroke, as well as the joint association of genetic susceptibility and HDL-C/LDL-C with the MI risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: This study selected 384 093 participants from the UK Biobank (UKB) database. First, restricted cubic splines indicated non-linear associations of HDL-C/LDL-C with MI, ischaemic stroke and all-cause mortality. Second, a Cox proportional-hazards model indicated that compared with HDL-C/LDL-C=0.4-0.6, HDL-C/LDL-C<0.4 and >0.6 were correlated with all-cause mortality (HR=0.97 for HDL-C/LDL-C<0.4, 95% CI=0.939 to 0.999, p<0.05; HR=1.21 for HDL-C/LDL-C>0.6, 95% CI=1.16 to 1.26, p<0.001) after full multivariable adjustment. HDL-C/LDL-C<0.4 was correlated with a higher MI risk (HR=1.36, 95% CI=1.28 to 1.44, p<0.05) and ischaemic stroke (HR=1.12, 95% CI=1.02 to 1.22, p<0.05) after full multivariable adjustment. HDL-C/LDL-C>0.6 was associated with higher risk haemorrhagic stroke risk after full multivariable adjustment (HR=1.25, 95% CI=1.03 to 1.52, p<0.05). Third, after calculating the coronary heart disease Genetic Risk Score (CHD-GRS) of each participant, the Cox proportional-hazards model indicated that compared with low CHD-GRS and HDL-C/LDL-C=0.4-0.6, participants with a combination of high CHD-GRS and HDL-C/LDL-C<0.4 were associated with the highest MI risk (HR=2.45, 95% CI=2.15 to 2.8, p<0.001). Participants with HDL-C/LDL-C<0.4 were correlated with a higher MI risk regardless of whether they had a high, intermediate or low CHD-GRS. CONCLUSION: In UKB participants, HDL-C/LDL-C ratio of 0.4-0.6 was correlated with lower MI risk, all-cause mortality, haemorrhagic stroke and ischaemic stroke. Participants with HDL-C/LDL-C<0.4 were correlated with a higher MI risk regardless of whether they had a high, intermediate or low CHD-GRS. The clinical significance and impact of HDL-C/LDL-C need to be further verified in future studies.

Effects of growth trajectory of shock index within 24 h on the prognosis of patients with sepsis.

Background: Sepsis is a serious disease with high clinical morbidity and mortality. Despite the tremendous advances in medicine and nursing, treatment of sepsis remains a huge challenge. Our purpose was to explore the effects of shock index (SI) trajectory changes on the prognosis of patients within 24 h after the diagnosis of sepsis. Methods: This study was based on Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC- IV). The effects of SI on the prognosis of patients with sepsis were investigated using C-index and restricted cubic spline (RCS). The trajectory of SI in 24 h after sepsis diagnosis was classified by latent growth mixture modeling (LGMM). Cox proportional hazard model, double robust analysis, and subgroup analysis were conducted to investigate the influence of SI trajectory on in-hospital death and secondary outcomes. Results: A total of 19,869 patients were eventually enrolled in this study. C-index showed that SI had a prognostic value independent of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment for patients with sepsis. Moreover, the results of RCS showed that SI was a prognostic risk factor. LGMM divided SI trajectory into seven classes, and patients with sepsis in different classes had notable differences in prognosis. Compared with the SI continuously at a low level of 0.6, the SI continued to be at a level higher than 1.0, and the patients in the class whose initial SI was at a high level of 1.2 and then declined had a worse prognosis. Furthermore, the trajectory of SI had a higher prognostic value than the initial SI. Conclusion: Both initial SI and trajectory of SI were found to be independent factors that affect the prognosis of patients with sepsis. Therefore, in clinical treatment, we should closely monitor the basic vital signs of patients and arrive at appropriate clinical decisions on basis of their change trajectory.

Association of NAFLD with cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality: a large-scale prospective cohort study based on UK Biobank.

