Metabolomics biomarkers and the risk of overall mortality and ESRD in CKD: Results from the Progredir Cohort.

INTRODUCTION: Studies on metabolomics and CKD have primarily addressed CKD incidence defined as a decline on eGFR or appearance of albuminuria in the general population, with very few evaluating hard outcomes. In the present study, we investigated the association between metabolites and mortality and ESRD in a CKD cohort. SETTING AND METHODS: Data on 454 participants of the Progredir Cohort Study, Sao Paulo, Brazil were used. Metabolomics was performed by GC-MS (Agilent MassHunter) and metabolites were identified using Agilent Fiehn GC/MS and NIST libraries. After excluding metabolites present in <50% of participants, 293 metabolites were analyzed. An FDR q value <0.05 criteria was applied in Cox models on the composite outcome (mortality or incident renal replacement therapy) adjusted for batch effect, resulting in 34 metabolites associated with the outcome. Multivariable-adjusted Cox models were then built for the composite outcome, death, and ESRD incident events. Competing risk analysis was also performed for ESRD. RESULTS: Mean age was 68±12y, mean eGFR-CKDEPI was 38.4±14.6 ml/min/1.73m2 and 57% were diabetic. After adjustments (GC-MS batch, sex, age, DM and eGFR), 18 metabolites remained significantly associated with the composite outcome. Nine metabolites were independently associated with death: D-malic acid (HR 1.84, 95%CI 1.32-2.56, p = 0.0003), acetohydroxamic acid (HR 1.90, 95%CI 1.30-2.78, p = 0.0008), butanoic acid (HR 1.59, 95%CI 1.17-2.15, p = 0.003), and docosahexaenoic acid (HR 0.58, 95%CI 0.39-0.88, p = 0.009), among the top associations. Lactose (SHR 1.49, 95%CI 1.04-2.12, p = 0.03), 2-O-glycerol-α-D-galactopyranoside (SHR 1.76, 95%CI 1.06-2.92, p = 0.03), and tyrosine (SHR 0.52, 95%CI 0.31-0.88, p = 0.02) were associated to ESRD risk, while D-threitol, mannitol and myo-inositol presented strong borderline associations. CONCLUSION: Our results identify specific metabolites related to hard outcomes in a CKD population. These findings point to the need of further exploration of these metabolites as biomarkers in CKD and the understanding of the underlying biological mechanisms related to the observed associations.

1,5-Anhydroglucitol predicts CKD progression in macroalbuminuric diabetic kidney disease: results from non-targeted metabolomics.

INTRODUCTION: Metabolomics allows exploration of novel biomarkers and provides insights on metabolic pathways associated with disease. To date, metabolomics studies on CKD have been largely limited to Caucasian populations and have mostly examined surrogate end points. OBJECTIVE: In this study, we evaluated the role of metabolites in predicting a primary outcome defined as dialysis need, doubling of serum creatinine or death in Brazilian macroalbuminuric DKD patients. METHODS: Non-targeted metabolomics was performed on plasma from 56 DKD patients. Technical triplicates were done. Metabolites were identified using Agilent Fiehn GC/MS Metabolomics and NIST libraries (Agilent MassHunter Work-station Quantitative Analysis, version B.06.00). After data cleaning, 186 metabolites were left for analyses. RESULTS: During a median follow-up time of 2.5 years, the PO occurred in 17 patients (30.3%). In non-parametric testing, 13 metabolites were associated with the PO. In univariate Cox regression, only 1,5-anhydroglucitol (HR 0.10; 95% CI 0.01-0.63, p = .01), norvaline and L-aspartic acid were associated with the PO. After adjustment for baseline renal function, 1,5-anhydroglucitol (HR 0.10; 95% CI 0.02-0.63, p = .01), norvaline (HR 0.01; 95% CI 0.001-0.4, p = .01) and aspartic acid (HR 0.12; 95% CI 0.02-0.64, p = .01) remained significantly and inversely associated with the PO. CONCLUSION: Our results show that lower levels of 1,5-anhydroglucitol, norvaline and L-aspartic acid are associated with progression of macroalbuminuric DKD. While norvaline and L-aspartic acid point to interesting metabolic pathways, 1,5-anhydroglucitol is of particular interest since it has been previously shown to be associated with incident CKD. This inverse biomarker of hyperglycemia should be further explored as a new tool in DKD.

Mild prolonged chronic hyponatremia and risk of hip fracture in the elderly.

BACKGROUND: Hip fractures are among the most serious bone fractures in the elderly, producing significant morbidity and mortality. Several observational studies have found that mild hyponatremia can adversely affect bone, with fractures occurring as a potential complication. We examined if there is an independent association between prolonged chronic hyponatremia (>90 days duration) and risk of hip fracture in the elderly. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study in adults >60 years of age from a prepaid health maintenance organization who had two or more measurements of plasma sodium between 2005 and 2012. The incidence of hip fractures was assessed in a very restrictive population: subjects with prolonged chronic hyponatremia, defined as plasma sodium values <135 mmol/L, lasting >90 days. Multivariable Cox regression was performed to determine the hazard ratio (HR) for hip fracture risk associated with prolonged chronic hyponatremia after adjustment for the propensity to have hyponatremia, fracture risk factors and relevant baseline characteristics. RESULTS: Among 31 527 eligible patients, only 228 (0.9%) had prolonged chronic hyponatremia. Mean plasma sodium was 132 ± 5 mmol/L in hyponatremic patients and 139 ± 3 mmol/L in normonatremic patients (P < 0.001). The absolute risk for hip fracture was 7/282 in patients with prolonged chronic hyponatremia and 411/313 299 in normonatremic patients. Hyponatremic patients had a substantially elevated rate of hip fracture [adjusted HR 4.52 (95% CI 2.14-9.6)], which was even higher in those with moderate hyponatremia (<130 mmol/L) [adjusted HR 7.61 (95% CI 2.8-20.5)]. CONCLUSION: Mild prolonged chronic hyponatremia is independently associated with hip fracture risk in the elderly population, although the absolute risk is low. However, proof that correcting hyponatremia will result in a reduction of hip fractures is lacking.