Trends and correlated outcomes in population-level prescription opioid and transdermal fentanyl use in Israel.

BACKGROUND: In the last twenty years, there was a documented increase in prescription opioid procurement in Israel. However, there is still little evidence of the association between opioid procurement rates, health service utilisation in secondary care, and enrollment rates to substance use disorder treatment programmes. In this study, we show trends in the reports of opioid-related hospitalisations, emergency department visits, enrollment to community-based outpatient treatment for Prescription Opioid Use Disorder and opioid-related mortality rates. Additionally, we examine potential correlations between these health service utilisation rates and prescription opioid procurement rates at the population level, with a focus on transdermal fentanyl. METHODS: A longitudinal study at the population level. We used seven-year data on indicators of opioid-related morbidity, prescription opioid procurement data for 2015-2021, and six-year opioid-related mortality data for 2015-2020. We measure the correlation between procurement rates of prescription opioids in Oral Morphine Equivalent per capita, and aggregated rates obtained from hospital administrative data for hospitalisations, emergency department visits, and patient enrolment in specialised prescription opioid use disorder outpatient treatment in the community setting. RESULTS: Between 2015 and 2021, procurement rates in primary care per capita for all prescription opioids increased by 85%, while rates of transdermal fentanyl procurement increased by 162%. We found a significant positive correlation at the population level, between annual opioid procurement rates, and rates per population of opioid-related visits to emergency departments (r = 0.96, p value < 0.01, [CI 0.74-0.99]), as well as a positive correlation with the rates per population of patient enrolment in specialised prescription opioid use disorder outpatient treatment (r = 0.93, p value = 0.02, [CI 0.58-0.99]). Opioid-related mortality peaked in 2019 at 0.31 deaths per 100,000 but decreased to 0.20 deaths per 100,000 in 2020. CONCLUSION: Data shows that all-opioid and transdermal fentanyl procurement has increased yearly between 2015 and 2021. This increase is positively correlated with a growing demand for community-based Prescription Opioid Use Disorder outpatient treatment. Efforts to reduce opioid-related morbidity may require effective approaches toward appropriate prescribing, monitoring, and further increasing access to prescription opioid outpatient treatment.

People with serious mental illness are at higher risk for acute care hospitalization in Israel, 2000-2019.

BACKGROUND: People with severe mental disorders have higher mortality rates and more chronic physical conditions than the general population. Recent reforms in the Israeli mental health system included reducing the number of psychiatric hospital beds ("Structural Reform"), establishing community- based rehabilitation services ("Rehabilitation Reform"), and the transfer of governmental responsibility to the Health Maintenance Organizations (HMOs) ("Insurance Reform"). We examined how these changes have impacted the physical health of people with severe mental illness as reflected in acute care hospitalizations. METHODS: Data from the National Psychiatric Case Register were linked with data from the National Hospital Discharges Database for 2000-2019. Acute care discharges from public hospitals were identified for people who had a psychiatric hospitalization with a diagnosis of severe mental illness (SMI, ICD-10 codes F10-F69 or F90-F99) within the preceding 5 years. The discharge rate of SMI patients was compared to that of the total population by age, diagnosis group, and period of hospitalization. Total and age-standardized discharge ratios (SDR) were calculated, using indirect standardization. RESULTS: The SDR for total acute care hospitalizations showed that discharge rates in 2016-2019 were 2.7 times higher for the SMI population than expected from the total population. The highest SDR was for external causes (5.7), followed by respiratory diseases (4.4), infectious diseases (3.9), skin diseases (3.7) and diabetes (3.3). The lowest SDR was for cancer (1.6). The total discharge rate ratio was lowest at ages 65-74 (2.2) and highest at ages 45-54 (3.2). The SDR was lowest for females at ages 25-34 (2.1) and for males at ages 18-24 (2.3). SDRs increased over the study period for all diagnoses. This increasing trend slowed at the end of the period, and between 2012-2015 and 2016-2019 there was a small decrease for skin and liver diseases, the SDR was stable for cancer and the increase was smaller for respiratory, infectious and circulatory diseases and diabetes. CONCLUSION: This study showed higher hospitalization rates in people with SMI compared to the total population. These differences increased between 2000 and 2019 following the opening of alternative services in the community, possibly due to a higher likelihood of psychiatric hospitalization only for those with more severe mental disease. We recommend that general practitioners and mental health professionals in the community be made aware of the essential importance of good physical healthcare, and collaborate on health promotion and disease prevention in the SMI population.

