Performance and Head-to-Head Comparison of Three Clinical Models to Predict Occurrence of Postthrombotic Syndrome: A Validation Study.

OBJECTIVE: The SOX-PTS, Amin, and Méan models are three different clinical prediction scores stratifying the risk for postthrombotic syndrome (PTS) development in patients with acute deep vein thrombosis (DVT) of the lower limbs. Herein, we aimed to assess and compare these scores in the same cohort of patients. METHODS: We retrospectively applied the three scores in a cohort of 181 patients (196 limbs) who participated in the SAVER pilot trial for an acute DVT. Patients were stratified into PTS risk groups using positivity thresholds for high-risk patients as proposed in the derivation studies. All patients were assessed for PTS 6 months after index DVT using the Villalta scale. We calculated the predictive accuracy for PTS and area under receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve for each model. RESULTS: The Méan model was the most sensitive (sensitivity 87.7%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 77.2-94.5) with the highest negative predictive value (87.5%; 95% CI: 76.8-94.4) for PTS. The SOX-PTS was the most specific score (specificity 97.5%; 95% CI: 92.7-99.5) with the highest positive predictive value (72.7%; 95% CI: 39.0-94.0). The SOX-PTS and Méan models performed well for PTS prediction (AUROC: 0.72; 95% CI: 0.65-0.80 and 0.74; 95% CI: 0.67-0.82), whereas the Amin model did not (AUROC: 0.58; 95% CI: 0.49-0.67). CONCLUSION: Our data support that the SOX-PTS and Méan models have good accuracy to stratify the risk for PTS.

Recurrence after stopping anticoagulants in women with combined oral contraceptive-associated venous thromboembolism: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

The risk of recurrence after discontinuation of anticoagulation for a combined oral contraceptive (COC)-associated venous thromboembolism (VTE) is unclear. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the incidence of recurrent VTE among women with COC-associated VTE, unprovoked VTE and to compare the incidence of recurrent VTE between the two groups. The Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Embase Classic +Embase and Medline ALL to July 2020 and citations from included studies were searched. Randomized controlled trials, prospective cohort studies and meta-analyses of these study types were selected. The analysis was conducted by random-effects model. Nineteen studies were identified including 1537 women [5828 person-years (PY)] with COC-associated VTE and 1974 women (7798 PY) with unprovoked VTE. Studies were at low risk of bias. The incidence rate of VTE recurrence was 1.22/100 PY [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.92-1.62, I2  = 6%] in women with COC-associated VTE, 3.89/100 PY (95% CI 2.93-5.17, I2  = 74%) in women with unprovoked VTE and the unadjusted incidence rate ratio was 0.34 (95% CI 0.26-0.46, I2  = 3%). The recurrence risk in women after COC-associated VTE is low and lower than after an unprovoked VTE.

Predicting major bleeding during extended anticoagulation for unprovoked or weakly provoked venous thromboembolism.

No clinical prediction model has been specifically developed or validated to identify patients with unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) who are at high risk of major bleeding during extended anticoagulation. In a prospective multinational cohort study of patients with unprovoked VTE receiving extended anticoagulation after completing ≥3 months of initial treatment, we derived a new clinical prediction model using a multivariable Cox regression model based on 22 prespecified candidate predictors for the primary outcome of major bleeding. This model was then compared with modified versions of 5 existing clinical scores. A total of 118 major bleeding events occurred in 2516 patients (annual risk, 1.7%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.4-2.1). The incidences of major bleeding events per 100 person-years in high-risk and non-high-risk patients, respectively, were 3.9 (95% CI, 3.0-5.1) and 1.1 (0.8-1.4) using the newly derived creatinine, hemoglobin, age, and use of antiplatelet agent (CHAP) model; 3.3 (2.6-4.1) and 1.0 (0.7-1.3) using modified ACCP score, 5.3 (0.6-19.2) and 1.7 (1.4-2.0) using modified RIETE score, 3.1 (2.3-3.9) and 1.1 (0.9-1.5) using modified VTE-BLEED score, 5.2 (3.3-7.8) and 1.5 (1.2-1.8) using modified HAS-BLED score, and 4.8 (1.3-12.4) and 1.7 (1.4-2.0) using modified outpatient bleeding index score. Modified versions of the ACCP, VTE-BLEED, and HAS-BLED scores help identify patients with unprovoked VTE who are at high risk of major bleeding and should be considered for discontinuation of anticoagulation after 3 to 6 months of initial treatment. The CHAP model may further improve estimation of bleeding risk by using continuous predictor variables, but external validation is required before its implementation in clinical practice.

