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1.
J Natl Cancer Inst ; 111(12): 1279-1297, 2019 12 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31145458

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The American Cancer Society, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Cancer Institute, and North American Association of Central Cancer Registries provide annual updates on cancer occurrence and trends by cancer type, sex, race, ethnicity, and age in the United States. This year's report highlights the cancer burden among men and women age 20-49 years. METHODS: Incidence data for the years 1999 to 2015 from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention- and National Cancer Institute-funded population-based cancer registry programs compiled by the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries and death data for the years 1999 to 2016 from the National Vital Statistics System were used. Trends in age-standardized incidence and death rates, estimated by joinpoint, were expressed as average annual percent change. RESULTS: Overall cancer incidence rates (per 100 000) for all ages during 2011-2015 were 494.3 among male patients and 420.5 among female patients; during the same time period, incidence rates decreased 2.1% (95% confidence interval [CI] = -2.6% to -1.6%) per year in men and were stable in females. Overall cancer death rates (per 100 000) for all ages during 2012-2016 were 193.1 among male patients and 137.7 among female patients. During 2012-2016, overall cancer death rates for all ages decreased 1.8% (95% CI = -1.8% to -1.8%) per year in male patients and 1.4% (95% CI = -1.4% to -1.4%) per year in females. Important changes in trends were stabilization of thyroid cancer incidence rates in women and rapid declines in death rates for melanoma of the skin (both sexes). Among adults age 20-49 years, overall cancer incidence rates were substantially lower among men (115.3 per 100 000) than among women (203.3 per 100 000); cancers with the highest incidence rates (per 100 000) among men were colon and rectum (13.1), testis (10.7), and melanoma of the skin (9.8), and among women were breast (73.2), thyroid (28.4), and melanoma of the skin (14.1). During 2011 to 2015, the incidence of all invasive cancers combined among adults age 20-49 years decreased -0.7% (95% CI = -1.0% to -0.4%) among men and increased among women (1.3%, 95% CI = 0.7% to 1.9%). The death rate for (per 100 000) adults age 20-49 years for all cancer sites combined during 2012 to 2016 was 22.8 among men and 27.1 among women; during the same time period, death rates decreased 2.3% (95% CI = -2.4% to -2.2%) per year among men and 1.7% (95% CI = -1.8% to -1.6%) per year among women. CONCLUSIONS: Among people of all ages and ages 20-49 years, favorable as well as unfavorable trends in site-specific cancer incidence were observed, whereas trends in death rates were generally favorable. Characterizing the cancer burden may inform research and cancer-control efforts.


Subject(s)
Neoplasms/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Brain Neoplasms/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms/ethnology , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Incidence , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Middle Aged , Mortality/trends , Neoplasms/ethnology , Neoplasms/mortality , Puerto Rico/epidemiology , Registries/statistics & numerical data , Sex Distribution , United States/epidemiology , United States/ethnology , Young Adult
2.
Int J Public Health ; 63(8): 987-992, 2018 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30328474

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Communities throughout the world are investigating various approaches to reduce violence, especially gun violence. The objective of this study is to determine the cost-effectiveness of the Peace Management Initiative as an intervention to reduce the homicide rate in volatile community in Kingston, Jamaica. METHODS: A preliminary longitudinal study tracked the homicide rate in a selected volatile community in Kingston, Jamaica, over the 5-year period of PMI intervention in this community. The changes in the incidence of homicides were costed according to direct medical costs and productivity losses assuming that, without intervention, the number of homicides per year would have remained at the 2005 level. This was used to estimate the cost-effectiveness of the intervention. RESULTS: The Peace Management Initiative approach reduced homicides by 96.9% over the 5-year intervention period. The cost/benefit ratio for the intervention has been estimated to be JMD $12.38 saved per dollar spent on intervention. CONCLUSIONS: The Peace Management Initiative approach was seen to significantly reduce the murder rate over the 5-year intervention period and provides a promising cost-effective approach for violence prevention.


Subject(s)
Community Participation/economics , Developing Countries , Homicide/prevention & control , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Female , Homicide/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Jamaica , Longitudinal Studies , Socioeconomic Factors
3.
CA Cancer J Clin ; 66(5): 359-69, 2016 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27175568

ABSTRACT

In 1996, the Board of Directors of the American Cancer Society (ACS) challenged the United States to reduce what looked to be possible peak cancer mortality in 1990 by 50% by the year 2015. This analysis examines the trends in cancer mortality across this 25-year challenge period from 1990 to 2015. In 2015, cancer death rates were 26% lower than in 1990 (32% lower among men and 22% lower among women). The 50% reduction goal was more fully met for the cancer sites for which there was enactment of effective approaches for prevention, early detection, and/or treatment. Among men, mortality rates dropped for lung cancer by 45%, for colorectal cancer by 47%, and for prostate cancer by 53%. Among women, mortality rates dropped for lung cancer by 8%, for colorectal cancer by 44%, and for breast cancer by 39%. Declines in the death rates of all other cancer sites were substantially smaller (13% among men and 17% among women). The major factors that accounted for these favorable trends were progress in tobacco control and improvements in early detection and treatment. As we embark on new national cancer goals, this recent past experience should teach us that curing the cancer problem will require 2 sets of actions: making new discoveries in cancer therapeutics and more completely applying those discoveries in cancer prevention we have already made. CA Cancer J Clin 2016;66:359-369. © 2016 American Cancer Society.