Mortality during the first four waves of COVID-19 pandemic in Israel: March 2020-October 2021.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic caused four waves of infection in Israel until October 2021. Israel was the first country to offer vaccinations to all the adult population followed by boosters. This study addresses how mortality rates reflect the effects of the pandemic. METHODS: Total mortality rates and rates of mortality without COVID-19 deaths (non-COVID-19 mortality) between March 2020 and October 2021 were compared with the average pre-COVID-19 rates in 2017-2019 by month, population group and by age group. In addition, a cohort vaccinated at least once by 31 March 2021 was followed up for mortality in the following seven months compared to the corresponding months in 2017-2019. RESULTS: A small number of excess deaths was found in the first wave and a greater excess in the following waves. The monthly mortality rate ratio was highest in October 2020, 23% higher than the average in 2017-2019, followed by August 2021 (22%), September 2021 (20%) and September 2020 (19%). Excess mortality in the Arab population was greater than for Jews and Others, and they had 65% and 43% higher mortality in September and October, 2020, 20-44% higher mortality between December 2020 and April 2021 and 33%, 45% and 22% higher mortality in August, September and October 2021, respectively. In most months of the pandemic, the non-COVID-19 mortality rates were not significantly different from those in 2017-2019. However, between November 2020 and March 2021, they were significantly lower for the total population and Jews and Others. They were significantly higher for the total population only in August 2021, and particularly for the Arab population. Non-COVID-19 mortality was also lower for most sex/age groups over the total study period. In a cohort of 5.07 million Israeli citizens vaccinated at least once by 31 March, 2021, age adjusted and age specific mortality rates for the following 7 months were lower than the average rates in 2017-2019 for these months, CONCLUSION: Israel has seen significant excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic, particularly in the Arab sector. Following lockdowns and administration of vaccinations excess mortality was reduced, and no excess mortality was seen amongst the vaccinated in the months after the vaccination campaign. These findings highlight the importance of public health measures such as mandating mask wearing and population vaccinations to control infection and reduce mortality.

COVID-19 and severe mental illness in Israel: testing, infection, hospitalization, mortality and vaccination rates in a countrywide study.

Previous studies on psychiatric patients infected with COVID-19 have reported a more severe course of disease and higher rates of mortality compared with the general population. This cohort study linked Israeli national databases including all individuals ever hospitalized for a psychiatric disorder (cases), and COVID-19 testing, infection, hospitalization, mortality, and vaccinations, between March 1st 2020 and March 31st 2021. Cases were 125,273 individuals aged 18 and above ever hospitalized in a psychiatric facility (ICD-10 F10-F69 or F90-F99), compared to the total population, n = 6,143,802. Compared with the total population, cases were less likely to be tested for COVID-19, 51.2% (95% CI: 50.8-51.7) vs 62.3% (95% CI 62.2-62.4) and had lower rates of confirmed COVID infection, 5.9% (95% CI: 5.8-6.1) vs 8.9% (95% CI: 8.9-8.9). Among those infected, risks for COVID-19 hospitalization, COVID-19 attributed mortality and all-cause mortality were higher for cases than the total population, adjusted odds ratios were 2.10; (95% CI: 1.96-2.25), 1.76; (95% CI: 1.54-2.01) and 2.02; (95% CI: 1.80-2.28), respectively. These risks were even higher for cases with non-affective psychotic disorders and bipolar disorder. Age adjusted rates of vaccination were lower in cases, 60.4% (95% CI: 59.9-60.8) vs 74.9% (95% CI: 74.8-75.0) in the total population, and particularly low for cases with non-affective psychotic disorders, 56.9% (95% CI: 56.3-57.6). This study highlights the need to increase testing for COVID-19 in individuals ever hospitalized for a psychiatric disorder, closely monitor those found positive, and to reach out to encourage vaccination.

Suicide Among Holocaust Survivors: A National Registry Study.

