Age-period-cohort modelling of type 1 diabetes incidence rates among children included in the EURODIAB 25-year follow-up study.

AIMS: Specific patterns in incidence may reveal environmental explanations for type 1 diabetes incidence. We aimed to study type 1 diabetes incidence in European childhood populations to assess whether an increase could be attributed to either period or cohort effects. METHODS: Nineteen EURODIAB centres provided single year incidence data for ages 0-14 in the 25-year period 1989-2013. Case counts and person years were classified by age, period and cohort (APC) in 1-year classes. APC Poisson regression models of rates were fitted using restricted cubic splines for age, period and cohort per centre and sex. Joint models were fitted for all centres and sexes, to find a parsimonious model. RESULTS: A total of 57,487 cases were included. In ten and seven of the 19 centres the APC models showed evidence of nonlinear cohort effects or period effects, respectively, in one or both sexes and indications of sex-specific age effects. Models showed a positive linear increase ranging from approximately 0.6 to 6.6%/year. Centres with low incidence rates showed the highest overall increase. A final joint model showed incidence peak at age 11.6 and 12.6 for girls and boys, respectively, and the rate-ratio was according to sex below 1 in ages 5-12. CONCLUSION: There was reasonable evidence for similar age-specific type 1 diabetes incidence rates across the EURODIAB population and peaks at a younger age for girls than boys. Cohort effects showed nonlinearity but varied between centres and the model did not contribute convincingly to identification of environmental causes of the increase.

Next- generation sequencing is an effective method for diagnosing patients with different forms of monogenic diabetes.

AIM: Monogenic diabetes (MD) represents 5-7% of antibody-negative diabetes cases and is a heterogeneous group of disorders. METHODS: We used targeted next-generation sequencing (NGS) on Illumina NextSeq 550 platform involving the SureSelect assay to perform genetic and clinical characteristics of a study group of 684 individuals, including 542 patients referred from 12 Polish Diabetes Centers with suspected MD diagnosed between December 2016 and December 2019 and their 142 family members (FM). RESULTS: In 198 probands (36.5%) and 66 FM (46.5%) heterozygous causative variants were confirmed in 11 different MD-related genes, including 31 novel mutations, with the highest number in the GCK gene (206/264), 22/264 in the HNF1A gene and 8/264 in the KCNJ11 gene. Of the 183 probands with MODY1-5 diabetes, 48.6% of them were diagnosed at the pre-diabetes stage and most of them (68.7%) were on diet only at the time of genetic diagnosis, while 31.3% were additionally treated with oral hypoglycaemic drugs and/or insulin. CONCLUSIONS: In summary, the results obtained confirm the efficacy of targeted NGS method in the molecular diagnosis of patients with suspected MD and broaden the spectrum of new causal variants, while updating our knowledge of the clinical features of patients defined as having MD.

Prevalence of diabetes in Poland: a combined analysis of national databases.

AIMS: To assess the number of people with diabetes in Poland using combined national sources and to evaluate the usefulness of data from an insurance system for epidemiological purposes. METHODS: The data were collected from four sources: 1) 2013 all-billing records of the national insurance system comprising people of all age groups undergoing procedures or receiving services in primary healthcare, specialist practices and hospitals and also those receiving drugs; 2) an epidemiological study, NATPOL, that involved the assessment of people with undiagnosed diabetes; 3) the RECEPTOmetr Sequence study on prescriptions; and 4) regional child diabetes registries. RESULTS: In 2013, 1.76 million people (0.98 million women and 0.79 million men) had medical consultations (coded E10-E14) and 2.13 million people (1.19 million women and 0.94 million men) purchased drugs or strip tests for diabetes. A total of 0.04 million people who used medical services did not buy drugs. In total, the number of people with diabetes in the insurance system was 2.16 million (1.21 million women and 0.95 million men), which corresponds to 6.1% (95% CI 6.11-6.14) of women and 5.1% (95% CI 5.12-5.14) of men. Including undiagnosed cases, the total number of people with diabetes in Poland was 2.68 million in 2013. CONCLUSION: The estimated prevalence of diabetes (diagnosed and undiagnosed cases) in Poland is 6.97%. Data from the national insurance system with full coverage of the population can be treated as a reliable source of information on diseases with well-defined diagnosis and treatment methods, combined with an assessment of the number of undiagnosed individuals.

