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MRI-based myelin water fraction (MWF) and PET-based Pittsburgh compound B (PiB) imaging both have potential to measure myelin in multiple sclerosis (MS). We characterised the differences in MWF and PiB binding in MS lesions relative to normal-appearing white matter and assessed the correlation between MWF and PiB binding in 11 MS participants and 3 healthy controls within 14 white matter regions of interest. Both PiB binding and MWF were reduced in MS lesions relative to NAWM, and a modest within subject correlation between MWF and PiB binding was found. This pilot study shows that MWF and PET-PiB provide different information about myelin loss in MS.
Subject(s)
Multiple Sclerosis , White Matter , Humans , Myelin Sheath/pathology , Multiple Sclerosis/diagnostic imaging , Multiple Sclerosis/pathology , Pilot Projects , Water/analysis , White Matter/pathology , Magnetic Resonance Imaging/methods , Brain/pathologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: In the trial of Minocycline in Clinically Isolated Syndrome (MinoCIS), minocycline significantly reduced the risk of conversion to clinically definite multiple sclerosis (CDMS). Neurofilament light chain (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) are emerging biomarkers in MS, and minocycline modulates matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs). OBJECTIVE: To assess the value of blood NfL and GFAP as a biomarker of baseline and future disease activity and its utility to monitor treatment response in minocycline-treated patients with clinically isolated syndrome (CIS). METHODS: We measured NfL, GFAP, and MMPs in blood samples from 96 patients with CIS from the MinoCIS study and compared biomarkers with clinical and radiologic characteristics and outcome. RESULTS: At baseline, NfL levels correlated with T2 lesion load and number of gadolinium-enhancing lesions. Baseline NfL levels predicted conversion into CDMS at month 6. GFAP levels at baseline were correlated with T2 lesion volume. Minocycline treatment significantly increased NfL levels at 3 months but not at 6 months, and decreased GFAP levels at month 6. Minocycline decreased MMP-7 concentrations at month 1. DISCUSSION: Blood NfL levels are associated with measures of disease activity in CIS and have prognostic value. Minocycline increased NfL levels at month 3, but reduced GFAP and MMP-7 levels.
Subject(s)
Demyelinating Diseases , Multiple Sclerosis , Biomarkers , Demyelinating Diseases/drug therapy , Gadolinium , Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein , Humans , Intermediate Filaments , Matrix Metalloproteinase 7 , Minocycline/therapeutic use , Multiple Sclerosis/drug therapy , Neurofilament ProteinsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Spinal cord atrophy provides a clinically relevant metric for monitoring MS. However, the spinal cord is imaged far less frequently than brain due to artefacts and acquisition time, whereas MRI of the brain is routinely performed. OBJECTIVE: To validate spinal cord cross-sectional area measurements from routine 3DT1 whole-brain MRI versus those from dedicated cord MRI in healthy controls and people with MS. METHODS: We calculated cross-sectional area at C1 and C2/3 using T2*-weighted spinal cord images and 3DT1 brain images, for 28 healthy controls and 73 people with MS. Correlations for both groups were assessed between: (1) C1 and C2/3 using cord images; (2) C1 from brain and C1 from cord; and (3) C1 from brain and C2/3 from cord. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: C1 and C2/3 from cord were strongly correlated in controls (r = 0.94, p<0.0001) and MS (r = 0.85, p<0.0001). There was strong agreement between C1 from brain and C2/3 from cord in controls (r = 0.84, p<0.0001) and MS (r = 0.81, p<0.0001). This supports the use of C1 cross-sectional area calculated from brain imaging as a surrogate for the traditional C2/3 cross-sectional area measure for spinal cord atrophy.
