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1.
N Z Med J ; 137(1596): 35-42, 2024 Jun 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38843548

ABSTRACT

AIMS: New Zealand melanoma incidence rates are amongst the highest in the world. The study aims to provide information on the incidence of cutaneous melanoma in New Zealand from 2000 to 2022. METHODS: De-identified data were extracted from the New Zealand Cancer Registry using the ICD-10 code for malignant melanoma (C34) and melanoma in situ (MIS) (D03) from 2000 to 2022. Statistical analysis was performed to calculate melanoma incidence rates. RESULTS: Invasive melanoma (IM) incidence rates demonstrated an increasing trend from 2000 to 2008 (+1.10 per 100,000 person-years per year), followed by an inflection point at 2008 and then a decreasing trend from 2008 to 2022 (-0.28 per 100,000 person-years per year), which was not statistically different from zero/no change. MIS incidence increased from 30.3 to 72.1 per 100,000 person-years between 2000 and 2022. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of IM in New Zealand has plateaued in the last decade and was associated with an increase in MIS incidence over the same period. While this trend is encouraging, further research is required to investigate whether there is an actual decline in IM incidence.


Subject(s)
Melanoma , Registries , Skin Neoplasms , Melanoma/epidemiology , New Zealand/epidemiology , Humans , Incidence , Skin Neoplasms/epidemiology , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , Adult , Adolescent , Young Adult , Aged, 80 and over , Melanoma, Cutaneous Malignant , Child
2.
Oxf J Leg Stud ; 44(2): 342-375, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38855123

ABSTRACT

Suppose that a defendant's conviction would amount to an interference with their right to peaceful protest, protected by articles 10 and 11 of the European Convention on Human Rights. Is a court then obliged to make a conviction turn on a fact-sensitive proportionality assessment justifying the interference? Drawing on the jurisprudence of the domestic and Strasbourg courts, this article argues that the case law has crystallised into two paradigms that provide distinct answers: the 'justificatory paradigm' in European human rights law and the 'offence-centric' paradigm in domestic law. The article exposes how and why this divergence has developed, what is at stake at the level of constitutional values and how this conflict might be resolved. It is argued that compliance with Strasbourg now depends on the integration of the justificatory paradigm into domestic law. The article imagines how this might be done in a manner sensitive to domestic constitutional values, using the mechanics on offer in the Human Rights Act 1998.

3.
Front Immunol ; 15: 1412076, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38903497

ABSTRACT

Macrophages play essential roles in maintaining tissue homeostasis and immune defence. However, their extensive infiltration into tumours has been linked to adverse outcomes in multiple human cancers. Within the tumour microenvironment (TME), tumour-associated macrophages (TAMs) promote tumour growth and metastasis, making them prime targets for cancer immunotherapy. Recent single-cell analysis suggest that proliferating TAMs accumulate in human cancers, yet their origins and differentiation pathways remain uncertain. Here, we show that a subpopulation of CD163+ TAMs proliferates in situ within the TME of melanoma, lung cancer, and breast cancer. Consistent with their potential role in suppressing anti-tumour activities of T cells, CD163+ TAMs express a range of potent immunosuppressive molecules, including PD-L1, PD-L2, IL-10, and TGF-ß. Other phenotypic markers strongly suggested that these cells originate from CD14+ CCR2+ monocytes, a cell population believed to have minimal capacity for proliferation. However, we demonstrate in vitro that certain myelopoietic cytokines commonly available within the TME induce robust proliferation of human monocytes, especially the combination of interleukin 3 (IL-3) and Macrophage Colony-Stimulating Factor 1 (M-CSF). Monocytic cells cultured with these cytokines efficiently modulate T cell proliferation, and their molecular phenotype recapitulates that of CD163+ TAMs. IL-3-driven proliferation of monocytic cells can be completely blocked by IL-4, associated with the induction of CDKN1A, alongside the upregulation of transcription factors linked to dendritic cell function, such as BATF3 and IRF4. Taken together, our work suggests several novel therapeutic routes to reducing immunosuppressive TAMs in human tumours, from blocking chemokine-mediated recruitment of monocytes to blocking their proliferation.


Subject(s)
Cell Proliferation , Monocytes , Tumor Microenvironment , Tumor-Associated Macrophages , Humans , Monocytes/immunology , Monocytes/metabolism , Tumor Microenvironment/immunology , Tumor-Associated Macrophages/immunology , Tumor-Associated Macrophages/metabolism , Neoplasms/immunology , Neoplasms/pathology , Antigens, CD/metabolism , Female , Macrophages/immunology , Macrophages/metabolism , Receptors, Cell Surface/metabolism , Antigens, Differentiation, Myelomonocytic/metabolism , Cytokines/metabolism , T-Lymphocytes/immunology , T-Lymphocytes/metabolism , Breast Neoplasms/immunology , Breast Neoplasms/pathology
4.
EBioMedicine ; 105: 105168, 2024 Jun 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38878676

