The effect of local hospital waiting times on GP referrals for suspected cancer.

INTRODUCTION: Reducing waiting times is a major policy objective in publicly-funded healthcare systems. However, reductions in waiting times can produce a demand response, which may offset increases in capacity. Early detection and diagnosis of cancer is a policy focus in many OECD countries, but prolonged waiting periods for specialist confirmation of diagnosis could impede this goal. We examine whether urgent GP referrals for suspected cancer patients are responsive to local hospital waiting times. METHOD: We used annual counts of referrals from all 6,667 general practices to all 185 hospital Trusts in England between April 2012 and March 2018. Using a practice-level measure of local hospital waiting times based on breaches of the two-week maximum waiting time target, we examined the relationship between waiting times and urgent GP referrals for suspected cancer. To identify whether the relationship is driven by differences between practices or changes over time, we estimated three regression models: pooled linear regression, a between-practice estimator, and a within-practice estimator. RESULTS: Ten percent higher rates of patients breaching the two-week wait target in local hospitals were associated with higher volumes of referrals in the pooled linear model (4.4%; CI 2.4% to 6.4%) and the between-practice estimator (12.0%; CI 5.5% to 18.5%). The relationship was not statistically significant using the within-practice estimator (1.0%; CI -0.4% to 2.5%). CONCLUSION: The positive association between local hospital waiting times and GP demand for specialist diagnosis was caused by practices with higher levels of referrals facing longer local waiting times. Temporal changes in waiting times faced by individual practices were not related to changes in their referral volumes. GP referrals for diagnostic cancer services were not found to respond to waiting times in the short-term. In this setting, it may therefore be possible to reduce waiting times by increasing supply without consequently increasing demand.

Culturally Competent Education and Human Papillomavirus Self-Sampling Achieves Healthy People 2030 Cervical Screening Target Among Low-Income Non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic Women.

PURPOSE: Disparities in cervical cancer screening, incidence, and mortality exist in the United States. Cervical cancer incidence and mortality rates in Texas are 20% and 32% higher, respectively, than national averages. Within Texas, these rates are significantly higher among non-Hispanic (NH) Black and Hispanic women. Cervical cancer screening uptake is lower among NH Black and Hispanic women (72.9% and 75.9%, respectively) compared with White women (85.5%) in Texas. METHODS: During March-August 2023, we conducted a pilot study that offered culturally competent education and human papillomavirus (HPV) self-sampling kits to women in two public housing projects in Houston, TX, that have predominantly NH Black or Hispanic residents. Among those eligible for cervical cancer screening, 35% (n = 24) of the NH Black and 34% (n = 16) of the Hispanic women were found to be underscreened per the US Preventive Services Task Force Guideline. We recruited 40 (24 NH Black and 16 Hispanic) eligible women for our study. The study was approved by the MD Anderson institutional review board and registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04614155-March 11, 2020). RESULTS: Seventy-five percent of the NH Black and 87% of the Hispanic participants completed the HPV self-sampling procedures per protocol. Samples of 17% NH Black and 12% Hispanic participants showed a performance error. Overall, cervical cancer screening uptake improved from 65% to 91% among NH Black and from 66% to 96% among Hispanic participants. CONCLUSION: Culturally competent education and HPV self-sampling resulted in remarkable improvement in cervical cancer screening uptake among underscreened NH Black and Hispanic women residents of Houston public housing projects. Implementing this strategy could significantly reduce cervical cancer incidence and mortality among similar populations in the United States and globally.

The double burden of severe mental illness and cancer: a population-based study on colorectal cancer care pathways from screening to end-of-life care.

