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1.
PLoS One ; 16(12): e0261342, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34914798

RESUMEN

In 2016, China implemented an environmental protection tax (EPTL2016) to promote the transformation and upgrading of heavily polluting industries through tax leverage. Using panel data of China's listed companies, this study assesses the treatment effects of the EPTL2016 on the transformation and upgrading of heavily polluting firms by incorporating the intermediary role of the financial market. The empirical findings show that the EPTL2016 significantly reduced the innovation investment and productivity of heavily polluting firms but had no significant effect on fixed-asset investment. Additionally, EPTL2016 reduced the supply of bank loans to heavily polluting firms and increased the value of growth options for private enterprises and the efficiency of the supply of long-term loans to heavily polluting firms. Although the environmental policy of EPTL2016 benefits the transformation and upgrading of heavily polluting industries in many aspects, it generally hinders the industrial upgrading because of the reduction of bank loans.


Asunto(s)
Política Ambiental/economía , Contaminación Ambiental/prevención & control , Impuestos/economía , China , Comercio/legislación & jurisprudencia , Conservación de los Recursos Naturales/economía , Conservación de los Recursos Naturales/métodos , Política Ambiental/tendencias , Contaminantes Ambientales/economía , Contaminación Ambiental/economía , Metalurgia/legislación & jurisprudencia , Sector Privado/legislación & jurisprudencia , Impuestos/tendencias
2.
Environ Health ; 20(1): 65, 2021 05 27.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34044832

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Alzheimer's disease (AD) and other dementias currently represent the fifth most common cause of death in the world, according to the World Health Organization, with a projected future increase as the proportion of the elderly in the population is growing. Air pollution has emerged as a plausible risk factor for AD, but studies estimating dementia cases attributable to exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) air pollution and resulting monetary estimates are lacking. METHODS: We used data on average population-weighted exposure to ambient PM2.5 for the entire population of Sweden above 30 years of age. To estimate the annual number of dementia cases attributable to air pollution in the Swedish population above 60 years of age, we used the latest concentration response functions (CRF) between PM2.5 exposure and dementia incidence, based on ten longitudinal cohort studies, for the population above 60 years of age. To estimate the monetary burden of attributable cases, we calculated total costs related to dementia, including direct and indirect lifetime costs and intangible costs by including quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) lost. Two different monetary valuations of QALYs in Sweden were used to estimate the monetary value of reduced quality-of-life from two different payer perspectives. RESULTS: The annual number of dementia cases attributable to PM2.5 exposure was estimated to be 820, which represents 5% of the annual dementia cases in Sweden. Direct and indirect lifetime average cost per dementia case was estimated to correspond € 213,000. A reduction of PM2.5 by 1 µg/m3 was estimated to yield 101 fewer cases of dementia incidences annually, resulting in an estimated monetary benefit ranging up to 0.01% of the Swedish GDP in 2019. CONCLUSION: This study estimated that 5% of annual dementia cases could be attributed to PM2.5 exposure, and that the resulting monetary burden is substantial. These findings suggest the need to consider airborne toxic pollutants associated with dementia incidence in public health policy decisions.


Asunto(s)
Demencia , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales , Contaminantes Ambientales , Material Particulado , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Costo de Enfermedad , Demencia/economía , Demencia/epidemiología , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisis , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/economía , Contaminantes Ambientales/efectos adversos , Contaminantes Ambientales/análisis , Contaminantes Ambientales/economía , Humanos , Incidencia , Persona de Mediana Edad , Material Particulado/efectos adversos , Material Particulado/análisis , Material Particulado/economía , Calidad de Vida , Suecia/epidemiología
4.
Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol ; 8(8): 719-730, 2020 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32707119

