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1.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 18714, 2024 08 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39134702

ABSTRACT

Chronic histiocytic intervillositis (CHI) is a recurrent placental lesion where maternal macrophages infiltrate the intervillous space. Its cause is unknown, though due to similarities to rejected allografts one hypothesis is that CHI represents maternal-fetal rejection. Here, virtual crossmatching was applied to healthy pregnancies and those with a history of CHI. Anti-HLA antibodies, measured by Luminex, were present in slightly more controls than CHI (8/17 (47.1%) vs 5/14 (35.7%)), but there was no significant difference in levels of sensitisation or fetal specific antibodies. Quantification of immunohistochemical staining for HLA-Class II was increased in syncytiotrophoblast of placentas with CHI (Grade 0.44 [IQR 0.1-0.7]) compared to healthy controls (0.06 [IQR 0-0.2]) and subsequent pregnancies (0.13 [IQR 0-0.3]) (P = 0.0004). HLA-Class II expression was positively related both to the severity of CHI (r = 0.67) and C4d deposition (r = 0.48). There was no difference in overall C4d and HLA-Class I immunostaining. Though increased anti-HLA antibodies were not evident in CHI, increased expression of HLA-Class II at the maternal-fetal interface suggests that they may be relevant in its pathogenesis. Further investigation of antibodies immediately after diagnosis is warranted in a larger cohort of CHI cases to better understand the role of HLA in its pathophysiology.


Subject(s)
Histocompatibility Antigens Class II , Humans , Female , Pregnancy , Adult , Histocompatibility Antigens Class II/metabolism , Placenta/pathology , Placenta/metabolism , Placenta/immunology , Up-Regulation , Placenta Diseases/pathology , Placenta Diseases/immunology , Placenta Diseases/metabolism , Chorionic Villi/metabolism , Chorionic Villi/pathology , Chorionic Villi/immunology , Trophoblasts/metabolism , Trophoblasts/pathology , Trophoblasts/immunology , Chronic Disease
2.
BMC Prim Care ; 24(1): 267, 2023 12 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38087210

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Shigellosis is an acute diarrheal disease transmitted through contaminated food, water, objects, poor hand hygiene, or sexual activity. Healthcare providers (HCP) may not be aware of the multiple routes of Shigella transmission, populations at increased risk, or importance of antibiotic susceptibility testing (AST). This study assessed HCP knowledge and clinical practices regarding shigellosis and antibiotic resistance. METHODS: Porter Novelli Public Services administered a web-based survey (Fall DocStyles 2020) to HCP in the United States. Pediatricians, primary care physicians, nurse practitioners, and physician assistants completed questions about knowledge and clinical practice of acute diarrhea and shigellosis. RESULTS: Of 2196 HCP contacted, 1503 responded (68% response rate). Most identified contaminated food (85%) and water (79%) as routes of Shigella transmission; fewer recognized person-to-person contact (40%) and sexual activity (18%). Men who have sex with men (MSM) were identified as being at risk for shigellosis by 35% of respondents. Most reported counseling patients to wash hands (86%) and avoid food preparation (77%) when ill with shigellosis; 29% reported recommending avoiding sex. Many HCP reported treating shigellosis empirically with ciprofloxacin (62%) and azithromycin (32%), and 29% reported using AST to guide treatment. CONCLUSIONS: We identified several gaps in shigellosis knowledge among HCP including MSM as a risk group, person-to-person transmission, and appropriate antibiotic use. Improving HCP education could prevent the spread of shigellosis, including drug-resistant infections, among vulnerable populations.


