Incidence and Survival Outcomes of Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors.

Importance: The incidence of gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) increased after the implementation of GIST-specific histology coding in 2001, but updated data on trends and survival are lacking. Objective: To examine the evolving epidemiology of GISTs in major organ sites. Design, Setting, and Participants: This descriptive, population-based cohort study used nationally representative data from the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program, including the SEER-22 and SEER-17 registries. Data were from evaluated patients aged 20 years or older with GISTs diagnosed between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2019. Analyses were last updated on October 29, 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: Organ site-specific trends in age-standardized incidence rates and annual percent changes (APCs) in rates were estimated by race and ethnicity and, when possible, by sex, age, and primary indicator. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine racial and ethnic differences in overall and GIST-specific survival by site. Results: The SEER-22 and SEER-17 datasets contained 23 001 and 12 109 case patients with GISTs, respectively. Patients in the SEER-22 registry had a mean (SD) age of 64 (13) years and 51.3% were men. With regard to race and ethnicity, 9.7% of patients were Asian or Pacific Islander, 12.3% were Hispanic, 19.6% were non-Hispanic Black, and 57.7% were non-Hispanic White. Overall incidence rates of GISTs in the SEER-22 cohort increased substantially over time for all organ sites but the colon (APCs: esophagus, 7.3% [95% CI, 4.4% to 10.2%]; gastric, 5.1% [95% CI, 4.2% to 6.1%]; small intestine, 2.7% [95% CI, 1.8% to 3.7%]; colon, -0.2% [95% CI, -1.3% to 0.9%]; and rectum, 1.9% [95% CI, 0.1% to 3.8%]). There were similar increasing trends by age groups (<50 vs ≥50 years), sex, race and ethnicity, and primary indicator for gastric and small intestine GISTs. Increases were mainly restricted to localized stage disease. Patients in the SEER-17 cohort had a mean (SD) age of 64 (14) years and 51.9% were men. With regard to race and ethnicity, 13.3% of patients were Asian or Pacific Islander, 11.6% were Hispanic, 17.8% were non-Hispanic Black, and 56.6% were non-Hispanic White. Non-Hispanic Black individuals had higher overall mortality for esophageal (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 6.4 [95% CI, 2.0 to 20.3]) and gastric (adjusted HR, 1.4 [95% CI, 1.2 to 1.5]) GISTs compared with non-Hispanic White individuals. Asian or Pacific Islander individuals also had higher overall mortality for esophageal GISTs (adjusted HR, 5.6 [95% CI, 1.5 to 20.2]). Results were similar for GIST-specific survival. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study using SEER data, the incidence of GISTs in major organ sites increased in the last 2 decades among several population groups. These findings suggest that additional studies are warranted to identify risk factors, because histologic reclassification and higher availability of endoscopy and imaging do not fully explain these unfavorable incidence trends. Prevention efforts are needed to reduce the substantial survival disparities among racial and ethnic minoritized populations.

Discontinuation versus continuation of imatinib in patients with advanced gastrointestinal stromal tumours (BFR14): exploratory long-term follow-up of an open-label, multicentre, randomised, phase 3 trial.

