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1.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1229, 2024 May 03.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38702681

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study is to explore the change in physicians' hypertension treatment behavior before and after the reform of the capitation in county medical community. METHODS: Spanning from January 2014 to December 2019, monthly data of outpatient and inpatient were gathered before and after the implementation of the reform in April 2015. We employed interrupted time series analysis method to scrutinize the instantaneous level and slope changes in the indicators associated with physicians' behavior. RESULTS: Several indicators related to physicians' behavior demonstrated enhancement. After the reform, medical cost per visit for inpatient exhibited a reverse trajectory (-53.545, 95%CI: -78.620 to -28.470, p < 0.01). The rate of change in outpatient drug combination decelerated (0.320, 95%CI: 0.149 to 0.491, p < 0.01). The ratio of infusion declined for both outpatient and inpatient cases (-0.107, 95%CI: -0.209 to -0.004, p < 0.1; -0.843, 95%CI: -1.154 to -0.532, p < 0.01). However, the results revealed that overall medical cost per visit and drug proportion for outpatient care continued their initial upward trend. After the reform, the decline of drug proportion for outpatient care was less pronounced compared to the period prior to the reform, and length of stay also had a similar trend. CONCLUSION: To some extent, capitation under the county medical community encourages physicians to control the cost and adopt a more standardized diagnosis and treatment behavior. This study provides evidence to consider the impact of policy changes on physicians' behavior when designing payment methods and healthcare systems aimed at promoting PHC.


Hypertension , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Practice Patterns, Physicians' , Humans , China , Hypertension/drug therapy , Practice Patterns, Physicians'/statistics & numerical data , Capitation Fee , Rural Population/statistics & numerical data , Male , Female , Antihypertensive Agents/therapeutic use
2.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1268, 2024 May 08.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38720254

BACKGROUND: In Africa, approx. 675 million people were at risk of food insecurity. COVID-19 pandemic is likely to have exacerbated this situation, by damaging populations' access to and affordability of foods. This study is aimed at estimating the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on availability and prices of essential food commodities at 20 large markets in Ghana. METHODS: Data on food availability and food retail prices collected through weekly market-level data during the period from July 2017 to September 2020 were used in this study. We performed interrupted time-series analyses and estimated the percentage increases between the observed and predicted food prices by food group and by region to assess the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on food prices. RESULTS: As a result, the impact of COVID-19 on food availability was limited. However, the results of interrupted time-series analyses indicate a significant increase in overall mean food prices in Greater Accra, Eastern and Upper East regions. It was also found that mean price of starchy roots, tubers and plantains significantly increased across regions. DISCUSSION: The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on food availability and prices was significant but varied by food type and regions in Ghana. Continuous monitoring and responses are critical to maintain food availability and affordability.


COVID-19 , Commerce , Food Supply , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Ghana/epidemiology , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Food Supply/statistics & numerical data , Food Supply/economics , Commerce/statistics & numerical data , Commerce/economics , Food Insecurity/economics , Pandemics/economics
3.
BMC Health Serv Res ; 24(1): 602, 2024 May 08.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38720364

BACKGROUND: Limited access to health services during the antenatal period and during childbirth, due to financial barriers, is an obstacle to reducing maternal and child mortality. To improve the use of health services in the three regions of Cameroon, which have the worst reproductive, maternal, neonatal, child and adolescent health indicators, a health voucher project aiming to reduce financial barriers has been progressively implemented since 2015 in these three regions. Our research aimed to assess the impact of the voucher scheme on first antenatal consultation (ANC) and skilled birth attendance (SBA). METHODS: Routine aggregated data by month over the period January 2013 to May 2018 for each of the 33 and 37 health facilities included in the study sample were used to measure the effect of the voucher project on the first ANC and SBA, respectively. We estimated changes attributable to the intervention in terms of the levels of outcome indicators immediately after the start of the project and over time using an interrupted time series regression. A meta-analysis was used to obtain the overall estimates. RESULTS: Overall, the voucher project contributed to an immediate and statistically significant increase, one month after the start of the project, in the monthly number of ANCs (by 26%) and the monthly number of SBAs (by 57%). Compared to the period before the start of the project, a statistically significant monthly increase was observed during the project implementation for SBAs but not for the first ANCs. The results at the level of health facilities (HFs) were mixed. Some HFs experienced an improvement, while others were faced with the status quo or a decrease. CONCLUSIONS: Unlike SBAs, the voucher project in Cameroon had mixed results in improving first ANCs. These limited effects were likely the consequence of poor design and implementation challenges.


Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Prenatal Care , Humans , Cameroon , Female , Pregnancy , Prenatal Care/statistics & numerical data , Health Services Accessibility/statistics & numerical data , Delivery, Obstetric/statistics & numerical data , Midwifery/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Maternal Health Services/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent
4.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1430, 2024 May 28.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38807097

BACKGROUND: Although the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic affected trends of multiple health outcomes in Japan, there is a paucity of studies investigating the effect of the pandemic on adverse birth outcomes and fetal mortality. This study aimed to investigate the effect of the onset of the pandemic on the trends in adverse birth outcomes and fetal mortality using national data in Japan. METHODS: We used the 2010-2022 birth and fetal mortality data from the Vital Statistics in Japan. We defined the starting time of the effect of the pandemic as April 2020, and the period from January 2010 to March 2020 and that from April 2020 to December 2022 were defined as the pre- and post- pandemic period, respectively. The rates of preterm birth, term low birth weight (TLBW), small-for-gestational-age (SGA), large-for-gestational-age (LGA), spontaneous fetal mortality, and artificial fetal mortality were used as outcomes. An interrupted time series analysis was conducted using monthly time series data of the outcomes to evaluate the effects of the pandemic. In addition, a modified Poisson regression model was used to evaluate the effects of the pandemic on these outcomes using individual-level data, and the adjusted risk ratio of the effect was calculated. RESULTS: The adverse birth and fetal mortality outcomes showed a decreasing trend over the years, except for preterm birth and LGA birth rates, and SGA birth rates tended to reach their lowest values after the onset of the pandemic. The interrupted time series analysis revealed that the pandemic decreased preterm birth, TLBW, and SGA birth rates. In addition, the regression analysis revealed that the pandemic decreased the TLBW, SGA, and artificial fetal mortality rates. CONCLUSIONS: Analyses performed using national data suggested that the pandemic decreased the TLBW and SGA rates in Japan.


COVID-19 , Fetal Mortality , Premature Birth , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/mortality , Japan/epidemiology , Female , Pregnancy , Infant, Newborn , Fetal Mortality/trends , Premature Birth/epidemiology , Pregnancy Outcome/epidemiology , Pandemics , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Adult , SARS-CoV-2 , Infant, Low Birth Weight , Infant, Small for Gestational Age
5.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 33(6): e5793, 2024 Jun.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38783553

PURPOSE: To evaluate the impact of rescheduling hydrocodone combination products (HCPs) from schedule III of the Controlled Substances Act to the more restrictive schedule II on unintentional pediatric exposures (≤5 years old). METHODS: Using U.S. data on outpatient retail pharmacy dispensing, emergency department (ED) visits, and poison center (PC) exposure cases, we assessed trends in prescriptions dispensed and unintentional pediatric exposure cases involving hydrocodone (rescheduled from III to II) compared to oxycodone (schedule II) and codeine (schedule III for combination products) using descriptive and interrupted time-series (ITS) analyses during the 16 quarters before and after the October 2014 rescheduling of HCPs. RESULTS: Dispensing of hydrocodone products was declining before rescheduling but declined more steeply post-rescheduling. In ITS analyses, both hydrocodone and oxycodone had significant slope decreases in PC case rates in the post versus pre-period that was larger for hydrocodone, while codeine had a small but significant slope increase in PC case rates. An estimated 4202 ED visits for pediatric hydrocodone exposures occurred in the pre-period and 2090 visits occurred in the post-period, a significant decrease of 50.3%. Oxycodone exposures showed no significant decrease. CONCLUSIONS: Pediatric hydrocodone unintentional exposure ED visits and PC cases decreased after HCP rescheduling more than would be expected had the pre-rescheduling trend continued; the acceleration in the decrease in hydrocodone PC cases was partially offset by a slowing in the decrease in codeine-involved cases. The trend changes were likely due to multiple factors, including changes in dispensing that followed the rescheduling. Unintentional pediatric medication exposures and poisonings remain a public health concern requiring ongoing, multifaceted mitigation efforts.


Analgesics, Opioid , Codeine , Drug and Narcotic Control , Emergency Service, Hospital , Hydrocodone , Oxycodone , Poison Control Centers , Humans , Analgesics, Opioid/adverse effects , Child, Preschool , Oxycodone/adverse effects , Poison Control Centers/statistics & numerical data , United States/epidemiology , Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Drug and Narcotic Control/legislation & jurisprudence , Infant , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Child , Drug Combinations
6.
NPJ Prim Care Respir Med ; 34(1): 11, 2024 May 16.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38755181

Tobacco control policies can protect child health. We hypothesised that the parallel introduction in 2008 of smoke-free restaurants and bars in the Netherlands, a tobacco tax increase and mass media campaign, would be associated with decreases in childhood wheezing/asthma, respiratory tract infections (RTIs), and otitis media with effusion (OME) presenting in primary care. We conducted an interrupted time series study using electronic medical records from the Dutch Integrated Primary Care Information database (2000-2016). We estimated step and slope changes in the incidence of each outcome with negative binomial regression analyses, adjusting for underlying time-trends, seasonality, age, sex, electronic medical record system, urbanisation, and social deprivation. Analysing 1,295,124 person-years among children aged 0-12 years, we found positive step changes immediately after the policies (incidence rate ratio (IRR): 1.07, 95% CI: 1.01-1.14 for wheezing/asthma; IRR: 1.16, 95% CI: 1.13-1.19 for RTIs; and IRR: 1.24, 95% CI: 1.14-1.36 for OME). These were followed by slope decreases for wheezing/asthma (IRR: 0.95/year, 95% CI: 0.93-0.97) and RTIs (IRR: 0.97/year, 95% CI: 0.96-0.98), but a slope increase in OME (IRR: 1.05/year, 95% CI: 1.01-1.09). We found no clear evidence of benefit of changes in tobacco control policies in the Netherlands for the outcomes of interest. Our findings need to be interpreted with caution due to substantial uncertainty in the pre-legislation outcome trends.


