ABSTRACT
The relationship between liver enzymes and T2D risk is inconclusive. We aimed to evaluate the association between liver markers and risk of carbohydrate metabolism disorders, as well as their discriminatory power, for T2D prediction. This cross-sectional study enrolled 216 participants classified as normoglycemic, prediabetic, newly diagnosed diabetics, and diagnosed diabetics. All participants underwent anthropometric and biochemical measurements. The relationship between hepatic enzymes and glucose metabolism markers was evaluated by analyses of covariance. The associations between liver enzymes and incident carbohydrate metabolism disorders were analyzed through logistic regression and their discriminatory capacity to predict T2D by ROC analysis. High AP, ALT, γGT, and AST levels were independently related to decreased insulin sensitivity. Interestingly, a higher AP level was significantly associated with an increased risk of prediabetes (p = 0.017), newly diagnosed diabetes (p = 0.004), and T2D (p = 0.007). An elevated γGT level was an independent risk factor for T2D (p = 0.032) and undiagnosed T2D (p = 0.010) in prediabetic and normoglycemic subjects, respectively. In ROC analysis, AP was a powerful predictor of incident diabetes and significantly improved T2D prediction. Liver enzymes within the normal range, specifically AP levels, are associated with increased risk of carbohydrate metabolism disorders and significantly improved T2D prediction.