Estimated value of productivity lost due to childhood chickenpox in the United Kingdom: a survey of parents.

BACKGROUND: While medical costs of chickenpox have been researched, little is known about indirect costs. Understanding total costs is important for decisions about vaccination. This study estimated the value of lost productivity of adults missing work to care for children with chickenpox. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: It comprised an international literature review, online survey of 1,526 parents of children aged 1 to 11 years, and computation of indirect costs of chickenpox in the UK. The survey covered chickenpox episodes amongst respondents' children, time children took off school/nursery, and work absenteeism by parents/caregivers caring for them. RESULTS: Respondents reported on 2,283 children, of whom 52% (1185/2283) experienced chickenpox. Almost half (591/1185) missed days of school/nursery, averaging 5.6 days missed. In 260 cases of 542 adults providing data with such a child, an adult missed work to care for the child. The daily value of this lost productivity was £170. There were approximately 200,000 GP consultations for chickenpox and 625,000 births annually, suggesting annual chickenpox incidence lies between these figures. The estimated annual UK productivity loss due to chickenpox is £20 -£70 million ($25-$90 million). CONCLUSIONS: Annual value of lost productivity due to chickenpox is in range £20 to £70 million.

Impact of climate on varicella distribution in Bulgaria (2009-2018).

OBJECTIVES: Temperature is the most important environmental variable associated with the varicella frequency across the world. The present study compares the incidence of varicella in the districts of Bulgaria against some climatic factors and tries to find environmental variables which account for the differences in the varicella distribution observed among the Bulgarian districts. METHODS: The 28 Bulgarian districts were used as units of observation and their average 10-year varicella incidence (2009-2018) was tested for correlation with the standard bioclimatic variables of WorldClim, version 2. RESULTS: The WorldClim estimates for the annual mean temperature, the maximal temperature of the warmest month, the minimal temperature of the coldest month, the mean temperature of the coldest quarter, and the solar radiation inversely and not significantly correlated with the average 10-year varicella frequency. The precipitation of the warmest quarter and the wind speed correlated positively and also not significantly. Only the mean temperature of the driest quarter correlates significantly with the incidence at district level (Spearman's rank correlation coefficient of -0.45, p = 0.02). The mean of average 10-year varicella incidence rates among districts with driest quarter during the winter (January, February, March) was 387.6 ± 114.1, while among districts with driest quarter during the summer/autumn (July, August, September or August, September, October) 283.3 ± 102.1 (p = 0.02, ANOVA test). CONCLUSIONS: Dry winter and/or wet summer appear as significant determinants for the fluctuant spread of varicella infection in Bulgaria.

[Current vaccination and immunization strategies in dermatology]. / Aktuelles zu Impfungen und Immunisierungsstrategien in der Dermatologie.

Vaccinations are an important pillar of public health. They have high benefits for individuals and society as a whole by specifically preventing or mitigating infectious diseases. In many cases, they offer benefits that go beyond protection against the disease in question, e.g., protective cardiovascular effects. Vaccination recommendations in Germany are drawn up by the Standing Committee on Vaccination (STIKO), while the European Medicines Agency (EMA) is responsible for the approval of vaccines in the EU. Vaccinations may be carried out by physicians regardless of their specialty. In dermatology, vaccinations against varicella (chickenpox), herpes zoster, and human papillomavirus are established. The development of vaccines against other dermatologically relevant diseases and cancer vaccines is the subject of intensive research. Particularly in the case of immunosuppression, the physician must also take into consideration which vaccinations are possible and useful or contraindicated. Type I or type IV allergies to components of vaccinations are very rare, but reactions at the injection site often occur as a dermatological side effect. Urticarial reactions are also possible, as does the worsening of underlying dermatological conditions such as psoriasis vulgaris.

Varicella Orchitis: A Case Report and Literature Review.

Orchitis secondary to chickenpox (Varicella orchitis) is a rare sequelae of a common condition with only nine reports available from the current literature. We describe a case of orchitis secondary to chickenpox in a young male including the management and follow-up. In addition, the authors conducted a comprehensive review of the existing literature. In conclusion, orchitis secondary to chickenpox may lead to testicular atrophy, with potential implications for spermatogenesis, fertility and endocrine function yet to be established.

