Acute Clinical Events Identified as Relapses With Stable Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Multiple Sclerosis.

Importance: Understanding the association between clinically defined relapses and radiological activity in multiple sclerosis (MS) is essential for patient treatment and therapeutic development. Objective: To investigate clinical events identified as relapses but not associated with new T2 lesions or gadolinium-enhanced T1 lesions on brain and spinal cord magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Design, Setting, and Participants: This multicenter observational cohort study was conducted between January 2015 and June 2023. Data were extracted on June 8, 2023, from the French MS registry. All clinical events reported as relapses in patients with relapsing-remitting MS were included if brain and spinal cord MRI was performed within 12 and 24 months before the event, respectively, and 50 days thereafter with gadolinium injection. Exposures: Events were classified as relapses with active MRI (RAM) if a new T2 lesion or gadolinium-enhanced T1 lesion appeared on brain or spinal cord MRI or as acute clinical events with stable MRI (ACES) otherwise. Main Outcomes and Measures: Factors associated with ACES were investigated; patients with ACES and RAM were compared regarding Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) course, relapse rate, confirmed disability accrual (CDA), relapse-associated worsening (RAW), progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA), and transition to secondary progressive (SP) MS, and ACES and RAM rates under each disease-modifying therapy (DMT) were estimated. Results: Among 31 885 clinical events, 637 in 608 patients (493 [77.4%] female; mean [SD] age, 35.8 [10.7] years) were included. ACES accounted for 166 (26.1%) events and were more likely in patients receiving highly effective DMTs, those with longer disease duration (odds ratio [OR], 1.04; 95% CI, 1.01-1.07), or those presenting with fatigue (OR, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.15-3.96). ACES were associated with significant EDSS score increases, lower than those found for RAM. Before the index event, patients with ACES experienced significantly higher rates of relapse (relative rate [RR], 1.21; 95% CI, 1.01-1.46), CDA (hazard ratio [HR], 1.54; 95% CI, 1.13-2.11), and RAW (HR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.20-2.45). Patients with ACES were at significantly greater risk of SP transition (HR, 2.58; 95% CI, 1.02-6.51). Although RAM rate decreased with DMTs according to their expected efficacy, ACES rate was stable across DMTs. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings in this study introduce the concept of ACES in MS, which accounted for one-fourth of clinical events identified as relapses.

Vulnerability of Thalamic Nuclei at CSF Interface During the Entire Course of Multiple Sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Thalamic atrophy can be used as a proxy for neurodegeneration in multiple sclerosis (MS). Some data point toward thalamic nuclei that could be affected more than others. However, the dynamic of their changes during MS evolution and the mechanisms driving their differential alterations are still uncertain. METHODS: We paired a large cohort of 1,123 patients with MS with the same number of healthy controls, all scanned with conventional 3D-T1 MRI. To highlight the main atrophic regions at the thalamic nuclei level, we validated a segmentation strategy consisting of deep learning-based synthesis of sequences, which were used for automatic multiatlas segmentation. Then, through a lifespan-based approach, we could model the dynamics of the 4 main thalamic nuclei groups. RESULTS: All analyses converged toward a higher rate of atrophy for the posterior and medial groups compared with the anterior and lateral groups. We also demonstrated that focal MS white matter lesions were associated with atrophy of groups of nuclei when specifically located within the associated thalamocortical projections. The volumes of the most affected posterior group, but also of the anterior group, were better associated with clinical disability than the volume of the whole thalamus. DISCUSSION: These findings point toward the thalamic nuclei adjacent to the third ventricle as more susceptible to neurodegeneration during the entire course of MS through potentiation of disconnection effects by regional factors. Because this information can be obtained even from standard T1-weighted MRI, this paves the way toward such an approach for future monitoring of patients with MS.

Big Multiple Sclerosis Data network: an international registry research network.

