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1.
NEJM Evid ; 3(4): EVIDoa2300236, 2024 Apr.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38771994

BACKGROUND: Certain populations have been historically underrepresented in clinical trials. Broadening eligibility criteria is one approach to inclusive clinical research and achieving enrollment goals. How broadened trial eligibility criteria affect the diversity of eligible participants is unknown. METHODS: Using a nationwide electronic health record-derived deidentified database, we identified a retrospective cohort of patients diagnosed with 22 cancer types between April 1, 2013 and December 31, 2022 who received systemic therapy (N=235,234) for cancer. We evaluated strict versus broadened eligibility criteria using performance status and liver, kidney, and hematologic function around first line of therapy. We performed logistic regression to estimate odds ratios for exclusion by strict criteria and their association with measures of patient diversity, including sex, age, race or ethnicity, and area-level socioeconomic status (SES); estimated the impact of broadening criteria on the number and distribution of eligible patients; and performed Cox regression to estimate hazard ratios for real-world overall survival (rwOS) comparing patients meeting strict versus broadened criteria. RESULTS: When applying common strict cutoffs for eligibility criteria to patients with complete data and weighting each cancer type equally, 48% of patients were eligible for clinical trials. Female (odds ratio, 1.30; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.25 to 1.35), older (age 75+ vs. 18 to 49 years old: odds ratio, 3.04; 95% CI, 2.85 to 3.24), Latinx (odds ratio, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.39 to 1.54), non-Latinx Black (odds ratio, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.16), and lower-SES patients were more likely to be excluded using strict eligibility criteria. Broadening criteria increased the number of eligible patients by 78%, with the strongest impact for older, female, non-Latinx Black, and lower-SES patients. Patients who met only broadened criteria had worse rwOS versus those with strict criteria (hazard ratio, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.27 to 1.34). CONCLUSIONS: Data-driven evaluation of clinical trial eligibility criteria may optimize the eligibility of certain historically underrepresented groups and promote access to more inclusive trials. (Sponsored by Flatiron Health.).


Clinical Trials as Topic , Eligibility Determination , Neoplasms , Patient Selection , Humans , Female , Neoplasms/therapy , Neoplasms/ethnology , Neoplasms/mortality , Male , Retrospective Studies , Middle Aged , Aged , Adult , Adolescent , Young Adult
2.
PLoS Comput Biol ; 20(5): e1012024, 2024 May.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38717988

The activation levels of biologically significant gene sets are emerging tumor molecular markers and play an irreplaceable role in the tumor research field; however, web-based tools for prognostic analyses using it as a tumor molecular marker remain scarce. We developed a web-based tool PESSA for survival analysis using gene set activation levels. All data analyses were implemented via R. Activation levels of The Molecular Signatures Database (MSigDB) gene sets were assessed using the single sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA) method based on data from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO), The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), The European Genome-phenome Archive (EGA) and supplementary tables of articles. PESSA was used to perform median and optimal cut-off dichotomous grouping of ssGSEA scores for each dataset, relying on the survival and survminer packages for survival analysis and visualisation. PESSA is an open-access web tool for visualizing the results of tumor prognostic analyses using gene set activation levels. A total of 238 datasets from the GEO, TCGA, EGA, and supplementary tables of articles; covering 51 cancer types and 13 survival outcome types; and 13,434 tumor-related gene sets are obtained from MSigDB for pre-grouping. Users can obtain the results, including Kaplan-Meier analyses based on the median and optimal cut-off values and accompanying visualization plots and the Cox regression analyses of dichotomous and continuous variables, by selecting the gene set markers of interest. PESSA (https://smuonco.shinyapps.io/PESSA/ OR http://robinl-lab.com/PESSA) is a large-scale web-based tumor survival analysis tool covering a large amount of data that creatively uses predefined gene set activation levels as molecular markers of tumors.


Biomarkers, Tumor , Computational Biology , Databases, Genetic , Internet , Neoplasms , Software , Humans , Neoplasms/genetics , Neoplasms/mortality , Survival Analysis , Biomarkers, Tumor/genetics , Biomarkers, Tumor/metabolism , Computational Biology/methods , Prognosis , Gene Expression Profiling/methods , Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic/genetics
3.
Gac Med Mex ; 160(1): 62-67, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38753542

BACKGROUND: The quick Sequential Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) is a score that has been proposed to quickly identify patients at higher risk of death. OBJECTIVE: To describe the usefulness of the qSOFA score to predict in-hospital mortality in cancer patients. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Cross-sectional study carried out between January 2021 and December 2022. Hospital mortality was the dependent variable. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was calculated to determine the discriminative ability of qSOFA to predict in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: A total of 587 cancer patients were included. A qSOFA score higher than 1 obtained a sensitivity of 57.2%, specificity of 78.5%, a positive predictive value of 55.4% and negative predictive value of 79.7%. The AUC of qSOFA for predicting in-hospital mortality was 0.70. In-hospital mortality of patients with qSOFA scores of 2 and 3 points was 52.7 and 64.4%, respectively. In-hospital mortality was 31.9% (187/587). CONCLUSION: qSOFA showed acceptable discriminative ability for predicting in-hospital mortality in cancer patients.


