Results from the SARS-CoV-2 wastewater-based surveillance system in Denmark, July 2021 to June 2022.

The microbiological analysis of wastewater samples is increasingly used for the surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 globally. We described the setup process of the national SARS-CoV-2 wastewater-based surveillance system in Denmark, presented its main results during the first year of activities, from July 2021 to June 2022, and discussed their operational significance. The Danish SARS-CoV-2 wastewater-based surveillance system was designed to cover 85 % of the population in Denmark and it entailed taking three weekly samples from 230 sites. Samples were RT-qPCR tested for SARS-CoV-2 RNA, targeting the genetic markers N1, N2 and RdRp, and for two faecal indicators, Pepper Mild Mottle Virus and crAssphage. We calculated the weekly SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentration in the wastewater from each sampling site and monitored it in view of the results from individual testing, at the national and regional levels. We attempted to use wastewater results to identify potential local outbreaks, and we sequenced positive wastewater samples using Nanopore sequencing to monitor the circulation of viral variants in Denmark. The system reached its full implementation by October 2021 and covered up to 86.4 % of the Danish population. The system allowed for monitoring of the national and regional trends of SARS-CoV-2 infections in Denmark. However, the system contribution to the identification of potential local outbreaks was limited by the extensive information available from clinical testing. The sequencing of wastewater samples identified relevant variants of concern, in line with results from sequencing of human samples. Amidst the COVID-19 pandemic, Denmark implemented a nationwide SARS-CoV-2 wastewater-based surveillance system that integrated routine surveillance from individual testing. Today, while testing for COVID-19 at the community level has been discontinued, the system is on the frontline to monitor the occurrence and spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Denmark.

Predicting COVID-19 Incidence Using Wastewater Surveillance Data, Denmark, October 2021-June 2022.

Analysis of wastewater is used in many settings for surveillance of SARS-CoV-2, but it remains unclear how well wastewater testing results reflect incidence. Denmark has had an extensive wastewater analysis system that conducts 3 weekly tests in ≈200 sites and has 85% population coverage; the country also offers free SARS-CoV-2 PCR tests to all residents. Using time series analysis for modeling, we found that wastewater data, combined with information on circulating variants and the number of human tests performed, closely fitted the incidence curve of persons testing positive. The results were consistent at a regional level and among a subpopulation of frequently tested healthcare personnel. We used wastewater analysis data to estimate incidence after testing was reduced to a minimum after March 2022. These results imply that data from a large-scale wastewater surveillance system can serve as a good proxy for COVID-19 incidence and for epidemic control.

Temporal trends and socioeconomic differences in treatment and mortality following a diagnosis of aortic stenosis.

AIMS: This study aims at determining the temporal trends and the socioeconomic differences in treatment and mortality following a diagnosis of aortic stenosis. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 45,026 patients with a first-time diagnosis of aortic stenosis were identified in the Danish National Patient Registry in the period 2000-17. The risk of AVR within the first year after diagnosis decreased (OR = 1.84 in 2000-02 compared to 2015-16) and the risk was lower in the low-level educational group (OR = 0.85) and in the medium-level group (OR = 0.94) compared to high-level education. The risk of death after AVR within the first year decreased (OR = 2.25 in 2000-02 compared to 2015-16) and the risk was higher in the low-level educational group (OR = 1.32) and in the medium-level group (OR = 1.28) compared to high-level education. The risk of death within the first year after diagnosis, for those patients who did not get an AVR during the follow-up, decreased (OR = 3.08 in 2000-02 compared to 2015-16) and the risk was higher in the low-level educational group (OR = 1.21) and in the medium-level group (OR = 1.10) compared to high-level education. CONCLUSION: Since 2000 there has been a decrease in both AVR treatment rate, mortality rate after AVR and mortality rate in patients not receiving AVR. For patients with lower-level education there is lower AVR treatment rate, higher mortality rate after AVR and higher mortality rate in patients not receiving AVR.

Temporal trends and socioeconomic differences in the incidence of left-sided valvular heart disease in Denmark.