BACKGROUND: The Big Multiple Sclerosis Data (BMSD) network ( https://bigmsdata.org ) was initiated in 2014 and includes the national multiple sclerosis (MS) registries of the Czech Republic, Denmark, France, Italy, and Sweden as well as the international MSBase registry. BMSD has addressed the ethical, legal, technical, and governance-related challenges for data sharing and so far, published three scientific papers on pooled datasets as proof of concept for its collaborative design. DATA COLLECTION: Although BMSD registries operate independently on different platforms, similarities in variables, definitions and data structure allow joint analysis of data. Certain coordinated modifications in how the registries collect adverse event data have been implemented after BMSD consensus decisions, showing the ability to develop together. DATA MANAGEMENT: Scientific projects can be proposed by external sponsors via the coordinating centre and each registry decides independently on participation, respecting its governance structure. Research datasets are established in a project-to-project fashion and a project-specific data model is developed, based on a unifying core data model. To overcome challenges in data sharing, BMSD has developed procedures for federated data analysis. FUTURE PERSPECTIVES: Presently, BMSD is seeking a qualification opinion from the European Medicines Agency (EMA) to conduct post-authorization safety studies (PASS) and aims to pursue a qualification opinion also for post-authorization effectiveness studies (PAES). BMSD aspires to promote the advancement of real-world evidence research in the MS field.

High-Efficacy Therapy Discontinuation vs Continuation in Patients 50 Years and Older With Nonactive MS.

Importance: A recent randomized clinical trial concluded that discontinuing medium-efficacy therapy might be a reasonable option for older patients with nonactive multiple sclerosis (MS), but there is a lack of data on discontinuing high-efficacy therapy (HET). In younger patients, the discontinuation of natalizumab and fingolimod is associated with a risk of rebound of disease activity. Objective: To determine whether discontinuing HET in patients 50 years and older with nonactive MS is associated with an increased risk of relapse compared with continuing HET. Design, Setting, and Participants: This observational cohort study used data from 38 referral centers from the French MS registry (Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques [OFSEP] database). Among 84704 patients in the database, data were extracted for 1857 patients 50 years and older with relapsing-remitting MS treated by HET and with no relapse or magnetic resonance imaging activity for at least 2 years. After verification of the medical records, 1620 patients were classified as having discontinued HET or having remained taking treatment and were matched 1:1 using a dynamic propensity score (including age, sex, disease phenotype, disability, treatment of interest, and time since last inflammatory activity). Patients were included from February 2008 to November 2021, with a mean (SD) follow-up of 5.1 (2.9) years. Data were extracted in June 2022. Exposures: Natalizumab, fingolimod, rituximab, and ocrelizumab. Main Outcomes and Measures: Time to first relapse. Results: Of 1620 included patients, 1175 (72.5%) were female, and the mean (SD) age was 54.7 (4.8) years. Among the 1452 in the HET continuation group and 168 in the HET discontinuation group, 154 patients in each group were matched using propensity scores (mean [SD] age, 57.7 [5.5] years; mean [SD] delay since the last inflammatory activity, 5.6 [3.8] years; mean [SD] follow-up duration after propensity score matching, 2.5 [2.1] years). Time to first relapse was significantly reduced in the HET discontinuation group compared with the HET continuation group (hazard ratio, 4.1; 95% CI, 2.0-8.5; P < .001) but differed between HETs, with a hazard ratio of 7.2 (95% CI, 2.1-24.5; P = .001) for natalizumab, 4.5 (95% CI, 1.3-15.5; P = .02) for fingolimod, and 1.1 (95% CI, 0.3-4.8; P = .85) for anti-CD20 therapy. Conclusion and Relevance: As in younger patients, in patients 50 years and older with nonactive MS, the risk of relapse increased significantly after stopping HETs that impact immune cell trafficking (natalizumab and fingolimod). There was no significant increase in risk after stopping HETs that deplete B-cells (anti-CD20 therapy). This result may inform decisions about stopping HETs in clinical practice.

Highly Effective Therapies as First-Line Treatment for Pediatric-Onset Multiple Sclerosis.

