The German Resuscitation Registry - Epidemiological data for out-of-hospital and in-hospital cardiac arrest.

Introduction: The German Resuscitation Registry was started in 2007 and collects data on out-of-hospital as well as in-hospital cardiac arrest and resuscitation. It has collected more than 400.000 datasets till today. Methods: The German Resuscitation Registry (GRR) is a voluntary quality improvement tool and research tool for out-of-hospital and in-hospital resuscitation as well as in-hospital emergency treatment. It collects data for initial treatment, in-hospital care as well as long-term outcome in an online database. For risk stratification two scores have been developed, published, and implemented. The participants are getting annual and monthly or quarterly reports in addition to the standardized online, 24/7 available analyzing options. An annual public report is published as well. We are reporting on the OHCA annual report of 2022. Results: In 2022 the incidence of CPR started or continued by EMS was 77.6/100.000 inhabitants/year. The mean age was 70.2 years and 66.7% were male bystanders who started CPR in 51.3%. The average response time for the first EMS vehicle to arrive on scene was 6:55 min.In 57.9% of the cases, they had a presumed cardiac cause. The primary outcome, return-of-spontaneous circulation (ROSC) was achieved in 42.1%. Discussion: With its more than 450.000 included datasets, the GRR is an established tool for quality improvement and research in Germany and internationally. The results for the incidence of OHCA and outcome from 2022 are compared to EuReCa TWO data ranging in the upper third of European countries. Furthermore, the GRR has contributed to increasing knowledge of OHCA by conducting and publishing research e.g. on epidemiology, airway management, and medication of OHCA.

Tuberculosis treatment monitoring tests during routine practice: study design guidance.

SCOPE: The current tools for tuberculosis (TB) treatment monitoring, smear microscopy and culture, cannot accurately predict poor treatment outcomes. Research into new TB treatment monitoring tools (TMTs) is growing, but data are unreliable. In this article, we aim to provide guidance for studies investigating and evaluating TB TMT for use during routine clinical care. Here, a TB TMT would guide treatment during the course of therapy, rather than testing for a cure at the regimen's end. This article does not cover the use of TB TMTs as surrogate endpoints in the clinical trial context. METHODS: Guidelines were initially informed by experiences during a systematic review of TB TMTs. Subsequently, a small content expert group was consulted for feedback on initial recommendations. After revision, feedback from substantive experts across sectors was sought. QUESTIONS ADDRESSED BY THE GUIDELINE AND RECOMMENDATIONS: The proposed considerations and recommendations for studies evaluating TB TMTs for use during the treatment in routine clinical care fall into eight domains. We provide specific recommendations regarding study design and recruitment, outcome definitions, reference standards, participant follow-up, clinical setting, study population, treatment regimen reporting, and index tests and data presentation. Overall, TB TMTs should be evaluated in a manner similar to diagnostic tests, but TB TMT accuracy must be assessed at multiple timepoints throughout the treatment course, and TB TMTs should be evaluated in study populations who have already received a diagnosis of TB. Study design and outcome definitions must be aligned with the developmental phase of the TB TMT under evaluation. There is no reference standard for TB treatment response, so different reference standards and comparator tests have been proposed, the selection of which will vary depending on the developmental phase of the TMT under assessment. The use of comparator tests can assist in generating evidence. Clarity is required when reporting of timepoints, TMT read-outs, and analysis results. Implementing these recommendations will lead to higher quality TB TMT studies that will allow data to be meaningfully compared, thereby facilitating the development of novel tools to guide individual TB therapy and improve treatment outcomes.