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BACKGROUND: Advanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) methods can provide more specific information about various microstructural tissue changes in multiple sclerosis (MS) brain. Quantitative measurement of T1 and T2 relaxation, and diffusion basis spectrum imaging (DBSI) yield metrics related to the pathology of neuroinflammation and neurodegeneration that occurs across the spectrum of MS. OBJECTIVE: To use relaxation and DBSI MRI metrics to describe measures of neuroinflammation, myelin and axons in different MS subtypes. METHODS: 103 participants (20 clinically isolated syndrome (CIS), 33 relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS), 30 secondary progressive MS and 20 primary progressive MS) underwent quantitative T1, T2, DBSI and conventional 3T MRI. Whole brain, normal-appearing white matter, lesion and corpus callosum MRI metrics were compared across MS subtypes. RESULTS: A gradation of MRI metric values was seen from CIS to RRMS to progressive MS. RRMS demonstrated large oedema-related differences, while progressive MS had the most extensive abnormalities in myelin and axonal measures. CONCLUSION: Relaxation and DBSI-derived MRI measures show differences between MS subtypes related to the severity and composition of underlying tissue damage. RRMS showed oedema, demyelination and axonal loss compared with CIS. Progressive MS had even more evidence of increased oedema, demyelination and axonal loss compared with CIS and RRMS.
Subject(s)
Multiple Sclerosis, Chronic Progressive , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting , Multiple Sclerosis , White Matter , Brain/diagnostic imaging , Brain/pathology , Diffusion Magnetic Resonance Imaging/methods , Humans , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Multiple Sclerosis/diagnostic imaging , Multiple Sclerosis/pathology , Multiple Sclerosis, Chronic Progressive/diagnostic imaging , Multiple Sclerosis, Chronic Progressive/pathology , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/diagnostic imaging , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/pathology , Neuroinflammatory Diseases , White Matter/diagnostic imaging , White Matter/pathologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Myelin water imaging (MWI) was recently optimized to provide quantitative in vivo measurement of spinal cord myelin, which is critically involved in multiple sclerosis (MS) disability. OBJECTIVE: To assess cervical cord myelin measurements in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) and progressive multiple sclerosis (ProgMS) participants and evaluate the correlation between myelin measures and clinical disability. METHODS: We used MWI data from 35 RRMS, 30 ProgMS, and 28 healthy control (HC) participants collected at cord level C2/C3 on a 3 T magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scanner. Myelin heterogeneity index (MHI), a measurement of myelin variability, was calculated for whole cervical cord, global white matter, dorsal column, lateral and ventral funiculi. Correlations were assessed between MHI and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), 9-Hole Peg Test (9HPT), timed 25-foot walk, and disease duration. RESULTS: In various regions of the cervical cord, ProgMS MHI was higher compared to HC (between 9.5% and 31%, p ⩽ 0.04) and RRMS (between 13% and 26%, p ⩽ 0.02), and ProgMS MHI was associated with EDSS (r = 0.42-0.52) and 9HPT (r = 0.45-0.52). CONCLUSION: Myelin abnormalities within clinically eloquent areas are related to clinical disability. MWI metrics have a potential role for monitoring subclinical disease progression and adjudicating treatment efficacy for new therapies targeting ProgMS.
Subject(s)
Cervical Cord , Multiple Sclerosis, Chronic Progressive , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting , Multiple Sclerosis , Cervical Cord/diagnostic imaging , Disability Evaluation , Humans , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Multiple Sclerosis/diagnostic imaging , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/diagnostic imaging , Myelin Sheath , Spinal CordABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Cognitive impairment is a core symptom in multiple sclerosis (MS). Damage to normal appearing white matter (NAWM) is likely involved. We sought to determine if greater myelin heterogeneity in NAWM is associated with decreased cognitive performance in MS. METHODS: A total of 27 participants with MS and 13 controls matched for age, sex, and education underwent myelin water imaging (MWI) from which the myelin water fraction (MWF) was calculated. Corpus callosum, superior longitudinal fasciculus, and cingulum were chosen as regions of interest (ROIs) a priori based on their involvement in MS-related cognitive impairment. Cognitive performance was assessed using the Symbol Digit Modalities Test (SDMT). Pearson Ìs product moment correlations were performed to assess relationships between cognitive performance and myelin heterogeneity (variance of MWF within an ROI). RESULTS: In MS, myelin heterogeneity in all three ROIs was significantly associated with performance on the SDMT. These correlations ranged from moderate (r = -.561) to moderately strong (r = -.654) and were highly significant (P values ranged from .001 to .0002). Conversely, myelin heterogeneity was not associated with SDMT performance in controls in any ROI (P > .108). CONCLUSION: Increased myelin heterogeneity in NAWM is associated with decreased cognitive processing speed performance in MS.
Subject(s)
Cognition/physiology , Cognitive Dysfunction/psychology , Corpus Callosum/pathology , Multiple Sclerosis/psychology , White Matter/pathology , Adult , Aged , Algorithms , Cognitive Dysfunction/diagnostic imaging , Cognitive Dysfunction/pathology , Corpus Callosum/diagnostic imaging , Female , Humans , Magnetic Resonance Imaging/methods , Male , Middle Aged , Multiple Sclerosis/diagnostic imaging , Multiple Sclerosis/pathology , Myelin Sheath/pathology , Neuropsychological Tests , Water , White Matter/diagnostic imagingABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Enhanced prediction of progression in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) could improve clinical trial design. Machine learning (ML) algorithms are methods for training predictive models with minimal human intervention. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate individual and ensemble model performance built using decision tree (DT)-based algorithms compared to logistic regression (LR) and support vector machines (SVMs) for predicting SPMS disability progression. METHODS: SPMS participants (n = 485) enrolled in a 2-year placebo-controlled (negative) trial assessing the efficacy of MBP8298 were classified as progressors if a 6-month sustained increase in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) (≥1.0 or ≥0.5 for a baseline of ≤5.5 or ≥6.0 respectively) was observed. Variables included EDSS, Multiple Sclerosis Functional Composite component scores, T2 lesion volume, brain parenchymal fraction, disease duration, age, and sex. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was the primary outcome for model evaluation. RESULTS: Three DT-based models had greater AUCs (61.8%, 60.7%, and 60.2%) than independent and ensemble SVM (52.4% and 51.0%) and LR (49.5% and 51.1%). CONCLUSION: SPMS disability progression was best predicted by non-parametric ML. If confirmed, ML could select those with highest progression risk for inclusion in SPMS trial cohorts and reduce the number of low-risk individuals exposed to experimental therapies.
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BACKGROUND: Magnetic resonance spectroscopy quantitatively monitors biomarkers of neuron-myelin coupling (N-acetylaspartate (NAA)), and inflammation (total creatine (tCr), total choline (tCho), myo-inositol (mI)) in the brain. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to investigate how ocrelizumab and interferon beta-1a differentially affects imaging biomarkers of neuronal-myelin coupling and inflammation in patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS). METHODS: Forty patients with relapsing MS randomized to either treatment were scanned at 3T at baseline and weeks 24, 48, and 96 follow-up. Twenty-four healthy controls were scanned at weeks 0, 48, and 96. NAA, tCr, tCho, mI, and NAA/tCr were measured in a single large supra-ventricular voxel. RESULTS: There was a time × treatment interaction in NAA/tCr (p = 0.04), primarily driven by opposing tCr trends between treatment groups after 48 weeks of treatment. Patients treated with ocrelizumab showed a possible decline in mI after week 48 week, and stable tCr and tCho levels. Conversely, the interferon beta-1a treated group showed possible increases in mI, tCr, and tCho over 96 weeks. CONCLUSIONS: Results from this exploratory study suggest that over 2 years, ocrelizumab reduces gliosis compared with interferon beta-1a, demonstrated by declining ml, and stable tCr and tCho. Ocrelizumab may improve the physiologic milieu by decreasing neurotoxic factors that are generated by inflammatory processes.