Previous findings regarding European Holocaust survivors' suicide risk are conflicting. North African survivors' suicide risk was not previously studied. In this study, we aimed to determine suicide risk among European and North African Holocaust survivors. The study was based on the Israeli population census from 1972, followed until 2015 for suicide. European survivors were grouped into survivors of severe Nazi persecution (HS) and early HS. North African survivors were grouped into those from Algeria, Libya and Tunisia who were likely to have suffered more severe persecution (group 1) and those from Morocco who apparently suffered less persecution (group 2). Comparison groups were chosen according to similar ethnic origins who were not under Nazi control. Age standardized suicide rates, Standard Mortality Ratios (SMR) were calculated. Cox regression analysis was used to assess suicide risk. The age adjusted suicide rates (per 100,000) among Europeans were: HS 17.8 (95%CI 16.9-18.6), early HS 28.6 (95%CI 24.9-32.2), comparison group 20.3 (95%CI 18.5-22.1). Among North Africans: group 1, 6.9 (95%CI 5.6-8.2), group 2, 4.8 (95%CI 4.0-5.5), comparison group, 8.5 (95% CI 6.4-11.0). The SMRs with European comparisons were 0.88 (95%CI 0.84-0.92) for HS and 1.41 (95%CI 1.20-1.65) for early HS. SMRs with North African comparisons were 0.81 (95%CI 0.67-0.97) for group 1 and 0.57 (95%CI 0.48-0.66) for group 2. Cox regression models showed significantly higher suicide risk for European early HS vs comparisons (Hazard Ratio (HR) = 1.31, 95% CI 1.12-1.52), and lower risk for HS (0.89, 95%CI 0.80-0.98). North African group 2 had significantly lower HR (0.58, 95%CI 0.43-0.79). To conclude, higher resilience was found among European survivors of severe adversity, compared to those who suffered lesser persecution. No elevated risk was found among North African survivors.

Educational level, ethnicity and mortality rates in Israel: national data linkage study.

BACKGROUND: Many studies have shown significant gaps in mortality, and cause specific mortality by educational status. This study investigated these measures in Israel by educational and ethnic status in recent decades. METHOD: A mortality follow-up till 2017 was done of a cohort of Israeli residents aged 25-64 in 2000 who remained in Israel and had available educational data, grouped into under 8, 9-11, 12, 13-15 and 16 and above years of education. Indirect age adjustment was used to calculate Standard Mortality Ratios (SMRs) by sex and educational group, and a Cox regression model to assess relative risk of total and cause specific mortality controlling for age and ethnic group (Jews and Others and Arabs).The analysis was repeated for each ethnic group separately. RESULTS: 2,776,422 persons were included of whom 174,792 (6.3%) died till 2017. SMR's for total mortality of males and females with less than 8 years of education compared to 16 and over were 2.2 and 1.8, respectively. Corresponding HR were 2.13 (95% CI 2.08-2.18) and 1.77 (95% CI 1.72-1.82), respectively. The highest cause specific hazard ratios in males were for homicide, 4.40 (95% CI 3.19-6.07), respiratory diseases, 4.01 (95% CI 3.61-4.44), infectious diseases, 3.55 (95% CI 3.15-3.19) and diabetes 3.41 (95% CI 3.06-3.79) and in females for diabetes, 4.41 (95% CI 3.76-5.16), infectious diseases, 4.16 (95% CI 3.52-4.91), respiratory diseases, 4.13 (95% CI 3.55-4.81), and heart disease, 2.96 (95% CI 2.66-3.29). Education-adjusted risk of all-cause mortality for Arab males was 1.07 (1.05-1.09) times that of Jews and Others and non-significant in females. High mortality risk was found for Arab males and females compared to Jews and Others for homicide, diabetes, heart and cerebrovascular disease and for respiratory disease in males. Lower risk was found for suicide and infectious diseases in both sexes and cancer in females. CONCLUSION: We found significant effect of educational level on all-cause and cause specific mortality, particularly respiratory diseases, infectious diseases, diabetes and homicide. Our results highlight the importance of increasing the educational level of all groups in the population and of encouraging healthy behavior in the lower educated.

Involuntary psychiatric hospitalizations in Israel 2001-2018 and risk for immigrants from different countries.

Since 2000, the Israeli mental health system has undergone a reduction in hospital beds, initiation of community-based rehabilitation, and transfer of governmental services to health maintenance organizations. This study examined trends, predictors and outcomes of involuntary psychiatric hospitalizations (IPH), in particular for immigrants. All first psychiatric hospitalizations of adults, 2001-2018, in the National Psychiatric Case Registry were used. Involuntary and voluntary hospitalizations were analyzed by demographic and clinical characteristics, and age-adjusted rates calculated over time. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to investigate IPH predictors and first IPH as a risk factor for one-year suicide after last discharge, and a Cox multivariate regression model to examine its risk for all-cause mortality. Among 73,904 persons in the study, age-adjusted rates of IPH were higher between 2011 and 2015 and then decreased slightly until 2018. Ethiopian immigrants had the highest risk for IPH, immigrants from the former Soviet Union a lower risk, and that of Arabs was not significantly different, from non-immigrant Jews. IPH was not significantly associated with one-year suicide or all-cause mortality. These findings demonstrate the vulnerability of Ethiopian immigrants, typical of disadvantaged immigrants having a cultural gap with the host country and highlight the importance of expanding community mental health services.