Prevention of post-thrombotic syndrome with rosuvastatin: A multicenter randomized controlled pilot trial (SAVER).

BACKGROUND: Post-thrombotic syndrome (PTS) is one of the most frequent complications of venous thromboembolism (VTE) leading to considerable morbidity and cost. Apart from appropriate anticoagulation, there is no drug or medical intervention that helps to prevent PTS. We conducted a multicenter randomized controlled trial to determine whether rosuvastatin can prevent PTS. METHODS: 312 patients receiving standard anticoagulation for a newly diagnosed VTE were randomly allocated to adjuvant rosuvastatin 20 mg once daily for 180 days (n = 155) or no rosuvastatin (n = 157). At the last study visit (Day 180 ± 21), an independent observer who was blinded to study treatment performed a PTS assessment using the Villalta scale. The primary clinical outcome of the trial was mean Villalta score at Day 180. We also explored the presence of PTS as defined by Villalta score > 4 at Day 180. Patients mean age was 46.7 ± 10.8 years, 55.8% were female. RESULTS: At Day 180, the Villalta score was 3.5 ± 0.3 in the rosuvastatin arm vs. 3.3 ± 0.3 in the control arm (p = 0.59), and presence of PTS (Villalta >4) was 29.7% in the rosuvastatin arm vs. 25.5% in the control arm (p = 0.41). Secondary analyses showed no difference between trial arms for presence of severe PTS at Day 180 (2.0% vs. 2.7%, p = 1) and for changes in Villalta score between baseline and Day 180 (-3.7 ± 4.4 vs. -4.0 ± 5.0, p = 0.59). CONCLUSION: This randomized controlled pilot trial did not demonstrate efficacy of rosuvastatin to reduce Villalta score. Further studies with longer duration of exposure to rosuvastatin are needed. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02679664.

External Validation of the Patient-Reported Villalta Scale for the Diagnosis of Postthrombotic Syndrome.

INTRODUCTION: The Villalta scale is the endorsed tool to diagnose and grade the severity of postthrombotic syndrome (PTS); however, assessing presence and severity of PTS is time-consuming and relies on both the clinician and patient's assessments. The patient-reported Villalta scale version 2 (PRV2) is a visually assisted form that enables patients to self-assess presence and severity of PTS. Herein, we report on external validation of this tool. METHODS: We assessed the agreement and kappa values of PRV2 to diagnose and assess severity of PTS compared with the original Villalta score in a cohort of 181 patients (196 limbs) who participated in the SAVER pilot randomized control trial. Presence of PTS was defined as PRV2 ≥5 or a Villalta score ≥5. RESULTS: PTS prevalence was 42% using PRV2 and 33% using the Villalta scale. The corresponding kappa and percentage agreement were 0.60 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.49-0.71) and 81% (95% CI: 76-87), respectively. Kappa values and percentage agreements between PRV2 and Villalta scale increased with increasing severity of PTS. The sensitivity of PRV2 to detect PTS of any severity was 84% (95% CI: 73-92) with a specificity of 79% (95% CI: 71-86). CONCLUSION: We conclude that the PRV2 is an acceptable tool for diagnosing and grading the severity of PTS.

Statins for venous event reduction in patients with venous thromboembolism: A multicenter randomized controlled pilot trial assessing feasibility.

BACKGROUND: Statins may reduce the risk for recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE); however, no randomized trials have explored this hypothesis. We performed a pilot randomized trial to determine feasibility of recruitment for a larger trial of secondary VTE prevention with rosuvastatin. METHODS: Patients with a newly diagnosed symptomatic proximal deep vein thrombosis and/or pulmonary embolism, receiving standard anticoagulation, were randomly allocated to adjuvant rosuvastatin 20 mg once daily for 180 days or no rosuvastatin for 6 months. RESULTS: Between November 2016 and December 2019, 3391 patients were assessed for eligibility in six centers. Of these patients, 1347 (39.7%) were eligible and approached for participation in the trial and 312 (23.1%) were randomized. The mean rate of randomization was 8.2 ± 4.3 patients per month. During follow-up, five recurrent VTE events were observed, three (1.9%) in the rosuvastatin group (two pulmonary embolism, one deep vein thrombosis), and two (1.3%) in the control group (two pulmonary embolism; P = 0.68). One major arterial event occurred in the rosuvastatin arm and none in the control arm (0.6% vs. 0%, P = 0.50). CONCLUSION: This pilot trial supports the feasibility of a larger scale randomized controlled trial to determine the efficacy of adjuvant rosuvastatin for the secondary prevention of VTE.

