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1.
Respir Med ; 226: 107608, 2024 May.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38582302

BACKGROUND: Clinical presentation and prevalence of organ involvement is highly variable in sarcoidosis and depends on ethnic, genetic and geographical factors. These data are not extensively studied in a Dutch population. AIM: To determine the prevalence of organ involvement and the indication for systemic immunosuppressive therapy in newly diagnosed sarcoidosis patients in the Netherlands. METHODS: Two large Dutch teaching hospitals participated in this prospective cohort study. All adult patients with newly diagnosed sarcoidosis were prospectively included and a standardized work-up was performed. Organ involvement was defined using the WASOG instrument. RESULTS: Between 2015 and 2020, a total of 330 patients were included, 55% were male, mean age was 46 (SD 14) years. Most of them were white (76%). Pulmonary involvement including thoracic lymph node enlargement was present in 316 patients (96%). Pulmonary parenchymal disease was present in 156 patients (47%). Ten patients (3%) had radiological signs of pulmonary fibrosis. Cutaneous sarcoidosis was present in 74 patients (23%). Routine ophthalmological screening revealed uveitis in 29 patients (12%, n = 256)). Cardiac and neurosarcoidosis were diagnosed in respectively five (2%) and six patients (2%). Renal involvement was observed in 11 (3%) patients. Hypercalcaemia and hypercalciuria were observed in 29 (10%) and 48 (26%, n = 182) patients, respectively. Hepatic involvement was found in 6 patients (2%). In 30% of the patients, systemic immunosuppressive treatment was started at diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: High-risk organ involvement in sarcoidosis is uncommon at diagnosis. Indication for systemic immunosuppressive therapy was present in a minority of patients.


Sarcoidosis , Uveitis , Humans , Male , Prospective Studies , Netherlands/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Female , Sarcoidosis/epidemiology , Sarcoidosis/diagnosis , Sarcoidosis/drug therapy , Sarcoidosis/complications , Adult , Uveitis/diagnosis , Uveitis/epidemiology , Uveitis/drug therapy , Prevalence , Sarcoidosis, Pulmonary/epidemiology , Sarcoidosis, Pulmonary/diagnosis , Sarcoidosis, Pulmonary/drug therapy , Immunosuppressive Agents/therapeutic use , Central Nervous System Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiomyopathies/epidemiology , Cardiomyopathies/diagnosis , Pulmonary Fibrosis/epidemiology , Kidney Diseases/epidemiology , Kidney Diseases/diagnosis
2.
J Vasc Res ; : 1-8, 2024 Apr 17.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38631294

INTRODUCTION: During the first COVID-19 outbreak in 2020 in the Netherlands, the incidence of pulmonary embolism (PE) appeared to be high in COVID-19 patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). This study was performed to evaluate the incidence of PE during hospital stay in COVID-19 patients not admitted to the ICU. METHODS: Data were retrospectively collected from 8 hospitals in the Netherlands. Patients admitted between February 27, 2020, and July 31, 2020, were included. Data extracted comprised clinical characteristics, medication use, first onset of COVID-19-related symptoms, admission date due to COVID-19, and date of PE diagnosis. Only polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-positive patients were included. All PEs were diagnosed with computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA). RESULTS: Data from 1,852 patients who were admitted to the hospital ward were collected. Forty patients (2.2%) were diagnosed with PE within 28 days following hospital admission. The median time to PE since admission was 4.5 days (IQR 0.0-9.0). In all 40 patients, PE was diagnosed within the first 2 weeks after hospital admission and for 22 (55%) patients within 2 weeks after onset of symptoms. Patient characteristics, pre-existing comorbidities, anticoagulant use, and laboratory parameters at admission were not related to the development of PE. CONCLUSION: In this retrospective multicenter cohort study of 1,852 COVID-19 patients only admitted to the non-ICU wards, the incidence of CTPA-confirmed PE was 2.2% during the first 4 weeks after onset of symptoms and occurred exclusively within 2 weeks after hospital admission.

3.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38513758

Asthma is the most common chronic respiratory disease in women of childbearing age and during pregnancy. This paper presents a summary of the Dutch multidisciplinary guideline on asthma and pregnancy. The aim of this guideline is to provide structured, where possible, evidence-based recommendations to optimize the management of asthma during pregnancy. The main topics covered in this guideline are preconception counseling, the safety of asthma medications during pregnancy and breastfeeding and risk assessment and monitoring of asthma during pregnancy. Because many caregivers are involved and a uniform approach is desirable, this guideline has been developed in collaboration with all relevant health care providers and patient representatives.