Subject(s)
American Cancer Society , Neoplasms/mortality , Age Distribution , Body Mass Index , Breast Neoplasms/mortality , Colorectal Neoplasms/mortality , Female , Goals , Humans , Incidence , Lung Neoplasms/mortality , Male , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Neoplasms/etiology , Obesity/complications , Prostatic Neoplasms/mortality , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Sex Distribution , United States/epidemiology
4.
Eur Urol ; 61(6): 1079-92, 2012 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22424666

ABSTRACT

CONTEXT: Wide variation exists internationally for prostate cancer (PCa) rates due to differences in detection practices, treatment, and lifestyle and genetic factors. OBJECTIVE: We present contemporary variations in PCa incidence and mortality patterns across five continents using the most recent data from the International Agency for Research on Cancer. EVIDENCE ACQUISITION: PCa incidence and mortality estimates for 2008 from GLOBOCAN are presented. We also examine recent trends in PCa incidence rates for 40 countries and mortality rates for 53 countries from 1985 and onward via join-point analyses using an augmented version of Cancer Incidence in Five Continents and the World Health Organization mortality database. EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS: Estimated PCa incidence rates remain most elevated in the highest resource counties worldwide including North America, Oceania, and western and northern Europe. Mortality rates tend to be higher in less developed regions of the world including parts of South America, the Caribbean, and sub-Saharan Africa. Increasing PCa incidence rates during the most recent decade were observed in 32 of the 40 countries examined, whereas trends tended to stabilize in 8 countries. In contrast, PCa mortality rates decreased in 27 of the 53 countries under study, whereas rates increased in 16 and remained stable in 10 countries. CONCLUSIONS: PCa incidence rates increased in nearly all countries considered in this analysis except in a few high-income countries. In contrast, the increase in PCa mortality rates mainly occurred in lower resource settings, with declines largely confined to high-resource countries.


Subject(s)
Developing Countries/statistics & numerical data , Prostatic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Africa/epidemiology , Asia/epidemiology , Developing Countries/economics , Epidemiology/trends , Europe/epidemiology , Humans , Incidence , Male , North America/epidemiology , Oceania/epidemiology , Prognosis , Prostatic Neoplasms/diagnosis , Prostatic Neoplasms/economics , Prostatic Neoplasms/mortality , Prostatic Neoplasms/therapy , Registries , South America/epidemiology , Time Factors
5.
CA Cancer J Clin ; 59(6): 366-78, 2009.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19897840

ABSTRACT

Previous studies have documented significant international variations in colorectal cancer rates. However, these studies were limited because they were based on old data or examined only incidence or mortality data. In this article, the colorectal cancer burden and patterns worldwide are described using the most recently updated cancer incidence and mortality data available from the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC). The authors provide 5-year (1998-2002), age-standardized colorectal cancer incidence rates for select cancer registries in IARC's Cancer Incidence in Five Continents, and trends in age-standardized death rates by single calendar year for select countries in the World Health Organization mortality database. In addition, available information regarding worldwide colorectal cancer screening initiatives are presented. The highest colorectal cancer incidence rates in 1998-2002 were observed in registries from North America, Oceania, and Europe, including Eastern European countries. These high rates are most likely the result of increases in risk factors associated with "Westernization," such as obesity and physical inactivity. In contrast, the lowest colorectal cancer incidence rates were observed from registries in Asia, Africa, and South America. Colorectal cancer mortality rates have declined in many longstanding as well as newly economically developed countries; however, they continue to increase in some low-resource countries of South America and Eastern Europe. Various screening options for colorectal cancer are available and further international consideration of targeted screening programs and/or recommendations could help alleviate the burden of colorectal cancer worldwide.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Global Health , Asia/epidemiology , Colorectal Neoplasms/diagnosis , Colorectal Neoplasms/mortality , Europe/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Mass Screening , North America/epidemiology , Oceania , South America/epidemiology
6.
BMC Cardiovasc Disord ; 8: 20, 2008 Aug 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18752689