RESUMEN

Endocrine-disrupting chemicals (EDCs) substantially cost society as a result of increases in disease and disability but-unlike other toxicant classes such as carcinogens-have yet to be codified into regulations as a hazard category. This Series paper examines economic, regulatory, and policy approaches to limit human EDC exposures and describes potential improvements. In the EU, general principles for EDCs call for minimisation of human exposure, identification as substances of very high concern, and ban on use in pesticides. In the USA, screening and testing programmes are focused on oestrogenic EDCs exclusively, and regulation is strictly risk-based. Minimisation of human exposure is unlikely without a clear overarching definition for EDCs and relevant pre-marketing test requirements. We call for a multifaceted international programme (eg, modelled on the International Agency for Research in Cancer) to address the effects of EDCs on human health-an approach that would proactively identify hazards for subsequent regulation.


Asunto(s)
Disruptores Endocrinos/economía , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/economía , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/legislación & jurisprudencia , Contaminantes Ambientales/economía , Política de Salud/economía , Política de Salud/legislación & jurisprudencia , Disruptores Endocrinos/efectos adversos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Contaminantes Ambientales/efectos adversos , Humanos
5.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32244553

RESUMEN

Environmental valuation refers to a variety of techniques to assign monetary values to environmental impacts, especially non-market impacts. It has experienced a steady growth in the number of publications on the subject in the last 30 years. We performed a search for papers containing the term "environmental valuation" in the title, abstract, or keywords. The search was conducted with an online literature search engine of the Web of Science (WoS) electronic databases. A search of this database revealed that the term "environmental valuation" appeared for the first time in 1987. Since then, a large number of studies have been published, including significant breakthroughs in theory and applications. In the present work, 661 publications were selected for a review of the literature on environmental valuation over the period 1987-2019. This paper analyzes the evolution of the leading methodologies and authors, highlights the preference for the choice experiment method over the contingent valuation method, and shows that relatively few papers have had a strong impact on the researchers in this area.


Asunto(s)
Ambiente , Contaminantes Ambientales , Economía , Contaminantes Ambientales/economía
7.
Mar Pollut Bull ; 146: 50-53, 2019 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31426186

RESUMEN

As microplastic pollution evolved to a well-established research field, microplastic scientists started to explore new avenues in the field. Yet, while a multitude of different types of microplastics (microbeads, fibres, fragments) have been well-documented in microplastic literature, our analysis of this literature shows that glitter particles have been overlooked by the field. However, due to the presence of glitter-based research in forensic science, we explore the idea that glitter may have the potential to act as "flag items" - or markers - of a likely source, due to the often complex and individual composition of glitter particles compared to traditional microplastics, such as microbeads. As such, this article demonstrates glitter has insofar been overlooked as a microplastic particle, and demonstrates that glitter may have an important role in explaining microplastic pollution dynamics from source to sink.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Ambientales/análisis , Plásticos/análisis , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Contaminantes Ambientales/economía , Plásticos/economía
8.
Environ Pollut ; 249: 812-821, 2019 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30953943

RESUMEN

Our world is awash with plastic. The massive increase in plastics production, combined with a shift to single-use, disposable plastics and widespread mismanagement of plastic waste, has created a huge "tragedy of the commons" (Hardin, 1968) in our oceans, seas and waterways. Plastics pollution is now a global externality that damages ecosystems, curtails biodiversity and ultimately has the potential to affect everyone on the planet. Although waste output is often modelled separately from environmental pollution in research, in the case of plastics, the waste problem has become one of global pollution. In this paper, we model the relationship between mismanaged plastic waste1 and income per capita for 151 countries, and for the first time find empirical support for the environmental Kuznets curve using plastics pollution data. Further, we find support for the hypothesis that a key instrument for reducing plastics pollution is investment in scientific and technological research. The paper concludes with a discussion of the results, limitations, and implications for future research and practice.