ANTECEDENTES: El quick Sequential Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) es una puntuación propuesta para identificar de forma rápida a pacientes con mayor probabilidad de morir. OBJETIVO: Describir la utilidad de la puntuación qSOFA para predecir mortalidad hospitalaria en pacientes con cáncer. MATERIAL Y MÉTODOS: Estudio transversal realizado entre enero de 2021 y diciembre de 2022. La mortalidad hospitalaria fue la variable dependiente. Se calculó el área bajo la curva ROC (ABC) para determinar la capacidad discriminativa de qSOFA para predecir mortalidad hospitalaria. RESULTADOS: Se incluyeron 587 pacientes con cáncer. La puntuación qSOFA < 1 obtuvo una sensibilidad de 57.2 %, una especificidad de 78.5 %, un valor predictivo positivo de 55.4 % y un valor predictivo negativo de 79.7 %. El ABC de qSOFA para predecir mortalidad hospitalaria fue de 0.70. La mortalidad hospitalaria de los pacientes con qSOFA de 2 y 3 puntos fue de 52.7 y 64.4 %, respectivamente. La mortalidad hospitalaria fue de 31.9 % (187/587). CONCLUSIÓN: qSOFA mostró capacidad discriminativa aceptable para predecir mortalidad hospitalaria en pacientes con cáncer.


Hospital Mortality , Neoplasms , Organ Dysfunction Scores , Humans , Neoplasms/mortality , Cross-Sectional Studies , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , Sensitivity and Specificity , ROC Curve , Sepsis/mortality , Sepsis/diagnosis , Predictive Value of Tests , Area Under Curve , Adult , Aged, 80 and over
4.
JCO Glob Oncol ; 10: e2300275, 2024 May.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38754052

PURPOSE: Local ablative therapy, such as radiotherapy or surgery, plays a key role in treatment of patients with oligometastatic disease. Stereotactic ablative body radiotherapy (SABR) comes to the fore as a safe and effective treatment for patients with a limited number of metastases, even those located in hard-to-reach body sites. Many researchers have suggested that metastatsis-directed therapy could improve long-term progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with oligometastases. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This was a retrospective, single-arm, observational study conducted between July 2015 and February 2022. In our institute, 60 patients with controlled primary tumors and one to five metastases were treated with SABR. Prescribed radiation doses ranged from 12 to 60 Gy administered in one to seven fractions. We aimed to determine whether metastatic-directed therapy using SABR for all oligometastases affects OS and PFS and whether the primary tumor or metastatic site influences OS/PFS. RESULTS: The most common primary malignancy types were prostate (n = 14), colorectal (n = 10), lung (n = 7), and breast cancers (n = 6). The median follow-up was 30 months, ranging from 9 to 79. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year PFS and OS rates were 54.9%, 37.0%, and 37.0% and 98.3%, 84.4%, and 73.8%, respectively, and the median time to first progression was 15 (range, 2-32) months. Twenty-four (40%) patients had no recurrence. In our analysis, primary tumor site was not an independent prognostic factor. The metastatic site may influence on patient outcome in cases of localized bone and liver metastases. CONCLUSION: In our retrospective analysis, SABR was associated with favorable levels of PFS and OS in patients with oligometastases. The limitations of our study were lacking high-level evidence, and randomized studies to compare SABR and palliative standard of care are mandatory.


Neoplasm Metastasis , Radiosurgery , Humans , Radiosurgery/methods , Male , Female , Retrospective Studies , Aged , Middle Aged , Neoplasm Metastasis/radiotherapy , Aged, 80 and over , Adult , Neoplasms/pathology , Neoplasms/radiotherapy , Neoplasms/mortality , Progression-Free Survival
6.
J Transl Med ; 22(1): 444, 2024 May 11.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38734658

BACKGROUND: Characterization of shared cancer mechanisms have been proposed to improve therapy strategies and prognosis. Here, we aimed to identify shared cell-cell interactions (CCIs) within the tumor microenvironment across multiple solid cancers and assess their association with cancer mortality. METHODS: CCIs of each cancer were identified by NicheNet analysis of single-cell RNA sequencing data from breast, colon, liver, lung, and ovarian cancers. These CCIs were used to construct a shared multi-cellular tumor model (shared-MCTM) representing common CCIs across cancers. A gene signature was identified from the shared-MCTM and tested on the mRNA and protein level in two large independent cohorts: The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA, 9185 tumor samples and 727 controls across 22 cancers) and UK biobank (UKBB, 10,384 cancer patients and 5063 controls with proteomics data across 17 cancers). Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the association of the signature with 10-year all-cause mortality, including sex-specific analysis. RESULTS: A shared-MCTM was derived from five individual cancers. A shared gene signature was extracted from this shared-MCTM and the most prominent regulatory cell type, matrix cancer-associated fibroblast (mCAF). The signature exhibited significant expression changes in multiple cancers compared to controls at both mRNA and protein levels in two independent cohorts. Importantly, it was significantly associated with mortality in cancer patients in both cohorts. The highest hazard ratios were observed for brain cancer in TCGA (HR [95%CI] = 6.90[4.64-10.25]) and ovarian cancer in UKBB (5.53[2.08-8.80]). Sex-specific analysis revealed distinct risks, with a higher mortality risk associated with the protein signature score in males (2.41[1.97-2.96]) compared to females (1.84[1.44-2.37]). CONCLUSION: We identified a gene signature from a comprehensive shared-MCTM representing common CCIs across different cancers and revealed the regulatory role of mCAF in the tumor microenvironment. The pathogenic relevance of the gene signature was supported by differential expression and association with mortality on both mRNA and protein levels in two independent cohorts.