Objective: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is considered as the hepatic manifestation of metabolic syndrome, sharing the similar cardiometabolic risk factors with cardiovascular disease (CVD). Whether NAFLD by itself is associated with increased cardiovascular events and death remain an issue to debate. This study aimed to further investigate the association between NAFLD and adverse CVD outcomes. Methods: Participants were followed up until the end of 2020 in current analysis. NAFLD is defined using fatty liver index (FLI). Cox proportional hazard model was used to analyze the association between NAFLD and all-cause mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), CVD mortality, fatal/nonfatal acute myocardial infarction (AMI), and fatal/nonfatal stroke. C-index was calculated to evaluate the model enhancement when adding NAFLD factor. Results: After screening the data of 502,492 participants in the original cohort, 215,245 eligible participants were included in this study for MACEs outcome. Compared with non-NAFLD participants, the multivariable adjusted hazard ratios of NAFLD group was 1.25 (1.14-1.36) for MACEs; 1.14 (1.08-1.20) for all-cause mortality; 1.61(1.42-1.82) for CVD mortality; 1.58(1.19-2.11) for AMI mortality; and 1.18 (0.85-1.64) for stroke mortality. When adding FLI, C-index of NAFLD model improved for all-cause mortality, MACEs, and CVD mortality compared with that in the traditional CVD risk factor model. Conclusion: NAFLD is an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality and adverse CVD outcomes. Based on the traditional CVD risk factor model, additionally screening NAFLD could improve the prediction efficiency for adverse CVD outcomes.

Worldwide long-term trends in the incidence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease during 1990-2019: A joinpoint and age-period-cohort analysis.

Background: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) was previously a neglected disease that is now becoming a worldwide pandemic. A better understanding of its incidence and long-term trends will help to increase public awareness of the disease and the development of future prevention strategies. Methods: The incidence rates of NAFLD during 1990-2019 were collected from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 database according to the following parameters: sex, age, socio-demographic index, and geographical region. Estimated annual percentage changes and joinpoint models were used to assess the long-term trend of NAFLD, and an age-period-cohort model was used to assess the extents of the age, period, and cohort effects. Results: Adult males, postmenopausal females, Latin American populations, and people in developing countries had a high risk of developing NAFLD. The joinpoint model indicated a new trend of increasing NAFLD incidence in 2005. Age was a risk factor affecting NAFLD incidence, with this effect increasing in more-recent periods. Younger birth cohorts had lower risks of NAFLD. Conclusions: Recent prevention measures for NAFLD have achieved good initial results. However, it remains a high priority to increase the public awareness of this condition, develop its diagnostic criteria, identify cost-effective screening methods, and seek policy support to act against NAFLD, which will be a major public health problem in the future.

Sleep duration, genetic susceptibility, and Alzheimer's disease: a longitudinal UK Biobank-based study.

BACKGROUND: Alzheimer's disease (AD) is the most frequently occurring type of dementia. Concurrently, inadequate sleep has been recognized as a public health epidemic. Notably, genetic and environmental factors are now considered contributors to AD progression. OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between sleep duration, genetic susceptibility, and AD. METHODS AND RESULTS: Based on 483,507 participants from the UK Biobank (UKB) with an average follow-up of 11.3 years, there was a non-linear relationship between AD incidence and sleep duration (P for non-linear < 0.001) by restricted cubic splines (RCS). Sleep duration was categorized into short sleep duration (< 6 h/night), normal sleep duration (6-9 h/night), and long sleep duration (> 9 h/night). No statistically significant interaction was identified between sleep duration and the AD-GRS (Alzheimer's disease genetic risk score, P for interaction = 0.45) using Cox proportional risk model. Compared with the participants who had a low AD-GRS and normal sleep duration, there was associated with a higher risk of AD in participants with a low AD-GRS and long sleep duration (HR = 3.4806; 95% CI 2.0011-6.054, p < 0.001), participants with an intermediate AD-GRS and long sleep duration (HR = 2.0485; 95% CI 1.3491-3.1105, p < 0.001), participants with a high AD-GRS and normal sleep duration (HR = 1.9272; 95% CI 1.5361-2.4176, p < 0.001), and participants with a high AD-GRS and long sleep duration (HR = 5.4548; 95% CI 3.1367-9.4863, p < 0.001).In addition, there was no causal association between AD and sleep duration using Two Sample Mendelian randomization (MR). CONCLUSION: In the UKB population, though there was no causal association between AD and sleep duration analyzed using Two Sample MR, long sleep duration (> 9 h/night) was significantly associated with a higher risk of AD, regardless of high, intermediate or low AD-GRS. Prolonged sleep duration may be one of the clinical predictors of a higher risk of AD.