Immunity to Varicella Zoster Virus in Healthcare Workers: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (2024).

Healthcare workers (HCWs) are occupationally exposed to varicella zoster virus (VZV), and their inappropriate vaccination status could contribute to an outbreak involving both professionals and the patients they care for, with a potential impact on the general population. Therefore, since 2007, the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommends that all HCWs have evidence of immunity against varicella. The present meta-analysis was therefore designed to collect the available evidence on the seronegative status of VZV among HCWs. PubMed, Scopus, and Embase databases were searched without backward limit for articles reporting on the seroprevalence of VZV among HCWs, and all articles meeting the inclusion criteria were included in a random-effect meta-analysis model. From 1744 initial entries, a total of 58 articles were included in the quantitative analysis (publication range: 1988 to 2024), for a pooled sample of 71,720 HCWs. Moreover, the included studies reported on seroprevalence data on measles (N = 36,043 HCWs) and rubella (N = 22,086 HCWs). Eventually, the pooled seronegative status for VZV was estimated to be 5.72% (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 4.59 to 7.10) compared to 6.91% (95% CI 4.79 to 9.87) for measles and 7.21% (5.36 to 9.64) for rubella, with a greater risk among subjects younger than 30 years at the time of the survey (risk ratio [RR] 1.434, 95% CI 1.172 to 1.756). Interestingly, medical history of either VZV infection/vaccination had low diagnostic performances (sensitivity 76.00%; specificity 60.12%; PPV of 96.12% but PNV of 18.64%). In summary, the available data suggest that newly hired HCWs are increasingly affected by low immunization rates for VZV but also for measles and rubella, stressing the importance of systematically testing test newly hired workers for all components of the measles-pertussis-rubella-varicella vaccine.

Seroprevalence Assessment of Anti-Varicella Antibodies among Adults in the Province of Florence (Italy).

Background: Varicella infections follow a benign course in around 90% of cases, with more severe forms occurring in adults. To identify potential pockets of susceptibility and to improve targeted immunization strategies, this study aims to critically assess immunological status by evaluating varicella seroprevalence among adults (18-99 years) in the province of Florence (Italy), nearly a decade after Tuscany introduced the vaccination program. Methods: A convenience sample of 430 subjects aged 18 to 94 years (mean age 51.8 ± 18.8 years), stratified by age and sex (53.7% of subjects were female; N = 231), was collected between 2018 and 2019. Sero-analytical analyses were conducted utilizing EUROIMMUN Anti-VZV ELISA (IgG) kits. Results: Most of them were of Italian nationality (87.4%; N = 376). Among the 430 tested samples, 385 (89.5%) were positive and 39 (9.1%) were negative. The remaining six sera (1.4%), confirmed as equivocal, were excluded from further analysis. No significant differences were found based on sex (p-value = 0.706) or nationality (p-value = 0.112). The application of trend tests (Mantel-Haenszel; Kendall Tau-b) showed a significant trend (p < 0.024 and p < 0.032, respectively), with an increasing probability of finding a positive anti-varicella serological status passing from a lower age group (84.2%) to a higher one (93.0%). By considering the female population aged 18-49 years, the seroprevalence of anti-varicella antibodies was found to be 88.4%, with a susceptibility of 11.6%, highlighting the risk of acquiring infection during pregnancy. Conclusions: The introduction of varicella vaccination has had a significant impact on public health in Tuscany and in Italy more generally. However, further efforts should be made to reduce the number of individuals still susceptible in adulthood, with particular attention given to women of childbearing age and the promotion of vaccination through mass and social media and institutional websites.

Ambispective epidemiological observational study of varicella-zoster virus infection: An 18 year-single-center Bulgarian experience.