Neoplasms , Humans , Neoplasms/genetics , Neoplasms/mortality , Female , Male , Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic , RNA, Messenger/genetics , RNA, Messenger/metabolism , Tumor Microenvironment/genetics , Cohort Studies , Transcriptome/genetics , Middle Aged , Cell Communication
7.
Exp Dermatol ; 33(5): e15095, 2024 May.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38742822

Limited data exist on the factors associated with hospitalization and mortality in Asian inpatients with autoimmune bullous dermatoses (AIBDs). This study aimed to elucidate the risk factors affecting hospitalization and mortality rates in Asian patients with AIBDs. A retrospective analysis of patients with AIBDs treated at Siriraj Hospital during a 17-year period was performed using the International Classification of Diseases 10th revision codes. The characteristics of inpatients and outpatients were compared, and mortality rates and associated factors were identified. The study included 360 AIBD patients (180 inpatients, 180 outpatients). Inpatients were significantly younger than outpatients. The identified risk factors for hospitalization were malignancy (odds ratio [OR] 2.83, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.13-8.04; p = 0.034), moderate to severe disease (OR 2.52, 95% CI 1.49-4.34; p < 0.001), systemic corticosteroid use ≥15 mg/day (OR 2.27, 95% CI 1.21-4.41; p = 0.013) and oral cyclophosphamide treatment (OR 9.88, 95% CI 3.82-33.7; p < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed mortality rates of 26%, 36% and 39% for inpatients with pemphigus at 1, 3 and 5 years, respectively. For inpatients with pemphigoid, the corresponding rates were 28%, 38% and 47%. Infections, particularly pneumonia, were the predominant cause of death in both conditions. This study confirmed that both Asian ethnicity and healthcare disparities may be correlated with adverse outcomes in patients with AIBDs. Pemphigus mortality rates were substantially greater in Asian patients than in Caucasian patients. Continuous monitoring of factors contributing to hospitalization and mortality is imperative to improve treatment outcomes.


Asian People , Autoimmune Diseases , Hospitalization , Skin Diseases, Vesiculobullous , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Aged , Skin Diseases, Vesiculobullous/drug therapy , Skin Diseases, Vesiculobullous/mortality , Autoimmune Diseases/mortality , Autoimmune Diseases/drug therapy , Adult , Risk Factors , Cyclophosphamide/therapeutic use , Aged, 80 and over , Adrenal Cortex Hormones/therapeutic use , Immunosuppressive Agents/therapeutic use , Neoplasms/mortality , Young Adult , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Age Factors
8.
BMJ ; 385: e078476, 2024 05 08.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38719536

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association of ultra-processed food consumption with all cause mortality and cause specific mortality. DESIGN: Population based cohort study. SETTING: Female registered nurses from 11 US states in the Nurses' Health Study (1984-2018) and male health professionals from all 50 US states in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1986-2018). PARTICIPANTS: 74 563 women and 39 501 men with no history of cancer, cardiovascular diseases, or diabetes at baseline. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the association of ultra-processed food intake measured by semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire every four years with all cause mortality and cause specific mortality due to cancer, cardiovascular, and other causes (including respiratory and neurodegenerative causes). RESULTS: 30 188 deaths of women and 18 005 deaths of men were documented during a median of 34 and 31 years of follow-up, respectively. Compared with those in the lowest quarter of ultra-processed food consumption, participants in the highest quarter had a 4% higher all cause mortality (hazard ratio 1.04, 95% confidence interval 1.01 to 1.07) and 9% higher mortality from causes other than cancer or cardiovascular diseases (1.09, 1.05 to 1.13). The all cause mortality rate among participants in the lowest and highest quarter was 1472 and 1536 per 100 000 person years, respectively. No associations were found for cancer or cardiovascular mortality. Meat/poultry/seafood based ready-to-eat products (for example, processed meat) consistently showed strong associations with mortality outcomes (hazard ratios ranged from 1.06 to 1.43). Sugar sweetened and artificially sweetened beverages (1.09, 1.07 to 1.12), dairy based desserts (1.07, 1.04 to 1.10), and ultra-processed breakfast food (1.04, 1.02 to 1.07) were also associated with higher all cause mortality. No consistent associations between ultra-processed foods and mortality were observed within each quarter of dietary quality assessed by the Alternative Healthy Eating Index-2010 score, whereas better dietary quality showed an inverse association with mortality within each quarter of ultra-processed foods. CONCLUSIONS: This study found that a higher intake of ultra-processed foods was associated with slightly higher all cause mortality, driven by causes other than cancer and cardiovascular diseases. The associations varied across subgroups of ultra-processed foods, with meat/poultry/seafood based ready-to-eat products showing particularly strong associations with mortality.