AIMS: Cancer is one of the main causes of death in persons with severe mental illness (SMI). Although their cancer incidence is similar, or sometimes even potentially lower compared to the general population, their cancer mortality remains higher. The role of healthcare provision and care equity in this mortality is increasingly being addressed in research, but available studies are limited in their scope. In this context, our aim was to compare colorectal cancer (CRC) care pathways from screening to end-of-life care in patients with and without pre-existing SMI on a national scale. METHODS: This research leverages real-world data from the French national health claims database, covering the entire population, to assess cancer screening, diagnosis, treatment and post-treatment follow-up as well as quality of care (QOC) pathways among patients with incident CRC in 2015-2018, considering whether they had pre-existing SMI. We matched patients with SMI with three patients without - on age, sex, region of residence, year of cancer incidence and cancer type and location at presentation - as well as nationally established quality of CRC care indicators and regression models adjusting for relevant socio-economic, clinical and care provider-related covariates. RESULTS: Among patients with incident CRC, 1,532 individuals with pre-existing SMI were matched with individuals without SMI. After adjusting for covariates, both colon and rectal cancer patients with SMI were less likely to participate in the national CRC screening programme and to receive advanced diagnostic examinations (e.g., colonoscopies and several complementary diagnostic examinations). They also had lower odds of receiving combined treatments (e.g., neoadjuvant chemotherapy, radiotherapy and excision) and of having access to targeted therapy or capecitabine but higher odds for invasive care (e.g., stoma). Colon cancer patients with SMI were also more likely to have no treatment at all, and rectal cancer patients with SMI were less likely to receive post-treatment follow-up. Suboptimal QOC was observed for both groups of patients, but to a higher extent for patients with SMI, with statistically significant differences for indicators focusing on diagnosis and post-treatment follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings reveal discrepancies across the care continuum of CRC between individuals with and without SMI and provide initial avenues on where to focus future efforts to address them, notably at the entry and exit stages of cancer care pathways, while calling for further research on the mechanisms preventing equity of physical healthcare for individuals with SMI.

Which is a real valuable screening tool for lung cancer and measure thoracic diseases, chest radiography or low-dose computed tomography?: A review on the current status of Japan and other countries.

Chest radiography (CR) has been used as a screening tool for lung cancer and the use of low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) is not recommended in Japan. We need to reconsider whether CR really contributes to the early detection of lung cancer. In addition, we have not well discussed about other major thoracic disease detection by CR and LDCT compared with lung cancer despite of its high frequency. We review the usefulness of CR and LDCT as veridical screening tools for lung cancer and other thoracic diseases. In the case of lung cancer, many studies showed that LDCT has capability of early detection and improving outcomes compared with CR. Recent large randomized trial also supports former results. In the case of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), LDCT contributes to early detection and leads to the implementation of smoking cessation treatments. In the case of pulmonary infections, LDCT can reveal tiny inflammatory changes that are not observed on CR, though many of these cases improve spontaneously. Therefore, LDCT screening for pulmonary infections may be less useful. CR screening is more suitable for the detection of pulmonary infections. In the case of cardiovascular disease (CVD), CR may be a better screening tool for detecting cardiomegaly, whereas LDCT may be a more useful tool for detecting vascular changes. Therefore, the current status of thoracic disease screening is that LDCT may be a better screening tool for detecting lung cancer, COPD, and vascular changes. CR may be a suitable screening tool for pulmonary infections and cardiomegaly.

Advanced-stage breast cancer diagnosis and its determinants in Ethiopia: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Worldwide, breast cancer is the primary cause of illness and death. Unless early detected and treated breast cancer is a life-threatening tumor. Advanced-stage presentation is greatly linked with short survival time and increased mortality rates. In Ethiopia nationally summarized evidence on the level of advanced-stage breast cancer diagnosis is scarce. Therefore, this systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to determine the pooled prevalence of advanced-stage breast cancer diagnosis and its determinants in Ethiopia. METHOD: By following PRISMA guidelines, a systematic review and meta-analysis were carried out. To include relevant publications, a broad literature search was conducted in the African Online Journal, PubMed, Google Scholar, and Embase which are published until last search date; June 15, 2023. To prevent further duplication this review was registered in PROSPERO database with ID no of CRD42023435096. To determine the pooled prevalence, a weighted inverse variance random effect model was applied. I2 statistics and the Cochrane Q-test were computed to determine heterogeneity. To evaluate publication bias, a funnel plot, and Egger's regression test were used. RESULT: A total of 924 articles were sought and finally 20 articles were included in this review. The pooled prevalence of advanced-stage breast cancer diagnosis in Ethiopia was 72.56% (95%CI; 68.46-76.65%). Use of traditional medicine as first choice (AOR = 1.32, 95% CI: (1.13-1.55)), delay of > 3 months in seeking care (AOR = 1.24, 95% CI: (1.09-1.41)), diagnosis or health system delay of > 2 months (AOR = 1.27, 95% CI: (1.11-1.46)), rural residence (AOR = 2.04, 95% CI: (1.42 - 2.92)), and chief complaint of a painless breast lump (AOR = 2.67, 95% CI: (1.76-4.06)) were significantly associated to advanced-stage diagnosis. CONCLUSION: In Ethiopia, more than two-thirds of breast cancer cases are diagnosed at an advanced stage. Use of traditional medicine before diagnostic confirmation, delay in seeking care, health system delay, rural residence, and chief complaint of painless breast lump were positively associated with an advanced-stage diagnosis. Policymakers and program designers give great focus to those delays so as to seek and access modern diagnosis and treatment as early as possible specifically focusing on those who are rurally residing.