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recent studies have documented an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in persons with systolic blood pressures of 120-139 mmHg and/or diastolic blood pressures of 80-89 mmHg, classified as prehypertension in the Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure. In this paper we estimate the prevalence of prehypertension in Jamaica and evaluate the relationship between prehypertension and other risk factors for CVD. METHODS: The study used data from participants in the Jamaica Lifestyle Survey conducted from 2000-2001. A sample of 2012 persons, 15-74 years old, completed an interviewer administered questionnaire and had anthropometric and blood pressure measurements performed by trained observers using standardized procedures. Fasting glucose and total cholesterol were measured using a capillary blood sample. Analysis yielded crude, and sex-specific prevalence estimates for prehypertension and other CVD risk factors. Odds ratios for associations of prehypertension with CVD risk factors were obtained using logistic regression. RESULTS: The prevalence of prehypertension among Jamaicans was 30% (95% confidence interval [CI] 27%-33%). Prehypertension was more common in males, 35% (CI 31%-39%), than females, 25% (CI 22%-28%). Almost 46% of participants were overweight; 19.7% were obese; 14.6% had hypercholesterolemia; 7.2% had diabetes mellitus and 17.8% smoked cigarettes. With the exception of cigarette smoking and low physical activity, all the CVD risk factors had significantly higher prevalence in the prehypertensive and hypertensive groups (p for trend < 0.001) compared to the normotensive group. Odds of obesity, overweight, high cholesterol and increased waist circumference were significantly higher among younger prehypertensive participants (15-44 years-old) when compared to normotensive young participants, but not among those 45-74 years-old. Among men, being prehypertensive increased the odds of having > or =3 CVD risk factors versus no risk factors almost three-fold (odds ratio [OR] 2.8 [CI 1.1-7.2]) while among women the odds of > or =3 CVD risk factors was increased two-fold (OR 2.0 [CI 1.3-3.8]) CONCLUSION: Prehypertension occurs in 30% of Jamaicans and is associated with increased prevalence of other CVD risk factors. Health-care providers should recognize the increased CVD risk of prehypertension and should seek to identify and treat modifiable risk factors in these persons.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Hypertension/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Age Distribution , Age Factors , Aged , Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Hypertension/complications , Jamaica/epidemiology , Logistic Models , Male , Middle Aged , Odds Ratio , Population Surveillance , Prevalence , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Sex Distribution , Sex Factors
7.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 7: 13, 2007 Feb 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17328814

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Health surveys provide important information on the burden and secular trends of risk factors and disease. Several factors including survey and item non-response can affect data quality. There are few reports on efficiency, validity and the impact of item non-response, from developing countries. This report examines factors associated with item non-response and study efficiency in a national health survey in a developing Caribbean island. METHODS: A national sample of participants aged 15-74 years was selected in a multi-stage sampling design accounting for 4 health regions and 14 parishes using enumeration districts as primary sampling units. Means and proportions of the variables of interest were compared between various categories. Non-response was defined as failure to provide an analyzable response. Linear and logistic regression models accounting for sample design and post-stratification weighting were used to identify independent correlates of recruitment efficiency and item non-response. RESULTS: We recruited 2012 15-74 year-olds (66.2% females) at a response rate of 87.6% with significant variation between regions (80.9% to 97.6%; p < 0.0001). Females outnumbered males in all parishes. The majority of subjects were recruited in a single visit, 39.1% required multiple visits varying significantly by region (27.0% to 49.8% [p < 0.0001]). Average interview time was 44.3 minutes with no variation between health regions, urban-rural residence, educational level, gender and SES; but increased significantly with older age category from 42.9 minutes in the youngest to 46.0 minutes in the oldest age category. Between 15.8% and 26.8% of persons did not provide responses for the number of sexual partners in the last year. Women and urban residents provided less data than their counterparts. Highest item non-response related to income at 30% with no gender difference but independently related to educational level, employment status, age group and health region. Characteristics of non-responders vary with types of questions. CONCLUSION: Informative health surveys are possible in developing countries. While survey response rates may be satisfactory, item non-response was high in respect of income and sexual practice. In contrast to developed countries, non-response to questions on income is higher and has different correlates. These findings can inform future surveys.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Health Surveys , Hypertension/epidemiology , Life Style , Treatment Refusal/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent , Adult , Age Distribution , Aged , Confidence Intervals , Developing Countries , Diabetes Mellitus/diagnosis , Female , Humans , Hypertension/diagnosis , Incidence , Jamaica/epidemiology , Male , Middle Aged , Multivariate Analysis , Reproducibility of Results , Risk Factors , Sex Distribution , Surveys and Questionnaires
8.
Cad Saude Publica ; 22 Suppl: S69-76, 2006.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17086339

ABSTRACT

In developing a proposal for the study of the effect of user fees on access to preventive care, a team, comprising researchers and policy-makers, initiated interaction with key policy implementers in the Jamaica's Ministry of Health to ensure that their perspectives were considered at the preliminary stage. There were many pressing events occupying the minds and energies of the implementers, but the team was able to capitalize on existing good relationships to capture attention. In the interviews that followed, agreement was reached on the necessity for the study, its focus and methodology. The process of consultation achieved notable successes and can be regarded as a model for successful research and policy interaction.


