Predicting outcome in liver patients admitted to intensive care: A dual-centre non-specialist hospital external validation of the Liver injury and Failure evaluation score.

BACKGROUND: Acute hepatic dysfunction in the critically ill population with pre-existing liver cirrhosis is associated with a high mortality. Several prediction models have been developed to risk stratify patients with liver disease. METHODS: This UK dual-centre non-specialist hospital retrospective study (2015-2019) externally validated the Liver injury and Failure evaluation score (incorporating lactate, bilirubin and International Normalised Ratio), alongside two other general intensive care unit prediction models (Intensive Care National Audit and Research Centre and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II). Inclusion criteria matched a recent UK-wide study including at least one of biopsy proven cirrhosis, imaging suggestive of cirrhosis, hepatic encephalopathy or portal hypertension. RESULTS: One hundred and ninety-nine admissions met inclusion criteria over the study period (n = 169), mean age 57( ±13). In-hospital mortality was 40% in this cohort compared to 18% of all intensive care unit individuals during the same period. Variceal bleeding was associated with a lower short-term (18% versus 47%, P < 0.001, odds ratio 0.3 (95% confidence interval 0.1-0.5)) and longer-term mortality (log rank P = 0.015). In-patient mortality was higher in cases requiring renal replacement therapy (82% versus 29%, odds ratio 11.1 (95% confidence interval 4.6-26.9), P < 0.001) or ventilation (47% versus 32%, odds ratio 1.9 (1.1-3.4), P = 0.03). For in-patient mortality, area under the receiver operating characteristic curves were Liver injury and Failure evaluation 0.69 (95% confidence interval 0.62-0.77), Intensive Care National Audit and Research Centre 0.80 (0.74-0.86) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II 0.73 (0.65-0.81). Forty-one per cent of cases were alive at one-year follow-up. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for one-year survival were Liver injury and Failure evaluation 0.69 (0.61-0.77), Intensive Care National Audit and Research Centre 0.75 (0.67-0.82) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II 0.69 (0.61-0.77). CONCLUSION: This first Liver injury and Failure evaluation score validation in a UK non-specialist hospital setting suggests this parsimonious, easy to calculate model may have utility in prediction of short-term and one-year mortality. As with previous studies variceal haemorrhage was associated with lower mortality.

Pre-hospital transfusion of packed red blood cells in 147 patients from a UK helicopter emergency medical service.

BACKGROUND: Early transfusion of packed red blood cells (PRBC) has been associated with improved survival in patients with haemorrhagic shock. This study aims to describe the characteristics of patients receiving pre-hospital blood transfusion and evaluate their subsequent need for in-hospital transfusion and surgery. METHODS: The decision to administer a pre-hospital PRBC transfusion was based on clinical judgment. All patients transfused pre-hospital PRBC between February 2013 and December 2014 were included. Pre-hospital and in-hospital records were retrospectively reviewed. RESULTS: One hundred forty-seven patients were included. 142 patients had traumatic injuries and 5 patients had haemorrhagic shock from a medical origin. Median Injury Severity Score was 30. 90% of patients receiving PRBC had an ISS of >15. Patients received a mean of 2.4(±1.1) units of PRBC in the pre-hospital phase. Median time from initial emergency call to hospital arrival was 114 min (IQR 103-140). There was significant improvement in systolic (p < 0.001), diastolic (p < 0.001) and mean arterial pressures (p < 0.001) with PRBC transfusion but there was no difference in HR (p = 0.961). Patients received PRBC significantly faster in the field than waiting until hospital arrival. At the receiving hospital 57% required an urgent surgical or interventional radiology procedure. At hospital arrival, patients had a mean lactate of 5.4(±4.4) mmol/L, pH of 6.9(±1.3) and base deficit of -8.1(±6.7). Mean initial serum adjusted calcium was 2.26(±0.29) mmol/L. 89% received further blood products in hospital. No transfusion complications or significant incidents occurred and 100% traceability was achieved. DISCUSSION: Pre-hospital transfusion of packed red cells has the potential to improvde outcome for trauma patients with major haemorrhage. The pre-hospital time for trauma patients can be several hours, suggesting transfusion needs to start in the pre-hospital phase. Hospital transfusion research suggests a 1:1 ratio of packed red blood cells to plasma improves outcome and further research into pre-hospital adoption of this strategy is needed. CONCLUSION: Pre-hospital PRBC transfusion significantly reduces the time to transfusion for major trauma patients with suspected major haemorrhage. The majority of patients receiving pre-hospital PRBC were severely injured and required further transfusion in hospital. Further research is warranted to determine which patients are most likely to have outcome benefit from pre-hospital blood products and what triggers should be used for pre-hospital transfusion.