BACKGROUND: The long-term impact of tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) discontinuation on resistance and survival in patients with advanced gastrointestinal stromal tumours (GIST) is unclear. We report the exploratory long-term outcomes of patients with advanced GIST stopping imatinib in the BFR14 trial. METHODS: BFR14, an open-label, randomised, phase 3 trial, was done in 17 comprehensive cancer centres or hospitals across France. Patients with advanced GIST aged 18 years or older with an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0-3, no previous treatment with imatinib, and no previous malignancy were eligible. Patients were treated with oral imatinib 400 mg daily. Patients with a complete or partial response, or stable disease, according to Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumours (1.0) at 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years from the start of treatment were randomly assigned (1:1) to treatment discontinuation until progression (interruption group) or treatment continuation until progression (continuation group). Randomisation was done centrally with computer-generated permuted blocks of two and six patients stratified by participating centre and presence or absence of residual disease on CT scan. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival. Secondary endpoints included time to imatinib resistance and overall survival. Analyses were conducted on an intention-to-treat basis in all randomly assigned patients who were not lost to follow-up. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrial.gov, NCT00367861. FINDINGS: Between May 12, 2003, and March 16, 2004, after 1 year of imatinib, 32 patients were randomly assigned to the interruption group and 26 to the continuation group. Between June 13, 2005, and May 30, 2007, after 3 years of imatinib, 25 patients were randomly assigned to the interruption group and 25 to the continuation group. Between Nov 9, 2007, and July 12, 2010, after 5 years of imatinib, 14 patients were randomly assigned to the interruption group and 13 to the continuation group. Median follow-up was 235·2 months (IQR 128·8-236·6) after the 1-year randomisation, 200·9 months (190·2-208·4) after the 3-year randomisation, and 164·5 months (134·4-176·4) after the 5-year randomisation. Median progression-free survival in the interruption group versus the continuation group after 1 year of imatinib was 6·1 months (95% CI 2·5-10·1) versus 27·8 months (19·5-37·9; hazard ratio [HR] 0·36 [95% CI 0·20-0·64], log-rank p=0·0003), after 3 years of imatinib was 7·0 months (3·5-11·7) versus 67·0 months (48·8-85·6; 0·15 [0·07-0·32], log-rank p<0·0001), and after 5 years of imatinib was 12·0 months (9·0-16·6) versus not reached (NR; NR-NR; 0·13 [0·03-0·58], log-rank p=0·0016). The median time to imatinib resistance after 1 year of imatinib was 28·7 months (95% CI 18·1-39·1) versus 90·6 months (25·3-156·1; HR 0·93 [95% CI 0·51-1·71], log-rank p=0·82), after 3 years was 66·2 months (43·0-89·6) versus 127·3 months (15·0-239·7; 0·35 [0·17-0·72, log-rank p=0·0028), and after 5 years was 58·6 months (0·0-167·4) versus NR (NR-NR; 0·24 [0·05-1·12], log-rank p=0·049). Median overall survival after 1 year of imatinib was 56·0 months (95% CI 30·3-82·9) versus 105·0 months (20·6-189·6; HR 0·84 [95% CI 0·46-1·54], log-rank p=0·57), after 3 years was 104·0 months (90·7-118·7) versus 134·0 months (89·7-178·3; 0·40 [0·20-0·82], log-rank p=0·0096), and after 5 years was NR (NR-NR) versus 110·4 months (82·7-154·1; 1·28 [0·41-3·99]; log-rank p=0·67), INTERPRETATION: Imatinib interruption in patients with GIST without progressive disease is not recommended. Imatinib interruption in non-progressing patients with GIST was associated with rapid progression, faster resistance to imatinib, and shorter overall survival in the long-term follow-up when compared with imatinib continuation in patients after 3 years and 5 years of imatinib. FUNDING: Centre Léon Bérard, INCa, CONTICANET, Ligue Contre le Cancer, and Novartis.

Follow-up analysis and research of very low-risk and low-risk gastrointestinal stromal tumors after endoscopic resection.

Currently, due to limited long-term evidence, there remains some controversy surrounding the recommended postoperative monitoring strategy for primary low-risk gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs). This study recruited a total of 532 patients diagnosed with very low-risk and low-risk GISTs who underwent endoscopic resection from 2015 to 2021, including 460 very low-risk patients and 72 low-risk patients. Descriptive statistical analysis was used to evaluate the clinical and pathological characteristics of GIST patients, and Kaplan-Meier methods were employed for survival analysis. The results showed that the 5-year recurrence-free survival rates for very low-risk and low-risk patients were 98.5% and 95.9%, respectively. The 5-year disease-specific survival rates for both groups were 100%. Additionally, the 5-year overall survival rates were 99.7% for very low-risk patients and 100% for low-risk patients (P = 0.69). Therefore, it is suggested that routine follow-up monitoring, including endoscopic surveillance and imaging, may not be necessary for very low-risk and low-risk GISTs after endoscopic resection.

Integrated impact of multiple body composition parameters on overall survival in gastrointestinal or genitourinary cancers: A descriptive cohort study.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to evaluate if combining low muscle mass with additional body composition abnormalities, such as myosteatosis or adiposity, could improve survival prediction accuracy in a large cohort of gastrointestinal and genitourinary malignancies. METHODS: In total, 2015 patients with surgically-treated gastrointestinal or genitourinary cancer were retrospectively analyzed. Skeletal muscle index, skeletal muscle radiodensity, and visceral/subcutaneous adipose tissue index were determined. The primary outcome was overall survival determined by hospital records. Multivariate Cox hazard models were used to identify independent predictors for poor survival. C-statistics were assessed to quantify the prognostic capability of the models with or without incorporating body composition parameters. RESULTS: Survival curves were significantly demarcated by all 4 measures. Skeletal muscle radiodensity was associated with non-cancer-related deaths but not with cancer-specific survival. The survival outcome of patients with low skeletal muscle index was poor (5-year OS; 65.2%), especially when present in combination with low skeletal muscle radiodensity (5-year overall survival; 50.2%). All examined body composition parameters were independent predictors of lower overall survival. The model for predicting overall survival without incorporating body composition parameters had a c-index of 0.68 but increased to 0.71 with the inclusion of low skeletal muscle index and 0.72 when incorporating both low skeletal muscle index and low skeletal muscle radiodensity/visceral adipose tissue index/subcutaneous adipose tissue index. CONCLUSION: Patients exhibiting both low skeletal muscle index and other body composition abnormalities, particularly low skeletal muscle radiodensity, had poorer overall survival. Models incorporating multiple body composition prove valuable for mortality prediction in oncology settings.