Importance: Moderately effective therapies (METs) have been the main treatment in pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) for years. Despite the expanding use of highly effective therapies (HETs), treatment strategies for POMS still lack consensus. Objective: To assess the real-world association of HET as an index treatment compared with MET with disease activity. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a retrospective cohort study conducted from January 1, 2010, to December 8, 2022, until the last recorded visit. The median follow-up was 5.8 years. A total of 36 French MS centers participated in the Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques (OFSEP) cohort. Of the total participants in OFSEP, only treatment-naive children with relapsing-remitting POMS who received a first HET or MET before adulthood and at least 1 follow-up clinical visit were included in the study. All eligible participants were included in the study, and none declined to participate. Exposure: HET or MET at treatment initiation. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the time to first relapse after treatment. Secondary outcomes were annualized relapse rate (ARR), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) activity, time to Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) progression, tertiary education attainment, and treatment safety/tolerability. An adapted statistical method was used to model the logarithm of event rate by penalized splines of time, allowing adjustment for effects of covariates that is sensitive to nonlinearity and interactions. Results: Of the 3841 children (5.2% of 74 367 total participants in OFSEP), 530 patients (mean [SD] age, 16.0 [1.8] years; 364 female [68.7%]) were included in the study. In study patients, both treatment strategies were associated with a reduced risk of first relapse within the first 2 years. HET dampened disease activity with a 54% reduction in first relapse risk (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.46; 95% CI, 0.31-0.67; P < .001) sustained over 5 years, confirmed on MRI activity (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 0.34; 95% CI, 0.18-0.66; P = .001), and with a better tolerability pattern than MET. The risk of discontinuation at 2 years was 6 times higher with MET (HR, 5.97; 95% CI, 2.92-12.20). The primary reasons for treatment discontinuation were lack of efficacy and intolerance. Index treatment was not associated with EDSS progression or tertiary education attainment (adjusted OR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.24-1.10; P = .09). Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this cohort study suggest that compared with MET, initial HET in POMS was associated with a reduction in the risk of first relapse with an optimal outcome within the first 2 years and was associated with a lower rate of treatment switching and a better midterm tolerance in children. These findings suggest prioritizing initial HET in POMS, although long-term safety studies are needed.

The Response Study: A French registry on pregnancy in women with MS and related disorders and their children up to 6 years-Protocol, recruitment status, and baseline characteristics.

BACKGROUND: Counseling on pregnancy is still challenging, particularly regarding the use of disease-modifying treatments (DMTs). We are lacking long-term outcomes in children exposed to DMTs. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to set up a French pregnancy registry for women with multiple sclerosis (MS) and related disorders nested within the Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques (OFSEP) cohort. METHODS: Prospective, observational, multicentric, epidemiological study in France. Neurological visits are organized according to routine practice. Data are collected on the OFSEP minimal datasheet. Auto-questionnaires on pregnancy are completed by patients at Months 5-6 and 8 during pregnancy, and Months 3, 6, and 12 postpartum. A specific survey on analgesia is completed by anesthesiologists. Pediatric data are collected from the child's health book, where visits on Day 8, Month 9, and 24 are mandatory. Parents complete neurodevelopmental questionnaires at Year 1, Years 2 and 6. RESULTS: The RESPONSE study started in August 2019. On 7 April 2023, 515 women were included. Baseline demographics are presented. CONCLUSIONS: RESPONSE will provide rich information on the global management of pregnancy in France and prospective data on children until the age of 6 years, exposed or not to a DMT, including data on neurodevelopment that can be compared to the general population. STUDY FUNDING: EDMUS and ARSEP Foundation, Biogen, Roche.

The biological sample collection of the OFSEP French MS registry: An essential tool dedicated to researchers.