Asthma , Primary Health Care , Respiratory Sounds , Respiratory Tract Infections , Humans , Child, Preschool , Infant , Primary Health Care/statistics & numerical data , Female , Male , Netherlands/epidemiology , Child , Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology , Respiratory Tract Infections/prevention & control , Asthma/epidemiology , Smoke-Free Policy/legislation & jurisprudence , Infant, Newborn , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Tobacco Smoke Pollution/prevention & control , Otitis Media/epidemiology , Incidence , Tobacco Control
7.
AIDS Res Ther ; 21(1): 29, 2024 May 09.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38724976

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has put the provision of health services globally at risk. In Sub-Saharan Africa, it had a major impact on HIV services. However, there is a lack of data on the post-pandemic period. This study aims to evaluate the resumption of HIV services and retention in care for adolescents and young people in the period following the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using interrupted time series analysis. Three periods were considered: pre-pandemic (form June 2019 to March 2020), pandemic (form April 2020 to March 2022) post-pandemic (from April 2022 to March 2023). Six outcome measures were considered: number of outpatient visits, HIV tests, HIV positivity ratio, the antiretroviral treatment (ART) non-adherence ratio, recall ratio, and the return ratio for adolescent and young adults on ART. RESULTS: During the study period, 447,515 outpatient visits and 126,096 HIV tests were recorded. After a reduction at the beginning of the pandemic period, both visits and tests increased during the pandemic (p < 0.05) and decreased in the post-pandemic (p < 0.05), recovering the pre-pandemic trends. The HIV positivity ratio slightly decreased from 3.3% to 1.7% during the study period (p < 0.05). The ART non-adherence ratio decreased from 23.4% to 2.4% throughout the study period (p < 0.05), with a drop at the beginning of the post-pandemic period (p < 0.05). The recall ratio increased during the study period (p < 0.05) with a drop at the beginning of the pandemic and post-pandemic periods (p < 0.05). The return ratio decreased at the beginning of the pandemic (p < 0.05) but returned to the pre-pandemic ratio in the post-pandemic period. CONCLUSIONS: The post-pandemic values of the investigated outcomes were comparable to pre-pandemic period, or even improved. Differently from other services, such as the community activities, that have been severely affected by COVID-19 pandemic, the HIV service system has shown resilience following emergency situation.


COVID-19 , HIV Infections , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Humans , Adolescent , HIV Infections/drug therapy , HIV Infections/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Young Adult , Female , Male , Adult , SARS-CoV-2 , Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use , Medication Adherence/statistics & numerical data , Delivery of Health Care , Pandemics
8.
JMIR Public Health Surveill ; 10: e46029, 2024 05 10.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38728683

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic impacted mental health and health care systems worldwide. OBJECTIVE: This study examined the COVID-19 pandemic's impact on ambulance attendances for mental health and overdose, comparing similar regions in the United Kingdom and Canada that implemented different public health measures. METHODS: An interrupted time series study of ambulance attendances was conducted for mental health and overdose in the United Kingdom (East Midlands region) and Canada (Hamilton and Niagara regions). Data were obtained from 182,497 ambulance attendance records for the study period of December 29, 2019, to August 1, 2020. Negative binomial regressions modeled the count of attendances per week per 100,000 population in the weeks leading up to the lockdown, the week the lockdown was initiated, and the weeks following the lockdown. Stratified analyses were conducted by sex and age. RESULTS: Ambulance attendances for mental health and overdose had very small week-over-week increases prior to lockdown (United Kingdom: incidence rate ratio [IRR] 1.002, 95% CI 1.002-1.003 for mental health). However, substantial changes were observed at the time of lockdown; while there was a statistically significant drop in the rate of overdose attendances in the study regions of both countries (United Kingdom: IRR 0.573, 95% CI 0.518-0.635 and Canada: IRR 0.743, 95% CI 0.602-0.917), the rate of mental health attendances increased in the UK region only (United Kingdom: IRR 1.125, 95% CI 1.031-1.227 and Canada: IRR 0.922, 95% CI 0.794-1.071). Different trends were observed based on sex and age categories within and between study regions. CONCLUSIONS: The observed changes in ambulance attendances for mental health and overdose at the time of lockdown differed between the UK and Canada study regions. These results may inform future pandemic planning and further research on the public health measures that may explain observed regional differences.