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OBJECTIVE: The objective of this paper is to evaluate potential dose-dependent adverse effects of gadolinium-based contrast agents (GBCAs) on MS progression. METHODS: Outcomes from a cohort of 612 secondary progressive MS (SPMS) patients, enrolled in a two-year, placebo-controlled (negative) trial assessing the efficacy of MBP8298, were acquired. Patients received one to four (infrequent cohort; IFR) or 5-11 (frequent cohort; FR) GBCA injections between week 4 and week 104. The primary outcome was the change in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and time to confirmed EDSS progression. Secondary outcomes included the changes in the Multiple Sclerosis Functional Composite (MSFC), Timed 25-Foot Walk (T25FW), 9-Hole-Peg Test (9HPT), and Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test (PASAT) from baseline to week 104. RESULTS: The 512 IFR and 100 FR participants showed no differences in baseline demographics or disease history. The mean change from baseline to week 104 in EDSS was +0.21 (IFR) and +0.13 (FR); MSFC -0.38 (IFR) and -0.14 (FR); T25FW +1.28 (IFR) and +0.55 (FR); 9HPT -0.06 (IFR) and -0.08 (FR); and PASAT +0.22 (IFR) and +0.20 (FR). The FR to IFR progression hazard ratio equaled 0.68 (p = 0.09). There were no significant differences in any of the outcomes between the two cohorts. CONCLUSION: There were no differences in the disability progression measures between the two cohorts, indicating that gadolinium does not result in greater clinical worsening in SPMS after a two-year period.
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BACKGROUND: Long-term follow-up from the randomized trial of interferon beta-1b (IFNB-1b) permitted the assessment of different definitions of no evidence of disease activity (NEDA) for predicting long-term outcome in multiple sclerosis (MS). OBJECTIVE: To examine the predictive validity of different NEDA definitions. METHODS: Predictive validity for negative disability outcomes (NDOs) at 16 years and survival at 21 years post-randomization were assessed. NEDA in the first 2 years was defined as follows: clinical NEDA: no relapses or Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) progression from baseline to Year 2; NEDA-3a: no relapses, no confirmed ⩾1-point EDSS progression, and no new T2-active lesions; NEDA-3b: no relapses, no EDSS progression, and no increase in T2 burden of disease (T2-BOD); and NEDA-4: no relapses, no EDSS progression, and no increase in T2-BOD or atrophy. NDOs were defined as death, need for wheelchair, EDSS ⩾6, or progressive MS. RESULTS: A total of 245 and 371 patients were evaluated at 16 and 21 years, respectively. Clinical NEDA predicted NDOs ( p = 0.0029), as did baseline EDSS ( p < 0.0001), baseline T2-BOD ( p < 0.0001), and change in T2-BOD ( p = 0.0033). IFNB-1b treatment ( p = 0.0251), relapse rate in the 2 years before study start ( p = 0.0260), T2-BOD at baseline ( p = 0.0014), and change in T2-BOD ( p = 0.0129) predicted survival at 21 years. CONCLUSION: Clinical NEDA predicted long-term disability outcome. By contrast, definitions of NEDA that included on-therapy changes in magnetic resonance imaging variables did not increase the predictive validity.
Subject(s)
Adjuvants, Immunologic/pharmacology , Disease Progression , Interferon beta-1b/pharmacology , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/diagnosis , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/drug therapy , Severity of Illness Index , Adult , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Male , Middle Aged , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/diagnostic imaging , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/physiopathology , Prognosis , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Reproducibility of ResultsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Tissue damage in both multiple sclerosis (MS) lesions and normal-appearing white matter (NAWM) are important contributors to disability and progression. Specific aspects of MS pathology can be measured using advanced imaging. Alemtuzumab is a humanised monoclonal antibody targeting CD52 developed for MS treatment. OBJECTIVE: To investigate changes over 2 years of advanced magnetic resonance (MR) metrics in lesions and NAWM of MS patients treated with alemtuzumab. METHODS: A total of 42 relapsing-remitting alemtuzumab-treated MS subjects were scanned for 2 years at 3 T. T1 relaxation, T2 relaxation, diffusion tensor, MR spectroscopy and volumetric sequences were performed. Mean T1 and myelin water fraction (MWF) were determined for stable lesions, new lesions and NAWM. Fractional anisotropy was calculated for the corpus callosum (CC) and N-acetylaspartate (NAA) concentration was determined from a large NAWM voxel. Brain parenchymal fraction (BPF), cortical thickness and CC area were also calculated. RESULTS: No change in any MR measurement was found in lesions or NAWM over 24 months. BPF, cortical thickness and CC area all showed decreases in the first year followed by stability in the second year. CONCLUSION: Advanced MR biomarkers of myelin (MWF) and neuron/axons (NAA) show no change in NAWM over 24 months in alemtuzumab-treated MS participants.