Today's medicine strives to be personalized, preventive, predictive and participatory. This implies to have access to multimodal data to better characterize patients groups and to combine clinical and imaging data with high-quality biological samples. Collecting such data is one of the objectives of the Observatoire français de la sclérose en plaques (OFSEP), the French MS registry. On December 2022, the OFSEP biocollection includes 4,888 patients with scientific characteristics and about 90,000 samples. Thanks to its richness, this biocollection open for the scientific community, contributes to address unmet needs in MS through identification of multiomics determinants of MS activity, progression and secondary effects.

Pregnancy and post-partum in patients with myelin-oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Myelin-oligodendrocyte glycoprotein (MOG) antibody-associated disease (MOGAD) frequently initiates during childbearing years. This study investigated the impact of pregnancy and post-partum on MOGAD activity. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of clinical and demographic data from a multicenter French cohort of adult patients with MOGAD. All adult female patients who had a pregnancy after disease onset or in the year before disease onset were included. The annualized relapse rate was evaluated in patients who had a pregnancy after disease onset, to evaluate the impact of pregnancy and post-partum on MOGAD course. RESULTS: Twenty-five informative pregnancies after disease onset were identified. No relapse was recorded during these pregnancies and only three relapses occurred during the first 3 months post-partum. The annualized relapse rate decreased from 0.67 (95% confidence interval: 0.40-1.10) during the pre-pregnancy period to 0 (95% confidence interval: 0-0.21) during pregnancy and to 0.22 (95% confidence interval: 0.09-0.53) during the first year post-partum. Among 144 female patients in their childbearing age recorded in the database, 18 (12.5%) reported their first symptoms during pregnancy or in the 12 months post-partum. DISCUSSION: Our study suggests a marked reduction of MOGAD relapse rate during pregnancy and the post-partum period. Prospective studies on the role of pregnancy and delivery in MOGAD course are needed.

Improving the decision to switch from first- to second-line therapy in multiple sclerosis: A dynamic scoring system.

BACKGROUND: In relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), early identification of suboptimal responders can prevent disability progression. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to develop and validate a dynamic score to guide the early decision to switch from first- to second-line therapy. METHODS: Using time-dependent propensity scores (PS) from a French cohort of 12,823 patients with RRMS, we constructed one training and two validation PS-matched cohorts to compare the switched patients to second-line treatment and the maintained patients. We used a frailty Cox model for predicting individual hazard ratios (iHRs). RESULTS: From the validation PS-matched cohort of 348 independent patients with iHR ⩽ 0.69, we reported the 5-year relapse-free survival at 0.14 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.09-0.22) for the waiting group and 0.40 (95% CI 0.32-0.51) for the switched group. From the validation PS-matched cohort of 518 independent patients with iHR > 0.69, these values were 0.37 (95% CI 0.30-0.46) and 0.44 (95% CI 0.37-0.52), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: By using the proposed dynamic score, we estimated that at least one-third of patients could benefit from an earlier switch to prevent relapse.

Investigating the Long-term Effect of Pregnancy on the Course of Multiple Sclerosis Using Causal Inference.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The question of the long-term safety of pregnancy is a major concern in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS), but its study is biased by reverse causation (women with higher disability are less likely to experience pregnancy). Using a causal inference approach, we aimed to estimate the unbiased long-term effects of pregnancy on disability and relapse risk in patients with MS and secondarily the short-term effects (during the perpartum and postpartum years) and delayed effects (occurring beyond 1 year after delivery). METHODS: We conducted an observational cohort study with data from patients with MS followed in the Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques registry between 1990 and 2020. We included female patients with MS aged 18-45 years at MS onset, clinically followed up for more than 2 years, and with ≥3 Expanded Disease Status Scale (EDSS) measurements. Outcomes were the mean EDSS score at the end of follow-up and the annual probability of relapse during follow-up. Counterfactual outcomes were predicted using the longitudinal targeted maximum likelihood estimator in the entire study population. The patients exposed to at least 1 pregnancy during their follow-up were compared with the counterfactual situation in which, contrary to what was observed, they would not have been exposed to any pregnancy. Short-term and delayed effects were analyzed from the first pregnancy of early-exposed patients (who experienced it during their first 3 years of follow-up). RESULTS: We included 9,100 patients, with a median follow-up duration of 7.8 years, of whom 2,125 (23.4%) patients were exposed to at least 1 pregnancy. Pregnancy had no significant long-term causal effect on the mean EDSS score at 9 years (causal mean difference [95% CI] = 0.00 [-0.16 to 0.15]) or on the annual probability of relapse (causal risk ratio [95% CI] = 0.95 [0.93-1.38]). For the 1,253 early-exposed patients, pregnancy significantly decreased the probability of relapse during the perpartum year and significantly increased it during the postpartum year, but no significant delayed effect was found on the EDSS and relapse rate. DISCUSSION: Using a causal inference approach, we found no evidence of significantly deleterious or beneficial long-term effects of pregnancy on disability. The beneficial effects found in other studies were probably related to a reverse causation bias.