Updated 24-year trend of Type 1 diabetes incidence in children in Poland reveals a sinusoidal pattern and sustained increase.

AIMS: To present the incidence trend for Type 1 diabetes in Polish children aged 0-14 years, updated using data collected during 2005-2012, and assess the reliability of the predictive model constructed previously using the 1989-2004 database. METHODS: Children aged < 15 years with newly diagnosed Type 1 diabetes are recorded prospectively (EURODIAB criteria) in several regional registers in Poland. Age- and gender-standardized incidence rates for Type 1 diabetes were calculated per 100 000 persons/year. Incidence rates were analysed in terms of the dependency on age, gender, geographical region and population density. Incidence rate trends over time were modelled using generalized linear models. RESULTS: The mean standardized incidence for 1989-2012 was 12.72 per 100 000 persons/year [95% confidence interval (CI), 11.35 to 14.21]. Over the 24-year observation period, the incidence increased from 5.36 to 22.74 per 100 000 persons/year. The lowest incidence rate was in children aged 0-4 years (8.35, 95% CI 7.27 to 9.57 per 100 000 persons/year). There was no difference between genders, or urban and rural regions. Incidence rates were higher in northern compared with southern Poland [14.04 (95% CI 12.59 to 15.63) vs. 11.94 (95% CI 10.62 to 13.39) per 100 000 persons/year]. The new data corrected the earlier predictive model by changing the estimates of some factors related to patient age, gender and their interactions with the remaining factors. The incidence rate shows periodic 5.33-year fluctuations. The periodicity component allows for a more accurate prediction of the incidence rate over time. CONCLUSIONS: This cohort study reveals a sustained increase in Type 1 diabetes incidence in Polish children aged 0-14 years with regular, sinusoidal fluctuations and a slight levelling off in past few years. It is of concern that are the highest increases in incidence are found in children aged 0-4 years.

Core Standards of the EUBIROD Project. Defining a European Diabetes Data Dictionary for Clinical Audit and Healthcare Delivery.

BACKGROUND: A set of core diabetes indicators were identified in a clinical review of current evidence for the EUBIROD project. In order to allow accurate comparisons of diabetes indicators, a standardised currency for data storage and aggregation was required. We aimed to define a robust European data dictionary with appropriate clinical definitions that can be used to analyse diabetes outcomes and provide the foundation for data collection from existing electronic health records for diabetes. METHODS: Existing clinical datasets used by 15 partner institutions across Europe were collated and common data items analysed for consistency in terms of recording, data definition and units of measurement. Where necessary, data mappings and algorithms were specified in order to allow partners to meet the standard definitions. A series of descriptive elements were created to document metadata for each data item, including recording, consistency, completeness and quality. RESULTS: While datasets varied in terms of consistency, it was possible to create a common standard that could be used by all. The minimum dataset defined 53 data items that were classified according to their feasibility and validity. Mappings and standardised definitions were used to create an electronic directory for diabetes care, providing the foundation for the EUBIROD data analysis repository, also used to implement the diabetes registry and model of care for Cyprus. CONCLUSIONS: The development of data dictionaries and standards can be used to improve the quality and comparability of health information. A data dictionary has been developed to be compatible with other existing data sources for diabetes, within and beyond Europe.

Classifying insulin regimens--difficulties and proposal for comprehensive new definitions.

Modern insulin regimens for the treatment of type 1 diabetes are highly individualized. The concept of an individually tailored medicine accounts for a broad variety of different insulin regimens applied. Despite clear recommendations for insulin management in children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes there is little distinctiveness about concepts and the nomenclature is confusing. Even among experts similar terms are used for different strategies. The aim of our review--based on the experiences of the Hvidoere Study Group (HSG)--is to propose comprehensive definitions for current insulin regimens reflecting current diabetes management in childhood and adolescence. The HSG--founded in 1994--is an international group representing 24 highly experienced pediatric diabetes centers, from Europe, Japan, North America and Australia. Different benchmarking studies of the HSG revealed a broad variety of insulin regimens applied in each center, respectively. Furthermore, the understanding of insulin regimens has been persistently different between the centers since more than 20 yr. Not even the terms 'conventional' and 'intensified therapy' were used consistently among all members. Besides the concepts 'conventional' and 'intensified', several other terms for the characterization of insulin regimens are in use: Basal Bolus Concept (BBC), multiple daily injections (MDI), and flexible insulin therapy (FIT) are most frequently used, although none of these expressions is clearly or consistently defined. The proposed new classification for insulin management will be comprehensive, simple, and catchy. Currently available terms were included. This classification may offer the opportunity to compare therapeutic strategies without the currently existing confusion on the insulin regimen.