4.
ERJ Open Res ; 10(1)2024 Jan.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38410700

Background: Exacerbations of COPD (ECOPD) have a major impact on patients and healthcare systems across the world. Precise estimates of the global burden of ECOPD on mortality and hospital readmission are needed to inform policy makers and aid preventive strategies to mitigate this burden. The aims of the present study were to explore global in-hospital mortality, post-discharge mortality and hospital readmission rates after ECOPD-related hospitalisation using an individual patient data meta-analysis (IPDMA) design. Methods: A systematic review was performed identifying studies that reported in-hospital mortality, post-discharge mortality and hospital readmission rates following ECOPD-related hospitalisation. Data analyses were conducted using a one-stage random-effects meta-analysis model. This study was conducted and reported in accordance with the PRISMA-IPD statement. Results: Data of 65 945 individual patients with COPD were analysed. The pooled in-hospital mortality rate was 6.2%, pooled 30-, 90- and 365-day post-discharge mortality rates were 1.8%, 5.5% and 10.9%, respectively, and pooled 30-, 90- and 365-day hospital readmission rates were 7.1%, 12.6% and 32.1%, respectively, with noticeable variability between studies and countries. Strongest predictors of mortality and hospital readmission included noninvasive mechanical ventilation and a history of two or more ECOPD-related hospitalisations <12 months prior to the index event. Conclusions: This IPDMA stresses the poor outcomes and high heterogeneity of ECOPD-related hospitalisation across the world. Whilst global standardisation of the management and follow-up of ECOPD-related hospitalisation should be at the heart of future implementation research, policy makers should focus on reimbursing evidence-based therapies that decrease (recurrent) ECOPD.

5.
Eur J Intern Med ; 123: 114-119, 2024 May.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38123419

OBJECTIVE: Due to increased use of computed tomography (CT), prevalence of thyroid and adrenal incidentalomas is rising. Yet, previous studies on the outcomes of diagnostic work-up of incidentalomas are subjected to inclusion bias. Therefore, we aimed to investigate prevalence and outcomes of diagnostic work-up of thyroid and adrenal incidentalomas detected on chest CT in a less selected population of COVID-19 suspected patients. DESIGN: A retrospective, observational cohort study. METHODS: We included all COVID-19 suspected patients who underwent chest CT between March 2020 and March 2021. Radiology reports and medical records were reviewed for the presence and subsequent diagnostic work-up of thyroid and adrenal incidentalomas. RESULTS: A total of 1,992 consecutive COVID-19 patients were included (59.4% male, median age 71 years [IQR: 71-80]). Thyroid and adrenal incidentalomas were identified in 95 (4.8%) and 133 (6.7%) patients, respectively. Higher prevalence was observed with increasing age, among female patients and in patients with malignancy. Forty-four incidentalomas were further analyzed, but no malignancies were found. Only three lesions were hormonally active (1 thyrotoxicosis and 2 mild autonomous cortisol secretion). Diagnostic work-up did not lead to any change in clinical management in 97.7% of the analyzed patients. CONCLUSION: Prevalence rates of thyroid and adrenal incidentalomas on chest CT in a less selected COVID-19 cohort were 4.8% and 6.7%, respectively. Yet, as all incidentalomas turned out to be benign and only three lesions were (mildly) hormonally active, this raises the question whether intensive diagnostic work-up of incidentalomas is necessary in all patients.


Adrenal Gland Neoplasms , COVID-19 , Incidental Findings , Thyroid Neoplasms , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Humans , Male , Female , Aged , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/diagnostic imaging , COVID-19/diagnosis , Retrospective Studies , Adrenal Gland Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , Adrenal Gland Neoplasms/epidemiology , Prevalence , Aged, 80 and over , Thyroid Neoplasms/epidemiology , Thyroid Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , Thyroid Neoplasms/diagnosis , SARS-CoV-2 , Middle Aged
6.
BMJ Open ; 13(12): e071137, 2023 12 09.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38070891

