Standardised and automated assessment of head computed tomography reliably predicts poor functional outcome after cardiac arrest: a prospective multicentre study.

PURPOSE: Application of standardised and automated assessments of head computed tomography (CT) for neuroprognostication after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. METHODS: Prospective, international, multicentre, observational study within the Targeted Hypothermia versus Targeted Normothermia after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (TTM2) trial. Routine CTs from adult unconscious patients obtained > 48 h ≤ 7 days post-arrest were assessed qualitatively and quantitatively by seven international raters blinded to clinical information using a pre-published protocol. Grey-white-matter ratio (GWR) was calculated from four (GWR-4) and eight (GWR-8) regions of interest manually placed at the basal ganglia level. Additionally, GWR was obtained using an automated atlas-based approach. Prognostic accuracies for prediction of poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale 4-6) for the qualitative assessment and for the pre-defined GWR cutoff < 1.10 were calculated. RESULTS: 140 unconscious patients were included; median age was 68 years (interquartile range [IQR] 59-76), 76% were male, and 75% had poor outcome. Standardised qualitative assessment and all GWR models predicted poor outcome with 100% specificity (95% confidence interval [CI] 90-100). Sensitivity in median was 37% for the standardised qualitative assessment, 39% for GWR-8, 30% for GWR-4 and 41% for automated GWR. GWR-8 was superior to GWR-4 regarding prognostic accuracies, intra- and interrater agreement. Overall prognostic accuracy for automated GWR (area under the curve [AUC] 0.84, 95% CI 0.77-0.91) did not significantly differ from manually obtained GWR. CONCLUSION: Standardised qualitative and quantitative assessments of CT are reliable and feasible methods to predict poor functional outcome after cardiac arrest. Automated GWR has the potential to make CT quantification for neuroprognostication accessible to all centres treating cardiac arrest patients.

Regional Brain Net Water Uptake in Computed Tomography after Cardiac Arrest - A Novel Biomarker for Neuroprognostication.

BACKGROUND: Selective water uptake by neurons and glial cells and subsequent brain tissue oedema are key pathophysiological processes of hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) after cardiac arrest (CA). Although brain computed tomography (CT) is widely used to assess the severity of HIE, changes of brain radiodensity over time have not been investigated. These could be used to quantify regional brain net water uptake (NWU), a potential prognostic biomarker. METHODS: We conducted an observational prognostic accuracy study including a derivation (single center cardiac arrest registry) and a validation (international multicenter TTM2 trial) cohort. Early (<6 h) and follow-up (>24 h) head CTs of CA patients were used to determine regional NWU for grey and white matter regions after co-registration with a brain atlas. Neurological outcome was dichotomized as good versus poor using the Cerebral Performance Category Scale (CPC) in the derivation cohort and Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) in the validation cohort. RESULTS: We included 115 patients (81 derivation, 34 validation) with out-of-hospital (OHCA) and in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA). Regional brain water content remained unchanged in patients with good outcome. In patients with poor neurological outcome, we found considerable regional water uptake with the strongest effect in the basal ganglia. NWU >8% in the putamen and caudate nucleus predicted poor outcome with 100% specificity (95%-CI: 86-100%) and 43% (moderate) sensitivity (95%-CI: 31-56%). CONCLUSION: This pilot study indicates that NWU derived from serial head CTs is a promising novel biomarker for outcome prediction after CA. NWU >8% in basal ganglia grey matter regions predicted poor outcome while absence of NWU indicated good outcome. NWU and follow-up CTs should be investigated in larger, prospective trials with standardized CT acquisition protocols.

Brain injury markers in blood predict signs of hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy on head computed tomography after cardiac arrest.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Signs of hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy (HIE) on head computed tomography (CT) predicts poor neurological outcome after cardiac arrest. We explore whether levels of brain injury markers in blood could predict the likelihood of HIE on CT. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of CT performed at 24-168 h post cardiac arrest on clinical indication within the Target Temperature Management after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest-trial. Biomarkers prospectively collected at 24- and 48 h post-arrest were analysed for neuron specific enolase (NSE), neurofilament light (NFL), total-tau and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP). HIE was assessed through visual evaluation and quantitative grey-white-matter ratio (GWR) was retrospectively calculated on Swedish subjects with original images available. RESULTS: In total, 95 patients were included. The performance to predict HIE on CT (performed at IQR 73-116 h) at 48 h was similar for all biomarkers, assessed as area under the receiving operating characteristic curve (AUC) NSE 0.82 (0.71-0.94), NFL 0.79 (0.67-0.91), total-tau 0.84 (0.74-0.95), GFAP 0.79 (0.67-0.90). The predictive performance of biomarker levels at 24 h was AUC 0.72-0.81. At 48 h biomarker levels below Youden Index accurately excluded HIE in 77.3-91.7% (negative predictive value) and levels above Youden Index correctly predicted HIE in 73.3-83.7% (positive predictive value). NSE cut-off at 48 h was 48 ng/ml. Elevated biomarker levels irrespective of timepoint significantly correlated with lower GWR. CONCLUSION: Biomarker levels can assess the likelihood of a patient presenting with HIE on CT and could be used to select suitable patients for CT-examination during neurological prognostication in unconscious cardiac arrest patients.

