New evidence on supplier-induced demand in China's public tertiary hospitals: is the cost of hospitalization higher in the off-season?

Supplier-induced demand (SID) is a long-standing concern in health economics and health system studies; however, empirical evidence on SID-critical to the development of health policy-is difficult to obtain, especially from China. This study, therefore, aims to add new evidence on SID in China's public tertiary hospitals and facilitates the development of evidence-based health policies in China and other countries with similar healthcare systems. For this study, we used patient-level electronic medical records (EMRs) collected from the information systems of tertiary hospitals in a western province in China. From 11 tertiary hospitals, we collected 274,811 hospitalization records dated between 15 February and 30 November 2019. Total expenditure on hospitalization and length of admission of each patient were the primary metrics for measuring SID. We constructed a character indicator to measure the high-season or off-season status of hospitals, and log-linear estimations were applied to estimate the "off-season effect" on hospitalized expenditures and length of admission. We find that the cost of hospitalization is indeed higher in the off-season in China's public tertiary hospitals; specifically, expenditures for patients admitted in the off-season increased by an average of 5.3-7.9% compared to patients admitted in the peak season, while the length of admission in the hospital increased by an average of 6.8% to 10.2%. We also checked the robustness of our findings by performing subgroup analyses of EMRs in the city-level hospitals and surgical group. We name this phenomenon the "hospital off-season effect" and suggest that the main reason for it is inappropriate financial incentives combined with a Fee-For-Services payment method. We suggest that China should work to reform inappropriate financial incentives in public hospitals to eliminate SID by changing its payment and financing compensation system.

Prevalence and prognostic significance of main metabolic risk factors in primary biliary cholangitis: a retrospective cohort study of 789 patients.

Background: Metabolic risk factors in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) have not been well described in China. Additionally, it is unclear whether these factors have an impact on the prognosis of PBC patients. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the prevalence of main metabolic risk factors in PBC, and to evaluate their prognostic values for liver-related outcomes. Methods: A cohort of 789 PBC patients was retrospectively studied between July 2008 and September 2019 by investigating the main metabolic risk factors and analyzing liver-related outcomes. Results: At presentation, 271 (34.3%) patients had concomitant hyperlipidemia, 126 (16.0%) had hypertension, 94 (11.9%) had type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), and 17 (2.2%) had nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Hyperlipidemia was found to be associated with the lower risk of liver-related death [P<0.0001, hazard ratio (HR): 0.397, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.268-0.588] and adverse outcomes (P<0.0001, HR: 0.487, 95% CI:0.367-0.646), while hypertension was noted as a risk factor for liver-related death (P=0.001, HR: 1.788, 95% CI:1.268-2.521) and adverse outcomes (P=0.014, HR: 1.417, 95% CI:1.074-1.869). Moreover, age ≥ 55 years old (P=0.005) and cirrhosis (P<0.0001) had superimposition effects on hypertension as a risk factor for liver-related death, while only cirrhosis (P<0.0001) had an effect on hypertension as a risk factor for adverse outcomes. Additionally, anti-sp100 was associated with adverse outcomes (P=0.013) in PBC patients with hypertension in univariate Cox regression analysis. Conclusion: Hyperlipidemia, hypertension, and T2DM were found as main metabolic risk factors in PBC in China. Hyperlipidemia indicated a benign clinical outcome of PBC, while hypertension indicated a poor outcome of PBC. Older age and cirrhosis had superimposition effects on hypertension for liver-related poor outcomes. Anti-sp100 might be associated with adverse outcomes, especially in PBC patients with hypertension.

Catastrophic health expenditure of households with hypertension: a comparative study in China.

Objectives: The aim of this study was to understand the impact of multimorbidity on catastrophic health expenditures for people with hypertension. Methods: Data were obtained from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) in 2018, 8,342 adults were included in our analysis. Propensity score matching method was used to compare the risk of catastrophic health expenditures between the hypertension patients (treatment group) and those without any chronic disease (control group) in middle-aged and older adults. Patients with hypertension were also divided into two groups: only hypertension and multimorbidity. Results: Hypertension increased the likelihood of CHE by 11.3% in older adults. Further analysis showed that hypertension alone does not increase the risk of CHE, and the risk of CHE in hypertension patients with multimorbidity was 12.9% higher than those without chronic disease. Conclusion: Our study highlights the importance of healthy management of patients with only hypertension and preventing them from developing multimorbidity.