Subject(s)
Alemtuzumab/pharmacology , Disease Progression , Immunologic Factors/pharmacology , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting , White Matter , Adult , Female , Humans , Longitudinal Studies , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopy , Male , Middle Aged , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/diagnostic imaging , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/drug therapy , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/pathology , Treatment Outcome , White Matter/diagnostic imaging , White Matter/drug effects , White Matter/pathologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Reduced myelin water fraction (MWF, a marker for myelin), increased geometric mean T2 (ieGMT2, reflecting intra/extracellular water properties), and increased T1 (related to total water content) have been observed in cross-sectional studies of multiple sclerosis (MS) normal-appearing white matter (NAWM). OBJECTIVE: To assess longitudinal changes of magnetic resonance (MR) measures in relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) brain NAWM. METHODS: A total of 11 subjects with RRMS and 4 controls were scanned on a 3T MRI at baseline and long-term follow-up (LTFU; 3.2-5.8 years) with a 32-echo T2 relaxation and an inversion recovery T1 sequence. For every voxel, MWF, ieGMT2, and T1 were obtained. Mean, peak height, and peak location from NAWM mask-based histograms were determined. RESULTS: In MS subjects, NAWM MWF mean decreased by 8% ( p = 0.0016). No longitudinal changes were measured in T1 or ieGMT2. There was no relationship between change in any MR metric and change in EDSS. Control white matter showed no differences over time in any metric. CONCLUSION: The decreases we observed in MWF suggest that changes in myelin integrity and loss of myelin may be occurring diffusely and over long time periods in the MS brain. The timescale of these changes indicates that chronic, progressive myelin damage is an evolving process occurring over many years.
Subject(s)
Brain/pathology , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/pathology , Myelin Sheath/pathology , White Matter/pathology , Adult , Brain/diagnostic imaging , Female , Humans , Longitudinal Studies , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Male , Middle Aged , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/diagnostic imaging , Water/analysis , White Matter/diagnostic imagingABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Loss of myelin in the spinal cord in multiple sclerosis (MS) is likely an important, and early, contributor to atrophy and associated disability. In vivo measurement of myelin is possible using myelin water fraction (MWF) imaging, but MWF has never been assessed in MS along the entire length of the spinal cord in vivo or in post-mortem tissue. OBJECTIVE: To assess the feasibility of measuring the distribution of MWF along the entire length of the spinal cord in post-mortem MS tissue using high-field MRI. METHODS: One formalin-fixed spinal cord from a female with secondary progressive MS (age: 78 years, disease duration: 25 years) was cut into 104 5-mm-thick cross sections along the entire length of the spinal cord from the cervico-medullary junction to the conus medullaris and imaged using a 64 echo T2 relaxation experiment at 7T. RESULTS: Myelin water maps showed cord anatomy in superb detail, white matter demonstrating a higher MWF than the grey matter. Anatomical variation in myelin distribution along cervical, thoracic and lumbar regions was observed. Lesions demonstrated myelin loss. CONCLUSION: Post-mortem myelin water imaging of formalin-fixed MS spinal cord is feasible.
Subject(s)
Multiple Sclerosis, Chronic Progressive/diagnostic imaging , Myelin Sheath , Spinal Cord/diagnostic imaging , Aged , Autopsy , Female , Humans , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , WaterABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: The objective of this article is to investigate potential clinical and MRI predictors of long-term outcomes in multiple sclerosis (MS). METHODS: This was a post hoc analysis using data from all 382 patients in the PRISMS long-term follow-up (LTFU) study collected up to eight years after randomisation. An additional analysis was performed including only those patients originally randomised to receive early subcutaneous interferon (IFN) ß-1a (n = 259). Baseline/prestudy variables, indicators of early clinical and MRI activity (baseline to month 24), and indicators of IFN ß-1a treatment exposure (including medication possession ratio (MPR)) were investigated as candidate prognostic factors for outcomes measured from baseline and from month 24 to LTFU. Explanatory variables identified from univariate regression models (p ≤ 0.15) were selected for inclusion in stepwise multiple regression models. RESULTS: Candidate prognostic factors selected by the univariate analysis (p ≤ 0.15) included age, MS duration, baseline brain volume, EDSS score, and log(T2 burden of disease (BOD)). In most of the multivariate regression models applied, higher baseline brain volume and MPR predicted better long-term clinical outcomes, while higher baseline and greater early increase in EDSS score predicted worse outcomes. CONCLUSION: Identification of markers that may be prognostic for long-term disability could help identify MS patients at higher risk of disability progression.