AIMS: Due to an ageing population and increasing survival from concurrent diseases, the burden of left-sided degenerative valvular heart disease is expected to increase over time. This study aims at determining the temporal trends in incidence rates at the population level and examines whether there are socioeconomic differences. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 133 209 patients were identified with a first-time diagnosis of aortic stenosis (AS), mitral regurgitation (MR), or aortic regurgitation (AR) in the Danish National Patient Registry in the 2000-17 period. Incidence rates (per 100 000 person-years) doubled over the period for AS (57 in 2000-02; 114 in 2015-17) and for AR (22 in 2000-02; 41 in 2015-17) and remained the same for MR (38 in both 2000-02 and 2015-17). Incidence rates increased rapidly with increasing age, most markedly for AS. Men had a higher risk of being affected [relative risk (RR) 1.69 for AS, 1.19 for MR, 1.35 for AR]. Compared to high-level education, patients with medium- and low-level education had a higher risk of being affected (RR 1.18 for AS medium level and 1.47 for AS low level; 1.03 for MR medium level and 1.14 for MR low level; 1.03 for AR medium level and 1.18 for AR low level). CONCLUSIONS: For AS and AR, the incidence rates doubled, while the incidence rates remained at the same level for MR. The risk of being affected increased with advanced age and male gender. Patients with low-level education had a higher risk of being affected compared to patients with high-level education, especially among patients with AS.

The Danish Heart Registry.

AIM: The Danish Heart Registry (DHR) seeks to monitor nationwide activity and quality of invasive diagnostic and treatment strategies in patients with ischemic heart disease as well as valvular heart disease and to provide data for research. STUDY POPULATION: All adult (≥15 years) patients undergoing coronary angiography (CAG), percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), coronary artery bypass grafting, and heart valve surgery performed across all Danish hospitals were included. MAIN VARIABLES: The DHR contains a subset of the data stored in the Eastern and Western Denmark Heart Registries (EDHR and WDHR). For each type of procedure, up to 70 variables are registered in the DHR. Since 2010, the data quality protocol encompasses fulfillment of web-based validation rules of daily-submitted records and yearly approval of the data by the EDHR and WDHR. DESCRIPTIVE DATA: The data collection on procedure has been complete for PCI and surgery since 2000, and for CAG as of 2006. From 2000 to 2014, the number of CAG, PCI, and surgical procedures changed by 231%, 193%, and 99%, respectively. Until the end of 2014, a total of 357,476 CAG, 131,309 PCI, and 60,831 surgical procedures had been performed, corresponding to 249,445, 100,609, and 55,539 first-time patients, respectively. The DHR generally has a high level of completeness (1-missing) of each procedure (>90%) when compared to the National Patient Registry. Variables important for assessing the quality of care have a high level of completeness for surgery since 2000, and for CAG and PCI since 2010. CONCLUSION: The DHR contains valuable data on cardiac invasive procedures, which makes it an important national monitoring and quality system and at the same time serves as a platform for research projects in the cardiovascular field.

Effectiveness of an early versus a conservative invasive treatment strategy in acute coronary syndromes: a nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Randomized clinical trials have found that early invasive strategies reduce mortality, myocardial infarction (MI), and rehospitalization compared with a conservative invasive approach in acute coronary syndromes (ACSs), but the effectiveness of such strategies in real-world settings is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To investigate adverse cardiovascular outcomes of an early versus a conservative invasive strategy in a national cohort of patients with ACSs. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Administrative health care data on hospitalizations, procedures, and outcomes abstracted from the Danish national registries and covering all acute invasive procedures in patients presenting with an ACS. PATIENTS: 19 704 propensity score-matched patients hospitalized with a first ACS between 1 January 2005 and 31 December 2011. MEASUREMENTS: Risk for cardiac death or rehospitalization for MI within 60 days of hospitalization. RESULTS: Compared with a conservative approach, early invasive strategies were associated with a lower risk for cardiac death (cumulative incidence, 5.9% vs. 7.6%; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.75 [95% CI, 0.66 to 0.84]; P < 0.001). Similar results were found for rehospitalization for MI (cumulative incidence, 3.4% vs. 5.0%; adjusted odds ratio, 0.67 [CI, 0.58 to 0.77]; P < 0.001) and all-cause death (cumulative incidence, 7.3% vs. 10.6%; adjusted HR, 0.65 [CI, 0.59 to 0.72]; P < 0.001). LIMITATION: Potential residual confounding due to lack of core clinical variables. CONCLUSION: In this real-world cohort of patients with a first hospitalization for an ACS, the use of an early invasive treatment strategy was associated with a lower risk for cardiac death and rehospitalization for MI compared with a conservative invasive approach. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Department of Cardiology, University Hospital Gentofte.

