By-degree Health and Economic Impacts of Lyme Disease, Eastern and Midwestern United States.

Lyme disease (LD) is the most common vector-borne disease in the United States (U.S.). This paper assesses how climate change may influence LD incidence in the eastern and upper Midwestern U.S. and the associated economic burden. We estimated future Ixodes scapularis habitat suitability and LD incidence with a by-degree approach using variables from an ensemble of multiple climate models. We then applied estimates for present-day and projected habitat suitability for I. scapularis, present-day presence of Borrelia burgdorferi, and projected climatological variables to model reported LD incidence at the county level among adults, children, and the total population. Finally, we applied an estimate of healthcare expenses to project economic impacts. We show an overall increase in LD cases with regional variation. We estimate an increase in incidence in New England and the upper Midwestern U.S. and a concurrent decrease in incidence in Virginia and North Carolina. At 3°C of national warming from the 1986-2015 baseline climate, we project approximately 55,000 LD cases, a 38-percent increase from present-day estimates. At 6°C of warming, our most extreme scenario, we project approximately 92,000 LD cases in the region, an increase of 145 percent relative to current levels. Annual LD-related healthcare expenses at 3°C of warming are estimated to be $236 million (2021 dollars), approximately 38 percent greater than present-day. These results may inform decision-makers tasked with addressing climate risks, the public, and healthcare professionals preparing for treatment and prevention of LD.

Safeguarding marine life: conservation of biodiversity and ecosystems.

Marine ecosystems and their associated biodiversity sustain life on Earth and hold intrinsic value. Critical marine ecosystem services include maintenance of global oxygen and carbon cycles, production of food and energy, and sustenance of human wellbeing. However marine ecosystems are swiftly being degraded due to the unsustainable use of marine environments and a rapidly changing climate. The fundamental challenge for the future is therefore to safeguard marine ecosystem biodiversity, function, and adaptive capacity whilst continuing to provide vital resources for the global population. Here, we use foresighting/hindcasting to consider two plausible futures towards 2030: a business-as-usual trajectory (i.e. continuation of current trends), and a more sustainable but technically achievable future in line with the UN Sustainable Development Goals. We identify key drivers that differentiate these alternative futures and use these to develop an action pathway towards the desirable, more sustainable future. Key to achieving the more sustainable future will be establishing integrative (i.e. across jurisdictions and sectors), adaptive management that supports equitable and sustainable stewardship of marine environments. Conserving marine ecosystems will require recalibrating our social, financial, and industrial relationships with the marine environment. While a sustainable future requires long-term planning and commitment beyond 2030, immediate action is needed to avoid tipping points and avert trajectories of ecosystem decline. By acting now to optimise management and protection of marine ecosystems, building upon existing technologies, and conserving the remaining biodiversity, we can create the best opportunity for a sustainable future in 2030 and beyond.

Histological analysis of clipped human intracranial aneurysms and parent arteries with short-term follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Surgical clipping of intracranial aneurysms is the gold standard for the prevention of rupture. However, the biological processes that occur following clipping are poorly understood. To better understand these effects, retrieved and clipped human intracranial aneurysms were examined histologically. METHODS: At autopsy, 17 aneurysms from 10 patients were retrieved 3-21 days after clipping. The tissues were embedded in paraffin, and microtome sections were stained using hematoxylin-eosin and Movat pentachrome. Using light microscopy, clip placement relative to the internal elastic lamina of the parent artery, endothelialization of the aneurysm neck, thrombus organization inside the aneurysm sac, inflammation in the sac, wall, and parent artery, and atherosclerotic changes were determined. RESULTS: Despite complete reconstruction of the artery with the clip, diseased vessel wall was frequently observed outside the clip. By 10 days postsurgery, the beginnings of endothelialization and neointima formation were observed at the neck. However, the neck coverage was variable and incomplete at these early time points. Thrombus organization inside the aneurysm sac was rarely observed, and inflammatory cells were not present inside the aneurysm sac. Inflammatory cells were commonly observed in the aneurysm wall, and atherosclerotic change was present in each sample. CONCLUSIONS: Complete aneurysm exclusion and apposition of healthy arterial wall occurred infrequently in our series. Endothelialization and neointima formation at the aneurysm neck take some time to complete and are often incomplete. The effectiveness of aneurysm clipping is related to the mechanics of aneurysm exclusion rather than the processes of endothelialization and neointima formation. SUMMARY: Complete aneurysm exclusion and apposition of healthy arterial wall occurred infrequently in our series. Endothelialization and neointima formation at the aneurysm neck take some time to complete and are often incomplete. The effectiveness of aneurysm clipping is related to the mechanics of aneurysm exclusion rather than the processes of endothelialization and neointima formation.

Angiographic and histologic comparison of injectable, expansile hydrogel embolic and pushable AZUR embolic devices in porcine arteries.

PURPOSE: To compare an injectable hydrogel embolic device with a pushable AZUR device procedurally, angiographically, and histologically in the embolization of porcine arteries. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In 12 pigs, embolization of renal, gluteal, and hepatic or thoracic arteries was performed with either injectable hydrogel embolic devices (two arteries per pig) or an AZUR device (one artery per pig). Follow-up angiography was performed before sacrifice in five pigs at 7 days after embolization and seven pigs at 90 days after embolization. The harvested tissues were evaluated histologically. Continuous and ordinal results were compared using analysis of variance and χ(2) tests. RESULTS: For the sites with embolization performed with injectable hydrogel, complete angiographic occlusion was obtained in 21 of 24 (88%) sites after treatment, 10 of 10 (100%) sites at 7 days, and 10 of 14 (72%) sites at 90 days. For the sites with embolization performed with AZUR devices, complete angiographic occlusion was obtained in 10 of 12 (83%) sites after treatment, 4 of 5 (80%) sites at 7 days, and 5 of 7 (72%) sites at 90 days. Statistically significant differences in angiographic occlusion were not observed at 7 days (P = .13) or 90 days (P = .35). The embolization time of the injectable hydrogel group (14 minutes ± 8) was significantly reduced (P = .02) compared with the AZUR group (22 minutes ± 12). Differences between the groups in arterial wall damage were not evident at either 7 days or 90 days, although greater damage was observed in both groups at 90 days. In both groups, inflammation was nonexistent to minimal at 7 days and minimal to mild at 90 days. CONCLUSIONS: Embolization of porcine arteries was as effective with injectable hydrogel embolic devices as pushable AZUR devices, as evidenced by the procedural, angiographic, and histologic results.