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this multicentre COVID-PREDICT study (a nationwide observational cohort study that aims to better understand clinical course of COVID-19 and to predict which COVID-19 patients should receive which treatment and which type of care) was to determine the association between atrial fibrillation (AF) and mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, complications and discharge destination in hospitalised COVID-19 patients. SETTING: Data from a historical cohort study in eight hospitals (both academic and non-academic) in the Netherlands between January 2020 and July 2021 were used in this study. PARTICIPANTS: 3064 hospitalised COVID-19 patients >18 years old. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was the incidence of new-onset AF during hospitalisation. Secondary outcomes were the association between new-onset AF (vs prevalent or non-AF) and mortality, ICU admissions, complications and discharge destination, performed by univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: Of the 3064 included patients (60.6% men, median age: 65 years, IQR 55-75 years), 72 (2.3%) patients had prevalent AF and 164 (5.4%) patients developed new-onset AF during hospitalisation. Compared with patients without AF, patients with new-onset AF had a higher incidence of death (adjusted OR (aOR) 1.71, 95% CI 1.17 to 2.59) an ICU admission (aOR 5.45, 95% CI 3.90 to 7.61). Mortality was non-significantly different between patients with prevalent AF and those with new-onset AF (aOR 0.97, 95% CI 0.53 to 1.76). However, new-onset AF was associated with a higher incidence of ICU admission and complications compared with prevalent AF (OR 6.34, 95% CI 2.95 to 13.63, OR 3.04, 95% CI 1.67 to 5.55, respectively). CONCLUSION: New-onset AF was associated with an increased incidence of death, ICU admission, complications and a lower chance to be discharged home. These effects were far less pronounced in patients with prevalent AF. Therefore, new-onset AF seems to represent a marker of disease severity, rather than a cause of adverse outcomes.


Atrial Fibrillation , COVID-19 , Aged , Female , Humans , Male , Atrial Fibrillation/drug therapy , Cohort Studies , COVID-19/complications , COVID-19/epidemiology , Hospital Mortality , Netherlands/epidemiology , Prognosis , Risk Factors , Middle Aged
7.
BMJ Open ; 13(11): e075232, 2023 11 14.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37963704

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the relationship among dysnatraemia at hospital presentation and duration of admission, risk of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and all-cause mortality and to assess the underlying pathophysiological mechanism of hyponatraemia in patients with COVID-19. Our hypothesis is that both hyponatraemia and hypernatraemia at presentation are associated with adverse outcomes. DESIGN: Observational study. SETTING: Secondary care; 11 Dutch hospitals (2 university and 9 general hospitals). PARTICIPANTS: An analysis was performed within the retrospective multicentre cohort study COVIDPredict. 7811 patients were included (60% men, 40% women) between 24 February 2020 and 9 August 2022. Patients who were ≥18 years with PCR-confirmed COVID-19 or CT with COVID-19 reporting and data system score≥4 and alternative diagnosis were included. Patients were excluded when serum sodium levels at presentation were not registered in the database or when they had been transferred from another participating hospital. OUTCOME MEASURES: We studied demographics, medical history, symptoms and outcomes. Patients were stratified according to serum sodium concentration and urinary sodium excretion. RESULTS: Hyponatraemia was present in 2677 (34.2%) patients and hypernatraemia in 126 (1.6%) patients. Patients with hyponatraemia presented more frequently with diarrhoea, lower blood pressure and tachycardia. Hyponatraemia was, despite a higher risk for ICU admission (OR 1.27 (1.11-1.46; p<0.001)), not associated with mortality or the risk for intubation. Patients with hypernatraemia had higher mortality rates (OR 2.25 (1.49-3.41; p<0.001)) and were at risk for ICU admission (OR 2.89 (1.83-4.58)) and intubation (OR 2.95 (1.83-4.74)). CONCLUSIONS: Hypernatraemia at presentation was associated with adverse outcomes in patients with COVID-19. Hypovolaemic hyponatraemia was found to be the most common aetiology of hyponatraemia. Hyponatraemia of unknown aetiology was associated with a higher risk for ICU admission and intubation and longer duration of admission.