Asunto(s)
Desarrollo Económico , Contaminantes Ambientales/economía , Contaminación Ambiental/prevención & control , Plásticos/economía , Investigación , Ecosistema , Contaminantes Ambientales/efectos adversos , Contaminación Ambiental/economía , Modelos Econométricos , Plásticos/efectos adversos , Investigación/economía , Administración de Residuos/economía
9.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29617334

RESUMEN

To reduce carbon emissions during production and realize the recycling of resources, the government has promulgated carbon cap-and-trade regulation and take-back regulation separately. This paper firstly analyses the manufacturing, remanufacturing and collection decisions of a monopoly manufacturer under cap-and-trade regulation and take-back regulation conditions, and then explores the environmental impact (i.e., carbon emissions) of both carbon regulation and more stringent take-back regulation. Finally, numerical examples are provided to illustrate the theoretical results. The results indicate that it will do good for the environment once the cap-and-trade regulation is carried out. We also conclude that government’s supervision of carbon trading price plays an important role in reducing the environmental impact. Furthermore, unexpectedly, we prove that if emissions intensity of a remanufactured (vis-á-vis new) product is sufficiently high, the improvement of collection and remanufacturing targets might lead to the deterioration of environment.


Asunto(s)
Ambiente , Contaminantes Ambientales/normas , Efecto Invernadero/legislación & jurisprudencia , Efecto Invernadero/prevención & control , Gases de Efecto Invernadero/normas , Reciclaje/legislación & jurisprudencia , Reciclaje/normas , Toma de Decisiones , Contaminantes Ambientales/economía , Reciclaje/economía
10.
Environ Health ; 16(1): 123, 2017 Dec 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29202828

RESUMEN

Calculation of costs and the Burden of Disease (BoD) is useful in developing resource allocation and prioritization strategies in public and environmental health. While useful, the Disability-Adjusted Life Year (DALY) metric disregards subclinical dysfunctions, adheres to stringent causal criteria, and is hampered by gaps in environmental exposure data, especially from industrializing countries. For these reasons, a recently calculated environmental BoD of 5.18% of the total DALYs is likely underestimated. We combined and extended cost calculations for exposures to environmental chemicals, including neurotoxicants, air pollution, and endocrine disrupting chemicals, where sufficient data were available to determine dose-dependent adverse effects. Environmental exposure information allowed cost estimates for the U.S. and the EU, for OECD countries, though less comprehensive for industrializing countries. As a complement to these health economic estimations, we used attributable risk valuations from expert elicitations to as a third approach to assessing the environmental BoD. For comparison of the different estimates, we used country-specific monetary values of each DALY. The main limitation of DALY calculations is that they are available for few environmental chemicals and primarily based on mortality and impact and duration of clinical morbidity, while less serious conditions are mostly disregarded. Our economic estimates based on available exposure information and dose-response data on environmental risk factors need to be seen in conjunction with other assessments of the total cost for these environmental risk factors, as our estimate overlaps only slightly with the previously estimated environmental DALY costs and crude calculations relying on attributable risks for environmental risk factors. The three approaches complement one another and suggest that environmental chemical exposures contribute costs that may exceed 10% of the global domestic product and that current DALY calculations substantially underestimate the economic costs associated with preventable environmental risk factors. By including toxicological and epidemiological information and data on exposure distributions, more representative results can be obtained from utilizing health economic analyses of the adverse effects associated with environmental chemicals.


Asunto(s)
Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Salud Ambiental/economía , Contaminantes Ambientales/toxicidad , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Costo de Enfermedad , Disruptores Endocrinos/toxicidad , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/economía , Contaminantes Ambientales/economía , Humanos
11.
PLoS One ; 12(9): e0185001, 2017.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28934272

RESUMEN

The design of a multimodal logistics service network with customer service time windows and environmental costs is an important and challenging issue. Accordingly, this work established a model to minimize the total cost of multimodal logistics service network design with time windows and environmental concerns. The proposed model incorporates CO2 emission costs to determine the optimal transportation mode combinations and investment selections for transfer nodes, which consider transport cost, transport time, carbon emission, and logistics service time window constraints. Furthermore, genetic and heuristic algorithms are proposed to set up the abovementioned optimal model. A numerical example is provided to validate the model and the abovementioned two algorithms. Then, comparisons of the performance of the two algorithms are provided. Finally, this work investigates the effects of the logistics service time windows and CO2 emission taxes on the optimal solution. Several important management insights are obtained.