A Single-Arm, Open-Label Phase II Study of ONC201 in Recurrent/Refractory Metastatic Breast Cancer and Advanced Endometrial Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: ONC201 is a small molecule that can cause nonapoptotic cell death through loss of mitochondrial function. Results from the phase I/II trials of ONC201 in patients with refractory solid tumors demonstrated tumor responses and prolonged stable disease in some patients. METHODS: This single-arm, open-label, phase II clinical trial evaluated the efficacy of ONC201 at the recommended phase II dose (RP2D) in patients with recurrent or refractory metastatic breast or endometrial cancer. Fresh tissue biopsies and blood were collected at baseline and at cycle 2 day 2 for correlative studies. RESULTS: Twenty-two patients were enrolled; 10 patients with endometrial cancer, 7 patients with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer, and 5 patients with triple-negative breast cancer. The overall response rate was 0%, and the clinical benefit rate, defined by complete response (CR) + partial response (PR) + stable disease (SD), was 27% (n = 3/11). All patients experienced an adverse event (AE), which was primarily low grade. Grade 3 AEs occurred in 4 patients; no grade 4 AEs occurred. Tumor biopsies did not show that ONC201 consistently induced mitochondrial damage or alterations in tumor necrosis factor-related apoptosis-inducing ligand (TRAIL) or the TRAIL death receptors. ONC201 treatment caused alterations in peripheral immune cell subsets. CONCLUSION: ONC201 monotherapy did not induce objective responses in recurrent or refractory metastatic breast or endometrial cancer at the RP2D dose of 625 mg weekly but had an acceptable safety profile (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03394027).

First-in-human phase 1 clinical trial of anti-core 1 O-glycans targeting monoclonal antibody NEO-201 in treatment-refractory solid tumors.

BACKGROUND: NEO201 is a humanized IgG1 monoclonal antibody (mAb) generated against tumor-associated antigens from patients with colorectal cancer. NEO-201 binds to core 1 or extended core 1 O-glycans expressed by its target cells. Here, we present outcomes from a phase I trial of NEO-201 in patients with advanced solid tumors that have not responded to standard treatments. METHODS: This was a single site, open label 3 + 3 dose escalation clinical trial. NEO-201 was administered intravenously every two weeks in a 28-day cycle at dose level (DL) 1 (1 mg/kg), DL 1.5 (1.5 mg/kg) and DL 2 (2 mg/kg) until dose limiting toxicity (DLT), disease progression, or patient withdrawal. Disease evaluations were conducted after every 2 cycles. The primary objective was to assess the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) and recommended phase 2 dose (RP2D) of NEO-201. The secondary objective was to assess the antitumor activity by RECIST v1.1. The exploratory objectives assessed pharmacokinetics and the effect of NEO-201 administration on immunologic parameters and their impact on clinical response. RESULTS: Seventeen patients (11 colorectal, 4 pancreatic and 2 breast cancers) were enrolled; 2 patients withdrew after the first dose and were not evaluable for DLT. Twelve of the 15 patients evaluable for safety discontinued due to disease progression and 3 patients discontinued due to DLT (grade 4 febrile neutropenia [1 patient] and prolonged neutropenia [1 patient] at DL 2, and grade 3 prolonged (> 72 h) febrile neutropenia [1 patient] at DL 1.5). A total of 69 doses of NEO-201 were administered (range 1-15, median 4). Common (> 10%) grade 3/4 toxicities occurred as follows: neutropenia (26/69 doses, 17/17 patients), white blood cell decrease (16/69 doses, 12/17 patients), lymphocyte decrease (8/69 doses, 6/17 patients). Thirteen patients were evaluable for disease response; the best response was stable disease (SD) in 4 patients with colorectal cancer. Analysis of soluble factors in serum revealed that a high level of soluble MICA at baseline was correlated with a downregulation of NK cell activation markers and progressive disease. Unexpectedly, flow cytometry showed that NEO-201 also binds to circulating regulatory T cells and reduction of the quantities of these cells was observed especially in patients with SD. CONCLUSIONS: NEO-201 was safe and well tolerated at the MTD of 1.5 mg/kg, with neutropenia being the most common adverse event. Furthermore, a reduction in the percentage of regulatory T cells following NEO-201 treatment supports our ongoing phase II clinical trial evaluating the efficiency of the combination of NEO-201 with the immune checkpoint inhibitor pembrolizumab in adults with treatment-resistant solid tumors. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT03476681 . Registered 03/26/2018.