Intervention effects on dietary intake among children by maternal education level: results of the Copenhagen School Child Intervention Study (CoSCIS).

Dietary intake among Danish children, in general, does not comply with the official recommendations. The objectives of the present study were to evaluate the 3-year effect of a multi-component school-based intervention on nutrient intake in children, and to examine whether an intervention effect depended on maternal education level. A total of 307 children (intervention group: n 184; comparison group: n 123) were included in the present study. All had information on dietary intake pre- and post-intervention (mean age 6·8 and 9·5 years for intervention and comparison groups, respectively) assessed by a 7-d food record. Analyses were conducted based on the daily intake of macronutrients (energy percentage (E%)), fatty acids (E%), added sugar (E%) and dietary fibre (g/d and g/MJ). Analyses were stratified by maternal education level into three categories. Changes in nutrient intake were observed in the intervention group, mainly among children of mothers with a short education ( < 10 years). Here, intake of dietary fibre increased (ß = 2·1 g/d, 95 % CI 0·5, 3·6, P= 0·01). Intake of protein tended to increase (ß = 0·6 E%, 95 % CI -0·01, 1·2, P= 0·05), while intake of fat (ß = -1·7 E%, 95 % CI -3·8, 0·3, P= 0·09) and SFA (ß = -0·9, 95 % CI -2·0, 0·2, P= 0·10) tended to decrease. Also, a significant intervention effect was observed on the intake of SFA among children of mothers with a long education (ß = -0·8, 95 % CI -1·5, -0·03, P= 0·04). This multi-component school-based intervention resulted in changes in the dietary intake, particularly among children of mothers with a short education. As the dietary intake of this subgroup generally differs most from the recommendations, the results of the present study are particularly encouraging.

Danish trends in pharmacotherapy, comorbidities, and demographics in patients referred for coronary angiography: what changed during a decade?

AIMS: Coronary angiography holds a central role in the diagnosis of coronary heart disease. We studied temporal trends in referral patterns 2000-09. METHODS AND RESULTS: We identified 156 496 first-time coronary angiographies in 2000-09 in nationwide registries. Trends were analyzed in 2-year intervals. Numbers of acute (5943-10 707) and elective (17 294-25 550) procedures increased between 2000-01 and 2008-09. Mean age increased from 61.8 to 63.9 years (P < 0.001) and the proportion of females increased from 33 to 37% (P < 0.001). An increase in the number of patients with prior chronic heart failure (2866 vs. 3197), cerebrovascular disease (1790 vs. 2906), diabetes (2527 vs. 4593), and arrhythmias (2985 vs. 4733) was observed. The proportion of acute patients examined the same day as hospitalized increased from 56.6 to 83.1%. Odds ratios (95% confidence interval) for treatment with statins [3.42(3.27;3.57)], RAS-inhibitors [1.85(1.77;1.93)], and acetylsalicylic acid [1.43(1.37;1.49)] at the time of coronary angiography increased towards 2008-09. Elective patients received medical treatment more often than acute patients (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: During a 10-year period, there was an increase in the mean age of patients and the proportion of female patients, and a 56% increase in number of coronary angiographies performed. The use of prophylactic cardiovascular drugs among these high-risk patients increased during our study period.

Nationwide trends in use and timeliness of diagnostic coronary angiography in acute coronary syndromes from 2005 to 2011: Does distance to invasive heart centres matter?

AIMS: To examine trends in the use of diagnostic coronary angiography according to distance from home to the nearest invasive heart centre following implementation of fast-track protocols and extensive pre-hospital triaging of acute coronary syndrome patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a register-based cohort study of all patients admitted to Danish hospitals with incident acute coronary syndrome in 2005-2011. Diagnostic coronary angiography within 60 days of admission was investigated according to distance tertiles (DTs) calculated as range from each patient's home to the nearest invasive heart centre (short DT: <22 km, medium DT: 22-65 km, long DT: >65 km). Cox proportional hazards models were applied.Among the 52,409 patients included, diagnostic coronary angiography was increasingly used during 2005-2011 (short DT: 76% to 81%; medium DT: 74% to 81%; long DT: 69% to 78%; all p-values for trend <0.001). Using the short DT as reference the adjusted hazard ratios for medium DT were 0.87 (0.84-0.89) for 2005-2007, 0.94 (0.90-0.98) for 2008-2009 and 0.94 (0.90-0.98) for 2010-2011. Corresponding figures for long DT were 0.74 (0.72-0.76) for 2005-2007, 0.87 (0.83-0.90) for 2008-2009 and 0.94 (0.90-0.98) for 2010-2011. Length of hospital stay, time to coronary angiography, and 60-day mortality decreased in all DT. CONCLUSIONS: This nationwide study found significant increases in diagnostic coronary angiography use over time in incident acute coronary syndrome patients with a relatively larger increase in patients residing farthest from an invasive heart centre. Additionally, selected quality of care measures improved in the entire cohort, suggesting a benefit of national clinical protocols.