Ambulances , COVID-19 , Drug Overdose , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Ambulances/statistics & numerical data , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Canada/epidemiology , Drug Overdose/epidemiology , Male , Adult , Female , Middle Aged , Young Adult , Adolescent , Aged , Mental Disorders/epidemiology
9.
BMC Cardiovasc Disord ; 24(1): 245, 2024 May 10.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38730371

BACKGROUND: The 2013 ACC/AHA Guideline was a paradigm shift in lipid management and identified the four statin-benefit groups. Many have studied the guideline's potential impact, but few have investigated its potential long-term impact on MACE. Furthermore, most studies also ignored the confounding effect from the earlier release of generic atorvastatin in Dec 2011. METHODS: To evaluate the potential (long-term) impact of the 2013 ACC/AHA Guideline release in Nov 2013 in the U.S., we investigated the association of the 2013 ACC/AHA Guideline with the trend changes in 5-Year MACE survival and three other statin-related outcomes (statin use, optimal statin use, and statin adherence) while controlling for generic atorvastatin availability using interrupted time series analysis, called the Chow's test. Specifically, we conducted a retrospective study using U.S. nationwide de-identified claims and electronic health records from Optum Labs Database Warehouse (OLDW) to follow the trends of 5-Year MACE survival and statin-related outcomes among four statin-benefit groups that were identified in the 2013 ACC/AHA Guideline. Then, Chow's test was used to discern trend changes between generic atorvastatin availability and guideline potential impact. RESULTS: 197,021 patients were included (ASCVD: 19,060; High-LDL: 33,907; Diabetes: 138,159; High-ASCVD-Risk: 5,895). After the guideline release, the long-term trend (slope) of 5-Year MACE Survival for the Diabetes group improved significantly (P = 0.002). Optimal statin use for the ASCVD group also showed immediate improvement (intercept) and long-term positive changes (slope) after the release (P < 0.001). Statin uses did not have significant trend changes and statin adherence remained unchanged in all statin-benefit groups. Although no other statistically significant trend changes were found, overall positive trend change or no changes were observed after the 2013 ACC/AHA Guideline release. CONCLUSIONS: The 2013 ACA/AHA Guideline release is associated with trend improvements in the long-term MACE Survival for Diabetes group and optimal statin use for ASCVD group. These significant associations might indicate a potential positive long-term impact of the 2013 ACA/AHA Guideline on better health outcomes for primary prevention groups and an immediate potential impact on statin prescribing behaviors in higher-at-risk groups. However, further investigation is required to confirm the causal effect of the 2013 ACA/AHA Guideline.


Guideline Adherence , Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Practice Guidelines as Topic , Humans , Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors/adverse effects , United States , Time Factors , Retrospective Studies , Male , Female , Aged , Middle Aged , Treatment Outcome , Guideline Adherence/standards , Biomarkers/blood , Dyslipidemias/drug therapy , Dyslipidemias/blood , Dyslipidemias/diagnosis , Dyslipidemias/mortality , Dyslipidemias/epidemiology , Atorvastatin/therapeutic use , Atorvastatin/adverse effects , Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality , Cardiovascular Diseases/prevention & control , Cardiovascular Diseases/blood , Databases, Factual , Practice Patterns, Physicians'/standards , Cholesterol/blood , Medication Adherence , Drugs, Generic/therapeutic use , Drugs, Generic/adverse effects , Risk Assessment
10.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1393677, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38699417

Background: The use of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs), such as lockdowns, social distancing and school closures, against the COVID-19 epidemic is debated, particularly for the possible negative effects on vulnerable populations, including children and adolescents. This study therefore aimed to quantify the impact of NPIs on the trend of pediatric hospitalizations during 2 years of pandemic compared to the previous 3 years, also considering two pandemic phases according to the type of adopted NPIs. Methods: This is a multicenter, quasi-experimental before-after study conducted in 12 hospitals of the Emilia-Romagna Region, Northern Italy, with NPI implementation as the intervention event. The 3 years preceding the beginning of NPI implementation (in March 2020) constituted the pre-pandemic phase. The subsequent 2 years were further subdivided into a school closure phase (up to September 2020) and a subsequent mitigation measures phase with less stringent restrictions. School closure was chosen as delimitation as it particularly concerns young people. Interrupted Time Series (ITS) regression analysis was applied to calculate Hospitalization Rate Ratios (HRR) on the diagnostic categories exhibiting the greatest variation. ITS allows the estimation of changes attributable to an intervention, both in terms of immediate (level change) and sustained (slope change) effects, while accounting for pre-intervention secular trends. Results: Overall, in the 60 months of the study there were 84,368 cases. Compared to the pre-pandemic years, statistically significant 35 and 19% decreases in hospitalizations were observed during school closure and in the following mitigation measures phase, respectively. The greatest reduction was recorded for "Respiratory Diseases," whereas the "Mental Disorders" category exhibited a significant increase during mitigation measures. ITS analysis confirms a high reduction of level change during school closure for Respiratory Diseases (HRR 0.19, 95%CI 0.08-0.47) and a similar but smaller significant reduction when mitigation measures were enacted. Level change for Mental Disorders significantly decreased during school closure (HRR 0.50, 95%CI 0.30-0.82) but increased during mitigation measures by 28% (HRR 1.28, 95%CI 0.98-1.69). Conclusion: Our findings provide information on the impact of COVID-19 NPIs which may inform public health policies in future health crises, plan effective control and preventative interventions and target resources where needed.