Asunto(s)
Dióxido de Carbono/análisis , Monitoreo del Ambiente/economía , Contaminantes Ambientales/economía , Modelos Teóricos , Transportes/economía , Emisiones de Vehículos/análisis , Algoritmos , Simulación por Computador , Costos y Análisis de Costo , Monitoreo del Ambiente/estadística & datos numéricos , Contaminantes Ambientales/análisis , Humanos
12.
Environ Health ; 16(1): 55, 2017 06 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28599657

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Socioeconomic analysis is currently used in the Europe Union as part of the regulatory process in Regulation Registration, Evaluation and Authorisation of Chemicals (REACH), with the aim of assessing and managing risks from dangerous chemicals. The political impact of the socio-economic analysis is potentially high in the authorisation and restriction procedures, however, current socio-economic analysis dossiers submitted under REACH are very heterogeneous in terms of methodology used and quality. Furthermore, the economic literature is not very helpful for regulatory purposes, as most published calculations of health costs associated with chemical exposures use epidemiological studies as input data, but such studies are rarely available for most substances. The quasi-totality of the data used in the REACH dossiers comes from toxicological studies. METHODS: This paper assesses the use of the integrated probabilistic risk assessment, based on toxicological data, for the calculation of health costs associated with endocrine disrupting effects of triclosan. The results are compared with those obtained using the population attributable fraction, based on epidemiological data. RESULTS: The results based on the integrated probabilistic risk assessment indicated that 4894 men could have reproductive deficits based on the decreased vas deferens weights observed in rats, 0 cases of changed T3 levels, and 0 cases of girls with early pubertal development. The results obtained with the Population Attributable Fraction method showed 7,199,228 cases of obesity per year, 281,923 girls per year with early pubertal development and 88,957 to 303,759 cases per year with increased total T3 hormone levels. The economic costs associated with increased BMI due to TCS exposure could be calculated. Direct health costs were estimated at €5.8 billion per year. CONCLUSIONS: The two methods give very different results for the same effects. The choice of a toxicological-based or an epidemiological-based method in the socio-economic analysis will therefore significantly impact the estimated health costs and consequently the political risk management decision. Additional work should be done for understanding the reasons of these significant differences.


Asunto(s)
Disruptores Endocrinos/toxicidad , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales , Salud Ambiental/métodos , Contaminantes Ambientales/toxicidad , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Triclosán/toxicidad , Disruptores Endocrinos/economía , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/economía , Salud Ambiental/economía , Contaminantes Ambientales/economía , Unión Europea , Humanos , Medición de Riesgo , Triclosán/economía
13.
Risk Anal ; 37(5): 893-904, 2017 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27393181

RESUMEN

Existing ethical discussion considers the differences in care for identified versus statistical lives. However, there has been little attention to the different degrees of care that are taken for different kinds of statistical lives. Here we argue that for a given number of statistical lives at stake, there will sometimes be different, and usually greater, care taken to protect predictable statistical lives, in which the number of lives that will be lost can be predicted fairly accurately, than for unpredictable statistical lives, where the lives are at stake because of a low-probability event, such that most likely no one will be affected by the decision but with low probability some lives will be at stake. One reason for this difference is the statistical challenge of estimating low probabilities, and in particular the tendency of common approaches to underestimate these probabilities. Another is the existence of rational incentives to treat unpredictable risks as if the probabilities were lower than they are. Some of these factors apply outside the pure economic context, to institutions, individuals, and governments. We argue that there is no ethical reason to treat unpredictable statistical lives differently from predictable statistical lives. Moreover, lives that are unpredictable from the perspective of an individual agent may become predictable when aggregated to the level of a societal decision. Underprotection of unpredictable statistical lives is a form of market failure that may need to be corrected by altering regulation, introducing compulsory liability insurance, or other social policies.