Correlation of androgen receptor with ultrasound, clinicopathological features and clinical outcomes in breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to explore whether there is an association between androgen receptor (AR) expression and ultrasound, clinicopathological features and prognosis of breast cancer. METHODS: A total of 141 breast cancer patients were included in this retrospective study. AR expression was analyzed by immunohistochemistry. The images of B-mode, color Doppler and strain elastography from 104 patients were collected continuously, and the corresponding ultrasound characteristics were obtained. The differences in ultrasound and clinicopathological features in different AR status were analyzed. Progression-free survival (PFS) of patients was obtained through up to 90 months of follow-up; then, the effect of AR on PFS was analyzed. Subsequently, a nomogram was constructed to predict the AR status. The predictive accuracy was calculated using C-index. RESULTS: The positive expression of AR (AR +) was associated with lower histological grade (p = 0.034) and lower Ki-67 level (p = 0.029). Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) had the lowest probability of AR + (p < 0.001). The AR + group mostly showed unsmooth margin (p < 0.001), posterior acoustic shadowing (p = 0.002) and higher elasticity score (p = 0.022) on ultrasound. The echo pattern of most tumors with AR + was heterogeneous (p = 0.024) in Luminal A subtype. AR + could be a sign of a better prognosis in overall breast cancer (p < 0.001), as well as in human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) overexpression and Luminal B subtypes (p = 0.001 and 0.025). The nomogram showed relatively reliable performance with a C-index of 0.799. CONCLUSION: Our research demonstrated that AR expression was closely related to ultrasound, clinicopathological features and prognosis of breast cancer.

Clearance of bacteria from lymph nodes in sheep immunized with Brucella suis S2 vaccine is associated with M1 macrophage activation.

Ovine brucellosis is a global zoonotic disease of sheep caused by Brucella melitensis, which inflicts a significant burden on human and animal health. Brucella suis strain S2 (B. suis S2) is a smooth live attenuated vaccine for the prevention of ovine brucellosis in China. However, no previous studies have assessed the immunogenicity of B. suis S2 vaccine after oral immunization in sheep. Here, we attempted to evaluate the ovine immune response over the course of B. suis S2 immunization and to identify in vivo predictors for vaccine development. Body temperature, serum Brucella antibodies, serum cytokines (IL-12p70 and interferon [IFN]-γ), and bacterial load in the mandibular lymph nodes (LN), superficial cervical LN, superficial inguinal LN, and spleen were investigated to determine the safety and efficacy of the vaccine. The abnormal body temperature of sheep occurred within 8 days post-infection (dpi). Brucella suis S2 persisted for a short time (< 21 dpi) in the mandibular LN. The highest level of IL-12p70 was observed at 9 dpi, whereas serum IFN-γ levels peaked at 12 dpi. Transcriptome analysis and quantitative reverse transcription PCR were performed to determine gene expression profiles in the mandibular LN of sheep. Antigen processing and presentation pathway was the dominant pathway related to the dataset. Our studies suggest that the immune response in ovine LN resembled type 1 immunity with the secretion of IL-12p70 and IFN-γ after B.suis S2 immunization and the vaccine may eliminate Brucella via stimulation of M1 macrophages through the course of Th cells.

Radiogenomic analysis of prediction HER2 status in breast cancer by linking ultrasound radiomic feature module with biological functions.