Suicide rates and risk factors for suicide among Israeli immigrants from Ethiopia (1985-2017).

BACKGROUND: Suicide rates among Ethiopian immigrants to Israel (EI) are relatively high. This study sought to identify suicide-risk factors in this population in order to suggest some potentially preventive measures to mental health policymakers who are struggling to prevent suicide among EI. METHOD: Nationwide age-adjusted suicide rates were calculated for EI, Former Soviet Union immigrants (FSUI) and Israeli-born (IB) Jews by age, gender, and year of death and, for EI, by marital status and immigration period in the years 1985-2017 (1990-2017 for FSUI). RESULTS: Age-adjusted suicide rates for the period 1990-2017 confirmed the significantly higher rate among EI--3.1 times higher than for FSUI and 4.1 times higher than for IB. Similar rates were obtained for both genders, within each age group, and in all study years. Comparable male/female rate ratios were found among EI and IB (3.3, 3.6, respectively). Over the years of the study, only among the Ethiopian immigrants were there large fluctuations in suicide rates: a decrease (1992-2001), followed by an increase (2001-2006), and then a progressive decrease (from 2006). The secular changes differed greatly according to age. Among females, these fluctuations were smaller, the decrease began earlier and was greater, and the subsequent increase was much smaller. Marriage was found to be less protective for Ethiopian immigrants than for the other surveyed populations. CONCLUSIONS: The considerable gap between the EI's and FSUI's suicide rates highlights the critical role of immigrants' integration difficulties. These difficulties among EI lead to ongoing conflict within the family, which may explain why marriage is less protective for EI. Nevertheless, progressive integration is occurring as indicated by the decline in suicide rates since 2006. The fluctuations in EI suicide rates over time seem to be associated with modifications in social welfare allowances, which are crucial for EI of low socioeconomic status. Groups at risk, particularly EI men facing socioeconomic challenges and EI with considerable family conflict, typically identified by HMOs and welfare services, should be screened for suicide risk, and those identified as at risk referred to tailored workshops sensitive to Ethiopian culture.

Excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in Israel, March-November 2020: when, where, and for whom?

BACKGROUND: Excess all-cause mortality has been used in many countries as an estimate of mortality effects from COVID-19. What was the excess mortality in Israel in 2020 and when, where and for whom was this excess? METHODS: Mortality rates between March to November 2020 for various demographic groups, cities, month and week were compared with the average rate during 2017-2019 for the same groups or periods. RESULTS: Total mortality rates for March-November were significantly higher by 6% in 2020, than the average of 2017-2019, 14% higher among the Arab population and 5% among Jews and Others. Significantly higher monthly mortality rates were found in August, September and October by 11%, 13% and 19%, respectively, among Jews and Others, and by 19%, 64% and 40% in the Arab population. Excess mortality was significant only at older ages, 7% higher rates at ages 65-74 and 75-84 and 8% at ages 85 and above, and greater for males than females in all ages and population groups. Interestingly, mortality rates decreased significantly among the younger population aged under 25. The cities with most significant excess mortality were Ramla (25% higher), Bene Beraq (24%), Bat Yam (15%) and Jerusalem (8%). CONCLUSION: Israel has seen significant excess mortality in August-October 2020, particularly in the Arab sector. The excess mortality in March-November was statistically significant only at older ages, over 65. It is very important to protect this susceptible population from exposure and prioritize them for inoculations. Lockdowns were successful in lowering the excess mortality. The excess mortality is similar to official data on COVID-19 deaths.

Validating reported cause of death using integrated electronic health records from a nation-wide database.

BACKGROUND: To compare the underlying cause of death reported by the Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) with diagnoses in the electronic health records (EHR) of a fully integrated payer/provider healthcare system. METHODS: Underlying cause of death was obtained from the CBS for deaths occurring during 2009-2012 of all Clalit Health Service members in Israel. The final cohort consisted of members who had complete medical records. The frequency of a supportive diagnosis in the EHR was reported for 10 leading causes of death (malignancies, heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, diabetes, kidney disease, septicemia, accidents, chronic lower respiratory disease, dementia and pneumonia and influenza). RESULTS: Of the 45 680 members included in the study, the majority of deaths had at least one diagnosis in the EHR that could support the cause of death. The lowest frequency of supportive diagnosis was for septicemia (52.2%) and the highest was for malignancies (94.3%). Sensitivity analysis did not suggest an alternative explanation for the missing documentation. CONCLUSIONS: The underlying cause of death coded by the CBS is often supported by diagnoses in Clalit's EHR. Exceptions are septicemia or accidents that cannot be anticipated from a patient's EHR, and dementia which may be under-reported.