Ultra-Processed Food Consumption as a Risk Factor for Gastrointestinal Cancer and Other Causes of Mortality in Southern Italy: A Competing Risk Approach.

BACKGROUND: Ultra-Processed Foods (UPFs) are increasingly consumed worldwide, even in regions with strong dietary traditions like the Mediterranean and can play a crucial role in the development of chronic diseases, including cancer. This population-based prospective cohort study investigates the association between UPF consumption and gastrointestinal cancers and other causes of mortality in Southern Italy. METHODS: Data were collected from 4870 participants in the MICOL and NUTRIHEP cohorts. The EPIC questionnaire was used to elicit information on food and drink consumption and UPFs were categorized by degree of processing according to the NOVA classification. Cox proportional hazards regression and competing risk models were employed for statistical analysis. RESULTS: UPF consumption was positively associated with all-cause mortality: participants in the 3rd UFP quartile, as compared to the lowest, had a 27% higher risk of death (SHR 1.27 95% CI, 1.03; 1.57), while in the highest quartile as compared to the lowest, the risk was 34% higher (SHR 1.34 95% CI, 1.00; 1.79). Higher UPFs intake was also correlated with an increased gastrointestinal cancers mortality risk, especially the 2nd (SHR 1.65, 95% CI: 1.01; 2.71) and 4th quartile (SHR 3.14 95% CI: 1.56; 6.32), with a dose-dependent effect. For the other cancers, a SHR 1.61 (95% CI 1.03; 2.54) was observed for the 3rd quartile. CONCLUSIONS: Our results reinforce the link between UPF consumption and cancer risk, emphasizing the urgent need for interventions targeting dietary patterns.

The role of sarcopenic obesity for the prediction of prognosis of patients with gastrointestinal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Sarcopenic obesity (SO) in patients with gastrointestinal cancer is associated with a poor prognosis. We aimed to investigate the prognostic impact of SO in patients with gastrointestinal cancer, as well as the diagnostic cut-off value of SO in patients with gastrointestinal cancer among Chinese population. METHODS: We conducted a consecutive cohort study. Between January 2017 and January 2019, 289 patients diagnosed with gastrointestinal cancer were included in our study. Skeletal muscle area, total fat area, and subcutaneous fat area were measured by CT scan. All patients were followed up for 5 years. Receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) were adopted to determine the cut-off values of visceral fat obesity for the prediction of sarcopenia. Based on the cut-off values, patients with sarcopenia combined with visceral fat obesity were divided into the SO group, and the others were divided into the non-sarcopenic obesity (NSO) group. Kaplan-Meier curves and univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were employed to explore the associations of body composition profiles with 5-year overall survival and disease-specific survival. RESULTS: Obtained from Youden's Index for ROC for the prediction of 5-year survival, skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) ≤40.02 cm2/m2 with VFA ≥ 126.30 cm2 in men and SMI ≤32.05 cm2/m2 with VFA ≥72.42 cm2 in women indicate a risk of poor prognosis in patients diagnosed with gastrointestinal cancer. Patients with SO had poorer 5-year overall survival (OS) than patients with NSO (6.74% vs. 82.84%, p < 0.001), and poorer 5-year DFS (6.74% vs. 81.82%, p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, we found that the long-term mortality risk was approximately 13-fold higher among patients in the SO group compared to those with no conditions. CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative assessment of SO is useful not only for monitoring nutritional status but also for predicting 5-year OS in gastrointestinal cancer patients.

Survival of advanced/recurrent gastrointestinal stromal tumors treated with tyrosine kinase inhibitors in Taiwan: a nationwide registry study.