Subject(s)
Anti-Infective Agents , Dysentery, Bacillary , Sexual and Gender Minorities , Shigella , Male , Humans , United States/epidemiology , Dysentery, Bacillary/drug therapy , Dysentery, Bacillary/epidemiology , Dysentery, Bacillary/prevention & control , Homosexuality, Male , Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Diarrhea/complications , Diarrhea/drug therapy , Anti-Infective Agents/therapeutic use , Water
3.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 72(45): 1225-1229, 2023 Nov 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37943708

ABSTRACT

In 2016, CDC identified a multidrug-resistant (MDR) strain of Salmonella enterica serotype Newport that is now monitored as a persisting strain (REPJJP01). Isolates have been obtained from U.S. residents in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, linked to travel to Mexico, consumption of beef products obtained in the United States, or cheese obtained in Mexico. In 2021, the number of isolates of this strain approximately doubled compared with the 2018-2020 baseline and remained high in 2022. During January 1, 2021- December 31, 2022, a total of 1,308 isolates were obtained from patients, cattle, and sheep; 86% were MDR, most with decreased susceptibility to azithromycin. Approximately one half of patients were Hispanic or Latino; nearly one half reported travel to Mexico during the month preceding illness, and one third were hospitalized. Two multistate outbreak investigations implicated beef products obtained in the United States. This highly resistant strain might spread through travelers, animals, imported foods, domestic foods, or other sources. Isolates from domestic and imported cattle slaughtered in the United States suggests a possible source of contamination. Safe food and drink consumption practices while traveling and interventions across the food production chain to ensure beef safety are necessary in preventing illness.


Subject(s)
Drug Resistance, Multiple, Bacterial , Salmonella enterica , United States/epidemiology , Humans , Cattle , Animals , Sheep , Mexico/epidemiology , Salmonella , District of Columbia
4.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 10(8): ofad378, 2023 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37559755

ABSTRACT

Background: Campylobacter is the most common cause of bacterial diarrhea in the United States; resistance to macrolides and fluoroquinolones limits treatment options. We examined the epidemiology of US Campylobacter infections and changes in resistance over time. Methods: The Foodborne Diseases Active Surveillance Network receives information on laboratory-confirmed Campylobacter cases from 10 US sites, and the National Antimicrobial Resistance Monitoring System receives a subset of isolates from these cases for antimicrobial susceptibility testing. We estimated trends in incidence of Campylobacter infection, adjusting for sex, age, and surveillance changes attributable to culture-independent diagnostic tests. We compared percentages of isolates resistant to erythromycin or ciprofloxacin during 2005-2016 with 2017-2018 and used multivariable logistic regression to examine the association of international travel with resistance. Results: Adjusted Campylobacter incidence remained stable or decreased for all groups analyzed since 2012. Among 2449 linked records in 2017-2018, the median patient age was 40.2 years (interquartile range, 21.6-57.8 years), 54.8% of patients were male, 17.2% were hospitalized, and 0.2% died. The percentage of resistant infections increased from 24.5% in 2005-2016 to 29.7% in 2017-2018 for ciprofloxacin (P < .001) and from 2.6% to 3.3% for erythromycin (P = .04). Persons with recent international travel had higher odds than nontravelers of having isolates resistant to ciprofloxacin (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] varied from 1.7 to 10.6 by race/ethnicity) and erythromycin (aOR = 1.7; 95% confidence interval, 1.3-2.1). Conclusions: Campylobacter incidence has remained stable or decreased, whereas resistance to antimicrobials recommended for treatment has increased. Recent international travel increased the risk of resistance.

5.
Mil Psychol ; 35(4): 321-334, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37352449

ABSTRACT

As part of an effort to provide standardized criterion measures across the Armed Services, the current research effort developed a set of service-wide criterion measures for first-term enlisted personnel using a recently developed model of cross-service job performance. Two concurrent work streams developed criterion measures which provide complete construct coverage of the cross-service performance model. Using existing service-specific instruments, methods for development of the Cross-Service Situational judgment Test (CSSJT), the Cross-Service Job Performance Ratings Scales (CSPRS), and two cross-service self-report measures (end of training and in unit surveys) are described and discussed.