Survey of awareness and beliefs about cancer (ABC) in Tehran Province, Iran.

INTRODUCTION: Knowledge, attitudes, and practices are essential measures for planning and evaluating cancer control programs. Little is known about these in Iran. METHODS: We conducted a population-based interview survey of adults aged 30-70 using the Farsi version of the Awareness and Beliefs about Cancer questionnaire in the capital province of Tehran, Iran, 2019. We calculated weighted estimates of levels of cancer knowledge, attitudes, and practices to allow for different selection probabilities and nonresponse. We used multivariate logistic regression to understand demographic factors associated with bowel, cervix, and breast screening practices. RESULTS: We interviewed 736 men and 744 women. The mean number of recalled cancer warning signs was less than one; 57.7% could not recall any cancer warning signs. Participants recognized 5.6 out of 11 early cancer warning signs and 8.8 of 13 cancer risk factors. Most (82.7%) did not know that HPV infection was a cancer risk factor. Approximately, half had negative attitudes towards cancer treatment, but over 80% had positive attitudes towards the effectiveness of screening for improving survival. Colorectal, breast, and cervical screening rates were 24%, 42%, and 49%, respectively. Higher socioeconomic status increased the odds of taking up screening for cancer. Women aged 60-70 were less likely to report taking up breast and cervical screening than younger women. DISCUSSION: The Iranian population has poor awareness and negative attitudes about cancer, and participation in screening programs is low. Public awareness and early detection of cancer should be promoted in Iran.

Enhancing cervical cancer detection and robust classification through a fusion of deep learning models.

Cervical cancer, the second most prevalent cancer affecting women, arises from abnormal cell growth in the cervix, a crucial anatomical structure within the uterus. The significance of early detection cannot be overstated, prompting the use of various screening methods such as Pap smears, colposcopy, and Human Papillomavirus (HPV) testing to identify potential risks and initiate timely intervention. These screening procedures encompass visual inspections, Pap smears, colposcopies, biopsies, and HPV-DNA testing, each demanding the specialized knowledge and skills of experienced physicians and pathologists due to the inherently subjective nature of cancer diagnosis. In response to the imperative for efficient and intelligent screening, this article introduces a groundbreaking methodology that leverages pre-trained deep neural network models, including Alexnet, Resnet-101, Resnet-152, and InceptionV3, for feature extraction. The fine-tuning of these models is accompanied by the integration of diverse machine learning algorithms, with ResNet152 showcasing exceptional performance, achieving an impressive accuracy rate of 98.08%. It is noteworthy that the SIPaKMeD dataset, publicly accessible and utilized in this study, contributes to the transparency and reproducibility of our findings. The proposed hybrid methodology combines aspects of DL and ML for cervical cancer classification. Most intricate and complicated features from images can be extracted through DL. Further various ML algorithms can be implemented on extracted features. This innovative approach not only holds promise for significantly improving cervical cancer detection but also underscores the transformative potential of intelligent automation within the realm of medical diagnostics, paving the way for more accurate and timely interventions.

Factors influencing presentation delay among cancer patients: a cross-sectional study in Malaysia.

