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1.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38964630

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Naturalistic developmental behavioral interventions (NDBI) for children with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) show evidence for effectiveness for specific social communication targets such as joint attention or engagement. However, combining evidence from different studies and comparing intervention effects across those studies have not been feasible due to lack of a standardized outcome measure of broader social communication skills that can be applied uniformly across trials. This investigation examines the usefulness of the Brief Observation of Social Communication Change (BOSCC) as a common outcome measure of general social communication skills based on secondary analyses of data obtained from previously conducted randomized control trials (RCTs) of three intervention models, the Early Social Intervention (ESI), Early Start Denver Model (ESDM) and Joint Attention Symbolic Play Engagement and Regulation (JASPER). METHOD: The subset of datasets from the three RCTs was created to examine differences in the BOSCC scores between intervention and control groups over the course of the interventions. RESULTS: Based on 582 videos from 207 caregiver-child dyads, the BOSCC noted significant differences between intervention vs. control groups in broad social communication skills within two of the three intervention models which were longer in duration and focused on a broad range of developmental skills. CONCLUSION: The BOSCC offers the potential to take a uniform measurement approach across different intervention models to capture the effect of intervention on general social communication skills but may not pick up the effects of some brief interventions targeting proximal outcomes.

2.
BMC Infect Dis ; 24(1): 639, 2024 Jun 26.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38926676

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is a need to understand the relationship between COVID-19 Convalescent Plasma (CCP) anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG levels and clinical outcomes to optimize CCP use. This study aims to evaluate the relationship between recipient baseline clinical status, clinical outcomes, and CCP antibody levels. METHODS: The study analyzed data from the COMPILE study, a meta-analysis of pooled individual patient data from 8 randomized clinical trials (RCTs) assessing the efficacy of CCP vs. control, in adults hospitalized for COVID-19 who were not receiving mechanical ventilation at randomization. SARS-CoV-2 IgG levels, referred to as 'dose' of CCP treatment, were retrospectively measured in donor sera or the administered CCP, semi-quantitatively using the VITROS Anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG chemiluminescent immunoassay (Ortho-Clinical Diagnostics) with a signal-to-cutoff ratio (S/Co). The association between CCP dose and outcomes was investigated, treating dose as either continuous or categorized (higher vs. lower vs. control), stratified by recipient oxygen supplementation status at presentation. RESULTS: A total of 1714 participants were included in the study, 1138 control- and 576 CCP-treated patients for whom donor CCP anti-SARS-CoV2 antibody levels were available from the COMPILE study. For participants not receiving oxygen supplementation at baseline, higher-dose CCP (/control) was associated with a reduced risk of ventilation or death at day 14 (OR = 0.19, 95% CrI: [0.02, 1.70], posterior probability Pr(OR < 1) = 0.93) and day 28 mortality (OR = 0.27 [0.02, 2.53], Pr(OR < 1) = 0.87), compared to lower-dose CCP (/control) (ventilation or death at day 14 OR = 0.79 [0.07, 6.87], Pr(OR < 1) = 0.58; and day 28 mortality OR = 1.11 [0.10, 10.49], Pr(OR < 1) = 0.46), exhibiting a consistently positive CCP dose effect on clinical outcomes. For participants receiving oxygen at baseline, the dose-outcome relationship was less clear, although a potential benefit for day 28 mortality was observed with higher-dose CCP (/control) (OR = 0.66 [0.36, 1.13], Pr(OR < 1) = 0.93) compared to lower-dose CCP (/control) (OR = 1.14 [0.73, 1.78], Pr(OR < 1) = 0.28). CONCLUSION: Higher-dose CCP is associated with its effectiveness in patients not initially receiving oxygen supplementation, however, further research is needed to understand the interplay between CCP anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG levels and clinical outcome in COVID-19 patients initially receiving oxygen supplementation.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Viral , COVID-19 Serotherapy , COVID-19 , Immunization, Passive , Immunoglobulin G , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , COVID-19/therapy , COVID-19/immunology , COVID-19/mortality , Antibodies, Viral/blood , SARS-CoV-2/immunology , Male , Middle Aged , Female , Immunoglobulin G/blood , Aged , Treatment Outcome , Adult , Retrospective Studies , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
3.
Br J Psychiatry ; 224(3): 79-81, 2024 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38174364

ABSTRACT

The non-reporting of negative studies results in a scientific record that is incomplete, one-sided and misleading. The consequences of this range from inappropriate initiation of further studies that might put participants at unnecessary risk to treatment guidelines that may be in error, thus compromising day-to-day clinical practice.


