Normalised intrinsic mortality risk in liver transplantation: European Liver Transplant Registry study.

BACKGROUND: No model exists for liver transplantation to estimate the mortality risk in a given patient, and no standard by which to assess performance in different centres. We investigated the intrinsic mortality risk in the absence of known mortality risk factors. METHODS: We identified mortality risk factors and risk ratios quantified in data from the European Liver Transplant Registry (22,089 patients at 102 centres in 18 countries) registered from 1988 to 1997. To develop a model of the intrinsic risk and the risk ratios for specific factors, univariate and multivariate analyses were done separately for the overall population, for adults, and for children younger than 15 years, and the number of deaths were estimated. We validated the model by comparing mortality in patients without risk factors with the model-adjusted mortality in patients with risk factors. FINDINGS: Overall 5-year and 8-year actuarial survival was 66% (95% CI 65-66) and 61% (60-62). 65% of deaths occurred within 6 months. Retransplantation, transplantation for cancer, acute liver failure, fewer than 20 split-liver grafts per year, and a centre workload of fewer than 25 transplants per year were the main risk factors of 12 identified factors. 1-year and 5-year death rates among adults with no risk factors were similar to model estimates (15 [13-16] vs 14% [13-15], and 22 (20-24) vs 23% [21-24]). Corresponding data for paediatric transplants were 9% (7-12) compared with 11% (9-12) and 13% (10-17) compared with 14% (11-16). The reduction of mortality risk in high-volume centres was even greater in patients without risk factors (48 vs 23%, p<0.001). INTERPRETATION: The normalised intrinsic mortality risk can be combined with the relative risk ratios of known risk factors to better estimate the mortality risk of a given procedure in a given patient. Centres can assess performance by removing potential bias of donor and recipient selection.

Resection of nonresectable liver metastases from colorectal cancer after percutaneous portal vein embolization.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the influence of preoperative portal vein embolization (PVE) on the long-term outcome of liver resection for colorectal metastases. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Preoperative PVE of the liver induces hypertrophy of the remnant liver and increases the safety of hepatectomy. METHODS: Thirty patients underwent preoperative PVE and 88 patients did not before resection of four or more liver segments. PVE was performed when the estimated rate of remnant functional liver parenchyma (ERRFLP) assessed by CT scan volumetry was less than 40%. RESULTS: PVE was feasible in all patients. There were no deaths. The complication rate was 3%. The post-PVE ERRFLP was significantly increased compared with the pre-PVE value. Liver resection was performed after PVE in 19 patients (63%), with surgical death and complication rates of 4% and 7% respectively. PVE increased the number of resections of more than four segments by 19% (17/88). Actuarial survival rates after hepatectomy with or without previous PVE were comparable: 81%, 67%, and 40% versus 88%, 61%, and 38% at 1, 3, and 5 years respectively. CONCLUSIONS: PVE allows more patients with previously unresectable liver tumors to benefit from resection. Long-term survival is comparable to that after resection without PVE.

"Silent" presentation of veno-occlusive disease after liver transplantation as part of the process of cellular rejection with endothelial predilection.

Hemorrhagic centrilobular necrosis and fibrous stenosis of hepatic venules, suggesting veno-occlusive disease (VOD) have rarely been observed after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of this syndrome after OLT in relation to the course with particular reference to acute rejection and to azathioprine administration. VOD was identified in 19 of 1,023 patients transplanted over a 9-year period. VOD occurred at a median of 30 days posttransplantation, without clear cut clinical evidence for hepatic vein outlet obstruction. Seventeen of the 19 patients had an episode of acute rejection before or at the time of VOD. These episodes were compared with that of patients without VOD. In patients with VOD, portal inflammation and endothelialitis were enhanced (P =.014 and P =.048) and endothelialitis was also higher than bile duct damage (P =.03). The incidence of a centrilobular endothelialitis for both groups was not different although an increased trend was observed in the study group (64% vs. 46%; P =.18). The incidence of persistent rejection was similar between both groups (47% vs. 41%). The incidence of chronic rejection was higher in the study group (29% vs. 10%; P =. 04). All patients with VOD received azathioprine as part of immunosuppressive regimen. Despite azathioprine withdrawal, zone 3 changes persisted in 57% of patients. In conclusion, the incidence of VOD was 1.9% after OLT. The association of prominent endothelial involvement and VOD with acute rejection in most cases suggests an immunological phenomenon.