Plasma Proteomics to Identify Drug Targets and Potential Drugs for Retinal Artery Occlusion: An Integrated Analysis in the UK Biobank.

Retinal artery occlusion (RAO), which is positively correlated with acute ischemic stroke (IS) and results in severe visual impairment, lacks effective intervention drugs. This study aims to perform integrated analysis using UK Biobank plasma proteome data of RAO and IS to identify potential targets and preventive drugs. A total of 7191 participants (22 RAO patients, 1457 IS patients, 8 individuals with both RAO and IS, and 5704 healthy age-gender-matched controls) were included in this study. Unique 1461 protein expression profiles of RAO, IS, and the combined data set, extracted from UK Biobank Plasma proteomics projects, were analyzed using both differential expression analysis and elastic network regression (Enet) methods to identify shared key proteins. Subsequent analyses, including single cell type expression assessment, pathway enrichment, and druggability analysis, were conducted for verifying shared key proteins and discovery of new drugs. Five proteins were found to be shared among the samples, with all of them showing upregulation. Notably, adhesion G-protein coupled receptor G1 (ADGRG1) exhibited high expression in glial cells of the brain and eye tissues. Gene set enrichment analysis revealed pathways associated with lipid metabolism and vascular regulation and inflammation. Druggability analysis unveiled 15 drug candidates targeting ADGRG1, which demonstrated protective effects against RAO, especially troglitazone (-8.5 kcal/mol). Our study identified novel risk proteins and therapeutic drugs associated with the rare disease RAO, providing valuable insights into potential intervention strategies.

Assessment of the Respiratory Disease Mortality Risk from Single and Composite Exposures to PM2.5 and Ozone - Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, China, 2018-2021.

What is already known about this topic?: Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and ozone (O3) are prevalent pollutants in the atmosphere, which threaten human health, especially the respiratory system. Typically, people are exposed to a mixture of various pollutants in the environment. Thus, the single and combined effects of both pollutants need to be investigated. What is added by this report?: PM2.5 and O3 increase the risk of death from lung cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and respiratory diseases, with their lagged and cumulative effects analyzed, indicating an acute effect. In addition, combined exposure to both pollutants can significantly affect disease deaths. What are the implications for public health practice?: This study provides further evidence of the single and combined effects of PM2.5 and O3 on respiratory diseases, emphasizing the need for sustained efforts in air pollution control, with greater attention to the synergistic management of air pollutants.

Metabolic profiling reveals circulating biomarkers associated with incident and prevalent Parkinson's disease.

The metabolic profile predating the onset of Parkinson's disease (PD) remains unclear. We aim to investigate the metabolites associated with incident and prevalent PD and their predictive values in the UK Biobank participants with metabolomics and genetic data at the baseline. A panel of 249 metabolites was quantified using a nuclear magnetic resonance analytical platform. PD was ascertained by self-reported history, hospital admission records and death registers. Cox proportional hazard models and logistic regression models were used to investigate the associations between metabolites and incident and prevalent PD, respectively. Area under receiver operating characteristics curves (AUC) were used to estimate the predictive values of models for future PD. Among 109,790 participants without PD at the baseline, 639 (0.58%) individuals developed PD after one year from the baseline during a median follow-up period of 12.2 years. Sixty-eight metabolites were associated with incident PD at nominal significance (P < 0.05), spanning lipids, lipid constituent of lipoprotein subclasses and ratios of lipid constituents. After multiple testing corrections (P < 9 × 10-4), polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA) and omega-6 fatty acids remained significantly associated with incident PD, and PUFA was shared by incident and prevalent PD. Additionally, 14 metabolites were exclusively associated with prevalent PD, including amino acids, fatty acids, several lipoprotein subclasses and ratios of lipids. Adding these metabolites to the conventional risk factors yielded a comparable predictive performance to the risk-factor-based model (AUC = 0.766 vs AUC = 0.768, P = 0.145). Our findings suggested metabolic profiles provided additional knowledge to understand different pathways related to PD before and after its onset.

Accelerometer-Measured Daily Behaviors That Mediate the Association Between Refractive Status and Depressive Disorders.