COVID-19 , Hypernatremia , Hyponatremia , Male , Humans , Female , Hyponatremia/epidemiology , Hyponatremia/etiology , Hypernatremia/epidemiology , Hypernatremia/etiology , COVID-19/complications , Cohort Studies , Sodium , Intensive Care Units , Retrospective Studies , Hospitals
8.
PLoS One ; 18(3): e0283459, 2023.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36952456

BACKGROUND: Diagnosing concomitant pulmonary embolism (PE) in COVID-19 patients remains challenging. As such, PE may be overlooked. We compared the diagnostic yield of systematic PE-screening based on the YEARS-algorithm to PE-screening based on clinical gestalt in emergency department (ED) patients with COVID-19. METHODS: We included all ED patients who were admitted because of COVID-19 between March 2020 and February 2021. Patients already receiving anticoagulant treatment were excluded. Up to April 7, 2020, the decision to perform CT-pulmonary angiography (CTPA) was based on physician's clinical gestalt (clinical gestalt cohort). From April 7 onwards, systematic PE-screening was performed by CTPA if D-dimer level was ≥1000 ug/L, or ≥500 ug/L in case of ≥1 YEARS-item (systematic screening cohort). RESULTS: 1095 ED patients with COVID-19 were admitted. After applying exclusion criteria, 289 were included in the clinical gestalt and 574 in the systematic screening cohort. The number of PE diagnoses was significantly higher in the systematic screening cohort compared to the clinical gestalt cohort: 8.2% vs. 1.0% (3/289 vs. 47/574; p<0.001), even after adjustment for differences in patient characteristics (adjusted OR 8.45 (95%CI 2.61-27.42, p<0.001) for PE diagnosis). In multivariate analysis, D-dimer (OR 1.09 per 1000 µg/L increase, 95%CI 1.06-1.13, p<0.001) and CRP >100 mg/L (OR 2.78, 95%CI 1.37-5.66, p = 0.005) were independently associated with PE. CONCLUSION: In ED patients with COVID-19, the number of PE diagnosis was significantly higher in the cohort that underwent systematic PE screening based on the YEARS-algorithm in comparison with the clinical gestalt cohort, with a number needed to test of 7.1 CTPAs to detect one PE.


COVID-19 , Pulmonary Embolism , Humans , COVID-19/complications , COVID-19/diagnosis , Pulmonary Embolism/diagnostic imaging , Patients , Fibrin Fibrinogen Degradation Products/analysis , Emergency Service, Hospital , Retrospective Studies , COVID-19 Testing
9.
Thromb Update ; 12: None, 2023 Aug.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38562231

Introduction: Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a frequent complication in COVID-19. However, the influence of PE on the prognosis of COVID-19 remains unclear as previous studies were affected by misclassification bias. Therefore, we evaluated a cohort of COVID-19 patients whom all underwent systematic screening for PE (thereby avoiding misclassification) and compared clinical outcomes between patients with and without PE. Materials and methods: We included all COVID-19 patients who were admitted through the ED between April 2020 and February 2021. All patients underwent systematic work-up for PE in the ED using the YEARS-algorithm. The primary outcome was a composite of in-hospital mortality and ICU admission. We also evaluated long-term outcomes including PE occurrence within 90 days after discharge and one-year all-cause mortality. Results: 637 ED patients were included in the analysis. PE was diagnosed in 46 of them (7.2%). The occurrence of the primary outcome did not differ between patients with PE and those without (28.3% vs. 26.9%, p = 0.68). The overall rate of PE diagnosed in-hospital (after an initial negative PE screening in the ED) and in the first 90 days after discharge was 3.9% and 1.2% respectively. One-year all-cause mortality was similar between patients with and without PE (26.1% vs. 24.4%, p = 0.83). Conclusions: In a cohort of COVID-19 patients who underwent systematic PE screening in the ED, we found no differences in mortality rate and ICU admissions between patients with and without PE. This may indicate that proactive PE screening, and thus timely diagnosis and treatment of PE, may limit further clinical deterioration and associated mortality in COVID-19 patients.

