Accuracy and optimal timing of activity measurements in estimating the absorbed dose of radioiodine in the treatment of Graves' disease.

Calculation of the therapeutic activity of radioiodine (131)I for individualized dosimetry in the treatment of Graves' disease requires an accurate estimate of the thyroid absorbed radiation dose based on a tracer activity administration of (131)I. Common approaches (Marinelli-Quimby formula, MIRD algorithm) use, respectively, the effective half-life of radioiodine in the thyroid and the time-integrated activity. Many physicians perform one, two, or at most three tracer dose activity measurements at various times and calculate the required therapeutic activity by ad hoc methods. In this paper, we study the accuracy of estimates of four 'target variables': time-integrated activity coefficient, time of maximum activity, maximum activity, and effective half-life in the gland. Clinical data from 41 patients who underwent (131)I therapy for Graves' disease at the University Hospital in Pisa, Italy, are used for analysis. The radioiodine kinetics are described using a nonlinear mixed-effects model. The distributions of the target variables in the patient population are characterized. Using minimum root mean squared error as the criterion, optimal 1-, 2-, and 3-point sampling schedules are determined for estimation of the target variables, and probabilistic bounds are given for the errors under the optimal times. An algorithm is developed for computing the optimal 1-, 2-, and 3-point sampling schedules for the target variables. This algorithm is implemented in a freely available software tool. Taking into consideration (131)I effective half-life in the thyroid and measurement noise, the optimal 1-point time for time-integrated activity coefficient is a measurement 1 week following the tracer dose. Additional measurements give only a slight improvement in accuracy.

Simplification of an erythropoiesis model for design of anemia management protocols in end stage renal disease.

Many end stage renal disease (ESRD) patients suffer from anemia due to insufficient endogenous production of erythropoietin (EPO). The discovery of recombinant human EPO (rHuEPO) over 30 years ago has shifted the treatment of anemia for patients on dialysis from blood transfusions to rHuEPO therapy. Many anemia management protocols (AMPs) used by clinicians comprise a set of experience-based rules for weekly-to-monthly titration of rHuEPO doses based on hemoglobin (Hgb) measurements. In order to facilitate the design of an AMP based on formal control design methods, we present a physiologically-relevant erythropoiesis model, and show that its nonlinear dynamics can be approximated using a static nonlinearity, a step that greatly simplifies AMP design. We demonstrate applicability of our results using clinical data.

Cause of portal or hepatic venous thrombosis in adults: the role of multiple concurrent factors.

According to a recent hypothesis, venous thrombosis results from the concurrence of several factors. This hypothesis was assessed in patients with portal or hepatic venous thrombosis by simultaneously investigating most of the currently identified prothrombotic disorders, local precipitating factors, and other risk factors such as oral contraceptive use. Patients with a tumorous obstruction and patients with cirrhosis with portal vein thrombosis were excluded. The prothrombotic disorders that were investigated included classical and occult myeloproliferative disorders; antiphospholipid syndrome; protein C; protein S and antithrombin deficiency; factor V Leiden; factor II; and methylene-tetrahydrofolate-reductase gene mutations. We found 1 or several prothrombotic disorders and a local precipitating factor in 26 and 10 of the 36 patients with portal vein thrombosis, respectively; and in 28 and none of the 32 patients with hepatic vein thrombosis, respectively. We found a combination of prothrombotic disorders in 5 and 9 patients with portal and hepatic vein thrombosis, respectively, whereas such a combination is expected in less than 1% of asymptomatic subjects. Of the 10 patients with a local precipitating factor, 8 had a prothrombotic disorder. Of the 13 patients who use oral contraceptives, 10 had a prothrombotic disorder. We conclude that portal or hepatic venous thrombosis should be regarded as an index for 1 or several prothrombotic disorders, whether or not local precipitating factors or oral contraceptive use are found. Concurrence of prothrombotic disorders is more common than expected. Extensive investigation of prothrombotic disorders and anticoagulation should be considered in patients with portal or hepatic venous thrombosis.

Spontaneous megakaryocyte colony formation in myeloproliferative disorders is not neutralizable by antibodies against IL3, IL6 and GM-CSF.

Megakaryocyte progenitor growth in 42 patients with myeloproliferative disorders (MPD), including 23 essential thrombocythaemia (ET), eight polycythaemia vera (PV), six chronic myelogenous leukaemia (CML) and five primary myelofibrosis (PMF), was studied in vitro using plasma clot assay and serum-free agar culture. Spontaneous megakaryocyte colonies (CFU-MK) were found in 34/40 (80%) blood and 14/18 (77.8%) bone marrow plasma clot cultures, and also observed in 27/35 (77.1%) blood and 10/18 (55.6%) bone marrow serum-free agar cultures. In the blood of 27 patients with MPD (15 ET, four PV, four CML and four PMF) and the bone marrow of 10 patients (five ET, four CML and one PV), spontaneous colony formation was observed in both plasma clot and serum-free agar cultures. However, spontaneous CFU-MK was only found in plasma clot culture, but not in agar culture in two blood (one ET and one CML) and four bone marrow cultures (one ET, two PV, one CML). The colony numbers were greatly increased in the presence of aplastic anaemia serum (AAS) under both conditions. In 17 patients (12 ET, two CML and three PV) with spontaneous megakaryocyte colonies, anti-cytokine antibody neutralizing experiments were carried out in blood cultures. Anti-IL3, anti-IL6 and anti-GM-CSF antibody, alone or in combination, at different concentrations (1, 5 and 10 micrograms/ml), were added into plasma clot or agar cultures without exogenous stimulating growth factors. The results showed that the numbers of spontaneous megakaryocyte colonies were not significantly decreased in the presence of these monoclonal antibodies in the cultures. The data indicated that the megakaryocyte progenitor growth in MPD under in vitro conditions was heterogenous, and independent of exogenous stimulatory factors in most patients and that optimal megakaryocyte colony development in MPD still requires exogenous growth factors. Three possibilities are discussed with regard to the phenomenon that the spontaneous colony formation was not decreased with the addition of anti-IL3, anti-IL6 and anti-GM-CSF antibodies.