Cardiovascular Diseases , Cause of Death , Fast Foods , Neoplasms , Humans , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Fast Foods/adverse effects , Fast Foods/statistics & numerical data , Adult , United States/epidemiology , Neoplasms/mortality , Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality , Proportional Hazards Models , Cohort Studies , Aged , Mortality , Risk Factors , Food Handling , Food, Processed
9.
Int J Mol Sci ; 25(9)2024 Apr 26.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38731979

HHLA2 is a checkpoint from the B7 family that can play a co-stimulatory or co-inhibitory role in cancer, depending on the binding receptor. The aim of this meta-analysis was to assess the relationship between HHLA2 levels and its impact on the prognosis of patients with solid cancers. The study used data from PubMed, Embase, Web of Science (WOS), Cochrane and SCOPUS databases. The R studio software was used for the data analysis. The study assessed overall survival (OS), disease-specific survival (DSS), progression-free survival (PFS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and disease-free survival (DFS) by pooling appropriate hazard ratios (HR). Eighteen studies (2880 patients' data) were included. High expression of HHLA2 was associated with worse OS (HR = 1.58, 95% CI: 1.23-2.03), shorter RFS (HR = 1.95, 95% CI: 1.38-2.77) and worse DFS (HR = 1.45, 95% CI: 1.01-2.09) in patients with solid cancers. The current study suggests that high expression of HHLA2 is associated with poorer prognosis in patients with solid cancers.


Neoplasms , Humans , Neoplasms/metabolism , Neoplasms/mortality , Prognosis , Biomarkers, Tumor/metabolism , Disease-Free Survival , Immunoglobulins
10.
J Health Popul Nutr ; 43(1): 59, 2024 May 06.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38711145

BACKGROUND: Choline, an indispensable nutrient, plays a pivotal role in various physiological processes. The available evidence regarding the nexus between dietary choline intake and health outcomes, encompassing cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, and all-cause mortality, is limited and inconclusive. This study aimed to comprehensively explore the relationship between dietary choline intake and the aforementioned health outcomes in adults aged > 20 years in the U.S. METHODS: This study utilized data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey between 2011 and 2018. Dietary choline intake was evaluated using two 24-h dietary recall interviews. CVD and cancer status were determined through a combination of standardized medical status questionnaires and self-reported physician diagnoses. Mortality data were gathered from publicly available longitudinal Medicare and mortality records. The study utilized survey-weighted logistic and Cox regression analyses to explore the associations between choline consumption and health outcomes. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis was used for dose‒response estimation and for testing for nonlinear associations. RESULTS: In our study of 14,289 participants (mean age 48.08 years, 47.71% male), compared with those in the lowest quintile (Q1), the adjusted odds ratios (ORs) of CVD risk in the fourth (Q4) and fifth (Q5) quintiles of choline intake were 0.70 (95% CI 0.52, 0.95) and 0.65 (95% CI 0.47, 0.90), respectively (p for trend = 0.017). Each 100 mg increase in choline intake was associated with a 9% reduced risk of CVD. RCS analysis revealed a linear correlation between choline intake and CVD risk. Moderate choline intake (Q3) was associated with a reduced risk of mortality, with an HR of 0.75 (95% CI 0.60-0.94) compared with Q1. RCS analysis demonstrated a significant nonlinear association between choline intake and all-cause mortality (P for nonlinearity = 0.025). The overall cancer prevalence association was nonsignificant, except for colon cancer, where each 100 mg increase in choline intake indicated a 23% reduced risk. CONCLUSION: Elevated choline intake demonstrates an inverse association with CVD and colon cancer, while moderate consumption exhibits a correlated reduction in mortality. Additional comprehensive investigations are warranted to elucidate the broader health implications of choline.


Cardiovascular Diseases , Choline , Diet , Neoplasms , Nutrition Surveys , Humans , Choline/administration & dosage , Male , Female , Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/prevention & control , Middle Aged , United States/epidemiology , Neoplasms/mortality , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Adult , Prevalence , Diet/statistics & numerical data , Aged , Mortality , Cause of Death
11.
J Egypt Natl Canc Inst ; 36(1): 14, 2024 May 06.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38705953