Long-Term Risk of Major Bleeding after Discontinuing Anticoagulation for Unprovoked Venous Thromboembolism: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The long-term risk of major bleeding after discontinuing anticoagulant therapy for a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) is uncertain. OBJECTIVES: To determine the incidence of major bleeding up to 5 years after discontinuing anticoagulation for a first unprovoked VTE. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane CENTRAL (from inception to January 2021) to identify relevant randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and prospective cohort studies reporting major bleeding after discontinuing anticoagulation in patients with a first unprovoked or weakly provoked VTE who had completed (IMAGE_)3 months of initial treatment. Unpublished data on major bleeding events and person-years were obtained from authors of included studies to calculate study-level incidence rates. Random-effects meta-analysis was used to pool results across studies. RESULTS: Of 1,123 records identified by the search, 20 studies (17 RCTs) and 8,740 patients were included in the analysis. During 13,011 person-years of follow-up after discontinuing anticoagulation, the pooled incidence of major bleeding (n = 41) and fatal bleeding (n = 7) per 100 person-years was 0.35 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.20-0.54) and 0.09 (95% CI: 0.05-0.15). The 5-year cumulative incidence of major bleeding was of 1.0% (95% CI: 0.4-2.4%). The case-fatality rate of major bleeding after discontinuing anticoagulation was 19.9% (95% CI: 10.6-31.1%). CONCLUSION: The risk of major bleeding once anticoagulants are discontinued in patients with a first unprovoked VTE is not zero. Estimates from this study can help clinicians counsel patients about the incremental risk of major bleeding with extended anticoagulation to guide decision making about treatment duration for unprovoked VTE.

Long-Term Risk for Major Bleeding During Extended Oral Anticoagulant Therapy for First Unprovoked Venous Thromboembolism : A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The long-term risk for major bleeding in patients receiving extended (beyond the initial 3 to 6 months) anticoagulant therapy for a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) is uncertain. PURPOSE: To determine the incidence of major bleeding during extended anticoagulation of up to 5 years among patients with a first unprovoked VTE, overall, and in clinically important subgroups. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials from inception to 23 July 2021. STUDY SELECTION: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and prospective cohort studies reporting major bleeding among patients with a first unprovoked VTE who were to receive oral anticoagulation for a minimum of 6 additional months after completing at least 3 months of initial anticoagulant treatment. DATA EXTRACTION: Two reviewers independently abstracted data and assessed study quality. Unpublished data required for analyses were obtained from authors of included studies. DATA SYNTHESIS: Among the 14 RCTs and 13 cohort studies included in the analysis, 9982 patients received a vitamin K antagonist (VKA) and 7220 received a direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC). The incidence of major bleeding per 100 person-years was 1.74 events (95% CI, 1.34 to 2.20 events) with VKAs and 1.12 events (CI, 0.72 to 1.62 events) with DOACs. The 5-year cumulative incidence of major bleeding with VKAs was 6.3% (CI, 3.6% to 10.0%). Among patients receiving either a VKA or a DOAC, the incidence of major bleeding was statistically significantly higher among those who were older than 65 years or had creatinine clearance less than 50 mL/min, a history of bleeding, concomitant use of antiplatelet therapy, or a hemoglobin level less than 100 g/L. The case-fatality rate of major bleeding was 8.3% (CI, 5.1% to 12.2%) with VKAs and 9.7% (CI, 3.2% to 19.2%) with DOACs. LIMITATION: Data were insufficient to estimate incidence of major bleeding beyond 1 year of extended anticoagulation with DOACs. CONCLUSION: In patients with a first unprovoked VTE, the long-term risks and consequences of anticoagulant-related major bleeding are considerable. This information will help inform patient prognosis and guide decision making about treatment duration for unprovoked VTE. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Canadian Institutes of Health Research. (PROSPERO: CRD42019128597).