The relationship between hematocrit and serum albumin levels difference and mortality in elderly sepsis patients in intensive care units-a retrospective study based on two large database.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis still threatens the lives of more than 300 million patients annually and elderly patients with sepsis usually have a more complicated condition and a worse prognosis. Existing studies have shown that both Hematocrit (HCT) and albumin (ALB) can be used as potential predictors of sepsis, and their difference HCT-ALB has a significant capacity to diagnose infectious diseases. Currently, there is no relevant research on the relationship between HCT-ALB and the prognosis of elderly sepsis patients. Therefore, this study aims to explore the association between HCT-ALB and mortality in elderly patients with sepsis. METHODS: This study was a multi-center retrospective study based on the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) database and the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD) in elderly patients with sepsis. The optimal HCT-ALB cut-off point for ICU mortality was calculated by the Youden Index based on the eICU-CRD dataset, and multivariate logistic regressions were conducted to explore the association between HCT-ALB and ICU/hospital mortality in the two databases. Subgroup analyses were performed for different parameters and comorbidity status. RESULTS: The number of 16,127 and 3043 elderly sepsis patients were selected from two large intensive care databases (eICU-CRD and MIMIC-IV, respectively) in this study. Depending on the optimal cut-off point, patients in both eICU-CRD and MIMIC-IV were independently divided into low HCT-ALB (< 6.7) and high HCT-ALB (≥ 6.7) groups. The odds ratio (95%confidence interval) [OR (95CI%)] of the high HCT-ALB group were 1.50 (1.36,1.65) and 1.71 (1.58,1.87) for ICU and hospital mortality in the eICU-CRD database after multivariable adjustment. Similar trends in the ICU and hospital mortality [OR (95%CI) 1.41 (1.15,1.72) and 1.27 (1.07,1.51)] were observed in MIMIC-IV database. Subgroup analysis showed an interaction effect with SOFA score in the eICU-CRD database however not in MIMIC-IV dataset. CONCLUSIONS: High HCT-ALB (≥ 6.7) is associated with 1.41 and 1.27 times ICU and hospital mortality risk in elderly patients with sepsis. HCT-ALB is simple and easy to obtain and is a promising clinical predictor of early risk stratification for elderly sepsis patients in ICU.

Antithrombotic Therapy Improves ICU Mortality of Septic Patients with Peripheral Vascular Disease.

Objective: The effectiveness of antithrombotic drugs for treating sepsis is controversial. Here, we explore the association between antithrombotic therapy and intensive care unit (ICU) mortality for septic patients with peripheral vascular disease. Methods: This retrospective cohort study uses data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-III database. Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were used to examine mortality among different groups. Cox regression and marginal structural Cox models (MSCMs) were used to adjust for confounding factors. Main Results. The final cohort from the MIMIC-III database included 776 patients, of which 701 survived and 75 perished. The anticoagulant (AC) group and the antiplatelet-anticoagulation (AC-AP) group survived better than the group without antithrombotic treatment (non-AT). The AC and AC-AP groups showed a 0.363-fold and 0.373-fold risk of ICU mortality, respectively, compared with the non-AT group when controlling for age, gender, CRRT, alcohol, heart failure, hypertension, diabetes, obesity, renal failure, liver disease, INR, PT, PPT, and SpO2. Antiplatelet therapy did not reduce ICU mortality. The same trends were apparent from the MSCM. In addition, the AC-AP group exhibited a lower risk of bleeding complications. Conclusion: Although the antithrombotic group (AC and AC-AP groups) demonstrated a higher sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score than the group without antithrombotic treatment (non-AT group), the risk of ICU mortality was lower without increasing the risk of bleeding complications. Our study further suggested that anticoagulation therapy may benefit the prognosis of septic patients with peripheral vascular disease.