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BACKGROUND: Both multiple sclerosis (MS) and neuromyelitis optica (NMO) can present with transverse myelitis; however, NMO symptoms are usually more severe and may present with more extensive axonal loss. Transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS)-based input-output recruitment curves can quantitatively assess the excitability of corticospinal tract pathways and myelin water imaging can quantify the amount of myelin within this same pathway. OBJECTIVE: To compare differential effects of MS and NMO on TMS recruitment curves and myelin water imaging. METHODS: Ten healthy controls, 10 individuals with MS and 10 individuals with NMO completed clinical assessments, a TMS assessment and magnetic resonance imaging scan to measure recruitment curves and myelin water fraction in the corticospinal tract. RESULTS: Individuals with NMO had lower recruitment curve slopes (mean 13.6±6 µV/%) than MS (23.6±11 µV/%) and controls (21.9±9 µV/%, analysis of variance (ANOVA) P=0.05). Corticospinal tract myelin water fraction was lower in individuals with NMO (mean 0.17±0.02) compared to MS (0.19±0.02) and controls (0.20±0.02, ANOVA P=0.0006). CONCLUSION: Corticospinal pathway damage in individuals with NMO was evident by reduced recruitment curve slope and lower myelin water fraction. These specific measures of corticospinal function and structure may be used to obtain a better understanding and monitor brain injury caused by inflammatory central nervous system disorders.
Subject(s)
Multiple Sclerosis/pathology , Multiple Sclerosis/physiopathology , Neuromyelitis Optica/pathology , Neuromyelitis Optica/physiopathology , Pyramidal Tracts/pathology , Pyramidal Tracts/physiopathology , Adult , Female , Humans , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Male , Middle Aged , Transcranial Magnetic StimulationABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: An abnormal increase of contrast-enhancing lesion (CEL) counts on frequent MRIs is interpreted as a signal of potential worsening in multiple sclerosis (MS) clinical trials. We demonstrate the utility of the MR personalized activity index (MR-pax) to identify such increases. METHODS: We analyzed a previous Phase II study in relapsing patients (n = 167) with MRIs at screening, baseline and months 1-6. We performed five consecutive reviews at 90-day intervals. At each review, we evaluate the MR-pax for each patient and also identify those who meet the rule-of-five (an ad-hoc guideline currently in use). To evaluate its clinical relevance, we assess the relation between having a small MR-pax (≤0.05; indicating an unexpected CEL increase) and relapse status in the 12 weeks post-review. RESULTS: Of the 399 patient reviews, 35 cases met the rule-of-five; 35 had an MR-pax ≤ 0.05; 18 met both criteria. The proportions experiencing clinical relapse are 63% among those meeting the rule-of-five, 61% among those with MR-pax ≤0.05, and 83% for those meeting both criteria, more than double the rate of those meeting neither criterion (40%). CONCLUSION: A guideline combining this new personalized index and the existing threshold-based criterion is able to better identify patients with a higher risk of experiencing relapses.
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We assess two modified guidelines for monitoring patient safety in multiple sclerosis (MS) trials. These guidelines flag patients with an increase in contrast enhancing lesion (CEL) count above a threshold over the CEL level 1-2 months earlier. We compare the new guidelines to the original guideline where the threshold is set according to the baseline by applying the guidelines to two previous studies. The odds ratios of a subsequent clinical relapse associated with meeting the CEL threshold based on the modified guidelines are similar to those based on the original guideline. There is a need for patient and cohort specific monitoring procedures.