Executive summary: antithrombotic terapy for VTE disease: Second update of the CHEST guideline and expert panel report

This is the second update to the 9th edition of these guidelines. We provide recommendations on 17 PICO (Patients, Interventions, Comparators, Outcomes) questions, four of which have not been addressed previously. We generate strong and weak recommendations based on high, moderate, and low-certainty evidence, using GRADE methodology. The panel generated 29 guidance statements, 13 of which are graded as strong recommendations, covering aspects of antithrombotic management of venous thromboembolism from initial management through secondary prevention and risk reduction of post-thrombotic syndrome. Four new guidance statements are added that did not appear in the 9th edition (2012) or first update (2016). Eight statements have been substantially modified from the first update. New evidence has emerged since 2016 which further informs the standard of care for patients with venous thromboembolism. Substantial uncertainty remains regarding important management questions, particularly in limited disease and special patient populations.

Antithrombotic therapy for VTE Disease: Second update of the CHEST guideline and expert panel report

This is the 2nd update to the 9th edition of these guidelines. We provide recommendations on 17 PICO (Population, Intervention, Comparator, Outcome) questions, four of which have not been addressed previously. We generate strong and weak recommendations based on high-, moderate-, and low-certainty evidence, using GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation) methodology. The panel generated 29 guidance statements, 13 of which are graded as strong recommendations, covering aspects of antithrombotic management of VTE from initial management through secondary prevention and risk reduction of postthrombotic syndrome. Four new guidance statements have been added that did not appear in the 9th edition (2012) or 1st update (2016). Eight statements have been substantially modified from the 1st update. New evidence has emerged since 2016 that further informs the standard of care for patients with VTE. Substantial uncertainty remains regarding important management questions, particularly in limited disease and special patient populations.

Long-term risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism among patients receiving extended oral anticoagulant therapy for first unprovoked venous thromboembolism: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The long-term risk for recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) during extended anticoagulation for a first unprovoked VTE is uncertain. OBJECTIVES: To determine the incidence of recurrent VTE during extended anticoagulation of up to 5 years in patients with a first unprovoked VTE. METHODS: MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane CENTRAL were searched to identify randomized trials and prospective cohort studies reporting recurrent VTE among patients with a first unprovoked VTE who were to receive anticoagulation for a minimum of six additional months after completing ≥3 months of initial treatment. Unpublished data on number of recurrent VTE and person-years, obtained from authors of included studies, were used to calculate study-level incidence rate, and random-effects meta-analysis was used to pool results. RESULTS: Twenty-six studies and 15 603 patients were included in the analysis. During 11 631 person-years of follow-up, the incidence of recurrent VTE and fatal pulmonary embolism per 100 person-years was 1.41 (95% CI, 1.03-1.84) and 0.09 (0.04-0.16), with 5-year cumulative incidences of 7.1% (3.0%-13.2%) and 1.2% (0.4%-4.6%), respectively. The incidence of recurrent VTE was 1.08 (95% CI, 0.77-1.44) with direct oral anticoagulants and 1.55 (1.01-2.20) with vitamin K antagonists. The case-fatality rate of recurrent VTE was 4.9% (95% CI, 2.2%-8.7%). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with a first unprovoked VTE, the long-term risk of recurrent VTE during extended anticoagulation is low but not negligible. Thus, clinicians and patients should be aware of this risk and take appropriate and timely action in case of suspicion of recurrent VTE. Estimates from this study can be used to advise patients on what to expect while receiving extended anticoagulation, and estimate the net clinical benefit of extended treatment to guide long-term management of unprovoked VTE.

Antithrombotic Therapy for VTE Disease: Second Update of the CHEST Guideline and Expert Panel Report.

BACKGROUND: This is the 2nd update to the 9th edition of these guidelines. We provide recommendations on 17 PICO (Population, Intervention, Comparator, Outcome) questions, four of which have not been addressed previously. METHODS: We generate strong and weak recommendations based on high-, moderate-, and low-certainty evidence, using GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation) methodology. RESULTS: The panel generated 29 guidance statements, 13 of which are graded as strong recommendations, covering aspects of antithrombotic management of VTE from initial management through secondary prevention and risk reduction of postthrombotic syndrome. Four new guidance statements have been added that did not appear in the 9th edition (2012) or 1st update (2016). Eight statements have been substantially modified from the 1st update. CONCLUSION: New evidence has emerged since 2016 that further informs the standard of care for patients with VTE. Substantial uncertainty remains regarding important management questions, particularly in limited disease and special patient populations.