BACKGROUND: Varicella (chickenpox) and herpes zoster (shingles) are outcomes of varicella-zoster virus (VZV) infection, and understanding their incidence trends is vital for public health planning. AIM: To conduct an ambispective epidemiological study by analyzing the main epidemiological characteristics of VZV infection during an 18 year-period (2000-2018). METHODS: We used descriptive and epidemiological methods to characterize chickenpox in Bulgaria, the city of Plovdiv and the region for a period of 18 years (2000-2018). RESULTS: The average incidence of varicella-zoster infection for the period 2000-2018 in the Plovdiv region was estimated at 449.58‰. The highest relative share of the infection was assessed in the month of January at 13.6%, and the lowest in the months of August and September at 2.9% (both months). The age group most affected by the infection was 1-4 years, followed by 5-9 years. This corresponds to the so-called "pro-epidemic population" - a phenomenon typical for airborne infections, confirming their mass impact on the perpetuation of VZV infection. CONCLUSION: Our findings reveal significant insights into VZV epidemiology, including age-specific incidence rates, clinical manifestations, and vaccination impact. This comprehensive analysis contributes to the broader understanding of VZV infection dynamics and may inform evidence-based preventive measures.

Literature review and case report of septic arthritis and purpura fulminans leading to a child limb amputation as chickenpox complications.

Introduction and significance: Chickenpox, induced by the varicella-zoster virus (VZV), generally presents with an itchy rash and fluid-filled blisters. While complications such as pneumonia and sepsis are well-documented, occurrences of septic arthritis and purpura fulminans are exceedingly rare. Septic arthritis following varicella infection is infrequently reported and often attributed to Staphylococcus aureus. Purpura fulminans encompasses disorders characterized by rapidly progressing purpuric lesions, often fatal and associated with consumptive coagulopathy. Case presentation: The authors present the case of an 8-year-old boy diagnosed with chickenpox who concurrently developed severe left knee pain, erythema, and swelling indicative of septic arthritis, along with a single pustular lesion on his right foot that progressed to purpura fulminans. Laboratory investigations revealed elevated inflammatory markers. Knee ultrasound findings were consistent with septic arthritis, corroborated by synovial fluid analysis. Immediate initiation of empiric antibiotics was undertaken. Further investigation disclosed unusual coagulation parameters, positive autoantibodies, and reduced protein S levels. Treatment included anticoagulation, immunomodulation, and ultimately, amputation. Clinical discussion: This rare case underscores the complexity of varicella-related complications, representing the first documented instance of simultaneous septic arthritis and purpura fulminans in a pediatric patient. It highlights the necessity of a multidisciplinary approach for accurate diagnosis and management, emphasizing the importance of recognizing rare complications to improve patient outcomes. Conclusion: This case exemplifies the complexity of varicella-associated complications, showcasing a rare simultaneous occurrence of septic arthritis and purpura fulminans in a pediatric patient. It underscores the importance of a thorough understanding and collaborative management approaches for timely intervention and enhanced clinical outcomes.

Spatial Dynamics of Chickenpox Outbreaks in Rapidly Developing Regions: Implications for Global Public Health.

Objective: The occurrence of chickenpox in rapidly developing areas poses substantial seasonal risk to children. However, certain factors influencing local chickenpox outbreaks have not been studied. Here, we examined the relationship between spatial clustering, heterogeneity of chickenpox outbreaks, and socioeconomic factors in Southern China. Methods: We assessed chickenpox outbreak data from Southern China between 2006 and 2021, comprising both relatively fast-growing parts and slower sub-regions, and provides a representative sample of many developing regions. We analyzed the spatial clustering attributes associated with chickenpox outbreaks using Moran's I and local indicators of spatial association and quantified their socioeconomic determinants using Geodetector q statistics. Results: There were significant spatial heterogeneity in the risk of chickenpox outbreaks, with strong correlations between chickenpox risk and various factors, particularly demographics and living environment. Furthermore, interactive effects among specific are factors, such as population density and per capita residential building area, percentage of households with toilets, percentage of rental housing, exhibited q statistics of 0.28, 0.25, and 0.24, respectively. Conclusion: This study provides valuable insights into the spatial dynamics of chickenpox outbreaks in rapidly developing regions, revealing the socioeconomic factors affecting disease transmission. These implications extend the formulation of effective public health strategies and interventions to prevent and control chickenpox outbreaks in similar global contexts.

Pediatric Peripheral Facial Palsy Following Varicella Zoster Infection.