Infusion of Human Albumin on Acute Pancreatitis Therapy: New Tricks for Old Dog?

Objective: Human serum albumin (HSA) infusion is a common administration on acute pancreatitis therapy in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU), but its actual association with patients' outcomes has not been confirmed. The study is aimed to determine whether the in-hospital prognosis of ICU patients with acute pancreatitis could benefit from HSA. Methods: 950 acute pancreatitis patients diagnosed in 2008-2019 were extracted from the MIMIC-IV database as our primary study cohort. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. We also performed an external validation with a cohort of 104 acute pancreatitis patients after PSM matching from the eICU database. Results: In MIMIC-IV, 228 acute pancreatitis patients received HSA infusion (Alb group) during their hospitalization, while 722 patients did not (non-Alb group). Patients in the Alb group presented a poorer survival curve than the non-Alb group, while this difference disappeared after PSM or IPTW matching (log-rank test: PSM: p = 0.660, IPTW: p = 0.760). After including covariates, no association was found between HSA infusion and patients' in-hospital mortality before and after matching (original cohort: HR: 1.00, 95% CI: 0.66-1.52, p = 0.998). HSA infusion also did not benefit patients' 28-days or ICU mortality, while it was significantly associated with a longer duration of hospital and ICU. In addition, the initial serum albumin levels, infections, the total amount, or the initial timing of infusion did not affect the conclusion. Similarly, in the eICU cohort, HSA infusion was still not a beneficial prognostic factor for patients' in-hospital prognosis (p = 0.087). Conclusion: Intravenous human serum albumin infusion could not benefit acute pancreatitis patients' in-hospital prognosis and was associated with prolonged hospital and ICU duration.

Effect of First Trough Vancomycin Concentration on the Occurrence of AKI in Critically Ill Patients: A Retrospective Study of the MIMIC-IV Database.

Background: Vancomycin can effectively inhibit Gram-positive cocci and is widely used in critically ill patients. This study utilized a large public database to explore the effect of patients' first vancomycin trough concentration (FVTC) on the occurrence of acute kidney injury (AKI) and mortality after receiving vancomycin treatment in intensive care unit (ICU). Methods: Critically ill patients who used vancomycin in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) IV have been retrospectively studied. The outcomes included the occurrence of AKI during the use of vancomycin or within 72 h of withdrawal, ICU mortality and hospital mortality. Restricted cubic splines (RCS) were used to analyze the linear relationship between FVTC and the outcomes. Multivariate logistic/Cox regression analysis was used to analyze the association between patient's FVTC and the occurrence of AKI, ICU mortality, and in-hospital mortality. Results: The study ultimately included 3,917 patients from the MIMIC-IV database who had been treated with vancomycin for more than 48 h. First of all, the RCS proved the linear relationship between FVTC and the outcomes. After controlling for all covariates as confounders in logistic/Cox regression, FVTC was a risk factor with the occurrence of AKI (OR: 1.02; 95% CI: 1.01-1.04), ICU mortality (HR: 1.02; 95% CI: 1.01-1.03), and in-hospital mortality (HR: 1.02; 95% CI: 1.01-1.03). Moreover, patients were divided into four groups in the light of the FVTC value: group1 ≤ 10 mg/L, 10 20 mg/L. Categorical variables indicated that group 3 and group 4 had a significant relationship on the occurrence of AKI [group 3: (OR: 1.36; 95% CI: 1.02-1.81); group 4: (OR: 1.76; 95% CI: 1.32-2.35)] and ICU mortality [group 3: (HR: 1.47; 95% CI: 1.03-2.09); group 4: (HR: 1.87; 95% CI: 1.33-2.62)], compared to group 1, while group 4 had a significant effect on in-hospital mortality (HR: 1.48; 95% CI: 1.15-1.91). Conclusions: FVTC is associated with the occurrence of AKI and increased ICU and in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients. Therefore, in clinical practice, patients in intensive care settings receiving vancomycin should be closely monitored for FVTC to prevent drug-related nephrotoxicity and reduce patient mortality.