BACKGROUND: Human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) overexpressed associated with poor prognosis in breast cancer and HER2 has been defined as a therapeutic target for breast cancer treatment. We aimed to explore the molecular biological information in ultrasound radiomic features (URFs) of HER2-positive breast cancer using radiogenomic analysis. Moreover, a radiomics model was developed to predict the status of HER2 in breast cancer. METHODS: This retrospective study included 489 patients who were diagnosed with breast cancer. URFs were extracted from a radiomics analysis set using PyRadiomics. The correlations between differential URFs and HER2-related genes were calculated using Pearson correlation analysis. Functional enrichment of the identified URFs-correlated HER2 positive-specific genes was performed. Lastly, the radiomics model was developed based on the URF-module mined from auxiliary differential URFs to assess the HER2 status of breast cancer. RESULTS: Eight differential URFs (p < 0.05) were identified among the 86 URFs extracted by Pyradiomics. 25 genes that were found to be the most closely associated with URFs. Then, the relevant biological functions of each differential URF were obtained through functional enrichment analysis. Among them, Zone Entropy is related to immune cell activity, which regulate the generation of calcification in breast cancer. The radiomics model based on the Logistic classifier and URF-module showed good discriminative ability (AUC = 0.80, 95% CI). CONCLUSION: We searched for the URFs of HER2-positive breast cancer, and explored the underlying genes and biological functions of these URFs. Furthermore, the radiomics model based on the Logistic classifier and URF-module relatively accurately predicted the HER2 status in breast cancer.

Ti3C2(OH)x-assisted LDI-TOF-MS for the rapid analysis of natural small molecules.

The inhomogeneous distribution of co-crystallized analytes and the traditional organic matrices as well as the intensive background interference in the low molecular weight range hinder the application of matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization time-of-flight mass spectrometry (MALDI-TOF-MS) in the analysis of small-molecular compounds. New two-dimensional material MXene (e.g., Ti3C2) exerts better hydrophilicity, homogeneity and repeatability, and higher laser desorption efficiency, as well as less background interference than traditional organic matrices and other nanomaterial matrices such as titanium oxide, graphene, and gold nanostructures. This study was aimed to design Ti3C2 matrix with abundant hydroxyls on its surface, enhance the stability of this hydroxyl-rich Ti3C2 (Ti3C2(OH)x), and evaluate the analytical performances of Ti3C2(OH)x-assisted laser desorption/ionization time-of-flight mass spectrometry (LDI-TOF-MS) for small-molecular natural compounds in complex samples. The developed Ti3C2(OH)x showed the distinct advantages such as minimum background interference, high peak intensity (~105), high salt (0.6 M) and protein (0.5 mg/mL) tolerance, good repeatability (relative standard deviation<20%), and good stability after eight months of storage. Ti3C2(OH)x-assisted LDI-TOF-MS analysis could be used to rapidly identify Artemisia annua (a world-famous traditional Chinese medicine) and quantify the contents of the main chemical ingredients (oxymatrine (OXY) and matrine) of Compound Kushen Injection (CKI). Interestingly, the content of OXY in CKI could be accurately quantified by Ti3C2(OH)x-assisted LDI-TOF-MS, and there was a good linear relationship (R2 -0.9929), a low limit of detection (400 pg), and a low limit of quantification (600 pg) of OXY. Taken together, the rapid and accurate analysis of small-molecular natural compounds in complicated samples could be achieved by the Ti3C2(OH)x-assisted LDI-TOF-MS analysis.

Disease predisposition of human leukocyte antigen class II genes influences the gut microbiota composition in patients with primary biliary cholangitis.