Subject(s)
Administrative Personnel , Biomedical Research , Health Policy , Policy Making , Preventive Health Services/organization & administration , Research Personnel , Fees, Medical , Health Planning , Humans , Interprofessional Relations , Jamaica , Preventive Health Services/economics , Primary Health Care/economics
9.
Cad. saúde pública ; Cad. Saúde Pública (Online);22(supl): S69-S76, 2006.
Article in English, Portuguese | LILACS | ID: lil-437188

ABSTRACT

In developing a proposal for the study of the effect of user fees on access to preventive care, a team, comprising researchers and policy-makers, initiated interaction with key policy implementers in the Jamaica's Ministry of Health to ensure that their perspectives were considered at the preliminary stage. There were many pressing events occupying the minds and energies of the implementers, but the team was able to capitalize on existing good relationships to capture attention. In the interviews that followed, agreement was reached on the necessity for the study, its focus and methodology. The process of consultation achieved notable successes and can be regarded as a model for successful research and policy interaction.


Diante da proposta de cobrança aos usuários de atendimentos preventivos (defendida pelos implementadores de políticas-chave do Ministério da Saúde da Jamaica), uma equipe de pesquisadores e formuladores de políticas apresentou um projeto de pesquisa visando a estudar os efeitos dessa cobrança de honorários pagos diretamente, e solicitaram ainda que os achados do estudo fossem considerados nesta fase preliminar. Embora a agenda do Ministério da Saúde fosse permeada de muitas questões prementes, a equipe de pesquisa conseguiu potencializar as relações produtivas preexistentes e garantir espaço na agenda do Ministério da Saúde. As negociações levaram a um consenso sobre a necessidade do estudo, seu enfoque e metodologia. O processo de consulta alcançou sucessos notáveis e pode ser considerado um modelo para a interação bem-sucedida entre pesquisa e política.


Subject(s)
Fees, Medical , Research Personnel , Health Policy , Jamaica
10.
Inj Control Saf Promot ; 9(4): 219-25, 2002 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12613100

ABSTRACT

The impact of injuries on the Jamaican health care system is a growing problem. Based on the successful implementation of a Violence-Related Injury Surveillance System (VRISS) in the Accident and Emergency (A&E) department of the Kingston Public Hospital (KPH), Ministry of Health (MOH) officials decided to expand the system to the Jamaica Injury Surveillance System (JISS), allowing for the surveillance of both intentional and unintentional injuries. A working group designed the expanded injury surveillance system based on the International Classification of External Causes of Injury. The expanded system allowed for the collection of data on all injuries seen in the A&E departments by adding four injury projects to the computerized A&E registration process. These were (1) unintentional injury, (2) violence-related injury, (3) suicide attempt (also known as intentional self-harm) and (4) motor vehicle-related injuries. The expanded JISS was implemented at the KPH and four additional hospitals across the island. The geographic distribution of these hospitals provided a reflection of rural and urban, highland and coastal communities and their distinctive injury profiles. Data collected at registration were printed on trauma sheets and reviewed by medical staff before being incorporated into the patient's record. Monthly reports detailing demographics and summary statistics were generated and made available at the local and national level. By monitoring the national injury profile, the JISS provides data to support needed policy changes to minimize the impact of injuries on the health services and on the health of the population.


Subject(s)
Health Plan Implementation , Information Systems , Registries , Sentinel Surveillance , Wounds and Injuries/prevention & control , Data Collection/methods , Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Forms and Records Control , Humans , Jamaica/epidemiology , Software Design , Wounds and Injuries/epidemiology
11.
Inj Control Saf Promot ; 9(4): 227-34, 2002 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12613101

ABSTRACT

This study analyses 6 months of data from three hospitals participating in the computerized emergency room-based Jamaica Injury Surveillance System (JISS) since 1999. The categories of injuries tracked were unintentional, violence-related and motor vehicle-related. The resultant data showed that injuries comprised 17% (12,179) of all Accident and Emergency (A&E) department registrations for the period. The highest percentage of injuries were violence-related (51%, 6,380), followed by unintentional injuries (33%, 4,030) and motor vehicle-related (15%, 1,769). Injury profiles varied by institution with the majority of Cornwall Regional Hospital's and Kingston Public Hospital's injuries being intentional while that of May Pen Hospital was unintentional. The data also demonstrate that young males are at highest risk for all types of injuries as well as for the more severe injuries requiring hospital admission. The risk factor data provided through the JISS will inform and guide private and public sector efforts to address the problem of injuries in Jamaica.