Multicomponent strategy with decentralised molecular testing for tuberculosis in Uganda: a cost and cost-effectiveness analysis.

BACKGROUND: Decentralised molecular testing for tuberculosis could reduce missed diagnoses and losses to follow-up in high-burden settings. The aim of this study was to evaluate the cost and cost-effectiveness of the Xpert Performance Evaluation for Linkage to Tuberculosis Care (XPEL-TB) study strategy, a multicomponent strategy including decentralised molecular testing for tuberculosis, in Uganda. METHODS: We conducted a costing and cost-effectiveness analysis nested in a pragmatic cluster-randomised trial of onsite (decentralised) versus hub-and-spoke (centralised) testing for tuberculosis with Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra (Xpert) in 20 community health centres in Uganda. We collected empirical data on the cost of the XPEL-TB strategy (decentralised Xpert testing, workflow redesign, and performance feedback) and routine tuberculosis testing (onsite smear microscopy with specimen transport for centralised Xpert testing) from the health system perspective. Time-and-motion studies were performed to estimate activity-based service costs. Cost-effectiveness was assessed as the incremental cost (2019 US$) per tuberculosis diagnosis and per 14-day treatment initiation. FINDINGS: The XPEL-TB study ran from Oct 22, 2018, to March 1, 2020. Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness outcomes were assessed from Dec 1, 2018, to Nov 30, 2019 and included 4867 women and 3139 men. On a per-test basis, the cost of decentralised ($20·46, range $17·85-25·72) and centralised ($18·20, range $16·58-24·25) Xpert testing was similar. However, decentralised testing resulted in more patients receiving appropriate Xpert testing, so the per-patient cost of decentralised testing was higher: $20·28 (range $17·68-25·48) versus $9·59 (range $7·62-14·34). The XPEL-TB strategy was estimated to cost $1332 (95% uncertainty range $763-5558) per incremental tuberculosis diagnosis and $687 ($501-1207) per incremental patient initiating tuberculosis treatment within 14 days. Cost-effectiveness was reduced in sites performing fewer than 150-250 tests annually. INTERPRETATION: The XPEL-TB strategy facilitated higher rates of Xpert testing for tuberculosis at a similar per-test cost and modest incremental cost per tuberculosis diagnosis and treatment initiation. Decentralised Xpert testing, with appropriate implementation supports, should be scaled up to clinics with sufficient testing volume to support a single-module device. FUNDING: The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute.

Phase I Study and Cell-Free DNA Analysis of T-DM1 and Metronomic Temozolomide for Secondary Prevention of HER2-Positive Breast Cancer Brain Metastases.

PURPOSE: Preclinical data showed that prophylactic, low-dose temozolomide (TMZ) significantly prevented breast cancer brain metastasis. We present results of a phase I trial combining T-DM1 with TMZ for the prevention of additional brain metastases after previous occurrence and local treatment in patients with HER2+ breast cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Eligible patients had HER2+ breast cancer with brain metastases and were within 12 weeks of whole brain radiation therapy (WBRT), stereotactic radiosurgery, and/or surgery. Standard doses of T-DM1 were administered intravenously every 21 days (3.6 mg/kg) and TMZ was given orally daily in a 3+3 phase I dose escalation design at 30, 40, or 50 mg/m2, continuously. DLT period was one 21-day cycle. Primary endpoint was safety and recommended phase II dose. Symptom questionnaires, brain MRI, and systemic CT scans were performed every 6 weeks. Cell-free DNA sequencing was performed on patients' plasma and CSF. RESULTS: Twelve women enrolled, nine (75%) with prior SRS therapy and three (25%) with prior WBRT. Grade 3 or 4 AEs included thrombocytopenia (1/12), neutropenia (1/12), lymphopenia (6/12), and decreased CD4 (6/12), requiring pentamidine for Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia prophylaxis. No DLT was observed. Four patients on the highest TMZ dose underwent dose reductions. At trial entry, 6 of 12 patients had tumor mutations in CSF, indicating ongoing metastatic colonization despite a clear MRI. Median follow-up on study was 9.6 m (2.8-33.9); only 2 patients developed new parenchymal brain metastases. Tumor mutations varied with patient outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Metronomic TMZ in combination with standard dose T-DM1 shows low-grade toxicity and potential activity in secondary prevention of HER2+ brain metastases.