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Understanding the role of circulating proteins in prostate cancer risk can reveal key biological pathways and identify novel targets for cancer prevention. METHODS: We investigated the association of 2002 genetically predicted circulating protein levels with risk of prostate cancer overall, and of aggressive and early onset disease, using cis-pQTL Mendelian randomisation (MR) and colocalisation. Findings for proteins with support from both MR, after correction for multiple-testing, and colocalisation were replicated using two independent cancer GWAS, one of European and one of African ancestry. Proteins with evidence of prostate-specific tissue expression were additionally investigated using spatial transcriptomic data in prostate tumour tissue to assess their role in tumour aggressiveness. Finally, we mapped risk proteins to drug and ongoing clinical trials targets. FINDINGS: We identified 20 proteins genetically linked to prostate cancer risk (14 for overall [8 specific], 7 for aggressive [3 specific], and 8 for early onset disease [2 specific]), of which the majority replicated where data were available. Among these were proteins associated with aggressive disease, such as PPA2 [Odds Ratio (OR) per 1 SD increment = 2.13, 95% CI: 1.54-2.93], PYY [OR = 1.87, 95% CI: 1.43-2.44] and PRSS3 [OR = 0.80, 95% CI: 0.73-0.89], and those associated with early onset disease, including EHPB1 [OR = 2.89, 95% CI: 1.99-4.21], POGLUT3 [OR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.67-0.86] and TPM3 [OR = 0.47, 95% CI: 0.34-0.64]. We confirmed an inverse association of MSMB with prostate cancer overall [OR = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.80-0.82], and also found an inverse association with both aggressive [OR = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.82-0.86] and early onset disease [OR = 0.71, 95% CI: 0.68-0.74]. Using spatial transcriptomics data, we identified MSMB as the genome-wide top-most predictive gene to distinguish benign regions from high grade cancer regions that comparatively had five-fold lower MSMB expression. Additionally, ten proteins that were associated with prostate cancer risk also mapped to existing therapeutic interventions. INTERPRETATION: Our findings emphasise the importance of proteomics for improving our understanding of prostate cancer aetiology and of opportunities for novel therapeutic interventions. Additionally, we demonstrate the added benefit of in-depth functional analyses to triangulate the role of risk proteins in the clinical aggressiveness of prostate tumours. Using these integrated methods, we identify a subset of risk proteins associated with aggressive and early onset disease as priorities for investigation for the future prevention and treatment of prostate cancer. FUNDING: This work was supported by Cancer Research UK (grant no. C8221/A29017).

5.
Wellcome Open Res ; 9: 30, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38911899

ABSTRACT

Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common cancer worldwide, with 1.9 million new cases in 2020 and a predicted rise to 3.2 million in 2040. Screening programmes are already in place to aid early detection and secondary prevention of CRC, but the rising prevalence means additional approaches are required in both primary and secondary prevention settings. Preventive therapy, whereby natural or synthetic agents are used to prevent, reverse or delay disease development, could be an effective strategy to further reduce cancer risk and potential agents have already been identified in conventional observational studies. However, as such studies are vulnerable to confounding and reverse causation, we aim to evaluate these observed relationships using Mendelian randomization (MR), an alternative causal inference approach which should be less susceptible to these biases. Methods and analysis: We will use two-sample MR, which uses two independent samples for the exposure and outcome data, to investigate previously reported observational associations of multiple potential preventive agents with CRC risk. We define preventive agents as any synthetic (e.g. approved medication) or natural (e.g. micronutrient, endogenous hormone) molecule used to reduce the risk of cancer. We will first extract potential preventive agents that have been previously linked to CRC risk in observational studies from reviews of the literature. We will then evaluate whether we can develop a genetic instrument for each preventive agent from previously published genome-wide association studies (GWASs) of direct measures of molecular traits (e.g. circulating levels of protein drug targets, blood-based biomarkers of dietary vitamins). The summary statistics from these GWASs, and a large GWAS of CRC, will be used in two-sample MR analyses to investigate the causal effect of putative preventive therapy agents on CRC risk. Sensitivity analyses will be conducted to evaluate the robustness of findings to potential violations of MR assumptions.


Colorectal cancer is the third most common cancer worldwide and the second most common cause of cancer-related death. An individual's chances of surviving the disease are increased if it is caught early or even prevented from developing in the first place. Currently, screening in the UK is offered to everyone over the age of 50 and whilst this can be effective in early cancer detection and secondary prevention, additional prevention strategies are needed to reduce cancer rates. Previous research has investigated whether intake of certain medications, dietary micronutrients or hormones can help prevent colorectal cancer development. There is some evidence to show that taking aspirin can reduce your risk of developing colorectal cancer, however, given potential adverse side effects to taking aspirin (e.g. gastrointestinal bleeding), this medication is not suitable for everyone. We wanted to assess whether other previously identified medications, micronutrients or hormones have any effect on reducing risk of cancer development. If we can identify a compound that could reduce an individual's risk of developing colorectal cancer, it could be used as an additional cancer prevention strategy. We curated a list of potential preventive compounds from previously conducted studies that used observational epidemiological (i.e. non-randomised) methods. Distinguishing statistical correlations from causal relationships when using observational methods can be difficult. This can be due to additional factors in the study affecting both the use of potential preventive compounds and an individual's risk of cancer development (e.g. those taking vitamin supplements having a healthier diet) or the observed relationship may be causal but in the opposite direction (e.g. a cancer diagnosis has a subsequent effect on dietary habits). We will use an alternative epidemiological method, called Mendelian randomization, which uses genetics to attempt to overcome this issue and enable us to determine if a specific compound is reducing cancer risk.

6.
Int J Epidemiol ; 53(3)2024 Apr 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38725300

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third-most-common cancer worldwide and its rates are increasing. Elevated body mass index (BMI) is an established risk factor for CRC, although the molecular mechanisms behind this association remain unclear. Using the Mendelian randomization (MR) framework, we aimed to investigate the mediating effects of putative biomarkers and other CRC risk factors in the association between BMI and CRC. METHODS: We selected as mediators biomarkers of established cancer-related mechanisms and other CRC risk factors for which a plausible association with obesity exists, such as inflammatory biomarkers, glucose homeostasis traits, lipids, adipokines, insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF1), sex hormones, 25-hydroxy-vitamin D, smoking, physical activity (PA) and alcohol consumption. We used inverse-variance weighted MR in the main univariable analyses and performed sensitivity analyses (weighted-median, MR-Egger, Contamination Mixture). We used multivariable MR for the mediation analyses. RESULTS: Genetically predicted BMI was positively associated with CRC risk [odds ratio per SD (5 kg/m2) = 1.17, 95% CI: 1.08-1.24, P-value = 1.4 × 10-5] and robustly associated with nearly all potential mediators. Genetically predicted IGF1, fasting insulin, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, smoking, PA and alcohol were associated with CRC risk. Evidence for attenuation was found for IGF1 [explained 7% (95% CI: 2-13%) of the association], smoking (31%, 4-57%) and PA (7%, 2-11%). There was little evidence for pleiotropy, although smoking was bidirectionally associated with BMI and instruments were weak for PA. CONCLUSIONS: The effect of BMI on CRC risk is possibly partly mediated through plasma IGF1, whereas the attenuation of the BMI-CRC association by smoking and PA may reflect confounding and shared underlying mechanisms rather than mediation.


Subject(s)
Body Mass Index , Colorectal Neoplasms , Mendelian Randomization Analysis , Obesity , Humans , Colorectal Neoplasms/genetics , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Obesity/genetics , Obesity/epidemiology , Insulin-Like Growth Factor I/metabolism , Alcohol Drinking/epidemiology
7.
Physiol Meas ; 45(5)2024 Jun 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38772400

ABSTRACT

Objective.Highly comparative time series analysis (HCTSA) is a novel approach involving massive feature extraction using publicly available code from many disciplines. The Prematurity-Related Ventilatory Control (Pre-Vent) observational multicenter prospective study collected bedside monitor data from>700extremely preterm infants to identify physiologic features that predict respiratory outcomes.Approach. We calculated a subset of 33 HCTSA features on>7 M 10 min windows of oxygen saturation (SPO2) and heart rate (HR) from the Pre-Vent cohort to quantify predictive performance. This subset included representatives previously identified using unsupervised clustering on>3500HCTSA algorithms. We hypothesized that the best HCTSA algorithms would compare favorably to optimal PreVent physiologic predictor IH90_DPE (duration per event of intermittent hypoxemia events below 90%).Main Results.The top HCTSA features were from a cluster of algorithms associated with the autocorrelation of SPO2 time series and identified low frequency patterns of desaturation as high risk. These features had comparable performance to and were highly correlated with IH90_DPE but perhaps measure the physiologic status of an infant in a more robust way that warrants further investigation. The top HR HCTSA features were symbolic transformation measures that had previously been identified as strong predictors of neonatal mortality. HR metrics were only important predictors at early days of life which was likely due to the larger proportion of infants whose outcome was death by any cause. A simple HCTSA model using 3 top features outperformed IH90_DPE at day of life 7 (.778 versus .729) but was essentially equivalent at day of life 28 (.849 versus .850).Significance. These results validated the utility of a representative HCTSA approach but also provides additional evidence supporting IH90_DPE as an optimal predictor of respiratory outcomes.


Subject(s)
Heart Rate , Infant, Extremely Premature , Oxygen Saturation , Humans , Heart Rate/physiology , Infant, Newborn , Oxygen Saturation/physiology , Infant, Extremely Premature/physiology , Time Factors , Algorithms , Respiration , Female , Prospective Studies
8.
PLoS Pathog ; 20(5): e1011835, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38758969

ABSTRACT

A novel group of biocidal compounds are the Crystal 3D (Cry) and Cytolytic (Cyt) proteins produced by Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt). Some Bt Cry proteins have a selective nematocidal activity, with Cry5B being the most studied. Cry5B kills nematode parasites by binding selectively to membrane glycosphingolipids, then forming pores in the cell membranes of the intestine leading to damage. Cry5B selectively targets multiple species of nematodes from different clades and has no effect against mammalian hosts. Levamisole is a cholinergic anthelmintic that acts by selectively opening L-subtype nicotinic acetylcholine receptor ion-channels (L-AChRs) that have been found on muscles of nematodes. A synergistic nematocidal interaction between levamisole and Cry5B at the whole-worm level has been described previously, but the location, mechanism and time-course of this synergism is not known. In this study we follow the timeline of the effects of levamisole and Cry5B on the Ca2+ levels in enterocyte cells in the intestine of Ascaris suum using fluorescence imaging. The peak Ca2+ responses to levamisole were observed after approximately 10 minutes while the peak responses to activated Cry5B were observed after approximately 80 minutes. When levamisole and Cry5B were applied simultaneously, we observed that the responses to Cry5B were bigger and occurred sooner than when it was applied by itself. It is proposed that the synergism is due to the cytoplasmic Ca2+ overload that is induced by the combination of levamisole opening Ca2+ permeable L-subtype nAChRs and the Ca2+ permeable Cry5B toxin pores produced in the enterocyte plasma membranes. The effect of levamisole potentiates and speeds the actions of Cry5B that gives rise to bigger Ca2+ overloads that accelerates cell-death of the enterocytes.


