ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: No reliable clinical tools exist to predict acute kidney injury (AKI) progression. We aim to explore a scoring system for predicting the composite outcome of progression to severe AKI or death within seven days among early AKI patients after cardiac surgery. METHODS: In this study, we used two independent cohorts, and patients who experienced mild/moderate AKI within 48 h after cardiac surgery were enrolled. Eventually, 3188 patients from the MIMIC-IV database were used as the derivation cohort, while 499 patients from the Zhongshan cohort were used as external validation. The primary outcome was defined by the composite outcome of progression to severe AKI or death within seven days after enrollment. The variables identified by LASSO regression analysis were entered into logistic regression models and were used to construct the risk score. RESULTS: The composite outcome accounted for 3.7% (n = 119) and 7.6% (n = 38) of the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. Six predictors were assembled into a risk score (AKI-Pro score), including female, baseline eGFR, aortic surgery, modified furosemide responsiveness index (mFRI), SOFA, and AKI stage. And we stratified the risk score into four groups: low, moderate, high, and very high risk. The risk score displayed satisfied predictive discrimination and calibration in the derivation and validation cohort. The AKI-Pro score discriminated the composite outcome better than CRATE score, Cleveland score, AKICS score, Simplified renal index, and SRI risk score (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The AKI-Pro score is a new clinical tool that could assist clinicians to identify early AKI patients at high risk for AKI progression or death.
Subject(s)
Acute Kidney Injury , Cardiac Surgical Procedures , Disease Progression , Humans , Acute Kidney Injury/etiology , Acute Kidney Injury/diagnosis , Female , Male , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/adverse effects , Middle Aged , Aged , Risk Factors , Cohort Studies , Severity of Illness Index , ROC Curve , Risk Assessment , PrognosisABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Patients receiving surgical treatment of acute type A Aortic Dissection (aTAAD) are common to suffer organ dysfunction in the intensive care unit due to overwhelming inflammation. Previous studies have revealed that glucocorticoids may reduce complications in certain patient groups, but evidence between postoperative glucocorticoids administration and improvement in organ dysfunction after aTAAD surgery are lacking. METHODS: This study will be an investigator-initiated, prospective, single-blind, randomized, single-center study. Subjects with confirmed diagnosis of aTAAD undergoing surgical treatment will be enrolled and 1:1 randomly assigned to receive either glucocorticoids or normal treatment. All patients in the glucocorticoids group will be given methylprednisolone intravenously for 3 days after enrollment. The primary endpoint will be the amplitude of variation of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score on post-operative day 4 compared to baseline. DISCUSSION: The trial will explore the rationale for postoperative application of glucocorticoids in patients after aTAAD surgery. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This study has been registered on ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04734418).