Seasonal variation in month of diagnosis in children with type 1 diabetes registered in 23 European centers during 1989-2008: little short-term influence of sunshine hours or average temperature.

BACKGROUND: The month of diagnosis in childhood type 1 diabetes shows seasonal variation. OBJECTIVE: We describe the pattern and investigate if year-to-year irregularities are associated with meteorological factors using data from 50 000 children diagnosed under the age of 15 yr in 23 population-based European registries during 1989-2008. METHODS: Tests for seasonal variation in monthly counts aggregated over the 20 yr period were performed. Time series regression was used to investigate if sunshine hour and average temperature data were predictive of the 240 monthly diagnosis counts after taking account of seasonality and long term trends. RESULTS: Significant sinusoidal pattern was evident in all but two small centers with peaks in November to February and relative amplitudes ranging from ± 11 to ± 38% (median ± 17%). However, most centers showed significant departures from a sinusoidal pattern. Pooling results over centers, there was significant seasonal variation in each age-group at diagnosis, with least seasonal variation in those under 5 yr. Boys showed greater seasonal variation than girls, particularly those aged 10-14 yr. There were no differences in seasonal pattern between four 5-yr sub-periods. Departures from the sinusoidal trend in monthly diagnoses in the period were significantly associated with deviations from the norm in average temperature (0.8% reduction in diagnoses per 1 °C excess) but not with sunshine hours. CONCLUSIONS: Seasonality was consistently apparent throughout the period in all age-groups and both sexes, but girls and the under 5 s showed less marked variation. Neither sunshine hour nor average temperature data contributed in any substantial way to explaining departures from the sinusoidal pattern.

Blood pressure disturbances and endothelial dysfunction markers in children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: Being the earliest step on the way to atherosclerosis, endothelial dysfunction is particularly escalated in diabetes. This study aimed at assessing endothelial dysfunction and blood pressure disturbances in young patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) and defining their interrelations. METHODS: The study group comprised 52 children and adolescents aged 14.07 ± 3.03 years, with T1DM duration 5.13 ± 2.18 years. 20 healthy controls with similar age and sex distribution were included. Chosen serum biochemical markers of endothelial damage: intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (sICAM-1), vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (sVCAM-1), sE-selectin, tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α), interleukin-6 (IL-6) as well as ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) were performed in all subjects. RESULTS: Patients with T1DM displayed significantly higher concentrations of chosen markers of endothelial dysfunction compared to controls (sVCAM-1 (ng/ml): 951.56 ± 330.68 vs. 710.35 ± 162.12, TNF-α (pg/ml): 16.63 ± 8.32 vs. 9.41 ± 4.23, IL-6 (pg/ml): 3.38 ± 1.31 vs. 2.45 ± 0.81; p < 0.05). Within the study group subjects with an abnormal ABPM reading had significantly higher concentrations of sE-selectin compared with subjects with normal ABPM (in ng/ml: 45.71 ± 15.63 vs. 32.42 ± 11.95; p < 0.01). The study revealed a significant positive correlation between sE-selectin and systolic as well as diastolic pressure loads during the day period (respectively: r = 0.46, r = 0.60; p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Endothelium dysfunction may be present early in the course of T1DM in children and adolescents. It seems to be related with blood pressure disturbances which highlights the need to intensify treatment in this group of patients.

Genetic variability of GCKR alters lipid profiles in children with monogenic and autoimmune diabetes.