Neurologic complications of breast cancer.

Breast cancer is a heterogeneous disease with unique neurologic complications that can arise from central nervous system (CNS) involvement or secondary to treatments themselves. As progress is made, with more targeted therapies and combinations available, particularly in the realm of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive disease, the role of these new agents in patients with CNS disease is gradually evolving, although intracranial efficacy itself is lagging. At the same time, both systemic and local standard therapies pose clinical challenges regarding neurologic complications, such as peripheral neuropathy and cognitive changes. The development of new agents, such as immunotherapy, and new strategies, such as incorporating systemic therapies into local therapy, unveil new presentations of neurological complications.

Standard error estimation in meta-analysis of studies reporting medians.

We consider the setting of an aggregate data meta-analysis of a continuous outcome of interest. When the distribution of the outcome is skewed, it is often the case that some primary studies report the sample mean and standard deviation of the outcome and other studies report the sample median along with the first and third quartiles and/or minimum and maximum values. To perform meta-analysis in this context, a number of approaches have recently been developed to impute the sample mean and standard deviation from studies reporting medians. Then, standard meta-analytic approaches with inverse-variance weighting are applied based on the (imputed) study-specific sample means and standard deviations. In this article, we illustrate how this common practice can severely underestimate the within-study standard errors, which results in poor coverage for the pooled mean in common effect meta-analyses and overestimation of between-study heterogeneity in random effects meta-analyses. We propose a straightforward bootstrap approach to estimate the standard errors of the imputed sample means. Our simulation study illustrates how the proposed approach can improve the estimation of the within-study standard errors and consequently improve coverage for the pooled mean in common effect meta-analyses and estimation of between-study heterogeneity in random effects meta-analyses. Moreover, we apply the proposed approach in a meta-analysis to identify risk factors of a severe course of COVID-19.

Intraperitoneal Monocytes plus IFNs as a Novel Cellular Immunotherapy for Ovarian Cancer: Mechanistic Characterization and Results from a Phase I Clinical Trial.

PURPOSE: Ovarian cancer is the most lethal gynecologic cancer and intrinsically resistant to checkpoint immunotherapies. We sought to augment innate immunity, building on previous work with IFNs and monocytes. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Preclinical experiments were designed to define the mechanisms of cancer cell death mediated by the combination of IFNs α and γ with monocytes. We translated these preclinical findings into a phase I trial of autologous IFN-activated monocytes administered intraperitoneally to platinum-resistant or -refractory ovarian cancer patients. RESULTS: IFN-treated monocytes induced caspase 8-dependent apoptosis by the proapoptotic TRAIL and mediated by the death receptors 4 and 5 (DR4 and DR5, respectively) on cancer cells. Therapy was well tolerated with evidence of clinical activity, as 2 of 9 evaluable patients had a partial response by RECIST criteria, and 1 additional patient had a CA-125 response. Upregulation of monocyte-produced TRAIL and cytokines was confirmed in peripheral blood. Long-term responders had alterations in innate and adaptive immune compartments. CONCLUSIONS: Given the mechanism of cancer cell death, and the acceptable tolerability of the clinical regimen, this platform presents a possibility for future combination therapies to augment anticancer immunity. See related commentary by Chow and Dorigo, p. 299.

Medical and cardio-vascular emergency department visits during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020: is there a collateral damage? A retrospective routine data analysis.