Asunto(s)
Ética Médica , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Estadística como Asunto , Comercio , Costo de Enfermedad , Toma de Decisiones , Contaminantes Ambientales/economía , Política de Salud , Humanos , Seguro de Responsabilidad Civil , Modelos Económicos , Modelos Estadísticos , Probabilidad , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Gestión de Riesgos
14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27338440

RESUMEN

In this paper, we assume that a professional pollutant treatment enterprise treats all of the pollutants emitted by multiple small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). In order to determine the treatment price, SMEs can bargain with the pollutant treatment enterprise individually, or through forming alliances. We propose a bargaining game model of centralized pollutant treatment to study how the pollutant treatment price is determined through negotiation. Then, we consider that there is a moral hazard from SMEs in centralized pollutant treatment; in other words, they may break their agreement concerning their quantities of production and pollutant emissions with the pollutant treatment enterprise. We study how the pollutant treatment enterprise can prevent this by pricing mechanism design. It is found that the pollutant treatment enterprise can prevent SMEs' moral hazard through tiered pricing. If the marginal treatment cost of the pollutant treatment enterprise is a constant, SMEs could bargain with the pollutant treatment enterprise individually, otherwise, they should form a grand alliance to bargain with it as a whole.


Asunto(s)
Conducta Cooperativa , Costos y Análisis de Costo/estadística & datos numéricos , Contaminantes Ambientales/economía , Restauración y Remediación Ambiental/economía , Pequeña Empresa/economía , China , Humanos , Modelos Teóricos
15.
Ann Glob Health ; 82(5): 711-721, 2016.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28283121

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The research done for this paper is part of the background analysis undertaken to support the work of the Global Commission on Pollution, Health and Development, an initiative of The Lancet, the Global Alliance on Health and Pollution, and the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai. The paper expands on areas where the current literature has gaps in knowledge related to the health care cost of pollution. OBJECTIVES: This study aims to generate an initial estimate of total tangible health care expenditure attributable to man-made pollution affecting air, soil and water. METHODS: We use two methodologies to establish an upper and lower bounds for pollution related health expenditure. Key data points in both models include (a) burden-of-disease (BoD) at the national level in different countries attributable to pollution; and (b) the total cost of health care at the national level in different countries using standard national health accounts expenditure data. FINDINGS: Depending on which determinist model we apply, annual expenditures range from US$630 billion (upper bound) to US$240 billion (lower bound) or approximately three to nine percent of global spending on health care in 2013 (the reference year for the analysis). Although only 14 percent of global total for pollution related health care spending is in lower- and middle-income countries (LMICs) in our primary (lower bound) model, the relative share of spending for pollution related illness is substantial, especially in very low-income countries. Cancer, chronic respiratory and cardio/cerebrovascular illnesses account for the largest health care spending items linked to pollution even in LMICs. CONCLUSIONS: These conditions have historically received less attention by national governments, international public health organizations and development/financial agencies than infectious disease and maternal/child health sectors. Other studies posit that intangible costs associated with environmental pollution include lower productivity and reduced income - components which our models do not attempt to capture. The financial and health impacts are substantial even when we exclude intangible costs, yet it is likely that in many LMICs poor households simply forgo medical treatment and lose household income as a result of man-made environmental degradation. RECOMMENDATIONS: When evaluating the value of public health or environmental programs which prevent or limit pollution-related illness, policy makers should consider the health benefits, the tangible cost offsets (estimated in our models) and the opportunity costs.