BACKGROUND: Most gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) harbor c-KIT or PDGFRA mutations. Administration of tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) has significantly improved the survival of patients with GISTs. We aimed to evaluate the clinical outcome of advanced or recurrent GIST patients in Taiwan. METHODS: Patients diagnosed between 2010 and 2020 were enrolled. The collected data included baseline characteristics, treatment pattern, treatment outcome, genetic aberrations and survival status. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed and plotted with the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox regression analysis was used to analyze the prognostic factors of survival. RESULTS: A total of 224 patients with advanced or recurrent GISTs treated with TKIs were enrolled. All patients received imatinib treatment. Ninety-three and 42 patients received sunitinib and regorafenib treatment, respectively. The 48-month PFS and OS rates for patients treated with imatinib were 50.5% and 79.5%, respectively. c-KIT exon 9 and PDGFRA mutations were prognostic factors for a poor PFS and PDGFRA mutation was a prognostic factor for a poor OS in patients treated with imatinib in multivariate Cox regression analysis. The median PFS of patients who received sunitinib treatment was 12.76 months (95% confidence interval (CI), 11.01-14.52). Patients with c-KIT exon 9 mutations had a longer PFS than those with other genetic aberrations. The median PFS of patients treated with regorafenib was 7.14 months (95% CI, 3.39-10.89). CONCLUSIONS: We present real-world clinical outcomes for advanced GIST patients treated with TKIs and identify mutational status as an independent prognostic factor for patient survival.

Racial, Ethnic, and Sex Differences in Incidence-Based Mortality of Aggregate Upper Gastrointestinal Cancers.

INTRODUCTION: Current strategies for upper gastrointestinal (UGI) cancer screening primarily target cancer-specific risk, with the strongest focus on esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). However, all UGI cancers are amendable to screening and early detection with an upper endoscopic examination. This study assesses and explores incidence-based mortality (IBM) for cumulative UGI cancers, aiming to identify race-based or sex-based disparities. METHODS: We used Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Research data to analyze patients diagnosed with EAC, esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, cardia gastric cancer, noncardia gastric cancer, or colorectal adenocarcinoma from 2000 to 2019. Age-adjusted IBM was calculated as a rate per 100,000 population and stratified by sex and race/ethnicity. We also compared UGI cancer IBM with that of colorectal cancer, a cancer with established population-wide endoscopic screening guidelines. RESULTS: Cumulative IBM for UGI cancers was 8.40 (95% confidence interval [CI] 8.34-8.46). The highest cancer-specific IBM rates were for EAC (2.26, 95% CI 2.23-2.29), followed by noncardia gastric cancer (2.07, 95% CI 2.04-2.10), cardia gastric cancer (1.60, 95% CI 1.57-1.62), esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (1.21, 95% CI 1.19-1.23), and miscellaneous UGI cancer (1.27, 95% CI 1.13-1.40). UGI cancer IBM was highest among Black men (16.43, 95% CI 15.97-16.89), American Indian/Alaska Native men (15.23, 95% CI 13.75-16.82), and Hispanic men (13.76, 95% CI 13.42-14.11). These rates are significantly greater than among White men (12.81, 95% CI 12.68-12.95). DISCUSSION: UGI cancers impose a significantly higher mortality burden on non-White population subgroups that are not currently targeted by any systematic screening approach.

Sunitinib for the treatment of metastatic gastrointestinal stromal tumors: the effect of TDM-guided dose optimization on clinical outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Sunitinib is an oral anticancer drug approved for the treatment of among others gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST). Previous analyses demonstrated an exposure-response relationship at the standard dose, and minimum target levels of drug exposure have been defined above which better treatment outcomes are observed. Therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) could be used as a tool to optimize the individual dose, aiming at sunitinib trough concentrations ≥37.5 ng/ml for continuous dosing. Nonetheless, data on the added value of TDM-guided dosing on clinical endpoints are currently lacking. Therefore, we evaluate the effect of TDM in patients with advanced and metastatic GIST treated with sunitinib in terms of efficacy and toxicity. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A TDM-guided cohort was compared to a non-TDM-guided cohort in terms of median progression-free survival (mPFS) and overall survival (mOS). Also, mPFS between patients with and without dose-limiting toxicities (DLTs) was compared. Patients in the prospective cohort were included in two studies on TDM-guided dosing (the DPOG-TDM study and TUNE study). The retrospective cohort consisted of patients from the Dutch GIST Registry who did not receive TDM-guided dosing. RESULTS: In total, 51 and 106 patients were included in the TDM-guided cohort and non-TDM-guided cohort, respectively. No statistical difference in mPFS was observed between these two cohorts (39.4 versus 46.9 weeks, respectively; P = 0.52). Patients who experienced sunitinib-induced DLTs had longer mPFS compared to those who did not (51.9 versus 28.9 weeks, respectively; P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Our results do not support the routine use of TDM-guided dose optimization of sunitinib in patients with advanced/metastatic GIST to improve survival.

Adjuvant imatinib in high-risk resected gastrointestinal stromal tumors: Merely delaying the inevitable?