10.
Respir Res ; 23(1): 330, 2022 Dec 03.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36463180

BACKGROUND: Use of long-term tobramycin inhalation solution (TIS) has been shown beneficial in cystic fibrosis (CF) and earlier findings also suggest a benefit in non-CF bronchiectasis. We investigated the efficacy and safety of maintenance TIS once daily (OD) in frequent exacerbating bronchiectasis patients chronically infected by different pathogens sensitive for tobramycin. OBJECTIVE: The primary outcome was the frequency of exacerbations during the 12-month study period. Secondary outcomes were time to first exacerbation, change in lung function and quality of life (QoL), bacterial analysis and safety. MATERIALS/PATIENTS: IN THIS MULTICENTER RCT PATIENTS AGED ≥ 18-YEAR-OLD WERE INCLUDED WITH CONFIRMED BRONCHIECTASIS AND ≥ 2 EXACERBATIONS IN THE PRECEDING YEAR. PATIENTS WERE ASSIGNED (1:1) TO RECEIVE TIS OR PLACEBO OD FOR 1-YEAR.: RESULTS: 58 patients were included of which 52 were analyzed in the mITT analysis. TIS reduced exacerbation frequency with a RR of 0.74 (95% CI 0.49-1.14) (p = 0.15). Within the TIS population a decrease in number of exacerbations was found (2; p = 0.00), which was also seen in the placebo-treated patients (1.5; p = 0.00). In the TIS-treated patients the QoL improved (LRTI-VAS p = 0.02 Leicester Cough p = 0.02) without additional safety concerns. No differences were found for the other secondary outcomes. CONCLUSION: Long-term TIS OD is a safe treatment modality and showed a non-significant reduced exacerbation frequency of 0.74 as compared to placebo in bronchiectasis patients chronically infected by tobramycin sensitive pathogens. TIS OD may be a potential therapeutic strategy in selected patients with bronchiectasis suffering from a high burden of disease. TRAIL REGISTRATION NUMBER: The BATTLE study was registered at Clinical trials.gov number: NCT02657473 . Date: 13 august 2016.


Bronchiectasis , Cystic Fibrosis , Humans , Adolescent , Tobramycin/adverse effects , Quality of Life , Bronchiectasis/diagnosis , Bronchiectasis/drug therapy , Cystic Fibrosis/diagnosis , Cystic Fibrosis/drug therapy , Fibrosis
11.
BMJ Open ; 12(11): e065142, 2022 11 29.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36446465

INTRODUCTION: The variety, time patterns and long-term prognosis of persistent COVID-19 symptoms (long COVID-19) in patients who suffered from mild to severe acute COVID-19 are incompletely understood. Cohort studies will be combined to describe the prevalence of long COVID-19 symptoms, and to explore the pathophysiological mechanisms and impact on health-related quality of life. A prediction model for long COVID-19 will be developed and internally validated to guide care in future patients. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Data from seven COVID-19 cohorts will be aggregated in the longitudinal multiple cohort CORona Follow Up (CORFU) study. CORFU includes Dutch patients who suffered from COVID-19 at home, were hospitalised without or with intensive care unit treatment, needed inpatient or outpatient rehabilitation and controls who did not suffer from COVID-19. Individual cohort study designs were aligned and follow-up has been synchronised. Cohort participants will be followed up for a maximum of 24 months after acute infection. Next to the clinical characteristics measured in individual cohorts, the CORFU questionnaire on long COVID-19 outcomes and determinants will be administered digitally at 3, 6, 12, 18 and 24 months after the infection. The primary outcome is the prevalence of long COVID-19 symptoms up to 2 years after acute infection. Secondary outcomes are health-related quality of life (eg, EQ-5D), physical functioning, and the prevalence of thromboembolic complications, respiratory complications, cardiovascular diseases and endothelial dysfunction. A prediction model and a patient platform prototype will be developed. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Approval was obtained from the medical research ethics committee of Maastricht University Medical Center+ and Maastricht University (METC 2021-2990) and local committees of the participating cohorts. The project is supported by ZonMW and EuroQol Research Foundation. Results will be published in open access peer-reviewed scientific journals and presented at (inter)national conferences. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05240742.