Prognostic accuracy of head computed tomography for prediction of functional outcome after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: Rationale and design of the prospective TTM2-CT-substudy.

Background: Head computed tomography (CT) is a guideline recommended method to predict functional outcome after cardiac arrest (CA), but standardized criteria for evaluation are lacking. To date, no prospective trial has systematically validated methods for diagnosing hypoxic-ischaemic encephalopathy (HIE) on CT after CA. We present a protocol for validation of pre-specified radiological criteria for assessment of HIE on CT for neuroprognostication after CA. Methods/design: This is a prospective observational international multicentre substudy of the Targeted Hypothermia versus Targeted Normothermia after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (TTM2) trial. Patients still unconscious 48 hours post-arrest at 13 participating hospitals were routinely examined with CT. Original images will be evaluated by examiners blinded to clinical data using a standardized protocol. Qualitative assessment will include evaluation of absence/presence of "severe HIE". Radiodensities will be quantified in pre-specified regions of interest for calculation of grey-white matter ratios (GWR) at the basal ganglia level. Functional outcome will be dichotomized into good (modified Rankin Scale 0-3) and poor (modified Rankin Scale 4-6) at six months post-arrest. Prognostic accuracies for good and poor outcome will be presented as sensitivities and specificities with 95% confidence intervals (using pre-specified cut-offs for quantitative analysis), descriptive statistics (Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics Curve), inter- and intra-rater reliabilities according to STARD guidelines. Conclusions: The results from this prospective trial will validate a standardized approach to radiological evaluations of HIE on CT for prediction of functional outcome in comatose CA patients.The TTM2 trial and the TTM2 CT substudy are registered at ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02908308 and NCT03913065.

A pilot study of methods for prediction of poor outcome by head computed tomography after cardiac arrest.

INTRODUCTION: In Sweden, head computed tomography (CT) is commonly used for prediction of neurological outcome after cardiac arrest, as recommended by guidelines. We compare the prognostic ability and interrater variability of routine and novel CT methods for prediction of poor outcome. METHODS: Retrospective study including patients from Swedish sites within the Target Temperature Management after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest trial examined with CT. Original images were assessed by two independent radiologists blinded from clinical data with eye-balling without pre-specified criteria, and with a semi-quantitative assessment. Grey-white-matter ratios (GWR) were quantified using models with 4-20 manually placed regions of interest. Prognostic abilities and interrater variability were calculated for prediction of poor outcome (modified Rankin Scale 4-6 at 6 months) for early (<24 h) and late (≥24 h) examinations. RESULTS: 68/106 (64 %) of included patients were examined < 24 h post-arrest. Eye-balling predicted poor outcome with 89-100 % specificity and 15-78 % sensitivity. GWR < 24 h predicted neurological outcome with unsatisfactory to satisfactory Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics Curve (AUROC: 0.54-0.64). GWR ≥ 24 h yielded very good to excellent AUROC (0.80-0.93). Sensitivities increased > 2-3-fold in examinations performed after 24 h compared to early examinations. Combining eye-balling with GWR < 1.15 predicted poor outcome without false positives with sensitivities remaining acceptable. CONCLUSION: In our cohort, qualitative and quantitative CT methods predicted poor outcome with high specificity and low to moderate sensitivity. Sensitivity increased relevantly after the first 24 h after CA. Interrater variability poses a problem and indicates the need to standardise brain CT evaluation to increase the methods' safety.

Management of alcohol use disorders in patients with chronic pancreatitis.

CONTEXT: The outcome of treatment for patients with chronic pancreatitis may be improved by multidisciplinary management. OBJECTIVE: To study patients with chronic pancreatitis, especially regarding alcohol use, within a multi disciplinary program. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Prospective assessment at baseline and follow-up of alcohol use disorders using DSM-IV criteria, AUDIT score, interview-based quantification of alcohol intake and the biomarker for alcohol use s-CDT in patients referred because of chronic pancreatitis together with retrospective classification with the M-ANNHEIM risk factor analysis and severity scoring for chronic pancreatitis. RESULTS: Sixty patients (95%) of 63 consecutively included patients were classified as having chronic pancreatitis. Forty-four of these (73%) were available for follow-up evaluation, which took place after a minimum of 1 year (median 3 years). Alcohol consumption decreased at follow-up and no patients had ongoing alcohol dependence (P<0.001) as compared to 10 (23%) at initial evaluation. Patients with harmful alcohol use (AUDIT score ≥8 points) and pathological s-CDT had a reduction in both parameters (P=0.004 and P=0.060, respectively). Pain score according to M-ANNHEIM was unchanged, whereas use of analgesics decreased (P=0.005). CONCLUSIONS: This feasibility study of patients with chronic pancreatitis demonstrated that multidisciplinary management seems to give a positive and sustainable effect on alcohol abuse and may be a useful concept for optimal classification, selection and treatment of patients with chronic pancreatitis.