INTRODUCTION: Patients with high-risk resected gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST) receiving adjuvant imatinib have improved recurrence-free survival (RFS), however whether a complete cytocidal effect exists is unknown. We investigated this using a normalized recurrence timeline measured from end of oncologic treatment (EOOT), defined as the later of resection or end of adjuvant therapy. METHODS: We reviewed patients with resected high-risk GIST at our cancer center from 2003 to 2018. RFS (measured from resection and EOOT), overall survival (OS), and time to imatinib resistance (TTIR) were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling. The performance of the Memorial Sloan Kettering (MSK) GIST nomogram was assessed. RESULTS: We identified 86 patients with high-risk GIST with a median 106 months of postsurgical follow-up. One-third (n = 29; 34%) did not receive adjuvant imatinib, while 57 (66%) did for a median of 3 years. The MSK nomogram-predicted 5-year RFS for patients receiving adjuvant imatinib was similar to those who did not (29% vs. 31%, p = 0.64). When RFS was measured from EOOT, the MSK-predicted RFS was independently associated with EOOT RFS (hazard ratio 0.22, p = 0.02), while adjuvant imatinib receipt and duration were not. Neither receipt nor duration of adjuvant imatinib were associated with TTIR or OS (all p > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with adjuvant imatinib delays, but does not clearly impact ultimate recurrence, TTIR, or OS, suggesting many patients with high-risk GIST may receive adjuvant imatinib unnecessarily. Additional studies are needed to establish the benefit of adjuvant therapy versus initiating therapy at first radiographic recurrence.

Cachexia Index as a Predictor of Reduced Survival in Patients with Gastrointestinal Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

The cachexia index is a novel indicator of cachexia, but its prognostic implications for survival outcomes have not been systematically assessed in patients with gastrointestinal cancer. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to examine the association between the cachexia index and survival outcomes in gastrointestinal cancer patients. Two independent reviewers searched PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science to identify studies that evaluated the prognostic significance of the cachexia index in patients with gastrointestinal cancer. The prognostic value of the cachexia index was determined by combining the adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Thirteen studies were identified, including a total of 4207 patients. Meta-analysis indicated that a lower cachexia index was associated with shorter overall survival (HR 2.18; 95% CI 1.78-2.66) and disease-free survival (HR 1.72; 95% CI 1.50-1.97) in gastrointestinal cancer patients. Further stratified analysis confirmed the significant association between a lower cachexia index and shorter overall survival in different study designs, regions, patients' age, sample sizes, gastrointestinal cancer subtypes, tumor stages, and follow-up duration subgroups. The cachexia index could be utilized as a predictor of overall survival and disease-free survival in patients with gastrointestinal cancer. However, future prospective studies are required to confirm these findings.

Survival of patients with ruptured gastrointestinal stromal tumour treated with adjuvant imatinib in a randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: Patients with ruptured gastrointestinal stromal tumour (GIST) have poor prognosis. Little information is available about how adjuvant imatinib influences survival. METHODS: We explored recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) of patients with ruptured GIST who participated in a randomised trial (SSG XVIII/AIO), where 400 patients with high-risk GIST were allocated to adjuvant imatinib for either 1 year or 3 years after surgery. Of the 358 patients with confirmed localised GIST, 73 (20%) had rupture reported. The ruptures were classified retrospectively using the Oslo criteria. RESULTS: Most ruptures were major, four reported ruptures were reclassified unruptured. The 69 patients with rupture had inferior RFS and OS compared with 289 patients with unruptured GIST (10-year RFS 21% vs. 55%, OS 59% vs. 78%, respectively). Three-year adjuvant imatinib did not significantly improve RFS or OS of the patients with rupture compared with 1-year treatment, but in the largest mutational subset with KIT exon 11 deletion/indel mutation OS was higher in the 3-year group than in the 1-year group (10-year OS 94% vs. 54%). CONCLUSIONS: About one-fifth of ruptured GISTs treated with adjuvant imatinib did not recur during the first decade of follow-up. Relatively high OS rates were achieved despite rupture. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT00116935.

Development and Validation of a Novel Machine Learning Model to Predict the Survival of Patients with Gastrointestinal Neuroendocrine Neoplasms.

INTRODUCTION: Well-calibrated models for personalized prognostication of patients with gastrointestinal neuroendocrine neoplasms (GINENs) are limited. This study aimed to develop and validate a machine-learning model to predict the survival of patients with GINENs. METHODS: Oblique random survival forest (ORSF) model, Cox proportional hazard risk model, Cox model with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator penalization, CoxBoost, Survival Gradient Boosting Machine, Extreme Gradient Boosting survival regression, DeepHit, DeepSurv, DNNSurv, logistic-hazard model, and PC-hazard model were compared. We further tuned hyperparameters and selected variables for the best-performing ORSF. Then, the final ORSF model was validated. RESULTS: A total of 43,444 patients with GINENs were included. The median (interquartile range) survival time was 53 (19-102) months. The ORSF model performed best, in which age, histology, M stage, tumor size, primary tumor site, sex, tumor number, surgery, lymph nodes removed, N stage, race, and grade were ranked as important variables. However, chemotherapy and radiotherapy were not necessary for the ORSF model. The ORSF model had an overall C index of 0.86 (95% confidence interval, 0.85-0.87). The area under the receiver operation curves at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years were 0.91, 0.89, 0.87, and 0.80, respectively. The decision curve analysis showed superior clinical usefulness of the ORSF model than the American Joint Committee on Cancer Stage. A nomogram and an online tool were given. CONCLUSION: The machine learning ORSF model could precisely predict the survival of patients with GINENs, with the ability to identify patients at high risk for death and probably guide clinical practice.