BACKGROUND: In this retrospective routine data analysis, we investigate the number of emergency department (ED) consultations during the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020 in Germany compared to the previous year with a special focus on numbers of myocardial infarction and acute heart failure. METHODS: Aggregated case numbers for the two consecutive years 2019 and 2020 were obtained from 24 university hospitals and 9 non-university hospitals in Germany and assessed by age, gender, triage scores, disposition, care level and by ICD-10 codes including the tracer diagnoses myocardial infarction (I21) and heart failure (I50). RESULTS: A total of 2,216,627 ED consultations were analyzed, of which 1,178,470 occurred in 2019 and 1,038,157 in 2020. The median deviation in case numbers between 2019 and 2020 was - 14% [CI (- 11)-(- 16)]. After a marked drop in all cases in the first COVID-19 wave in spring 2020, case numbers normalized during the summer. Thereafter starting in calendar week 39 case numbers constantly declined until the end of the year 2020. The decline in case numbers predominantly concerned younger [- 16%; CI (- 13)-(- 19)], less urgent [- 18%; CI (- 12)-(- 22)] and non-admitted cases [- 17%; CI (- 13)-(- 20)] in particular during the second wave. During the entire observation period admissions for chest pain [- 13%; CI (- 21)-2], myocardial infarction [- 2%; CI (- 9)-11] and heart failure [- 2%; CI (- 10)-6] were less affected and remained comparable to the previous year. CONCLUSIONS: ED visits were noticeably reduced during both SARS-CoV-2 pandemic waves in Germany but cardiovascular diagnoses were less affected and no refractory increase was noted. However, long-term effects cannot be ruled out and need to be analysed in future studies.

Making cough count in tuberculosis care.

Cough assessment is central to the clinical management of respiratory diseases, including tuberculosis (TB), but strategies to objectively and unobtrusively measure cough are lacking. Acoustic epidemiology is an emerging field that uses technology to detect cough sounds and analyze cough patterns to improve health outcomes among people with respiratory conditions linked to cough. This field is increasingly exploring the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) for more advanced applications, such as analyzing cough sounds as a biomarker for disease screening. While much of the data are preliminary, objective cough assessment could potentially transform disease control programs, including TB, and support individual patient management. Here, we present an overview of recent advances in this field and describe how cough assessment, if validated, could support public health programs at various stages of the TB care cascade.

Radiation Therapy for Brain Metastases: An ASTRO Clinical Practice Guideline.

PURPOSE: This guideline provides updated evidence-based recommendations addressing recent developments in the management of patients with brain metastases, including advanced radiation therapy techniques such as stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) and hippocampal avoidance whole brain radiation therapy and the emergence of systemic therapies with central nervous system activity. METHODS: The American Society for Radiation Oncology convened a task force to address 4 key questions focused on the radiotherapeutic management of intact and resected brain metastases from nonhematologic solid tumors. The guideline is based on a systematic review provided by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. Recommendations were created using a predefined consensus-building methodology and system for grading evidence quality and recommendation strength. RESULTS: Strong recommendations are made for SRS for patients with limited brain metastases and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status 0 to 2. Multidisciplinary discussion with neurosurgery is conditionally recommended to consider surgical resection for all tumors causing mass effect and/or that are greater than 4 cm. For patients with symptomatic brain metastases, upfront local therapy is strongly recommended. For patients with asymptomatic brain metastases eligible for central nervous system-active systemic therapy, multidisciplinary and patient-centered decision-making to determine whether local therapy may be safely deferred is conditionally recommended. For patients with resected brain metastases, SRS is strongly recommended to improve local control. For patients with favorable prognosis and brain metastases receiving whole brain radiation therapy, hippocampal avoidance and memantine are strongly recommended. For patients with poor prognosis, early introduction of palliative care for symptom management and caregiver support are strongly recommended. CONCLUSIONS: The task force has proposed recommendations to inform best clinical practices on the use of radiation therapy for brain metastases with strong emphasis on multidisciplinary care.

Tuberculosis in times of COVID-19.