Background: The human leukocyte antigen (HLA) susceptibility gene is the main genetic risk factor for primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). The prognosis of patients with PBC is linked to gut microbiota dysbiosis. However, whether the HLA alleles are associated with the gut microbiota distribution and disease severity remains unknown. Methods: A cohort of 964 Chinese patients with PBC was enrolled at Beijing YouAn Hospital, Beijing, China. High-resolution genotyping of the HLA class I and class II loci from 151 of these patients was performed using sequence-based PCR. Stool samples were collected from 43 of the 151 fully HLA-typed patients to analyze their microbiota compositions via 16S RNA gene sequencing. Results: Of the 964 patients, the male:female ratio was 114:850, and 342 of these patients (35.5%) had already developed liver cirrhosis (LC) before enrollment. Patients with PBC showed a significantly higher frequency of HLA DRB1*08:03 than did the controls (21.2% vs. 9.0%, P=0.0001). HLA-DRB1*03:01, DRB1*07:01, DRB1*14:05, and DRB1*14:54 frequencies were also increased but did not reach significance after Bonferroni's correction. Conversely, the DQB1*03:01 frequency was significantly lower in patients with PBC than in the controls (24.5% vs. 39.2%, P=0.0010). The patients' gut microbiota were analyzed from four perspectives. The microbial community abundances were significantly lower in FHRAC-positive patients (patients with a combination of five HLA DRB1 high-risk alleles) than in FHRAC-negative patients (P<0.05). Of the top 10 microbial genera, Lachnospiraceae_incertae_sedis was higher in the FHRAC-positive patients than in the FHRAC-negative patients (P<0.05). linear discriminant analysis (LDA) effect-size (LEfSe) analysis showed different microbes at different levels in the FHRAC-negative patients but not in the FHRAC-positive patients. DQB1*03:01-positive patients contained mostly Lactobacillaceae at the family level. A comparison of the FHRAC-positive patients with and without liver cirrhosis showed that the abundances of Veillonella were significantly higher in patients with cirrhosis and FHRAC than in those without cirrhosis and are FHRAC-negative. Conclusion: The HLA class II genes may influence the gut microbiota compositions in patients with PBC. Differential gut microbiota were expressed at different taxonomic levels. Some bacterial abundances may be increased in FHRAC-positive patients with PBC and cirrhosis.

The relationship between duration of subjective poverty and health among Chinese adults: Evidence from the China Family Panel Study.

Introduction: The disadvantaged socioeconomic status could have accumulated negative effects on individual. In the Chinese context, studying subjective and relative poverty is more important under the implementation of the Targeted Poverty Alleviation campaign. This study aims to provide evidence of the relationship between the duration of subjective poverty and both physical and mental health among Chinese adults, using nationally longitudinal data from 2010 to 2018. Materials and methods: Data were extracted from a nationally representative survey database-the China Family Panel Study (CFPS). The total sample size contains 12,003 adults, with 3,532 in the urban area and 8,471 in the rural area. Self-rated health and depressive symptoms were set as indicators of physical health and mental health, respectively. The duration of subjective poverty was measured by self-rated income level in the local area from 2010 to 2016. A series of ordinary least square regression was adopted to measure the relationship between duration of subjective poverty and health. Results: For the urban residents, the average duration of subjective poverty is 1.99 time points, while 1.98 time points for the rural residents. Net of objective poverty, duration of subjective poverty has a significantly negative association with individual's self-rated health in the rural sample (Coef. = -0.10, p < 0.001). Compared with those who have not experienced subjective poverty, the self-rated health score of people who experienced four time points is likely to decrease by 0.54 in the rural area and 0.30 in the urban area. In terms of mental health, 1 unit increase in the duration of subjective poverty is related to 0.15 unit increase in Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale-8 (CES-D8) scores in the urban sample and 0.46 in the rural sample. Compared with those who have not experienced subjective poverty, the CES-D8 scores of people who experienced four time points are likely to increase by 1.47 in the rural area and 0.95 in the urban area. Conclusion: A longer duration of subjective poverty has a cumulatively negative effect on Chinese residents' physical and mental health, especially in rural area. Our study advocates researchers and policymakers pay more attention to the cumulative effect of subjective poverty on health.

The Effect of Health Check-Ups on Health Among the Elderly in China: Evidence From 2011-2018 Longitudinal Data.

Objectives: To assess the effect of health check-ups on health among the elderly Chinese. Methods: The first dataset was panel data extracted from the 2011, 2014, and 2018 waves of the Chinese Longitudinal Health Longevity Survey (CLHLS). The second dataset was cross-sectional data come from CLHLS 2018 linked with the lagged term of health check-ups in CLHLS 2011. Health check-ups were measured by a binary variable annual health check-up (AHC). Health was assessed by a binary variable self-rated health (SRH). A coarsened exact matching method and individual fixed-effects models, as well as logistic regressions were employed. Results: AHC attendance among the elderly increased from 2011 to 2018, with higher utilization of AHC also detected in the rural group. AHC had positive effects on SRH among rural respondents (short-term effect: OR = 1.567, p < 0.05; long-term effect: OR = 3.385, p < 0.001). Conclusion: This study highlights a higher utilization of AHC in rural area, and the effectiveness of AHC in SRH improvement among rural participants. It indicates enhanced access to public healthcare services in rural area and underlying implications of health check-ups for reducing urban-rural health inequalities.