Cognitive function in adolescence and the risk for premature diabetes and cardiovascular mortality in adulthood.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiological studies have demonstrated a relationship between cognitive function in youth and the future risk of death. Less is known regarding the relationship with diabetes related death. This study assessed the relationship between cognitive function in late adolescence and the risk for diabetes, cardiovascular- (CVD) and all-cause mortality in adulthood. METHODS: This retrospective study linked data from 2,277,188 16-19 year olds who had general intelligence tests (GIT) conducted during pre-military recruitment assessment with cause of death as coded by the Israel Central Bureau of Statistics. The associations between cognitive function and cause-specific mortality were assessed using Cox models. RESULTS: There were 31,268 deaths that were recorded during 41,916,603 person-years of follow-up, with a median follow-up of 19.2 (IQR 10.7, 29.5) years. 3068, 1443, 514 and 457 deaths were attributed to CVD, CHD, stroke, and diabetes, respectively. Individuals in the lowest GIT vs. highest GIT quintiles in unadjusted models had the highest risk for all-cause mortality (HR 1.84, 95% CI 1.78, 1.91), total CVD (HR 3.32, 95% CI 2.93, 3.75), CHD (HR 3.49 95% CI 2.92, 4.18), stroke (HR 3.96 95% CI 2.85, 5.5) and diabetes-related (HR 6.96 95% CI 4.68, 10.36) mortality. These HRs were attenuated following adjustment for age, sex, birth year, body-mass index, residential socioeconomic status, education and country of origin for all-cause (HR 1.23, 95% CI 1.17, 1.28), CVD (HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.52, 2.04), CHD (HR 1.7 95% CI 1.37, 2.11), stroke (HR 2.03, 95% CI 1.39, 2.98) and diabetes-related (HR 3.14 95% CI 2.00, 4.94) mortality. Results persisted in a sensitivity analyses limited to participants with unimpaired health at baseline and that accounted competing risk. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis of over 2 million demonstrates a strong relationship between cognitive function at youth and the risk for diabetes, all-cause and CVD-related mortality independent of adolescent obesity.

The tip of the iceberg: postpartum suicidality in Israel.

BACKGROUND: Postpartum suicidality, a result of extreme distress or depression, is a tragedy for the woman, infant, and family. Screening for postpartum depression (PPD) is mandatory in Israel, including a question on suicidal ideation. This study presents and analyzes data regarding rates, trends and characteristics of postpartum women who considered, attempted, or completed suicide, to help direct services aimed at preventing these occurrences. METHODS: Suicidal ideation data based on PPD screening was drawn from various publications and databases. Suicide attempt data was obtained from the Emergency Department database for 2006-2015 and matched with the National Birth Registry. Cause of death from the national database for those years were similarly linked to births to identify postpartum suicides and deaths. Postpartum and non-postpartum suicide attempt rates were computed by year, and by age and ethnic/immigrant group. A multivariate logistic model was used to estimate relative risk for postpartum attempts, controlling for age and ethnic group. RESULTS: Suicidal ideation in recent years has been reported as 1% or less, with higher rates found in studies of Arab women. Suicide attempt rates for non-postpartum women were 3-5 times that of postpartum women, rising over the years, while remaining relatively stable for postpartum women. Adjusted risk of suicide attempt for non-postpartum women was significantly higher; adjusted odds ratio was 4.08 (95% CI 3.75-4.44). It was also significantly higher for Arabs and immigrants from the Former Soviet Union, compared to Israeli-born Jews/veteran immigrants, and for younger women compared to those aged 35-44. Seven postpartum suicides were recorded during 2006-2015, a rate of 0.43 per 100,000 births. CONCLUSION: Postpartum suicidality in Israel is low relative to other countries. Although relatively rare and lower than among non-postpartum women, health professionals should be attentive to risk factors, such as past psychiatric disorders, suicide attempts and current emotional distress, particularly among higher-risk populations. The universal screening program for PPD is a valuable opportunity for this, but increased resources should be allotted to implement and utilize it optimally. Prenatal screening should be added as an Israeli Quality Indicator, and postpartum completed suicides should be thoroughly investigated to guide prevention efforts.