Peripheral facial palsy, characterized by sudden weakness or paralysis of the facial muscles, can arise from various etiologies, including viral infections. While Ramsay Hunt syndrome is well-established in clinical practice, Varicella Zoster Virus (VZV) infection leading to facial nerve palsy in pediatric patients remains relatively uncommon.This comprehensive case report documents the clinical presentation, diagnostic evaluation, treatment, and outcomes of a 10-year-old boy who developed left peripheral facial palsy following a primary Varicella infection. The report underscores the importance of timely recognition and tailored management approaches in achieving a complete remission of symptoms in pediatric patients.

Lifting COVID-19-associated non-pharmaceutical interventions: potential impact on notifications of infectious diseases transmitted from person to person in 2022 in Bavaria, Germany.

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic and associated non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) have led to substantial decreases in case numbers of infectious diseases in several countries worldwide. As NPIs were gradually lifted, intense or out-of-season outbreaks of respiratory and gastrointestinal diseases were reported, raising the hypothesis of a potential catch-up effect of infections. By analysing surveillance data from the federal reporting system for notifiable infectious diseases, we aimed to assess the potential impact of lifting COVID-19 associated NPIs on notifications of selected infectious diseases in Bavaria, 2022. Methods: We compared influenza, chickenpox, norovirus gastroenteritis, rotavirus gastroenteritis weekly case numbers in a pre-pandemic period (2016-2019) and 2022 using two time series analyses approaches: (i) a predictive model forecasting weekly case numbers for the pandemic years 2020-2022, based on 2016-2019 data, (ii) interrupted time series model, based on 2016-2022 data, including a term per pandemic period. Results: In 2022, incidence rates were higher compared to pre-pandemic period for influenza (IRR = 3.47, 95%CI: 1.49-7.94) and rotavirus gastroenteritis (IRR = 1.36, 95%CI: 0.95-1.93), though not significant for rotavirus gastroenteritis. Conversely, case numbers remained significantly below pre-pandemic levels for chickenpox (IRR = 0.52, 95%CI: 0.41-0.65) and norovirus gastroenteritis (IRR = 0.59, 95%CI: 0.42-0.82). Seasonality changed notably for influenza, showing an earlier influenza wave compared to pre-pandemic periods. Conclusion: The lifting of NPIs was associated with heterogenic epidemiological patterns depending on the selected disease. The full impact of NPIs and their discontinuation may only become clear with continued monitoring and assessment of potential additional contributing factors.

Varicella-Zoster Virus Pretransplant Vaccination and Posttransplant Infections Among Pediatric Solid Organ Recipients in the Two-Dose Varicella Era: A Single-Center, Multi-Organ Retrospective Study.

BACKGROUND: Varicella-zoster virus (VZV) pretransplant immunization rates, exposures, and posttransplant disease are poorly characterized among pediatric solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients in the two-dose varicella vaccine era. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of the electronic health records among children <18 years old who received SOT from January 1, 2011 through December 31, 2021, was performed at a single center to assess for missed pretransplant varicella vaccination opportunities, characterize VZV exposures, and describe posttransplant disease. RESULTS: Among 525 children, 444 were ≥6 months old (m.o.) at SOT with a documented VZV vaccine status. Eighty-five (19%) did not receive VZV Dose One; 30 out of 85 (35%) could have been immunized. Infants 6-11 m.o. accounted for 14 out of 30 (47%) missed opportunities. Among children ≥12 m.o. with documented Dose Two status (n = 383), 72 had missed vaccination opportunities; 57 out of 72 (79%) were children 1-4 years old. Most children had unclassifiable pre-SOT serostatus as varicella serology was either not obtained/documented (n = 171) or the possibility of passive antibodies was not excluded (n = 137). Of those with classified serology (n = 188), 69 were seroimmune. Forty-seven of 525 (9%) children had recorded VZV exposures; two developed varicella-neither had documented pre-SOT seroimmunity nor had received post-exposure prophylaxis. Nine additional children had medically attended disease: four primary varicella and five zoster. Of the 11 cases, 10 had cutaneous lesions without invasive disease; one had multi-dermatomal zoster with transaminitis. Seven (64%) received treatment exclusively outpatient. CONCLUSIONS: VZV exposure and disease still occur. Optimizing immunization among eligible candidates and ensuring patients have a defined VZV serostatus pretransplantation remain goals of care.

