Developing a Diagnostic Multivariable Prediction Model for Urinary Tract Cancer in Patients Referred with Haematuria: Results from the IDENTIFY Collaborative Study.

BACKGROUND: Patient factors associated with urinary tract cancer can be used to risk stratify patients referred with haematuria, prioritising those with a higher risk of cancer for prompt investigation. OBJECTIVE: To develop a prediction model for urinary tract cancer in patients referred with haematuria. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A prospective observational study was conducted in 10 282 patients from 110 hospitals across 26 countries, aged ≥16 yr and referred to secondary care with haematuria. Patients with a known or previous urological malignancy were excluded. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: The primary outcomes were the presence or absence of urinary tract cancer (bladder cancer, upper tract urothelial cancer [UTUC], and renal cancer). Mixed-effect multivariable logistic regression was performed with site and country as random effects and clinically important patient-level candidate predictors, chosen a priori, as fixed effects. Predictors were selected primarily using clinical reasoning, in addition to backward stepwise selection. Calibration and discrimination were calculated, and bootstrap validation was performed to calculate optimism. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: The unadjusted prevalence was 17.2% (n = 1763) for bladder cancer, 1.20% (n = 123) for UTUC, and 1.00% (n = 103) for renal cancer. The final model included predictors of increased risk (visible haematuria, age, smoking history, male sex, and family history) and reduced risk (previous haematuria investigations, urinary tract infection, dysuria/suprapubic pain, anticoagulation, catheter use, and previous pelvic radiotherapy). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the final model was 0.86 (95% confidence interval 0.85-0.87). The model is limited to patients without previous urological malignancy. CONCLUSIONS: This cancer prediction model is the first to consider established and novel urinary tract cancer diagnostic markers. It can be used in secondary care for risk stratifying patients and aid the clinician's decision-making process in prioritising patients for investigation. PATIENT SUMMARY: We have developed a tool that uses a person's characteristics to determine the risk of cancer if that person develops blood in the urine (haematuria). This can be used to help prioritise patients for further investigation.

Surgical and radiological predictive factors for ureteric stricture formation in patients treated with ureteroscopy for ureteric stones.

BACKGROUND: Ureteric stricture is a potential complication of impacted ureteric stones. This study investigates surgical and radiological factors that could predict ureteric stricture formation after ureteroscopic treatment of impacted ureteric stones. MATERIALS AND METHOD: Intraoperative and radiological data for patients who underwent ureteroscopic treatment of ureteric stones impaction over a 5-year period were reviewed retrospectively. Patients who had previous ureteroscopic treatment or strictures were excluded. RESULTS: Between January 2014 and May 2019, 1,340 patients presented as emergency renal colic secondary to ureteric stones. A total of 297 ureteroscopy procedures were performed for impacted calculi. The mean age was 53 years. The stricture rate was 3.3%. Analysis of radiological and surgical factors revealed that the degree of hydronephrosis, residual fragments and intraoperative ureteric injury were significant predictors for stricture formation (p = 0.018, 0.01 and 0.02, OR = 10, 47 and 1776, respectively). None of the other factors significantly predicted ureteric stricture formation. CONCLUSION: Our study found the presence of severe hydronephrosis, residual stone fragments after surgery and intraoperative ureteric injury are significant predictive factors for ureteric stricture formation. The high-risk patients should be monitored with routine postoperative renal ultrasound.

Efficacy of normal saline in the maintenance of the arterial lines in comparison to heparin flush: a comprehensive review of the literature.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study is to examine the efficacy of normal saline (0.9% sodium chloride) as a flush solution on patency of arterial lines in comparison to heparin flush. Data have been examined in various categories of specialty (medical, surgical, cardiac, burns, gynecology), frequency of flushes, strength and volume of flushes, continuous versus bolus, duration of each flush and patency incidence (range, ≤ 24 to ≥ 96 hours). The secondary aim focused on the incidences of reported heparin-induced thrombocytopenia (HIT type I and II). METHODS: A comprehensive review of the literature from 1951 to 2012. An electronic search of OVID, Medline, Embase, Cochrane, Scopus and CINAHL database in English language was conducted. The search was limited to adult subjects only. The following keywords were used: heparin flush, saline flush, 0.9% sodium chloride flush, arterial line and indwelling vascular line. A total of ten papers (n=10) were found eligible. RESULTS: The evidence suggests patency is feasible with both solutions but if longer duration of use (arterial line) is advocated, heparin is superior in the long term. Furthermore, heparin flush effects are dose dependent and require fewer numbers of flushes. In addition, no adverse effects were found with heparin flush solution. CONCLUSION: There is level 1 evidence to support heparin as a flush solution once the time frame exceeds 48 hours. In addition, there is level 1 evidence to suggest that heparin at higher doses and in continuous infusion has better patency incidence with no reports of HIT type II or I.