Body Mass Index and Kidney Disease-Related Mortality in Midlife: A Nationwide Cohort of 2.3 Million Adolescents.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the association of body mass index (BMI) in adolescence with mortality attributed to kidney disease. METHODS: In this study, 2,294,139 Jewish Israeli adolescents with measured weight and height at 17 years old during the military fitness assessment were analyzed with a follow-up extending up to 45 years. All kidney-related outcomes, coded by the Central Bureau of Statistics from death notifications as the underlying cause of death, were obtained by linkage. Cox hazards models were applied. RESULTS: During 42,297,007 person-years of follow-up (median 18.4 years), 226 deaths related to kidney disease were recorded. There was an increased risk for kidney-related death among adolescents with overweight and obesity with adjusted hazard ratios of 2.7 (95% CI: 1.8-3.9) and 8.4 (5.1-13.8), respectively, with BMI between 18.5 and 22.0 kg/m2 as the reference. A 15% increased risk for kidney-related mortality (1.11-1.19) per unit increment in BMI was observed. Furthermore, a multivariable spline model indicated a minimum risk for kidney-related mortality starting at BMI of 18.6 kg/m2 with significantly increased risk seen above values of 22.8 kg/m2 . The results withstood extensive sensitivity analyses, including stratification of kidney-related death attributed to acute, chronic, and total kidney disease. CONCLUSIONS: Adolescent overweight and obesity are risk markers for kidney-related mortality over 4 decades.

Association between psychological distress and mortality: the case of Israel.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have demonstrated the association between psychological distress (measured by the 12-item General Health Questionnaire, GHQ-12) and risks of all-cause mortality and deaths from cardiovascular, cancer and other causes. We hypothesised that in the Israeli population permanently exposed to war/terror stressors, this relationship is absent. METHODS: We performed an analysis of data from participants in the Israel National Health Survey conducted in 2003-2004, who died during the follow-up decade. Subjects were assigned to groups based on GHQ-12 score: 0-10 (asymptomatic), 11-14 (subclinically symptomatic), 15-19 (symptomatic) and 20-36 (highly symptomatic). Data were weighted to the total population. RESULTS: We analysed data from 4843 individuals, median age 40.5 (IQR 28-54); 473 participants died during the follow-up. We found a significant increase in total mortality, cardiovascular and other causes of mortality (but not cancer deaths) with increase in GHQ-12 score (P for linear trend of ungrouped GHQ scores <0.0001, 0.0015 and <0.0001, respectively). The age-sex-adjusted HR for the highest GHQ-12 compared with the lowest asymptomatic category was 2.1 (95% CI 1.6 to 2.7) for all-cause deaths, 2.3 (95% CI 1.3 to 4.1) for cardiovascular disease deaths and 2.7 (95% CI 1.9 to 3.9) for other deaths. The HR remained significant after adjustment for education, smoking, alcohol consumption and diabetes. The HR even increased after excluding participants with baseline cardiovascular diseases and cancer. CONCLUSION: Contrary to our hypothesis, psychological distress was associated with all-cause and cardiovascular but not cancer mortality. The absence of reverse causality provides evidence for the direct deleterious effects of psychological distress on mortality outcomes.

Suicide Risk Among Holocaust Survivors Following Psychiatric Hospitalizations: A Historic Cohort Study.

The association between Holocaust experience, suicide, and psychiatric hospitalization has not been unequivocally established. The aim of this study was to determine the risk of suicide among 3 Jewish groups with past or current psychiatric hospitalizations: Holocaust survivors (HS), survivors of pre-Holocaust persecution (early HS), and a comparison group of similar European background who did not experience Holocaust persecution. In a retrospective cohort study based on the Israel National Psychiatric Case Register (NPCR) and the database of causes of death, all suicides in the years 1981-2009 were found for HS (n = 16,406), early HS (n = 1,212) and a comparison group (n = 4,286). Age adjusted suicide rates were calculated for the 3 groups and a logistic regression model was built to assess the suicide risk, controlling for demographic and clinical variables. The number of completed suicides in the study period was: HS-233 (1.4%), early HS-34 (2.8%), and the comparison group-64 (1.5%). Age adjusted rates were 106.7 (95% CI 93.0-120.5) per 100,000 person-years for HS, 231.0 (95% CI 157.0-327.9) for early HS and 150.7 (95% CI 113.2-196.6) for comparisons. The regression models showed significantly higher risk for the early HS versus comparisons (multivariate model adjusted OR = 1.68, 95% CI 1.09-2.60), but not for the HS versus comparisons. These results may indicate higher resilience among the survivors of maximal adversity compared to others who experienced lesser persecution.