Subject(s)
Military Personnel , Work Performance , Humans , Judgment , School Admission Criteria
6.
Mil Psychol ; 35(4): 283-294, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37352450

ABSTRACT

U.S. Military services use the Armed Services Vocational Aptitude Battery (ASVAB) and other indicators to select and classify about 150,000 enlisted personnel annually. The effectiveness of these assessments can be difficult to gauge due to differences in criteria across services and occupations. We developed a cross-service job performance model to be used in development of measures of first-term enlisted job performance. We synthesized job performance research, starting with the services' Job Performance Measurement (JPM) projects (1980s-1990s) through recent projects, to form performance dimensions. The dimension structure was evaluated in a retranslation exercise with performance measurement experts. The resulting hierarchical taxonomy has three levels: (a) 33 dimensions, (b) 11 categories, and (c) four broad categories. The broad performance categories are: (a) Technical, (b) Organizational Citizenship and Peer Leadership, (c) Psychosocial Well-Being, and (d) Physical. A sample of military experts judged the importance of the 33 performance dimensions. Results showed that the four broad performance categories were highly relevant to each service and generalizable across services. While all dimensions were judged important, Psychosocial Well-Being dimensions were rated as the most important by each service. The dimension structure provides a framework for criterion development and future joint-service research.


Subject(s)
Military Personnel , Humans , Occupations , Exercise , Forecasting
7.
Mil Psychol ; 35(4): 308-320, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37352453

ABSTRACT

Criterion measures vary greatly in terms of their psychometric quality and ease of use. This paper serves two purposes. First, it provides a general summary of different approaches to criterion measurement in a military context. Second, it provides an extensive review of 16 specific types of criterion measurement methods (e.g., job performance rating scales, self-report questionnaires, job knowledge tests) on nine psychometric and ease-of-use evaluation factors. Eight criterion measurement experts read a summary of extant research and made ratings to evaluate each measurement method on the evaluation factors. Rater intra-class correlations (ICCs) were high, ranging from .75 to .95 across the evaluation dimensions with a median of .91. Data showed a quality-feasibility tradeoff, where criterion data that are easy to obtain often have technical flaws. Recommendations for military services and future directions in criterion measurement (e.g., applications of machine learning) are discussed.


Subject(s)
Surveys and Questionnaires , Humans , Psychometrics , Self Report
8.
J Infect Dis ; 228(5): 533-541, 2023 08 31.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37129066

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Antimicrobial resistance in nontyphoidal Salmonella (NTS) can limit treatment options. We assessed the contribution of international travel to antimicrobial-resistant NTS infections. METHODS: We describe NTS infections that were reported to the Foodborne Diseases Active Surveillance Network during 2018-2019 and screened for genetic resistance determinants, including those conferring decreased susceptibility to first-line agents (ciprofloxacin, ceftriaxone, or azithromycin). We used multivariable logistic regression to assess the association between resistance and international travel during the 7 days before illness began. We estimated the contribution of international travel to resistance using population-attributable fractions, and we examined reported antimicrobial use. RESULTS: Among 9301 NTS infections, 1159 (12%) occurred after recent international travel. Predicted resistance to first-line antimicrobials was more likely following travel; the adjusted odds ratio varied by travel region and was highest after travel to Asia (adjusted odds ratio, 7.2 [95% confidence interval, 5.5-9.5]). Overall, 19% (95% confidence interval, 17%-22%) of predicted resistance to first-line antimicrobials was attributable to international travel. More travelers than nontravelers receiving ciprofloxacin or other fluoroquinolones had isolates with predicted resistance to fluoroquinolones (29% vs 9%, respectively; P < .01). CONCLUSIONS: International travel is a substantial risk factor for antimicrobial-resistant NTS infections. Understanding risks of resistant infection could help target prevention efforts.