Purpose: To identify the accelerometer-measured daily behaviors that mediate the association of refractive status with depressive disorders and enhance the understanding of behavioral differences in depression. Methods: Participants with baseline mean spherical equivalent (MSE) and 7-day accelerometer measurements from the UK Biobank were included in this cohort study. Refractive status was categorized as hyperopia and non-hyperopia. Four daily behaviors, including moderate to vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA), light physical activity (LPA), sedentary, and sleep were recorded between 2013 and 2015. We also assessed 24-hour behavior patterns. Depression cases were defined through both questionnaires and hospital records over 10 years of follow-up. Results: Among 20,607 individuals, every 0.5-diopter increase in MSE was associated with a 6% higher risk of depressive disorders, with hyperopia participants at a higher risk than non-hyperopia participants (odds ratio, 1.14; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-1.23; P = 0.001). MVPA and sleep time significantly correlated with depressive disorders, with odds ratios of 0.79 and 1.14 (P < 0.05). MSE showed significant correlations with all four behaviors. The effects of MVPA and sleep duration on MSE and depressive disorders varied throughout the day. Mediation analyses showed that MVPA and sleep partially mediated the relationship between MSE and depressive disorders, with 35.2% of the association between moderate to high hyperopia and depression mediated by MVPA. Conclusions: Physical activity and sleep significantly mediate the relationship between MSE and depressive disorders. Translational Relevance: The mediation effect of MVPA highlights its therapeutic potential in reducing the risk of depression among individuals with moderate to severe hyperopia. Interventions aimed at increasing daytime MVPA and decreasing daytime sleep could enhance mental health in this vulnerable group.

Association of retinal age gap with chronic kidney disease and subsequent cardiovascular disease sequelae: a cross-sectional and longitudinal study from the UK Biobank.

Background: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) increases the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and is more prevalent in older adults. Retinal age gap, a biomarker of aging based on fundus images, has been previously developed and validated. This study aimed to investigate the association of retinal age gap with CKD and subsequent CVD complications. Methods: A deep learning model was trained to predict the retinal age using 19 200 fundus images of 11 052 participants without any medical history at baseline. Retinal age gap, calculated as retinal age predicted minus chronological age, was calculated for the remaining 35 906 participants. Logistic regression models and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used for the association analysis. Results: A total of 35 906 participants (56.75 ± 8.04 years, 55.68% female) were included in this study. In the cross-sectional analysis, each 1-year increase in retinal age gap was associated with a 2% increase in the risk of CKD prevalence [odds ratio 1.02, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.04, P = .012]. A longitudinal analysis of 35 039 participants demonstrated that 2.87% of them developed CKD in follow-up, and each 1-year increase in retinal age gap was associated with a 3% increase in the risk of CKD incidence (hazard ratio 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.05, P = .004). In addition, a total of 111 CKD patients (15.81%) developed CVD in follow-up, and each 1-year increase in retinal age gap was associated with a 10% increase in the risk of incident CVD (hazard ratio 1.10, 95% CI 1.03-1.17, P = .005). Conclusions: We found that retinal age gap was independently associated with the prevalence and incidence of CKD, and also associated with CVD complications in CKD patients. This supports the use of this novel biomarker in identifying individuals at high risk of CKD and CKD patients with increased risk of CVD.

Sex-specific social, lifestyle, and physical health risk factors in cataracts development.

BACKGROUND: Cataract is a leading cause of blindness worldwide. However, little is known about sex differences in cataracts. Our study aimed to explore potential sex differences in the relationships between key social, lifestyle, and physical health risk factors and the incidence of cataracts. METHODS: A total of 117,972 participants from the UK Biobank were included in this prospective cohort study. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and female-to-male ratios of HRs (RHRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for cataract risk factors. Poisson regression was used to assess the incidence of cataracts (per 10,000 person-years). RESULTS: A total of 117,972 individuals without preexisting eye diseases were enroled in the analysis. 4172 subjects (54.8% female) were diagnosed with cataracts during follow-up. The crude incidence rates per 10,000 person-years were 35.06 for females and 29.15 for males. The incidence of cataracts increased in both males and females with factors such as Asian or Black ethnicity, smoking status, obesity, diabetes, and myopia. However, males who consumed alcohol or were unemployed suffered a greater risk of cataracts compared to their female counterparts, while high socioeconomic status, elevated blood pressure and metabolic syndrome were associated with a greater risk of cataracts in females than in males. CONCLUSION: This study provides a comprehensive overview of sex differences in the associations between cataracts and various risk factors. Our findings highlight that socioeconomic and lifestyle risk factors are more strongly linked to cataract risk in males, whereas females with systemic diseases face a greater risk of developing cataract.