Subject(s)
Anorexia Nervosa , Humans , Anorexia Nervosa/therapy , Optimism
4.
medRxiv ; 2024 Jan 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38014277

ABSTRACT

Background: Precision medicine has led to the development of targeted treatment strategies tailored to individual patients based on their characteristics and disease manifestations. Although precision medicine often focuses on a single health outcome for individualized treatment decision rules (ITRs), relying only on a single outcome rather than all available outcomes information leads to suboptimal data usage when developing optimal ITRs. Methods: To address this limitation, we propose a Bayesian multivariate hierarchical model that leverages the wealth of correlated health outcomes collected in clinical trials. The approach jointly models mixed types of correlated outcomes, facilitating the "borrowing of information" across the multivariate outcomes, and results in a more accurate estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects compared to using single regression models for each outcome. We develop a treatment benefit index, which quantifies the relative treatment benefit of the experimental treatment over the control treatment, based on the proposed multivariate outcome model. Results: We demonstrate the strengths of the proposed approach through extensive simulations and an application to an international Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) treatment trial. Simulation results indicate that the proposed method reduces the occurrence of erroneous treatment decisions compared to a single regression model for a single health outcome. Additionally, the sensitivity analysis demonstrates the robustness of the model across various study scenarios. Application of the method to the COVID-19 trial exhibits improvements in estimating the individual-level treatment efficacy (indicated by narrower credible intervals for odds ratios) and optimal ITRs. Conclusion: The study jointly models mixed types of outcomes in the context of developing ITRs. By considering multiple health outcomes, the proposed approach can advance the development of more effective and reliable personalized treatment.

5.
Stat Interface ; 16(3): 475-491, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37274458

ABSTRACT

Evolving medical technologies have motivated the development of treatment decision rules (TDRs) that incorporate complex, costly data (e.g., imaging). In clinical practice, we aim for TDRs to be valuable by reducing unnecessary testing while still identifying the best possible treatment for a patient. Regardless of how well any TDR performs in the target population, there is an associated degree of uncertainty about its optimality for a specific patient. In this paper, we aim to quantify, via a confidence measure, the uncertainty in a TDR as patient data from sequential procedures accumulate in real-time. We first propose estimating confidence using the distance of a patient's vector of covariates to a treatment decision boundary, with further distances corresponding to higher certainty. We further propose measuring confidence through the conditional probabilities of ultimately (with all possible information available) being assigned a particular treatment, given that the same treatment is assigned with the patient's currently available data or given the treatment recommendation made using only the currently available patient data. As patient data accumulate, the treatment decision is updated and confidence reassessed until a sufficiently high confidence level is achieved. We present results from simulation studies and illustrate the methods using a motivating example from a depression clinical trial. Recommendations for practical use of the measures are proposed.

6.
Stat Biosci ; 15(2): 397-418, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37313546

ABSTRACT

This paper develops a Bayesian model with a flexible link function connecting a binary treatment response to a linear combination of covariates and a treatment indicator and the interaction between the two. Generalized linear models allowing data-driven link functions are often called "single-index models" and are among popular semi-parametric modeling methods. In this paper, we focus on modeling heterogeneous treatment effects, with the goal of developing a treatment benefit index (TBI) incorporating prior information from historical data. The model makes inference on a composite moderator of treatment effects, summarizing the effect of the predictors within a single variable through a linear projection of the predictors. This treatment benefit index can be useful for stratifying patients according to their predicted treatment benefit levels and can be especially useful for precision health applications. The proposed method is applied to a COVID-19 treatment study.