The effect of surgery and metastatic risk prediction in patients with gastrointestinal tract signet-ring cell carcinoma.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to assess the efficacy of surgery as a treatment option for patients with signet-ring cell carcinoma (SRCC) in the gastrointestinal tract (GI-SRCC). METHODS: Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, patients with GI-SRCC who underwent surgery or received nonsurgical treatment were included. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was used to balance baseline characteristics and reduce bias. Overall survival (OS) was calculated in matching cohorts to estimate prognosis for patients with GI-SRCC. Nomogram was established to predict metastasis for patients with GI-SRCC. RESULTS: The study enrolled a total of 9428 patients with GI-SRCC, with 1689 patients in the nonsurgery group and 7739 patients in the surgery group. After 1:1 PSM, we analyzed 743 patients from each group. Our survival analyses revealed that surgery independently correlated with improved OS for patients with GI-SRCC (hazard ratio, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.33-0.42; P < .001). Subgroup analysis further confirmed the positive impact of surgery on the prognosis of patients with nonmetastatic GI-SRCC. Notably, distinct subsets of patients with metastasis, particularly those originating from the upper GI (esophagus, proximal stomach, and distal stomach) and left colon, demonstrated a significant improvement in OS after surgery. However, no significant survival difference was observed for patients with metastatic right colon and rectum SRCC. Using nomogram, we quantitatively assessed the risk of metastasis in patients with right colon and rectum SRCC, which exhibited robust predictive accuracy, with area under the curve values of 0.829. CONCLUSION: Our study highlighted surgery's positive impact on prognosis for both patients with nonmetastatic and metastatic upper GI-SRCC and left colon SRCC. Hence, we recommend surgery as a treatment option for these groups. In addition, for patients with metastatic right colon and rectum SRCC ineligible for surgery, our predictive nomogram can offer a convenient tool to aid early intervention and improve prognosis.

Endoscopic and Surgical Treatment of Gastrointestinal Neuroendocrine Neoplasms: A Population-based Comparative Study.

BACKGROUND: Controversy surrounds the indications for endoscopic treatment (ET) versus surgery in addressing gastrointestinal neuroendocrine neoplasms (GI-NENs). This paper aims to compare the long-term survival prognosis between ET and surgery for patients with GI-NENs. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of GI-NEN patients diagnosed between 2000 and 2020 was conducted using the SEER database. Overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Prognostic factors were assessed through univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Propensity score matching (PSM) was employed to adjust for clinical variables. RESULTS: This study encompassed 12,016 patients with GI-NENs, with 3732 patients (31.1%) undergoing ET and 8284 patients (68.9%) opting for surgery. The rectum was the most frequent location for ET, while the small bowel was the predominant site for surgery. Both the ET and surgical groups exhibited similar overall survival risk and cancer-specific survival risk before and after matching. No significant differences in the 1-year, 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year OS and CSS rates were observed between the ET and surgery groups after PSM. Nevertheless, subgroup analysis revealed a significantly better CSS in the ET group than the surgery group, particularly in stage I and tumors sized <10mm ( P <0.01). In the colon subgroup, the OS and CSS of the ET group were superior to those of the surgery group ( P <0.05). CONCLUSION: Endoscopic treatment and surgery demonstrate comparable long-term survival prognoses for treating GI-NENs. ET emerges as a viable option for patients averse to surgical interventions.

A systematic review and meta-analysis of neoadjuvant imatinib use in locally advanced and metastatic gastrointestinal stromal tumors.

