Weibull parametric model for survival analysis in women with endometrial cancer using clinical and T2-weighted MRI radiomic features.

BACKGROUND: Semiparametric survival analysis such as the Cox proportional hazards (CPH) regression model is commonly employed in endometrial cancer (EC) study. Although this method does not need to know the baseline hazard function, it cannot estimate event time ratio (ETR) which measures relative increase or decrease in survival time. To estimate ETR, the Weibull parametric model needs to be applied. The objective of this study is to develop and evaluate the Weibull parametric model for EC patients' survival analysis. METHODS: Training (n = 411) and testing (n = 80) datasets from EC patients were retrospectively collected to investigate this problem. To determine the optimal CPH model from the training dataset, a bi-level model selection with minimax concave penalty was applied to select clinical and radiomic features which were obtained from T2-weighted MRI images. After the CPH model was built, model diagnostic was carried out to evaluate the proportional hazard assumption with Schoenfeld test. Survival data were fitted into a Weibull model and hazard ratio (HR) and ETR were calculated from the model. Brier score and time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were compared between CPH and Weibull models. Goodness of the fit was measured with Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) statistic. RESULTS: Although the proportional hazard assumption holds for fitting EC survival data, the linearity of the model assumption is suspicious as there are trends in the age and cancer grade predictors. The result also showed that there was a significant relation between the EC survival data and the Weibull distribution. Finally, it showed that Weibull model has a larger AUC value than CPH model in general, and it also has smaller Brier score value for EC survival prediction using both training and testing datasets, suggesting that it is more accurate to use the Weibull model for EC survival analysis. CONCLUSIONS: The Weibull parametric model for EC survival analysis allows simultaneous characterization of the treatment effect in terms of the hazard ratio and the event time ratio (ETR), which is likely to be better understood. This method can be extended to study progression free survival and disease specific survival. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03543215, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ , date of registration: 30th June 2017.

Systematic review and meta-analysis: does pre-implantation genetic testing for aneuploidy at the blastocyst stage improve live birth rate?

PURPOSE: To establish if preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidy (PGT-A) at the blastocyst stage improves the composite outcome of live birth rate and ongoing pregnancy rate per embryo transfer compared to conventional morphological assessment. METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted using PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane database from 1st March 2000 until 1st March 2022. Studies comparing reproductive outcomes following in vitro fertilisation using comprehensive chromosome screening (CCS) at the blastocyst stage with traditional morphological methods were evaluated. RESULTS: Of the 1307 citations identified, six randomised control trials (RCTs) and ten cohort studies fulfilled the inclusion criteria. The pooled data identified a benefit between PGT-A and control groups in the composite outcome of live birth rate and ongoing pregnancy per embryo transfer in both the RCT (RR 1.09, 95% CI 1.02-1.16) and cohort studies (RR 1.50, 95% CI 1.28-1.76). Euploid embryos identified by CCS were more likely to be successfully implanted amongst the RCT (RR 1.20, 95% CI 1.10-1.31) and cohort (RR 1.69, 95% CI 1.29-2.21) studies. The rate of miscarriage per clinical pregnancy is also significantly lower when CCS is implemented (RCT: RR 0.73, 95% CI 0.56-0.96 and cohort: RR 0.48, 95% CI 0.32-0.72). CONCLUSIONS: CCS-based PGT-A at the blastocyst biopsy stage increases the composite outcome of live births and ongoing pregnancies per embryo transfer and reduces the rate of miscarriage compared to morphological assessment alone. In view of the limited number of studies included and the variation in methodology between studies, future reviews and analyses are required to confirm these findings.

Prediction of Deep Myometrial Infiltration, Clinical Risk Category, Histological Type, and Lymphovascular Space Invasion in Women with Endometrial Cancer Based on Clinical and T2-Weighted MRI Radiomic Features.

PURPOSE: To predict deep myometrial infiltration (DMI), clinical risk category, histological type, and lymphovascular space invasion (LVSI) in women with endometrial cancer using machine learning classification methods based on clinical and image signatures from T2-weighted MR images. METHODS: A training dataset containing 413 patients and an independent testing dataset consisting of 82 cases were employed in this retrospective study. Manual segmentation of the whole tumor volume on sagittal T2-weighted MRI was performed. Clinical and radiomic features were extracted to predict: (i) DMI of endometrial cancer patients, (ii) endometrial cancer clinical high-risk level, (iii) histological subtype of tumor, and (iv) presence of LVSI. A classification model with different automatically selected hyperparameter values was created. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, F1 score, average recall, and average precision were calculated to evaluate different models. RESULTS: Based on the independent external testing dataset, the AUCs for DMI, high-risk endometrial cancer, endometrial histological type, and LVSI classification were 0.79, 0.82, 0.91, and 0.85, respectively. The corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) of the AUCs were [0.69, 0.89], [0.75, 0.91], [0.83, 0.97], and [0.77, 0.93], respectively. CONCLUSION: It is possible to classify endometrial cancer DMI, risk, histology type, and LVSI using different machine learning methods.