PURPOSE: Mutations in the glucokinase (GCK) gene are associated with altered blood glucose and lipid concentrations. Our aim was to assess the effects on HbA1c and serum lipid levels of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 2 genes encoding proteins that interact with glucokinase: glucose-6-phospatase catalytic subunit 2 (G6PC2) and glucokinase regulatory protein (GCKR). METHODS: The study group included 129 children with GCK-MODY from the Polish Registry of Monogenic Diabetes and 395 with type 1 diabetes (T1DM), in whom we genotyped 2 SNPs in G6PC2 (rs560887) and GCKR (rs1260326). Lipid concentrations were assessed in fasting serum samples. RESULTS: Total and HDL cholesterol concentrations were significantly lower in the GCK-MODY group than in patients with T1DM (167.5±32.5 mg/dl vs. 174.4±31.1 mg/dl, p=0.0435 and 48.42±14.3 mg/dl vs. 58.7±12.7 mg/dl, p<0.0001, respectively). No differences in genotype distributions were found except for underrepresentation of GCKR TT homozygotes among GCK-MODY patients (10.9% in GCK-MODY vs. 17.7% in T1DM, p=0.0651). GCKR genotypes showed significant associations with lipid profiles and HbA1c levels, whereas no such associations were noted for G6PC2. After adjustment for confounders, TT homozygotes were shown to have higher total cholesterol and marginally higher LDL cholesterol and triglyceride levels (p=0.0245, p=0.0657 and p=0.0550, respectively). The difference between TT homozygotes and other genotypes was similar in magnitude within the GCK-MODY and T1DM groups. No significant interactions between the type of diabetes and the GCKR or G6PC2 genotype were detected. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals who are homozygous TT at rs1260326 of the GCKR gene have higher triglyceride, total and LDL cholesterol levels regardless of the presence of GCK mutations.

Non-dipping and arterial hypertension depend on clinical factors rather than on genetic variability of ACE and RGS2 genes in patients with type 1 diabetes.

The aim of our study was to characterize the association of clinical and genetic risk factors such as: ACE genotype (rs17997552, rs1800764, rs4459609) and RGS2 (rs2746071) with the development of hypertension (HT) and non-dipping phenomenon in patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM). A total of 238 adolescents and young adults with T1DM-103 females and 135 males, aged 8-30 years (mean 17.35 ± 5.2) with diabetes duration 1-26 years (mean 7.72 ± 6.2), with mean HbA1c (IFCC) 58 ± 15 mmol/mmol-were subjected to 24-h ambulatory blood pressure measurements (ABPM). The results of the ABPM were analyzed in association with the polymorphisms of ACE and RGS2 genes and clinical data of patients. HT was recognized in 65 (27 %) and non-dipping in 111 (46.63 %) patients. In the multivariate analysis of factors predisposing to HT, the variables that remained significant were the following: male sex (OR 1.62; 95 % CI 1.171-2.250), non-dipping (OR 1.40; 95 % CI 1.03-1.90) and total cholesterol level (OR 1.01; 95 % CI 1.005-1.021). The only factor influencing non-dipping was the duration of diabetes-OR 1.09 (95 % CI 1.04-1.14). The patients displaying non-dipping have a twice increased risk of development of HT (OR 2.17; 95 % CI 1.21-3.89). There was no association between disturbances of blood pressure (BP) and genotypes of ACE: rs17997552, rs1800764, rs4459609 and RGS2: rs2746071. Clinical rather than genetic risk factors seem to be connected with BP disturbances in young patients with T1DM. Although we have identified representative groups of HT versus non-HT and dipping versus non-dipping subjects, the effect of genetic predisposition to the development of higher BP is too weak to be statistically significant.

Prevalence of monogenic diabetes amongst Polish children after a nationwide genetic screening campaign.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this study was to study dynamic changes in the prevalence of different types of diabetes in paediatric populations in Poland, with a specific focus on monogenic diabetes (MD). METHODS: Using epidemiologic data (PolPeDiab Collaboration) and nationwide genetic test results (TEAM Programme), we compared the prevalence of type 1, type 2 and cystic fibrosis-related diabetes (CFRD) and MD. Genetically confirmed MD included MODY, neonatal diabetes and Wolfram and Alström syndromes. The study covered all children aged 0-18 years treated for diabetes between 2005 and 2011 in three regions, inhabited by 23.7% (1,989,988) of Polish children, with a low prevalence of childhood obesity (<5%). RESULTS: The prevalence of type 1 diabetes showed a continuous increase, from 96 to 138/100,000 children. The prevalence of type 2 diabetes and CFRD also increased, from 0.3 to 1.01/100,000 children and from 0.1 to 0.95/100,000 children, respectively. The prevalence of MD was stable at between 4.2 and 4.6/100,000 children, accounting for 3.1-4.2% of children with diabetes, with glucokinase (GCK)-MODY being the most frequent type, amounting to 83% of patients with MD. The percentage of positive test results decreased with the number of referrals, suggesting that children with the highest probability of MD were referred initially, followed by those with a less clear-cut phenotype. The prevalence of neonatal diabetes equalled 1 in 300,000 children. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: The prevalence of MD in a paediatric population with a low prevalence of obesity remains stable and is nearly fivefold higher than that of type 2 diabetes and CFRD, justifying a need for increased access to genetic diagnostic procedures in diabetic children.