BACKGROUND: Several doubts remain regarding the optimal use of neoadjuvant imatinib in gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs), such as ideal treatment duration, patient selection, and long-term survival outcomes. This manuscript provides a comprehensive review on neoadjuvant imatinib treatment outcomes and facilitate evidence-based decision-making for the use of imatinib therapy in GISTs. METHODS: Four databases (PubMed, EMBASE, Scopus, and Cochrane Library) were searched from inception to September 9, 2023. Meta-analyses of proportions were performed for the outcomes of R0 resection, disease responses, and 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year overall survival (OS) as well as 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year disease free survival (DFS). Sensitivity analyses in the form of leave-one-out analyses, meta-regression, and subgroup analyses were performed for outcomes with substantial statistical heterogeneity. RESULTS: The search yielded 1254 articles, and 36 studies were included in our analysis. Meta-analysis of proportions revealed that 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS was 100%, 94%, and 88%, while 1-year, 3-year and 5-year DFS was 99%, 89%, and 79%, respectively. An R0 resection rate of 89% and a disease response rate of 67% was achieved after a mean duration of treatment of 8.41 ± 0.367 months. KIT exon 9 mutation was significantly associated with poorer 5-year DFS. CONCLUSION: This study quantified key outcomes for neoadjuvant imatinib in locally advanced and metastatic or recurrent GIST. Patients with gastric and rectal tumous stand to benefit from neoadjuvant imatinib with an optimal treatment duration of 8 months. Furthermore, the potential utility of mutational analysis in guiding treatment with neoadjuvant imatinib was demonstrated.

Association of Remote Patient-Reported Outcomes and Step Counts With Hospitalization or Death Among Patients With Advanced Cancer Undergoing Chemotherapy: Secondary Analysis of the PROStep Randomized Trial.

BACKGROUND: Patients with advanced cancer undergoing chemotherapy experience significant symptoms and declines in functional status, which are associated with poor outcomes. Remote monitoring of patient-reported outcomes (PROs; symptoms) and step counts (functional status) may proactively identify patients at risk of hospitalization or death. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to evaluate the association of (1) longitudinal PROs with step counts and (2) PROs and step counts with hospitalization or death. METHODS: The PROStep randomized trial enrolled 108 patients with advanced gastrointestinal or lung cancers undergoing cytotoxic chemotherapy at a large academic cancer center. Patients were randomized to weekly text-based monitoring of 8 PROs plus continuous step count monitoring via Fitbit (Google) versus usual care. This preplanned secondary analysis included 57 of 75 patients randomized to the intervention who had PRO and step count data. We analyzed the associations between PROs and mean daily step counts and the associations of PROs and step counts with the composite outcome of hospitalization or death using bootstrapped generalized linear models to account for longitudinal data. RESULTS: Among 57 patients, the mean age was 57 (SD 10.9) years, 24 (42%) were female, 43 (75%) had advanced gastrointestinal cancer, 14 (25%) had advanced lung cancer, and 25 (44%) were hospitalized or died during follow-up. A 1-point weekly increase (on a 32-point scale) in aggregate PRO score was associated with 247 fewer mean daily steps (95% CI -277 to -213; P<.001). PROs most strongly associated with step count decline were patient-reported activity (daily step change -892), nausea score (-677), and constipation score (524). A 1-point weekly increase in aggregate PRO score was associated with 20% greater odds of hospitalization or death (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.2, 95% CI 1.1-1.4; P=.01). PROs most strongly associated with hospitalization or death were pain (aOR 3.2, 95% CI 1.6-6.5; P<.001), decreased activity (aOR 3.2, 95% CI 1.4-7.1; P=.01), dyspnea (aOR 2.6, 95% CI 1.2-5.5; P=.02), and sadness (aOR 2.1, 95% CI 1.1-4.3; P=.03). A decrease in 1000 steps was associated with 16% greater odds of hospitalization or death (aOR 1.2, 95% CI 1.0-1.3; P=.03). Compared with baseline, mean daily step count decreased 7% (n=274 steps), 9% (n=351 steps), and 16% (n=667 steps) in the 3, 2, and 1 weeks before hospitalization or death, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In this secondary analysis of a randomized trial among patients with advanced cancer, higher symptom burden and decreased step count were independently associated with and predictably worsened close to hospitalization or death. Future interventions should leverage longitudinal PRO and step count data to target interventions toward patients at risk for poor outcomes. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04616768; https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04616768. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): RR2-10.1136/bmjopen-2021-054675.