BACKGROUND: Nivolumab (Nivo) and ipilimumab (Ipi) have revolutionized cancer treatment by targeting different pathways. Their combination shows promising results in various cancers, including melanoma, but not all studies have demonstrated significant benefits. A meta-analysis was performed to assess the effectiveness and safety of Nivo-Ipi compared to Nivo alone in advanced cancer types (excluding melanoma). METHODS: Following PRISMA guidelines, we conducted a meta-analysis up to September 30, 2023, searching databases for randomized controlled trials (RCTs). We focused on advanced solid malignancies (excluding melanoma) with specific Nivo and Ipi dosing. Primary outcomes were overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), grades 3-4 adverse events (AEs), and treatment-related discontinuations. Secondary outcomes included specific adverse events. Statistical analysis in Review Manager included hazard ratio (HR) and risk ratio (RR), assessing heterogeneity (Higgins I2). RESULTS: Nine RCTs, involving 2152 patients covering various malignancies, were analyzed. The Nivo plus Ipi group exhibited a median OS of 12.3 months and a median PFS of 3.73 months, compared to monotherapy with 11.67 months and 3.98 months, respectively. OS showed no significant difference between Nivo and Ipi combination and Nivo alone (HR = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.88 to 1.08, p = 0.61). PFS had a slight improvement with combination therapy (HR = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.82 to 1.00, p = 0.04). Treatment-related cumulative grades 3-4 adverse events were higher with Nivo and Ipi (RR = 1.52, 95% CI: 1.30 to 1.78, p < 0.00001), as were treatment-related discontinuations (RR = 1.99, 95% CI: 1.46 to 2.70, p < 0.0001). Hepatotoxicity (RR = 2.42, 95% CI: 1.39 to 4.24, p = 0.002), GI toxicity (RR = 2.84, 95% CI: 1.44 to 5.59, p = 0.002), pneumonitis (RR = 2.29, 95% CI: 1.24 to 2.23, p = 0.008), dermatitis (RR = 2.96, 95% CI: 1.08 to 8.14, p = 0.04), and endocrine dysfunction (RR = 6.22, 95% CI: 2.31 to 16.71, p = 0.0003) were more frequent with Nivo and Ipi. CONCLUSIONS: Combining nivolumab and ipilimumab did not significantly improve overall survival compared to nivolumab alone in advanced cancers (except melanoma). However, it did show slightly better PFS at the cost of increased toxicity, particularly grades 3-4 adverse events. Specific AEs occurred more frequently in the combination group. Further trials are needed to fully assess this combination in treating advanced cancers.


Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols , Ipilimumab , Neoplasms , Nivolumab , Humans , Antineoplastic Agents, Immunological/adverse effects , Antineoplastic Agents, Immunological/therapeutic use , Antineoplastic Agents, Immunological/administration & dosage , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/adverse effects , Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors/adverse effects , Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors/administration & dosage , Ipilimumab/administration & dosage , Ipilimumab/adverse effects , Ipilimumab/therapeutic use , Neoplasms/drug therapy , Neoplasms/mortality , Neoplasms/pathology , Nivolumab/administration & dosage , Nivolumab/adverse effects , Nivolumab/therapeutic use , Progression-Free Survival , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Treatment Outcome
12.
Acta Oncol ; 63: 294-302, 2024 May 07.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38716484

BACKGROUND: Survival of children with cancer has markedly improved over recent decades, largely due to intensified treatment regimes. The intensive treatment may, however, result in fatal complications. In this retrospective cohort study, we assessed temporal variation in the incidence of treatment-related death and associated risk factors among children diagnosed with cancer in Denmark during 2001-2021. METHOD: Among all children diagnosed with first incident cancer before age 15 years recorded in the Danish Childhood Cancer Register (n = 3,255), we estimated cumulative incidence of treatment-related death (death in the absence of progressive cancer) within 5 years from diagnosis using Aalen-Johansen estimators and assessed associated risk factors using Cox regression. RESULTS: Among all 3,255 children with cancer, 93 (20% of all 459 deaths) died from treatment. Of these treatment-related deaths, 39 (42%) occurred within 3 months of diagnosis. The 5-year cumulative incidences of treatment-related death were 3.3% during 2001-2010 and 2.5% during 2011-2021 (p = 0.20). During 2011-2021, treatment-related deaths accounted for more than half of all deaths among children with haematological cancers. Risk factors varied according to cancer group and included female sex, age below 1 year at diagnosis, disease relapse, stem cell transplantation, central nervous system involvement, and metastasis at diagnosis. INTERPRETATION: Despite increasing treatment intensities, the incidence of treatment-related death has remained stable during the past 20 years in Denmark. Still, clinical attention is warranted to prevent treatment-related deaths, particularly among children with haematological cancers. Patient characteristics associated with increased treatment-related death risk support patient-specific treatment approaches to avoid these fatalities.


Neoplasms , Humans , Denmark/epidemiology , Child , Male , Female , Neoplasms/mortality , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Child, Preschool , Infant , Retrospective Studies , Adolescent , Risk Factors , Incidence , Registries/statistics & numerical data , Infant, Newborn
13.
Acta Oncol ; 63: 313-321, 2024 May 08.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38716486

BACKGROUND: A significant proportion of patients with incurable cancer receive systemic anticancer therapy (SACT) within their last 30 days of life (DOL). The treatment has questionable benefit, nevertheless is considered a quality indicator of end-of-life (EOL) care. This retrospective cohort study aims to investigate the rates and potential predictors of SACT and factors associated with SACT within the last 30 DOL. The study also evaluates the scope of Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status and the modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS) as decision-making tools for oncologists. PATIENTS AND MATERIAL: This review of medical records included 383 patients with non-curable cancer who died between July 2018 and December 2019. Descriptive statistics with Chi-squared tests and regression analysis were used to identify factors associated with SACT within the last 30 DOL. RESULTS: Fifty-seven (15%) patients received SACT within the last 30 DOL. SACT within 30 last DOL was associated with shorter time from diagnosis until death (median 234 days vs. 482, p = 0.008) and ECOG score < 3 30 days prior to death (p = 0.001). Patients receiving SACT during the last 30 DOL were more likely to be hospitalised and die in hospital. ECOG and mGPS score were stated at start last line of treatment only in 139 (51%) and 135 (49%) respectively. INTERPRETATION: Those with short time since diagnosis tended to receive SACT more frequently the last 30 DOL. The use of mGPS as a decision-making tool is modest, and there is lack in documentation of performance status.