Trends in childhood type 1 diabetes incidence in Europe during 1989-2008: evidence of non-uniformity over time in rates of increase.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of the study was to describe 20-year incidence trends for childhood type 1 diabetes in 23 EURODIAB centres and compare rates of increase in the first (1989-1998) and second (1999-2008) halves of the period. METHODS: All registers operate in geographically defined regions and are based on a clinical diagnosis. Completeness of registration is assessed by capture-recapture methodology. Twenty-three centres in 19 countries registered 49,969 new cases of type 1 diabetes in individuals diagnosed before their 15th birthday during the period studied. RESULTS: Ascertainment exceeded 90% in most registers. During the 20-year period, all but one register showed statistically significant changes in incidence, with rates universally increasing. When estimated separately for the first and second halves of the period, the median rates of increase were similar: 3.4% per annum and 3.3% per annum, respectively. However, rates of increase differed significantly between the first half and the second half for nine of the 21 registers with adequate coverage of both periods; five registers showed significantly higher rates of increase in the first half, and four significantly higher rates in the second half. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: The incidence rate of childhood type 1 diabetes continues to rise across Europe by an average of approximately 3-4% per annum, but the increase is not necessarily uniform, showing periods of less rapid and more rapid increase in incidence in some registers. This pattern of change suggests that important risk exposures differ over time in different European countries. Further time trend analysis and comparison of the patterns in defined regions is warranted.

HbA1c-based diabetes diagnosis among patients with glucokinase mutation (GCK-MODY) is affected by a genetic variant of glucose-6-phosphatase (G6PC2).

AIMS: Genetic variation at the rs560887 locus of the glucose-6-phosphatase, catalytic 2 gene (G6PC2) is known to affect regulation of fasting glycaemia. We determined the rs560887 genotype of patients with monogenic diabetes and glucokinase gene mutations (GCK-MODY) and correlated the genotypes with HbA(1c) levels. METHODS: Patients from families with GCK-MODY were recruited from two large cohorts from Poland (n = 128) and the Czech Republic (n = 154). Genotypes at the rs560887 polymorphic site in G6PC2 were examined using real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction. The effect of rs560887 genotype on age at diagnosis of GCK-MODY and initial HbA(1c) levels were evaluated separately within both cohorts. Following that, a meta-analysis of rs560887 genotype-HbA(1c) associations of both Polish and Czech cohorts was performed to confirm homogeneity of findings and validate cohort-specific results. RESULTS: GG homozygosity at rs560887 was associated with marginally elevated HbA(1c) levels (P = 0.07 in both cohorts). The effects observed in both groups were very homogeneous (Q = 0.18; P = 0.68). Meta-analysis showed that GG homozygosity at rs560887 was associated with mean HbA(1c) levels higher by 2.4 mmol/mol (0.24%), 95% CI 0.5-4.4 mmol/mol (0.05-0.44%) than in individuals with other genotypes. Additionally, meta-analysis of both cohorts showed that GG homozygous individuals had higher odds of reaching the 48 mmol/mol (6.5%) diagnostic threshold of diabetes; (odds ratio 1.90; 95% CI 1.07-3.36; P = 0.03). No such effects were observed for age at diagnosis of diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Variation at the rs560887 locus of G6PC2 is associated with worse glycated haemoglobin levels in individuals with GCK mutations; GG homozygotes are more likely to meet diagnostic criteria for diabetes based on HbA(1c) level.