7.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 23(1): 25, 2023 01 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36698073

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Numerous clinical trials have been initiated to find effective treatments for COVID-19. These trials have often been initiated in regions where the pandemic has already peaked. Consequently, achieving full enrollment in a single trial might require additional COVID-19 surges in the same location over several years. This has inspired us to pool individual patient data (IPD) from ongoing, paused, prematurely-terminated, or completed randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in real-time, to find an effective treatment as quickly as possible in light of the pandemic crisis. However, pooling across trials introduces enormous uncertainties in study design (e.g., the number of RCTs and sample sizes might be unknown in advance). We sought to develop a versatile treatment efficacy assessment model that accounts for these uncertainties while allowing for continuous monitoring throughout the study using Bayesian monitoring techniques. METHODS: We provide a detailed look at the challenges and solutions for model development, describing the process that used extensive simulations to enable us to finalize the analysis plan. This includes establishing prior distribution assumptions, assessing and improving model convergence under different study composition scenarios, and assessing whether we can extend the model to accommodate multi-site RCTs and evaluate heterogeneous treatment effects. In addition, we recognized that we would need to assess our model for goodness-of-fit, so we explored an approach that used posterior predictive checking. Lastly, given the urgency of the research in the context of evolving pandemic, we were committed to frequent monitoring of the data to assess efficacy, and we set Bayesian monitoring rules calibrated for type 1 error rate and power. RESULTS: The primary outcome is an 11-point ordinal scale. We present the operating characteristics of the proposed cumulative proportional odds model for estimating treatment effectiveness. The model can estimate the treatment's effect under enormous uncertainties in study design. We investigate to what degree the proportional odds assumption has to be violated to render the model inaccurate. We demonstrate the flexibility of a Bayesian monitoring approach by performing frequent interim analyses without increasing the probability of erroneous conclusions. CONCLUSION: This paper describes a translatable framework using simulation to support the design of prospective IPD meta-analyses.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Computer Simulation , Research Design , Sample Size , Bayes Theorem
8.
Biometrics ; 79(1): 113-126, 2023 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34704622

ABSTRACT

A novel functional additive model is proposed, which is uniquely modified and constrained to model nonlinear interactions between a treatment indicator and a potentially large number of functional and/or scalar pretreatment covariates. The primary motivation for this approach is to optimize individualized treatment rules based on data from a randomized clinical trial. We generalize functional additive regression models by incorporating treatment-specific components into additive effect components. A structural constraint is imposed on the treatment-specific components in order to provide a class of additive models with main effects and interaction effects that are orthogonal to each other. If primary interest is in the interaction between treatment and the covariates, as is generally the case when optimizing individualized treatment rules, we can thereby circumvent the need to estimate the main effects of the covariates, obviating the need to specify their form and thus avoiding the issue of model misspecification. The methods are illustrated with data from a depression clinical trial with electroencephalogram functional data as patients' pretreatment covariates.


Subject(s)
Models, Statistical , Precision Medicine , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Humans
9.
Schizophr Bull ; 49(1): 34-42, 2023 01 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36370124

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Disengagement from treatment is common in first episode schizophrenia (FES) and is associated with poor outcomes. Our aim was to determine whether hippocampal subfield volumes predict disengagement during maintenance treatment of FES. METHODS: FES patients were recruited from sites in Boston, New York, Shanghai, and Changsha. After stabilization on antipsychotic medication, participants were randomized to add-on citalopram or placebo and followed for 12 months. Demographic, clinical and cognitive factors at baseline were compared between completers and disengagers in addition to volumes of hippocampal subfields. RESULTS: Baseline data were available for 95 randomized participants. Disengagers (n = 38, 40%) differed from completers (n = 57, 60%) by race (more likely Black; less likely Asian) and in more alcohol use, parkinsonism, negative symptoms and more impairment in visual learning and working memory. Bilateral dentate gyrus (DG), CA1, CA2/3 and whole hippocampal volumes were significantly smaller in disengagers compared to completers. When all the eight volumes were entered into the model simultaneously, only left DG volume significantly predicted disengagement status and remained significant after adjusting for age, sex, race, intracranial volume, antipsychotic dose, duration of untreated psychosis, citalopram status, alcohol status, and smoking status (P < .01). Left DG volume predicted disengagement with 57% sensitivity and 83% specificity. CONCLUSIONS: Smaller left DG was significantly associated with disengagement status over 12 months of maintenance treatment in patients with FES participating in a randomized clinical trial. If replicated, these findings may provide a biomarker to identify patients at risk for disengagement and a potential target for interventions.