COVID-19 , Humans , Cohort Studies , COVID-19/epidemiology , Follow-Up Studies , Prevalence , Quality of Life , Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome
13.
Transl Vis Sci Technol ; 10(12): 32, 2021 10 04.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34673905

Purpose: The putative presence of SARS-CoV-2 in ocular specimen puts healthcare workers at risk. We thoroughly examined conjunctival swabs and tear fluid in a large cohort of COVID-19 patients. Methods: A total of 243 symptomatic laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patients were included in this observational multicenter study. Conjunctival swabs were analyzed by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction for detection of SARS-CoV-2 RNA. Next-generation sequencing and phylogenetic analysis were performed to identify viral strains and to determine tissue tropism. Schirmer tear samples from 43 hospitalized COVID-19 patients and 25 healthy controls were analyzed by multiplex cytokine immunoassays. Results: Viral SARS-CoV-2 RNA was detected in conjunctival swabs from 17 (7.0%) of 243 COVID-19 patients. Conjunctival samples were positive for viral SARS-CoV-2 RNA as long as 12 days after disease onset. Cycle threshold (Ct) values for conjunctival swabs (mean 34.5 ± 5.1) were significantly higher than nasopharyngeal swabs (mean 16.7 ± 3.6). No correlation between Ct values of conjunctival and nasopharyngeal swabs was observed. The majority of positive conjunctival samples were detected only once and primarily during the first visit. Next-generation sequencing analysis revealed that the virus strain found in the conjunctiva was most often identical to the one found in the nasopharynx. Tear cytokine levels IL-1ß and IL-6 were elevated in COVID-19 patients compared to healthy controls. Conclusions: Conjunctival samples that were positive for SARS-CoV-2 RNA contained the same viral strain as the nasopharynx. Translational Relevance: The presence of SARS-CoV-2 viral RNA and elevated cytokines in tear fluid confirm the involvement of the ocular surface in COVID-19 disease.


COVID-19 , RNA, Viral , Cohort Studies , Humans , Phylogeny , SARS-CoV-2
15.
Emerg Med J ; 38(12): 901-905, 2021 Dec.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34706897

OBJECTIVE: Validated clinical risk scores are needed to identify patients with COVID-19 at risk of severe disease and to guide triage decision-making during the COVID-19 pandemic. The objective of the current study was to evaluate the performance of early warning scores (EWS) in the ED when identifying patients with COVID-19 who will require intensive care unit (ICU) admission for high-flow-oxygen usage or mechanical ventilation. METHODS: Patients with a proven SARS-CoV-2 infection with complete resuscitate orders treated in nine hospitals between 27 February and 30 July 2020 needing hospital admission were included. Primary outcome was the performance of EWS in identifying patients needing ICU admission within 24 hours after ED presentation. RESULTS: In total, 1501 patients were included. Median age was 71 (range 19-99) years and 60.3% were male. Of all patients, 86.9% were admitted to the general ward and 13.1% to the ICU within 24 hours after ED admission. ICU patients had lower peripheral oxygen saturation (86.7% vs 93.7, p≤0.001) and had a higher body mass index (29.2 vs 27.9 p=0.043) compared with non-ICU patients. National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) ≥ 6 and q-COVID Score were superior to all other studied clinical risk scores in predicting ICU admission with a fair area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.740 (95% CI 0.696 to 0.783) and 0.760 (95% CI 0.712 to 0.800), respectively. NEWS2 ≥6 and q-COVID Score ≥3 discriminated patients admitted to the ICU with a sensitivity of 78.1% and 75.9%, and specificity of 56.3% and 61.8%, respectively. CONCLUSION: In this multicentre study, the best performing models to predict ICU admittance were the NEWS2 and the Quick COVID-19 Severity Index Score, with fair diagnostic performance. However, due to the moderate performance, these models cannot be clinically used to adequately predict the need for ICU admission within 24 hours in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection presenting at the ED.


COVID-19/diagnosis , Critical Illness , Early Warning Score , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , COVID-19/classification , Female , Humans , Intensive Care Units , Male , Middle Aged , Patient Admission , Predictive Value of Tests , ROC Curve , Triage
16.
BMJ Open ; 11(7): e047347, 2021 07 19.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34281922