Disease Reactivation After Cessation of Disease-Modifying Therapy in Patients With Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the rate of return of disease activity after cessation of multiple sclerosis (MS) disease-modifying therapy. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study from 2 large observational MS registries: MSBase and OFSEP. Patients with relapsing-remitting MS who had ceased a disease-modifying therapy and were followed up for the subsequent 12 months were included in the analysis. The primary study outcome was annualized relapse rate in the 12 months after disease-modifying therapy discontinuation stratified by patients who did, and did not, commence a subsequent therapy. The secondary endpoint was the predictors of first relapse and disability accumulation after treatment discontinuation. RESULTS: A total of 14,213 patients, with 18,029 eligible treatment discontinuation epochs, were identified for 7 therapies. Annualized rates of relapse (ARRs) started to increase 2 months after natalizumab cessation (month 2-4 ARR 0.47, 95% CI 0.43-0.51). Commencement of a subsequent therapy within 2-4 months reduced the magnitude of disease reactivation (mean ARR difference: 0.15, 0.08-0.22). After discontinuation of fingolimod, rates of relapse increased overall (month 1-2 ARR: 0.80, 0.70-0.89) and stabilized faster in patients who started a new therapy within 1-2 months (mean ARR difference: 0.14, -0.01 to 0.29). The magnitude of disease reactivation for other therapies was low but reduced further by commencement of another treatment 1-10 months after treatment discontinuation. Predictors of relapse were a higher relapse rate in the year before cessation, female sex, younger age, and higher EDSS score. Commencement of a subsequent therapy reduced both the risk of relapse (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.72-0.81) and disability accumulation (0.73, 0.65-0.80). DISCUSSION: The rate of disease reactivation after treatment cessation differs among MS treatments, with the peaks of relapse activity ranging from 1 to 10 months in untreated cohorts that discontinued different therapies. These results suggest that untreated intervals should be minimized after stopping antitrafficking therapies (natalizumab and fingolimod). CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class III that disease reactivation occurs within months of discontinuation of MS disease-modifying therapies. The risk of disease activity is reduced by commencement of a subsequent therapy.

Disability Progression in Multiple Sclerosis Patients using Early First-line Treatments.

BACKGROUND: Therapeutic management of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) has evolved towards early treatment. The objective was to assess the impact of early treatment initiation on disability progression among RRMS first-line treated patients. METHODS: This study included all incident RRMS cases starting interferon or glatiramer acetate for the first time from 1996/01/01 to 2012/31/12 (N=5,279) from ten MS expert OFSEP centers (Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques). The delay from treatment start to attain an irreversible Expanded Disability Status Scale score of 3.0 were compared between "Early" group (N= 1,882; treated within 12 months following MS clinical onset) and "Later" group using propensity score weighted Kaplan-Meier methods, overall and stratified by age. RESULTS: Overall, the restricted mean time before reaching EDSS 3.0 (RMST) from treatment start was 11 years and two months for patients treated within the year following MS clinical onset and 10 years and seven months for patients treated later. Thus, early treated patients gained 7 months (95% CI: [4-11] months) in the time to reach EDSS 3.0 compared to patients treated later (treatment start delayed by 28 months). The difference in RMST was respectively six months (95% CI: [1-10] months) and 14 months (95% CI: [4-24] months) in the "≤40 years" age group and in the ">40 years" age group, in favour of early group. . CONCLUSIONS: Early treatment initiation resulted in a significant reduction of disability progression among patients with RRMS, and also among older patients.