Neoplasms , Terminal Care , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Male , Female , Neoplasms/drug therapy , Neoplasms/mortality , Neoplasms/therapy , Aged , Terminal Care/methods , Middle Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Antineoplastic Agents/therapeutic use , Adult , Prognosis , Palliative Care/methods , Palliative Care/statistics & numerical data
14.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0303182, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38728338

The objective of this study is to determine the possible association between exposure to air pollution and the risk of death from cancer during childhood in upper northern Thailand. Data were collected on children aged 0-15 years old diagnosed with cancer between January 2003 and December 2018 from the Chiang Mai Cancer Registry. Survival rates were determined by using Kaplan-Meier curves. Cox proportional hazard models were used to investigate associations of potential risk factors with the time-varying air pollution level on the risk of death. Of the 540 children with hematologic cancer, 199 died from any cause (overall mortality rate = 5.3 per 100 Person-Years of Follow-Up (PYFU); 95%CI = 4.6-6.0). Those aged less than one year old (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 2.07; 95%CI = 1.25-3.45) or ten years old or more (aHR = 1.41; 95%CI = 1.04-1.91) at the time of diagnosis had a higher risk of death than those aged one to ten years old. Those diagnosed between 2003 and 2013 had an increased risk of death (aHR = 1.65; 95%CI = 1.13-2.42). Of the 499 children with solid tumors, 214 died from any cause (5.9 per 100 PYFU; 95%CI = 5.1-6.7). Only the cancer stage remained in the final model, with the metastatic cancer stage (HR = 2.26; 95%CI = 1.60-3.21) and the regional cancer stage (HR = 1.53; 95%CI = 1.07-2.19) both associated with an increased risk of death. No association was found between air pollution exposure and all-cause mortality for either type of cancer. A larger-scale analytical study might uncover such relationships.


Air Pollution , Neoplasms , Humans , Thailand/epidemiology , Child , Child, Preschool , Infant , Male , Female , Air Pollution/adverse effects , Air Pollution/analysis , Adolescent , Neoplasms/mortality , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Infant, Newborn , Risk Factors , Registries , Environmental Exposure/adverse effects , Proportional Hazards Models , Survival Rate , Kaplan-Meier Estimate
15.
Cancer Med ; 13(9): e7130, 2024 May.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38698690

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to evaluate published clinical trials of ramucirumab to assess the risk/benefit profile and burden over time for patients. BACKGROUND: The burden of oncologic drug development on patients paired with increasing clinical trial failure rates emphasizes the need for reform of drug development. Identifying and addressing patterns of excess burden can guide policy, ensure evidence-based protections for trial participants, and improve medical decision-making. METHODS: On May 25, 2023 a literature search was performed on Pubmed/MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane CENTRAL, and ClinicalTrials.gov for clinical trials using ramucirumab as monotherapy or in combination with other interventions for cancer treatment. Authors screened titles and abstracts for potential inclusion in a masked, duplicate fashion. Following data screening, data was extracted in a masked, duplicate fashion. Trials were classified as positive when meeting their primary endpoint and safety, negative or indeterminate. RESULTS: Ramucirumab was initially approved for gastric cancer but has since been tested in 20 cancers outside of its FDA approved indications. In our analysis of ramucirumab trials, there were a total of 10,936 participants and 10,303 adverse events reported. Gains in overall survival and progression-free survival for patients were 1.5 and 1.2 months, respectively. FDA-approved indications have reported more positive outcomes in comparison to off-label indications. CONCLUSION: We found that FDA-approved indications for ramucirumab had better efficacy outcomes than non-approved indications. However, a concerning number of adverse events were observed across all trials assessed. Participants in ramucirumab randomized controlled trials saw meager gains in overall survival when evaluated against a comparison group. Clinicians should carefully weigh the risks associated with ramucirumab therapy given its toxicity burden and poor survival gains.


Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized , Clinical Trials as Topic , Drug Development , Ramucirumab , Humans , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/therapeutic use , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/adverse effects , Risk Assessment , Neoplasms/drug therapy , Neoplasms/mortality , Antineoplastic Agents/therapeutic use , Antineoplastic Agents/adverse effects
16.
Front Immunol ; 15: 1354958, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38698865

Background: There are few studies investigating the relationship between serum vitamin B6 and mortality risk in the elderly. This study hereby evaluated the associations between biomarkers of serum vitamin B6 status and cardiovascular, cancer, and all-cause mortality risks in the elderly. Methods: Our study included a total of 4,881 participants aged 60 years or older from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2005-2010. Serum vitamin B6 status was estimated based on levels of pyridoxal 5'-phosphate (PLP), 4-pyridoxic acid (4-PA), and vitamin B6 turnover rate (4-PA/PLP) detected by high-performance liquid chromatography. Survival status and corresponding causes of death were matched through the National Death Index records through December 31, 2019. Multivariate Cox regression model was adopted to assess the relationships between serum vitamin B6 status and the risk of mortality. Results: During a median follow-up period of 10.33 years, 507 cardiovascular deaths, 426 cancer deaths, and 1995 all-cause deaths were recorded, respectively. In the multivariate-adjusted Cox model, the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the highest versus the lowest quartiles of PLP, 4-PA, and 4-PA/PLP were 0.70(0.54-0.90), 1.33(0.88-2.02), and 2.01(1.41-2.79) for cardiovascular mortality, 0.73(0.52-1.02), 1.05(0.71-1.57), and 1.95(1.25-3.05) for cancer mortality, and 0.62(0.53-0.74), 1.05(0.82-1.34), and 2.29(1.87-2.79) for all-cause mortality, respectively. Conclusion: Our study found that lower serum PLP levels were associated with increased risks of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality among the elderly population. And higher vitamin B6 turnover rate was associated with increased risks of cardiovascular, cancer, and all-cause mortality.


