Validation and update of a prediction model for risk of relapse after cessation of anti-TNF treatment in Crohn's disease.

BACKGROUND: Anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) therapy is effective for the treatment of Crohn's disease. Cessation may be considered in patients with a low risk of relapse. We aimed to externally validate and update our previously developed prediction model to estimate the risk of relapse after cessation of anti-TNF therapy. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study in 17 Dutch hospitals. Crohn's disease patients in clinical, biochemical or endoscopic remission were included after anti-TNF cessation. Primary outcome was a relapse necessitating treatment. Discrimination and calibration of the previously developed model were assessed. After external validation, the model was updated. The performance of the updated prediction model was assessed in internal-external validation and by using decision curve analysis. RESULTS: 486 patients were included with a median follow-up of 1.7 years. Relapse rates were 35 and 54% after 1 and 2 years. At external validation, the discriminative ability of the prediction model was equal to that found at the development of the model [c-statistic 0.58 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.54-0.62)], though the model was not well-calibrated on our cohort [calibration slope: 0.52 (0.28-0.76)]. After an update, a c-statistic of 0.60 (0.58-0.63) and calibration slope of 0.89 (0.69-1.09) were reported in internal-external validation. CONCLUSION: Our previously developed and updated prediction model for the risk of relapse after cessation of anti-TNF in Crohn's disease shows reasonable performance. The use of the model may support clinical decision-making to optimize patient selection in whom anti-TNF can be withdrawn. Clinical validation is ongoing in a prospective randomized trial.

Severe acute pancreatitis after EUS-FNA of a pancreatic cyst: a rare, but serious complication.

As a consequence of improved quality of abdominal imaging techniques in the last decades, discovery of pancreatic cystic lesions has become more common. The clinical significance of these lesions is often unclear and poses a diagnostic dilemma. Endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration (EUS-FNA) is a subject of debate regarding its role in the diagnostic evaluation of pancreatic masses and cysts. Although risks associated with the procedure are low, consequences can be serious and even life-threatening. We report a case of a previously healthy 59-year-old woman who suffered severe acute pancreatitis after EUS-FNA of a pancreatic cyst, requiring admission to the intensive care unit (ICU). Development of infected pancreatic necrosis and, successively, bowel ischaemia, led to multiple organ failure. Despite maximal antibiotic and surgical treatment the patient succumbed to refractory septic shock. The fatal outcome of this case illustrates the importance of balanced decision-making in the diagnostic approach of pancreatic cystic lesions.

Adalimumab and infliximab are equally effective for Crohn's disease in patients not previously treated with anti-tumor necrosis factor-α agents.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Infliximab (IFX) and adalimumab (ADA) are thought to have equal efficacy for the treatment of Crohn's disease (CD), although no direct comparison has been performed. We compared the effectiveness and safety of IFX and ADA in carefully matched cohorts. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of 200 patients with CD (100 treated with IFX and 100 treated with ADA, starting in 2006 or later) who had not received anti-tumor necrosis factor α agents previously; the patients were identified from databases of 6 hospitals in The Netherlands. The groups were matched carefully for indication, duration of disease, age, and Montreal classification. The primary end point was the steroid-free clinical response, defined by a combination of multiple clinical parameters, after 1 year. RESULTS: Of the total patient population, 63.5% and 45% had a clinical response after 1 and 2 years, respectively. There were no significant differences between treatment groups: at 1 and 2 years, 62% and 41% of those receiving ADA vs 65% and 49% of those receiving IFX had responses, respectively. Kaplan-Meier curves showed identical decreases in response rates over time. Combining IFX or ADA with immunomodulator therapy was associated with a higher clinical response than monotherapy, although this was only significant among patients who received IFX (P = .03). There were no differences in numbers of side effects or opportunistic infections. CONCLUSIONS: The effectiveness of ADA or IFX treatment in anti-tumor necrosis factor α-naive patients with CD is comparable after 1 and 2 years of follow-up evaluation. The efficacies of IFX and ADA each seem to increase when given with immunomodulator therapy, although only significantly for IFX.

Risk factors for thromboembolic complications in inflammatory bowel disease: the role of hyperhomocysteinaemia.

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is associated with an increased risk for thromboembolic events. Aim of this study was to examine the relationship of hyperhomocysteinemia and thrombosis in IBD patients and to assess the role of this factor in addition to other known prothrombotic abnormalities. IBD patients with a history of thrombosis (n = 22) and sex-, age-, and diagnosis-matched IBD controls (n = 23) were studied. Homocysteine (tHcy) was assessed before and after methionine loading. Plasma levels of protein C, protein S, antithrombin III, and fibrinogen and the presence of anticardiolipin and antiphospholipid antibodies were determined and genetic testing for factor V Leiden and the prothrombin gene mutation was performed. Results showed that fasting homocysteine levels in IBD patients with a history of arterial or venous thrombosis tended to be higher than in IBD controls, although not significantly. The increase in homocysteine levels after methionine loading was significantly higher in IBD patients in the arterial thrombosis group than in IBD controls (40.9 +/- 17.7 vs. 27.2 +/- 9.9 microM; P < 0.05). Among the other prothrombotic factors, only factor V Leiden was significantly associated with a history of venous thrombosis (20 vs. 0%). At least one risk factor was found in 64% of the IBD patients with previous thromboembolic complications. We conclude that there is an association between hyperhomocysteinemia and a history of arterial thrombosis in IBD patients. We confirm the high prevalence of factor V Leiden in IBD patients with a history of venous thrombosis. In the majority of IBD patients with previous thromboembolic complications, at least one prothrombotic risk factor is detected.