Subject(s)
Wounds and Injuries/epidemiology , Accidents/statistics & numerical data , Accidents, Traffic/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent , Adult , Age Distribution , Aged , Child , Child, Preschool , Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Jamaica/epidemiology , Male , Middle Aged , Violence/statistics & numerical data , Wounds and Injuries/prevention & control
12.
Inj Control Saf Promot ; 9(4): 241-7, 2002 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12613103

ABSTRACT

Violence, a leading cause of injuries and death, is recognized as a major public health problem. In 1996, injuries were the second leading cause of hospitalizations in Jamaica. The estimated annual cost of in-patient care for injuries was 11.6 million US dollars. To develop strategies to reduce the impact of violence-related injuries on Jamaican health care resources, the Ministry of Health, Division of Health Promotion and Protection (MOH/DHPP) in collaboration with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Tropical Metabolic Research Institute, University of the West Indies Mona, designed and implemented a violence-related injury surveillance system (VRISS) at Kingston Public Hospital (KPH). In 1998, the VRISS, based on the International Classification of External Cause of Injury (ICECI), was implemented in the accident and emergency (A&E) department of Jamaica's tertiary care hospital, KPH. VRISS collects demographic, method and circumstance of injury, victim-perpetrator relationship and patient's discharge status data. From 8/1/98 to 7/31/99, data on 6,107 injuries were collected. Injuries occurred primarily among males aged 25-44 years. Most injuries (54%; 3171) were caused by use of a sharp object. Nearly half (49%; 2992) were perpetrated by acquaintances. The majority, 70% (4,252), were the result of a fight or argument and 17% were admitted to the hospital. The VRISS utilized A&E department data to characterize violence-related injuries in Jamaica, a resource-limited environment. These data will be used to guide intervention development to reduce violence-related injuries in Jamaica.


Subject(s)
Health Plan Implementation , Hospital Information Systems , Population Surveillance/methods , Violence/statistics & numerical data , Wounds and Injuries/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Child , Child, Preschool , Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Female , Forms and Records Control/organization & administration , Hospital Information Systems/organization & administration , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Information Storage and Retrieval , Jamaica/epidemiology , Male , Middle Aged , Patient Admission/statistics & numerical data , Risk Factors , Violence/prevention & control , Wounds and Injuries/prevention & control
13.
Inj Control Saf Promot ; 9(4): 249-53, 2002 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12613104

ABSTRACT

Injuries are among the leading causes of death in Jamaica. Homicide rates have been sharply increasing since 1991. In 1997, the rate of homicide (45/100,000) in Jamaica was over five times the US rate in 1997 (7.9/100,000). In response to this problem and the alarming increase in non-fatal assaultive injuries, the Jamaican Ministry of Health together with the CDC established a Violence-Related Injury Surveillance System (VRISS) using patient registration data from Kingston Public Hospital. The VRISS was evaluated for usefulness, and for system attributes: system acceptability, simplicity, flexibility, sensitivity, and predictive value positive (PVP). System-identified cases were compared with clinical records and data from direct patient interviews. The surveillance system was flexible, acceptable to clinical staff and Ministry officials, and moderately sensitive, detecting 62% to 69% of violent injuries identified from clinical records and a patient survey. The system's predictive value positive was high, with 86% of potential cases confirmed as actual cases. Although adequate, system sensitivity was reduced by incomplete or no registration of patients during periods of staff shortage. In conclusion, despite some logistic shortcomings, the system appeared promising for collecting limited information on non-fatal interpersonal violent injuries. With modification and expansion, the system may be capable of collecting unintentional-injury data also.


Subject(s)
Hospital Information Systems , Population Surveillance/methods , Quality of Health Care , Violence/statistics & numerical data , Wounds and Injuries/epidemiology , Health Care Costs , Hospital Information Systems/economics , Humans , Interpersonal Relations , Jamaica/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Sensitivity and Specificity , Violence/prevention & control , Wounds and Injuries/etiology , Wounds and Injuries/prevention & control
14.
Inj Control Saf Promot ; 9(4): 255-62, 2002 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12613105

ABSTRACT

Using data for a one-year period from the Kingston Public Hospital (KPH) in Jamaica, we describe patterns of non-fatal violence-related injuries, and carry out simulation analysis to estimate rates of hospital admission under various injury reduction scenarios, and the potential savings that can be realized by reducing violent crimes. In this period there were 6107 registered violence-related visits to the KPH representing 11.5% of all recorded visits. Of these 16.6% (1001) were admitted. The most common methods of inflicting injury was by stabbing (52.1%), blunt injuries (37.9%) and gunshot wounds (7.3%). Multivariate analyses indicated that gunshot injuries, stab injuries, being male between the ages of 15 and 44 years, receiving the injury in November or December, and being injured by a stranger or unknown assailant, were significant correlates of a higher probability of admission. Simulation analysis with various injury reduction scenarios indicated decreases in the probability of admission ranging from 12% to 44%, with estimated savings of up to 31% of the annual supplies budget of KPH.