Fatal Overdoses of Opioids in Israel 2005-2014.

AIMS: To explore previously unreported rates and trends in opioid-related mortality in Israel, 2005-2014. METHODS: Data was obtained from the national database on causes of death. Drug poisoning deaths were divided into opioid-related deaths and deaths related to other drugs according to International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10 code of underlying cause, and included drug poisoning of accidental, intentional or undetermined intent. Age-adjusted rates were calculated per 100,000 population. Rate ratios were calculated and a logistic model constructed to compare the risk of opioid-related deaths in both halves of the decade (2006-2009 and 2009-2013) and between various demographic groups. RESULTS: While age-adjusted rates of deaths related to other drugs remained relatively stable, rates of opioid-related deaths significantly decreased during this period across all groups. During the study period, the number of opioid-related deaths in Israel declined from 1.3 to 0.3 per 100,000. Opioid-related deaths were more common among men, young adults and immigrants from the Former Soviet Union. CONCLUSIONS: Rates of opioid-related deaths in Israel were low compared to those reported in the United States and United Kingdom. In addition, the decline in opioid-related deaths in Israel is contrary to trends observed in the United States and United Kingdom. Factors that may contribute to these differences are discussed.

Regional variations in mortality and causes of death in Israel, 2009-2013.

BACKGROUND: Regional variations in mortality can be used to study and assess differences in disease prevalence and factors leading to disease and mortality from different causes. To enable this comparison, it is important to standardize the mortality data to adjust for the effects of regional population differences in age, nationality and country of origin. METHODS: Standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were calculated for the districts and sub-districts in Israel, for total mortality by gender as well as for leading causes of death and selected specific causes. Correlations were assessed between these SMRs, regional disease risk factors and socio-economic characteristics. Implications for health policy were then examined. RESULTS: Total mortality in the Northern District of Israel was not significantly different from the national average; but the Haifa, Tel Aviv, and Southern districts were significantly higher and the Jerusalem, Central, Judea and Samaria districts were lower. Cancer SMR was significantly lower in Jerusalem and not significantly higher in any region. Heart disease and diabetes SMRs were significantly higher in many sub-districts in the north of the country and lower in the south. SMRs for septicemia, influenza/pneumonia, and for cerebrovascular disease were higher in the south. Septicemia was also significantly higher in Tel Aviv and lower in the North, Haifa and Jerusalem districts. SMRs for accidents, particularly for motor vehicle accidents were significantly higher in the peripheral Zefat and Be'er Sheva sub-districts. CONCLUSION: The SMR, adjusted for age and ethnicity, is a good method for identifying districts that differ significantly from the national average. Some of the regional differences may be attributed to differences in the completion of death certificates. This needs to be addressed by efforts to improve reporting of causes of death, by educating physicians. The relatively low differences found after adjustment, show that factors associated with ethnicity may affect mortality more than regional factors. Recommendations include encouraging good eating habits, exercise, cancer screening, control of hypertension, reduction of smoking and improving road infrastructure and emergency care access in the periphery.

Adolescent Body Mass Index and Cardiovascular Disease-Specific Mortality by Midlife.

Context: As opposed to coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality, cardiovascular mortality attributed to non-CHD causes has increased. Objective: To evaluate the association of body mass index (BMI) in late adolescence with mortality attributed to non-CHD cardiovascular sequelae. Design and Setting: A nationwide cohort. Participants: A total of 2,294,139 adolescents examined between 1967 and 2010. Interventions: Height and weight were measured at age 17. All cardiovascular disease-specific outcomes, coded by the Central Bureau of Statistics from death notifications as the underlying cause of death, were obtained by linkage. Cox hazards models were applied. Main Outcome Measurements: Death attributed to fatal arrhythmias, hypertensive heart disease, cardiomyopathies, arterial disease, heart failure, and pulmonary embolism. Results: During 42,297,007 person-years of follow-up, there were 3178 deaths due to cardiovascular causes, of which 279, 122, 121, 114, 94, and 70 were attributed to the main outcomes, respectively. BMI was positively associated with all study outcomes with hazard ratios (HRs) per unit increment in BMI ranging from 1.09 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03 to 1.16] for arterial disease to 1.16 (95% CI: 1.11 to 1.21) for hypertensive heart disease. When BMI was treated as a categorical variable, a graded increase in risk was evident from the high-normal (22.0 to <25.0 kg/m2) to the overweight to the obese categories, with HRs of 1.4, 1.7, and 3.7 for arrhythmias; 1.9, 4.1, and 8.0 for hypertensive heart disease; 1.5, 2.4, and 4.0 for cardiomyopathies, 2.7, 5.0, and 3.5; for arterial disease, 1.7, 2.7, and 5.4 for heart failure; and 1.3, 1.8, and 3.0 for pulmonary embolism. Findings persisted in extensive sensitivity analyses. Conclusions: Adolescent BMI within the accepted normal range is associated with non-CHD nonstroke cardiovascular outcomes.