Cardiovascular Diseases , Neoplasms , Vitamin B 6 , Humans , Female , Neoplasms/mortality , Neoplasms/blood , Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality , Cardiovascular Diseases/blood , Male , Aged , Vitamin B 6/blood , Middle Aged , Nutrition Surveys , Biomarkers/blood , Risk Factors , Cause of Death , Aged, 80 and over , Pyridoxal Phosphate/blood , Pyridoxic Acid/blood
17.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1255, 2024 May 07.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38714963

BACKGROUND: In Thailand, the national health care system and nationwide standard treatment protocols have evolved over time, potentially influencing the trends in the incidence and survival rates of childhood cancers. However, further investigations are required to comprehensively study these trends in Khon Kaen, Thailand. METHODS: Childhood cancer patients aged 0-14 years (n = 541) who were diagnosed with one of the five most common cancers between 2000 and 2019 from the population-based Khon Kaen Cancer Registry were enrolled. Descriptive statistics were used to analyse the demographic data, which are presented as numbers, percentages, means, and standard deviations. The trends in incidence between 2000 and 2019, including age-standardized incidence rates (ASRs) and annual percent changes (APCs), were analysed using the Joinpoint regression model. Survival analysis was performed for 5-year relative survival rates (RSRs) according to the Pohar Perme estimator and Kaplan-Meier survival curves. RESULTS: The ASRs of the overall top 5 childhood cancer groups were 67.96 and 106.12 per million person-years in 2000 and 2019, respectively. Overall, the APC significantly increased by 2.37% each year for both sexes. The overall 5-year RSRs were 60.5% for both sexes, 58.2% for males, and 63.9% for females. The highest 5-year RSR was for germ cell tumours (84.3%), whereas the lowest 5-year RSR was for neuroblastoma (29.1%). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence and survival rates of childhood cancers in Khon Kaen, Thailand, varied according to sex. The incidence trends increased over time, meanwhile, the relative survival rates rose to satisfactory levels and were comparable to those of other nations with similar financial status. The implementation of national health policies and adherence to national treatment guidelines have improved cancer diagnosis and treatment outcomes.


Neoplasms , Registries , Humans , Thailand/epidemiology , Female , Male , Child, Preschool , Child , Infant , Incidence , Adolescent , Neoplasms/mortality , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Infant, Newborn , Survival Rate , Survival Analysis
18.
BMC Palliat Care ; 23(1): 124, 2024 May 20.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38769564

BACKGROUND: Ex-ante identification of the last year in life facilitates a proactive palliative approach. Machine learning models trained on electronic health records (EHR) demonstrate promising performance in cancer prognostication. However, gaps in literature include incomplete reporting of model performance, inadequate alignment of model formulation with implementation use-case, and insufficient explainability hindering trust and adoption in clinical settings. Hence, we aim to develop an explainable machine learning EHR-based model that prompts palliative care processes by predicting for 365-day mortality risk among patients with advanced cancer within an outpatient setting. METHODS: Our cohort consisted of 5,926 adults diagnosed with Stage 3 or 4 solid organ cancer between July 1, 2017, and June 30, 2020 and receiving ambulatory cancer care within a tertiary center. The classification problem was modelled using Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and aligned to our envisioned use-case: "Given a prediction point that corresponds to an outpatient cancer encounter, predict for mortality within 365-days from prediction point, using EHR data up to 365-days prior." The model was trained with 75% of the dataset (n = 39,416 outpatient encounters) and validated on a 25% hold-out dataset (n = 13,122 outpatient encounters). To explain model outputs, we used Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) values. Clinical characteristics, laboratory tests and treatment data were used to train the model. Performance was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC), while model calibration was assessed using the Brier score. RESULTS: In total, 17,149 of the 52,538 prediction points (32.6%) had a mortality event within the 365-day prediction window. The model demonstrated an AUROC of 0.861 (95% CI 0.856-0.867) and AUPRC of 0.771. The Brier score was 0.147, indicating slight overestimations of mortality risk. Explanatory diagrams utilizing SHAP values allowed visualization of feature impacts on predictions at both the global and individual levels. CONCLUSION: Our machine learning model demonstrated good discrimination and precision-recall in predicting 365-day mortality risk among individuals with advanced cancer. It has the potential to provide personalized mortality predictions and facilitate earlier integration of palliative care.