Subject(s)
Anti-Infective Agents , Salmonella Infections , Humans , United States/epidemiology , Microbial Sensitivity Tests , Salmonella Infections/drug therapy , Salmonella Infections/epidemiology , Salmonella/genetics , Ciprofloxacin/pharmacology , Ciprofloxacin/therapeutic use , Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacology , Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use
9.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 72(18): 484-487, 2023 May 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37141151

ABSTRACT

Not ready-to-eat (NRTE) breaded, stuffed chicken products (e.g., chicken stuffed with broccoli and cheese) typically have a crispy, browned exterior that can make them appear cooked. These products have been repeatedly linked to U.S. salmonellosis outbreaks, despite changes to packaging initiated in 2006 to identify the products as raw and warn against preparing them in a microwave oven (microwave) (1-4). On April 28, 2023, the U.S. Department of Agriculture proposed to declare Salmonella an adulterant* at levels of one colony forming unit per gram or higher in these products (5). Salmonella outbreaks associated with NRTE breaded, stuffed chicken products during 1998-2022 were summarized using reports in CDC's Foodborne Disease Outbreak Surveillance System (FDOSS), outbreak questionnaires, web postings, and data from the Minnesota Department of Health (MDH)† and the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Food Safety and Inspection Service (FSIS). Eleven outbreaks were identified in FDOSS. Among cultured samples from products obtained from patients' homes and from retail stores during 10 outbreaks, a median of 57% of cultures per outbreak yielded Salmonella. The NRTE breaded, stuffed chicken products were produced in at least three establishments.§ In the seven most recent outbreaks, 0%-75% of ill respondents reported cooking the product in a microwave and reported that they thought the product was sold fully cooked or did not know whether it was sold raw or fully cooked. Outbreaks associated with these products have occurred despite changes to product labels that better inform consumers that the products are raw and provide instructions on safe preparation, indicating that consumer-targeted interventions are not sufficient. Additional Salmonella controls at the manufacturer level to reduce contamination in ingredients might reduce illnesses attributable to NRTE breaded, stuffed chicken products.


Subject(s)
Food Contamination , Salmonella Food Poisoning , Salmonella Infections , Salmonella , Animals , Humans , Chickens , Disease Outbreaks , Food Contamination/analysis , Food Microbiology , Minnesota , Salmonella/isolation & purification , United States/epidemiology , Salmonella Food Poisoning/epidemiology , Salmonella Infections/epidemiology
10.
Am J Transplant ; 23(4): 459-463, 2023 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36720314

ABSTRACT

Liver transplant (LT) for undocumented immigrants presents numerous challenges. Although the United Network for Organ Sharing has implemented multiple policy changes to lessen the disparities in LT throughout the years, undocumented immigrants remain especially marginalized and disadvantaged when compared with other populations. Since 2013, the Mount Sinai Hospital's Recanati Miller Transplant Institute has transplanted 16 undocumented immigrants with successful outcomes. Here, we will share our experience of evaluating, caring for, and transplanting these patients and also highlight our team's mission to ensure that this population has equitable access to lifesaving medical treatment.


Subject(s)
Liver Transplantation , Undocumented Immigrants , Humans
11.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(2): 337-340, 2023 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38270126

ABSTRACT

We fit a power law distribution to US foodborne disease outbreaks to assess underdetection and underreporting. We predicted that 788 fewer than expected small outbreaks were identified annually during 1998-2017 and 365 fewer during 2018-2019, after whole-genome sequencing was implemented. Power law can help assess effectiveness of public health interventions.


Subject(s)
Disease Outbreaks , Foodborne Diseases , United States/epidemiology , Humans , Public Health , Foodborne Diseases/epidemiology , Whole Genome Sequencing
12.
Subst Abuse ; 16: 11782218221115659, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35966615