BMI at Age 17 Years and Diabetes Mortality in Midlife: A Nationwide Cohort of 2.3 Million Adolescents.

OBJECTIVE: The sequelae of increasing childhood obesity are of major concern. We assessed the association of BMI in late adolescence with diabetes mortality in midlife. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The BMI values of 2,294,139 Israeli adolescents (age 17.4 ± 0.3 years), measured between 1967 and 2010, were grouped by U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention age/sex percentiles and by ordinary BMI values. The outcome, obtained by linkage with official national records, was death attributed to diabetes mellitus (DM) as the underlying cause. Cox proportional hazards models were applied. RESULTS: During 42,297,007 person-years of follow-up (median, 18.4 years; range <1-44 years) there were 481 deaths from DM (mean age at death, 50.6 ± 6.6 years). There was a graded increase in DM mortality evident from the 25th to the 49th BMI percentile group onward and from a BMI of 20.0-22.4 kg/m2 onward. Overweight (85th to 94th percentiles) and obesity (the 95th percentile or higher), compared with the 5th to 24th percentiles, were associated with hazard ratios (HRs) of 8.0 (95% CI 5.7-11.3) and 17.2 (11.9-24.8) for DM mortality, respectively, after adjusting for sex, age, birth year, height, and sociodemographic variables. The HR for the 50th through 74th percentiles was 1.6 (95% CI 1.1-2.3). Findings persisted in a series of sensitivity analyses. The estimated population-attributable fraction for DM mortality, 31.2% (95% CI 26.6-36.1%) for the 1967-1977 prevalence of overweight and obesity at age 17, rose to a projected 52.1% (95% CI 46.4-57.4%) for the 2012-2014 prevalence. CONCLUSIONS: Adolescent BMI, including values within the currently accepted "normal" range, strongly predicts DM mortality up to the seventh decade. The increasing prevalence of childhood and adolescent overweight and obesity points to a substantially increased future adult DM burden.

Body-Mass Index in 2.3 Million Adolescents and Cardiovascular Death in Adulthood.

BACKGROUND: In light of the worldwide increase in childhood obesity, we examined the association between body-mass index (BMI) in late adolescence and death from cardiovascular causes in adulthood. METHODS: We grouped data on BMI, as measured from 1967 through 2010 in 2.3 million Israeli adolescents (mean age, 17.3±0.4 years), according to age- and sex-specific percentiles from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Primary outcomes were the number of deaths attributed to coronary heart disease, stroke, sudden death from an unknown cause, or a combination of all three categories (total cardiovascular causes) by mid-2011. Cox proportional-hazards models were used. RESULTS: During 42,297,007 person-years of follow-up, 2918 of 32,127 deaths (9.1%) were from cardiovascular causes, including 1497 from coronary heart disease, 528 from stroke, and 893 from sudden death. On multivariable analysis, there was a graded increase in the risk of death from cardiovascular causes and all causes that started among participants in the group that was in the 50th to 74th percentiles of BMI (i.e., within the accepted normal range). Hazard ratios in the obese group (≥95th percentile for BMI), as compared with the reference group in the 5th to 24th percentiles, were 4.9 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.9 to 6.1) for death from coronary heart disease, 2.6 (95% CI, 1.7 to 4.1) for death from stroke, 2.1 (95% CI, 1.5 to 2.9) for sudden death, and 3.5 (95% CI, 2.9 to 4.1) for death from total cardiovascular causes, after adjustment for sex, age, birth year, sociodemographic characteristics, and height. Hazard ratios for death from cardiovascular causes in the same percentile groups increased from 2.0 (95% CI, 1.1 to 3.9) during follow-up for 0 to 10 years to 4.1 (95% CI, 3.1 to 5.4) during follow-up for 30 to 40 years; during both periods, hazard ratios were consistently high for death from coronary heart disease. Findings persisted in extensive sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: A BMI in the 50th to 74th percentiles, within the accepted normal range, during adolescence was associated with increased cardiovascular and all-cause mortality during 40 years of follow-up. Overweight and obesity were strongly associated with increased cardiovascular mortality in adulthood. (Funded by the Environment and Health Fund.).