Association of greenspace and natural environment with brain volumes mediated by lifestyle and biomarkers among urban residents.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the associaiton between environmental measures and brain volumes and its potential mediators. STUDY DESIGN: This was a prospective study. METHODS: Our analysis included 34,454 participants (53.4% females) aged 40-73 years at baseline (between 2006 and 2010) from the UK Biobank. Brain volumes were measured using magnetic resonance imaging between 2014 and 2019. RESULTS: Greater proximity to greenspace buffered at 1000 m at baseline was associated with larger volumes of total brain measured 8.8 years after baseline assessment (standardized ß (95% CI) for each 10% increment in coverage: 0.013(0.005,0.020)), grey matter (0.013(0.006,0.020)), and white matter (0.011(0.004,0.017)) after adjustment for covariates and air pollution. The corresponding numbers for natural environment buffered at 1000 m were 0.010 (0.004,0.017), 0.009 (0.004,0.015), and 0.010 (0.004,0.016), respectively. Similar results were observed for greenspace and natural environment buffered at 300 m. The strongest mediator for the association between greenspace buffered at 1000 m and total brain volume was smoking (percentage (95% CI) of total variance explained: 7.9% (5.5-11.4%)) followed by mean sphered cell volume (3.3% (1.8-5.8%)), vitamin D (2.9% (1.6-5.1%)), and creatinine in blood (2.7% (1.6-4.7%)). Significant mediators combined explained 18.5% (13.2-25.3%) of the association with total brain volume and 32.9% (95% CI: 22.3-45.7%) of the association with grey matter volume. The percentage (95% CI) of the association between natural environment and total brain volume explained by significant mediators combined was 20.6% (14.7-28.1%)). CONCLUSIONS: Higher coverage percentage of greenspace and environment may benefit brain health by promoting healthy lifestyle and improving biomarkers including vitamin D and red blood cell indices.

Efficacy and safety of intravitreal injection of conbercept for moderate to severe nonproliferative diabetic retinopathy.

Purpose: This study aimed to assess the effectiveness and safety of intravitreal injection of conbercept (IVC) in treating moderate to severe nonproliferative diabetic retinopathy (NPDR), with or without accompanying diabetic macular edema. Methods: In this longitudinal retrospective study, 35 patients (50 eyes) with moderate to severe NPDR and Diabetic Retinopathy Severity Scale (DRSS) scores between 43 and 53 were treated at the Department of Ophthalmology, First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, from October 2018 to January 2023. Treatment protocol included three monthly IVC injections followed by a pro re nata (PRN) regimen over a two-year follow-up period. Outcome measures were best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA), intraocular pressure, central macular thickness (CMT), extent of hard exudate (HE), and changes in DRSS scores. DRSS scores before and after treatment were analyzed using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test. Both systemic and ocular adverse events were meticulously documented to ascertain safety. Results: From baseline to the final follow-up, the mean BCVA improved from 0.41 ± 0.39 to 0.23 ± 0.20 logMAR (p<0.05). The mean CMT decreased from 306.22 ± 77.40 to 297.97 ± 88.15 µm (p = 0.385). At 24 months, DRSS scores improved by ≥1 stage in 40 eyes (80%), ≥ 2 stages in 28 eyes (56%), ≥3 stages in 10 eyes (20%), and remained stable in 6 eyes (12%). The DRSS scores at each follow-up interval demonstrated statistically significant improvement from baseline (p<0.05). In 15 of 27 eyes (55.56%) with diabetic macular edema (DME), there was a significant reduction in the mean area of HE from baseline (p<0.05). No serious systemic adverse events were observed. Conclusion: IVC is an effective and safe treatment for moderate to severe NPDR, demonstrating significant improvements in DRSS scores.

Development and validation of a simple and practical model for early detection of diabetic macular edema in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus using easily accessible systemic variables.

OBJECTIVE: Diabetic macular edema (DME) is the leading cause of visual impairment in patients with diabetes mellitus (DM). The goal of early detection has not yet achieved due to a lack of fast and convenient methods. Therefore, we aim to develop and validate a prediction model to identify DME in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) using easily accessible systemic variables, which can be applied to an ophthalmologist-independent scenario. METHODS: In this four-center, observational study, a total of 1994 T2DM patients who underwent routine diabetic retinopathy screening were enrolled, and their information on ophthalmic and systemic conditions was collected. Forward stepwise multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify risk factors of DME. Machine learning and MLR (multivariable logistic regression) were both used to establish prediction models. The prediction models were trained with 1300 patients and prospectively validated with 104 patients from Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital (GDPH). A total of 175 patients from Zhujiang Hospital (ZJH), 115 patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University (FAHKMU), and 100 patients from People's Hospital of JiangMen (PHJM) were used as external validation sets. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy (ACC), sensitivity, and specificity were used to evaluate the performance in DME prediction. RESULTS: The risk of DME was significantly associated with duration of DM, diastolic blood pressure, hematocrit, glycosylated hemoglobin, and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio stage. The MLR model using these five risk factors was selected as the final prediction model due to its better performance than the machine learning models using all variables. The AUC, ACC, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.80, 0.69, 0.80, and 0.67 in the internal validation, and 0.82, 0.54, 1.00, and 0.48 in prospective validation, respectively. In external validation, the AUC, ACC, sensitivity and specificity were 0.84, 0.68, 0.90 and 0.60 in ZJH, 0.89, 0.77, 1.00 and 0.72 in FAHKMU, and 0.80, 0.67, 0.75, and 0.65 in PHJM, respectively. CONCLUSION: The MLR model is a simple, rapid, and reliable tool for early detection of DME in individuals with T2DM without the needs of specialized ophthalmologic examinations.

The association between cataract surgery and mental health in older adults: a review.

BACKGROUND: Although cataract surgery has been proposed as a potentially modifiable protective factor for enhancing emotional well-being in cataract patients, studies examining the relationship between anxiety or depression and cataract surgery have yielded inconsistent findings. This review summarizes existing evidence to establish whether cataract surgery is associated with depression and anxiety in older adults. METHODS: A literature search was conducted across PubMed, Medline, Web of Science, and Embase databases. An initial screening by abstracts and titles was performed, followed by a review and assessment of the methodological quality of the relevant full papers, and final inclusion of 44 studies were deemed eligible for inclusion in this review. RESULTS: Among 44 included studies, 36 studies (81.8%) were observational studies concerning the association of cataract surgery or cataracts with anxiety or depression, four studies (9.1%) were interventional studies, and four studies (9.1%) were reviews. Cataract surgery notably enhances the mental health of individuals with impaired vision. However, the multifaceted nature of psychological well-being, influenced by various factors, suggests that cataract surgery may not address all aspects comprehensively. Additionally, preoperative anxiety and depression significantly impact cataract surgery outcomes. CONCLUSION: Vision impairment in older adults is closely associated with increased symptoms of depression and anxiety. While surgical intervention for cataracts improves these symptoms, it might be less effective for mental disorders with multifactorial causes. Notably, anxiety or depression poses challenges to successful preoperative and intraoperative cataract surgeries.

Epidemiologic association and shared genetic architecture between cataract and hearing difficulties among middle-aged and older adults.

Age-related cataract and hearing difficulties are major sensory disorders that often co-exist in the global-wide elderly and have a tangible influence on the quality of life. However, the epidemiologic association between cataract and hearing difficulties remains unexplored, while little is known about whether the two share their genetic etiology. We first investigated the clinical association between cataract and hearing difficulties using the UK Biobank covering 502,543 individuals. Both unmatched analysis (adjusted for confounders) and a matched analysis (one control matched for each patient with cataract according to confounding factors) were undertaken and confirmed that cataract was associated with hearing difficulties (OR, 2.12; 95% CI, 1.98-2.27; OR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.86-2.23, respectively). Furthermore, we explored and quantified the shared genetic architecture of these two complex sensory disorders at the common variant level using the bivariate causal mixture model (MiXeR) and conditional/conjunctional false discovery rate method based on the largest available genome-wide association studies of cataract (N = 585,243) and hearing difficulties (N = 323,978). Despite detecting only a negligible genetic correlation, we observe polygenic overlap between cataract and hearing difficulties and identify 6 shared loci with mixed directions of effects. Follow-up analysis of the shared loci implicates candidate genes QKI, STK17A, TYR, NSF, and TCF4 likely contribute to the pathophysiology of cataracts and hearing difficulties. In conclusion, this study demonstrates the presence of epidemiologic association between cataract and hearing difficulties and provides new insights into the shared genetic architecture of these two disorders at the common variant level.