Asunto(s)
Atención a la Salud/economía , Contaminantes Ambientales/efectos adversos , Contaminantes Ambientales/economía , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Gastos en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos
16.
Am Econ Rev ; 105(2): 678-709, 2015 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27134284

RESUMEN

Regulatory oversight of toxic emissions from industrial plants and understanding about these emissions' impacts are in their infancy. Applying a research design based on the openings and closings of 1,600 industrial plants to rich data on housing markets and infant health, we find that: toxic air emissions affect air quality only within 1 mile of the plant; plant openings lead to 11 percent declines in housing values within 0.5 mile or a loss of about $4.25 million for these households; and a plant's operation is associated with a roughly 3 percent increase in the probability of low birthweight within 1 mile.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos/efectos adversos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/economía , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Contaminación del Aire/economía , Contaminación del Aire/estadística & datos numéricos , Contaminantes Ambientales/efectos adversos , Contaminantes Ambientales/economía , Sustancias Peligrosas/efectos adversos , Sustancias Peligrosas/economía , Vivienda/economía , Vivienda/estadística & datos numéricos , Salud del Lactante/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido de Bajo Peso , Recién Nacido , Instalaciones Industriales y de Fabricación/estadística & datos numéricos , Embarazo , Efectos Tardíos de la Exposición Prenatal , Características de la Residencia , Factores de Riesgo , Estados Unidos
17.
Rev Salud Publica (Bogota) ; 17(6): 951-960, 2015 Dec.
Artículo en Español | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28453147

RESUMEN

Objective To estimate the economic benefits related to environment and health in the context of the implementation of the Stockholm Convention for the control of Persistent Organic Pollutants in the country. METHOD: The estimation was conducted based on two scenarios: non-compliance with the agreement and compliance with the Convention. Gross profit was derived from the difference in present value between the health and environmental costs that are assumed in each scenario. Results Gross profit by decreasing health costs arising from the implementation of the Convention was estimated at USD $ 511 and USD $ 501 million. By introducing variables such as management costs and agreement on potential benefits for access to international markets, the benefits to the country were estimated at between USD $1 631 and USD $ 3 118 million. Discussion Despite the economic benefits generated by lower expenditure on health for the Convention implementation, the costs associated with reducing pollutant emissions generated a negative balance, compensated only by the expectation of higher revenues for international market access. We consider this initial economic assessment an important contribution, but it should be reviewed to include valuation methodologies involving other social profitability variables and different scenarios for emerging technologies, new scientific knowledge about these pollutants, changes in legislation and / or changes in trade agreement conditions, among others.


Asunto(s)
Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Política Ambiental/economía , Contaminantes Ambientales/economía , Contaminación Ambiental/economía , Contaminación Ambiental/prevención & control , Costos de la Atención en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Compuestos Orgánicos/economía , Colombia , Política Ambiental/legislación & jurisprudencia , Contaminantes Ambientales/toxicidad , Contaminación Ambiental/efectos adversos , Contaminación Ambiental/legislación & jurisprudencia , Política de Salud/economía , Política de Salud/legislación & jurisprudencia , Humanos , Modelos Económicos , Compuestos Orgánicos/toxicidad
18.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 112(20): 6277-82, 2015 May 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25288741

RESUMEN

Decarbonization of electricity generation can support climate-change mitigation and presents an opportunity to address pollution resulting from fossil-fuel combustion. Generally, renewable technologies require higher initial investments in infrastructure than fossil-based power systems. To assess the tradeoffs of increased up-front emissions and reduced operational emissions, we present, to our knowledge, the first global, integrated life-cycle assessment (LCA) of long-term, wide-scale implementation of electricity generation from renewable sources (i.e., photovoltaic and solar thermal, wind, and hydropower) and of carbon dioxide capture and storage for fossil power generation. We compare emissions causing particulate matter exposure, freshwater ecotoxicity, freshwater eutrophication, and climate change for the climate-change-mitigation (BLUE Map) and business-as-usual (Baseline) scenarios of the International Energy Agency up to 2050. We use a vintage stock model to conduct an LCA of newly installed capacity year-by-year for each region, thus accounting for changes in the energy mix used to manufacture future power plants. Under the Baseline scenario, emissions of air and water pollutants more than double whereas the low-carbon technologies introduced in the BLUE Map scenario allow a doubling of electricity supply while stabilizing or even reducing pollution. Material requirements per unit generation for low-carbon technologies can be higher than for conventional fossil generation: 11-40 times more copper for photovoltaic systems and 6-14 times more iron for wind power plants. However, only two years of current global copper and one year of iron production will suffice to build a low-carbon energy system capable of supplying the world's electricity needs in 2050.