The role of selected metalloproteinases in cheiroarthropathy in children with type 1 diabetes - a pilotage study.

BACKGROUND: Metalloproteinases of the external matrix play an important role in ethiopatogenesis of diabetic complications especially in microangiopathy and also in fibrosing processes with occurrence the cheiroarthropathy, but clinical data are insufficient. AIMS: The aim of the study was to assess the influence of metalloproteinases such as gelatinase A (MMP2) and gelatinase B (MMP9), and their tissue inhibitors (TIMP2, TIMP9) in ethiopathogenesis of cheiroatrhopathy in children with diabetes type 1. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Forty one children were observed in average age of 14.98 years (±3.03 years), with the average duration of diabetes 6.78 years (±3.21 years), and with average HbA1c within all diabetes duration time 7.1% (6.47-7.5%). In all patients, the occurrence of cheiroarthropathy was checked, and concentration of metalloproteinase's and their inhibitors in serum were measured using ELISA method. Probe was divided into two groups because of presence of cheiroarthropathy. The comparing analysis of these two groups was conducted, and the correlation between metalloproteinase's concentration and their tissue inhibitors with selected parameters was done. RESULTS: When comparing group with cheiroarthropathy (n = 19) with the group without cheiroarthropathy (n = 22), the statistically significant elevated levels of metalloproteinase's were proved such as: MMP2 - 202 ng/ml (193-207) vs. 138 ng/ml (130-158), p < 0.001; MMP9 - 462 ng/ml (426-505) vs. 288 ng/ml (251-313), 0.001; TIMP2 - 182 ng/ml (177-190) vs. 104 ng/ml (88-165), p < 0.001); TIMP9 - 85 ng/ml (68-95) vs. 55 ng/ml (50-60), p < 0.001. There was no correlation between occurrence of cheiroarthropathy and age of the diabetes onset, duration of diabetes, grade of metabolic compensation, insulin dosages, weight and height. CONCLUSION: In children with long-term diabetes, although relatively metabolic compensation, the cheiroarthropathy has been occurred accompanying by elevated concentrations of metalloproteinase's and their tissue inhibitors. The presence of cheiroarthropathy could be treated as a simple test to identification the patients endangered to develop chronic vascular complication.

Novel glucokinase mutations in patients with monogenic diabetes - clinical outline of GCK-MD and potential for founder effect in Slavic population.

Glucokinase (GCK) gene mutations are the causative factor of GCK-MD (monogenic diabetes) characterized by a mild clinical phenotype and potential for insulin withdrawal. This study presents the results of a nationwide genetic screening for GCK-MD performed in Poland. A group of 194 patients with clinical suspicion of GCK-MD and 17 patients with neonatal diabetes were subjected to GCK sequencing. Patients negative for GCK mutations were subjected to multiplex ligation-dependent probe amplification (MLPA) to detect deletions or insertions. A total of 44 GCK heterozygous mutations were found in 68 probands (35%). Among those, 20 mutations were novel ones: A282fs, D198V, E158X, G246V, G249R, I348N, L165V, L315Q, M115I, N254S, P284fs, Q338P, R377L, R43C, R46S, S212fs, S212P, T255N, V406A and Y214D. No abnormalities were detected in MLPA analysis. Homozygous D278E mutation was found in one patient with neonatal diabetes. The most frequently observed combinations of symptoms typical for GCK-MD were mild diabetes and/or fasting hyperglycaemia (98.3%), positive C-peptide at diagnosis (76%) and dominant mode of inheritance (59%). This study outlines numerous novel mutations of the GCK gene present in white Caucasians of Slavic origin. Thorough clinical assessment of known factors associated with GCK-MD may facilitate patient selection.