Comparative Effectiveness of Natalizumab Versus Anti-CD20 in Highly Active Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis After Fingolimod Withdrawal.

In France, two therapeutic strategies can be offered after fingolimod (FNG) withdrawal to highly active relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients: natalizumab (NTZ) or anti-CD20. We compared the effectiveness of these two strategies as a switch for FNG within the OFSEP database. The primary endpoint was the time to first relapse. Other outcomes were the relapse rates over 3-month periods, time to worsening the EDSS score, proportion of patients with worsened 24-month MRI, time to treatment discontinuation, and incidence rates of serious adverse events. The dynamics of event rates over time were modeled using multidimensional penalized splines, allowing the possibility to model the effects of covariates in a flexible way, considering non-linearity and interactions. A total of 740 patients were included (337 under anti-CD20 and 403 under NTZ). There was no difference between the two treatments regarding the dynamic of the first occurrence of relapse, with a monthly probability of 5.0% at initiation and 1.0% after 6 months. The rate of EDSS worsening increased in both groups until 6 months and then decreased. No difference in the proportion of patients with new T2 lesions at 24 months was observed. After 18 months of follow-up, a greater risk of NTZ discontinuation was found compared to anti-CD20. This study showed no difference between NTZ and anti-CD20 after the FNG switch regarding the clinical and radiological activity. The effect of these treatments was optimal after 6 months and there was more frequent discontinuation of NTZ after 18 months, probably mainly related to JC virus seroconversions.

Multiple sclerosis lesions segmentation from multiple experts: The MICCAI 2016 challenge dataset.

MRI plays a crucial role in multiple sclerosis diagnostic and patient follow-up. In particular, the delineation of T2-FLAIR hyperintense lesions is crucial although mostly performed manually - a tedious task. Many methods have thus been proposed to automate this task. However, sufficiently large datasets with a thorough expert manual segmentation are still lacking to evaluate these methods. We present a unique dataset for MS lesions segmentation evaluation. It consists of 53 patients acquired on 4 different scanners with a harmonized protocol. Hyperintense lesions on FLAIR were manually delineated on each patient by 7 experts with control on T2 sequence, and gathered in a consensus segmentation for evaluation. We provide raw and preprocessed data and a split of the dataset into training and testing data, the latter including data from a scanner not present in the training dataset. We strongly believe that this dataset will become a reference in MS lesions segmentation evaluation, allowing to evaluate many aspects: evaluation of performance on unseen scanner, comparison to individual experts performance, comparison to other challengers who already used this dataset, etc.

Natalizumab Versus Fingolimod in Patients with Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis: A Subgroup Analysis From Three International Cohorts.

