Development of a clinical risk score for the prediction of Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia in hospitalised patients.

BACKGROUND: The performance and availability of invasive and non-invasive investigations for the diagnosis of Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia (PCP) vary across clinical settings. Estimating the pre-test probability of PCP is essential to the optimal selection and interpretation of diagnostic tests, such as the 1,3-ß-D-glucan assay (BDG), for the prioritization of bronchoscopy, and to guide empiric treatment decisions. We aimed to develop a multivariable risk score to estimate the pre-test probability of PCP. METHODS: The score was developed from a cohort of 626 individuals who underwent bronchoscopy for the purposes of identifying PCP in a Canadian tertiary-care centre, between 2015 and 2018. We conducted a nested case-control study of 57 cases and 228 unmatched controls. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, and radiological data were included in a multivariable logistic regression model to estimate adjusted odds ratios for PCP diagnosis. A clinical risk score was derived from the multivariable model and discrimination was assessed by estimating the score's receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS: Participants had a median age of 60 years (interquartile range [IQR] 49-68) and 115 (40%) were female; 40 (14%) had HIV and 49 (17%) had a solid organ transplant (SOT). The risk score included prior SOT or HIV with CD4 ≤ 200/µL (+ 2), serum lactate dehydrogenase ≥ 265.5 IU/mL (+ 2), radiological pattern typical of PCP on chest x-ray (+ 2) or CT scan (+ 2.5), and PCP prophylaxis with trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (-3) or other antimicrobials (-2). The median score was 4 points (IQR, 2-4.5) corresponding to a 28% probability of PCP. The risk prediction model had good discrimination with a c-statistic of 0.79 (0.71-0.84). Given the operating characteristics of the BDG assay, scores ≤ 3 in patients without HIV, and ≤ 5.5 in those with HIV, paired with a negative BDG, would be expected to rule out PCP with 95% certainty. CONCLUSION: We propose the PCP Score to estimate pre-test probability of PCP. Once validated, it should help clinicians determine which patients to refer for invasive investigations, when to rely on serological testing, and in whom to consider pre-emptive treatment.

Direct-to-Consumer Educational Brochures to Promote Gabapentinoid Deprescribing in Older Adults.

This study examines gabapentinoid deprescribing using a novel approach of direct-to-consumer educational brochures intended to empower older adults to initiate a discussion on gabapentinoid risks and tapering.

The cost of potentially inappropriate medications for older adults in Canada: A comparative cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Potentially inappropriate medications (PIMs) are medications whereby the harms may outweigh the benefits for a given individual. Although overprescribed to older adults, their direct costs on the healthcare system are poorly described. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study of the cost of PIMs for Canadians aged 65 and older, using adapted criteria from the American Geriatrics Society. We examined prescription claims information from the National Prescription Drug Utilization Information System in 2021 and compared these with 2013. The overall levels of inflation-adjusted total annual expenditure on PIMs, average cost per quarterly exposure, and average quarterly exposures to PIMs were calculated in CAD$. RESULTS: Exposure to most categories of PIMs decreased, aside from gabapentinoids, proton pump inhibitors, and antipsychotics, all of which increased. Canadians spent $1 billion on PIMs in 2021, a 33.6% reduction compared with 2013 ($1.5 billion). In 2021, the largest annual expenditures were on proton pump inhibitors ($211 million) and gabapentinoids ($126 million). The quarterly amount spent on PIMs per person exposed decreased from $95 to $57. In terms of mean cost per person, opioids and antipsychotics were highest ($138 and $118 per exposure). Some cost savings may have occurred secondary to an observed decline of 16.4% in the quarterly rate of exposure to PIMs (from 7301 per 10,000 in 2013 to 6106 per 10,000 in 2021). CONCLUSIONS: While expenditures on PIMs have declined in Canada, the overall cost remains high. Prescribing of some seriously harmful classes of PIMs has increased and so directed, scalable interventions are needed.

Effects of Losartan on Patients Hospitalized for Acute COVID-19: A Randomized Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) down-regulates angiotensin-converting enzyme 2, potentially increasing angiotensin II. We hypothesized that losartan compared to usual care decreases mortality and is safe in patients hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We aimed to evaluate the effect of losartan versus usual care on 28-day mortality in patients hospitalized for acute COVID-19. METHODS: Eligibility criteria included adults admitted for acute COVID-19. Exclusion criteria were hypotension, hyperkalemia, acute kidney injury, and use of angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) or angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors within 7 days. Participants were randomized to losartan 25-100 mg/day orally for the hospital duration or 3 months or the control arm (usual care) in 29 hospitals in Canada and France. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality. Secondary outcomes were hospital mortality, organ support, and serious adverse events (SAEs). RESULTS: The trial was stopped early because of a serious safety concern with losartan. In 341 patients, any SAE and hypotension were significantly higher in the losartan versus usual care groups (any SAE: 39.8% vs 27.2%, respectively, P = .01; hypotension: 30.4% vs 15.3%, respectively, P < .001) in both ward and intensive care patients. The 28-day mortality did not differ between losartan (6.5%) versus usual care (5.9%) (odds ratio, 1.11 [95% confidence interval, .47-2.64]; P = .81), nor did organ dysfunction or secondary outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Caution is needed in deciding which patients to start or continue using ARBs in patients hospitalized with pneumonia to mitigate risk of hypotension, acute kidney injury, and other side effects. ARBs should not be added to care of patients hospitalized for acute COVID-19. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT04606563.

A Research Agenda to Improve Outcomes in Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease and Cardiovascular Disease: An Official American Thoracic Society Research Statement.

Background: Individuals with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are often at risk for or have comorbid cardiovascular disease and are likely to die of cardiovascular-related causes. Objectives: To prioritize a list of research topics related to the diagnosis and management of patients with COPD and comorbid cardiovascular diseases (heart failure, atherosclerotic vascular disease, and atrial fibrillation) by summarizing existing evidence and using consensus-based methods. Methods: A literature search was performed. References were reviewed by committee co-chairs. An international, multidisciplinary committee, including a patient advocate, met virtually to review evidence and identify research topics. A modified Delphi approach was used to prioritize topics in real time on the basis of their potential for advancing the field. Results: Gaps spanned the translational science spectrum from basic science to implementation: 1) disease mechanisms; 2) epidemiology; 3) subphenotyping; 4) diagnosis and management; 5) clinical trials; 6) care delivery; 7) medication access, adherence, and side effects; 8) risk factor mitigation; 9) cardiac and pulmonary rehabilitation; and 10) health equity. Seventeen experts participated, and quorum was achieved for all votes (>80%). Of 17 topics, ≥70% agreement was achieved for 12 topics after two rounds of voting. The range of summative Likert scores was -15 to 25. The highest priority was "Conduct pragmatic clinical trials with patient-centered outcomes that collect both pulmonary and cardiac data elements." Health equity was identified as an important topic that should be embedded within all research. Conclusions: We propose a prioritized research agenda with the purpose of stimulating high-impact research that will hopefully improve outcomes among people with COPD and cardiovascular disease.