Using Restricted Cubic Splines to Study the Duration of Antibiotic Use in the Prognosis of Ventilator-Associated Pneumonia.

Background: Ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) is the most widespread and life-threatening nosocomial infection in intensive care units (ICUs). The duration of antibiotic use is a good predictor of prognosis in patients with VAP, but the ideal duration of antibiotic therapy for VAP in critically ill patients has not been confirmed. Research is therefore needed into the optimal duration of antibiotic use and its impact on VAP. Methods: The Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care database included 1,609 patients with VAP. Chi-square or Student's t-tests were used to compare groups, and Cox regression analysis was used to investigate the factors influencing the prognoses of patients with VAP. Nonlinear tests were performed on antibiotic use lasting <7, 7-10, and >10 days. Significant factors were included in the model for sensitivity analysis. For the subgroup analyses, the body mass indexes (BMIs) of patients were separated into BMI <30 kg/m2 and BMI ≥30 kg/m2, with the criterion of statistical significance set at p < 0.05. Restricted cubic splines were used to analyze the relationship between antibiotic use duration and mortality risk in patients with VAP. Results: In patients with VAP, the effects of antibiotic use duration on the outcomes were nonlinear. Antibiotic use for 7-10 days in models 1-3 increased the risk of antibiotic use by 2.6020-, 2.1642-, and 2.3263-fold relative to for >10 days, respectively. The risks in models 1-3 for <7 days were 2.6510-, 1.9933-, and 2.5151-fold higher than those in models with >10 days of antibiotic use, respectively. These results were robust across the analyses. Conclusions: The duration of antibiotic treatment had a nonlinear effect on the prognosis of patients with VAP. Antibiotic use durations of <7 days and 7-10 days both presented risks, and the appropriate duration of antibiotic use can ensure the good prognosis of patients with VAP.

Influence of ambulatory blood pressure-related indicators within 24 h on in-hospital death in sepsis patients.

Background: Sepsis is a serious public health problem worldwide. Blood pressure is one of the indicators that is closely monitored in intensive-care units, and it reflects complex interactions between the internal cardiovascular control mechanism and the external environment. We aimed to determine the impact of indicators related to the ambulatory blood pressure on the prognosis of sepsis patients. Methods: This retrospective study was based on the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database. Relevant information about sepsis patients was extracted according to specific inclusion and exclusion criteria. Examined parameters included the average blood pressure, blood pressure variability (BPV), and circadian rhythm, and the study outcome was in-hospital death. We investigated the effects of these indicators on the risk of in-hospital death among sepsis patients using Cox proportional-hazards models, restricted cubic splines analysis, and subgroup analysis. Results: This study enrolled 10,316 sepsis patients, among whom 2,117 died during hospitalization. All parameters except the nighttime variation coefficient of the diastolic blood pressure (DBP) were associated with in-hospital death of sepsis patients. All parameters except for fluctuations in DBP exhibited nonlinear correlations with the outcome. The subgroup analysis revealed that some of the examined parameters were associated with in-hospital death only in certain subgroups. Conclusion: Indicators related to the ambulatory blood pressure within 24 h are related to the prognosis of sepsis patients. When treating sepsis, in addition to blood pressure, attention should also be paid to BPV and the circadian rhythm in order to improve the prognosis and the survival rate.