Nomograms predicting recurrence in patients with triple negative breast cancer based on ultrasound and clinicopathological features.

OBJECTIVES: The clinicopathological and ultrasound features associated with recurrence in patients with triple negative breast cancer (TNBC) were used to develop a nomogram to predict the prognosis of TNBC. METHODS: Clinicopathological data of 300 patients with TNBC treated between July 2012 and September 2014 were retrospectively reviewed. The endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). Prognostic factors were screened by multivariate COX regression to develop nomograms. The C-index and calibration curves were used to evaluate the predictive accuracy and discriminatory ability of nomograms. RESULTS: Of 300 patients with TNBC followed-up for 5 years, 80 (26.7%) had PFS events. Five informative prognostic factors (large size, vertical orientation, posterior acoustic enhancement, lymph node involvement, and high pathological stage) were screened and used to construct a nomogram for PFS. The C-index of the PFS nomogram was 0.88 (p < 0.01, 95% confidence interval, 0.85-0.90), indicating good predictive accuracy. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and validated a nomogram for predicting PFS in TNBC. Vertical orientation and posterior acoustic enhancement in ultrasound images of TNBC were associated with worse outcomes. ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE: Patients with TNBC have a very poor prognosis and patients have a high risk of recurrence, and our study developed a nomogram based on ultrasound and clinicopathological features for TNBC patients to improve the accuracy of individualized prediction of recurrence and provide help for clinical treatment.

Does social capital buffer or exacerbate mental health inequality? Evidence from the China Family Panel Study (CFPS).

BACKGROUND: Health inequality, including physical and mental health inequality, is an important issue. What role social capital plays in mental health inequality is still ambiguous, especially in developing countries. The aim of this study is to explore the relationship between social capital and mental health inequality in China. METHOD: Both family-level and community-/village-level social capitals are included in our analysis. Data is mainly extracted from the China Family Panel Studies in 2018, and lagged term of social capital in CFPS 2016 was used to link with other variables in 2018. Depressive symptoms and subjective well-being are set as indicators of mental health. A series of OLS regression models were conducted to estimate the effects of social capital on mental health and mental health inequality. RESULTS: Higher levels of social capital and income are related to a lower level of depressive symptoms and a higher level of subjective well-being. The positive coefficient of interaction term of family-level social capital and income level in the urban area indicates that the inhibiting effect of social capital on depressive symptoms is pro-poor. The negative coefficient of interaction term of village-level social capital and income level in the rural area suggests that the promoting effect of social capital on subjective well-being is pro-poor, too. CONCLUSION: The results show that severe mental health inequality exists in China; family-level social capital can buffer depressive symptom inequality, and village-level social capital can buffer SWB inequality. Although the amount of social capital of the poor is less than the rich, the poor can better use social capital to improve their mental health. Our study advocates enhancing social participation and communication for the poor to reduce mental health inequality.

Downregulation of Three Novel miRNAs in the Lymph Nodes of Sheep Immunized With the Brucella suis Strain 2 Vaccine.