Subject(s)
Ascaris suum , Bacillus thuringiensis Toxins , Bacterial Proteins , Endotoxins , Hemolysin Proteins , Levamisole , Levamisole/pharmacology , Animals , Bacillus thuringiensis Toxins/pharmacology , Endotoxins/pharmacology , Endotoxins/metabolism , Hemolysin Proteins/pharmacology , Hemolysin Proteins/metabolism , Bacterial Proteins/metabolism , Ascaris suum/drug effects , Anthelmintics/pharmacology , Intestines/drug effects , Intestines/parasitology , Drug Synergism , Antinematodal Agents/pharmacology , Bacillus thuringiensis/drug effects
9.
Nat Commun ; 15(1): 3621, 2024 Apr 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38684708

ABSTRACT

Circulating proteins can reveal key pathways to cancer and identify therapeutic targets for cancer prevention. We investigate 2,074 circulating proteins and risk of nine common cancers (bladder, breast, endometrium, head and neck, lung, ovary, pancreas, kidney, and malignant non-melanoma) using cis protein Mendelian randomisation and colocalization. We conduct additional analyses to identify adverse side-effects of altering risk proteins and map cancer risk proteins to drug targets. Here we find 40 proteins associated with common cancers, such as PLAUR and risk of breast cancer [odds ratio per standard deviation increment: 2.27, 1.88-2.74], and with high-mortality cancers, such as CTRB1 and pancreatic cancer [0.79, 0.73-0.85]. We also identify potential adverse effects of protein-altering interventions to reduce cancer risk, such as hypertension. Additionally, we report 18 proteins associated with cancer risk that map to existing drugs and 15 that are not currently under clinical investigation. In sum, we identify protein-cancer links that improve our understanding of cancer aetiology. We also demonstrate that the wider consequence of any protein-altering intervention on well-being and morbidity is required to interpret any utility of proteins as potential future targets for therapeutic prevention.


Subject(s)
Neoplasms , Humans , Neoplasms/genetics , Female , Risk Factors , Mendelian Randomization Analysis , Biomarkers, Tumor/genetics , Biomarkers, Tumor/metabolism , Biomarkers, Tumor/blood , Male , Blood Proteins/metabolism
11.
JAMA ; 331(17): 1460-1470, 2024 05 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38581198

ABSTRACT

Importance: The Cluster Randomized Trial of PSA Testing for Prostate Cancer (CAP) reported no effect of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening on prostate cancer mortality at a median 10-year follow-up (primary outcome), but the long-term effects of PSA screening on prostate cancer mortality remain unclear. Objective: To evaluate the effect of a single invitation for PSA screening on prostate cancer-specific mortality at a median 15-year follow-up compared with no invitation for screening. Design, Setting, and Participants: This secondary analysis of the CAP randomized clinical trial included men aged 50 to 69 years identified at 573 primary care practices in England and Wales. Primary care practices were randomized between September 25, 2001, and August 24, 2007, and men were enrolled between January 8, 2002, and January 20, 2009. Follow-up was completed on March 31, 2021. Intervention: Men received a single invitation for a PSA screening test with subsequent diagnostic tests if the PSA level was 3.0 ng/mL or higher. The control group received standard practice (no invitation). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was reported previously. Of 8 prespecified secondary outcomes, results of 4 were reported previously. The 4 remaining prespecified secondary outcomes at 15-year follow-up were prostate cancer-specific mortality, all-cause mortality, and prostate cancer stage and Gleason grade at diagnosis. Results: Of 415 357 eligible men (mean [SD] age, 59.0 [5.6] years), 98% were included in these analyses. Overall, 12 013 and 12 958 men with a prostate cancer diagnosis were in the intervention and control groups, respectively (15-year cumulative risk, 7.08% [95% CI, 6.95%-7.21%] and 6.94% [95% CI, 6.82%-7.06%], respectively). At a median 15-year follow-up, 1199 men in the intervention group (0.69% [95% CI, 0.65%-0.73%]) and 1451 men in the control group (0.78% [95% CI, 0.73%-0.82%]) died of prostate cancer (rate ratio [RR], 0.92 [95% CI, 0.85-0.99]; P = .03). Compared with the control, the PSA screening intervention increased detection of low-grade (Gleason score [GS] ≤6: 2.2% vs 1.6%; P < .001) and localized (T1/T2: 3.6% vs 3.1%; P < .001) disease but not intermediate (GS of 7), high-grade (GS ≥8), locally advanced (T3), or distally advanced (T4/N1/M1) tumors. There were 45 084 all-cause deaths in the intervention group (23.2% [95% CI, 23.0%-23.4%]) and 50 336 deaths in the control group (23.3% [95% CI, 23.1%-23.5%]) (RR, 0.97 [95% CI, 0.94-1.01]; P = .11). Eight of the prostate cancer deaths in the intervention group (0.7%) and 7 deaths in the control group (0.5%) were related to a diagnostic biopsy or prostate cancer treatment. Conclusions and Relevance: In this secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial, a single invitation for PSA screening compared with standard practice without routine screening reduced prostate cancer deaths at a median follow-up of 15 years. However, the absolute reduction in deaths was small. Trial Registration: isrctn.org Identifier: ISRCTN92187251.