The association between continuous renal replacement therapy as treatment for sepsis-associated acute kidney injury and trend of lactate trajectory as risk factor of 28-day mortality in intensive care units.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis has high incidence and fatality rates in intensive care units, often leading to renal failure. The effectiveness of continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) in sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (S-AKI) patients is currently uncertain. AIM: Joint model was used to determine the association between CRRT and the lactate trajectory trend and how it correlated to 28-day mortality for S-AKI patient in ICU. METHODS: A retrospective study was applied to patients with sepsis and AKI, which were extracted from the MIMIC-III public database, with the endpoint being 28-day mortality. Every lactate level measurement within 28 days was observed and calculated using logarithms. Joint model combined the longitudinal analysis of the natural logarithm of the lactate level [log(lactate)] in longitudinal submodel and Cox regression by trajectory function, demonstrating the effects of CRRT on 28-day survival and log(lactate) changes, and its final relationship with the event status. RESULTS: Among the 717 S-AKI patients, 157 received CRRT. CRRT was not associated with 28-day mortality. After adjustments, the relationship between CRRT use and log(lactate) elevation was statistically significant. The parameter estimation of CRRT and log(lactate) indicated that using CRRT will increase log(lactate) by 0.041 in S-AKI patients. The joint model also instigated a fixed association between changes in the lactate level and the event result, revealing an exp value of (0.755) = 2.12, indicating that an increase of one unit in log(lactate) will increase the risk of 28-day mortality 2.12-times. CONCLUSION: There was no significant association between CRRT use and 28-day survival in S-AKI patients, and JM showed that CRRT use might be associated with elevation of longitudinal lactate levels. Therefore, additional attention should be paid to other treatments to control lactate levels when providing renal support for patients with S-AKI.

Different Trends in the Incidence and Mortality Rates of Prostate Cancer Between China and the USA: A Joinpoint and Age-Period-Cohort Analysis.

PURPOSE: This study used data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019) to determine the differences in the incidence and mortality of prostate cancer (PCa) between China and the USA from 1990 to 2019. METHOD: The age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and age-standardized death rates (ASDRs) in China and the USA from 1990 to 2019 were extracted from GBD 2019. Annual percentage changes and relative risks of ASIR and ASDR were calculated using joinpoint regression analysis and age-period-cohort models, respectively. RESULTS: The ASIR of PCa in China continually increased from 1990 to 2019, while in the USA it increased from 1990 to 1994 and then continually decreased until 2015, and then slightly increased again until 2019. The ASDR in China did not change, and the trend of ASDR in the USA was similar to the trend of the ASIR in the USA. The incidence of PCa increased with age in China, but decreased after the age of 75 years in the USA. A period effect was present, with the risk of developing PCa increasing continuously over longer time periods. Those born later had a lower risk of PCa or death, indicating a cohort effect. CONCLUSION: PCa is becoming more problematic for Chinese males. Disease trends in the USA indicate that large-scale screening may be beneficial and should be immediately implemented among high-risk groups in China.

Nomogram to predict cause-specific mortality of patients with rectal adenocarcinoma undergoing surgery: a competing risk analysis.

BACKGROUND: Rectal adenocarcinoma is one of major public health problems, severely threatening people's health and life. Cox proportional hazard models have been applied in previous studies widely to analyze survival data. However, such models ignore competing risks and treat them as censored, resulting in excessive statistical errors. Therefore, a competing-risk model was applied with the aim of decreasing risk of bias and thereby obtaining more-accurate results and establishing a competing-risk nomogram for better guiding clinical practice. METHODS: A total of 22,879 rectal adenocarcinoma cases who underwent primary-site surgical resection were collected from the SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) database. Death due to rectal adenocarcinoma (DRA) and death due to other causes (DOC) were two competing endpoint events in the competing-risk regression analysis. The cumulative incidence function for DRA and DOC at each time point was calculated. Gray's test was applied in the univariate analysis and Gray's proportional subdistribution hazard model was adopted in the multivariable analysis to recognize significant differences among groups and obtain significant factors that could affect patients' prognosis. Next, A competing-risk nomogram was established predicting the cause-specific outcome of rectal adenocarcinoma cases. Finally, we plotted calibration curve and calculated concordance indexes (c-index) to evaluate the model performance. RESULTS: 22,879 patients were included finally. The results showed that age, race, marital status, chemotherapy, AJCC stage, tumor size, and number of metastasis lymph nodes were significant prognostic factors for postoperative rectal adenocarcinoma patients. We further successfully constructed a competing-risk nomogram to predict the 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year cause-specific mortality of rectal adenocarcinoma patients. The calibration curve and C-index indicated that the competing-risk nomogram model had satisfactory prognostic ability. CONCLUSION: Competing-risk analysis could help us obtain more-accurate results for rectal adenocarcinoma patients who had undergone surgery, which could definitely help clinicians obtain accurate prediction of the prognosis of patients and make better clinical decisions.