Dosage of angiotensin-II receptor blockers in heart failure patients following changes in Danish drug reimbursement policies.

PURPOSE: National reimbursement policies in Denmark were changed in November 2010 favouring a shift in angiotensin-II receptor blocker (ARB) treatment to generic losartan for heart failure (HF) patients. We examined how changes in reimbursement policies affected the fraction of HF patients up-titrated to optimal or suboptimal ARB dosage. METHODS: A historical cohort study was performed including HF patients with at least one prescription of ARB in the months of May-Jul 2010 (baseline). Patients were considered up-titrated at doses 100, 16 or 160 mg for losartan, valsartan and candesartan, respectively. Individual-level linkage of nationwide registries of hospitalization and drug dispensing in Denmark was used to describe patterns of ARB prescriptions and estimate dosage before and after November 2010. Logistic regression models were used to assess the probability for being up-titrated in the period. RESULTS: Of 6036 individuals included (mean age 73.5 [standard deviation 11.2] years; 51% males), 3346 (55.4%) used losartan, 541 (9.0%) valsartan and 2149 (35.6%) candesartan at inclusion, respectively. 2887 (47.8%) were up-titrated at baseline (May-Jul 2010), followed by 2878 (48.2%) in the three months before the policy change (Aug-Oct 2010), and 2492 (43.7%) in the first months after the policy change (Feb-Apr 2011). Odds ratios for being up-titrated according to time period were 1.02 [0.95-1.09] in Aug-Oct 2010 (before policy change) and 0.84 [0.78-0.90] in Feb-Apr 2011 (after policy change), compared with May-Jul 2010 (reference). CONCLUSION: Probability of being up-titrated in ARB treatment was reduced 20% following changes in drug reimbursement policies.

Subclinical and overt thyroid dysfunction and risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events: a large population study.

CONTEXT: Thyroid dysfunction has been associated with both increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, but limited data are available on mild thyroid dysfunction and cause-specific mortality. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to examine the risk of all-cause mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), and cause-specific events in subjects with overt and subclinical thyroid dysfunction. DESIGN: This was a retrospective cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Participants in the study were subjects who underwent thyroid blood tests, without prior thyroid disease, consulting their general practitioner in 2000-2009 in Copenhagen, Denmark. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: All-cause mortality, MACEs, and cause-specific events identified in nationwide registries were measured. RESULTS: A total of 47 327 (8.4%) deaths occurred among 563 700 included subjects [mean age 48.6 (SD ± 18.2) y; 39% males]. All-cause mortality was increased in overt and subclinical hyperthyroidism [age adjusted incidence rates of 16 and 15 per 1000 person-years, respectively; incidence rate ratios (IRRs) 1.25 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.15-1.36] and 1.23 (95% CI 1.16-1.30)] compared with euthyroid (incidence rate of 12 per 1000 person-years). Risk of MACEs was elevated in overt and subclinical hyperthyroidism [IRRs 1.16 (95% CI 1.05-1.27) and 1.09 (95% CI 1.02-1.16)] driven by heart failure [IRRs 1.14 (95% CI 0.99-1.32) and 1.20 (95% CI 1.10-1.31)]. A reduction of all-cause mortality was observed in subclinical hypothyroidism with TSH of 5-10 mIU/L [IRR 0.92 (95% CI 0.86-0.98)]. CONCLUSIONS: Heart failure is the leading cause of an increased cardiovascular mortality in both overt and subclinical hyperthyroidism. Subclinical hypothyroidism with TSH 5-10 mIU/L might be associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality.