Identifying a Heterogeneous Effect of Atrial Fibrillation Screening in Older Adults: A Secondary Analysis of the VITAL-AF Trial.

Background: One-time screening trials for atrial fibrillation (AF) have produced mixed results; however, it is unclear if there is a subset of individuals for whom screening would be effective. Identifying such a subgroup would support targeted screening. Methods: We conducted a secondary analysis of VITAL-AF, a randomized trial of one-time, single-lead ECG screening during primary care visits. We tested two approaches to identify heterogeneous screening effects. First, we developed an effect-based model for heterogeneous screening effects using a potential outcomes framework. Specifically, we predicted the likelihood of AF diagnosis under both screening and usual care conditions using LASSO, a penalized regression method. The difference between these probabilities was the predicted screening effect. Second, we used the CHARGE-AF score, a validated AF risk model, to test for a heterogeneous screening effect. We used interaction testing to determine if observed AF diagnosis rates in the screening and control groups differed when stratified by decile of the predicted screening effect and predicted AF risk. Results: Baseline characteristics were similar between the screening (n=15187) and usual care (n=15078) groups (mean age 74 years, 59% female). On average, screening did not significantly increase the AF diagnosis rate (2.55 vs. 2.30 per 100 person-years, rate difference 0.24, 95%CI -0.18 to 0.67). In the effect-based analysis, in the highest decile of predicted screening efficacy (n=3026), AF diagnosis rates were higher in the screening group (6.5 vs. 3.06 per 100 person-years, rate difference 3.45, 95%CI 1.62 to 5.28, interaction p-value 0.003). In this group, the mean age was 84 years, 68% were female, and 55% had vascular disease. The risk-based analysis did not identify a subgroup where screening was more effective. Predicted screening effectiveness and predicted baseline AF risk were poorly correlated and demonstrated a U-shaped relationship (Spearman coefficient 0.13). Conclusions: In a secondary analysis of the VITAL-AF trial, we identified a small subgroup where one-time screening was associated with increased AF diagnoses using an effect-based approach. In this study, predicted AF risk was a poor proxy for predicted screening efficacy. These data caution against the assumption that high AF risk is necessarily correlated with high screening efficacy.

Automated interpretations of single-lead electrocardiograms predict incident atrial fibrillation: The VITAL-AF trial.

BACKGROUND: Single-lead electrocardiograms (1L ECGs) are increasingly used for atrial fibrillation (AF) detection. Automated 1L ECG interpretation may have prognostic value for future AF in cases in which screening does not result in a short-term AF diagnosis. OBJECTIVE: We sought to investigate the association between automated 1L ECG interpretation and incident AF. METHODS: VITAL-AF was a randomized controlled trial investigating the effectiveness of screening for AF by 1L ECGs. For this study, participants were divided into 4 groups based on automated classification of 1L ECGs. Patients with prevalent AF were excluded. Associations between groups and incident AF were assessed by Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for risk factors. The start of follow-up was defined as 60 days after the latest 1L ECG (as some individuals had numerous screening 1L ECGs). RESULTS: The study sample included never screened (n = 16,306), normal (n = 10,914), other (n = 2675), and possible AF (n = 561). Possible AF had the highest AF incidence (5.91 per 100 person-years; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4.24-8.23). Possible AF was associated with greater hazard of incident AF compared with normal (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.48; 95% CI, 1.66-3.71). Other was associated with greater hazard of incident AF compared with normal (1.41; 95% CI, 1.04-1.90). CONCLUSION: In patients undergoing AF screening with 1L ECGs without prevalent AF or AF within 60 days of screening, presumptive positive and indeterminate 1L ECG interpretations were associated with future AF. Abnormal 1L ECG recordings may identify individuals at higher risk for future AF.

Deep learning of left atrial structure and function provides link to atrial fibrillation risk.

Increased left atrial volume and decreased left atrial function have long been associated with atrial fibrillation. The availability of large-scale cardiac magnetic resonance imaging data paired with genetic data provides a unique opportunity to assess the genetic contributions to left atrial structure and function, and understand their relationship with risk for atrial fibrillation. Here, we use deep learning and surface reconstruction models to measure left atrial minimum volume, maximum volume, stroke volume, and emptying fraction in 40,558 UK Biobank participants. In a genome-wide association study of 35,049 participants without pre-existing cardiovascular disease, we identify 20 common genetic loci associated with left atrial structure and function. We find that polygenic contributions to increased left atrial volume are associated with atrial fibrillation and its downstream consequences, including stroke. Through Mendelian randomization, we find evidence supporting a causal role for left atrial enlargement and dysfunction on atrial fibrillation risk.

Noninvasive assessment of organ-specific and shared pathways in multi-organ fibrosis using T1 mapping.

Fibrotic diseases affect multiple organs and are associated with morbidity and mortality. To examine organ-specific and shared biologic mechanisms that underlie fibrosis in different organs, we developed machine learning models to quantify T1 time, a marker of interstitial fibrosis, in the liver, pancreas, heart and kidney among 43,881 UK Biobank participants who underwent magnetic resonance imaging. In phenome-wide association analyses, we demonstrate the association of increased organ-specific T1 time, reflecting increased interstitial fibrosis, with prevalent diseases across multiple organ systems. In genome-wide association analyses, we identified 27, 18, 11 and 10 independent genetic loci associated with liver, pancreas, myocardial and renal cortex T1 time, respectively. There was a modest genetic correlation between the examined organs. Several loci overlapped across the examined organs implicating genes involved in a myriad of biologic pathways including metal ion transport (SLC39A8, HFE and TMPRSS6), glucose metabolism (PCK2), blood group antigens (ABO and FUT2), immune function (BANK1 and PPP3CA), inflammation (NFKB1) and mitosis (CENPE). Finally, we found that an increasing number of organs with T1 time falling in the top quintile was associated with increased mortality in the population. Individuals with a high burden of fibrosis in ≥3 organs had a 3-fold increase in mortality compared to those with a low burden of fibrosis across all examined organs in multivariable-adjusted analysis (hazard ratio = 3.31, 95% confidence interval 1.77-6.19; P = 1.78 × 10-4). By leveraging machine learning to quantify T1 time across multiple organs at scale, we uncovered new organ-specific and shared biologic pathways underlying fibrosis that may provide therapeutic targets.

Incidence and prognostic significance of newly-diagnosed atrial fibrillation among older U.S. veterans hospitalized with COVID-19.

Most prior studies on the prognostic significance of newly-diagnosed atrial fibrillation (AF) in COVID-19 did not differentiate newly-diagnosed AF from pre-existing AF. To determine the association between newly-diagnosed AF and in-hospital and 30-day mortality among regular users of Veterans Health Administration using data linked to Medicare. We identified Veterans aged ≥ 65 years who were hospitalized for ≥ 24 h with COVID-19 from 06/01/2020 to 1/31/2022 and had ≥ 2 primary care visits within 24 months prior to the index hospitalization. We performed multivariable logistic regression analyses to estimate adjusted risks, risk differences (RD), and odds ratios (OR) for the association between newly-diagnosed AF and the mortality outcomes adjusting for patient demographics, baseline comorbidities, and presence of acute organ dysfunction on admission. Of 23,299 patients in the study cohort, 5.3% had newly-diagnosed AF, and 29.2% had pre-existing AF. In newly-diagnosed AF adjusted in-hospital and 30-day mortality were 16.5% and 22.7%, respectively. Newly-diagnosed AF was associated with increased mortality compared to pre-existing AF (in-hospital: OR 2.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.72-2.37; RD 7.58%, 95% CI 5.54-9.62) (30-day: OR 1.86; 95% CI 1.60-2.16; RD 9.04%, 95% CI 6.61-11.5) or no AF (in-hospital: OR 2.24, 95% CI 1.93-2.60; RD 8.40%, 95% CI 6.44-10.4) (30-day: 2.07, 95% CI 1.80-2.37; RD 10.2%, 95% CI 7.89-12.6). There was a smaller association between pre-existing AF and the mortality outcomes. Newly-diagnosed AF is an important prognostic marker for patients hospitalized with COVID-19. Whether prevention or treatment of AF improves clinical outcomes in these patients remains unknown.

Clonal haematopoiesis of indeterminate potential predicts incident cardiac arrhythmias.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Clonal haematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP), the age-related expansion of blood cells with preleukemic mutations, is associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and heart failure. This study aimed to test the association of CHIP with new-onset arrhythmias. METHODS: UK Biobank participants without prevalent arrhythmias were included. Co-primary study outcomes were supraventricular arrhythmias, bradyarrhythmias, and ventricular arrhythmias. Secondary outcomes were cardiac arrest, atrial fibrillation, and any arrhythmia. Associations of any CHIP [variant allele fraction (VAF) ≥ 2%], large CHIP (VAF ≥10%), and gene-specific CHIP subtypes with incident arrhythmias were evaluated using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression. Associations of CHIP with myocardial interstitial fibrosis [T1 measured using cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR)] were also tested. RESULTS: This study included 410 702 participants [CHIP: n = 13 892 (3.4%); large CHIP: n = 9191 (2.2%)]. Any and large CHIP were associated with multi-variable-adjusted hazard ratios of 1.11 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04-1.18; P = .001] and 1.13 (95% CI 1.05-1.22; P = .001) for supraventricular arrhythmias, 1.09 (95% CI 1.01-1.19; P = .031) and 1.13 (95% CI 1.03-1.25; P = .011) for bradyarrhythmias, and 1.16 (95% CI, 1.00-1.34; P = .049) and 1.22 (95% CI 1.03-1.45; P = .021) for ventricular arrhythmias, respectively. Associations were independent of coronary artery disease and heart failure. Associations were also heterogeneous across arrhythmia subtypes and strongest for cardiac arrest. Gene-specific analyses revealed an increased risk of arrhythmias across driver genes other than DNMT3A. Large CHIP was associated with 1.31-fold odds (95% CI 1.07-1.59; P = .009) of being in the top quintile of myocardial fibrosis by CMR. CONCLUSIONS: CHIP may represent a novel risk factor for incident arrhythmias, indicating a potential target for modulation towards arrhythmia prevention and treatment.

Natural Language Processing for Adjudication of Heart Failure in a Multicenter Clinical Trial: A Secondary Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: The gold standard for outcome adjudication in clinical trials is medical record review by a physician clinical events committee (CEC), which requires substantial time and expertise. Automated adjudication of medical records by natural language processing (NLP) may offer a more resource-efficient alternative but this approach has not been validated in a multicenter setting. Objective: To externally validate the Community Care Cohort Project (C3PO) NLP model for heart failure (HF) hospitalization adjudication, which was previously developed and tested within one health care system, compared to gold-standard CEC adjudication in a multicenter clinical trial. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a retrospective analysis of the Influenza Vaccine to Effectively Stop Cardio Thoracic Events and Decompensated Heart Failure (INVESTED) trial, which compared 2 influenza vaccines in 5260 participants with cardiovascular disease at 157 sites in the US and Canada between September 2016 and January 2019. Analysis was performed from November 2022 to October 2023. Exposures: Individual sites submitted medical records for each hospitalization. The central INVESTED CEC and the C3PO NLP model independently adjudicated whether the cause of hospitalization was HF using the prepared hospitalization dossier. The C3PO NLP model was fine-tuned (C3PO + INVESTED) and a de novo NLP model was trained using half the INVESTED hospitalizations. Main Outcomes and Measures: Concordance between the C3PO NLP model HF adjudication and the gold-standard INVESTED CEC adjudication was measured by raw agreement, κ, sensitivity, and specificity. The fine-tuned and de novo INVESTED NLP models were evaluated in an internal validation cohort not used for training. Results: Among 4060 hospitalizations in 1973 patients (mean [SD] age, 66.4 [13.2] years; 514 [27.4%] female and 1432 [72.6%] male]), 1074 hospitalizations (26%) were adjudicated as HF by the CEC. There was good agreement between the C3PO NLP and CEC HF adjudications (raw agreement, 87% [95% CI, 86-88]; κ, 0.69 [95% CI, 0.66-0.72]). C3PO NLP model sensitivity was 94% (95% CI, 92-95) and specificity was 84% (95% CI, 83-85). The fine-tuned C3PO and de novo NLP models demonstrated agreement of 93% (95% CI, 92-94) and κ of 0.82 (95% CI, 0.77-0.86) and 0.83 (95% CI, 0.79-0.87), respectively, vs the CEC. CEC reviewer interrater reproducibility was 94% (95% CI, 93-95; κ, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.80-0.89]). Conclusions and Relevance: The C3PO NLP model developed within 1 health care system identified HF events with good agreement relative to the gold-standard CEC in an external multicenter clinical trial. Fine-tuning the model improved agreement and approximated human reproducibility. Further study is needed to determine whether NLP will improve the efficiency of future multicenter clinical trials by identifying clinical events at scale.

Deep learned representations of the resting 12-lead electrocardiogram to predict at peak exercise.

AIMS: To leverage deep learning on the resting 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) to estimate peak oxygen consumption (V˙O2peak) without cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET). METHODS AND RESULTS: V ˙ O 2 peak estimation models were developed in 1891 individuals undergoing CPET at Massachusetts General Hospital (age 45 ± 19 years, 38% female) and validated in a separate test set (MGH Test, n = 448) and external sample (BWH Test, n = 1076). Three penalized linear models were compared: (i) age, sex, and body mass index ('Basic'), (ii) Basic plus standard ECG measurements ('Basic + ECG Parameters'), and (iii) basic plus 320 deep learning-derived ECG variables instead of ECG measurements ('Deep ECG-V˙O2'). Associations between estimated V˙O2peak and incident disease were assessed using proportional hazards models within 84 718 primary care patients without CPET. Inference ECGs preceded CPET by 7 days (median, interquartile range 27-0 days). Among models, Deep ECG-V˙O2 was most accurate in MGH Test [r = 0.845, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.817-0.870; mean absolute error (MAE) 5.84, 95% CI 5.39-6.29] and BWH Test (r = 0.552, 95% CI 0.509-0.592, MAE 6.49, 95% CI 6.21-6.67). Deep ECG-V˙O2 also outperformed the Wasserman, Jones, and FRIEND reference equations (P < 0.01 for comparisons of correlation). Performance was higher in BWH Test when individuals with heart failure (HF) were excluded (r = 0.628, 95% CI 0.567-0.682; MAE 5.97, 95% CI 5.57-6.37). Deep ECG-V˙O2 estimated V˙O2peak <14 mL/kg/min was associated with increased risks of incident atrial fibrillation [hazard ratio 1.36 (95% CI 1.21-1.54)], myocardial infarction [1.21 (1.02-1.45)], HF [1.67 (1.49-1.88)], and death [1.84 (1.68-2.03)]. CONCLUSION: Deep learning-enabled analysis of the resting 12-lead ECG can estimate exercise capacity (V˙O2peak) at scale to enable efficient cardiovascular risk stratification.

Researchers here present data describing a method of estimating exercise capacity from the resting electrocardiogram. Electrocardiogram estimation of exercise capacity was accurate and was found to predict the onset of the wide range of cardiovascular diseases including heart attacks, heart failure, arrhythmia, and death.This approach offers the ability to estimate exercise capacity without dedicated exercise testing and may enable efficient risk stratification of cardiac patients at scale.

Characteristics and Attitudes of Wearable Device Users and Nonusers in a Large Health Care System.

BACKGROUND: Consumer wearable devices with health and wellness features are increasingly common and may enhance disease detection and management. Yet studies informing relationships between wearable device use, attitudes toward device data, and comprehensive clinical profiles are lacking. METHODS AND RESULTS: WATCH-IT (Wearable Activity Tracking for Comprehensive Healthcare-Integrated Technology) studied adults receiving longitudinal primary or ambulatory cardiovascular care in the Mass General Brigham health care system from January 2010 to July 2021. Participants completed a 20-question electronic survey about perceptions and use of consumer wearable devices, with responses linked to electronic health records. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with device use. Among 214 992 individuals receiving longitudinal primary or cardiovascular care with an active electronic portal, 11 121 responded (5.2%). Most respondents (55.8%) currently used a wearable device, and most nonusers (95.3%) would use a wearable if provided at no cost. Although most users (70.2%) had not shared device data with their doctor previously, most believed it would be very (20.4%) or moderately (34.4%) important to share device-related health information with providers. In multivariable models, older age (odds ratio [OR], 0.80 per 10-year increase [95% CI, 0.77-0.82]), male sex (OR, 0.87 [95% CI, 0.80-0.95]), and heart failure (OR, 0.75 [95% CI, 0.63-0.89]) were associated with lower odds of wearable device use, whereas higher median income (OR, 1.08 per 1-quartile increase [95% CI, 1.04-1.12]) and care in a cardiovascular medicine clinic (OR, 1.17 [95% CI, 1.05-1.30]) were associated with greater odds of device use. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients in primary and cardiovascular medicine clinics, consumer wearable device use is common, and most users perceive value in wearable health data.

Clinical Management of Brugada Syndrome: Commentary From the Experts.

Although there is consensus on the management of patients with Brugada Syndrome with high risk for sudden cardiac arrest, asymptomatic or intermediate-risk patients present clinical management challenges. This document explores the management opinions of experts throughout the world for patients with Brugada Syndrome who do not fit guideline recommendations. Four real-world clinical scenarios were presented with commentary from small expert groups for each case. All authors voted on case-specific questions to evaluate the level of consensus among the entire group in nuanced diagnostic and management decisions relevant to each case. Points of agreement, points of controversy, and gaps in knowledge are highlighted.

Deep Learning-Enabled Assessment of Left Heart Structure and Function Predicts Cardiovascular Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Deep learning interpretation of echocardiographic images may facilitate automated assessment of cardiac structure and function. OBJECTIVES: We developed a deep learning model to interpret echocardiograms and examined the association of deep learning-derived echocardiographic measures with incident outcomes. METHODS: We trained and validated a 3-dimensional convolutional neural network model for echocardiographic view classification and quantification of left atrial dimension, left ventricular wall thickness, chamber diameter, and ejection fraction. The training sample comprised 64,028 echocardiograms (n = 27,135) from a retrospective multi-institutional ambulatory cardiology electronic health record sample. Validation was performed in a separate longitudinal primary care sample and an external health care system data set. Cox models evaluated the association of model-derived left heart measures with incident outcomes. RESULTS: Deep learning discriminated echocardiographic views (area under the receiver operating curve >0.97 for parasternal long axis, apical 4-chamber, and apical 2-chamber views vs human expert annotation) and quantified standard left heart measures (R2 range = 0.53 to 0.91 vs study report values). Model performance was similar in 2 external validation samples. Model-derived left heart measures predicted incident heart failure, atrial fibrillation, myocardial infarction, and death. A 1-SD lower model-left ventricular ejection fraction was associated with 43% greater risk of heart failure (HR: 1.43; 95% CI: 1.23-1.66) and 17% greater risk of death (HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.06-1.30). Similar results were observed for other model-derived left heart measures. CONCLUSIONS: Deep learning echocardiographic interpretation accurately quantified standard measures of left heart structure and function, which in turn were associated with future clinical outcomes. Deep learning may enable automated echocardiogram interpretation and disease prediction at scale.

The GenoVA study: Equitable implementation of a pragmatic randomized trial of polygenic-risk scoring in primary care.

Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) hold promise for disease risk assessment and prevention. The Genomic Medicine at Veterans Affairs (GenoVA) Study is addressing three main challenges to the clinical implementation of PRSs in preventive care: defining and determining their clinical utility, implementing them in time-constrained primary care settings, and countering their potential to exacerbate healthcare disparities. The study processes used to test patients, report their PRS results to them and their primary care providers (PCPs), and promote the use of those results in clinical decision-making are modeled on common practices in primary care. The following diseases were chosen for their prevalence and familiarity to PCPs: coronary artery disease; type 2 diabetes; atrial fibrillation; and breast, colorectal, and prostate cancers. A randomized clinical trial (RCT) design and primary outcome of time-to-new-diagnosis of a target disease bring methodological rigor to the question of the clinical utility of PRS implementation. The study's pragmatic RCT design enhances its relevance to how PRS might reasonably be implemented in primary care. Steps the study has taken to promote health equity include the thoughtful handling of genetic ancestry in PRS construction and reporting and enhanced recruitment strategies to address underrepresentation in research participation. To date, enhanced recruitment efforts have been both necessary and successful: participants of underrepresented race and ethnicity groups have been less likely to enroll in the study than expected but ultimately achieved proportional representation through targeted efforts. The GenoVA Study experience to date offers insights for evaluating the clinical utility of equitable PRS implementation in adult primary care.

Natural Language Processing for Adjudication of Heart Failure Hospitalizations in a Multi-Center Clinical Trial.

Background: The gold standard for outcome adjudication in clinical trials is chart review by a physician clinical events committee (CEC), which requires substantial time and expertise. Automated adjudication by natural language processing (NLP) may offer a more resource-efficient alternative. We previously showed that the Community Care Cohort Project (C3PO) NLP model adjudicates heart failure (HF) hospitalizations accurately within one healthcare system. Methods: This study externally validated the C3PO NLP model against CEC adjudication in the INVESTED trial. INVESTED compared influenza vaccination formulations in 5260 patients with cardiovascular disease at 157 North American sites. A central CEC adjudicated the cause of hospitalizations from medical records. We applied the C3PO NLP model to medical records from 4060 INVESTED hospitalizations and evaluated agreement between the NLP and final consensus CEC HF adjudications. We then fine-tuned the C3PO NLP model (C3PO+INVESTED) and trained a de novo model using half the INVESTED hospitalizations, and evaluated these models in the other half. NLP performance was benchmarked to CEC reviewer inter-rater reproducibility. Results: 1074 hospitalizations (26%) were adjudicated as HF by the CEC. There was high agreement between the C3PO NLP and CEC HF adjudications (agreement 87%, kappa statistic 0.69). C3PO NLP model sensitivity was 94% and specificity was 84%. The fine-tuned C3PO and de novo NLP models demonstrated agreement of 93% and kappa of 0.82 and 0.83, respectively. CEC reviewer inter-rater reproducibility was 94% (kappa 0.85). Conclusion: Our NLP model developed within a single healthcare system accurately identified HF events relative to the gold-standard CEC in an external multi-center clinical trial. Fine-tuning the model improved agreement and approximated human reproducibility. NLP may improve the efficiency of future multi-center clinical trials by accurately identifying clinical events at scale.

Characteristics and Attitudes of Wearable Device Users and Non-Users in a Large Healthcare System.

Introduction: Consumer wearable devices with health and wellness features are increasingly common and may enhance prevention and management of cardiovascular disease. However, the characteristics and attitudes of wearable device users versus non-users are poorly understood. Methods: Wearable Activity Tracking for Comprehensive Healthcare-Integrated Technology (WATCH-IT) was a prospective study of adults aged ≥18 years receiving longitudinal primary or ambulatory cardiovascular care at one of eleven hospitals within the Mass General Brigham multi-institutional healthcare system between January 2010-July 2021. We invited patients, including wearable users and non-users, to participate via an electronic patient portal. Participants were asked to complete a 20-question survey regarding perceptions and use of consumer wearable devices. Responses were linked to electronic health record data. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with device use. Results: Among 280,834 individuals receiving longitudinal primary or cardiovascular care, 65,842 did not have an active electronic portal or opted out of research contact. Of the 214,992 individuals sent a survey link, 11,121 responded (5.2%), comprising the WATCH-IT patient sample. Most respondents (55.8%) reported current use of a wearable device, and most non-users (95.3%) reported they would use a wearable device if provided at no cost. Although most users (70.2%) had not shared device data with their doctor previously, the majority believed it would be very (20.4%) or moderately (34.4%) important to share device-related health information with providers. In multivariable models, older age (odds ratio [OR] 0.80 per 10-year increase, 95% CI 0.77-0.82), male sex (0.87, 95% CI 0.80-0.95), and heart failure (0.75, 95% CI 0.63-0.89) were associated with lower odds of wearable device use, whereas higher median zip code income (1.08 per 1-quartile increase, 95% CI 1.04-1.12) and care in a cardiovascular medicine clinic (1.17, 95% CI 1.05-1.30) were associated with greater odds of device use. Nearly all respondents (98%) stated they would share device data with researchers studying health outcomes. Conclusions: Within an electronically assembled cohort of patients in primary and cardiovascular medicine clinics with linkage to detailed health records, wearable device use is common. Most users perceive value in wearable data. Our platform may enable future study of the relationships between wearable technology and resource utilization, clinical outcomes, and health disparities.

Identifying high risk clinical phenogroups of pulmonary hypertension through a clustering analysis.

INTRODUCTION: The classification and management of pulmonary hypertension (PH) is challenging due to clinical heterogeneity of patients. We sought to identify distinct multimorbid phenogroups of patients with PH that are at particularly high-risk for adverse events. METHODS: A hospital-based cohort of patients referred for right heart catheterization between 2005-2016 with PH were included. Key exclusion criteria were shock, cardiac arrest, cardiac transplant, or valvular surgery. K-prototypes was used to cluster patients into phenogroups based on 12 clinical covariates. RESULTS: Among 5208 patients with mean age 64±12 years, 39% women, we identified 5 distinct multimorbid PH phenogroups with similar hemodynamic measures yet differing clinical outcomes: (1) "young men with obesity", (2) "women with hypertension", (3) "men with overweight", (4) "men with cardiometabolic and cardiovascular disease", and (5) "men with structural heart disease and atrial fibrillation." Over a median follow-up of 6.3 years, we observed 2182 deaths and 2002 major cardiovascular events (MACE). In age- and sex-adjusted analyses, phenogroups 4 and 5 had higher risk of MACE (HR 1.68, 95% CI 1.41-2.00 and HR 1.52, 95% CI 1.24-1.87, respectively, compared to the lowest risk phenogroup 1). Phenogroup 4 had the highest risk of mortality (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.04-1.52, relative to phenogroup 1). CONCLUSIONS: Cluster-based analyses identify patients with PH and specific comorbid cardiometabolic and cardiovascular disease burden that are at highest risk for adverse clinical outcomes. Interestingly, cardiopulmonary hemodynamics were similar across phenogroups, highlighting the importance of multimorbidity on clinical trajectory. Further studies are needed to better understand comorbid heterogeneity among patients with PH.

Effect of clinic-based single-lead electrocardiogram rhythm assessment on oral anticoagulation prescriptions in patients with previously diagnosed atrial fibrillation.

Background: Despite benefits of oral anticoagulation (OAC), many individuals with diagnosed atrial fibrillation (AF) do not receive OAC. Objective: The purpose of this study was to assess whether cardiac rhythm assessment for AF impacted use of OAC in patients with previously diagnosed AF. Methods: VITAL-AF was a cluster randomized controlled trial conducted in 16 primary care practices assessing the efficacy of AF rhythm assessment with single-lead electrocardiogram in routine care. Patients 65 years and older were offered rhythm assessment at visits. In this secondary analysis, we evaluated rhythm assessment uptake and compared initiation and discontinuation of OAC in patients with previously diagnosed AF from intervention and control arms over 1 year. Results: The study included 4593 patients with previously diagnosed AF (2250 intervention; 2343 control). In the intervention arm, 2022 (89.9%) completed rhythm assessment (median 2 visits with rhythm assessment) and 40.1% had ≥1 "Possible AF" result. Initiation of OAC was similar in the intervention (17.7%) and control (19.1%) arms but was influenced by the rhythm assessment result: higher with a "Possible AF" (26.1%; adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.62; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-2.51), and lower with a "Normal" result (9.9%; aOR 0.45; 95% CI 0.29-0.71) compared to control. OAC discontinuation was similar in the intervention (6.3%) and control (7.2%) arms, with lower discontinuation with a "Possible AF" result (3.8%; aOR 0.51; 95% CI 0.32-0.81). Conclusions: Including patients with previously diagnosed AF in a point-of-care rhythm assessment strategy did not increase overall OAC use compared to the control arm. However, the rhythm assessment result influenced both initiation and discontinuation of OAC.

Accuracy and variability of cardiologist interpretation of single lead electrocardiograms for atrial fibrillation: The VITAL-AF trial.