Subject(s)
Psychotic Disorders , Schizophrenia , Humans , Schizophrenia/diagnostic imaging , Schizophrenia/drug therapy , Citalopram/pharmacology , Citalopram/therapeutic use , China , Hippocampus/diagnostic imaging , Psychotic Disorders/diagnosis , Magnetic Resonance Imaging
10.
J Comput Graph Stat ; 31(2): 553-562, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35873662

ABSTRACT

This paper focuses on the problem of modeling and estimating interaction effects between covariates and a continuous treatment variable on an outcome, using a single-index regression. The primary motivation is to estimate an optimal individualized dose rule and individualized treatment effects. To model possibly nonlinear interaction effects between patients' covariates and a continuous treatment variable, we employ a two-dimensional penalized spline regression on an index-treatment domain, where the index is defined as a linear projection of the covariates. The method is illustrated using two applications as well as simulation experiments. A unique contribution of this work is in the parsimonious (single-index) parametrization specifically defined for the interaction effect term.

11.
Br J Psychiatry ; 221(3): 580-581, 2022 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35611401

ABSTRACT

SUMMARY: Poor research integrity is increasingly recognised as a serious problem in science. We outline some evidence for this claim and introduce the Royal College of Psychiatrists (RCPsych) journals' Research Integrity Group, which has been created to address this problem.


Subject(s)
Biomedical Research , Ethics, Research , Humans
12.
Crit Care Med ; 50(9): 1348-1359, 2022 09 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35583232

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: We designed this study to test whether clazakizumab, a direct interleukin-6 inhibitor, benefits patients hospitalized with severe or critical COVID-19 disease accompanied by hyperinflammation. DESIGN: Multicenter, randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled, seamless phase II/III trial. SETTING: Five U.S. medical centers. PATIENTS: Adults inpatients with severe COVID-19 disease and hyperinflammation. INTERVENTIONS: Eighty-one patients enrolled in phase II, randomized 1:1:1 to low-dose (12.5 mg) or high-dose (25 mg) clazakizumab or placebo. Ninety-seven patients enrolled in phase III, randomized 1:1 to high-dose clazakizumab or placebo. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The primary outcome was 28-day ventilator-free survival. Secondary outcomes included overall survival, frequency and duration of intubation, and frequency and duration of ICU admission. Per Data Safety and Monitoring Board recommendations, additional secondary outcomes describing clinical status and status changes, as measured by an ordinal scale, were added. Bayesian cumulative proportional odds, logistic, and Poisson regression models were used. The low-dose arm was dropped when the phase II study suggested superiority of the high-dose arm. We report on 152 patients, 74 randomized to placebo and 78 to high-dose clazakizumab. Patients receiving clazakizumab had greater odds of 28-day ventilator-free survival (odds ratio [OR] = 3.84; p [OR > 1] 99.9%), as well as overall survival at 28 and 60 days (OR = 1.75; p [OR > 1] 86.5% and OR = 2.53; p [OR > 1] 97.7%). Clazakizumab was associated with lower odds of intubation (OR = 0.2; p [OR] < 1; 99.9%) and ICU admission (OR = 0.26; p [OR < 1] 99.6%); shorter durations of ventilation and ICU stay (risk ratio [RR] < 0.75; p [RR < 1] > 99% for both); and greater odds of improved clinical status at 14, 28, and 60 days (OR = 2.32, p [OR > 1] 98.1%; OR = 3.36, p [OR > 1] 99.6%; and OR = 3.52, p [OR > 1] 99.8%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Clazakizumab significantly improved 28-day ventilator-free survival, 28- and 60-day overall survival, as well as clinical outcomes in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 and hyperinflammation.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized , COVID-19 Drug Treatment , COVID-19 , Adult , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/therapeutic use , Bayes Theorem , COVID-19/complications , Double-Blind Method , Humans , SARS-CoV-2 , Treatment Outcome
13.
J Am Stat Assoc ; 117(537): 12-26, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35350190