Subject(s)
Early Detection of Cancer , Prostate-Specific Antigen , Prostatic Neoplasms , Aged , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Early Detection of Cancer/methods , Early Detection of Cancer/statistics & numerical data , England/epidemiology , Follow-Up Studies , Mass Screening/methods , Mass Screening/statistics & numerical data , Neoplasm Grading , Prostate-Specific Antigen/blood , Prostatic Neoplasms/diagnosis , Prostatic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Prostatic Neoplasms/mortality , Prostatic Neoplasms/therapy , Wales/epidemiology , Ultrasonography , Image-Guided Biopsy
12.
J Pediatr ; 271: 114042, 2024 Apr 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38570031

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to examine the association of cardiorespiratory events, including apnea, periodic breathing, intermittent hypoxemia (IH), and bradycardia, with late-onset sepsis for extremely preterm infants (<29 weeks of gestational age) on vs off invasive mechanical ventilation. STUDY DESIGN: This is a retrospective analysis of data from infants enrolled in Pre-Vent (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT03174301), an observational study in 5 level IV neonatal intensive care units. Clinical data were analyzed for 737 infants (mean gestational age: 26.4 weeks, SD 1.71). Monitoring data were available and analyzed for 719 infants (47 512 patient-days); of whom, 109 had 123 sepsis events. Using continuous monitoring data, we quantified apnea, periodic breathing, bradycardia, and IH. We analyzed the relationships between these daily measures and late-onset sepsis (positive blood culture >72 hours after birth and ≥5-day antibiotics). RESULTS: For infants not on a ventilator, apnea, periodic breathing, and bradycardia increased before sepsis diagnosis. During times on a ventilator, increased sepsis risk was associated with longer events with oxygen saturation <80% (IH80) and more bradycardia events before sepsis. IH events were associated with higher sepsis risk but did not dynamically increase before sepsis, regardless of ventilator status. A multivariable model including postmenstrual age, cardiorespiratory variables (apnea, periodic breathing, IH80, and bradycardia), and ventilator status predicted sepsis with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of 0.783. CONCLUSION: We identified cardiorespiratory signatures of late-onset sepsis. Longer IH events were associated with increased sepsis risk but did not change temporally near diagnosis. Increases in bradycardia, apnea, and periodic breathing preceded the clinical diagnosis of sepsis.

13.
Palliat Med Rep ; 5(1): 127-135, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38560743

ABSTRACT

Background: There is a dearth of studies evaluating the utility of reporting prognostication among nursing home (NH) residents with cancer. Objective: To study factors associated with documented less than six-month prognosis, and its relationship with end-of-life (EOL) care quality measures among residents with cancer. Methods: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results linked with Medicare, and the Minimum Data Set databases was used to identify 20,397 NH residents in the United States with breast, colorectal, lung, pancreatic, or prostate cancer who died between July 2016 and December 2018. Of these, 2205 residents (10.8%) were documented with less than six-month prognosis upon NH admission. Main outcomes were more than one hospitalization, more than one emergency department visit, and any intensive care unit admission within the last 30 days of life as aggressive EOL care markers, as well as admission to hospice, receipt of advance care planning and palliative care, and survival. Specificity and sensitivity of prognosis were assessed using six-month mortality as the outcome. Propensity score matching adjusted for selection biases, and logistic regression examined association. Results: Specificity and sensitivity of documented less than six-month prognosis for mortality were 94.2% and 13.7%, respectively. Residents with documented less than six-month prognosis had greater odds of being admitted to hospice than those without (adjusted odds ratio: 3.27, 95% confidence interval: 2.86-3.62), and lower odds to receive aggressive EOL care. Conclusion: In this cohort study, documented less than six-month prognosis was associated with less aggressive EOL care. Despite its high specificity, however, low sensitivity limits its utility to operationalize care on a larger population of residents with terminal illness.