BACKGROUND: Cancer represents a significant global public health challenge, with escalating incidence rates straining healthcare systems. Malaysia, like many nations, has witnessed a rise in cancer cases, particularly among the younger population. This study aligns with Malaysia's National Strategic Plan for Cancer Control Programme 2021-2025, emphasizing primary prevention and early detection to address cancer's impact. Therefore, we aim to describe the timeliness of cancer care for symptom presentation, socio-demographic, patient, as well as organizational-related factors among patients in Malaysia diagnosed with breast, colorectal, nasopharyngeal, and cervical cancer. METHODS: This cross-sectional study enrolled adult cancer patients diagnosed with breast, cervical, colorectal, or nasopharyngeal cancer from 2015 to 2020 in seven public hospitals/oncology centres across Malaysia. Data were collected through patient-administered surveys and medical records. Presentation delay, defined as the duration between symptom onset and the patient's first visit to a healthcare professional exceeding 30 days, was the primary outcome. Statistical analysis included descriptive statistics and chi-square tests. RESULTS: The study included 476 cancer patients, with breast cancer (41.6%), colorectal cancer (26.9%), nasopharyngeal cancer (22.1%), and cervical cancer (9.5%). Over half (54.2%) experienced presentation delays with a median interval of 60 days. Higher proportions of presentation delay were observed among nasopharyngeal cancer patients, employed patients with lower socioeconomic statuses, and those without family history of cancer. Most patients self-discovered their first cancer symptoms (80%), while only one-third took immediate action for medical check-ups. Emotional and organizational factors, such as long waiting times during doctor's visits (47%), were potential barriers to seeking cancer care. CONCLUSION: This study highlights the significant problem of presentation delay among cancer patients in Malaysia. The delay is influenced by various factors encompassing sociodemographic characteristics, health-seeking behaviours, and healthcare system-related issues. A comprehensive approach addressing both individual barriers and institutional obstacles is imperative to mitigate this presentation delay and improve cancer outcomes.

Unlocking the complete blood count as a risk stratification tool for breast cancer using machine learning: a large scale retrospective study.

Optimizing early breast cancer (BC) detection requires effective risk assessment tools. This retrospective study from Brazil showcases the efficacy of machine learning in discerning complex patterns within routine blood tests, presenting a globally accessible and cost-effective approach for risk evaluation. We analyzed complete blood count (CBC) tests from 396,848 women aged 40-70, who underwent breast imaging or biopsies within six months after their CBC test. Of these, 2861 (0.72%) were identified as cases: 1882 with BC confirmed by anatomopathological tests, and 979 with highly suspicious imaging (BI-RADS 5). The remaining 393,987 participants (99.28%), with BI-RADS 1 or 2 results, were classified as controls. The database was divided into modeling (including training and validation) and testing sets based on diagnostic certainty. The testing set comprised cases confirmed by anatomopathology and controls cancer-free for 4.5-6.5 years post-CBC. Our ridge regression model, incorporating neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, red blood cells, and age, achieved an AUC of 0.64 (95% CI 0.64-0.65). We also demonstrate that these results are slightly better than those from a boosting machine learning model, LightGBM, plus having the benefit of being fully interpretable. Using the probabilistic output from this model, we divided the study population into four risk groups: high, moderate, average, and low risk, which obtained relative ratios of BC of 1.99, 1.32, 1.02, and 0.42, respectively. The aim of this stratification was to streamline prioritization, potentially improving the early detection of breast cancer, particularly in resource-limited environments. As a risk stratification tool, this model offers the potential for personalized breast cancer screening by prioritizing women based on their individual risk, thereby indicating a shift from a broad population strategy.

Oesophageal cell collection device and biomarker testing to identify high-risk Barrett's patients requiring endoscopic investigation.

BACKGROUND: Barrett's oesophagus surveillance places significant burden on endoscopy services yet is vital to detect early cancerous change. Oesophageal cell collection device (OCCD) testing was introduced across Scotland for Barrett's surveillance in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. This national pragmatic retrospective study presents the CytoSCOT programme results and evaluates whether OCCD testing is successfully identifying high-risk Barrett's patients requiring urgent endoscopy. METHODS: All patients undergoing OCCD testing for Barrett's surveillance across 11 Scottish health boards over a 32-month period were identified. Patients who underwent endoscopy within 12 months of OCCD test were included. Individual patient records were interrogated to record clinical information and OCCD test result to categorize patients into risk groups. Endoscopic histopathology results were analysed according to risk group and segment length. Patients were deemed high risk if the OCCD test demonstrated atypia and/or p53 positivity. RESULTS: 4204 OCCD tests were performed in 3745 patients: 608 patients underwent endoscopy within 12 months and were included in this analysis. Patients with longer Barrett's segments were significantly more likely to have an abnormal OCCD test. 50/608 patients (8.2%) had high-grade dysplasia or cancer on endoscopic biopsies: this equates to 1.3% of the total group (50/3745). 46/50 patients (92.0%) were deemed high risk, triggering urgent endoscopy: this rose to 100% with insufficient tests removed. There were no cancers diagnosed within 12 months post-OCCD in the low-risk group. CONCLUSION: OCCD testing is an effective triage tool to identify high-risk patients with Barrett's oesophagus requiring further investigation with endoscopy within the real-world setting.