ABSTRACT

Frontal power asymmetry (FA), a measure of brain function derived from electroencephalography, is a potential biomarker for major depressive disorder (MDD). Though FA is functional in nature, it is typically reduced to a scalar value prior to analysis, possibly obscuring its relationship with MDD and leading to a number of studies that have provided contradictory results. To overcome this issue, we sought to fit a functional regression model to characterize the association between FA and MDD status, adjusting for age, sex, cognitive ability, and handedness using data from a large clinical study that included both MDD and healthy control (HC) subjects. Since nearly 40% of the observations are missing data on either FA or cognitive ability, we propose an extension of multiple imputation (MI) by chained equations that allows for the imputation of both scalar and functional data. We also propose an extension of Rubin's Rules for conducting valid inference in this setting. The proposed methods are evaluated in a simulation and applied to our FA data. For our FA data, a pooled analysis from the imputed data sets yielded similar results to those of the complete case analysis. We found that, among young females, HCs tended to have higher FA over the θ, α, and ß frequency bands, but that the difference between HC and MDD subjects diminishes and ultimately reverses with age. For males, HCs tended to have higher FA in the ß frequency band, regardless of age. Young male HCs had higher FA in the θ and α bands, but this difference diminishes with increasing age in the α band and ultimately reverses with increasing age in the θ band.

14.
JAMA Netw Open ; 5(1): e2147331, 2022 01 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35076699

ABSTRACT

Importance: COVID-19 convalescent plasma (CCP) is a potentially beneficial treatment for COVID-19 that requires rigorous testing. Objective: To compile individual patient data from randomized clinical trials of CCP and to monitor the data until completion or until accumulated evidence enables reliable conclusions regarding the clinical outcomes associated with CCP. Data Sources: From May to August 2020, a systematic search was performed for trials of CCP in the literature, clinical trial registry sites, and medRxiv. Domain experts at local, national, and international organizations were consulted regularly. Study Selection: Eligible trials enrolled hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19, not receiving mechanical ventilation, and randomized them to CCP or control. The administered CCP was required to have measurable antibodies assessed locally. Data Extraction and Synthesis: A minimal data set was submitted regularly via a secure portal, analyzed using a prespecified bayesian statistical plan, and reviewed frequently by a collective data and safety monitoring board. Main Outcomes and Measures: Prespecified coprimary end points-the World Health Organization (WHO) 11-point ordinal scale analyzed using a proportional odds model and a binary indicator of WHO score of 7 or higher capturing the most severe outcomes including mechanical ventilation through death and analyzed using a logistic model-were assessed clinically at 14 days after randomization. Results: Eight international trials collectively enrolled 2369 participants (1138 randomized to control and 1231 randomized to CCP). A total of 2341 participants (median [IQR] age, 60 [50-72] years; 845 women [35.7%]) had primary outcome data as of April 2021. The median (IQR) of the ordinal WHO scale was 3 (3-6); the cumulative OR was 0.94 (95% credible interval [CrI], 0.74-1.19; posterior probability of OR <1 of 71%). A total of 352 patients (15%) had WHO score greater than or equal to 7; the OR was 0.94 (95% CrI, 0.69-1.30; posterior probability of OR <1 of 65%). Adjusted for baseline covariates, the ORs for mortality were 0.88 at day 14 (95% CrI, 0.61-1.26; posterior probability of OR <1 of 77%) and 0.85 at day 28 (95% CrI, 0.62-1.18; posterior probability of OR <1 of 84%). Heterogeneity of treatment effect sizes was observed across an array of baseline characteristics. Conclusions and Relevance: This meta-analysis found no association of CCP with better clinical outcomes for the typical patient. These findings suggest that real-time individual patient data pooling and meta-analysis during a pandemic are feasible, offering a model for future research and providing a rich data resource.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/therapy , Hospitalization , Pandemics , Patient Selection , Plasma , Aged , Bayes Theorem , Female , Humans , Immunization, Passive , Male , Middle Aged , Respiration, Artificial , SARS-CoV-2 , Severity of Illness Index , Treatment Outcome , World Health Organization , COVID-19 Serotherapy
15.
JAMA Netw Open ; 5(1): e2147375, 2022 01 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35076698