Ovine and caprine brucellosis, both caused by Brucella melitensis, lead to substantial economic losses in the animal industry and health problems in human populations. Brucella suis strain 2 (B.suis S2), as a live attenuated vaccine, is used extensively in China to prevent brucellosis. It has been proven that microRNA (miRNAs) are involved in the immunopathogenesis of brucellosis; however, the miRNA-driven mechanism of immune response to B.suis S2 in vivo remains unknown. To determine which new miRNAs are involved in the host immune response to B.suis S2 and elucidate the function of these miRNAs, we performed a comprehensive analysis of miRNA expression profiles in sheep immunized with B.suis S2 using the high-throughput sequencing approach. The submandibular lymphatic nodes from sheep seropositive for Brucella were collected at 7, 14, 21, 30, 60 and 90 days post-immunization. MiRNA sequencing analysis revealed that 282 differentially expressed miRNAs (|log2 fold-change |>0.5 and p < 0.05) were significantly enriched in the immune pathways, including the NF-kappa B signaling pathway, B cell receptor signaling pathway, p53 signaling pathway and complement and coagulation cascades. Increasing the threshold to |log2 fold change|>1 and p < 0.01 revealed 48 differentially expressed miRNAs, 31 of which were novel miRNAs. Thirteen of these novel miRNAs, which were differentially expressed for at least two time points, were detected via RT-qPCR assays. The novel_229, novel_609, novel_973 and oar-miR-181a assessed by RT-qPCR were detectable and consistent with the expression patterns obtained by miRNA sequencing. Functional analyses of these miRNAs demonstrated that their target genes participated in the immune response pathways, including the innate and adaptive immunity pathways. The immune-related target genes of novel_229 included ENSOARG00000000649 and TMED1, as well as LCN2, PDPK1 and LPO were novel_609 target genes. The immune-related target genes of novel_973 included C6orf58, SPPL3, BPIFB1, ENSOARG00000021083, MPTX1, CCL28, FGB, IDO1, OLR1 and ENSOARG00000020393. The immune-related target genes of oar-miR-181a included ENSOARG00000002722, ARHGEF2, MFAP4 and DOK2. These results will deepen our understanding of the host miRNA-driven defense mechanism in sheep immunized with B.suis S2 vaccine, and provide the valuable information for optimizing vaccines and developing molecular diagnostic targets.

AuNPs/NiFe-LDHs-assisted laser desorption/ionization mass spectrometry for efficient analysis of metronidazole and its metabolites in water samples.

Gold nanoparticles (AuNPs) have been widely used as laser desorption/ionization mass spectrometry (LDI-MS) nanomaterials for the analysis of low-molecular-weight samples. Nickel/iron-layered double hydroxides (NiFe-LDHs) nanosheets can support the anchoring of AuNPs and enhance the ability of desorption/ionization. Their hybrid nanocomposites are expected to produce synergistic effects to improve the performance of LDI-MS. In this work, a novel AuNPs/NiFe-LDHs nanomaterial was synthesized by self-assembly method and characterized based on TEM, SEM, XPS, UV-vis and FTIR-ATR. AuNPs/NiFe-LDHs assisted LDI-TOF MS exhibited higher peak intensity and lower background noise compared with conventional organic matrices. Furthermore, excellent salt and protein tolerance, good repeatability and quantification were observed when MNZ and its metabolites were detected in the range of 1-50 ng·µL-1 (R2 > 0.98), with LODs and LOQs of 0.5 ng·µL-1 and 1 ng·µL-1, respectively. This nanocomposite could also be used for the analysis of some other small molecules, such as antibiotics, sugars, amino acids and pesticides, demonstrating the potential to detect a variety of environmental chemicals. Taken together, the developed method combined the advantages of two nanomaterials and can provide rapid and accurate analysis of MNZ and its metabolites in water samples, as well as some other small molecules.

Using two-step cluster analysis to classify inpatients with primary biliary cholangitis based on autoantibodies: A real-world retrospective study of 537 patients in China.

Background: A variety of autoantibodies have been detected in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), while the presence of autoantibody clusters and their clinical significance have not been fully understood. We aimed at defining autoantibody clusters and to better understand the clinical features and prognosis of PBC patients based on autoantibody clusters under real-world conditions. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 788 inpatients with PBC evaluated between October 2008 and July 2019, and included 537 patients. Nineteen autoantibodies which were measured routinely were investigated for cluster analysis. Two-step clustering, Kaplan-Meier survival, and Cox regression analyses were used. Results: Five clusters were defined. A cluster of antinuclear antibodies (ANA) and anti-gp210 positive patients were identified with a high rate of cirrhosis at baseline and low survival rate; a cluster of ANA, anti-centromere antibodies (ACA) and/or anti-CENP-B female dominant patients with older disease onset, low level of platelet count at baseline, high rate of hepatic decompensation, and low survival rate was also characterized; and another cluster of anti-mitochondrial antibodies (AMA) and/or AMA-M2, anti-Ro52 and a high rate of anti-gp210 positive patients were identified with a high proportion of male patients and low survival rate. A subgroup of patients with anti-SSA and/or anti-SSB coexists with SjS was also identified; patients with only AMA and/or AMA-M2-positive with a benign clinical outcome and relatively high complication of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) were also identified. Only anti-gp210 was considered as a significant predictor for poor outcomes especially in patients with cirrhosis. Conclusion: Clustering methods allow the identification of distinct autoantibody profiles of PBC that form clinical subsets and can be useful for personalized approaches to diagnosis, clinical management, and the prediction of clinical outcomes. Anti-gp210 was the strongest predictive factor for poor outcomes especially in PBC patients with cirrhosis under real-world conditions.