Monkeypox and chickenpox co-infection in a person living with Human Immunodeficiency Virus.

INTRODUCTION: The 2022 mpox global outbreak underscores the need for an improved understanding of mpox epidemiology, co-morbidities, and clinical management/outcome. We report a case of a 30-year-old Nigerian antiretroviral treatment-experienced person living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLHIV) who had PCR-confirmed mpox and chickenpox co-infection. CASE PRESENTATION: The patient presented with a generalized itchy rash of three weeks and antecedent low-grade fever. He had no recent travel, animal exposure, or same-sex relationship. Examination revealed generalized pustular and nodular eruptions without peripheral lymphadenopathy. RESULTS: CD4 count was 78 cells/mm3, wound swab microscopy revealed Gram-positive cocci in clusters and Gram-negative bacilli while culture yielded Pseudomonas aeruginosa. Despite supportive care and definitive antimicrobial therapy, his clinical condition deteriorated with sepsis-related multi-organ dysfunction and ultimately death. CONCLUSIONS: Mpox and chickenpox co-infection may occur, with potentially fatal complications in the setting of advanced HIV disease. Increased surveillance for co-viral infections in PLHIV with febrile exanthema and aggressive management to improve outcome are recommended.

Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on the Clinical Course and Complications of Varicella-A Retrospective Cohort Study.

In this study, we aimed to characterize a cohort of children hospitalized due to varicella before and after the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. Medical charts of all children hospitalized in the Regional Hospital of Infectious Diseases in Warsaw due to varicella in the years 2019 and 2022 were retrospectively analyzed and compared. In total, 221 children were included in the analysis; 59 of them were hospitalized in 2019, whereas 162 were hospitalized in 2022. Children hospitalized in 2022 were older than those reported in 2019 (median 4.0 vs. 3.0 years, p = 0.02). None of the hospitalized children received complete varicella vaccination. The most common complication in both years was bacterial superinfection of skin lesions, found in 156/221 (70.6%) of patients. This complication rate was higher in 2022 (50.8% in 2019 vs. 77.8% in 2022, p = 0.0001), OR = 3.38, 95% CI: 1.80-6.35. Moreover, skin infections in 2022 more often manifested with cellulitis (in 2022 13.6% vs. 3.4% in 2019, p = 0.03), OR = 4.40, 95% CI: 1.00-19.33. Sepsis as a complication of varicella was almost five-fold more prevalent in 2022 than in 2019 (p = 0.009), OR = 5.70, 95% CI: 1.31-24.77. Antibiotic use increased between 2019 and 2022 (71.2% vs. 85.2%, p = 0.01). Furthermore, patients were treated more frequently with the combination of two different antibiotics simultaneously (only 3.4% of patients in 2019 compared to 15.4% in 2022, p = 0.01). Primary infections with varicella zoster virus in 2022 led to a more severe course of the disease.

An analysis of risk factors for visceral disseminated varicella in children.

Background: Visceral disseminated varicella involves the internal organs, and complications such as encephalitis, hepatitis, and coagulation disorders threaten a patient's life. In this study, our aim is to analyze the risk factors for visceral disseminated varicella to enable the early identification of patients at a high risk of visceral disseminated varicella. Methods: We reviewed the medical records of children hospitalized with varicella. The data covered demographics, clinical manifestations, auxiliary examinations, treatments, and outcomes. Logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors. Results: A multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that abdominal pain [odds ratio (OR) 20.451, 95% CI 1.637-255.548], increased levels of C-reactive protein (OR 12.794, 95% CI 1.820-89.937), increased levels of alanine aminotransferase (OR 7.453, 95% CI 1.624-34.206), and the time between onset and antiviral therapy of more than 7 days (OR 12.451, 95% CI 1.569-98.810) were independent risk factors for visceral disseminated varicella. Conclusions: Patients with varicella who have the abovementioned risk factors need to be monitored for the risk of developing visceral disseminated varicella, for which timely antiviral therapy is necessary.