Associations between corneal curvature and other anterior segment biometrics in young myopic adults.

To investigate the associations between corneal curvature (CC) and other anterior segment biometrics in young myopic adults. In this retrospective multi-center study, 7893 young myopic adults were included. CC and other anterior segment biometrics were measured by Scheimpflug imaging (Pentacam). CC was defined as SimK at central 3 mm area, and other anterior segment biometrics included white-to-white corneal diameter (WTW), central corneal thickness (CCT), corneal volume (CV) at 3 mm, 5 mm, and 7 mm area, anterior corneal astigmatism (ACA), posterior corneal astigmatism (PCA), anterior corneal eccentricity (ACE) and asphericity (ACAP), posterior corneal eccentricity (PCE) and asphericity (PCAP), anterior chamber depth (ACD), and anterior chamber volume (ACV). Univariate regression analyses were used to assess the associations between CC and other anterior segment biometrics, and multivariate regression analyses were further performed to adjusted for age, gender and spherical equivalent. CC was higher in patients of female gender and higher myopia (all P < 0.05). Eyes in higher CC quartiles had lower WTW, thinner CCT, lower CV at 3 mm and 5 mm, lower ACD, and lower ACV (all P < 0.001), but had larger ACA, larger PCA, less PCE and less PCAP (all P < 0.001), compared to eyes in lower CC quartiles. The trends of CV at 7 mm, ACE and ACAP were inconsistent in different CC quartiles. After adjusting for age, gender and spherical equivalent with multivariate linear regression, CC was positively correlated to CV at 7 mm (ßs = 0.069), ACA (ßs = 0.194), PCA (ßs = 0.187), ACE (ßs = 0.072), PCAP (ßs = 0.087), and ACD (ßs = 0.027) (all P < 0.05), but was negatively correlated to WTW (ßs = - 0.432), CCT (ßs = - 0.087), CV-3 mm (ßs = - 0.066), ACAP (ßs = - 0.043), PCE (ßs = - 0.062), and ACV (ßs = - 0.188) (all P < 0.05). CC was associated with most of the other anterior segment biometrics in young myopic adults. These associations are important for better understanding of the interactions between different anterior segment structures in young myopic patients, and are also useful for the exploration of the pathogenesis of myopia.

Effect of mydriasis on macular and peripapillary metrics in swept-source optical coherence tomography angiography.

Introduction: The study aimed to evaluate the effect of mydriasis on macular and peripapillary metrics with swept-source optical coherence tomography angiography (SS-OCTA) in healthy subjects. Methods: Thirty-five healthy subjects were included. The macular region was scanned by the 3×3mm mode and 6×6mm mode, and the peripapillary region was scanned by the 4.5×4.5mm mode on both eyes with SS-OCTA before and after mydriasis. Macular and peripapillary metrics, including retinal vessel density (VD) and fundus thickness were measured by the built-in program. Data of the right eye were analyzed. Results: The signal strength of the scans was comparable before and after mydriasis (all P>0.05). There were no significant differences in foveal avascular zone (FAZ) parameters and retinal VD of most sectors in both macular and peripapillary areas (all P>0.05). Choroidal thickness was decreased, outer and whole retinal thickness was increased in most of the macular sectors after mydriasis (all P<0.05). Choroidal thickness was decreased in all the peripapillary sectors, but whole retinal thickness and GCC thickness were increased in some peripapillary sectors after mydriasis (all P<0.05). Conclusions: FAZ parameters and retinal VD in the most macular and peripapillary regions are not affected by mydriasis. The thickness of the choroid is decreased after mydriasis, while the thickness of retinal layers in some sectors may be increased after mydriasis.

Evaluation of the Observational Associations and Shared Genetics Between Glaucoma With Depression and Anxiety.