ABSTRACT

Background: Severe acute alcoholic hepatitis (AAH) has an extremely poor prognosis with a high short term mortality rate. As a result, many centers, including our own, have allowed transplant patients to be listed for transplantation prior to achieving 6-months of sobriety. Several scoring systems, designed to target patients with a minimal period of sobriety, have been proposed to identify patients with alcohol use disorder (AUD), who would be predisposed to relapse after liver transplantation. We investigated whether these scoring systems corroborated the results of the non-structured selection criteria used by our center regarding decision to list for transplant. Methods: We conducted a retrospective case-control study of 11 patients who underwent early liver transplantation for AAH matched with 11 controls who were declined secondary to low insight into AUD. Blinded raters confirmed the severity of the diagnosis of DSM-5 and scored the patients on a variety of structured psychometric scales used to predict alcohol relapse. These included the High Risk for Alcohol Relapse Scale (HRAR), Stanford Integrated Psychosocial Assessment Tool (SIPAT), Alcohol Relapse Risk Assessment (ARRA), Hopkins Psychosocial Scale (HPSS), Michigan Alcoholism Prognosis Score (MAPS), Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test -Consumption (AUDIT-C), and Sustained Alcohol Use Post-Liver Transplant (SALT) scales. All patients who underwent transplantation were followed for harmful and non-harmful drinking until the end of the study period. Results: The transplant recipients had significantly favorable MAPS, HRAR, SIPAT, ARRA, and HPSS scores with cutoffs that matched their previous research. The SALT and AUDIT-C scores were not predictive of our selection of patients for transplantation. Despite an expedited evaluation and no significant period of sobriety, our case cohort had a 30% relapse to harmful drinking after an average of 6.6 years (5-8.5 years) of follow-up. Discussion: Despite the rapid assessment and the short to no period of sobriety, the patient cohort demonstrated a 30% relapse to harmful drinking, consistent with the 20% to 30% relapse to drinking rate reported after liver transplantation for all forms of alcoholic liver disease. Average scores from MAPS, HRAR, SIPAT, ARRA, and HPSS corroborated our current stratification procedures, with lower mean risk scores found in the transplanted group. Conclusion: Patients with AUD and severe AAH who obtain new insight into their disease and posses other favorable psychosocial factors have low rates of AUD relapse post-liver-transplantation. The psychosocial selection criteria for patients with alcoholic hepatitis in our institution are consistent with 4 of the 5 scoring systems investigated in their prediction of sobriety post-transplant.

13.
Pediatrics ; 150(4)2022 10 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35922896

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Globally, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has affected how children learn. We evaluated the impact of Test to Stay (TTS) on secondary and tertiary transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 and potential impact on in-person learning in 4 school districts in the United States from September 13 to November 19, 2021. METHODS: Implementation of TTS varied across school districts. Data on index cases, school-based close contacts, TTS participation, and testing results were obtained from 4 school districts in diverse geographic regions. Descriptive statistics, secondary and tertiary attack risk, and a theoretical estimate of impact on in-person learning were calculated. RESULTS: Fifty-one schools in 4 school districts reported 374 coronavirus disease COVID-19 index cases and 2520 school-based close contacts eligible for TTS. The proportion participating in TTS ranged from 22% to 79%. By district, the secondary attack risk and tertiary attack risk among TTS participants ranged between 2.2% to 11.1% and 0% to 17.6%, respectively. Nine clusters were identified among secondary cases and 2 among tertiary cases. The theoretical maximum number of days of in-person learning saved by using TTS was 976 to 4650 days across jurisdictions. CONCLUSIONS: TTS preserves in-person learning. Decisions to participate in TTS may have been influenced by ease of access to testing, communication between schools and families, testing logistics, and school resources. Tertiary attack risk determination became more complicated when numbers of close contacts increased. Minimizing exposure through continued layered prevention strategies is imperative. To ensure adequate resources for TTS, community transmission levels should be considered.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Child , Child, Preschool , Humans , Risk Factors , SARS-CoV-2 , Schools , United States/epidemiology
15.
Am J Transplant ; 22(7): 1834-1841, 2022 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35416409