COVID-19 , Hospitalization , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Italy/epidemiology , Child , Adolescent , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Child, Preschool , Female , Male , Physical Distancing , Hospitals, Pediatric/statistics & numerical data , SARS-CoV-2 , Communicable Disease Control , Infant , Quarantine/statistics & numerical data , Schools , Controlled Before-After Studies , Pandemics
11.
BMJ Glob Health ; 7(Suppl 9)2024 May 02.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38697656

INTRODUCTION: The Health and Social Development Program of the Mopti Region (PADSS2) project, launched in Mali's Mopti region, targeted Universal Health Coverage (UHC). The project addressed demand-side barriers by offering an additional subsidy to household contributions, complementing existing State support (component 1). Component 2 focused on supply-side improvements, enhancing quality and coverage. Component 3 strengthened central and decentralised capacity for planning, supervision and UHC reflection, integrating gender mainstreaming. The study assessed the impact of the project on maternal and child healthcare use and explored how rising terrorist activities might affect these health outcomes. METHODS: The impact of the intervention on assisted births, prenatal care and curative consultations for children under 5 was analysed from January 2016 to December 2021. This was done using an interrupted time series analysis, incorporating a comparison group and spline regression. RESULTS: C1 increased assisted deliveries by 0.39% (95% CI 0.20 to 0.58] and C2 by 1.52% (95% CI 1.36 to 1.68). C1-enhanced first and fourth antenatal visits by 1.37% (95% CI 1.28 to 1.47) and 2.07% (95% CI 1.86 to 2.28), respectively, while C2 decreased them by 0.53% and 1.16% (95% CI -1.34 to -0.99). For child visits under 5, C1 and C2 showed increases of 0.32% (95% CI 0.20 to 0.43) and 1.36% (95% CI 1.27 to 1.46), respectively. In areas with terrorist attacks, child visits decreased significantly by 24.69% to 39.86% compared with unexposed areas. CONCLUSION: The intervention had a limited impact on maternal and child health, falling short of expectations for a health system initiative. Understanding the varied effects of terrorism on healthcare is key to devising strategies that protect the most vulnerable in the system.


Health Services Accessibility , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Terrorism , Humans , Mali , Female , Pregnancy , Child, Preschool , Infant, Newborn , Infant , Universal Health Insurance , Maternal-Child Health Services , Adult
12.
J Nurs Care Qual ; 39(3): 286-292, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38747711

BACKGROUND: Postpartum hemorrhage (PPH) is a leading cause of maternity mortality in the United States. The Code Crimson project aimed to enhance PPH management by implementing a standardized intervention bundle to mitigate morbidity and mortality associated with PPH. LOCAL PROBLEM: At a large Philadelphia tertiary hospital, health disparities existed for severe maternal morbidity and mortality, and PPH was a significant factor. METHODS: A quality improvement design, using Plan-Do-Study-Act cycles and interrupted time series analysis, was undertaken. INTERVENTIONS: The Code Crimson project implemented a standardized bundle to manage PPH, including blood product administration and massive transfusion protocol activation. RESULTS: After implementing the Code Crimson bundle, there was a significant decrease in blood product use ( P < .001), with minor reductions in packed red blood cell administration over 4 units and mean blood loss. CONCLUSIONS: The Code Crimson bundle effectively reduced blood product utilization for PPH treatment.


Postpartum Hemorrhage , Quality Improvement , Humans , Postpartum Hemorrhage/therapy , Postpartum Hemorrhage/prevention & control , Female , Pregnancy , Blood Transfusion , Philadelphia , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Patient Care Bundles/standards , Patient Care Bundles/methods , Adult
13.
Stroke ; 55(6): 1672-1675, 2024 Jun.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38787929

BACKGROUND: Infection may trigger pediatric arterial ischemic stroke (PAIS), notably when related to focal cerebral arteriopathy. Community- and individual-level nonpharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a major decrease in pediatric viral infections. We explored the consequences on the incidence of PAIS. METHODS: Using national public health databases, we identified children hospitalized between 2015 and 2022 with PAIS. Using an age proxy (29 days to 7 years) and excluding patients with cardiac and hematologic conditions, we focused on children with PAIS presumably related to focal cerebral arteriopathy or with no definite cause. Considering the delay between infection and PAIS occurrence, we compared a prepandemic reference period, a period with nonpharmaceutical interventions, and a post-nonpharmaceutical intervention period. RESULTS: Interrupted time-series analyses of the monthly incidence of PAIS in this group showed a significant decrease in the nonpharmaceutical intervention period compared with the prepandemic period: -33.5% (95% CI, -55.2%, -1.3%); P=0.043. CONCLUSIONS: These data support the association between infection and PAIS presumably related to focal cerebral arteriopathy.