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused widespread disruptions to tuberculosis (TB) care and service delivery in 2020, setting back progress in the fight against TB by several years. As newer COVID-19 variants continue to devastate many low and middle-income countries in 2021, the extent of this setback is likely to increase. Despite these challenges, the TB community can draw on the comprehensive approaches used to manage COVID-19 to help restore progress and mitigate the impact of COVID-19 on TB. Our team developed the 'Swiss Cheese Model for Ending TB' to illustrate that it is only through multisectoral collaborations that address the personal, societal and health system layers of care that we will end TB. In this paper, we examine how COVID-19 has impacted the different layers of TB care presented in the model and explore how we can leverage some of the lessons and outcomes of the COVID-19 pandemic to strengthen the global TB response.

HER2-positive breast cancer brain metastasis: A new and exciting landscape.

BACKGROUND: Brain metastases (BrM) incidence is 25% to 50% in women with advanced human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive breast cancer. Radiation and surgery are currently the main local treatment approaches for central nervous system (CNS) metastases. Systemic anti-HER2 therapy following a diagnosis of BrM improves outcomes. Previous preclinical data has helped elucidate HER2 brain trophism, the blood-brain/blood-tumor barrier(s), and the brain tumor microenvironment, all of which can lead to development of novel therapeutic options. RECENT FINDINGS: Several anti-HER2 agents are currently available and reviewed here, some of which have recently shown promising effects in BrM patients, specifically. New strategies driven by and focusing on brain metastasis-specific genomics, immunotherapy, and preventive strategies have shown promising results and are under development. CONCLUSIONS: The field of HER2+ breast cancer, particularly for BrM, continues to evolve as new therapeutic strategies show promising results in recent clinical trials. Increasing inclusion of patients with BrM in clinical studies, and a focus on assessing their outcomes both intracranially and extracranially, is changing the landscape for patients with HER2+ CNS metastases by demonstrating the ability of newer agents to improve outcomes.

Biomarkers That Correlate with Active Pulmonary Tuberculosis Treatment Response: a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Current WHO recommendations for monitoring treatment response in adult pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) are sputum smear microscopy and/or culture conversion at the end of the intensive phase of treatment. These methods either have suboptimal accuracy or a long turnaround time. There is a need to identify alternative biomarkers to monitor TB treatment response. We conducted a systematic review of active pulmonary TB treatment monitoring biomarkers. We screened 9,739 articles published between 1 January 2008 and 31 December 2020, of which 77 met the inclusion criteria. When studies quantitatively reported biomarker levels, we meta-analyzed the average fold change in biomarkers from pretreatment to week 8 of treatment. We also performed a meta-analysis pooling the fold change since the previous time point collected. A total of 81 biomarkers were identified from 77 studies. Overall, these studies exhibited extensive heterogeneity with regard to TB treatment monitoring study design and data reporting. Among the biomarkers identified, C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), interferon gamma-induced protein 10 (IP-10), and tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α) had sufficient data to analyze fold changes. All four biomarker levels decreased during the first 8 weeks of treatment relative to baseline and relative to previous time points collected. Based on limited data available, CRP, IL-6, IP-10, and TNF-α have been identified as biomarkers that should be further explored in the context of TB treatment monitoring. The extensive heterogeneity in TB treatment monitoring study design and reporting is a major barrier to evaluating the performance of novel biomarkers and tools for this use case. Guidance for designing and reporting treatment monitoring studies is urgently needed.

Actinobacillus utilizes a binding protein-dependent ABC transporter to acquire the active form of vitamin B6.