INTRODUCTION: Natalizumab has proved to be more effective than fingolimod in reducing disease activity in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). Whether this association is universal for all patient groups remains to be determined. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to compare the relative effectiveness of natalizumab and fingolimod in RRMS subgroups defined by the baseline demographic and clinical characteristics of interest. METHODS: Patients with RRMS who were given natalizumab or fingolimod were identified in a merged cohort from three international registries. Efficacy outcomes were compared across subgroups based on patients' sex, age, disease duration, Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score, and disease and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) activity 12 months prior to treatment initiation. Study endpoints were number of relapses (analyzed with weighted negative binomial generalized linear model) and 6-month confirmed disability worsening and improvement events (weighted Cox proportional hazards model), recorded during study therapy. Each patient was weighted using inverse probability of treatment weighting based on propensity score. RESULTS: A total of 5148 patients (natalizumab 1989; fingolimod 3159) were included, with a mean ± standard deviation age at baseline of 38 ± 10 years, and the majority (72%) were women. The median on-treatment follow-up was 25 (quartiles 15-41) months. Natalizumab was associated with fewer relapses than fingolimod (incidence rate ratio [IRR]; 95% confidence interval [CI]) in women (0.76; 0.65-0.88); in those aged ≤ 38 years (0.64; 0.54-0.76); in those with disease duration ≤ 7 years (0.63; 0.53-0.76); in those with EDSS score < 4 (0.75; 0.64-0.88), < 6 (0.80; 0.70-0.91), and ≥ 6 (0.52; 0.31-0.86); and in patients with pre-baseline relapses (0.74; 0.64-0.86). A higher probability of confirmed disability improvement on natalizumab versus fingolimod (hazard ratio [HR]; 95% CI) was observed among women (1.36; 1.10-1.66); those aged > 38 years (1.34; 1.04-1.73); those with disease duration > 7 years (1.33; 1.01-1.74); those with EDSS score < 6 (1.21; 1.01-1.46) and ≥ 6 (1.93; 1.11-3.34); and patients with no new MRI lesion (1.73; 1.19-2.51). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, in women, younger patients, those with shorter disease durations, and patients with pre-treatment relapses, natalizumab was associated with a lower frequency of multiple sclerosis relapses than fingolimod. It was also associated with an increased chance of recovery from disability among most patients, particularly women and those with no recent MRI activity.

Effects of High- and Low-Efficacy Therapy in Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the clinical effectiveness of high- and low-efficacy treatments in patients with recently active and inactive secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) after accounting for therapeutic lag. METHODS: Patients treated with high-efficacy (natalizumab, alemtuzumab, mitoxantrone, ocrelizumab, rituximab, cladribine, fingolimod) or low-efficacy (interferon beta, glatiramer acetate, teriflunomide) therapies after SPMS onset were selected from MSBase and Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques (OFSEP), 2 large observational cohorts. Therapeutic lag was estimated for each patient from their demographic and clinical characteristics. Propensity score was used to match patients treated with high- and low-efficacy therapies. Outcomes after the period of therapeutic lag was disregarded were compared in paired, pairwise-censored analyses. RESULTS: One thousand patients were included in the primary analysis. Patients with active SPMS treated with high-efficacy therapy experienced less frequent relapses than those on low-efficacy therapy (hazard ratio [HR] 0.7, p = 0.006). In patients with inactive SPMS, there was no evidence for a difference in relapse frequency between groups (HR 0.8, p = 0.39). No evidence for a difference in the risk of disability progression was observed. CONCLUSION: In treated patients with SPMS, high-efficacy therapy is superior to low-efficacy therapy in reducing relapses in patients with active but not those with inactive SPMS. However, more potent therapies do not offer an advantage in reducing disability progression in this patient group. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class III evidence that high-efficacy therapy is superior to low-efficacy therapy in reducing relapses in patients with active SPMS, although we did not find a difference in disability progression between patients treated with high- and low-efficacy therapy.

The effectiveness of natalizumab vs fingolimod-A comparison of international registry studies.

BACKGROUND: Natalizumab and fingolimod were the first preparations recommended for disease breakthrough in priorly treated relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. Of three published head-to-head studies two showed that natalizumab is the more effective to prevent relapses and EDSS worsening. METHODS: By re-analyzing original published results from MSBase, France, and Denmark using uniform methodologies, we aimed at identifying the effects of differences in methodology, in the MS-populations, and at re-evaluating the differences in effectiveness between the two drugs. We gained access to copies of the individual amended databases and pooled all data. We used uniform inclusion/exclusion criteria and statistical methods with Inverse Probability Treatment Weighting. RESULTS: The pooled analyses comprised 968 natalizumab- and 1479 fingolimod treated patients. The on-treatment natalizumab/fingolimod relapse rate ratio was 0.77 (p=0.004). The hazard ratio (HR) for a first relapse was 0.82 (p=0.030), and the HR for sustained EDSS improvement was 1.4 (p=0.009). There were modest differences between each of the original published studies and the replication study, but the conclusions of the three original studies remained unchanged: in two of them natalizumab was more effective, but in the third there was no difference between natalizumab and fingolimod. CONCLUSION: The results were largely invariant to the epidemiological and statistical methods but differed between the MS populations. Generally, the advantage of natalizumab was confirmed.