An Integrated Clinical-MR Radiomics Model to Estimate Survival Time in Patients With Endometrial Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Determination of survival time in women with endometrial cancer using clinical features remains imprecise. Features from MRI may improve the survival estimation allowing improved treatment planning. PURPOSE: To identify clinical features and imaging signatures on T2-weighted MRI that can be used in an integrated model to estimate survival time for endometrial cancer subjects. STUDY TYPE: Retrospective. POPULATION: Four hundred thirteen patients with endometrial cancer as training (N = 330, 66.41 ± 11.42 years) and validation (N = 83, 67.60 ± 11.89 years) data and an independent set of 82 subjects as testing data (63.26 ± 12.38 years). FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: 1.5-T and 3-T scanners with sagittal T2-weighted spin echo sequence. ASSESSMENT: Tumor regions were manually segmented on T2-weighted images. Features were extracted from segmented masks, and clinical variables including age, cancer histologic grade and risk score were included in a Cox proportional hazards (CPH) model. A group least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method was implemented to determine the model from the training and validation datasets. STATISTICAL TESTS: A likelihood-ratio test and decision curve analysis were applied to compare the models. Concordance index (CI) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) were calculated to assess the model. RESULTS: Three radiomic features (two image intensity and volume features) and two clinical variables (age and cancer grade) were selected as predictors in the integrated model. The CI was 0.797 for the clinical model (includes clinical variables only) and 0.818 for the integrated model using training and validation datasets, the associated mean AUC value was 0.805 and 0.853. Using the testing dataset, the CI was 0.792 and 0.882, significantly different and the mean AUC was 0.624 and 0.727 for the clinical model and integrated model, respectively. DATA CONCLUSION: The proposed CPH model with radiomic signatures may serve as a tool to improve estimated survival time in women with endometrial cancer. EVIDENCE LEVEL: 4 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

Point-of-Care Diagnosis of Endometrial Cancer Using the Surgical Intelligent Knife (iKnife)-A Prospective Pilot Study of Diagnostic Accuracy.

Introduction: Delays in the diagnosis and treatment of endometrial cancer negatively impact patient survival. The aim of this study was to establish whether rapid evaporative ionisation mass spectrometry using the iKnife can accurately distinguish between normal and malignant endometrial biopsy tissue samples in real time, enabling point-of-care (POC) diagnoses. Methods: Pipelle biopsy samples were obtained from consecutive women needing biopsies for clinical reasons. A Waters G2-XS Xevo Q-Tof mass spectrometer was used in conjunction with a modified handheld diathermy (collectively called the 'iKnife'). Each tissue sample was processed with diathermy, and the resultant surgical aerosol containing ionic lipid species was then analysed, producing spectra. Principal component analyses and linear discriminant analyses were performed to determine variance in spectral signatures. Leave-one-patient-out cross-validation was used to test the diagnostic accuracy. Results: One hundred and fifty patients provided Pipelle biopsy samples (85 normal, 59 malignant, 4 hyperplasia and 2 insufficient), yielding 453 spectra. The iKnife differentiated between normal and malignant endometrial tissues on the basis of differential phospholipid spectra. Cross-validation revealed a diagnostic accuracy of 89% with sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of 85%, 93%, 94% and 85%, respectively. Conclusions: This study is the first to use the iKnife to identify cancer in endometrial Pipelle biopsy samples. These results are highly encouraging and suggest that the iKnife could be used in the clinic to provide a POC diagnosis.

Anxiety and stress in women with suspected endometrial cancer: Survey and paired observational study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the anxiety and stress levels of women with suspected endometrial cancer and factors affecting this. METHODS: Prospective survey and paired observational study of consecutive women with suspected endometrial cancer in a rapid access gynaecology clinic. Structured questionnaire including a GAD-7 anxiety test and a modified stress thermometer were used. Patients ranked their perception of a cancer diagnosis on 0-5 Likert scale (0 = confident not cancer and 5 = cancer). Patients requiring an endometrial tissue biopsy were asked to rank their pain on a visual analogue scale (VAS), this was paired with the survey results. RESULTS: 250 patients completed the study and 23 of which underwent an endometrial tissue biopsy. The median age was 50-59 years old and 59% of women spoke English as their first language. 32% of patients had significant levels of anxiety with GAD-7 score ≥10. The median stress score was three out of five on Likert scale. GAD-7 anxiety scores were higher in women who perceived that they received insufficient information prior to clinic (sufficient information 5 vs. insufficient information 9.5, P = 0.00036) or had a disability (disability 9 vs. no disability 5.5, P = 0.00374). The median VAS score from the biopsies was seven out of 10 (range 1-10). Patients with higher anxiety levels (GAD-7 scores) were more likely to believe they had cancer P <0.00001. CONCLUSIONS: These findings confirm high levels of anxiety and stress in women with suspected endometrial cancer. Adequate pre-clinic information is essential, particularly for minority groups.