Asunto(s)
Suministros de Energía Eléctrica/economía , Contaminantes Ambientales/economía , Calentamiento Global/prevención & control , Modelos Económicos , Energía Renovable , Dióxido de Carbono/química , Cobre/química , Humanos , Hierro/química
19.
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci ; 369(1656)2014 Nov 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25405973

RESUMEN

Active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) can enter the natural environment during manufacture, use and/or disposal, and consequently public concern about their potential adverse impacts in the environment is growing. Despite the bulk of the human population living in Asia and Africa (mostly in low- or middle-income countries), limited work relating to research, development and regulations on APIs in the environment have so far been conducted in these regions. Also, the API manufacturing sector is gradually shifting to countries with lower production costs. This paper focuses mainly on APIs for human consumption and highlights key differences between the low-, middle- and high-income countries, covering factors such as population and demographics, manufacture, prescriptions, treatment, disposal and reuse of waste and wastewater. The striking differences in populations (both human and animal), urbanization, sewer connectivity and other factors have revealed that the environmental compartments receiving the bulk of API residues differ markedly between low- and high-income countries. High sewer connectivity in developed countries allows capture and treatment of the waste stream (point-source). However, in many low- or middle-income countries, sewerage connectivity is generally low and in some areas waste is collected predominantly in septic systems. Consequently, the diffuse-source impact, such as on groundwater from leaking septic systems or on land due to disposal of raw sewage or septage, may be of greater concern. A screening level assessment of potential burdens of APIs in urban and rural environments of countries representing low- and middle-income as well as high-income has been made. Implications for ecological risks of APIs used by humans in lower income countries are discussed.


Asunto(s)
Países Desarrollados , Países en Desarrollo , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Contaminantes Ambientales/química , Preparaciones Farmacéuticas/química , Contaminantes Ambientales/economía , Preparaciones Farmacéuticas/economía , Factores de Riesgo
20.
ScientificWorldJournal ; 2014: 542548, 2014.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24977209

RESUMEN

This paper proposes a new model of simultaneous optimization of three-level logistics decisions, for logistics authorities, logistics operators, and logistics users, for regional logistics network with environmental impact consideration. The proposed model addresses the interaction among the three logistics players in a complete competitive logistics service market with CO2 emission charges. We also explicitly incorporate the impacts of the scale economics of the logistics park and the logistics users' demand elasticity into the model. The logistics authorities aim to maximize the total social welfare of the system, considering the demand of green logistics development by two different methods: optimal location of logistics nodes and charging a CO2 emission tax. Logistics operators are assumed to compete with logistics service fare and frequency, while logistics users minimize their own perceived logistics disutility given logistics operators' service fare and frequency. A heuristic algorithm based on the multinomial logit model is presented for the three-level decision model, and a numerical example is given to illustrate the above optimal model and its algorithm. The proposed model provides a useful tool for modeling competitive logistics services and evaluating logistics policies at the strategic level.


Asunto(s)
Dióxido de Carbono/análisis , Técnicas de Apoyo para la Decisión , Ambiente , Monitoreo del Ambiente/economía , Contaminantes Ambientales/economía , Modelos Logísticos , Modelos Económicos , China , Simulación por Computador , Monitoreo del Ambiente/estadística & datos numéricos , Contaminantes Ambientales/análisis , Emisiones de Vehículos/análisis
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