Community-acquired pneumonia in infants: Not simply an acute event with complete recovery.

BACKGROUND: Pneumonia in infancy has been linked to long-term consequences for the rapidly developing lung. We examined the impact of hospitalized community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) on subsequent respiratory health. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective matched-cohort study using the Optum® de-identified Electronic Health Record Dataset (2009-2018). Study population comprised healthy infants hospitalized for CAP ("CAP patients"), and matched comparators without pneumonia ("comparison patients"), before age 2 years. Study outcomes included any chronic respiratory disorder, reactive airway disease (asthma, hyperactive airway disease, recurrent wheezing), and CAP hospitalization occurring between age 2-5 years, and were evaluated overall as well as by age and etiology at first CAP hospitalization. RESULTS: Study population totaled 1,343 CAP patients and 6,715 comparison patients. Rates per 100 patient-years and relative rates (RR) of study outcomes from age 2-5 years for CAP patients versus comparison patients were: any chronic respiratory disorder, 11.6 vs. 4.9 (RR = 2.4 [95% CI: 2.1-2.6]); reactive airway disease, 6.1 vs 1.9 (RR = 3.2 [2.6-3.8]); and CAP hospitalization, 1.0 vs 0.2 (RR = 6.3 [3.6-10.9]). Rates of study outcomes were highest among CAP patients who had their initial hospitalization in the second year of life. CONCLUSIONS: Infant CAP foreshadows an increased risk of subsequent chronic respiratory disorders, which may be elevated when CAP occurs closer to pre-school age (i.e., age 2-5 years). These findings are most consistent with the hypothesis that inflammation persists beyond the acute stage of pneumonia and plays a role in the development of chronic respiratory sequelae.

Use of Cost-Effectiveness Analyses for Decisions About Vaccination Programs for Meningococcal Disease in the United States, United Kingdom, The Netherlands, and Canada.

INTRODUCTION: Meningococcal vaccines to protect against invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) vary in terms of vaccine technology and serogroup coverage (Polysaccharide MnACWY, conjugated C and ACWY, outer membrane vesicle-based or protein-based B vaccines), and the national recommendations for each of them vary in terms of target population and number of doses. We sought to understand factors associated with the evolution of meningococcal vaccination program recommendations in four countries with formal evaluation processes: the UK, US, the Netherlands, and Canada. AREAS COVERED: A targeted review of published literature and internet sources for the four countries relating to meningococcal vaccination decision-making was conducted. The review focused on the impact of cost-effectiveness analyses on vaccine policy decisions and the extent to which variation in incidence of IMD and its potential catastrophic consequences influenced policy decisions.The evolution of meningococcal vaccine recommendations in the four countries was mainly driven by changes in vaccine availability and changes in serogroup incidence. Public pressure due to the catastrophic nature of IMD influenced recommendations. The role of cost-effectiveness analyses varied across the 4 countries. EXPERT OPINION: The value of implementing meningococcal vaccination programs should be assessed using factors beyond those included in traditional cost-effectiveness analyses.

Pediatric Vaccines and Cost-Effectiveness Thresholds: How Much is Too Much to Pay for Prevention?

Cost-effectiveness evaluations play an important role in recommendations for use of pediatric vaccines that are set forth by the US Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP). The fact that these evaluations are undertaken and accorded weight suggests that a critical value for designating pediatric vaccines as cost-effective (or not) must exist. For recommended pediatric vaccines, however, reported incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) have varied greatly, and there does not appear to be an explicit threshold used by the ACIP to define how much is too much to pay for the prevention of communicable diseases in children. Further complicating this issue is the fact that conventional ICER thresholds-expressed in terms of cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained-accord value only to length and quality of life and may not reflect our preferences as individuals or a society. For example, risk, an important attribute of many healthcare decisions, is ignored by the QALY model, as is the distribution of health benefits across different members of society. Are we indeed indifferent about risk and do we really believe that the value of disease prevention in children should be measured by the same "yardstick" as that for older adults? Accordingly, do we really believe that "a QALY is a QALY"? These issues, which are reviewed and discussed in this article, are more than just of theoretical interest; the answers impact how public health policy is determined, which impacts the lives and well-being of entire populations as well as the budgets of payers.

Ten year public health impact of 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccination in infants: A modelling analysis.

Pneumococcal disease is a substantial contributor to illness and death in young children globally. The introduction of 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) in 2000 had a significant impact in preventing pneumococcal disease in both vaccinated children and unvaccinated individuals (through herd effect). A higher valent PCV13 replaced PCV7 in late 2009. This analysis was undertaken to assess how many cases and deaths have been averted over the last decade since PCV13 introduction. A model estimated the number of infants vaccinated annually with PCV13, as well as the number of cases and deaths of invasive pneumococcal disease, pneumococcal pneumonia, and acute otitis media cases averted. PCV13 vaccination was estimated to have prevented 175.2 million cases of all pneumococcal diseases and 624,904 deaths globally between 2010 and 2019. These results demonstrate the substantial public health impact of PCV13 and highlight the importance of increasing the global reach of PCV programs.

Modeling Possible Inclusion of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine into the National Immunization Program for Infants in India.

BACKGROUND: India is home to up to 28 million infants born annually, and yet to a large extent these children do not benefit from the protection provided by a pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) immunization program. The Government of India, with support from Gavi, The Vaccine Alliance (in short, Gavi), has committed to a pilot implementation of PCV. There are few public health impact evaluations available for India, and equally limited epidemiologic data. OBJECTIVES: To estimate the potential impact of an infant pneumococcal vaccination program in India. METHODS: Using a well-established pneumococcal disease impact model parameterized with local data to the extent possible, we calculated the potential impact of introducing an infant PCV program in India. The model considered direct vaccine protection by PCV10 or PCV13, focusing on children younger than 5 years, while varying vaccine uptake according to the implementation method (i.e., state-level programs [Gavi funding] or a government-supported national immunization program [NIP]). RESULTS: With state-level PCV13 programs comprising 25% uptake across the country, approximately 1.9 million cases of pneumococcal disease and approximately 77,000 deaths could be prevented annually. An NIP with PCV13 could prevent approximately 7.6 million cases of pneumococcal disease and approximately 0.3 million pneumococcal deaths annually, compared with no vaccination, considering 100% vaccine uptake. These results are likely to have underestimated the additional potential benefits of herd effects in unvaccinated children and adults. CONCLUSIONS: Incorporation of PCV into an Indian vaccination program for infants is predicted to have a substantially positive health impact. Gavi funding of state-level programs is an important step toward achieving the full benefits of an NIP in India.

Cost-effectiveness of patient selection using penumbral-based MRI for intravenous thrombolysis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Better selection of patients for intravenous recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (IV tPA) treatment may improve clinical outcomes. We examined the cost-effectiveness of adding penumbral-based MRI to usual computed tomography (CT)-based methods to identify patients for IV tPA treatment. METHODS: A decision-analytic model estimated the lifetime costs and outcomes associated with penumbral-based MRI selection in a patient population similar to that enrolled in the IV tPA clinical trials. Inputs were obtained from published literature, clinical trial data, claims databases, and expert opinion. Outcomes included cost per life-year saved and cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. Costs and outcomes were discounted at 3% annually. Sensitivity analyses were conducted. RESULTS: The addition of penumbral-based MRI selection increased total cost by $103 over the patient's remaining lifetime. Penumbral-based MRI selection resulted in favorable outcomes (modified Rankin Scale