Bacteria require high-efficiency uptake systems to survive and proliferate in nutrient-limiting environments, such as those found in host organisms. ABC transporters in the bacterial plasma membrane provide a mechanism for transport of many substrates. In this study, we examine an operon containing a periplasmic binding protein in Actinobacillus for its potential role in nutrient acquisition. The electron density map of 1.76 Å resolution obtained from the crystal structure of the periplasmic binding protein was best fit with a molecular model containing a pyridoxal-5'-phosphate (P5P/pyridoxal phosphate/the active form of vitamin B6) ligand within the protein's binding site. The identity of the P5P bound to this periplasmic binding protein was verified by isothermal titration calorimetry, microscale thermophoresis, and mass spectrometry, leading us to name the protein P5PA and the operon P5PAB. To illustrate the functional utility of this uptake system, we introduced the P5PAB operon from Actinobacillus pleuropneumoniae into an Escherichia coli K-12 strain that was devoid of a key enzyme required for P5P synthesis. The growth of this strain at low levels of P5P supports the functional role of this operon in P5P uptake. This is the first report of a dedicated P5P bacterial uptake system, but through bioinformatics, we discovered homologs mainly within pathogenic representatives of the Pasteurellaceae family, suggesting that this operon exists more widely outside the Actinobacillus genus.

A novel blood-based assay for treatment monitoring of tuberculosis.

OBJECTIVES: A novel 3-gene host transcriptional signature (GBP5, DUSP3 and KLF2) has been validated for tuberculosis (TB) treatment monitoring using laboratory-based RNA sequencing platforms. The signature was recently translated by Cepheid into a prototype cartridge-based test that can be run on the GeneXpert instrument. In this study, we prospectively evaluated the change in the expression of the cartridge-based 3-gene signature following treatment initiation among pulmonary TB patients who were microbiologically cured at the end of treatment. RESULTS: The 3-gene signature expression level (TB score) changed significantly over time with respect to baseline among 31 pulmonary TB patients. The greatest increase in TB score occurred within the first month of treatment (median fold-increase in TB score: 1.08 [IQR 0.54-1.52]) and plateaued after 4 months of treatment (median TB score: 1.97 [IQR: 1.03-2.33]). The rapid and substantial increase of the TB score in the first month of treatment holds promise for the early identification of patients that respond to TB treatment. The plateau in TB score at 4 months may indicate early clearance of disease and could direct treatment to be shortened. These hypotheses need to be further explored with larger prospective treatment monitoring studies.

Can we predict the severe course of COVID-19 - a systematic review and meta-analysis of indicators of clinical outcome?

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 has been reported in over 40million people globally with variable clinical outcomes. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we assessed demographic, laboratory and clinical indicators as predictors for severe courses of COVID-19. METHODS: This systematic review was registered at PROSPERO under CRD42020177154. We systematically searched multiple databases (PubMed, Web of Science Core Collection, MedRvix and bioRvix) for publications from December 2019 to May 31st 2020. Random-effects meta-analyses were used to calculate pooled odds ratios and differences of medians between (1) patients admitted to ICU versus non-ICU patients and (2) patients who died versus those who survived. We adapted an existing Cochrane risk-of-bias assessment tool for outcome studies. RESULTS: Of 6,702 unique citations, we included 88 articles with 69,762 patients. There was concern for bias across all articles included. Age was strongly associated with mortality with a difference of medians (DoM) of 13.15 years (95% confidence interval (CI) 11.37 to 14.94) between those who died and those who survived. We found a clinically relevant difference between non-survivors and survivors for C-reactive protein (CRP; DoM 69.10 mg/L, CI 50.43 to 87.77), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH; DoM 189.49 U/L, CI 155.00 to 223.98), cardiac troponin I (cTnI; DoM 21.88 pg/mL, CI 9.78 to 33.99) and D-Dimer (DoM 1.29mg/L, CI 0.9 to 1.69). Furthermore, cerebrovascular disease was the co-morbidity most strongly associated with mortality (Odds Ratio 3.45, CI 2.42 to 4.91) and ICU admission (Odds Ratio 5.88, CI 2.35 to 14.73). DISCUSSION: This comprehensive meta-analysis found age, cerebrovascular disease, CRP, LDH and cTnI to be the most important risk-factors that predict severe COVID-19 outcomes and will inform clinical scores to support early decision-making.