Effectiveness of the varicella vaccine in the real world, a matched case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Universal varicella vaccination has been introduced in many countries, but there are a number of important differences in their vaccination strategies. It is essential to establish a vaccination program that can maximize the benefits of varicella vaccine, but there is a lack of comprehensive research on the effectiveness of varicella vaccine in different vaccination status. METHODS: Using data from population-based surveillance platforms we conducted a 1:2 matched case-control study. The cases were clinically diagnosed varicella with onset from 2017 to 2021, 1-14 years old in Chaoyang District, Beijing. The controls were matched according to date of birth (±1 month), sex and residence. The vaccination data of the subjects were obtained from the Childhood Immunization Information Management System in Beijing. Using conditional logistic regression models with or without interaction terms, we evaluated the effectiveness of varicella vaccine in different vaccination status. RESULTS: A total of 2528 cases and 5056 controls were enrolled. This study found that whether the time since last vaccination was adjusted had a substantial effect on the comparing vaccine effectiveness (VE) between subgroups. After adjustment for the time since last vaccination, 1) the incremental VE of 2-dose was 49.6 % (95 % Confidence Interval [CI], 38.8-58.6) compared with 1-dose (93.9 % vs. 88.0 %); 2) Among children who received one dose, the risk of chickenpox in children vaccinated at 18-23 months was 1.382 (95 %CI, 1.084-1.762) times that in children vaccinated at 12-17 months. 3) the VE with less than one, two, and three year intervals is higher than that with six-year-intervals (P < 0.05), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: When comparing VE between subgroups of different vaccination status, the time since last vaccination should be adjusted. The first dose of varicella vaccine should be given as early as the second year of life, and the second dose can improve vaccine effectiveness.

Varicella zoster virus outbreak in a long-term care unit of a tertiary care hospital in northern India.

Nosocomial outbreak of varicella zoster virus (VZV) has been reported when susceptible individuals encounter a case of chicken pox or shingles. A suspected VZV outbreak was investigated in a 50-bedded in-patient facility of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation in a tertiary care multispecialty hospital. A 30-year-old female patient admitted with Pott's spine was clinically diagnosed with chicken pox on 31 December 2022. The following week, four more cases were identified in the same ward. All cases were diagnosed as laboratory-confirmed varicella zoster infection by PCR. Primary case was a housekeeping staff who was clinically diagnosed with chicken pox 3 weeks prior (9 December 2022). He returned to work on eighth day of infection (17 December 2022) after apparent clinical recovery but before the lesions had crusted over. Thirty-one HCWs were identified as contacts a and three had no evidence of immunity. Two of these susceptible HCWs had onset of chickenpox shortly after first dose of VZV vaccination was inoculated. All cases recovered after treatment with no reported complications. VZV infection is highly contagious in healthcare settings with susceptible populations. Prompt identification of cases and implementation of infection prevention and control measures like patient isolation and vaccination are essential for the containment of outbreaks.

Varicela neonatal tardía: presentación en un paciente pediátrico / Late neonatalchickenpox: presentation in a pediatric patient

La varicela es una infección poco frecuente durante la gestación, el riesgo para el feto y las manifestaciones clínicas, variarán en función del momento del embarazo en que se produce la infección materna, cuando la erupción maculopapular materna se produce entre los 5 días previos al parto y las 48 horas posteriores, se habla de varicela neonatal tardía. La clínica es grave, con afectación visceral (pulmonar, cerebral, hepática, hemorragias cutáneas, etc.) y un 30 % de los casos desarrollarán una varicela fulminante. Se presenta el caso de neonato masculino que consultó por lesiones en piel, tipo pápulas eritematosas y vesiculares pleomorfas, de distribución dispersa. Con evolución clínica tórpida, permaneció 24 horas en la institución, con franco deterioro respiratorio y neurológico, compatible con cuadro de varicela neonatal tardía fulminante(AU)

Chickenpox is considered a rare infection during pregnancy, the risk to the fetus and the clinical manifestations will vary depending on the time of pregnancy when the maternal infection occurs, when the maternal maculo-papular injuries occurs within the previous 5 days after delivery and 48 hours after, there is talk of late neonatal chickenpox. The symptoms are severe with visceral involvement (lung, brain, liver, skin bleeding, etc.) and 30% of cases will develop fulminant chickenpox. We present the case of a male neonate who consults due to skin lesions, such as erythematous papules and pleomorphic vesicles, with scattered distribution. With a torpid clinical course, who remains in the institution for 24 hours, with frank respiratory and neurological deterioration compatible with late-neonatal fulminant varicella symptoms(AU)

An economic evaluation and incremental analysis of the cost effectiveness of three universal childhood varicella vaccination strategies for Ireland.