Purpose: Glaucoma, a leading cause of blindness worldwide, is suspected to exhibit a notable association with psychological disturbances. This study aimed to investigate epidemiological associations and explore shared genetic architecture between glaucoma and mental traits, including depression and anxiety. Methods: Multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards regression models were employed to investigate longitudinal associations based on UK Biobank. A stepwise approach was used to explore the shared genetic architecture. First, linkage disequilibrium score regression inferred global genetic correlations. Second, MiXeR analysis quantified the number of shared causal variants. Third, specific shared loci were detected through conditional/conjunctional false discovery rate (condFDR/conjFDR) analysis and characterized for biological insights. Finally, two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) was conducted to investigate bidirectional causal associations. Results: Glaucoma was significantly associated with elevated risks of hospitalized depression (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.54; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-2.34) and anxiety (HR = 2.61; 95% CI, 1.70-4.01) compared to healthy controls. Despite the absence of global genetic correlations, MiXeR analysis revealed 300 variants shared between glaucoma and depression, and 500 variants shared between glaucoma and anxiety. Subsequent condFDR/conjFDR analysis discovered 906 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) jointly associated with glaucoma and depression and two associated with glaucoma and anxiety. The MR analysis did not support robust causal associations but indicated the existence of pleiotropic genetic variants influencing both glaucoma and depression. Conclusions: Our study enhances the existing epidemiological evidence and underscores the polygenic overlap between glaucoma and mental traits. This observation suggests a correlation shaped by pleiotropic genetic variants rather than being indicative of direct causal relationships.

The relationship between major depressive disorder and dementia: A bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: Major depressive disorder (MDD) and dementia psychiatric and neurological diseases that are clinically widespread, but whether there is a causal link between them is still unclear. In this study, bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) was used to investigate the potential causal relationship between MDD and dementia via a genome-wide association study (GWAS) database, containing samples from the European population. METHOD: We collected data on MDD and common clinical dementia subtypes from GWAS, including Alzheimer's disease (AD), frontotemporal dementia (FTD), dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB), Parkinson's disease with dementia (PDD), and vascular dementia (VaD). A series of bidirectional two-sample MR studies and correlation sensitivity analysis were carried out. RESULTS: In the study of the effect of MDD on dementia subtypes, no causal relationship was found between MDD and dementia subtypes other than VaD, inverse variance weighted (IVW) method: odds ratio (OR), 2.131; 95 % confidence interval (CI), 1.249-3.639, P = 0.006; MDD-AD: OR, 1.000; 95 % CI, 0.999-1.001, P = 0.537; MDD-FTD: OR, 1.476; 95 % CI, 0.471-4.627, P = 0.505; MDD-PDD: OR, 0.592; 95 % CI, 0.204-1.718, P = 0.335; MR-Egger method: MDD-DLB: OR, 0.582; 95 % CI, 0.021-15.962, P = 0.751. In reverse MR analyses, no dementia subtype was found to be a risk factor for MDD. LIMITATIONS: The results of this study may not be generalizable to non-European populations. CONCLUSION: MDD was identified as a potential risk factor for VaD, but no dementia subtype was found to be a risk factor for MDD. These results suggest a new avenue for the prevention of VaD.

Multilayer factors associated with excess all-cause mortality during the omicron and non-omicron waves of the COVID-19 pandemic: time series analysis in 29 countries.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in significant excess mortality globally. However, the differences in excess mortality between the Omicron and non-Omicron waves, as well as the contribution of local epidemiological characteristics, population immunity, and social factors to excess mortality, remain poorly understood. This study aims to solve the above problems. METHODS: Weekly all-cause death data and covariates from 29 countries for the period 2015-2022 were collected and used. The Bayesian Structured Time Series Model predicted expected weekly deaths, stratified by gender and age groups for the period 2020-2022. The quantile-based g-computation approach accounted for the effects of factors on the excess all-cause mortality rate. Sensitivity analyses were conducted using alternative Omicron proportion thresholds. RESULTS: From the first week of 2021 to the 30th week of 2022, the estimated cumulative number of excess deaths due to COVID-19 globally was nearly 1.39 million. The estimated weekly excess all-cause mortality rate in the 29 countries was approximately 2.17 per 100,000 (95% CI: 1.47 to 2.86). Weekly all-cause excess mortality rates were significantly higher in both male and female groups and all age groups during the non-Omicron wave, except for those younger than 15 years (P < 0.001). Sensitivity analysis confirmed the stability of the results. Positive associations with all-cause excess mortality were found for the constituent ratio of non-Omicron in all variants, new cases per million, positive rate, cardiovascular death rate, people fully vaccinated per hundred, extreme poverty, hospital patients per million humans, people vaccinated per hundred, and stringency index. Conversely, other factors demonstrated negative associations with all-cause excess mortality from the first week of 2021 to the 30th week of 2022. CONCLUSION: Our findings indicate that the COVID-19 Omicron wave was associated with lower excess mortality compared to the non-Omicron wave. This study's analysis of the factors influencing excess deaths suggests that effective strategies to mitigate all-cause mortality include improving economic conditions, promoting widespread vaccination, and enhancing overall population health. Implementing these measures could significantly reduce the burden of COVID-19, facilitate coexistence with the virus, and potentially contribute to its elimination.