Rapid increase in the incidence of type 1 diabetes in Polish children from 1989 to 2004, and predictions for 2010 to 2025.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: We analysed the temporal changes in the incidence of childhood type 1 diabetes and its demographic determinants in Poland from 1989 to 2004, validating the model with data from 1970 to 1989. We also estimated a predictive model of the trends in childhood diabetes incidence for the near future. METHODS: Children under 15 years with newly diagnosed type 1 diabetes mellitus and drawn from seven regional registries in Poland were ascertained prospectively using the Epidemiology and Prevention of Diabetes study (EURODIAB) criteria. The type 1 diabetes incidence rates (IRs) were analysed in dependency of age, sex, seasonality, geographical region and population density. Time trends in IR were modelled using several approaches. RESULTS: The average incidence, standardised by age and sex, for 1989 to 2004 was 10.2 per 100,000 persons per year and increased from 5.4 to 17.7. No difference was found between boys and girls, or between urban and rural regions. In children above 4 years, IR was significantly higher in the population of northern Poland than in that of the country's southern part, as well as in the autumn-winter season, this finding being independent of child sex. Based on the trend model obtained, almost 1,600 Polish children aged 0 to 14 years are expected to develop type 1 diabetes in 2010, rising to more than 4,800 in 2025. The estimates suggest at least a fourfold increase of IR between 2005 and 2025, with the highest dynamics of this increment in younger children. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: These estimates show that Poland will have to face a twofold higher increase in childhood type 1 diabetes than predicted for the whole European population. The dramatic increase could have real downstream effects on Poland's healthcare system.

Bone status in adolescents with type 1 diabetes.

AIMS: The aim of the study was to investigate the potential negative impact of type 1 diabetes on bone status of adolescents. Bone status in adolescents with type 1 diabetes was assessed by means of quantitative ultrasound (QUS) and the influence of metabolic control and other disease-related and growth variables was analysed. METHODS: Group I consisted of 99 pubertal (Tanner > or = 2) adolescents (49 female), aged 14.3 +/- 2.5 years, diabetes duration 4.6 +/- 2.3 years. Controls (group II) were 297 children, matched by sex and age, from a healthy population. The influence of glycated haemoglobin (current: HbA(1c)D; last year's mean: HbA(1c)Y; whole duration mean: HbA(1c)T), diabetes duration, percentage of life with disease and daily insulin requirement (DIR) on amplitude dependent speed of sound (Ad-SoS) at distal phalanges was studied. RESULTS: In comparison to the control group, adolescents with type 1 diabetes presented significantly higher BMI SDS (0.82 [95% CI 0.54, 1.10] vs -0.06 [95% CI -0.16, 0.04] p < 0.001) and lower Ad-SoS SDS (-0.34 [95% CI -0.57, -0.11] vs -0.03 [95% CI -0.15, 0.08], p < 0.05). No correlation between Ad-SoS SDS and sex, DIR or diabetes duration was observed. The lower Ad-SoS SDS reflects reduced bone status, and the reduction was significantly more marked in those patients whose HbA(1c)T was higher than 7.0% when compared with those whose HbA(1c)T was lower. CONCLUSIONS: Bone status of adolescents with type 1 diabetes mellitus assessed with QUS differs from that of healthy peers and is dependent on long-term metabolic control.

Establishing glycaemic control with continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion in children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes: experience of the PedPump Study in 17 countries.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: To assess the use of paediatric continuous subcutaneous infusion (CSII) under real-life conditions by analysing data recorded for up to 90 days and relating them to outcome. METHODS: Pump programming data from patients aged 0-18 years treated with CSII in 30 centres from 16 European countries and Israel were recorded during routine clinical visits. HbA(1c) was measured centrally. RESULTS: A total of 1,041 patients (age: 11.8 +/- 4.2 years; diabetes duration: 6.0 +/- 3.6 years; average CSII duration: 2.0 +/- 1.3 years; HbA(1c): 8.0 +/- 1.3% [means +/- SD]) participated. Glycaemic control was better in preschool (n = 142; 7.5 +/- 0.9%) and pre-adolescent (6-11 years, n = 321; 7.7 +/- 1.0%) children than in adolescent patients (12-18 years, n = 578; 8.3 +/- 1.4%). There was a significant negative correlation between HbA(1c) and daily bolus number, but not between HbA(1c) and total daily insulin dose. The use of <6.7 daily boluses was a significant predictor of an HbA(1c) level >7.5%. The incidence of severe hypoglycaemia and ketoacidosis was 6.63 and 6.26 events per 100 patient-years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: This large paediatric survey of CSII shows that glycaemic targets can be frequently achieved, particularly in young children, and the incidence of acute complications is low. Adequate substitution of basal and prandial insulin is associated with a better HbA(1c).