Executive Summary: Antithrombotic Therapy for VTE Disease: Second Update of the CHEST Guideline and Expert Panel Report.

BACKGROUND: This is the 2nd update to the 9th edition of these guidelines. We provide recommendations on 17 PICO (Population, Intervention, Comparator, Outcome) questions, four of which have not been addressed previously. METHODS: We generate strong and weak recommendations based on high-, moderate-, and low-certainty evidence, using GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation) methodology. RESULTS: The panel generated 29 guidance statements, 13 of which are graded as strong recommendations, covering aspects of antithrombotic management of VTE from initial management through secondary prevention and risk reduction of postthrombotic syndrome. Four new guidance statements have been added that did not appear in the 9th edition (2012) or 1st update (2016). Eight statements have been substantially modified from the 1st update. CONCLUSION: New evidence has emerged since 2016 that further informs the standard of care for patients with VTE. Substantial uncertainty remains regarding important management questions, particularly in limited disease and special patient populations.

Which older emergency patients are at risk of intracranial bleeding after a fall? A protocol to derive a clinical decision rule for the emergency department.

INTRODUCTION: Falling on level ground is now the most common cause of traumatic intracranial bleeding worldwide. Older adults frequently present to the emergency department (ED) after falling. It can be challenging for clinicians to determine who requires brain imaging to rule out traumatic intracranial bleeding, and often head injury decision rules do not apply to older adults who fall. The goal of our study is to derive a clinical decision rule, which will identify older adults who present to the ED after a fall who do not have clinically important intracranial bleeding. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This is a prospective cohort study enrolling patients aged 65 years or older, who present to the ED of 11 hospitals in Canada and the USA within 48 hours of having a fall. Patients are included if they fall on level ground, off a chair, toilet seat or out of bed. The primary outcome is the diagnosis of clinically important intracranial bleeding within 42 days of the index ED visit. An independent adjudication committee will determine the primary outcome, blinded to all other data. We are collecting data on 17 potential predictor variables. The treating physician completes a study data form at the time of initial assessment, prior to brain imaging. Data extraction is supplemented by an independent, structured electronic medical record review. We will perform binary recursive partitioning using Classification and Regression Trees to derive a clinical decision rule. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study was initially approved by the Hamilton Integrated Research Ethics Committee and subsequently approved by the research ethics boards governing all participating sites. We will disseminate our results by journal publication, presentation at international meetings and social media. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03745755.

Postoperative low molecular weight heparin bridging treatment for patients at high risk of arterial thromboembolism (PERIOP2): double blind randomised controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the efficacy and safety of dalteparin postoperative bridging treatment versus placebo for patients with atrial fibrillation or mechanical heart valves when warfarin is temporarily interrupted for a planned procedure. DESIGN: Prospective, double blind, randomised controlled trial. SETTING: 10 thrombosis research sites in Canada and India between February 2007 and March 2016. PARTICIPANTS: 1471 patients aged 18 years or older with atrial fibrillation or mechanical heart valves who required temporary interruption of warfarin for a procedure. INTERVENTION: Random assignment to dalteparin (n=821; one patient withdrew consent immediately after randomisation) or placebo (n=650) after the procedure. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Major thromboembolism (stroke, transient ischaemic attack, proximal deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, myocardial infarction, peripheral embolism, or vascular death) and major bleeding according to the International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis criteria within 90 days of the procedure. RESULTS: The rate of major thromboembolism within 90 days was 1.2% (eight events in 650 patients) for placebo and 1.0% (eight events in 820 patients) for dalteparin (P=0.64, risk difference -0.3%, 95% confidence interval -1.3 to 0.8). The rate of major bleeding was 2.0% (13 events in 650 patients) for placebo and 1.3% (11 events in 820 patients) for dalteparin (P=0.32, risk difference -0.7, 95% confidence interval -2.0 to 0.7). The results were consistent for the atrial fibrillation and mechanical heart valves groups. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with atrial fibrillation or mechanical heart valves who had warfarin interrupted for a procedure, no significant benefit was found for postoperative dalteparin bridging to prevent major thromboembolism. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov NCT00432796.