ABSTRACT

Early liver transplantation (LT) for alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) is the fastest growing indication for LT, but prediction of harmful alcohol use post-LT remains limited. Among 10 ACCELERATE-AH centers, we examined psychosocial evaluations from consecutive LT recipients for AH from 2006 to 2017. A multidisciplinary panel used content analysis to develop a maximal list of psychosocial variables. We developed an artificial intelligence model to predict post-LT harmful alcohol use. The cohort included training (N = 91 among 8 centers) and external validation (N = 25 among 2 centers) sets, with median follow-up of 4.4 (IQR 3.0-6.0) years post-LT. In the training set, AUC was 0.930 (95%CI 0.862-0.998) with positive predictive value of 0.891 (95%CI 0.620-1.000), internally validated through fivefold cross-validation. In the external validation set, AUC was 0.692 (95%CI 0.666-0.718) with positive predictive value of 0.82 (95%CI 0.625-1.000). The model identified specific variables related to social support and substance use as highly important to predict post-LT harmful alcohol use. We retrospectively developed and validated a model that identified psychosocial profiles at LT predicting harmful alcohol use post-LT for AH. This preliminary model may inform selection and post-LT management for AH and warrants prospective evaluation in larger studies among all alcohol-associated liver disease being considered for early LT.


Subject(s)
Alcoholism , Hepatitis, Alcoholic , Liver Diseases, Alcoholic , Liver Transplantation , Alcoholism/complications , Artificial Intelligence , Hepatitis, Alcoholic/complications , Hepatitis, Alcoholic/diagnosis , Hepatitis, Alcoholic/surgery , Humans , Liver Diseases, Alcoholic/complications , Liver Transplantation/adverse effects , Recurrence , Retrospective Studies
17.
Nicotine Tob Res ; 24(8): 1321-1328, 2022 07 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35239960

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The "hardening hypothesis" proposes that as the prevalence of smoking in a population declines, there will be a "hardening" of the remaining smoker population. This review examines the evidence regarding smokers' motivation, dependence, and quitting behavior as smoking prevalence declines, to assess whether population "hardening" (decreasing propensity to quit) or "softening" (the converse) is occurring. METHODS: MEDLINE, PsychINFO, Scopus, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were searched to July 2019, using terms related to smoking and hardening, for reviews and large, population-based repeat cross-sectional studies. There were additional searches of reference lists and citations of key research articles. Two reviewers screened half the titles and abstracts each, and two reviewers screened full texts independently using tested criteria. Four reviewers independently and systematically extracted data from eligible publications, with one reviewer per study, checked by another reviewer. RESULTS: Of 265 titles identified, three reviews and ten repeat cross-sectional studies were included. Reviews concluded that hardening has not occurred among the general smoking population over time. Among repeated cross-sectional studies, five examined motivation, nine examined dependence, five examined hardcore smoking, and two examined quit outcomes. All but one study found a lack of hardening. Most found softening within the smoking population, consistent across hardening indicators, definitions, countries (and tobacco control environments), and time periods examined. CONCLUSIONS: Tobacco control reduces smoking prevalence and fosters a smoking population more amenable to evidence-based interventions. Based on the weight of the available evidence, the "hardening hypothesis" should be rejected and the reality of softening accepted. IMPLICATIONS: This umbrella review and systematic review provides a critical consideration of evidence from epidemiology and psychology and other fields regarding the "hardening hypothesis"-a persistent myth undermining tobacco control. It reaches the conclusion that the sum-total of the worldwide evidence indicates either "softening" of the smoking population, or a lack of hardening. Hence, tobacco control reduces smoking prevalence and fosters a smoking population more amenable to evidence-based interventions. The review indicates that the time has come to take active steps to combat the myth of hardening and to replace it with the reality of "softening."