Pre-implantation genetic testing for aneuploidy: motivations, concerns, and perceptions in a UK population.

PURPOSE: Pre-implantation genetic testing for aneuploidies (PGT-A) is a technique used as part of in vitro fertilisation to improve outcomes. Despite the upward trend in women utilising PGT-A, data on women's motivations and concerns toward using the technology, and perceptions having undergone the process, remain scarce. METHODS: This cross-sectional survey, based at a fertility clinic in the UK, utilised an electronic questionnaire to assess the motivations of women who undergo PGT-A and their perceptions and attitudes toward PGT-A after using it. RESULTS: One hundred sixty-one women responded. The most significant motivating factors to undergo PGT-A were to improve the probability of having a baby per cycle (9.0 ± 2.1) and enhance the chance of implantation (8.8 ± 2.5). The least important motivations were reducing the number of embryos transferred per cycle (2.7 ± 3.3) and saving money by reducing the number of procedures required (4.6 ± 3.4). The most significant concerning factors identified included not having embryos to transfer (5.7 ± 3.4) and the potential for embryo damage (5.2 ± 3.3). The least concerning factors included religious (0.6 ± 1.7) or moral (1 ± 2.2) concerns. The majority of women were satisfied/very satisfied following treatment (n = 109; 68%). The proportion of those who were satisfied/very satisfied increased to 94.2% (n = 81) following a successful outcome, and reduced to 43.5% (n = 27) in those who had an unsuccessful outcome or had not undergone embryo transfer (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: This study highlights that perceptions amongst women who use PGT-A are mostly positive. We also demonstrate a significant association between satisfaction and reproductive outcomes, with those who achieve a live birth reporting more positive perceptions toward PGT-A.

Evaluating the value of intrapartum fetal scalp blood sampling to predict adverse neonatal outcomes: A UK multicentre observational study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the value of fetal scalp blood sampling (FBS) as an adjunct test to cardiotocography, to predict adverse neonatal outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: A multicentre service evaluation observational study in forty-four maternity units in the UK. We collected data retrospectively on pregnant women with singleton pregnancy who received FBS in labour using a standardised data collection tool. The primary outcome was prediction of neonatal acidaemia diagnosed as umbilical cord arterial pH < 7.05, the secondary outcomes were the prediction of Apgar scores<7 at 1st and 5th minutes and admission to the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU). We evaluated the correlation between the last FBS blood gas before birth and the umbilical cord blood and adjusted for time intervals. We constructed 2 × 2 tables to calculate the sensitivity, specificity, positive (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) and generated receiver operating curves to report on the Area Under the Curve (AUC). RESULTS: In total, 1422 samples were included in the analysis; pH values showed no correlation (r = 0.001, p = 0.9) in samples obtained within an hour (n = 314), or within half an hour from birth (n = 115) (r=-0.003, p = 0.9). A suboptimal FBS pH value (<7.25) had a poor sensitivity (22%) and PPV (4.9%) to predict neonatal acidaemia with high specificity (87.3%) and NPV (97.4%). Similar performance was noted to predict Apgar scores <7 at 1st (sensitivity 14.5%, specificity 87.5%, PPV 23.4%, NPV 79.6%) and 5th minute (sensitivity 20.3%, specificity 87.4%, PPV 7.6%, NPV 95.6%), and admission to NICU (sensitivity 20.3%, specificity 87.5%, PPV 13.3%, NPV 92.1%). The AUC for FBS pH to predict neonatal acidaemia was 0.59 (95%CI 0.59-0.68, p = 0.3) with similar performance to predict Apgar scores<7 at 1st minute (AUC 0.55, 95%CI 0.51-0.59, p = 0.004), 5th minute (AUC 0.55, 95%CI 0.48-0.62, p = 0.13), and admission to NICU (AUC 0.58, 95%CI 0.52-0.64, p = 0.002). Forty-one neonates had acidaemia (2.8%, 41/1422) at birth. There was no significant correlation in pH values between the FBS and the umbilical cord blood in this subgroup adjusted for sampling time intervals (r = 0.03, p = 0.83). CONCLUSIONS: As an adjunct tool to cardiotocography, FBS offered limited value to predict neonatal acidaemia, low Apgar Scores and admission to NICU.