14.
Med Decis Making ; 44(3): 283-295, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38426435

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This article demonstrates a means of assessing long-term intervention cost-effectiveness in the absence of data from randomized controlled trials and without recourse to Markov simulation or similar types of cohort simulation. METHODS: Using a Mendelian randomization study design, we developed causal estimates of the genetically predicted effect of bladder, breast, colorectal, lung, multiple myeloma, ovarian, prostate, and thyroid cancers on health care costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) using outcome data drawn from the UK Biobank cohort. We then used these estimates in a simulation model to estimate the cost-effectiveness of a hypothetical population-wide preventative intervention based on a repurposed class of antidiabetic drugs known as sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors very recently shown to reduce the odds of incident prostate cancer. RESULTS: Genetic liability to prostate cancer and breast cancer had material causal impacts on either or both health care costs and QALYs. Mendelian randomization results for the less common cancers were associated with considerable uncertainty. SGLT2 inhibition was unlikely to be a cost-effective preventative intervention for prostate cancer, although this conclusion depended on the price at which these drugs would be offered for a novel anticancer indication. IMPLICATIONS: Our new causal estimates of cancer exposures on health economic outcomes may be used as inputs into decision-analytic models of cancer interventions such as screening programs or simulations of longer-term outcomes associated with therapies investigated in randomized controlled trials with short follow-ups. Our method allowed us to rapidly and efficiently estimate the cost-effectiveness of a hypothetical population-scale anticancer intervention to inform and complement other means of assessing long-term intervention value. HIGHLIGHTS: The article demonstrates a novel method of assessing long-term intervention cost-effectiveness without relying on randomized controlled trials or cohort simulations.Mendelian randomization was used to estimate the causal effects of certain cancers on health care costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) using data from the UK Biobank cohort.Given causal data on the association of different cancer exposures on costs and QALYs, it was possible to simulate the cost-effectiveness of an anticancer intervention.Genetic liability to prostate cancer and breast cancer significantly affected health care costs and QALYs, but the hypothetical intervention using SGLT2 inhibitors for prostate cancer may not be cost-effective, depending on the drug's price for the new anticancer indication. The methods we propose and implement can be used to efficiently estimate intervention cost-effectiveness and to inform decision making in all manner of preventative and therapeutic contexts.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Prostatic Neoplasms , Male , Humans , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Sodium-Glucose Transporter 2 , Prostatic Neoplasms/genetics , Hypoglycemic Agents , Breast Neoplasms/genetics , Quality-Adjusted Life Years
15.
Neonatology ; 121(3): 327-335, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38437802

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Length of hospitalization varies widely in preterm infants and can be affected by multiple maternal and neonatal factors including respiratory instability. Therefore, we aimed to determine the association between postnatal intermittent hypoxemia (IH) and prolonged hospitalization. METHODS: This prospective single-center cohort study followed infants born at <31 weeks of gestational age through 2 years corrected age with detailed oxygen saturation data captured from days 7 to 30 of age. RESULTS: 51/164 (31%) of infants were discharged after 400/7 weeks of corrected gestational age (CGA). A greater average daily number of IH events (OR per 10 events/day 1.33 [95% CI 1.03-1.72]), duration of events (OR per minute 1.14 [1.07-1.21]), and percent time with oxygen saturation <80% (OR per percent 1.88 [1.25-2.85]) on days 7-30 of age were all significantly associated with prolonged hospitalization past 400/7 weeks CGA. In survival analyses, infants with a greater average daily number of IH events (HR per 10 events/day 0.89 [0.81-0.98]), percent time with oxygen saturation <80% (HR per percent 0.79 [0.67-0.94]), and duration of events (HR per minute 0.93 [0.91-0.95]) on days 7-30 of age all had significantly lower probability of earlier discharge. In addition, there was a significant interaction with gestational age; the association between IH and prolonged hospitalization was stronger in more mature infants (p = 0.024). CONCLUSIONS: Physiological instability on days 7-30 of age, as manifested by IH, is significantly associated with prolonged hospitalization. IH likely represents both a marker of initial severity of illness and the beginning of biological cascades, leading to prematurity-associated morbidities.


Subject(s)
Gestational Age , Hypoxia , Infant, Premature , Intensive Care Units, Neonatal , Length of Stay , Humans , Infant, Newborn , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , Prospective Studies , Female , Male , Oxygen Saturation , Infant, Premature, Diseases , Infant , Risk Factors
16.
Int J Obes (Lond) ; 48(6): 764-777, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38467727

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Legislation aimed at reducing sugar intake assumes that sweet-liking drives overconsumption. However, evidence that a greater liking for sweet taste is associated with unhealthier body size is mixed and complicated by relatively small samples, an overreliance on body mass index (BMI) and lack of classification using sweet-liking phenotypes. METHODS: We first examined body size data in two larger samples with sweet-liking phenotyping: extreme sweet-likers, moderate sweet-likers and sweet-dislikers. Adults (18-34yrs), attended a two-session lab-based experiment involving phenotyping for sweet-liking status and a bioelectrical impedance body composition measurement (Experiment One: N = 200; Experiment Two: N = 314). Secondly, we conducted an individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis: systematic searches across four databases identified 5736 potential articles. Of these, 53 papers met our search criteria: a taste assessment that measured liking using sucrose (>13.7% w/v), which allowed sweet-liking phenotyping and included either BMI, body fat percentage (BF%), fat-free mass (FFM) or waist-circumference. RESULTS: A significant effect of sweet-liking phenotype on FFM was found in both Experiment One and Two, with extreme sweet-likers having significantly higher FFM than sweet-dislikers. In Experiment One, sweet-dislikers had a significantly higher BF% than extreme sweet-likers and moderate sweet-likers. However, as these data are from one research group in a young, predominantly westernised population, and the results did not perfectly replicate, we conducted the IPD meta-analyses to further clarify the findings. Robust one-stage IPD meta-analyses of 15 studies controlling for sex revealed no significant differences in BF% (n = 1836) or waist-circumference (n = 706). For BMI (n = 2368), moderate sweet-likers had slightly lower BMI than extreme sweet-likers, who had the highest overall BMI. Most interestingly, for FFM (n = 768), moderate sweet-likers and sweet-dislikers showed significantly lower FFM than extreme sweet-likers. CONCLUSION: The higher BMI often seen in sweet-likers may be due to a larger FFM and questions the simple model where sweet liking alone is a risk factor for obesity.