COVID-19 , Ischemic Stroke , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/complications , Ischemic Stroke/epidemiology , Child , Child, Preschool , Infant , Male , Female , Incidence , Infant, Newborn , SARS-CoV-2 , Pandemics , Cerebral Arterial Diseases/epidemiology , Adolescent , Interrupted Time Series Analysis
14.
Viruses ; 16(5)2024 04 23.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38793537

We investigated the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on hepatitis C (HCV) treatment initiation, including by birth cohort and injection drug use status, in British Columbia (BC), Canada. Using population data from the BC COVID-19 Cohort, we conducted interrupted time series analyses, estimating changes in HCV treatment initiation following the introduction of pandemic-related policies in March 2020. The study included a pre-policy period (April 2018 to March 2020) and three follow-up periods (April to December 2020, January to December 2021, and January to December 2022). The level of HCV treatment initiation decreased by 26% in April 2020 (rate ratio 0.74, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.60 to 0.91). Overall, no statistically significant difference in HCV treatment initiation occurred over the 2020 and 2021 post-policy periods, and an increase of 34.4% (95% CI 0.6 to 75.8) occurred in 2022 (equating to 321 additional people initiating treatment), relative to expectation. Decreases in HCV treatment initiation occurred in 2020 for people born between 1965 and 1974 (25.5%) and people who inject drugs (24.5%), relative to expectation. In summary, the pandemic was associated with short-term disruptions in HCV treatment initiation in BC, which were greater for people born 1965 to 1974 and people who inject drugs.


Antiviral Agents , COVID-19 , Hepatitis C , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Humans , British Columbia/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology , Hepatitis C/epidemiology , Hepatitis C/drug therapy , Male , Female , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Middle Aged , Adult , SARS-CoV-2 , Substance Abuse, Intravenous/epidemiology , Substance Abuse, Intravenous/complications , Pandemics , Aged , Cohort Studies
15.
J Infect Dev Ctries ; 18(4): 504-512, 2024 Apr 30.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38728639

INTRODUCTION: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic affected antibiotic usage worldwide. However, there is limited data from Serbia. Dispensing of oral antibiotics in Serbian pharmacies was analyzed to calculate monthly and yearly changes between 2018-2021, and to explore immediate and long-term effects of COVID-19 on antibiotic dispensing during this period. METHODOLOGY: The number of antibiotic packages dispensed from pharmacies during the study period was analyzed with a Chi-square test to assess the average change in annual dispensing, and an interrupted time-series analysis was used to evaluate the impact of the pandemic on antibiotic dispensing. The data from 2018-2021 were retrieved from the database of a large community pharmacy chain in Serbia. RESULTS: The average number of antibiotic packages dispensed per day and per pharmacy was higher in 2021 compared to 2018 by one package. However, the dispensing of macrolides increased significantly; 17.7% (2018) vs. 22.5% (2021) (p < 0.05). In general, an increase in antibiotic dispensing was detected during COVID-19 for total antibiotics (16.4%), Watch antibiotics (44.8%), third-generation cephalosporins (80.4%), macrolides (45.5%) and azithromycin (83.7%). However, the immediate effect of COVID-19 was a decrease in the dispensing of Watch antibiotics, penicillin, and third-generation cephalosporins (p < 0.05); and a notable long-term COVID-19 effect was an increase in the dispensing of azithromycin (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: In spite of a relatively stable trend of total antibiotic dispensing before and during COVID-19 pandemic, the use of Watch antibiotics, third-generation cephalosporins, and macrolides (particularly azithromycin) showed an increasing trend in dispensing that should be optimized.


Anti-Bacterial Agents , COVID-19 , Humans , Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Anti-Bacterial Agents/administration & dosage , COVID-19/epidemiology , Serbia , SARS-CoV-2 , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Macrolides/therapeutic use , Macrolides/administration & dosage , COVID-19 Drug Treatment , Pandemics
16.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1371697, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38741911