Predicting Pathological Complete Response After Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Advanced Breast Cancer by Ultrasound and Clinicopathological Features Using a Nomogram.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Prediction of pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) for breast cancer is critical for surgical planning and evaluation of NAC efficacy. The purpose of this project was to assess the efficiency of a novel nomogram based on ultrasound and clinicopathological features for predicting pCR after NAC. METHODS: This retrospective study included 282 patients with advanced breast cancer treated with NAC from two centers. Patients received breast ultrasound before NAC and after two cycles of NAC; and the ultrasound, clinicopathological features and feature changes after two cycles of NAC were recorded. A multivariate logistic regression model was combined with bootstrapping screened for informative features associated with pCR. Then, we constructed two nomograms: an initial-baseline nomogram and a two-cycle response nomogram. Sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value (NPV), and positive predictive value (PPV) were analyzed. The C-index was used to evaluate predictive accuracy. RESULTS: Sixty (60/282, 21.28%) patients achieved pCR. Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) and HER2-amplified types were more likely to obtain pCR. Size shrinkage, posterior acoustic pattern, and elasticity score were identified as independent factors by multivariate logistic regression. In the validation cohort, the two-cycle response nomogram showed better discrimination than the initial-baseline nomogram, with the C-index reaching 0.79. The sensitivity, specificity, and NPV of the two-cycle response nomogram were 0.77, 0.77, and 0.92, respectively. CONCLUSION: The two-cycle response nomogram exhibited satisfactory efficiency, which means that the nomogram was a reliable method to predict pCR after NAC. Size shrinkage after two cycles of NAC was an important in dependent factor in predicting pCR.

Gender differences in depressive symptoms of rural Chinese grandparents caring for grandchildren.

BACKGROUND: Caring for grandchildren is regarded as one of the principle roles of middle- and old-aged adults, especially among rural Chinese grandparents. This study aims to examine the gender differences in depressive symptoms of rural Chinese grandparents caring for grandchildren, based on the gender differences in grandparental role engagement and the theories of role strain and role enhancement. METHODS: A total of 4833 rural citizens with one or more grandchildren were selected from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) conducted in 2015. Grandchild care was measured by continuous variable (duration) and categorical variable (no care, low intensity, moderate intensity, high intensity). Depressive symptoms were assessed by the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D). We used coarsened exact matching (CEM) to balance the covariates of caregivers and non-caregivers. Following CEM, 1975 non-caregivers and 2212 caregivers were identified (N = 4187). Multilevel linear regression was employed to examine the gender differences in depressive symptoms. We also tested for the moderating role of gender on the association between grandchild care and depressive symptoms. RESULTS: Grandmothers were more likely to provide grandchild care (54.42% vs 51.43%) at high intensity (61.46% vs 51.01%), with longer duration (39.24 h vs 33.15 h) than that given by grandfathers. Grandmothers suffered more from depressive symptoms than grandfathers, and such gap increased when grandparents were involved in high-intensity care. Grandmothers providing grandchild care, particularly at moderate intensity, were associated with fewer depressive symptoms (Coef. = - 0.087, 95%CI: - 0.163, - 0.010; Coef. = - 0.291, 95%CI: - 0.435, - 0.147), compared with non-caregivers. Grandmothers giving moderate intensity of grandchild care were also associated with fewer depressive symptoms (Coef. = - 0.171, 95% CI: - 0.313, - 0.029), compared with those with low-intensity care. However, such associations were not significant among grandfathers. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings highlight the gender differences in depressive symptoms of rural Chinese grandparents caring for grandchildren. Grandparents should be encouraged to engage in grandchild care, but at moderate intensity. The health status of middle- and old-aged adults, particularly females, should be monitored closely. Humanistic care, preventive care and curative treatment strategies focusing on such populations should be developed and refined.