Prediction of prognosis in elderly patients with sepsis based on machine learning (random survival forest).

BACKGROUND: Elderly patients with sepsis have many comorbidities, and the clinical reaction is not obvious. Thus, clinical treatment is difficult. We planned to use the laboratory test results and comorbidities of elderly patients with sepsis from a large-scale public database Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) IV to build a random survival forest (RSF) model and to evaluate the model's predictive value for these patients. METHODS: Clinical information of elderly patients with sepsis in MIMIC IV database was collected retrospectively. Machine learning (RSF) was used to select the top 30 variables in the training cohort to build the final RSF model. The model was compared with the traditional scoring systems SOFA, SAPSII, and APSIII. The performance of the model was evaluated by C index and calibration curve. RESULTS: A total of 6,503 patients were enrolled in the study. The top 30 important variables screened by RSF were used to construct the final RSF model. The new model provided a better C-index (0.731 in the validation cohort). The calibration curve described the agreement between the predicted probability of RSF model and the observed 30-day survival. CONCLUSIONS: We constructed a prognostic model to predict a 30-day mortality risk in elderly patients with sepsis based on machine learning (RSF algorithm), and it proved superior to the traditional scoring systems. The risk factors affecting the patients were also ranked. In addition to the common risk factors of vasopressors, ventilator use, and urine output. Newly added factors such as RDW, type of ICU unit, malignant cancer, and metastatic solid tumor also significantly influence prognosis.

Risk factor analysis and nomogram for predicting in-hospital mortality in ICU patients with sepsis and lung infection.

BACKGROUND: Lung infection is a common cause of sepsis, and patients with sepsis and lung infection are more ill and have a higher mortality rate than sepsis patients without lung infection. We constructed a nomogram prediction model to accurately evaluate the prognosis of and provide treatment advice for patients with sepsis and lung infection. METHODS: Data were retrospectively extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-III) open-source clinical database. The definition of Sepsis 3.0 [10] was used, which includes patients with life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by an uncontrolled host response to infection, and SOFA score ≥ 2. The nomogram prediction model was constructed from the training set using logistic regression analysis, and was then internally validated and underwent sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: The risk factors of age, lactate, temperature, oxygenation index, BUN, lactate, Glasgow Coma Score (GCS), liver disease, cancer, organ transplantation, Troponin T(TnT), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and CRRT, MV, and vasopressor use were included in the nomogram. We compared our nomogram with the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score and Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPSII), the nomogram had better discrimination ability, with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.743 (95% C.I.: 0.713-0.773) and 0.746 (95% C.I.: 0.699-0.790) in the training and validation sets, respectively. The calibration plot indicated that the nomogram was adequate for predicting the in-hospital mortality risk in both sets. The decision-curve analysis (DCA) of the nomogram revealed that it provided net benefits for clinical use over using the SOFA score and SAPSII in both sets. CONCLUSION: Our new nomogram is a convenient tool for accurate predictions of in-hospital mortality among ICU patients with sepsis and lung infection. Treatment strategies that improve the factors considered relevant in the model could increase in-hospital survival for these ICU patients.