Detecting colorectal cancer using genetic and epigenetic biomarkers: screening and diagnosis.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most frequent types of cancer, with high incidence rates and mortality globally. The extended timeframe for developing CRC allows for the potential screening and early identification of the disease. Furthermore, studies have shown that survival rates for patients with cancer are increased when diagnoses are made at earlier stages. Recent research suggests that the development of CRC, including its precancerous lesion, is influenced not only by genetic factors but also by epigenetic variables. Studies suggest epigenetics plays a significant role in cancer development, particularly CRC. While this approach is still in its early stages and faces challenges due to the variability of CRC, it shows promise as a potential method for understanding and addressing the disease. This review examined the current evidence supporting genetic and epigenetic biomarkers for screening and diagnosis. In addition, we also discussed the feasibility of translating these methodologies into clinical settings. Several markers show promising potential, including the methylation of vimentin (VIM), syndecan-2 (SDC2), and septin 9 (SEPT9). However, their application as screening and diagnostic tools, particularly for early-stage CRC, has not been fully optimized, and their effectiveness needs validation in large, multi-center patient populations. Extensive trials and further investigation are required to translate genetic and epigenetic biomarkers into practical clinical use. biomarkers, diagnostic biomarkers.

Inappropriate Ordering of Multitarget Stool DNA Tests for Colon Cancer Screening.

BACKGROUND: CRC screening is recommended for adults aged 45-75. Mt-sDNA is indicated for asymptomatic individuals between the ages of 45 and 85, but not for those with rectal bleeding, iron deficiency anemia, adenomatous polyps, previous colonoscopy within 10 years, family history of CRC, positive results from CRC screening tests within the past 6 months, or age less than 45 and greater than 85. We aimed to determine the prevalence of mt-sDNA use when not indicated and factors associated with inappropriate testing. METHODS: 7,345 patients underwent mt-sDNA testing and were randomized using EMERSE. Charts for the first 500 patients were reviewed to determine whether mt-sDNA was ordered appropriately according to the USPSTF criteria. Seven patients were excluded due to having more than one inappropriate ordering for mt-sDNA. RESULTS: Of 500 patients, 22.2% had an inappropriately ordered mt-sDNA test. The most common reason for inappropriate ordering was having a previous colonoscopy done within the past 10 years. Rates of inappropriate testing significantly varied by race and the specialty of the ordering provider, with internal medicine providers ordering the most mt-sDNA tests. Rates of inappropriate testing did not significantly vary by sex or type of insurance. DISCUSSION: Our study suggests that providers may not be familiar with guidelines for the indicated use of mtsDNA, leading to inappropriate referrals and increased costs. Patients at increased CRC risk would benefit from a more sensitive procedure such as a colonoscopy. Future studies could understand the motivation to order testing outside approved indications through provider surveys and interviews.

Retrospective analysis of negative cytology results correlated with a positive high-risk in the human papillomavirus result and subsequent results of patients over a period of three years.

This research paper evaluates the efficacy of co-testing in precluding cervical cancer, with a particular focus on distinguishable outcomes of the human papillomavirus (HPV) vs. cytology tests. A retrospective review of 5948 patients, who tested positive for high-risk HPV but showed negative cytologic findings, revealed that 15.006% tested positive in subsequent screenings. A comparative analysis of various commercial HPV tests highlighted the precision of mRNA-based HPV testing by Aptima (Hologic) in reducing the likelihood of false-negative cytology. The paper challenges the conviction that a negative cytology alone suffices advocating for a condensed testing interval in instances of positive HPV outcomes, thereby facilitating earlier intervention and optimal preventive care. These findings unveil an exigency for reconsidering preventive strategies based on test outcomes.

[The overdiagnosis of thyroid cancer should not be overinterpreted].