OBJECTIVE: Develop and validate models that predict mortality of patients diagnosed with COVID-19 admitted to the hospital. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: A multicentre cohort across 10 Dutch hospitals including patients from 27 February to 8 June 2020. PARTICIPANTS: SARS-CoV-2 positive patients (age ≥18) admitted to the hospital. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: 21-day all-cause mortality evaluated by the area under the receiver operator curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value. The predictive value of age was explored by comparison with age-based rules used in practice and by excluding age from the analysis. RESULTS: 2273 patients were included, of whom 516 had died or discharged to palliative care within 21 days after admission. Five feature sets, including premorbid, clinical presentation and laboratory and radiology values, were derived from 80 features. Additionally, an Analysis of Variance (ANOVA)-based data-driven feature selection selected the 10 features with the highest F values: age, number of home medications, urea nitrogen, lactate dehydrogenase, albumin, oxygen saturation (%), oxygen saturation is measured on room air, oxygen saturation is measured on oxygen therapy, blood gas pH and history of chronic cardiac disease. A linear logistic regression and non-linear tree-based gradient boosting algorithm fitted the data with an AUC of 0.81 (95% CI 0.77 to 0.85) and 0.82 (0.79 to 0.85), respectively, using the 10 selected features. Both models outperformed age-based decision rules used in practice (AUC of 0.69, 0.65 to 0.74 for age >70). Furthermore, performance remained stable when excluding age as predictor (AUC of 0.78, 0.75 to 0.81). CONCLUSION: Both models showed good performance and had better test characteristics than age-based decision rules, using 10 admission features readily available in Dutch hospitals. The models hold promise to aid decision-making during a hospital bed shortage.


COVID-19 , Cohort Studies , Humans , Logistic Models , Retrospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2
17.
PLoS One ; 16(4): e0249920, 2021.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33857224

OBJECTIVE: To establish whether one can build a mortality prediction model for COVID-19 patients based solely on demographics and comorbidity data that outperforms age alone. Such a model could be a precursor to implementing smart lockdowns and vaccine distribution strategies. METHODS: The training cohort comprised 2337 COVID-19 inpatients from nine hospitals in The Netherlands. The clinical outcome was death within 21 days of being discharged. The features were derived from electronic health records collected during admission. Three feature selection methods were used: LASSO, univariate using a novel metric, and pairwise (age being half of each pair). 478 patients from Belgium were used to test the model. All modeling attempts were compared against an age-only model. RESULTS: In the training cohort, the mortality group's median age was 77 years (interquartile range = 70-83), higher than the non-mortality group (median = 65, IQR = 55-75). The incidence of former/active smokers, male gender, hypertension, diabetes, dementia, cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic cardiac disease, chronic neurological disease, and chronic kidney disease was higher in the mortality group. All stated differences were statistically significant after Bonferroni correction. LASSO selected eight features, novel univariate chose five, and pairwise chose none. No model was able to surpass an age-only model in the external validation set, where age had an AUC of 0.85 and a balanced accuracy of 0.77. CONCLUSION: When applied to an external validation set, we found that an age-only mortality model outperformed all modeling attempts (curated on www.covid19risk.ai) using three feature selection methods on 22 demographic and comorbid features.


COVID-19/mortality , Age Factors , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Belgium/epidemiology , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/epidemiology , Cohort Studies , Communicable Disease Control , Comorbidity , Electronic Health Records , Female , Hospitalization , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Netherlands/epidemiology , Prognosis , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification
18.
Ned Tijdschr Geneeskd ; 1652021 01 11.
Article Nl | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33651497

OBJECTIVE: To systematically collect clinical data from patients with a proven COVID-19 infection in the Netherlands. DESIGN: Data from 2579 patients with COVID-19 admitted to 10 Dutch centers in the period February to July 2020 are described. The clinical data are based on the WHO COVID case record form (CRF) and supplemented with patient characteristics of which recently an association disease severity has been reported. METHODS: Survival analyses were performed as primary statistical analysis. These Kaplan-Meier curves for time to (early) death (3 weeks) have been determined for pre-morbid patient characteristics and clinical, radiological and laboratory data at hospital admission. RESULTS: Total in-hospital mortality after 3 weeks was 22.2% (95% CI: 20.7% - 23.9%), hospital mortality within 21 days was significantly higher for elderly patients (> 70 years; 35, 0% (95% CI: 32.4% - 37.8%) and patients who died during the 21 days and were admitted to the intensive care (36.5% (95% CI: 32.1% - 41.3%)). Apart from that, in this Dutch population we also see a risk of early death in patients with co-morbidities (such as chronic neurological, nephrological and cardiac disorders and hypertension), and in patients with more home medication and / or with increased urea and creatinine levels. CONCLUSION: Early death due to a COVID-19 infection in the Netherlands appears to be associated with demographic variables (e.g. age), comorbidity (e.g. cardiovascular disease) but also disease char-acteristics at admission.