Electronic Health Records , Machine Learning , Palliative Care , Humans , Machine Learning/standards , Electronic Health Records/statistics & numerical data , Palliative Care/methods , Palliative Care/standards , Palliative Care/statistics & numerical data , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , Risk Assessment/methods , Neoplasms/mortality , Neoplasms/therapy , Cohort Studies , Adult , Medical Oncology/methods , Medical Oncology/standards , Aged, 80 and over , Mortality/trends
19.
Curr Oncol ; 31(5): 2620-2635, 2024 May 05.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38785478

Chinese patients face higher risks of gastrointestinal (GI) cancers and greater cancer-related deaths than Canadian-born patients. The older population encounters barriers to quality healthcare, impacting their well-being and survival. Previous studies highlighted Chinese immigrant perceptions of not requiring healthcare support. During the COVID-19 pandemic, their underutilization of healthcare services garnered attention. The present study explores the experiences of older Chinese cancer patients to improve culturally sensitive cancer care. A total of twenty interviews carried out in Cantonese and Mandarin were conducted with Chinese immigrants, aged 60 or above, diagnosed with Stage 3 or 4 GI cancer. These interviews were transcribed verbatim, translated, and subjected to qualitative descriptive analysis. Among older Chinese immigrant patients, a phenomenon termed "Premature Acceptance: Normalizing Death and Dying" was observed. This involved four key themes: 1. acceptance and letting go, 2. family first, 3. self-sufficiency, and 4. barriers to supportive care. Participants displayed an early acceptance of their own mortality, prioritizing family prosperity over their own quality of life. Older Chinese patients normalize the reality of facing death amidst cancer. They adopt a pragmatic outlook, acknowledging life-saving treatments while willingly sacrificing their own support needs to ease family burdens. Efforts to enhance health literacy require culturally sensitive programs tailored to address language barriers and differing values among this population. A strengths-based approach emphasizing family support and practical aspects of care may help build resilience and improve symptom management, thereby enhancing their engagement with healthcare services.


COVID-19 , Humans , Aged , Female , Male , Middle Aged , COVID-19/psychology , Aged, 80 and over , China , Emigrants and Immigrants/psychology , Gastrointestinal Neoplasms/psychology , Canada , Asian People/psychology , Attitude to Death , Neoplasms/psychology , Neoplasms/mortality , Qualitative Research , SARS-CoV-2 , East Asian People
20.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(5): e2413132, 2024 May 01.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38787557

Importance: There are limited data on whether the vulnerabilities and impacts of social isolation vary across populations. Objective: To explore the association between social isolation and mortality due to all causes, cardiovascular diseases (CVD), and malignant neoplasms focusing on heterogeneity by sociodemographic factors. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used a moderator-wide approach to examine the heterogeneity in the association of social isolation with all-cause, CVD, and malignant neoplasm mortality using baseline data from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study in 2010 and 2011. Eligible participants were adults aged 65 years or older without heart disease, stroke, cancer, or impaired activity of daily living across 12 Japanese municipalities. Follow-up continued until December 31, 2017, identifying 6-year all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and malignant neoplasm mortality. Logistic regression assessed effect modification by age, gender, education, income, population density, marital status, and employment on mortality associations. Data analysis was performed from September 13, 2023, to March 17, 2024. Exposure: Social isolation, determined by a 3-item scale (scores of 2 or 3 indicating isolation) was the primary exposure variable. Main Outcomes and Measures: Six-year all-cause, CVD, and malignant neoplasms mortality. Results: This study included 37 604 older adults, with a mean (SD) age of 73.5 (5.9) years (21 073 women [56.0%]). A total of 10 094 participants (26.8%) were classified as experiencing social isolation. Social isolation was associated with increased all-cause (odds ratio [OR], 1.20 [95% CI, 1.09-1.32]), CVD (OR, 1.22 [95% CI, 0.98-1.52]), and malignant neoplasm mortality (OR, 1.14 [95% CI, 1.01-1.28]). Stratified analysis showed associations of social isolation with all-cause and malignant neoplasm mortality among people with high income (highest tertile all cause: OR, 1.27 [95% CI, 1.06-1.53]; malignant neoplasm: OR, 1.27 [95% CI, 1.02-1.60]), living in areas with high population density (highest tertile all cause: OR, 1.47 [95% CI, 1.26-1.72]; malignant neoplasm: OR, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.11-1.70]), not married (all cause: OR, 1.33 [95% CI, 1.15-1.53]; malignant neoplasm: OR, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.02-1.52]), and retirees (all cause: OR, 1.27 [95% CI, 1.14-1.43]; malignant neoplasm: OR, 1.27 [95% CI, 1.10-1.48]). Formal testing for effect modification indicated modification by population density and employment for all-cause mortality and by household income and employment for neoplasm mortality. Conclusions and Relevance: Social isolation was associated with increased risks of all-cause, CVD, and malignant neoplasm mortality, with associations varying across populations. This study fills an important gap in research on social isolation, emphasizing its varied associations across demographic and socioeconomic groups.


Cardiovascular Diseases , Neoplasms , Social Isolation , Humans , Social Isolation/psychology , Female , Male , Aged , Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality , Cardiovascular Diseases/psychology , Neoplasms/mortality , Neoplasms/psychology , Japan/epidemiology , Aged, 80 and over , Cohort Studies , Cause of Death , Sociodemographic Factors , Mortality , Socioeconomic Factors
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