A simplified decision rule to rule out deep vein thrombosis using clinical assessment and D-dimer.

BACKGROUND: Current clinical decision rules to exclude deep vein thrombosis (DVT) are underused partly because of their complexity. A simplified rule that can be easily applied would be more appealing to use in clinical practice. METHODS: We used individual patient data from prospective diagnostic studies of patients suspected of DVT to develop a new clinical decision rule. The primary outcome was presence of DVT either at initial testing or during follow-up. DVT was considered safely excluded if the upper 95% confidence interval (CI) of DVT prevalence was <2%. RESULTS: Four studies and 3368 patients were eligible for this analysis. Overall prevalence of DVT was 17%. In addition to D-dimer, two variables, calf swelling and DVT as the most likely diagnosis, are included in the new rule. Based on these two variables, two clinical pretest probability (CPTP) groups were defined; low (none of the two items present) and high (at least one of the items present). DVT can be safely excluded in patients with low CPTP with a D-dimer <500 ng/mL (prevalence = 0.1%; 95% CI, 0.0-0.8), low CPTP with a D-dimer between 500 ng/ml and 1000 ng/ml (prevalence = 0.3%; 95% CI, 0.0-1.7), and D-dimer <500 ng/ml in patients with high CPTP (prevalence = 0.3%; 95% CI, 0.0-1.0). CONCLUSIONS: The combination of D-dimer and Wells items resulted in a simple clinical decision rule with 3 items. The results suggest that the rule can safely exclude DVT. Prospective validation is required.

Performance of two clinical scales to assess quality of life in patients with post-thrombotic syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: We directly compared the Villalta scale and the Venous Clinical Severity Score (VCSS) to determine which of the two measures would be better at capturing clinically important cases of post-thrombotic syndrome (PTS) and PTS severity compared with patient-reported quality of life (QOL) scores. METHODS: We performed a secondary analysis of the ATTRACT (acute venous thrombosis: thrombus removal with adjunctive catheter-directed thrombolysis) trial study population. We calculated the correlations of the Villalta scores and VCSSs with QOL scores (short-form 36-item health survey [SF-36] physical component summary [PCS] and mental component summary [MCS]; and VEINES [venous insufficiency epidemiological and economic study]-QOL/symptom [VEINES-QOL/Sym] questionnaire) at each study visit (6, 12, 18, and 24 months of follow-up). The correlation of the random intercept (mean scores) and random slope (rate of change of the scores) among the Villalta scores, VCSS, and VEINES-QOL/Sym scores was assessed using a multivariate longitudinal model. RESULTS: The median correlation between Villalta scores and VCSSs was 0.72. The median correlation between the Villalta scores and VEINES-QOL and VEINES-Sym scores at all follow-up visits was -0.68 and -0.71, respectively. The median correlation between the Villalta scores and SF-36 PCS and MCS scores was -0.51 and -0.31, respectively. For the VCSSs, the median correlation with the VEINES-QOL and VEINES-Sym scores at all follow-up visits was -0.39 and -0.41, respectively. The median correlation between the VCSSs and SF-36 PCS and MCS scores was -0.32 and -0.13, respectively. The correlations between the random effects in the multivariate longitudinal models showed a similar pattern. The effect of covariate adjustment by age, sex, and body mass index was minor. CONCLUSIONS: The Villalta scores and VCSSs correlated strongly. The Villalta scale showed a substantially greater correlation with venous disease-specific and general QOL scores compared with the correlation with the VCSS. Our findings suggest that when a single scale is used to assess for clinically meaningful PTS, the Villalta scale will better capture the effects of PTS on patient-reported QOL.

Physician choices in pulmonary embolism testing.