ABSTRACT

Importance: Identifying which patients with COVID-19 are likely to benefit from COVID-19 convalescent plasma (CCP) treatment may have a large public health impact. Objective: To develop an index for predicting the expected relative treatment benefit from CCP compared with treatment without CCP for patients hospitalized for COVID-19 using patients' baseline characteristics. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prognostic study used data from the COMPILE study, ie, a meta-analysis of pooled individual patient data from 8 randomized clinical trials (RCTs) evaluating CCP vs control in adults hospitalized for COVID-19 who were not receiving mechanical ventilation at randomization. A combination of baseline characteristics, termed the treatment benefit index (TBI), was developed based on 2287 patients in COMPILE using a proportional odds model, with baseline characteristics selected via cross-validation. The TBI was externally validated on 4 external data sets: the Expanded Access Program (1896 participants), a study conducted under Emergency Use Authorization (210 participants), and 2 RCTs (with 80 and 309 participants). Exposure: Receipt of CCP. Main Outcomes and Measures: World Health Organization (WHO) 11-point ordinal COVID-19 clinical status scale and 2 derivatives of it (ie, WHO score of 7-10, indicating mechanical ventilation to death, and WHO score of 10, indicating death) at day 14 and day 28 after randomization. Day 14 WHO 11-point ordinal scale was used as the primary outcome to develop the TBI. Results: A total of 2287 patients were included in the derivation cohort, with a mean (SD) age of 60.3 (15.2) years and 815 (35.6%) women. The TBI provided a continuous gradation of benefit, and, for clinical utility, it was operationalized into groups of expected large clinical benefit (B1; 629 participants in the derivation cohort [27.5%]), moderate benefit (B2; 953 [41.7%]), and potential harm or no benefit (B3; 705 [30.8%]). Patients with preexisting conditions (diabetes, cardiovascular and pulmonary diseases), with blood type A or AB, and at an early COVID-19 stage (low baseline WHO scores) were expected to benefit most, while those without preexisting conditions and at more advanced stages of COVID-19 could potentially be harmed. In the derivation cohort, odds ratios for worse outcome, where smaller odds ratios indicate larger benefit from CCP, were 0.69 (95% credible interval [CrI], 0.48-1.06) for B1, 0.82 (95% CrI, 0.61-1.11) for B2, and 1.58 (95% CrI, 1.14-2.17) for B3. Testing on 4 external datasets supported the validation of the derived TBIs. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this study suggest that the CCP TBI is a simple tool that can quantify the relative benefit from CCP treatment for an individual patient hospitalized with COVID-19 that can be used to guide treatment recommendations. The TBI precision medicine approach could be especially helpful in a pandemic.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/therapy , Hospitalization , Patient Selection , Plasma , Therapeutic Index , Aged , Blood Grouping and Crossmatching , Comorbidity , Female , Humans , Immunization, Passive , Male , Middle Aged , Odds Ratio , Pandemics , Respiration, Artificial , SARS-CoV-2 , Severity of Illness Index , Treatment Outcome , World Health Organization , COVID-19 Serotherapy
16.
J Comput Graph Stat ; 31(4): 1375-1383, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36970034