Benefit and Harm of Aspirin on Mortality From Gastrointestinal Cancers Vs Bleeding in Helicobacter pylori-Eradicated Patients.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We investigated the benefit-risk profile of aspirin on mortality reduction from chemoprevention of gastrointestinal (GI) cancer vs excess mortality from bleeding among Helicobacter pylori-eradicated patients, and its interaction with proton pump inhibitors (PPIs). METHODS: H pylori-eradicated patients (between 2003 and 2016), identified from a territory-wide database, were observed from the date of H pylori therapy until death or the end of the study (July 2020). Primary exposure was aspirin use as time-varying variable. The primary outcome was GI cancer-related (gastrointestinal, hepatobiliary, or pancreatic cancer) death and the secondary outcome was bleeding-related (gastrointestinal bleeding or intracranial bleeding) death. The adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of outcomes was calculated by multivariable Cox model after adjusting for age, sex, comorbidities, and concomitant medications. The benefit-risk profile was expressed as the adjusted absolute risk difference of cancer-related deaths and bleeding-related deaths between aspirin users and nonusers. RESULTS: A total of 87,967 subjects were followed up for a median of 10.1 years, with 1294 (1.5%) GI cancer-related deaths and 304 (0.3%) bleeding-related deaths. Aspirin was associated with lower GI cancer-related mortality (aHR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.42-0.61), but higher bleeding-related mortality (aHR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.11-2.08). Among PPI users, the aHR of bleeding-related mortality with aspirin was 1.06 (95% CI, 0.70-1.63). For the whole cohort, the adjusted absolute risk difference between aspirin users and nonusers was 7 (95% CI, 5-8) fewer cancer-related and 1 (95% CI, 0.3-3) more bleeding-related death per 10,000 person-years. Among concomitant PPI-aspirin use, there were 9 (95% CI, 8-10) fewer cancer-related deaths per 10,000 person-years without an increase in bleeding-related deaths. CONCLUSIONS: GI cancer mortality benefit from aspirin outweighs bleeding-related mortality in H pylori-eradicated subjects, which is enhanced further by PPI use.

Phase angle: A robust predictor of malnutrition and poor prognosis in gastrointestinal cancer.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship among phase angle (PA), malnutrition, and prognosis in patients with gastrointestinal cancer. METHODS: In total, 870 patients with gastrointestinal cancer were enrolled. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the association between PA and survival risk. Restricted cubic spline regression was used for flexibility analysis to explore sex-specific associations between PA and survival. Logistic regression was used to assess the relationships among PA, malnutrition, and cachexia. RESULTS: Low PA was closely associated with poor physical conditions, diminished quality of life, and malnutrition. Patients with low PA had a significantly worse prognosis than those with high PA (60.6% versus 72.8%; log-rank P < 0.001). PA was suitable for the prognostic assessment of patients with advanced-stage tumors. Regardless of sex, patients with lower PA showed significantly poorer survival rates. Cox proportional hazards models identified PA as an independent predictor of prognosis in patients with gastrointestinal cancer (hazard ratio (HR)=0.534; 95% confidence interval (CI)=0.409-0.696, P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis indicated that a high PA was an independent risk factor affecting the prognoses of patients with esophageal, liver, and intrahepatic bile duct cancers. Interestingly, variations in PA had a more significant prognostic effect on survival in men than in women. The logistic regression model confirmed that PA is a valuable indicator for assessing malnutrition and cachexia in patients with gastrointestinal cancer. Among all body composition indicators, PA demonstrated the highest accuracy for prognostic prediction. CONCLUSIONS: PA was identified as a robust predictor of malnutrition and poor prognosis in patients with gastrointestinal cancer.

Discontinuation of imatinib in patients with oligometastatic gastrointestinal stromal tumour who are in complete radiological remission: a prospective multicentre phase II study.

INTRODUCTION: Metastatic gastrointestinal stromal tumour (GIST) is considered incurable, and life-long treatment with tyrosine kinase inhibitors is recommended. We investigated whether selected patients with metastatic GIST may remain in durable remission despite imatinib discontinuation. PATIENTS: In this 1-group, prospective, multicentre phase II trial selected patients with oligometastatic (≤3 metastases) GIST discontinued imatinib treatment. Eligible patients had been treated with imatinib >5 years without progression and had no radiologically detectable metastases after metastasectomy, radiofrequency ablation (RFA) or complete response to imatinib. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS) 3-years after stopping imatinib. Overall survival (OS) and quality of life (QoL) were secondary endpoints. RESULTS: The trial closed prematurely due to slow accrual. Between January 5, 2017, and June 5, 2019, 13 patients were enrolled, of whom 12 discontinued imatinib. The median follow-up time was 55 months (range, 36 to 69) after study entry. Five (42%) of the 12 eligible patients remained progression free, and seven (58%) progressed with a median time to progression 10 months. Median PFS was 23 months and the estimated 3-year PFS 41%. Six of the seven patients who progressed restarted imatinib, and all six responded. Three-year OS was 100%, and all patients were alive at the time of the study analysis. QoL measured 5 and 11 months after discontinuation of imatinib demonstrated improvement compared to the baseline. INTERPRETATION: A substantial proportion of selected patients with oligometastatic GIST treated with imatinib and metastasis surgery/RFA may remain disease-free for ≥3 years with improved QoL after stopping of imatinib.