Subject(s)
Body Composition , Food Preferences , Phenotype , Taste , Humans , Body Composition/physiology , Adult , Male , Female , Food Preferences/physiology , Food Preferences/psychology , Taste/physiology , Body Mass Index , Young Adult , Adolescent
17.
Adv Parasitol ; 123: 51-123, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38448148

ABSTRACT

The ascarids are a large group of parasitic nematodes that infect a wide range of animal species. In humans, they cause neglected diseases of poverty; many animal parasites also cause zoonotic infections in people. Control measures include hygiene and anthelmintic treatments, but they are not always appropriate or effective and this creates a continuing need to search for better ways to reduce the human, welfare and economic costs of these infections. To this end, Le Studium Institute of Advanced Studies organized a two-day conference to identify major gaps in our understanding of ascarid parasites with a view to setting research priorities that would allow for improved control. The participants identified several key areas for future focus, comprising of advances in genomic analysis and the use of model organisms, especially Caenorhabditis elegans, a more thorough appreciation of the complexity of host-parasite (and parasite-parasite) communications, a search for novel anthelmintic drugs and the development of effective vaccines. The participants agreed to try and maintain informal links in the future that could form the basis for collaborative projects, and to co-operate to organize future meetings and workshops to promote ascarid research.


Subject(s)
Anthelmintics , Zoonoses , Animals , Humans , Zoonoses/prevention & control , Caenorhabditis elegans , Academies and Institutes , Research , Anthelmintics/therapeutic use
18.
Neonatology ; : 1-10, 2024 Mar 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38484718

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Hyaluronan (HA) is a major component of the extracellular matrix. Increased pulmonary HA concentrations are associated with several respiratory disorders and is a pathophysiological feature of lung disease. We investigated whether elevated urine HA is a biomarker of an unfavorable 40-week respiratory outcome in preterm infants. METHODS: Infants comprised a cohort of preterm neonates <31 weeks gestational age (GA) from the Prematurity-Related Ventilatory Control (Pre-Vent) multicenter study. HA was quantified in urine obtained at 1 week and 1 month of age. Respiratory status at 40 weeks post-menstrual age (PMA) was classified as unfavorable [either (1) deceased at or before 40 weeks PMA, (2) an inpatient on respiratory medication, O2 or other respiratory support at 40 weeks, or (3) discharged prior to 40 weeks on medications/O2/other respiratory support], or favorable (alive and previously discharged, or inpatient and off respiratory medications, off O2, and off other respiratory support at 40 weeks PMA). The association between urine HA and the unfavorable 40 week PMA outcome was examined using a multivariate logistic generalized estimation equation model. RESULTS: Infants with higher HA at 1 week (but not 1 month) showed increased odds of unfavorable respiratory outcome at 40 weeks PMA (OR [95% CI] = 1.87 per 0.01 mg [1.27, 2.73]). DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: Neonatal urine screening for HA could identify infants at risk for death or need for respiratory support at term-corrected age (40 weeks PMA). The relationship between elevated HA at 1 week and an unfavorable 40 week outcome was stronger in infants with lower GA.

19.
EBioMedicine ; 100: 104991, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38301482

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Tumour-promoting inflammation is a "hallmark" of cancer and conventional epidemiological studies have reported links between various inflammatory markers and cancer risk. The causal nature of these relationships and, thus, the suitability of these markers as intervention targets for cancer prevention is unclear. METHODS: We meta-analysed 6 genome-wide association studies of circulating inflammatory markers comprising 59,969 participants of European ancestry. We then used combined cis-Mendelian randomization and colocalisation analysis to evaluate the causal role of 66 circulating inflammatory markers in risk of 30 adult cancers in 338,294 cancer cases and up to 1,238,345 controls. Genetic instruments for inflammatory markers were constructed using genome-wide significant (P < 5.0 × 10-8) cis-acting SNPs (i.e., in or ±250 kb from the gene encoding the relevant protein) in weak linkage disequilibrium (LD, r2 < 0.10). Effect estimates were generated using inverse-variance weighted random-effects models and standard errors were inflated to account for weak LD between variants with reference to the 1000 Genomes Phase 3 CEU panel. A false discovery rate (FDR)-corrected P-value ("q-value") <0.05 was used as a threshold to define "strong evidence" to support associations and 0.05 ≤ q-value < 0.20 to define "suggestive evidence". A colocalisation posterior probability (PPH4) >70% was employed to indicate support for shared causal variants across inflammatory markers and cancer outcomes. Findings were replicated in the FinnGen study and then pooled using meta-analysis. FINDINGS: We found strong evidence to support an association of genetically-proxied circulating pro-adrenomedullin concentrations with increased breast cancer risk (OR: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.10-1.29, q-value = 0.033, PPH4 = 84.3%) and suggestive evidence to support associations of interleukin-23 receptor concentrations with increased pancreatic cancer risk (OR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.20-1.69, q-value = 0.055, PPH4 = 73.9%), prothrombin concentrations with decreased basal cell carcinoma risk (OR: 0.66, 95% CI: 0.53-0.81, q-value = 0.067, PPH4 = 81.8%), and interleukin-1 receptor-like 1 concentrations with decreased triple-negative breast cancer risk (OR: 0.92, 95% CI: 0.88-0.97, q-value = 0.15, PPH4 = 85.6%). These findings were replicated in pooled analyses with the FinnGen study. Though suggestive evidence was found to support an association of macrophage migration inhibitory factor concentrations with increased bladder cancer risk (OR: 2.46, 95% CI: 1.48-4.10, q-value = 0.072, PPH4 = 76.1%), this finding was not replicated when pooled with the FinnGen study. For 22 of 30 cancer outcomes examined, there was little evidence (q-value ≥0.20) that any of the 66 circulating inflammatory markers examined were associated with cancer risk. INTERPRETATION: Our comprehensive joint Mendelian randomization and colocalisation analysis of the role of circulating inflammatory markers in cancer risk identified potential roles for 4 circulating inflammatory markers in risk of 4 site-specific cancers. Contrary to reports from some prior conventional epidemiological studies, we found little evidence of association of circulating inflammatory markers with the majority of site-specific cancers evaluated. FUNDING: Cancer Research UK (C68933/A28534, C18281/A29019, PPRCPJT∖100005), World Cancer Research Fund (IIG_FULL_2020_022), National Institute for Health Research (NIHR202411, BRC-1215-20011), Medical Research Council (MC_UU_00011/1, MC_UU_00011/3, MC_UU_00011/6, and MC_UU_00011/4), Academy of Finland Project 326291, European Union's Horizon 2020 grant agreement no. 848158 (EarlyCause), French National Cancer Institute (INCa SHSESP20, 2020-076), Versus Arthritis (21173, 21754, 21755), National Institutes of Health (U19 CA203654), National Cancer Institute (U19CA203654).