ABSTRACT

Individualized treatment rules (ITRs) recommend treatments that are tailored specifically according to each patient's own characteristics. It can be challenging to estimate optimal ITRs when there are many features, especially when these features have arisen from multiple data domains (e.g., demographics, clinical measurements, neuroimaging modalities). Considering data from complementary domains and using multiple similarity measures to capture the potential complex relationship between features and treatment can potentially improve the accuracy of assigning treatments. Outcome weighted learning (OWL) methods that are based on support vector machines using a predetermined single kernel function have previously been developed to estimate optimal ITRs. In this paper, we propose an approach to estimate optimal ITRs by exploiting multiple kernel functions to describe the similarity of features between subjects both within and across data domains within the OWL framework, as opposed to preselecting a single kernel function to be used for all features for all domains. Our method takes into account the heterogeneity of each data domain and combines multiple data domains optimally. Our learning process estimates optimal ITRs and also identifies the data domains that are most important for determining ITRs. This approach can thus be used to prioritize the collection of data from multiple domains, potentially reducing cost without sacrificing accuracy. The comparative advantage of our method is demonstrated by simulation studies and by an application to a randomized clinical trial for major depressive disorder that collected features from multiple data domains. Supplemental materials for this article are available online.

17.
Biostatistics ; 23(2): 412-429, 2022 04 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32808656

ABSTRACT

Sparse additive modeling is a class of effective methods for performing high-dimensional nonparametric regression. This article develops a sparse additive model focused on estimation of treatment effect modification with simultaneous treatment effect-modifier selection. We propose a version of the sparse additive model uniquely constrained to estimate the interaction effects between treatment and pretreatment covariates, while leaving the main effects of the pretreatment covariates unspecified. The proposed regression model can effectively identify treatment effect-modifiers that exhibit possibly nonlinear interactions with the treatment variable that are relevant for making optimal treatment decisions. A set of simulation experiments and an application to a dataset from a randomized clinical trial are presented to demonstrate the method.


Subject(s)
Research Design , Computer Simulation , Humans
18.
Psychol Trauma ; 14(4): 642-652, 2022 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34410809

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to systematically review existing empirical evidence on the effectiveness of trauma-specific treatment for justice-involved adolescents and evaluate the impact of the interventions on the reduction of posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) symptoms, co-occurring mental health symptoms, and juvenile justice-related outcomes. METHOD: A systematic literature search was conducted using a four-step process. Studies were included if they used a manualized, trauma-specific treatment with at least one control or comparison group and a sample comprised exclusively of justice-involved adolescents. RESULTS: In total, 1,699 unique records were identified, and 56 full-text articles were reviewed, of which 7 met the criteria for inclusion. Trauma-specific interventions led to a decrease in PTSD symptoms compared with a control group in four of seven studies, and two studies also demonstrated a reduction in trauma-related depressive symptoms. Finally, juvenile justice-related outcomes were measured in only four studies, with one study finding moderately reduced rates of delinquent behavior and recidivism following trauma-specific treatment. CONCLUSIONS: The results from this systematic review suggest that trauma-specific treatment interventions have promising effects for justice-involved adolescents. However, the results reveal a dearth of quality intervention research for treating youths with histories of trauma in the justice system. Significant gaps in the literature are highlighted, and suggestions for future directions are discussed. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2022 APA, all rights reserved).


Subject(s)
Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic , Adolescent , Humans , Mental Health , Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic/psychology , Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic/therapy
19.
JAMA Intern Med ; 182(2): 115-126, 2022 02 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34901997