Subject(s)
Health Care Costs , Violence/economics , Violence/prevention & control , Wounds and Injuries/economics , Wounds and Injuries/prevention & control , Adolescent , Adult , Emergency Service, Hospital/economics , Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Female , Humans , Jamaica/epidemiology , Likelihood Functions , Male , Middle Aged , Models, Econometric , Multivariate Analysis , Patient Admission/economics , Patient Admission/statistics & numerical data , Risk Factors , Violence/statistics & numerical data , Wounds and Injuries/epidemiology
15.
West Indian med. j ; West Indian med. j;50(Suppl 5): 19, Nov. 2001.
Article in English | MedCarib | ID: med-196

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: We used data for a one-year period from the Violence-related Injury (VRI) Surveillance System at the Kingston Regional Hospital (KRH) in Jamaica to describe the patterns of non-fatal VRIs. We also carried out simulation analysis to estimate rates of hospital admission under various injury-reduction scenarios, and the potential savings that could be realized by reducing violent crimes and the hospital care associated with them. METHOD: Data used were for the one-year period, August 1, 1998 to July 31, 1999. In this period there were 6107 registered violence-related visits to the Accident and Emergency Department (AED) of the KRH, representing 11.5 percent of all recorded visits. Questions on the form included age, gender, circumstance and method of injury, victim-perpatrator relationship, and admission status. cases are non-fatal violence-related injuries resulting from threatened or actual use of physical force with the intent to cause harm, and do not include accidental or self-inflicted injuries. Simulation results are based on predicted values of admission status following maximum likelihood multiple regression models and the appropriate manipulation of relevant independent variables. RESULTS: 16.6 percent (1001) of subjects were admitted. The most common method of inflicting injury was by stabbing, accounting for 52.1 percent of injuries. Bodily force or blunt objects accounted for another 37.9 percent, while gunshot wounds accounted 7.3 percent of injuries. Multivariate analyses indicated gumshot injuries, stab injuries, being male, between the ages of 15 and 44 years, receiving the injury in November or December, and being injured by a stranger or unknown assailant, to be significant correlates of probability of admission ranging from 12 percent to 44 percent, with estimated savings of up to 20 percent of the annual budget of KRH. CONCLUSIONS: Non-fatal VRIs compromise a significant proportion of admissions to KRH. There are predicatble correlates of the likelihood of admission, and educational drives aimed at reducing specific risk factors can lead to large savings of limited resources. (AU)


Subject(s)
Adult , Humans , Male , Adolescent , Wounds and Injuries , Violence/prevention & control , Hospital Costs , Patient Admission/statistics & numerical data , Jamaica , Longitudinal Studies
16.
West Indian med. j ; West Indian med. j;50(Suppl 5): 19, Nov. 2001.
Article in English | MedCarib | ID: med-197

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate factors influencing inpatient mortality and length of stay among medical patients at a public hospital. METHODS: A case-control study involving a 10 percent sample of medical admissions who died (n=109) was done at the Kingston Regional Hospital during 1998. These were matched for age, gender and admission date to 2 controls (n=180) where death did not occur. Trained personnel abstracted information from personnel records. RESULTS: The sample comprised 147 men and 139 women of mean/Standard Deviation (SD) age 61.3ñ18.1 years and range of 12 to 94 years. The mean/SD length of stay was 6.3ñ6.0 days with a median of 5 days. Length of stay did not differ by gender (p=0.69) or mortality (p=0.86). Re-admission accounted for 34.3 percent of admissions occuring at a median of 174 days. There was 70 percent agreement between the provisional diagnosis at admission and the primary discharge diagnosis. The commonest primary diagnoses were diabetes mellitus and hypertension (14 percent each). Stroke, pneumonia and cancer each accounted for over 5 percent of primary diagnoses. Risk of death was greater in women who were alone (single or widowed/divorced/separated) than in those in a union - odds ratio (OR) and 95 percent confidence interval (95 percent CI) 3.63 (1.36, 9.67). In men the OR (95 percent CI) was 0.94 (0.38-2.31). Cancer, stroke chronic renal failure and pneumonia were associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality and so was documentation of examination by a consultant. There was an inverse association between the number of entries per day in patients' notes and the risk of death. Less than 2 percent of admissions had a record of patient satisfaction. Nurses notes were judged to be adequate in 76.5 percent of admissions but only 19.2 percent of patient records were rated as good overall. Good quality records were not associated with better survival or shorter hospitalization. CONCLUSION: The relationship between process of care and inpatient mortality is complex and clear associations were not demonstrated for overall mortality. Cause-specific mortality may be a more informative outcome for quality of care studies. (AU)