Subject(s)
Genome-Wide Association Study , Neoplasms , Adult , Humans , Mendelian Randomization Analysis , Risk , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Neoplasms/genetics , Inflammation/genetics , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide
20.
Clin Transl Oncol ; 26(7): 1674-1686, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38361134

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The optimal chemotherapy backbone for HER2-negative advanced esophagogastric cancer, either in combination with targeted therapies or as a comparator in clinical trials, is uncertain. The subtle yet crucial differences in platinum-based regimens' safety and synergy with combination treatments need consideration. METHODS: We analyzed cases from the AGAMENON-SEOM Spanish registry of HER2-negative advanced esophagogastric adenocarcinoma treated with platinum and fluoropyrimidine from 2008 to 2021. This study focused exclusively on patients receiving one of the four regimens: FOLFOX (5-FU and oxaliplatin), CAPOX (capecitabine and oxaliplatin), CP (capecitabine and cisplatin) and FP (5-FU and cisplatin). The aim was to determine the most effective and tolerable platinum and fluoropyrimidine-based chemotherapy regimen and to identify any prognostic factors. RESULTS: Among 1293 patients, 36% received either FOLFOX (n = 468) or CAPOX (n = 466), 20% CP (n = 252), and 8% FP (n = 107). FOLFOX significantly increased PFS (progression free survival) compared to CP, with a hazard ratio of 0.73 (95% CI 0.58-0.92, p = 0.009). The duration of treatment was similar across all groups. Survival outcomes among regimens were similar, but analysis revealed worse ECOG-PS (Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group-Performance Status), > 2 metastatic sites, bone metastases, hypoalbuminemia, higher NLR (neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio), and CP regimen as predictors of poor PFS. Fatigue was common in all treatments, with the highest incidence in FOLFOX (77%), followed by FP (72%), CAPOX (68%), and CP (60%). Other notable toxicities included neuropathy (FOLFOX 69%, CAPOX 62%), neutropenia (FOLFOX 52%, FP 55%), hand-foot syndrome in CP (46%), and thromboembolic events (FP 12%, CP 11%). CONCLUSIONS: FOLFOX shown better PFS than CP. Adverse effects varied: neuropathy was more common with oxaliplatin, while thromboembolism was more frequent with cisplatin.


Subject(s)
Adenocarcinoma , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols , Capecitabine , Cisplatin , Esophageal Neoplasms , Fluorouracil , Leucovorin , Oxaliplatin , Receptor, ErbB-2 , Registries , Stomach Neoplasms , Humans , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use , Adenocarcinoma/drug therapy , Adenocarcinoma/pathology , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Aged , Stomach Neoplasms/drug therapy , Stomach Neoplasms/pathology , Fluorouracil/therapeutic use , Fluorouracil/administration & dosage , Esophageal Neoplasms/drug therapy , Esophageal Neoplasms/pathology , Capecitabine/therapeutic use , Capecitabine/administration & dosage , Receptor, ErbB-2/metabolism , Leucovorin/therapeutic use , Leucovorin/administration & dosage , Leucovorin/adverse effects , Oxaliplatin/therapeutic use , Oxaliplatin/administration & dosage , Cisplatin/therapeutic use , Cisplatin/administration & dosage , Adult , Organoplatinum Compounds/therapeutic use , Organoplatinum Compounds/administration & dosage , Progression-Free Survival , Esophagogastric Junction/pathology , Aged, 80 and over , Spain
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