Development and validation of an MRI-Based nomogram to predict the effectiveness of immunotherapy for brain metastasis in patients with non-small cell lung cancer.

Introduction: The variability and unpredictability of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in treating brain metastases (BMs) in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is the main concern. We assessed the utility of novel imaging biomarkers (radiomics) for discerning patients with NSCLC and BMs who would derive advantages from ICIs treatment. Methods: Data clinical outcomes and pretreatment magnetic resonance images (MRI) were collected on patients with NSCLC with BMs treated with ICIs between June 2019 and June 2022 and divided into training and test sets. Metastatic brain lesions were contoured using ITK-SNAP software, and 3748 radiomic features capturing both intra- and peritumoral texture patterns were extracted. A clinical radiomic nomogram (CRN) was built to evaluate intracranial progression-free survival, progression-free survival, and overall survival. The prognostic value of the CRN was assessed by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and log-rank tests. Results: In the study, a total of 174 patients were included, and 122 and 52 were allocated to the training and validation sets correspondingly. The intratumoral radiomic signature, peritumoral radiomic signature, clinical signature, and CRN predicted intracranial objective response rate. Kaplan-Meier analyses showed a significantly longer intracranial progression-free survival in the low-CRN group than in the high-CRN group (p < 0.001). The CRN was also significantly associated with progression-free survival (p < 0.001) but not overall survival. Discussion: Radiomics biomarkers from pretreatment MRI images were predictive of intracranial response. Pretreatment radiomics may allow the early prediction of benefits.

Using MRI radiomics to predict the efficacy of immunotherapy for brain metastasis in patients with small cell lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: Brain metastases (BMs) are common in small cell lung cancer (SCLC), and the efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in these patients is uncertain. In this study we aimed to develop and validate a radiomics nomogram based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for intracranial efficacy prediction of ICIs in patients with BMs from SCLC. METHODS: The training and validation cohorts consisted of 101 patients from two centers. The interclass correlation coefficient (ICC), logistic univariate regression analysis, and random forest were applied to select the radiomic features, generating the radiomics score (Rad-score) through the formula. Using multivariable logistic regression analysis, a nomogram was created by the combined model. The discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility were used to assess the performance of the nomogram. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted based on the nomogram scores. RESULTS: Ten radiomic features were selected for calculating the Rad-score as they could differentiate the intracranial efficacy in the training (area under the curve [AUC], 0.759) and the validation cohort (AUC, 0.667). A nomogram was created by combining Rad-score, treatment lines, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR). The training cohort obtained an AUC of 0.878 for the combined model, verified in the validation cohort (AUC = 0.875). Kaplan-Meier analyses showed the nomogram was associated with progression-free survival (PFS) (p = 0.0152) and intracranial progression-free survival (iPFS) (p = 0.0052) but not overall survival (OS) (p = 0.4894). CONCLUSION: A radiomics nomogram model for predicting the intracranial efficacy of ICIs in SCLC patients with BMs can provide suggestions for exploring individual-based treatments for patients.

Noninvasive radiomic biomarkers for predicting pseudoprogression and hyperprogression in patients with non-small cell lung cancer treated with immune checkpoint inhibition.

This study aimed to develop a computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics model capable of precisely predicting hyperprogression and pseudoprogression (PP) in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with immunotherapy. We retrospectively analyzed 105 patients with NSCLC, from three institutions, treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) and categorized them into training and independent testing set. Subsequently, we processed CT scans with a series of image-preprocessing techniques, and 6008 radiomic features capturing intra- and peritumoral texture patterns were extracted. We used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression model to select radiomic features and construct machine learning models. To further differentiate between progressive disease (PD) and hyperprogressive disease (HPD), we developed a new radiomics model. The logistic regression (LR) model showed optimal performance in distinguishing PP from HPD, with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.95 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.91-0.99) and 0.88 (95% CI: 0.66-1) in the training and testing sets, respectively. Additionally, the support vector machine model showed optimal performance in distinguishing PD from HPD, with AUC of 0.97 (95% CI: 0.93-1) and 0.87 (95% CI: 0.72-1) in the training and testing sets, respectively. Kaplan‒Meier survival curves showed clear stratification between PP predicted by the radiomics model and true progression (HPD and PD) (hazard ratio = 0.337, 95% CI: 0.200-0.568, p < 0.01) in overall survival. Our study demonstrates that radiomic features extracted from baseline CT scans are effective in predicting PP and HPD in patients with NSCLC treated with ICIs.