Recently, the topic of "overdiagnosis" of thyroid cancer has once again sparked controversy in the medical academic community, as well as extensive discussions from patients and the general population. To some extent, the overdiagnosis of thyroid cancer has been over interpreted. This article provides a detailed discussion on how to correctly understand the overdiagnosis of thyroid cancer from the perspective of a thyroid surgeon. The author believes that there are two elements to the occurrence of overdiagnosis of thyroid cancer: the presence of a large "silent pool" of inert tumors in the human body and medical methods to improve detection rates. In recent years, thyroid cancer has become the fastest growing malignant tumor in the world in terms of incidence rate. The exponential growth mode makes thyroid cancer over diagnosed and inevitably becomes a hot topic in academia. However, the overdiagnosis of thyroid cancer is not contradictory to the early screening and diagnosis of thyroid cancer. The overdiagnosis of thyroid cancer should be viewed scientifically and rationally, especially avoiding overinterpretation.

[Opportunities and challenges in accurate early diagnosis and treatment of lung cancer/pulmonary nodules].

Lung cancer remains the most prevalent and lethal malignancy in our country. Early diagnosis and treatment are crucial for improving patient prognosis in lung cancer/pulmonary nodules. Recent advancements in non-invasive/minimally invasive liquid biopsy, multi-omics, and artificial intelligence technologies have significantly enhanced the accuracy of early lung cancer/pulmonary nodule diagnosis. However, an early diagnostic method with both high sensitivity and specificity is yet to be established. Furthermore, addressing the methods and extent of early precision surgery, local precision therapy, perioperative combined treatment, and postoperative recurrence and metastasis monitoring are urgent challenges in the early management of lung cancer/pulmonary nodules. Integrating the advantages of various treatment strategies and formulating personalized and precise treatment plans is key to further improving patient survival. In the future, while exploring new therapeutic strategies, it is necessary to continuously search for biomarkers to identify the population that will benefit from the treatment effectively. Additionally, large-sample randomized controlled clinical studies should be conducted to investigate the benefits of long-term patient survival under a diverse range of treatment strategies.

Thyroid abnormalities identified on CT screening for lung cancer.

PURPOSE: Because incidental thyroid nodules (ITNs) are common extrapulmonary findings in low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) scans for lung cancer screening, we aimed to investigate the frequency of ITNs on LDCT scans separately on baseline and annual repeat scans, the frequency of malignancy among the ITNs, and any association with demographic, clinical, CT characteristics. METHODS: Retrospective case series of all 2309 participants having baseline and annual repeat screening in an Early Lung and Cardiac Action Program (MS-ELCAP) LDCT lung screening program from January 2010 to December 2016 was performed. Frequency of ITNs in baseline and annual repeat rounds were determined. Multivariable regression analysis was performed to identify significant predictors. RESULTS: Dominant ITNs were seen in 2.5 % of 2309 participants on baseline and in 0.15 % of participants among 4792 annual repeat LDCTs. The low incidence of new ITNs suggests slow growth as it would take approximately an average of 16.8 years for a new ITN to be detected on annual rounds of screening. Newly detected ITNs on annual repeat LDCT were all smaller than 15 mm. Regression analysis showed that the increasing of age, coronary artery calcifications score and breast density grade were significant predictors for females having an ITN. No significant predictors were found for ITNs in males. CONCLUSION: ITNs are detected at LDCT however, no malignancy was found. Certain predictors for ITNs in females have been identified including breast density, which may point towards a common causal pathway.

Concomitant human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination and screening for elimination of HPV and cervical cancer.

HPV vaccination with concomitant HPV-based screening of young women has been proposed for faster cervical cancer elimination. We describe the baseline results of a population-based trial of this strategy to reduce the incidence of HPV. All 89,547 women born 1994-1999 and resident in the capital region of Sweden were personally invited to concomitant HPV vaccination and HPV screening with 26,125 women (29.2%) enrolled between 2021-05-03 and 2022-12-31. Baseline HPV genotyping of cervical samples from the study participants finds, compared to pre-vaccination prevalences, a strong decline of HPV16 and 18 in birth cohorts previously offered vaccination, some decline for cross-protected HPV types but no decline for HPV types not targeted by vaccines. Our dynamic transmission modelling predicts that the trial could reduce the incidence of high-risk HPV infections among the 1994-1998 cohorts by 62-64% in 3 years. Baseline results are prevalences of HPV infection, validated transmission model projections, and power estimates for evaluating HPV incidence reductions at follow-up (+/-0.1% with 99.9% confidence). In conclusion, concomitant HPV vaccination and HPV screening appears to be a realistic option for faster cervical cancer elimination. Clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT04910802; EudraCT number: 2020-001169-34.