BACKGROUND: Screening for atrial fibrillation (AF) using consumer-based devices capable of producing a single lead electrocardiogram (1L ECG) is increasing. There are limited data on the accuracy of physician interpretation of these tracings. The goal of this study is to assess the sensitivity, specificity, confidence, and variability of cardiologist interpretation of point-of-care 1L ECGs. METHODS: Fifteen cardiologists reviewed point-of-care handheld 1L ECGs collected from patients aged 65 years or older enrolled in the VITAL-AF clinical trial [NCT035115057] who underwent cardiac rhythm assessments with a 1L ECG using an AliveCor KardiaMobile device. Random sampling of 1L ECGs for cardiologist review was stratified by the AliveCor algorithm interpretation. A 12L ECG performed on the same day for clinical purposes was used as the gold standard. Cardiologists each reviewed a common sample of 200 1L ECG tracings and completed a survey associated with each tracing. Cardiologists were blinded to both the AliveCor algorithm and same day 12L ECG interpretation. For each tracing, study cardiologists were asked to assess the rhythm (sinus rhythm, AF, unclassifiable), report their assessment of the quality of the tracing, and rate their confidence in rhythm interpretation. The outcomes included the sensitivity, specificity, variability, and confidence in physician interpretation. Variables associated with each measure were identified using multivariable regression. RESULTS: The average sensitivity for AF was 77.4% (range 50%-90.6%, standard deviation [SD]=11.4%) and the average specificity was 73.0% (range 41.3%-94.6%, SD = 15.4%). The mean variability was 30.8% (range 0%-76.2%, SD = 23.2%). The average reviewer confidence of 1L ECG rhythm assessment was 3.6 out of 5 (range 2.5-4.2, SD = 0.6). Patient and tracing factors associated with sensitivity, specificity, variability, and confidence were identified and included age, body mass index, and presence of artifact. CONCLUSION: Cardiologist interpretation of point-of-care handheld 1L ECGs has modest diagnostic sensitivity and specificity with substantial variability for AF classification despite high confidence. Variability in cardiologist interpretation of 1L ECGs highlights the importance of confirmatory testing for diagnosing AF.

Screening for undiagnosed atrial fibrillation using a single-lead electrocardiogram at primary care visits: patient uptake and practitioner perspectives from the VITAL-AF trial.

BACKGROUND: Screening for atrial fibrillation (AF) is appealing because AF is common, when undiagnosed may increase stroke risk, and stroke is preventable with anticoagulants. This study assessed patient and primary care practitioner (PCP) acceptability of screening for AF using a 30-s single-lead electrocardiogram (SL-ECG) during outpatient visits. METHODS: Secondary analyses of a cluster randomized trial. All patients ≥ 65 years old without prevalent AF seen during a 1-year period and their PCPs. Screening using a SL-ECG was performed by medical assistants during check-in at 8 intervention sites among verbally consenting patients. PCPs were notified of "possible AF" results; management was left to their discretion. Control practices continued with usual care. Following the trial, PCPs were surveyed about AF screening. Outcomes included screening uptake and results, and PCP preferences for screening. RESULTS: Fifteen thousand three hundred ninety three patients were seen in intervention practices (mean age 73.9 years old, 59.7% female). Screening occurred at 78% of 38,502 individual encounters, and 91% of patients completed ≥ 1 screening. The positive predictive value of a "Possible AF" result (4.7% of SL-ECG tracings) at an encounter prior to a new AF diagnosis was 9.5%. Same-day 12-lead ECGs were slightly more frequent among intervention (7.0%) than control (6.2%) encounters (p = 0.07). Among the 208 PCPs completing a survey (73.6%; 78.9% intervention, 67.7% control), most favored screening for AF (87.2% vs. 83.6%, respectively), though SL-ECG screening was favored by intervention PCPs (86%) while control PCPs favored pulse palpation (65%). Both groups were less certain if AF screening should be done outside of office visits with patch monitors (47% unsure) or consumer devices (54% unsure). CONCLUSIONS: Though the benefits and harms of screening for AF remain uncertain, most older patients underwent screening and PCPs were able to manage SL-ECG results, supporting the feasibility of routine primary care screening. PCPs exposed to a SL-ECG device preferred it over pulse palpation. PCPs were largely uncertain about AF screening done outside of practice visits. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03515057. Registered May 3, 2018.