COVID-19 , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Diagnostic Tests, Routine , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification , Age Factors , Aged , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19/therapy , Comorbidity , Critical Care/methods , Critical Care/statistics & numerical data , Diagnostic Tests, Routine/methods , Diagnostic Tests, Routine/statistics & numerical data , Female , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Male , Netherlands/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Severity of Illness Index
19.
Infect Dis (Lond) ; 53(7): 488-497, 2021 07.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33612055

BACKGROUND: The first outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) occurred in March 2020 in Europe, which is normally the peak incidence period of human metapneumovirus (HMPV) infections, implying cocirculation and potentially causing competition between them. METHODS: We investigated differences in clinical characteristics and outcomes of HMPV infections in hospitalized patients before (January 2016-28 February, 2020) and HMPV and COVID-19 during part of the COVID-19 pandemic (28 February, 2020-1 April, 2020). RESULTS: A total of 239 HMPV patients and 303 COVID-19 patients were included. Incidence of HMPV peaked in March. Despite a 324% increase in HMPV testing during the COVID-19 outbreak, incidence of HMPV remained stable. Clinical characteristics showed 25 (11%) ICU admissions and 14 (6%) deaths. History of myocardial infarction, higher age and lower BMI were independently associated with increased 30-day mortality. Clinical characteristics of HMPV-infected patients did not differ between the non-COVID-19 period and the examined COVID-19 period except for length of hospital stay (7 vs. 5 days). HMPV infection and COVID-19 shared many clinical features but HMPV was associated with female gender, elderly patients and chronic conditions (COPD and chronic heart failure). Clinical outcomes did not differ between the viruses during the COVID-19 period. CONCLUSIONS: The clinical impact of HMPV infection did not change during the COVID-19 outbreak in terms of incidence and/or disease severity; hence, HMPV and SARS-CoV-2 are probably co-circulating independently. Despite the current clinical focus on the COVID-19 pandemic, clinicians should keep in mind that HMPV-infection may mimic COVID-19 and is also associated with serious adverse outcomes.


COVID-19 , Metapneumovirus , Paramyxoviridae Infections , Respiratory Tract Infections , Aged , Europe , Female , Humans , Infant , Pandemics , Paramyxoviridae Infections/epidemiology , Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2
20.
Ned Tijdschr Geneeskd ; 1642020 11 19.
Article Nl | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33332036

OBJECTIVE: Hospitalization for corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) may be followed by complications after discharge. We aimed to evaluate mortality, readmission rate, and readmission characteristics after hospitalization with COVID-19. DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study METHODS: Inclusion of all patients hospitalized for COVID-19 between March 1, 2020, and June 1, 2020 in Zuyderland Medical Centre, The Netherlands. Main outcome measures were mortality and readmission after hospitalization. Univariate and multivariate regression analysis were performed to identify risk factors for death and readmission. RESULTS: A total of 769 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 (mean age 70 ± 14 years; 39% female) were included in the study. In-hospital mortality was 22.4% , as such 596 patients were discharged alive and followed after discharge with a median of 80 days (IQR 66-91). Total mortality after discharge was 6.4% (n=38) and readmission rate was 11.7% (n=70). Main reasons for readmission were respiratory insufficiency (31%), arterial and venous thrombotic events (16%) or related to a chronic comorbidity (14%). Mortality rates were higher in older patients and patients who experienced delirium during hospital stay. Risk factors for readmission were male sex, discharge to a long-term care facility and COPD. CONCLUSION: 1 out of 6 COVID-19 positive patients died or was readmitted after discharge. This shows an ongoing vulnerability of COVID-19 patients. Physicians and policy makers should consider this high rate when making decisions on discharge, hospital-capacity planning, and patient monitoring after discharge.


COVID-19 , Patient Readmission/statistics & numerical data , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/epidemiology , Respiratory Insufficiency , Venous Thrombosis , Aged , COVID-19/mortality , COVID-19/physiopathology , COVID-19/therapy , Cohort Studies , Comorbidity , Female , Humans , Male , Mortality , Netherlands/epidemiology , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Patient Discharge , Respiratory Insufficiency/etiology , Respiratory Insufficiency/mortality , Respiratory Insufficiency/therapy , Risk Factors , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification , Venous Thrombosis/etiology , Venous Thrombosis/mortality , Venous Thrombosis/therapy
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