Leading determinants of incident dementia among individuals with and without the apolipoprotein E ε4 genotype: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Little is known regarding the leading risk factors for dementia/Alzheimer's disease (AD) in individuals with and without APOE4. The identification of key risk factors for dementia/Alzheimer's disease (AD) in individuals with and without the APOE4 gene is of significant importance in global health. METHODS: Our analysis included 110,354 APOE4 carriers and 220,708 age- and sex-matched controls aged 40-73 years at baseline (between 2006-2010) from UK Biobank. Incident dementia was ascertained using hospital inpatient, or death records until January 2021. Individuals of non-European ancestry were excluded. Furthermore, individuals without medical record linkage were excluded from the analysis. Moderation analysis was tested for 134 individual factors. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 11.9 years, 4,764 cases of incident all-cause dementia and 2065 incident AD cases were documented. Hazard ratios (95% CIs) for all-cause dementia and AD associated with APOE4 were 2.70(2.55-2.85) and 3.72(3.40-4.07), respectively. In APOE4 carriers, the leading risk factors for all-cause dementia included low self-rated overall health, low household income, high multimorbidity risk score, long-term illness, high neutrophil percentage, and high nitrogen dioxide air pollution. In non-APOE4 carriers, the leading risk factors included high multimorbidity risk score, low overall self-rated health, low household income, long-term illness, high microalbumin in urine, high neutrophil count, and low greenspace percentage. Population attributable risk for these individual risk factors combined was 65.1%, and 85.8% in APOE4 and non-APOE4 carriers, respectively. For 20 risk factors including multimorbidity risk score, unhealthy lifestyle habits, and particulate matter air pollutants, their associations with incident dementia were stronger in non-APOE4 carriers. For only 2 risk factors (mother's history of dementia, low C-reactive protein), their associations with incident all-cause dementia were stronger in APOE4 carriers. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings provide evidence for personalized preventative approaches to dementia/AD in APOE4 and non-APOE4 carriers. A mother's history of dementia and low levels of C-reactive protein were more important risk factors of dementia in APOE4 carriers whereas leading risk factors including unhealthy lifestyle habits, multimorbidity risk score, inflammation and immune-related markers were more predictive of dementia in non-APOE4 carriers.

Ocular biometrics in eyes with different white-to-white corneal diameter in young myopic adults.

The interactions between white-to-white corneal diameter (WTW) and other ocular biometrics are important for planning of refractive surgery and understanding of ocular structural changes in myopia, but such interactions are rarely investigated in young myopic adults. This is a retrospective study involving 7893 young myopic adults from five centers. WTW and other ocular biometrics were measured by Pentacam. The ocular biometrics included anterior corneal curvature (AK) and posterior corneal curvature (PK), central corneal thickness (CCT) and corneal volume (CV), anterior and corneal eccentricity and asphericity, anterior corneal astigmatism (ACA) and posterior corneal astigmatism, anterior chamber depth (ACD), and anterior chamber volume (ACV). The ocular biometrics were compared among eyes of different WTW quartiles. Multivariate linear regression was used to assess the linear associations between WTW and other ocular biometrics adjusting for age, gender and spherical equivalent. In eyes of different WTW quartiles, other ocular biometrics were also significantly different (all P < 0.05). After adjusting for age, gender and spherical equivalent, WTW was positively correlated to AK (ß = 0.26 to 0.29), ACA (ß = 0.13), anterior corneal asphericity (ß = 0.05), PK (ß = 0.33 to 0.34), posterior corneal asphericity (ß = 0.13), ACD (ß = 0.29), and ACV (ß = 40.69), and was negatively correlated to CCT (ß = - 6.83), CV (ß = - 0.06 to - 0.78), anterior corneal eccentricity (ß = - 0.035), and posterior corneal eccentricity (ß = - 0.14) (all P < 0.001). In conclusion, we found that in young myopic adults, larger WTW was associated with thinner corneal thickness, flatter corneal curvature, more anterior corneal toricity, less corneal eccentricity and asphericity, and broader anterior chamber. Our findings may fill in the gap of literature, and help us better understand how the anterior segment structures interact with the WTW in myopia.