ABSTRACT

Importance: There is clinical equipoise for COVID-19 convalescent plasma (CCP) use in patients hospitalized with COVID-19. Objective: To determine the safety and efficacy of CCP compared with placebo in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 receiving noninvasive supplemental oxygen. Design, Setting, and Participants: CONTAIN COVID-19, a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of CCP in hospitalized adults with COVID-19, was conducted at 21 US hospitals from April 17, 2020, to March 15, 2021. The trial enrolled 941 participants who were hospitalized for 3 or less days or presented 7 or less days after symptom onset and required noninvasive oxygen supplementation. Interventions: A unit of approximately 250 mL of CCP or equivalent volume of placebo (normal saline). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was participant scores on the 11-point World Health Organization (WHO) Ordinal Scale for Clinical Improvement on day 14 after randomization; the secondary outcome was WHO scores determined on day 28. Subgroups were analyzed with respect to age, baseline WHO score, concomitant medications, symptom duration, CCP SARS-CoV-2 titer, baseline SARS-CoV-2 serostatus, and enrollment quarter. Outcomes were analyzed using a bayesian proportional cumulative odds model. Efficacy of CCP was defined as a cumulative adjusted odds ratio (cOR) less than 1 and a clinically meaningful effect as cOR less than 0.8. Results: Of 941 participants randomized (473 to placebo and 468 to CCP), 556 were men (59.1%); median age was 63 years (IQR, 52-73); 373 (39.6%) were Hispanic and 132 (14.0%) were non-Hispanic Black. The cOR for the primary outcome adjusted for site, baseline risk, WHO score, age, sex, and symptom duration was 0.94 (95% credible interval [CrI], 0.75-1.18) with posterior probability (P[cOR<1] = 72%); the cOR for the secondary adjusted outcome was 0.92 (95% CrI, 0.74-1.16; P[cOR<1] = 76%). Exploratory subgroup analyses suggested heterogeneity of treatment effect: at day 28, cORs were 0.72 (95% CrI, 0.46-1.13; P[cOR<1] = 93%) for participants enrolled in April-June 2020 and 0.65 (95% CrI, 0.41 to 1.02; P[cOR<1] = 97%) for those not receiving remdesivir and not receiving corticosteroids at randomization. Median CCP SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing titer used in April to June 2020 was 1:175 (IQR, 76-379). Any adverse events (excluding transfusion reactions) were reported for 39 (8.2%) placebo recipients and 44 (9.4%) CCP recipients (P = .57). Transfusion reactions occurred in 2 (0.4) placebo recipients and 8 (1.7) CCP recipients (P = .06). Conclusions and Relevance: In this trial, CCP did not meet the prespecified primary and secondary outcomes for CCP efficacy. However, high-titer CCP may have benefited participants early in the pandemic when remdesivir and corticosteroids were not in use. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04364737.


Subject(s)
Blood Component Transfusion , COVID-19/therapy , Critical Illness/therapy , Adult , Aged , Double-Blind Method , Female , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Immunization, Passive , Male , Middle Aged , Respiration, Artificial/statistics & numerical data , Treatment Outcome , United States , COVID-19 Serotherapy
20.
Dev Cogn Neurosci ; 52: 101009, 2021 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34649041

ABSTRACT

Pediatric brain imaging holds significant promise for understanding neurodevelopment. However, the requirement to remain still inside a noisy, enclosed scanner remains a challenge. Verbal or visual descriptions of the process, and/or practice in MRI simulators are the norm in preparing children. Yet, the factors predictive of successfully obtaining neuroimaging data remain unclear. We examined data from 250 children (6-12 years, 197 males) with autism and/or attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder. Children completed systematic MRI simulator training aimed to habituate to the scanner environment and minimize head motion. An MRI session comprised multiple structural, resting-state, task and diffusion scans. Of the 201 children passing simulator training and attempting scanning, nearly all (94%) successfully completed the first structural scan in the sequence, and 88% also completed the following functional scan. The number of successful scans decreased as the sequence progressed. Multivariate analyses revealed that age was the strongest predictor of successful scans in the session, with younger children having lower success rates. After age, sensorimotor atypicalities contributed most to prediction. Results provide insights on factors to consider in designing pediatric brain imaging protocols.


Subject(s)
Attention Deficit Disorder with Hyperactivity , Autism Spectrum Disorder , Brain/diagnostic imaging , Child , Humans , Magnetic Resonance Imaging/methods , Male , Motion , Neuroimaging
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