Subject(s)
Adult , Child , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Aged , Adolescent , Hospital Mortality , Inpatients , Length of Stay , Jamaica , Aged, 80 and over , Case-Control Studies , Hospitals, Public
17.
Int J Cancer ; 80(3): 339-44, Jan. 29, 1999.
Article in English | MedCarib | ID: med-1409

ABSTRACT

Human papillomavirus (HPV) is widely accepted as the primary etiologic agent in the development of cervical cancer. DNA of a particular HPV type, HPV 16, is found in about half of tumors tested. Inconsistent with this causal relationship, however, population-based studies of HPV DNA prevalence have often failed to find high rates of anogenital HPV infection in countries with high cervical cancer rates. To examine this issue, we used serology to compare HPV 16 exposure in healthy volunteer blood donors in the United States (n = 278) and similar subjects from a country with 3-fold higher cervical cancer rates, Jamaica (n = 257). Jamaican sexually transmitted disease (STD) patients (n = 831) were also studied to examine in detail the relation of HPV 16 antibodies with sexual history. Serology was conducted using an ELISA employing HPV 16 virus-like particles (VLPs). Age-adjusted seroprevalence rates were greatest among male (29 percent) and female (42 percent) STD patients, intermediate in male (19 percent) and female (24 percent) Jamaican blood donors and lowest among male (3 percent) and female (12 percent) U.S. blood donors. The higher seroprevalence in women was significant, and prevalence tended to increase with age. In multivariate logistic regression, controlling for age and gender, Jamaican blood donors were 4.2-fold (95 percent CI 2.4 - 7.2) and STD patients 8.1-fold (95 percent CI 5.0 - 13.2) more likely to have HPV 16 VLP antibodies than U.S. blood donors. Among STD patients, HPV 16 antibodies were associated with lifetime number of sex partners and years of sexual activity, as well as other factors. Our data suggest that HPV 16 VLP antibodies are strongly associated with sexual behavior. Moreover, exposure to HPV 16 appears to be much greater in Jamaica than in the United States, consistent with the high rate of cervical cancer in Jamaica (Au)


Subject(s)
Adult , Aged , Adolescent , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Comparative Study , Antibodies, Viral/blood , Blood Donors/statistics & numerical data , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/virology , Oncogene Proteins, Viral/immunology , Human Papillomavirus Viruses/immunology , Age Factors , Analysis of Variance , Jamaica/epidemiology , /epidemiology , /immunology , Risk Factors , Sexual Behavior , Sex Factors , Sexual Partners , Sexually Transmitted Diseases/immunology , Tumor Virus Infections/epidemiology , Tumor Virus Infections/immunology , United States/epidemiology , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms , Oncogene Proteins, Viral/blood
18.
Sex Transm Infect ; 74(Suppl. 1): S123-7, Jun. 1998.
Article in English | MedCarib | ID: med-1415

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To assess sexually transmitted diseases (STD) among women attending Jamaican family planning clinics and to evaluate decision models as alternatives to STD laboratory diagnosis. METHODS: Women attending two family planning clinics in Kingston were interviewed and tested for syphilis seroreactivity using toluidine red unheated serum test and Treponema pallidum haemagglutination, for gonorrhoea using culture, for chalamydial infection using enzyme linked immunoassay, and for trichomoniasis using culture. Urine was tested with leucocyte esterase dipstick (LED). The women were treated based upon a clinical algorithm. Computer simulations explored the use of risk inclusive decision models for detection of cervical infection and/or trichomoniasis. RESULTS: Among 767 women, 206 (26.9 percent) had at least one STD. The prevalence of gonorrhoea was 2.7 percent: chlamydial infection 12.2 percent, gonococcal and/or chlamydial cervical infection 14.1 percent; trichomoniasis 11.5 percent; syphilis seroreactivity 5.9 percent. The clinical algorithm was 3.7 percent sensitive and 96.7 percent specific in detecting cervical infection. Detection of cervical infection and/or trichomoniasis was 63.5 percent sensitive and 60.6 percent specific using LE and 57.7 percent sensitive and 46.2 percent specific using the risk inclusive algorithm employed in Jamaica STD clinics. Either cervical friability or LED (+) or family planning clinic attender less than 25 years old with more than one sexual partner in the past year was 72.5 percent sensitive and 53.3 percent specific. The positive predictive values of the STD clinic algorithm, LED, and two developed decision models ranged from 25.0 percent to 33.4 percent to detect cervical infection and/or trichomoniasis in these women. CONCLUSION: STDs were quite prevalent in these mainly asymptomatic family planning clinic attenders. None of the evaluated decision models can be considered a good alternative to case detection using laboratory diagnosis. Appropriate detection tools are needed. In the meantime, available STD control strategies should be maximised, such as promotion of condom use; adequate treatment of symptomatic STD patients and partners; and education of women and men (AU)