Risk Factors and Mortality Among Women With Interval Breast Cancer vs Screen-Detected Breast Cancer.

Importance: The risk factors for interval breast cancer (IBC) compared with those for screen-detected breast cancer (SBC) and their association with mortality outcomes have not yet been evaluated among Korean women. Objective: To evaluate risk factors associated with IBC and survival among Korean women with IBC compared with those with SBC. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study used data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service Database. Women who participated in a national mammographic breast cancer screening program between January 1, 2009, and December 31, 2012, were included. Mortality outcomes were calculated from the date of breast cancer diagnosis to the date of death or December 31, 2020. Data were analyzed from March 1 to June 30, 2023. Exposure: Breast cancer diagnosed within 6 to 24 months after a negative screening result (ie, IBC) or within 6 months after a positive screening result (ie, SBC). Main Outcomes and Measures: Risk factors and survival rates for IBC and SBC. Results: This study included 8702 women with IBC (mean [SD] age, 53.3 [8.6] years) and 9492 women with SBC (mean [SD] age, 54.1 [9.0] years). Compared with SBC, the probability of IBC decreased as mammographic density increased. Lower body mass index, menopausal status, hormone replacement therapy (HRT) use, and lack of family history of breast cancer were associated with a higher likelihood of IBC. When stratified by detection time, younger age at breast cancer diagnosis and family history of breast cancer were associated with an increased likelihood of IBC diagnosed at 6 to 12 months but a decreased likelihood of IBC diagnosed at 12 to 24 months. Overall mortality of IBC was comparable with SBC, but total mortality and cancer-related mortality of IBC diagnosed between 6 and 12 months was higher than that of SBC. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study suggest that breast density, obesity, and HRT use were associated with IBC compared with SBC. These findings also suggest that higher supplemental breast ultrasound use among Korean women, especially those with dense breasts, could be attributed to a lower incidence of IBC among women with dense breasts compared with women with SBC, due to greater detection. Finally, overall mortality of IBC was comparable with that of SBC.

Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on breast cancer screening in a large midwestern United States academic medical center.

BACKGROUND: Access to breast screening mammogram services decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic. Our objectives were to estimate: 1) the COVID-19 affected period, 2) the proportion of pandemic-associated missed or delayed screening encounters, and 3) pandemic-associated patient attrition in screening encounters overall and by sociodemographic subgroup. METHODS: We included screening mammogram encounter EPIC data from 1-1-2019 to 12-31-2022 for females ≥40 years old. We used Bayesian State Space models to describe weekly screening mammogram counts, modeling an interruption that phased in and out between 3-1-2020 and 9-1-2020. We used the posterior predictive distribution to model differences between a predicted, uninterrupted process and the observed screening mammogram counts. We estimated associations between race/ethnicity and age group and return screening mammogram encounters during the pandemic among those with 2019 encounters using logistic regression. RESULTS: Our analysis modeling weekly screening mammogram counts included 231,385 encounters (n = 127,621 women). Model-estimated screening mammograms dropped by >98% between 03-15-2020 and 05-24-2020 followed by a return to pre-pandemic levels or higher with similar results by race/ethnicity and age group. Among 79,257 women, non-Hispanic (NH) Asians, NH Blacks, and Hispanics had significantly (p < .05) lower odds of screening encounter returns during 2020-2022 vs. NH Whites with odds ratios (ORs) from 0.70 to 0.91. Among 79,983 women, those 60-69 had significantly higher odds of any return screening encounter during 2020-2022 (OR = 1.28), while those ≥80 and 40-49 had significantly lower odds (ORs 0.77, 0.45) than those 50-59 years old. A sensitivity analysis suggested a possible pre-existing pattern. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest a short-term pandemic effect on screening mammograms of ~2 months with no evidence of disparities. However, we observed racial/ethnic disparities in screening mammogram returns during the pandemic that may be at least partially pre-existing. These results may inform future pandemic planning and continued efforts to eliminate mammogram screening disparities.