Introduction: Recent cash-value benefit (CVB) increases are a positive development to help increase WIC participant fruits and vegetables (FV) access. Little is known about the impacts of the CVB changes on FV redemptions or about implementation successes and challenges among WIC State and local agencies. This mixed method study aimed to evaluate (a) the CVB changes' impact on FV access among WIC child participants measured by CVB redemption rates, (b) facilitators and barriers to CVB changes' implementation, and (c) differences in FV redemption and facilitators and barriers by race/ethnicity. Methods: We requested redemption data from all 89 State agencies for April 2020 to September 2022 and utilized descriptive statistics, interrupted time series analysis (ITS), and generalized linear regression analysis. Additionally, we recruited State agencies, local agencies, and caregivers across the U.S. for interviews and used rapid qualitative analysis to find emerging themes anchored in policy evaluation and implementation science frameworks. Results: We received redemption data from 27 State agencies and interviewed 23 State agencies, 61 local agencies, and 76 caregivers of child WIC participants. CVB monthly redemptions increased at $35/child/month compared to $9/child/month; however, adjusted ITS analyses found a decrease in redemption rates at $35/child/month. The decrease was not significant when the transition/first implementation month was excluded with rates progressively increasing over time. Differences were found among racial/ethnic groups, with lower redemption rates observed for non-Hispanic Black caregivers. Overall, WIC caregivers reported high satisfaction and utilization at the $35/child/month. The frequent and quick turnaround CVB changes strained WIC agency resources with agencies serving higher caseloads of diverse racial and ethnic populations experiencing greater issues with implementing the CVB changes. Conclusion: Despite implementation challenges, the increased CVB shows promise to improve WIC participant FV access and satisfaction with WIC. WIC agencies need adequate lead time to update the CVB amounts, and resources and support to help ensure equitable distribution and utilization of the FV benefits.


COVID-19 , Food Assistance , Fruit , Vegetables , Humans , Food Assistance/economics , Food Assistance/statistics & numerical data , Vegetables/economics , Fruit/economics , COVID-19/prevention & control , United States , Child , Female , Interrupted Time Series Analysis
17.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1326467, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38741914

Introduction: Intimate partner violence (IPV) is a risk factor for homicides and suicides. As poverty is both a predictor and a consequence of IPV, interventions that alleviate poverty-related stressors could mitigate IPV-related harms. Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF), a monthly cash assistance program, is one such potential intervention. In the state of Georgia, the TANF diversion program, which provides a non-recurrent lump-sum payment to deter individuals from monthly TANF benefits, is an understudied component of TANF that may influence the effectiveness of state TANF programs in supporting IPV survivors. Aim: This study quantifies and qualifies the role of Georgia's TANF diversion program in shaping IPV-related mortality. Methods: This study relies on a mixed-methods sequential explanatory design. Using data from the Georgia Violent Death Reporting System (GA-VDRS), an interrupted time series analysis was conducted to estimate the effect of TANF diversion on IPV-related homicides and suicides. Semi-structured interviews were then administered with TANF policy experts and advocates, welfare caseworkers, and benefit recipients (n = 20) to contextualize the quantitative findings. Results: The interrupted time series analysis revealed three fewer IPV-related deaths per month after implementing TANF diversion, compared to pre-diversion forecasts (coefficient = -3.003, 95%CI [-5.474, -0.532]). However, the qualitative interviews illustrated three themes regarding TANF diversion: (1) it is a "band-aid" solution to the access barriers associated with TANF, (2) it provides short-term relief to recipients making hard choices, and (3) its limitations reveal avenues for policy change. Discussion: While diversion has the potential to reduce deaths from IPV, it may be an insufficient means of mitigating the poverty-related contributors to IPV harms. Its limitations unveil the need for improved programs to better support IPV survivors.


Intimate Partner Violence , Humans , Intimate Partner Violence/statistics & numerical data , Intimate Partner Violence/prevention & control , Georgia , Female , Adult , Male , Homicide/statistics & numerical data , Poverty , Suicide/statistics & numerical data , Middle Aged , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Young Adult
18.
JAMA Health Forum ; 5(5): e240807, 2024 May 03.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38700854

Importance: Comprehensive medication reviews (CMRs) are offered to qualifying US Medicare beneficiaries annually to optimize medication regimens and therapeutic outcomes. In 2016, Medicare adopted CMR completion as a Star Rating quality measure to encourage the use of CMRs. Objective: To examine trends in CMR completion rates before and after 2016 and whether racial, ethnic, and socioeconomic disparities in CMR completion changed. Design, Setting, and Participants: This observational study using interrupted time-series analysis examined 2013 to 2020 annual cohorts of community-dwelling Medicare beneficiaries aged 66 years and older eligible for a CMR as determined by Part D plans and by objective minimum eligibility criteria. Data analysis was conducted from September 2022 to February 2024. Exposure: Adoption of CMR completion as a Star Rating quality measure in 2016. Main Outcome and Measures: CMR completion modeled via generalized estimating equations. Results: The study included a total of 561 950 eligible beneficiaries, with 253 561 in the 2013 to 2015 cohort (median [IQR] age, 75.8 [70.7-82.1] years; 90 778 male [35.8%]; 6795 Asian [2.7%]; 24 425 Black [9.6%]; 7674 Hispanic [3.0%]; 208 621 White [82.3%]) and 308 389 in the 2016 to 2020 cohort (median [IQR] age, 75.1 [70.4-80.9] years; 126 730 male [41.1%]; 8922 Asian [2.9%]; 27 915 Black [9.1%]; 7635 Hispanic [2.5%]; 252 781 White [82.0%]). The unadjusted CMR completion rate increased from 10.2% (7379 of 72 225 individuals) in 2013 to 15.6% (14 185 of 90 847 individuals) in 2015 and increased further to 35.8% (18 376 of 51 386 individuals) in 2020, in part because the population deemed by Part D plans to be MTM-eligible decreased by nearly half after 2015 (90 487 individuals in 2015 to 51 386 individuals in 2020). Among a simulated cohort based on Medicare minimum eligibility thresholds, the unadjusted CMR completion rate increased but to a lesser extent, from 4.4% in 2013 to 12.6% in 2020. Compared with White beneficiaries, Asian and Hispanic beneficiaries experienced greater increases in likelihood of CMR completion after 2016 but remained less likely to complete a CMR. Dual-Medicaid enrollees also experienced greater increases in likelihood of CMR completion as compared with those without either designation, but still remained less likely to complete CMR. Conclusion and Relevance: This study found that adoption of CMR completion as a Star Rating quality measure was associated with higher CMR completion rates. The increase in CMR completion rates was achieved partly because Part D plans used stricter eligibility criteria to define eligible patients. Reductions in disparities for eligible Asian, Hispanic, and dual-Medicaid enrollees were seen, but not eliminated. These findings suggest that quality measures can inform plan behavior and could be used to help address disparities.