BACKGROUND: The cost effectiveness of childhood varicella vaccination is uncertain, as evidenced by variation in national health policies. Within the European Economic Area (EEA), only 10 of 30 countries offer universally funded childhood varicella vaccination. This study estimates the cost effectiveness of universal childhood varicella vaccination for one EEA country (Ireland), highlighting the difference in cost effectiveness between alternative vaccination strategies. METHODS: An age-structured dynamic transmission model, simulating varicella zoster virus transmission, was developed to analyse the impact of three vaccination strategies; one-dose at 12 months old, two-dose at 12 and 15 months old (short-interval), and two-dose at 12 months and five years old (long-interval). The analysis adopted an 80-year time horizon and considered payer and societal perspectives. Clinical effectiveness was based on cases of varicella and subsequently herpes zoster and post-herpetic neuralgia avoided, and outcomes were expressed in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Costs were presented in 2022 Irish Euro and cost effectiveness was interpreted with reference to a willingness-to-pay threshold of €20,000 per QALY gained. RESULTS: From the payer perspective, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for a one-dose strategy, compared with no vaccination, was estimated at €8,712 per QALY gained. The ICER for the next least expensive strategy, two-dose long-interval, compared with one-dose, was estimated at €45,090 per QALY gained. From a societal perspective, all three strategies were cost-saving compared with no vaccination; the two-dose short-interval strategy dominated, yielding the largest cost savings and health benefits. Results were stable across a range of sensitivity and scenario analyses. CONCLUSION: A one-dose strategy was highly cost effective from the payer perspective, driven by a reduction in hospitalisations. Two-dose strategies were cost saving from the societal perspective. These results should be considered alongside other factors such as acceptability of a new vaccine within the overall childhood immunisation schedule, programme objectives and budget impact.

Genetic causal association between varicella-zoster virus infection and psychiatric disorders: A 2-sample Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: Psychiatric disorders, such as schizophrenia (SCZ), major depressive (MDD), and bipolar disorder (BD) have a profound impact on millions of individuals worldwide. The critical step toward developing effective preventive and treatment strategies lies in comprehending the causal mechanisms behind these diseases and identifying modifiable risk factors associated with them. METHODS: In this study, we conducted a 2-sample Mendelian randomization analysis to explore the potential links between chickenpox(varicella-zoster virus infection) and three major psychiatric disorders(SCZ, MDD, BD). RESULTS: In our MR study, among the three major psychiatric disorders, chickenpox was shown to be causally related to BD, indicating that infection with chickenpox may increase the risk of developing BD (IVW: OR = 1.064, 95% CI =1.025-1.104, P=0.001; RAPS: OR=1.066, 95% CI=1.024-1.110, P=0.002), while there was no causal relationship between SCZ and MDD. Similar estimated causal effects were observed consistently across the various MR models. The robustness of the identified causal relationship between chickenpox and BD holds true regardless of the statistical methods employed, as confirmed by extensive sensitivity analyses that address violations in model assumptions. The MR-Egger regression test failed to reveal any signs of directional pleiotropy (intercept = -0.042, standard error (SE) = 0.029, p = 0.236). Similarly, the MR-PRESSO analysis revealed no evidence of directional pleiotropy or outliers among the chickenpox-related instrumental variables (global test p = 0.653). Furthermore, a leave-one-out sensitivity analysis yielded consistent results, further underscoring the credibility and stability of the causal relationship. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings provide compelling evidence of a causal effect of chickenpox on the risk of BD. To gain a more comprehensive understanding of this association and its underlying mechanisms, additional research is needed. Such investigations are pivotal in identifying effective interventions for promoting BD prevention.