Whether high government subsidies reduce the healthcare provision of township healthcare centers in rural China.

BACKGROUND: China's government launched a large-scale healthcare reform from 2009. One of the main targets of this round reform was to improve the primary health care system. Major reforms for primary healthcare institutions include increasing government investment. However, there are insufficient empirical studies based on large sample to catch long-term effect of increased government subsidy and lack of sufficient incentives on township healthcare centers (THCs), therefore, this study aims to provide additional empirical evidence on the concern by conducting an empirical analysis of THCs in Shaanxi province in China. METHODS: We collected nine years (2009 to 2017) data of THCs from the Health Finance Annual Report System (HFARS) that was acquired from the Health Commission of Shaanxi Province. We applied two-way fixed effect model and continue difference-in-difference (DID) model to estimate the effect of percentage of government subsidy on medical provision. RESULTS: A clear jump of the average percentage of government subsidy to total revenue of THCs can be found in Shaanxi province in 2011, and the average percentage has been more than 60% after 2011. Continue DID models indicate every 1% percentage of government subsidy to total revenue increase after 2011 resulted in a decrease of 1.1 to 3.5% in THCs healthcare provision (1.9% in medical revenue, 1.2% in outpatient visit, 3.5% in total occupy beds of inpatient, 1.1% in surgery revenue, 2.1% in sickbed utilization rate). The results show that the THCs with high government subsidy reduce the number of medical services after 2011. CONCLUSIONS: We think that it is no doubt that the government should take more responsibility for the financing of primary healthcare institutions, the problem is when government plays a central role in the financing and delivery of primary health care services, more effective incentives should be developed.

Understanding parental self-medication with antibiotics among parents of different nationalities: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: There is an increasing trend on the practices of parental self-medication with antibiotics (PSMA) around world, accelerating the antibiotic abuse. This study aims to examine the nationality differences in the practices of PSMA and knowledge, attitudes and practices (KAP) toward antibiotic use, and understand the practices of PSMA among parents of various nationalities in China. METHODS: A cross-sectional study based on a structured questionnaire survey was conducted in Xi'an, Shaanxi Province, China, from September 2018 to October 2018. A total of 299 respondents participated in. The practices of PSMA (a dichotomous variable) and KAP toward antibiotic use (a continuous variable) served as dependent variables. Participant's nationality was regarded as the independent variable. Binary logistic regression and ordinary least square regression were employed to examine the association between parent's nationality and the practices of PSMA, and KAP toward antibiotic use, respectively. RESULTS: 121 (40.88%) Chinese, 100 (33.76%) other Asians and 75 (25.34%) Occidentals were included in final analysis, with a sample size of 296. Chinese were more likely to practice PSMA (OR = 7.070; 95% CI 1.315, 38.01), with worse knowledge (Coef. = - 0.549; 95% CI - 1.021, - 0.078), attitudes (Coef. = - 3.069; 95% CI - 4.182, - 1.956) and practices (Coef. = - 1.976; 95% CI - 3.162, - 0.790) toward antibiotic use, compared to their Occidental counterparts. The main reasons for the practices of PSMA were enough previous medication experience (80.49%) and same ailments with no need to see a doctor (39.02%), with common symptoms such as fever (60.98%) and cough (58.54%). Purchasing antibiotics at pharmacies (92.08%) and using leftover antibiotics (26.83%) were usual approaches. CONCLUSIONS: The study highlights the gaps in the practices of PSMA and KAP toward antibiotic use among parents of different nationalities. The access to obtain antibiotics from pharmacies reflects the pharmacists' unaware of laws on prescription of antibiotics, fierce competition in the pharmacy market, and the government's lax supervision in China. It suggests the need to improve pharmacists' training, enforce current legislations on pharmacy market regarding the sale of antibiotics, and provide practical and effective educational interventions for residents about antibiotic use.