Healthcare Disparities , Humans , United States , Aged , Male , Female , Aged, 80 and over , Healthcare Disparities/statistics & numerical data , Healthcare Disparities/ethnology , Medicare/statistics & numerical data , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Medicare Part D/statistics & numerical data , Ethnicity/statistics & numerical data
19.
Med Care ; 62(6): 388-395, 2024 Jun 01.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38620117

STUDY DESIGN: Interrupted time series analysis of a retrospective, electronic health record cohort. OBJECTIVE: To determine the association between the implementation of Medicare's sepsis reporting measure (SEP-1) and sepsis diagnosis rates as assessed in clinical documentation. BACKGROUND: The role of health policy in the effort to improve sepsis diagnosis remains unclear. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Adult patients hospitalized with suspected infection and organ dysfunction within 6 hours of presentation to the emergency department, admitted to one of 11 hospitals in a multi-hospital health system from January 2013 to December 2017. Clinician-diagnosed sepsis, as reflected by the inclusion of the terms "sepsis" or "septic" in the text of clinical notes in the first two calendar days following presentation. RESULTS: Among 44,074 adult patients with sepsis admitted to 11 hospitals over 5 years, the proportion with sepsis documentation was 32.2% just before the implementation of SEP-1 in the third quarter of 2015 and increased to 37.3% by the fourth quarter of 2017. Of the 9 post-SEP-1 quarters, 8 had odds ratios for a sepsis diagnosis >1 (overall range: 0.98-1.26; P value for a joint test of statistical significance = 0.005). The effects were clinically modest, with a maximum effect of an absolute increase of 4.2% (95% CI: 0.9-7.8) at the end of the study period. The effect was greater in patients who did not require vasopressors compared with patients who required vasopressors ( P value for test of interaction = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: SEP-1 implementation was associated with modest increases in sepsis diagnosis rates, primarily among patients who did not require vasoactive medications.


Documentation , Electronic Health Records , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Medicare , Sepsis , Humans , Sepsis/diagnosis , United States , Medicare/statistics & numerical data , Retrospective Studies , Male , Female , Aged , Documentation/statistics & numerical data , Documentation/standards , Middle Aged , Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Aged, 80 and over
20.
Health Policy ; 144: 105061, 2024 Jun.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38676977

INTRODUCTION: The Reference Drug Program (RDP) was established to steer patients toward equally safe and cost-effective medication under British Columbia's public drug coverage. Each RDP class covers at least one reference drug, and non-reference drugs are reimbursed up to the cost of the reference drug. In 2016, the RDP updated to include proton pump inhibitors (PPIs). This study evaluated the impact on drug expenditures, prescription patterns, and health services utilization. METHODS: We identified a cohort of individuals covered by Fair Pharmacare who used PPIs, and a control group of H2 Blockers users. We used interrupted time series analysis on administrative data from June 2014 to December 2019 on the following outcomes: new users, day supply, expenditures, drug costs, reference drug use, and physician visits and costs. RESULTS: The RDP had little impact on overall PPI use patterns. We did not observe any changes in reference drug uptake, new users, physician visits, cost-savings, or significant changes to days supplied post-policy. Cost expenditure results were likely biased due to co-occurring changes to drug prices. CONCLUSION: Inclusion of PPIs to the RDP saw no cost-savings for the provincial drug program and had little impact on prescribing patterns. Overall, our findings are consistent with existing evidence that the RDP is safe for similar therapeutic alternatives, but the impact on PPI costs remains unclear.


Drug Costs , Practice Patterns, Physicians' , Proton Pump Inhibitors , Proton Pump Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Proton Pump Inhibitors/economics , Humans , British Columbia , Practice Patterns, Physicians'/statistics & numerical data , Drug Costs/statistics & numerical data , Male , Female , Patient Acceptance of Health Care/statistics & numerical data , Middle Aged , Health Expenditures/statistics & numerical data , Interrupted Time Series Analysis
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