Subject(s)
Smokers , Smoking Cessation , Cross-Sectional Studies , Humans , Prevalence , Smoking/epidemiology , Smoking/psychology , Smoking Cessation/psychology
18.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 28(3): 717-720, 2022 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35202532

ABSTRACT

We assessed the relationship between antigen and reverse transcription PCR (RT-PCR) test positivity and successful virus isolation. We found that antigen test results were more predictive of virus recovery than RT-PCR results. However, virus was isolated from some antigen-negative and RT-PCR‒positive paired specimens, providing support for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention antigen testing algorithm.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Reverse Transcription , Antigens, Viral , COVID-19/diagnosis , Humans , Polymerase Chain Reaction , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , Sensitivity and Specificity
19.
BMC Public Health ; 22(1): 82, 2022 01 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35027019

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Antigen tests for SARS-CoV-2 offer advantages over nucleic acid amplification tests (NAATs, such as RT-PCR), including lower cost and rapid return of results, but show reduced sensitivity. Public health organizations recommend different strategies for utilizing NAATs and antigen tests. We sought to create a framework for the quantitative comparison of these recommended strategies based on their expected performance. METHODS: We utilized a decision analysis approach to simulate the expected outcomes of six testing algorithms analogous to strategies recommended by public health organizations. Each algorithm was simulated 50,000 times in a population of 100,000 persons seeking testing. Primary outcomes were number of missed cases, number of false-positive diagnoses, and total test volumes. Outcome medians and 95% uncertainty ranges (URs) were reported. RESULTS: Algorithms that use NAATs to confirm all negative antigen results minimized missed cases but required high NAAT capacity: 92,200 (95% UR: 91,200-93,200) tests (in addition to 100,000 antigen tests) at 10% prevalence. Selective use of NAATs to confirm antigen results when discordant with symptom status (e.g., symptomatic persons with negative antigen results) resulted in the most efficient use of NAATs, with 25 NAATs (95% UR: 13-57) needed to detect one additional case compared to exclusive use of antigen tests. CONCLUSIONS: No single SARS-CoV-2 testing algorithm is likely to be optimal across settings with different levels of prevalence and for all programmatic priorities. This analysis provides a framework for selecting setting-specific strategies to achieve acceptable balances and trade-offs between programmatic priorities and resource constraints.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Algorithms , COVID-19 Testing , Decision Support Techniques , Humans , Nucleic Acid Amplification Techniques , Sensitivity and Specificity
20.
Liver Transpl ; 28(1): 27-38, 2022 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34133847

ABSTRACT

Early liver transplantation (LT) for severe alcoholic hepatitis (AH) is a rescue therapy for highly selected patients with favorable psychosocial profiles not responding to medical therapy. Given the expected increase of AH candidate referrals requiring complex care and comprehensive evaluations, increased workload and cost might be expected from implementing an early LT program for AH but have not been determined. Some centers may also view AH as a strategy to expeditiously increase LT volume and economic viability. The aim of this study was to determine the health care use and costs of an early LT program for AH. Analyses of prospective databases of AH, interhospital transfers, and the hospital accounting system at a single center were performed from July 2011 to July 2016. For 5 years, 193 patients with severe AH were evaluated at our center: 143 newly referred transfers and 50 direct admissions. Annual increases of 13% led to 2 to 3 AH transfers/month and AH becoming the top reason for transfer. There were 169 (88%) nonresponders who underwent psychosocial evaluations; 15 (9%) underwent early LT. The median cost of early LT was $297,422, which was highly correlated with length of stay (r = 0.83; P < 0.001). Total net revenue of the program from LT admission to 90 days after LT was -$630,305 (-5.0% revenue), which was inversely correlated with MELD score (r = -0.70; P = 0.004) and yielded lower revenue than a contemporaneous LT program for acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF; $118,168; 1.4% revenue; P = 0.001). The health care use and costs of an early LT program for AH are extensive and lifesaving with marginally negative net revenue. Significantly increasing care of severe AH patients over 5 years resulted in increased LT volume, but at a lower rate than ACLF, and without improving economic outcomes due to high MELD and prolonged length of stay.


Subject(s)
Hepatitis, Alcoholic , Liver Transplantation , Databases, Factual , Delivery of Health Care , Hepatitis, Alcoholic/diagnosis , Hepatitis, Alcoholic/surgery , Humans , Liver Transplantation/adverse effects , Patient Acceptance of Health Care
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