Subject(s)
Adult , Female , Humans , Family Planning Services/statistics & numerical data , Sexually Transmitted Diseases/epidemiology , Algorithms , Decision Making , Clinical Enzyme Tests , Jamaica/epidemiology , Prevalence , Risk Assessment , Sexual Partners , Syphilis Serodiagnosis , Sexually Transmitted Diseases/diagnosis
19.
West Indian med. j ; 47(suppl. 2): 46, Apr. 1998.
Article in English | MedCarib | ID: med-1841

ABSTRACT

A comprehensive HIV/STD control programme has been established in Jamaica since the late 1980s. AIDS case reports and HIV testing of blood donors, antenatal clinic attenders (ANC), food service workers, STD clinic attenders, female prostitutes, homosexuals and other groups were used to monitor the HIV/AIDS epidemic. Primary and secondary syphilis and cases of congenital syphilis were also monitored. National knowledge, attitude and practice (KAP) surveys were conducted in 1989, 1992, 1994 and 1996. The annual AIDS case rate in Jamaica has remained stable at around 20 per 100,000 population since 1995. HIV prevalence in the general population groups test has been about 1 percent or less. Among those at high risk, HIV infection rates have risen to 6.3 percent in STD clinic attenders, around 10 percent and 20 percent in female prostitutes in Kingston and Montego Bay, respectively, and approximately 30 percent among homosexuals. Syphilis rates and congenital syphilis cases have declined. Condom use had increased considerably: use on last sex with a non-regular partner was 77 percent for men and increased from 37 percent in 1992 to 73 percent in 1996 for women. Condom sales and distribution increased from 2 million in 1985 to 10 million in 1995. HIV/STD control measures appear to have slowed the HIV/AIDS epidemic in Jamaica, but a significant minority of the population continue to have unprotected sex in high risk situations.(AU)


Subject(s)
Adult , Child , Female , Humans , Male , Adolescent , Middle Aged , HIV Infections/prevention & control , Sexually Transmitted Diseases/prevention & control , Jamaica/epidemiology , Condoms , Confidence Intervals , HIV Infections/epidemiology , HIV Seroprevalence , Incidence , Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice , Sexually Transmitted Diseases/epidemiology
20.
West Indian med. j ; 46(3): 67-71, Sept. 1997.
Article in English | MedCarib | ID: med-1989

ABSTRACT

Two cross-sectional surveys were undertaken, from December 1982 to August 1983 and from November 1990 to January 1991, to estimate the prevalence rates of genital ulcer disease (GUD) in all patients presenting with a new sexually transmitted disease (STD) complaint to the STD clinic at the Comprehensive Health Centre in Kingston, Jamaica. Diagnosis of syphilis and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection was based on results of laboratory tests, but diagnosis of other STDs was based on clinical features. Data from these two surveys were compared, and reported national annual incidence data for GUD reviewed. In 1982/83 6.8 percent of 23,050 patients had GUD, men (9.3 percent) more often than women (4.2 percent; p < 0.001). In 1990/91 the prevalence rate was 12.8 percent with increased rates for both men (18.2 percent) and women (6.8 percent; p < 0.001). In patients with GUD, a clinical diagnosis of genital herpes was made, in 1982/83 and 1990/91, respectively, in 16.8 percent and 7.8 percent of the patients; syphilis, in 12.9 percent and 18.8 percent; chancroid, in 12.4 percent and 13.3 percent; viral warts, in 5.7 percent and 6.3 percent; lymphogranuloma venereum, in 4.1 percent and 3.9 percent; and granuloma inguinale, in 3.6 percent and 2.3 percent. In men the rate for syphilis was 19 percent in 1990/91 and 8 percent in 1982/83 (p=0.001); and for genital herpes it was 7 percent in 1990/91 and 17 percent in 1982/83 (p=0.025). These reversals were attributed to intense media coverage of herpes in 1982/83. There was no difference in prevalence rates between the two surveys for these diseases in women, or for lymphogranuloma venereum, granuloma inguinale and genital warts in men and women. A clinical diagnosis could not be made in 44.4 percent of cases in 1982/83 (particularly in men), and in 47.6 percent of cases in 1990/91. GUDs faciltate transmission and adversely affect the prognosis of HIV. The increase in their prevalence has implications for the evolution of the local HIV epidemic, and should be addressed effectively by stregthening the STD/HIV control programme.(AU)


Subject(s)
Adult , Female , Humans , Male , Genital Diseases, Female/epidemiology , Genital Diseases, Male/epidemiology , Ulcer/epidemiology , Herpes Genitalis/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Jamaica/epidemiology , HIV Infections/transmission , Sexually Transmitted Diseases/prevention & control , Cross-Sectional Studies , Prevalence
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