BACKGROUND: Evidence-based guidelines advise excluding pulmonary embolism (PE) diagnosis using d-dimer in patients with a lower probability of PE. Emergency physicians frequently order computed tomography (CT) pulmonary angiography without d-dimer testing or when d-dimer is negative, which exposes patients to more risk than benefit. Our objective was to develop a conceptual framework explaining emergency physicians' test choices for PE. METHODS: We conducted a qualitative study using in-depth interviews of emergency physicians in Canada. A nonmedical researcher conducted in-person interviews. Participants described how they would test simulated patients with symptoms of possible PE, answered a knowledge test and were interviewed on barriers to using evidence-based PE tests. RESULTS: We interviewed 63 emergency physicians from 9 hospitals in 5 cities, across 3 provinces. We identified 8 domains: anxiety with PE, barriers to using the evidence (time, knowledge and patient), divergent views on evidence-based PE testing, inherent Wells score problems, the drive to obtain CT rather than to diagnose PE, gestalt estimation artificially inflating PE probability, subjective reasoning and cognitive biases supporting deviation from evidence-based tests and use of evidence-based testing to rule out PE in patients who are very unlikely to have PE. Choices for PE testing were influenced by the disease, environment, test qualities, physician and probability of PE. INTERPRETATION: Analysis of structured interviews with emergency physicians provided a conceptual framework to explain how these physicians use tests for suspected PE. The data suggest 8 domains to address when implementing an evidence-based protocol to investigate PE.

Preoperative prediction of Bleeding Independently associated with Mortality after noncardiac Surgery (BIMS): an international prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Diagnostic criteria for Bleeding Independently associated with Mortality after noncardiac Surgery (BIMS) have been defined as bleeding that leads to a postoperative haemoglobin <70 g L-1, leads to blood transfusion, or is judged to be the direct cause of death. Preoperative prediction guides for BIMS can facilitate informed consent and planning of perioperative care. METHODS: In a prospective cohort study of 16 079 participants aged ≥45 yr having inpatient noncardiac surgery at 12 academic hospitals in eight countries between 2007 and 2011, 17.3% (2782) experienced BIMS. An electronic risk calculator for BIMS was developed and internally validated by logistic regression with bootstrapping, and further simplified to a risk index. Decision curve analysis assessed the potential utility of each prediction guide compared with a strategy of identifying risk of BIMS based on preoperative haemoglobin <120 g L-1. RESULTS: With information about the type of surgery, preoperative haemoglobin, age, sex, functional status, kidney function, history of high-risk coronary artery disease, and active cancer, the risk calculator accurately predicted BIMS (bias-corrected C-statistic, 0.84; 95% confidence interval, 0.837-0.852). A simplified index based on preoperative haemoglobin <120 g L-1, open surgery, and high-risk surgery also predicted BIMS, but less accurately (C-statistic, 0.787; 95% confidence interval, 0.779-0.796). Both prediction guides could improve decision making compared with knowledge of haemoglobin <120 g L-1 alone. CONCLUSIONS: BIMS, defined as bleeding that leads to a postoperative haemoglobin <70 g L-1, leads to blood transfusion, or that is judged to be the direct cause of death, can be predicted by a simple risk index before surgery. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT00512109.

Bleeding Independently associated with Mortality after noncardiac Surgery (BIMS): an international prospective cohort study establishing diagnostic criteria and prognostic importance.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to establish diagnostic criteria for bleeding independently associated with mortality after noncardiac surgery (BIMS) defined as bleeding during or within 30 days after noncardiac surgery that is independently associated with mortality within 30 days of surgery, and to estimate the proportion of 30-day postoperative mortality potentially attributable to BIMS. METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study of participants ≥45 yr old having inpatient noncardiac surgery at 12 academic hospitals in eight countries between 2007 and 2011. Cox proportional hazards models evaluated the adjusted relationship between candidate diagnostic criteria for BIMS and all-cause mortality within 30 days of surgery. RESULTS: Of 16 079 participants, 2.0% (315) died and 36.1% (5810) met predefined screening criteria for bleeding. Based on independent association with 30-day mortality, BIMS was identified as bleeding leading to a postoperative haemoglobin <70 g L-1, transfusion of ≥1 unit of red blood cells, or that was judged to be the cause of death. Bleeding independently associated with mortality after noncardiac surgery occurred in 17.3% of patients (2782). Death occurred in 5.8% of patients with BIMS (161/2782), 1.3% (39/3028) who met bleeding screening criteria but not BIMS criteria, and 1.1% (115/10 269) without bleeding. BIMS was associated with mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.87; 95% confidence interval: 1.42-2.47). We estimated the proportion of 30-day postoperative deaths potentially attributable to BIMS to be 20.1-31.9%. CONCLUSIONS: Bleeding independently associated with mortality after noncardiac surgery (BIMS), defined as bleeding that leads to a postoperative haemoglobin <70 g L-1, blood transfusion, or that is judged to be the cause of death, is common and may account for a quarter of deaths after noncardiac surgery. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT00512109.