Spontaneous pregnancies following discontinuation of IVF/ICSI treatment: an internet-based survey.

The objective was to determine the likelihood of conceiving spontaneously following cessation of IVF/ICSI; how long does it take and what factors are associated with conception? The design was an internet-based survey. All registered users of www.ivf-infertility.com received an electronic questionnaire addressing issues relating to the duration and cause of infertility, number of IVF/ICSI cycles and outcome, whether they conceived following cessation of IVF/ICSI and the time taken to conceive and outcome. Four hundred and eighty four patients responded of whom 403 met the study criteria. The overall cumulative live birth rate over a 6-year period following cessation of IVF/ICSI was 29%. Eighty-two percent of conceptions occurred within 2 years. Positive factors associated with spontaneous conception were unexplained infertility (p = 0.02), ovulation dysfunction (p = 0.01), infertility less than four years prior to IVF/ICSI (p = 0.045) and 2 years or less since discontinuation of IVF/ICSI (p < 0.001) and up to four attempts at IVF/ICSI (p = 0.02). In conclusion, 29% of couples conceived spontaneously over a 6-year period following the cessation of IVF/ICSI. The findings of this study can be used to counsel and reassure women following IVF/ICSI.

Infertility treatment: when is it time to give up? An Internet-based survey.

INTRODUCTION: Many factors have been suggested that influence a couple's decision to stop infertility treatment despite not achieving their goal of having a baby. This Internet-based questionnaire study aims to shed light on these reasons by surveying patients who have received treatment from a variety of different centres. METHODS: Registered users of an independent infertility website were invited to participate in the survey by filling in a structured questionnaire. RESULTS: Eighty users completed the questionnaire. Fifty-eight percent of patients received treatment in just one centre. Seventy-eight percent of the patients paid for the treatment themselves. Forty-two percent of couples intended to have only one treatment cycle and 60% of couples reported undergoing more cycles than they had originally intended. Ten percent of patients regretted not stopping their treatment earlier. The most common reasons why patients opted against further treatment cycles were financial constraints (46%), emotional burden (35%), poor response to treatment (29%) and poor egg quality (19%). CONCLUSIONS: The decision to stop treatment despite poor outcomes is a difficult one and unique to the couple. The findings of this study are consistent with the widely held belief that in vitro fertilization is a stressful, expensive process, given that almost all women cited these as reasons to stop treatment.

The forgotten coil.

OBJECTIVE: To raise awareness of forgotten intrauterine contraceptive devices (IUDs). DESIGN: Case report. SETTING: District general hospital in London. PATIENT(S): Two women, one with secondary infertility and one with heavy, painful periods, both unaware they had an IUD. INTERVENTION(S): Removal of the forgotten IUD. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Return of fertility and improvement in gynecologic symptoms. RESULT(S): After the removal of the IUD, the first patient who had had secondary infertility conceived within 1 month. In the second patient, the symptoms of menorrhagia and dysmenorrhea improved after removal of the IUD. CONCLUSION(S): Although it is rare, a forgotten IUD is a potential cause of unexplained infertility and a differential diagnosis for gynecologic symptoms.

Infertility counselling--an internet-based survey.

UNLABELLED: Infertility and its treatment can be a very stressful experience. Some countries have legislation governing the provision of counselling for assisted conception treatments. All licensed IVF clinics in the UK are required to offer patients counselling. OBJECTIVES: To determine the proportion of patients who were offered counselling, the proportion of those who then received counselling, how useful they found it, and to establish the main reasons why patients may opt not to receive counselling. METHODS: An internet-based survey of users of an independent infertility website. Two-hundred-and-forty-four patients participated in the survey, of which 62% received treatment in the UK. CONCLUSIONS: Seventy-three per cent of all couples were offered, or obliged, to receive counselling compared to 91% of those patients treated in the UK. Of the patients who took part in the survey, only 30% received counselling; over half of those patients found it either 'very helpful' or 'helpful'. No differences were observed in the perceived usefulness of counselling, comparing those patients who were offered, and chose to receive, counselling versus those who received mandatory counselling. In patients who did not receive counselling, the main reasons cited were: 'felt I can cope on my own' (37%), 'counselling was not offered' (21%), and 'did not think it would be beneficial' (15%).

How do infertile couples choose their IVF centers? An Internet-based survey.

We evaluated and compared different factors affecting a patient's choice of initial and subsequent in vitro fertilization (IVF) clinics using an Internet-based survey. The two highest-ranking factors affecting both initial and subsequent clinic choices were the success rate of the clinic and the quality of the service provided.