Difference of central foveal thickness measurement in patients with macular edema using optical coherence tomography in different display modes.

Purpose: To assess the differences in the measurement of central foveal thickness (CFT) in patients with macular edema (ME) between two display modes (1:1 pixel and 1:1 micron) on optical coherence tomography (OCT). Design: This is a retrospective, cross-sectional study. Methods: Group A consisted of participants with well-horizontal OCT B-scan images and group B consisted of participants with tilted OCT B-scan. We manually measured the CFT under the two display modes, and the values were compared statistically using the paired t-test. Spearman's test was used to assess the correlations between the OCT image tilting angle (OCT ITA) and the differences in CFT measurement. The area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to define the OCT ITA cutoff for a defined CFT difference. Results: In group A, the mean CFT in the 1:1 pixel display mode was 420.21 ± 130.61 µm, similar to the mean CFT of 415.27 ± 129.85 µm in the 1:1 micron display mode. In group B, the median CFT in the 1:1 pixel display mode is 409.00 µm (IQR: 171.75 µm) and 368.00 µm (IQR: 149.00 µm) in the 1:1 micron display mode. There were significant differences between the two display modes with the median (IQR) absolute difference and median (IQR) relative difference of 38.00 µm (75.00 µm) and 10.19% (21.91%) (all p = 0.01). The differences in CFT measurement between the two display modes were correlated with the OCT ITA (absolute differences, r = 0.88, p < 0.01; relative differences, r = 0.87, p < 0.01). The AUC for a predefined CFT difference was 0.878 (10 µm), 0.933 (20 µm), 0.938 (30 µm), 0.961 (40 µm), 0.962 (50 µm), and 0.970 (60 µm). Conclusion: In patients with DM, when the OCT B-scan images were well-horizontal, manual CFT measurements under the two display modes were similar, but when the B-scan images were tilted, the CFT measurements were different under the two display modes, and the differences were correlated to the OCT ITA.

Metabolomic age and risk of 50 chronic diseases in community-dwelling adults: A prospective cohort study.

It is unclear how metabolomic age is associated with the risk of a wide range of chronic diseases. Our analysis included 110,692 participants (training: n = 27,673; testing: n = 27,673; validating: n = 55,346) aged 39-71 years at baseline (2006-2010) from the UK Biobank. Incident chronic diseases were identified using inpatient records, or death registers until January 2021. Predicted metabolomic age was trained and tested based on 168 metabolomics. Metabolomic age was linked to the risk of 50 diseases in the validation dataset. The median follow-up duration for individual diseases ranged from 11.2 years to 11.9 years. After controlling for false discovery rate, chronological age-adjusted age gap (CAAG) was significantly associated with the incidence of 25 out of 50 chronic diseases. After adjustment for full covariates, associations with 15 chronic diseases remained significant. Greater CAAG was associated with increased risk of eight cardiometabolic disorders (including cardiovascular diseases and diabetes), some cancers, alcohol use disorder, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic kidney disease, chronic liver disease and age-related macular degeneration. The association between CAAG and risk of peripheral vascular disease, other cardiac diseases, fracture, cataract and thyroid disorder was stronger among individuals with unhealthy diet than in those with healthy diet. The association between CAAG and risk of some conditions was stronger in younger individuals, those with metabolic disorders or low education. Metabolomic age plays an important role in the development of multiple chronic diseases. Healthy diet and high education may mitigate the risk for some chronic diseases due to metabolomic age acceleration.