Comparison of SimoaTM and EllaTM to assess serum neurofilament-light chain in multiple sclerosis.

We compared SimoaTM and EllaTM immunoassays to assess serum neurofilament-light chain levels in 203 multiple sclerosis patients from the OFSEP HD study. There was a strong correlation (ρ = 0.86, p < 0.0001) between both platforms. The EllaTM instrument overestimated values by 17%, but as the data were linear (p = 0.57), it was possible to apply a correction factor to EllaTM results. As for SimoaTM , serum neurofilament-light chain levels measured by EllaTM were correlated with age and EDSS and were significantly higher in active multiple sclerosis, suggesting that these assays are equivalent and can be used in routine clinical practice.

Determinants of therapeutic lag in multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: A delayed onset of treatment effect, termed therapeutic lag, may influence the assessment of treatment response in some patient subgroups. OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study is to explore the associations of patient and disease characteristics with therapeutic lag on relapses and disability accumulation. METHODS: Data from MSBase, a multinational multiple sclerosis (MS) registry, and OFSEP, the French MS registry, were used. Patients diagnosed with MS, minimum 1 year of exposure to MS treatment and 3 years of pre-treatment follow-up, were included in the analysis. Studied outcomes were incidence of relapses and disability accumulation. Therapeutic lag was calculated using an objective, validated method in subgroups stratified by patient and disease characteristics. Therapeutic lag under specific circumstances was then estimated in subgroups defined by combinations of clinical and demographic determinants. RESULTS: High baseline disability scores, annualised relapse rate (ARR) ⩾ 1 and male sex were associated with longer therapeutic lag on disability progression in sufficiently populated groups: females with expanded disability status scale (EDSS) < 6 and ARR < 1 had mean lag of 26.6 weeks (95% CI = 18.2-34.9), males with EDSS < 6 and ARR < 1 31.0 weeks (95% CI = 25.3-36.8), females with EDSS < 6 and ARR ⩾ 1 44.8 weeks (95% CI = 24.5-65.1), and females with EDSS ⩾ 6 and ARR < 1 54.3 weeks (95% CI = 47.2-61.5). CONCLUSIONS: Pre-treatment EDSS and ARR are the most important determinants of therapeutic lag.

Cumulative effects of therapies on disability in relapsing multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Long-term effectiveness of treatment remains a key question in multiple sclerosis (MS) and the cumulative effects of past treatment have not been investigated so far. OBJECTIVE: Explore the relationship between treatment exposure and disability risk in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). METHODS: A total of 2285 adult patients from the French nationwide cohort were included. Outcomes were irreversible EDSS4, and conversion to secondary progression of multiple sclerosis (SPMS). Associations between treatments and risk of disability were assessed using a novel weighted cumulative exposure model, assuming a 3-year lag to account for reverse causality. This flexible approach accounts for past exposure in a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model by computing a weight function. RESULTS: At baseline, mean ± standard deviation age of patients was 33.4 ± 8.9 years and 75.0% were women. A 15-year continuous treatment starting 20 years ago was associated with a decrease in risk of 26% for irreversible EDSS4, and 34% for SPMS compared to a 5-year treatment starting 10 years ago. The risk of disability decreased with increasing duration of exposure to disease-modifying treatment (DMT). CONCLUSION: Long-term use of treatments in RRMS has a stronger beneficial cumulative impact than only early uses and delays the occurrence of moderate disability and conversion to SPMS.